Options Chapter 2.5 Chapter 15 Learning Objectives Understand key terms related to options and options markets Compute payoffs and profits to option holders and writers Calculate potential profits from various options strategies Describe the put-call parity relationship 2 Derivative A derivative is a security who’s value is dependent on another assets Base Asset Ex: commodity prices, bond and stock prices, or market index values Derivatives are contingent claims Their payoffs depend on the value of another securities. 3 Options: Calls and Puts Options: holder has the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell a given quantity of an asset on (or before) a given date, at a price agreed upon today (strike or exercise price) Call: Owner has the right, but not the obligation, to BUY an asset at the strike price Put: Owner has the right, but not the obligation, to SELL an asset at the strike 4 Rights and Obligations Buyer: Gets all the Rights Seller: Gets all the Obligations Calls Right to Buy the asset Is obliged to Sell the asset Puts Right to Sell the asset Is obliged to Buy the asset 5 Option Value The value of an option at expiration is a function of the stock price and the exercise price. Example: Exercise price of $80 Stock Price $60 70 80 90 100 110 Call Value 0 0 0 10 20 30 Put Value 20 10 0 0 0 0 Options Terminology Exercising the Option Using Strike Price or Exercise Price The market price Expiration Date The price specified by the option Spot Price The the option option’s maturity date European & American options Europeans can only be exercised at expiration. Americans can be exercised at any time up to expiration. BUT NEVER ARE 7 Options Terminology In-the-Money: Exercising the option results in a profit Call: Call value decreases as the strike price increases Put: exercise price < market price exercise price > market price Put value increases as the strike price increases At-the-Money: Exercising the option results in 0 profit exercise price = market price Out-of-the-Money: Exercising would generate a loss Call: market price < exercise price Put: market price > exercise price 8 The Option Contract The purchase price of the option is called the premium Stock options cover 100 shares & premium is on a per share basis Sellers (or Writers) of options receive premium. Call: If the Holder (or Buyer) exercises the option, the Writer must sell the underlying asset Put: If the Holder (or Buyer) exercises the option, the Writer must buy the underlying asset. 9 Call Payoffs Holder of the option Pays the premium at time=0 Has the right to exercise the option at time=T Notation Stock Price at T = ST T is maturity, t is any other time Exercise Price = X Don’t Exercise Call Payoff (Intrinsic Value) 0 Exercise ST - X 10 Call Holder Payoff and Profit Value of the Call at T: CT = Max [ST – X, 0] CT Profit ST >X ST – X ST - X - Ct ST < X 0 -Ct 11 Payoff and Profit to Call Option at Expiration What is the strike price? What is the premium? 12 What is the value of a Call at t? At maturity CT = Max [ST – X, 0] Would you be willing to sell for St-X at t? Hint: What could happened to the stock price? Time value is the premium a rational investor will pay above an options intrinsic value This base on the likelihood that the stock price will move making the option more valuable Time Value = Option Price – Intrinsic Value 13 Time Value A call with an exercise prices $100, is selling for $16. If the current stock price is $110, what is the calls intrinsic value & time value? 14 Call Writer Payoff and Profit Exercise Cost Profit ST >X -(ST – X) -(ST - X) + Ct ST < X 0 Ct 15 Payoff and Profit to Call Writers at Expiration 16 Calls: A Zero Sum Game Call Option Decision Option Payoff (holder) Option Profit (holder) Option Payoff (writer) Option Profit (writer) If ST < X If ST > X No exercise Exercise 0 ST – X -C (ST – X) – C 0 - (ST – X) +C C - (ST – X) 17 Zero Sum Profit Diagram Option payoffs ($) 60 Exercise price = $50; Option Price = $10 Buy a call 40 20 10 20 40 50 60 80 100 12 –10 –20 –40 Stock price ($) Write a call Profit and Loss on a Call A February 2013 call on IBM with an exercise price of $195 was selling on January 18, 2013, for $3.65. The option expires on the third Friday of the month, or February 15, 2013. If the price of IBM on Feb 15, 2013 is $194, what is the call worth? 19 Profit and Loss on a Call (cont.) Suppose IBM sells for $197 at expiration Remember: strike = $195, premium = $3.65 What is the value of the option? Call Intrinsic value = stock price-exercise price Will the option be exercised? What is the Profit/Loss on this investment? Profit = Final value – Original investment What must the price of IBM be for the option to break-even? 20 Call Option Problem At time=0 you buy a call option on IBM for $3.00. The option gives you the right to buy 100 shares of IBM stock at time=T at $65 What is the payoff to you if ST = $70? What is the payoff for the writer if ST = $70? What is the payoff to you if ST = $60? What is the payoff for the writer if ST = $60? 21 Puts Payoffs Holder of the option Pays the premium at time=0 Has the right to exercise the option at time=T Notation Stock Price at T = ST Exercise Price = X Don’t Exercise Put Payoff (Intrinsic Value) 0 Exercise X - ST 22 Put Holder Payoff and Profit Value of the Put at T: PT = Max [X - ST , 0] Payoff Profit ST <X X - ST X - ST - Pt ST > X 0 -Pt 23 Payoff and Profit to Put Option at Expiration 24 Put Writer Payoff and Profit Exercise Cost Profit ST <X -(X - ST) -(X - ST) + Pt ST > X 0 Pt 25 Puts: Another Zero Sum Game Put Option Decision Option Payoff (holder) Option Profit (holder) Option Payoff (writer) Option Profit (writer) ST < X If ST > X Exercise No Exercise X – ST 0 (X-ST) - P -P - (X-ST) 0 +P - (X-ST) +P 26 Profit and Loss on a Put Consider a February 2013 put on IBM with an exercise price of $195, selling on January 18, 2013 for $5.00. Option holder can sell a share of IBM for $195 at any time until February 15. If IBM sells for $196, what is the put worth? 27 Profit and Loss on a Put Suppose IBM’s price at expiration is $188. What is the value of the option? Put value = Exercise price- Stock price Will the option be exercised? What is the Profit/Loss on this investment? Profit = Final value – Original investment What is the HPR? 28 Put Option Problem At time=0 you buy a put option on ITT stock for $2.00. The option gives you the right to sell 100 shares of ITT stock at time=T at $50 What is the payoff to you if ST = $55? What is the payoff to the put seller if ST = $55? What is the payoff to you if ST = $45? What is the payoff to the put seller if ST = $45? 29 Option versus Stock Investments Could a call option strategy be preferable to a direct stock purchase? Suppose you think a stock, currently selling for $100, will appreciate. A 6-month call costs $10 Calls cover 100 shares You have $10,000 to invest. 30 Option versus Stock Investment Investment Strategy Investment Equity only Buy stock @ $100 (100 shares) $10,000 Options only Buy calls @ $10 (1,000 options) $10,000 Options + T-Bills Buy calls @ $10 (100 options) Buy T-bills @ 3% Yield $1,000 $9,000 31 Strategy Payoffs 32 Option Versus Stock Investment 33 Strategy Conclusions The all-option portfolio, B, responds more than proportionately to changes in stock value Options are inherently levered. Portfolio C, T-bills plus calls, shows the insurance value of options. C ‘s T-bill position cannot be worth less than $9270. Some return potential is sacrificed to limit downside risk. 34 Combining Options Puts and calls can serve as the building blocks for more complex option contracts Can be used to manage risk This is financial engineering Allows you to tailor the risk-return profiles to meet your client’s desires Ex: Protective Puts: Underlying asset and put are combined to guarantee a minimum valuation Put is insurance against stock price declines. 35 Protective Put Strategy Limits the downside risk of an investor that owns the stock Protective Put payoffs Payoffs $40 Buy a put with an exercise price of $50, for $10 Buy the $0 stock, for $40 $40 $40 $50 Stock Price 36 Payoff Calculations • Remember: P = $10, St = $40, X = $50 At Maturity (T) Position Today (t) ST < X ST > X Buy a Put Buy the Stock Total 37 Protective Put Strategy (Profit) Portfolio Payoffs Protective Put payoffs $50 $0 $50 Stock Price 38 Protective Put at Expiration 39 Covered Calls Purchase stock and write calls against it. Call writer gives up any stock value above X in return for the initial premium. Imposes “Sell Discipline” Forces you to sell a stock that you planned on once it hits a certain price 40 Covered Call Buy the stock, for $40 Imposes sell discipline Payoffs Covered Call payoffs $10 Stock price ($) $40 –$30 $50 Sell an at the money call $10 –$40 41 Payoff Calculations At Maturity (T) Position Today (t) ST < E ST > E Sell a Call Buy the Stock Total 42 Covered Call Position at Expiration 43 Straddle The straddle is a bet on volatility. Long straddle: Buy call and put with same exercise price and maturity. A non-directional bet on large price change To make a profit, the change in stock price must exceed the cost of both options. Short straddle: Sell a call and a put with the same exercise and maturity Bet that price will be relatively constant 44 Long Straddle A way to profit on big price movements without knowing the direction Option payoffs ($) The stock is @ $50, and we expect a big move Buy an at the money call for $10 40 30 The L.S. makes money as long as the price moves more than $20 Stock price ($) –10 30 40 60 70 Buy an at the money put for $10 –20 $50 45 Payoff Calculations At Maturity (T) Position Today (t) ST < E ST > E Buy a Put Buy a Call Total 46 Straddle Position at Expiration 47 Short Straddle The opposite of a long straddle Option payoffs ($) We don’t want big price swings The S.S. makes money as long as the price doesn’t move more than $20 20 Sell an at the money put for $10 10 Stock price ($) 30 40 $50 60 70 –30 –40 Sell an at the money call $10 48 Payoff Calculations At Maturity (T) Position Today (t) ST < E ST > E Sell a Put Sell a Call Total 49 Spread A spread is a combination of two or more calls (or two or more puts) on the same stock with differing exercise prices or times to maturity. Some options are bought, whereas others are sold (written) A bullish spread is a way to profit from moderate stock price increases EX. Buy a call with a strike of $20 and sell a call with a strike price of $25 50 Bullish Spread Position at Expiration 51 Replicating Portfolio Intuition We can value a derivative by valuing a portfolio of securities, that we can value, that has the same payoffs Two portfolios with the same payoffs must cost the same The Law of One Price: Two securities with the same payoffs needs to have the same price 52 Binomial Option Tree Pricing 1. 2. 3. We are going to assume that the price of the stock in one period is either Up, or Down We form a portfolio of the stock and bonds that has the same payoffs Since our portfolio has the same payoffs as the option, they must cost the same The Law of One Price 53 Payoff Characteristics Spread This is the difference between the payoffs in the Up State and the Down State Amount The amount of the payoffs 54 Replicating a Call Consider a call with an: X = $55 S0 = $55 rf = 10% ST will be either $75 or $35 What is the value of the call today? 55 Payoffs S0 ST C1 $75 $55 $35 Spreads 56 Replicating the Spread: Delta Delta: This is the number of shares needed to replicate an option Book calls this the hedge ratio Delta = (option spread) / (stock spread) Delta = 57 Replicating Amounts If we buy the stock, it has value in both the Up and Down state of the world The option is only valuable in the Up State How do we replicate the 0 payoff in the Down state? How much? 58 Payoffs to Replicating S0 S1 C1 $75 $20 $35 $0 Our .5 Repay Stock Loan Total $55 59 Price of the Call Today How did we replicate the call? We bought 0.5 shares of stock Today that would costs $____ We borrowed $_____________? Today this portfolio costs? What does the call costs us? 60 Replicating a Call: Given Consider an at the money call: X = $25 St = $25 rf = 5% ST will be either 15% more or less than the current price What is the value of the call today? 61 Payoffs to Replicating: Given S0 S1 C1 Our .5 Repay Stock Loan Total $28.75 $3.75 $14.38 -$10.63 $3.75 $21.25 $0 $10.63 -$10.63 $0 $25 Spread 7.50 3.75 Delta = 3.75/7.5 = 0.5 Call = -25 * 0.5 + 10.63/1.05; the call costs $2.38 62 Replicating a Put Consider a put with an: E = $55 St = $55 rf = 10% ST will be either $75 or $35. What is the value of the put today? 63 Payoffs S0 S1 P1 $75 $55 $35 Spreads 64 Put Delta Delta = (option spread) / (stock spread) Delta = We will _____ ______ shares of stock If you short then we lose money if the price increases, options “never” lose money. How do we replicate this? 65 Payoffs to Replicating S0 S1 P1 $75 $0 $35 $20 Short 0.5 Receive Total Stock Loan $55 66 Price of the Put Today How did we replicate the Put? Shorted 0.5 shares of stock, making ____ We lent _______ Today this portfolio costs? What does the put costs us? 67 What if the option covers multiple periods? Just work backwards Regardless of how many periods you are given the approach I showed you will work. Determine the possible prices at maturity, then use those prices to determine the price for the period before that. Repeat until you get to today. 68 A Two Period Call Consider a two period call: X = $55 St = $55 rf = 10% Each period the price either increases or decreases by $10. What is the value of the call today? 69 S0 S1 C1 S2 C2 $55 Spreads Upper Spreads Bottom 70 What is the Price of C1u & C1b? C1b = Delta = C1u = Delta = How many shares must we buy? When? How much must we borrow? 71 Moving Back One Period S0 S1 C1u,C1b $65 $15 $45 $0 $20 $15 $55 Spreads 72 What is the Price of C0? C0 = Delta = ____ / ____ = ____ How much will we borrow? 73 Put Call Parity We can also use replicating portfolios to value puts and calls in relation to one another Put Call Parity is the relation between a put and call with the same exercise price (E) and maturity The payoffs from buying a call and selling a put is the same as the payoffs from buying the stock and borrowing the PV of the exercise price → Must cost the same P –C = PV (X) - St 74 PV(X) There are two ways to determine the PV(X) time: PV (X) = X/(1+r)t Continuous time: PV (X) = Xe-rT Discrete This is what is used in practice 75 Portfolios Portfolio 1: Buy a call and Write a put Portfolio 2: Buy the stock but Borrow PV (X) Levered Equity positions If the payoffs are the same the price must be the same -C+P = -S0 + PV(X) C-P = S0 – PV(X) 76 Payoff-Pattern of Long Call–Short Put Position 77 Proof by Counter Example Assume that: Stock Price = 110 Call Price = 14 Put Price = 5 Risk Free = 5% Maturity = 6 months Strike Price = 105 Portfolio 1 costs -14 + 5 = -9 Portfolio 2 costs: -110 + 105e-5 = -7.59 Two different costs for the sample payoffs → ABRITRAGE 78 Arbitrage Strategy Payoff 79 Put Call Parity Example What is the value of a put with an exercise price of $51, if the stock is currently trading at $49. The price of the corresponding call option is $4.65. According to put-call parity, if the effective annual risk-free rate of interest is 4% and there is 1 year till expiration, what should be the value of the put? It doesn’t matter if compounding is monthly or quarterly FYI: 80 The Black-Scholes Model The Black-Scholes Model follows the same logic we just did but breaks time down into nanoseconds -Allows us to value options in the real world just as we have done in the 2-state world. C0 S N(d1 ) Ee rT N(d 2 ) Where C0 = the value of a European option at time t = 0 r = the risk-free interest rate. 2 σ N(d) = Probability that a ln(S / E ) (r )T standardized, normally 2 d1 distributed, random T d 2 d1 T variable will be less than or equal to d. 81