Competitiveness and Competition Ronald U. Mendoza, PhD AIM Policy Center World Competitiveness Yearbook • Uses over 250 criteria in ranking the competitiveness of 61 countries (2/3 “hard” indicators; 1/3 survey data). • Uses four main factors in competitiveness ranking: Economic performance (37th to 34th); Government efficiency (40th to 36th); Business efficiency (27th to 26th); Infrastructure (59th to 57th) Philippines IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook Ranking, 2005 to 2015 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 37 38 38 39 39 40 40 40 41 41 41 42 42 42 43 43 44 45 45 46 Source: International Institute for Management Development World Competitiveness Yearbook. 43 WCY 2015 Ranking of Selected Asia-Pacific Countries Country Rank Country Rank Hong Kong 2nd Japan 27th Singapore 3rd Thailand 30th Malaysia 14th Philippines 41st China 22nd Indonesia 42nd South Korea 25th India 44th Philippine Ranking in the World Economic Forum Global Competitiveness Report (144 Countries) 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 50 55 59 60 65 65 70 73 71 71 71 75 75 80 85 90 87 85 2014 52 Executive Opinion Survey on Factors Most Attractive in the Philippine Economy Average Annual Net FDI Inflows, in Current USD, per Administration 4000 3,790 3500 Millions USD 3000 2500 2000 1,744 1,468 1500 1000 500 1,468 644 117 0 Marcos (1970 to 1986) Aquino 1 Ramos (1993 (1987 to to 1998) 1992) Source: Computations based on data from UNCTAD and BSP. Estrada (1999 to 2000) Arroyo (2001 Aquino 2 to 2010) (2011 to 2014) Average Annual Exports, in Millions 2005 USD, per Administration 70,000 63,649 60,000 48,783 50,000 37,142 40,000 30,592 30,000 18,212 20,000 10,000 9,727 Marcos (1970 to 1986) Source: The World Bank Aquino 1 (1987 to 1992) Ramos (1993 Estrada (1999 Arroyo (2001 to 1998) to 2000) to 2010) Aquino 2 (2011 to 2013) Debt-to-GDP Ratio, 1990-2014 80% 75% 70% 65% 60% 55% 50% 45% 40% Aquino 1 Ramos Source: Computations based on data from Bureau of Treasury. Estrada Axis Title Arroyo Aquino 2 ASEAN Transparency International’s Corruption Perceptions Index Published rankings Country 2011 2014 Cambodia 164 156 8 Indonesia 100 107 Laos 154 Malaysia Adjusted rankings Change 2011 2014 Change 156 156 0 -7 94 107 -13 145 9 146 145 1 60 50 10 57 50 7 Myanmar 180 156 24 171 156 15 Philippines 129 85 44 122 85 37 Singapore 5 7 -2 5 7 -2 Thailand 80 85 -5 76 85 -9 Vietnam 112 119 -7 106 119 -13 Philippines is ranked 95th out of 185 economies in ease of doing business 1 18 26 78 95 101 114 135 148 Source: World Bank (2015). Philippines Ranking in the Ease of Doing Business Report 2015 2014 2013 138th 136th 2012 2011 2010 144th 148th 108th 95th Credit Upgrades Agency Upgraded to: S&P May 2014 BBB May 2013 BBB- July 2012 BB+ November 2010 BB Moody’s December 2014 BAA2 October 2013 BAA3 October 2012 BA1 June 2011 BA2 Fitch March 2013 BBB- June 2011 BB+ Philippine Stock Exchange Index (PSEi) (1995-2015, daily performance) Source: The Wall Street Journal. Need to disaggregate competitiveness indicators in order to assess “inclusiveness” of growth and development WEAK UPWARD ECONOMIC MOBILITY BECAUSE OF THE ABSENCE OF A “LEVEL PLAYING FIELD” IN THE ECONOMY MSMEs account for 99% of business enterprises, and 65% of eployment. 16 2015 Cities Competitiveness Rankings Over-all Ranking Economic Dynamism Government Efficiency Infrastructure Makati Paranaque Naga Davao Cagayan de Oro Makati Iloilo Cagayan de Oro Naga Manila Angeles Marikina Davao Naga Makati Makati Marikina General Santos Cagayan de Oro Cebu Iloilo Mandaluyong Quezon City Cebu Valenzuela Tagbilaran San Fernando, Pampanga Manila Caloocan La Carlota Angeles Valenzuela Cagayan de Oro Baguio Pasay Paranaque Cebu Laoag Manila Source: National Competitiveness Council (2013) Iloilo Labor productivity for selected countries and PH regions (2013, current USD) Metro Manila $21,958.49 Brazil Thailand $9,953.28 CALABARZON $9,153.24 Cordilleras $7,305.11 Philippines $7,172.48 Senegal $3,142.17 Eastern Visayas $2,838.07 Bicol $21,284.14 The most productive Philippine region mirrors the labor productivity of Brazil. The national statistic does not reflect the disparity in productivity of different regions. $2,469.82 Bangladesh The least productive Philippine region $1,875.60 mirrors the labor productivity of $1,937.69 Cambodia. $5,000.00 $10,000.00 $15,000.00 $20,000.00 $25,000.00 $2,396.34 Cambodia ARMM $- Note: APC staff computation using data from the National Wages and Productivity Commission; The Conference Board Total Economy Database (2015); World Bank; and the Philippine Statistical Authority HDI COMPARISONS BETWEEN SELECTED PROVINCES AND COUNTRIES (2009-2010) 0.406 Masbate 0.409 Ethiopia 0.461 Samar REFERENCE: UNDP; 2012/2013 PHILIPPINE HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 0.300 Maguindanao 0.459 Zimbabwe 0.319 Congo National Government Spending on Education and Health (in thousands 2000 PhP) 180,000 171,110 160,000 Education 140,000 Health 116,878 120,000 118,734 93,298 100,000 80,000 62,629 60,000 40,000 20,000 36,492 12,421 29,760 15,800 13,935 15,238 13,250 0 Marcos Aquino 1 Ramos Estrada Arroyo Aquino 2 (1983-1985) (1986-1992) (1993-1998) (1999-2000) (2001-2010) (2011-2013) Source: Department of Budget and Management. FAIR COMPETITION ACT 1. Anti-competitive behavior will be considered a criminal offense 2. Establishes the Fair Competition Commission to ensure market efficiency 3. Prohibits firms with big market shares to restrict competition by selling goods below cost, imposing barriers to entry, and other “predatory behavior” 4. Prohibits industry players from colluding such that each firm is allowed to dominate a geographic region 5. Prohibits mergers and acquisitions that restrict competition Source: Senate Bill No. 2282, s. 2014 FAIR COMPETITION ACT SEEKS TO PREVENT 1. Anti-Competitive Agreements: • Price fixing • Bid rigging • Monopoly • Cartel 2. Abuse of Dominant Position: • Predatory behavior towards competitors • Limitation and control of markets • Price discrimination Source: Senate Bill No. 2282, s. 2014 How much does it cost between then (1990s) and now? Then Monopoly Now Airlines (Manila – Cebu route) Php 2000 in 1997 (About Php 4000 in today’s pesos) Php 700 today How much does it cost between then (1990s) and now? Then Monopoly Now Telecom Php 1/text in 1990s (Php 2.00 in today’s pesos) Php 1/text