Balance of Payments BY: Azhar. Ali (Азхар) 1 Definition of BOP The BOP is merely a way of listing receipts and payments in international transactions for a country. or It is a systematic record of all economic transactions of a country with the rest of the world in a given period of time. BY: Azhar. Ali (Азхар) 2 Explanation of the Definition These economics transactions consists of exports of goods, imports of goods export of services and imports of services, out flow of capital, inflow of foreign capital. BY: Azhar. Ali (Азхар) 3 Objectives of BOP 1. The main objective of the BOP is to inform the govt. of the country about its international trade position. 2. It shows the changes in net position of the country. Mean balance of payment show the net position of export and import. If export are more than import our net position will be positive and if import are more than export net position will be negative. 3. Help the govt. in the formulation of trade policy. BY: Azhar. Ali (Азхар) 4 Balance of Trade Vs. Balance of Payment Balance of Trade: The value of nation’s visible exports minus the value of its visible imports. Trade balance is also called net export. If the value of goods exported by a country exceeds the value of goods imported, then the balance of trade of a country is called favorable or surplus, while in the opposite case, it is known as adverse or deficit. BY: Azhar. Ali (Азхар) 5 Conti For example, Let the balance of trade of a country for a particular year be: exports (goods) $8 billion imports (goods) -10 billion balance of trade -2 billion so here the balance of trade of the country is deficit. BY: Azhar. Ali (Азхар) 6 Structure of balance of BOP The BOP accounts of a country is constructed on the principle of double- entry book keeping. Every international transaction automatically enters the balance of payments twice: once as a credit (+) and once as a debit (-). For example: When payments received from a foreign country, it is credit transaction while payments to a foreign country is a debit transaction. BY: Azhar. Ali (Азхар) 7 The Balance of Payments Accounts • Three types of international transactions are recorded in the balance of payments: Exports or imports of goods or services: these are those goods and services that we use for personal consumption. Purchases or sales of financial assets: these are those goods and service that we use for further production. Transfers of wealth between countries: it means foreign investment. Like Alkozy company investment their money in Dubai. BY: Azhar. Ali (Азхар) -8 The Flow of Currencies: Whisky sold to Italian hotel Export earnings for UK (Credit on Balance of Payments) € ( lira) changed to £ (pound) BY: Azhar. Ali (Азхар) 9 The Flow of Currencies: Oil from Russia Oil £ changed into Roubles Export earnings for Russia Import expenditure for the UK (Debit on balance of payments) BY: Azhar. Ali (Азхар) 10 Import Goods- Money Goes Out of Country BY: Azhar. Ali (Азхар) 11 Export Goods- Money Comes Into the Country BY: Azhar. Ali (Азхар) 12 Explanation CURRENT ACCOUNT: The current account of BOP consists of the receipts and payments against exports and imports of goods, exports and imports of services and unilateral transfer ( international grants, gifts etc). In current account, merchandise exports are shown as a positive item are recorded on F.O.B (free on board). Which means that the cost of transportations, insurance etc are excluded. On the other hand, imports are shown as a negative item are recorded at C.I.F, which means that cost, insurance and freight are included. BY: Azhar. Ali (Азхар) 13 Explanation CAPITAL ACCOUNT: It is an account which shows inflow & outflow of capital. In other words, the capital account shows international flow of loans and investments and represents a change in the country’s foreign assets and liabilities. OFFICAL RESERVE ACCOUNT: The items in the official reserves account represents the “Foreign Exchange” position of a country. It means that this account shows that how much official reserves it has to deal with the deficit or surplus at the basic equilibrium in the BOP. BY: Azhar. Ali (Азхар) 14 Is BOP always in Equilibrium BOP always balance means that the algebraic sum of the net credit and debits balances of current, capital and official reserves account must be equal to ZERO, BOP is written as B= Rf - Pf Where B represents the BOP Rf receipts from foreigners Pf payments made to foreigners BY: Azhar. Ali (Азхар) 15 Explanation 1. When B= Rf – Pf = 0 , there the BOP is equilibrium 2. When Rf – Pf > 0, it is known surplus, receipts from foreigners exceeds than payments to foreigners 3. And when Rf – Pf < 0 there is deficit in the BOP, as the payments made to foreigners exceeds receipts from foreigners. BY: Azhar. Ali (Азхар) 16 Causes of Disequilibrium 1. TEMPORARY CHANGES or ( Disequilibrium) There may a temporary changes in BOP by random variation in trade, seasonal fluctuations, the effect of weather on agriculture production etc. normally its occur for a short period of time. 2. Fundamental Disequilibrium: Fundamental disequilibrium refers to continuous and long run BOP disequilibrium of a country. According to IMF current Report it may cause to, I. Changes in consumer tastes which effect imports or exports II. Excessive capital out flow III. Low competitive strength in world market IV. Inflationary pressure. BY: Azhar. Ali (Азхар) 17 Causes of Disequilibrium 3. Structural Changes: Such type of disequilibrium rises because of the structural changes which occur in a country because of, I. increase in Population. II. Restrictions of all kind imports. III. Deficiency of resources. 4. Changes in Income. 5. Political conditions. 6. Stage of economic development: when economic development is going on fast, the country needs more and more machinery, equipment and materials. BY: Azhar. Ali (Азхар) 18 Method for Correcting Disequilibrium 1. a) b) c) d) e) f) Improving balance of Trade: the most important part of balance of payment is usually the balance of trade. So steps are taken to make it favorable. For this purpose, exports are encouraged and imports are reduced. Export can be increased by: Reducing export duties. Granting concessions to export industries as lower taxes, cheaper loan etc. Decreasing prices of export items to make these cheaper for foreigners. Devaluation of currency so that our goods become cheaper for others. Improving quality of export products to make them competitive in international markets. Increasing production of exportable goods. BY: Azhar. Ali (Азхар) 19 Conti 2. Invisible export and import: A country can increase invisible exports of services like tourism, exporting labor or exporting software programs. On the other hand foreign exchange can be saved by reducing invisible imports. BY: Azhar. Ali (Азхар) 20 End of Chapter ANY QUESTION ? BY: Azhar. Ali (Азхар) 21