Local Economic Development: What Works? Timothy J. Bartik Senior Economist W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research Presentation at Municipal CFO Forum May 3, 2013 bartik@upjohn.org Blog: http://investinginkids.net/ Two Types of Economic Development 1. Export-base economic development: Boosting start-up/expansion/location of firms that “export” outside metro area. 2. Land development: Develop some land area (downtown, brownfield, neighborhood) with development barriers. • Different benefits: labor market plus fiscal benefit for export-base development; fiscal plus land value plus land spillovers for land development. • Two types need very different strategies. Export-base economic development Financial incentives often costly per job created, so success requires targeting on: • Export-base • Job creation/investment decisions, not static businesses. • High-wage • High-multiplier (high wages plus supplier network) • More likely to hire locally Export-base economic development Customized services more cost-effective than financial incentives • Customized job training • Manufacturing extension • Small business development • Ease of “red tape” • Land/building availability In long-run, development prospects dominated by quality of local labor force (Preschool, K-12, community colleges) Export-base economic development: popular strategies may be problematic 1. Direct government loans/investment: not government comparative advantage, proper incentives for quasi-private solutions are preferable. 2. Industry targeting: Government lacks crystal ball. Soft targeting of services on existing strengths happens naturally. Land development • Benefits and solutions are site-specific: specific barriers facing site, and site’s role in city. • Financial incentives alone are rarely enough to dramatically change development patterns of troubled area. Incentives plus services targeting barriers (e.g., brownfield, crime, infrastructure) Summary • For both export-base development and land development, consider needed services, not just financial assistance, as providing more cost-effective strategy. • Export-base economic development is labor market program that overcomes barriers to labor demand and enhances labor supply. • Land development is overcoming site-specific barriers.