Economic Foundations for Entertainment and Media Pricing and Value for Experience Goods 1:F - 1(40) Pricing Experience Goods Demand and Value Demand and Demand Curves Prices Reservation price “Value” “Bargains Pricing 1:F - 2(40) Pricing strategies Price discrimination Pricing innovations Pricing Experience Goods An Important Aspect of Prices for Experience Goods: The Implicit Price Lady Gaga and Tony Bennett, The Axis, Las Vegas, 4/10/15 Nominal price: $675+ Implicit price: $ far more than $657 Transportation Time – at least 5 hours in total. This divergence is characteristic of experience goods. They take time to consume. The time used up having the experience is part of the price. Choosing to see this concert means not using the time for some other use. TIME IS THE REAL CONSTRAINT. 1:F - 3(40) Pricing Experience Goods “Value” What is it? From the consumer’s viewpoint From the seller’s viewpoint Creating Value Capturing Value Meaning Sources of value 1:F - 4(40) Pricing Experience Goods Pricing and Value from the Consumer’s Viewpoint 1:F - 5(40) Pricing Experience Goods Reservation Price: Price Strategy Under Uncertainty Your reservation price is $2,500. Auction to take place in 5 days. What would you do now? 1:F - 6(40) Pricing Experience Goods Price and Value Is it ethical to buy something at a yard sale or a flea market at the seller’s asking price if you know the value of the item to be significantly higher than what is being asked? Let’s say, for example, someone is selling an old comic book worth thousands of dollars but asks for only a quarter because he or she does not know the true value. Is it incumbent on the seller to do his or her research? If the seller does not, is it fair game? The operative word in your question is “true” directly placed before the word “value.” You suggest the “true value” of a specific comic book is a few thousand dollars — but all that means is someone might be willing to pay that much for it, based on extrinsic qualities (rarity, for example). To the person running the flea market, the “true value” of the comic book is virtually nothing. There is no “true value” for any object: it’s always a construct, provisionally defined by a capricious market and the locality of the transaction. Things cost what they are being sold for, and they’re worth whatever the seller can get. … Look at it like this: Let’s say the person at the flea market was selling that same rare comic for $2,000. You, however, would be willing to pay far more than that; because of its sentimental value and the status it will bring among your comic-book-collecting peers, you’d gladly fork over $5,000. Would you feel the need to inform the seller, “You know, I’d actually pay you $3,000 more than what you’re asking”? I don’t think you would, and no one would expect you to. 1:F - 7(40) Pricing Experience Goods Consumers Valuation of Products Surplus Value: Consumers must perceive “value” over price. By Attributes: Hedonic Pricing $3000+ The high price was one of the reasons for market failure. Consumers did not get enough surplus value. 1:F - 8(40) Pricing Experience Goods Appropriable Profits in a Market Come from Consumer Surplus Final demand for a good or service reveals the surplus Stages in the delivery to the consumer may accumulate the surplus Total appropriable rent in a market is generated at the final sale Different buyers have different reservation prices. Therefore, demand curves slope downward. This is the total consumer surplus that can be extracted from all stages of this market. Price Pm Qm 1:F - 9(40) Quantity Pricing Experience Goods Event Consumer Surplus Price Per Ticket 90 80 70 Price=15; 9,000 people willing to pay 70 20,000 people willing to pay 60 (including 40,000 people willing to pay 30 (including 56,000 people willing to pay 20 (including 64,000 people willing to pay 15 (including 60 = 9,000(55) = 495,000 = 11,000(45) = 495,000 = 20,000(15) = 300,000 = 16,000(5) = 80,000 = 1,370,000 50 40 30 20 15 the 9,000) the 20,000) the 40,000) the 56,000) 10 0 0 8 16 24 32 40 48 56 64 Tickets (1000s) How can promoters capture the consumer surplus in markets like this? 1:F - 10(40) Pricing Experience Goods Scalpers and Sellouts Mork buys ticket to Star Wars Bar Scene concert for $500. Values ticket at $1,000 If Mork can sell the ticket for > 1,000, he will do so If Mork can sell the ticket for $500 - $1,000 he will just go to the concert. Mindy values the concert at $1,600 offers Mork $1,100. Mork sells the ticket. New surplus for Mork is $100 Mindy buys for $1,100 a ticket that she values for $1,600 The transaction creates $100 + $500 = $600 in new surplus value. Price 2000 1600 1100 1000 500 Tickets No one loses. Trade makes both people better off. What could be wrong? 1:F - 11(40) Pricing Experience Goods Scalping: Reallocates the Surplus Why does Ticketmaster care? Should Hanna Montana, Bruce Springsteen and the Spice Girls care? 1:F - 12(40) Pricing Experience Goods A Merger Made in Heaven 1:F - 13(40) Pricing Experience Goods Why We Worry About this Merger Horizontal Issues: Will the large market share enable them to raise prices? Vertical Issues: Will control of venues and artists enable anticompetitive practices? Foreclosure from markets Bundling 1:F - 14(40) Pricing Experience Goods 1:F - 15(40) Pricing Experience Goods Live Nation Also Owns Tickets Now Ticketmaster and Live Nation were opposed by DOJ Tickets Now is LNE’s own scalper. This is a vertical integration case. We will revisit later in the vertical integration section. 1:F - 16(40) Pricing Experience Goods Economic Foundations for Entertainment and Media Strategic Pricing for Experience Goods 1:F - 17(40) Pricing Experience Goods Demand Concepts Consumer “response” to changed circumstances = the extent to which quantity demanded changes when price or income or something else changes “Elasticity” is the measure of “responsiveness” Response to changes in price Changes in Income – Recreation is the Normal Good (“Why do we work?”) 1:F - 18(40) Pricing Experience Goods Less elastic Elasticity Ticket Price More elastic Less elastic Change in Price More elastic Quantity of tickets Change in Quantity 1:F - 19(40) Pricing Experience Goods Demand Curves from the Seller’s Viewpoint Elasticity of demand %change Q / % change x Income, price Elasticity is a measure of seller’s market power Consumer surplus measures consumers’ benefit from consumption Sellers with market power can (only) obtain profits in a market by capturing consumer surplus The less elastic is demand, the greater is the potential surplus 1:F - 20(40) Pricing Experience Goods Applying Price Theory to Experience Goods Different results from consumption: Humdrum goods vs. Experience goods Implications for pricing and price strategies The “price” Monopoly pricing results 1:F - 21(40) Pricing Experience Goods “Competitive Outcome” Many sellers, many buyers Any seller can sell as much as they wish at the “market” price No seller can sell at a price above the market price No buyer has (or would take) an opportunity to bid above the market price – there is no shortage so no incentive to do so. 1:F - 22(40) Pricing Experience Goods Market Power over Price Seller (Monopoly) = Control over price Set any price they wish Price strategically recognizing that quantity sold will depend on the price they set Buyer (Monopsony) = control over purchase price Typically labor markets Ford modeling agency Professional sports Silicon Valley engineers conspiracy (HP, Apple,…) 1:F - 23(40) Pricing Experience Goods Monopoly Pricing Price |Elasticity| > 1 (Elastic) MC Monopolist will price where MR = MC. If MC > 0, this must be in the elastic region of the demand curve. For a performance, MC = 0. |Elasticity| < 1 (Inelastic) D Quantity MR If the |elasticity| is < 1, the price is too low. MR is < MC. Basic theory would not predict that a monopolist would price in the inelastic region of the demand curve. 1:F - 24(40) Pricing Experience Goods Price Determination-Standard In the presence of “market power” Market power is the ability to elevate price above the competitive norm. Short run profit is obtained by transferring consumer surplus from buyers to the seller. P* Marginal Cost Demand Qm 1:F - 25(40) Marginal Revenue Pricing Experience Goods An Index of Market Power Interest in Price, Quantity = Q(Price) = Q(P) Demand Curve Cost = C(Quantity) = C(Q(P)) Look for the profit maximizing price (best price strategy) Profit = = P * Q(P) - C(Q(P)) Profit is maximized where d /dP = 0 d /dP = Q(P) + P*dQ/dP - dC/dQ*dQ/dP = 0 dC/dP is marginal cost, MC. Note also, dQ/dP < 0 Solve the equation and P = MC - Q/[dQ/dP] which is > MC P - MC 1 = P Price Elasticity Economic Result: Greater profit margin when demand is less elastic Index: 1:F - 26(40) Pricing Experience Goods Pricing Strategies Exploit pockets of market power Take advantage of market imperfections Exploit unusual market configurations 1:F - 27(40) Pricing Experience Goods New Broadway Math 2001: Record price: $100 Producers $480 2006 Average price about $65 2006: “Premium Seats” (The Producer) $200-$500 seats are now routine. Theater owners had underestimated the number of inelastic buyers. 1:F - 28(40) Pricing Experience Goods Connolly, M. and Krueger, Al, “Rockonomics” http://www.irs.princeton.edu/pubs/pdfs/499.pdf Concert Ticket Prices: Live Nation Effect 1:F - 29(40) Pricing Experience Goods 1:F - 30(40) Pricing Experience Goods The Pricing Conundrum in Major League Baseball • Empirical Models of Demand Produce Price Elasticities between -1 and 0. • Team owners could raise revenue by increasing price Are team owners pricing irrationality? (I assume models that produce positive elasticities are misspecified) 1:F - 31(40) Pricing Experience Goods “A current finding in estimates of the gate demand for sports events is pricing in the inelastic portion of demand.” This finding has puzzled analysts who study the demand for sporting events because it suggests that owners could raise ticket revenue by raising ticket prices. Estimated Long-run Elasticities of Attendance Elasticity Real Ticket Price ANA -0.88 ATL -0.57 BAL 0.72 BOS 0.57 CIN 1.95 CLE 2.74 DET 0.78 HOU -2.31 KCR -1.46 MIL -1.14 MIN -0.46 NYM 0.85 NYY 0.73 1:F - 32(40) Pricing Experience Goods A theory that might explain pricing in the inelastic region Monopoly Pricing Model for Tickets=Q(P,q,m), P=Price, q=quality, m=market conditions Pricing is cognizant of a second good; Concessions C(R,P,q), R=concession price Total profit from both Tickets+Concessions Ticket Price might be low to draw people to the concessions. (We will revisit this model later in the context of movie theaters.) 1:F - 33(40) Pricing Experience Goods Are owners really pricing irrationally? 1:F - 34(40) Pricing Experience Goods 1:F - 35(40) Pricing Experience Goods 1:F - 36(40) Pricing Experience Goods Two Part Pricing Strategy: Movie Studios to Retailers – Videotapes Tapes: Marginal Cost = $3.00 One time: $70.00 - $80.00 Revenue Share: $8/tape + x% of rental Unclear which was the better price strategy 1:F - 37(40) Pricing Experience Goods The Disneyland Dilemma Two part tariff (price): Entry Fee Fixed Marginal Fee Per attraction Higher Fixed Fee (and lower Marginal Fee): Control the number of people who come to the park. Extract $$ from consumer surplus at the gate. Theoretical result: Charge a very high Entry Fee and zero Marginal Fee. Disney: Two part fees 19551982; One part 1982-now Higher Marginal Fee (and lower Fixed Fee) More people come to the park and spend more on rides. A Disneyland Dilemma: Two-Part Tariffs for a Mickey Mouse Monopoly Walter Y. Oi The Quarterly Journal of EconomicsVol. 85, No. 1 (Feb., 1971), pp. 77-96 1:F - 38(40) Pricing Experience Goods Mixed Pricing Strategy: Adventureland, Farmingdale NY Allow customers to sort themselves into low and high elasticity groups. (High ride price elasticity buyers will choose the POP ticket.) 1:F - 39(40) Pricing Experience Goods Rye Playland, Rye NY 1:F - 40(40) Pricing Experience Goods