Pricing behaviour of cooperatives and investor-owned dairies in a spatial market setting Yvonne Zavelberg yvonne.zavelberg@ilr.uni-bonn.de Hugo Storm hugo.storm@ilr.uni-bonn.de Institute for Food and Resource Economics (ILR), University of Bonn Motivation the German milk market in 2012 137 dairy processors 58 COOPs 82 IOFs 200.000 t processed milk 21 Mio. t processed milk average raw milk price coop IOF conventional organic Yvonne Zavelberg BY MV NW BW NI HE TH SN ST SH RP 30.000 2 31.000 32.000 33.000 34.000 A 1. Relevant literature on spatial pricing in an oligopsony G E N D A 2. Econometric specification 3. Presentation of results 4. Conclusion Yvonne Zavelberg 3 Relevant Literature theoretical analysis market actors IOF Free on board (FOB) COOP farmer responsible for shipping member policy & profit maximization pricing processor responsible for shipping COOP & IOF competitive yardstick theory Löschian competition conduct equivalent to collusive behavior Hotelling-Smithies equivalent to Bertrand competition Uniform delivered (UD) Farmer‘s and dairies dispersion in space space Bounded line market Unbounded line market B A A B Importance of space depending on transport cost and distance between firms s=td in relation to output price s=td/p Yvonne Zavelberg 4 Relevant Literature 1 price theoretical analysis s Relation price - space Interpretation inverted U-shape positive relation: competition in the backyard raise price reduce market area, gain farmers in backyard negative relation: competition en route Increasing shipping costs decrease market area May lead to separated monopsonistic markets pure IOF or COOP market UD & Lösch = price matching B A unbounded line market 2 price negative relation s results under most combinations also for mixed markets Price decreasing in s Diminishing competition between firms B A bounded line market positive relation IOF market FOB & Löschian comp. price 3 Larger market area: increase price to cover farmers’ transportation cost s Yvonne Zavelberg 5 Relevant Literature Studies analysing the milk market Alvarez et al. 2000 IOF UD & Lösch unbounded line market inverted u-shape inverted u-shape empirically confirmed Huck et al. 2012 COOP UD & Lösch unbounded line market assumptions as Alvarez et al. (2000) inverted u-shape, lying above IOF inverted u-shape empirically confirmed, difference to IOF not Koller 2012 IOF & COOP UD & Lösch review of Alvarez et al. (2000) inverted u-shape no theoretical analysis of spatial pricing in a mixed empirically confirmed market no differentiation between legal forms due to fixed effects Tribl 2012 IOF & COOP UD & Lösch bounded line market analysis of simultaneous and sequential games under different COOP membership policies negative relation of price and space for all scenarios Yvonne Zavelberg No empirical investigation 6 Objective pricing behaviour of COOPs and IOFs in a spatial market setting literature review empirical estimation overview of the theoretical relations between price and space found in the literature 1. spatial market power of IOFs/COOPs in North/South Germany data set covering 2001 to 2012 2. competitive yardstick effect Yvonne Zavelberg 7 Empirical analysis variables & specification of estimation Estimation Neighbours restricted to conventional dairies, OLS regression nearest dairies (also organic) that together produce at least as much as considered dairy W row standardized spatial weighting matrix nDist average distance of a dairy to its neighbours s Absolute importance of space s=nDist*t Num Neig absolute number of neighbours wCOOP neighbouring share of COOPs wOrg neighboring share of org. dairies perf south coop year performance index south dummy coop dummy year dummy Yvonne Zavelberg 8 Relation price - space results North South IOF 1. squared relationship not significant 2. positive linear relation price-space in the north 3. negative linear relation price-space in the south 4. effects only significant for COOPs Yvonne Zavelberg 9 Relation price - space Interpretation North/South North South IOF • competition in the backyard reduce market area, gain farmers in backyard • higher processing quantities • larger distances between neighbours Average distance: 33 km Max distance: 91 km Yvonne Zavelberg • negative relation in line with theory of competition between firms’ locations • Increasing shipping costs decrease market area • Diminishing competition between firms • May lead to separated monopsonistic markets 10 Relation price - space Interpretation COOP/IOF North South IOF • North: COOPs pay a significant lower price then IOF (-0.65ct/kg) • South: COOPs pay a slightly higher price then IOFs (0.10ct/kg) (not significant) • open membership and the no-rationing assumption • • COOP cannot reject a farmer who wants to participate cannot choose the optimal market area like an IOF • COOPS in the south might have a larger market area than IOFs despite the same average distance to neighbours • Yvonne Zavelberg need to lower the price to cover transportation costs under UD pricing 11 Competitive yardstick Empirical evidence on the German market? south north conclusion significant positive influence of wCOOP on price significant negative effect of wCOOP on price small effect of wCOOP on price supports the theory consistent with lower price of COOPs (-0.65ct/kg) in the north zero to full coop share -0.21 ct/kg north 0.24 ct/kg south Yvonne Zavelberg 12 Conclusion pricing behaviour of COOPs and IOFs in a spatial market setting literature review in contrast to former studies we could not find an inverted U-shaped relation between price and space empirical estimation significant different linear effects between price and space in the north and south North • relation between price and space is positive • effects of competition in the backyard South • relation between price and space is negative • in line with the theory of competition between firms’ location competitive yardstick Yvonne Zavelberg no clear empirical evidence • support for the south • opposite effect in the north • effects are rather small from an economic perspective 13