KrisEmily McCrory, MD Objectives: Review cervical cancer epidemiology and pathophysiology Identify the role of the Human Papilloma Virus in cervical cancer Explain the use of HPV testing in cervical cancer screening Describe current recommendations for cervical cancer screening EPIDEMIOLOGY Incidence of cervical cancer worldwide: 530,000 cases annually 275,000 deaths annually Mortality of 52% Incidence of cervical cancer in the United States: 12,170 cases of invasive cancer annually 4220 deaths from cervical cancer Screening programs in the United States have significantly reduced the mortality of cervical cancer in this country. Since development of the PAP smear, the rate of cervical cancer in the United States has declined by 75% in the past 50 years. In the United States: 50% of cervical cancers are diagnosed in women who were NEVER screened. 10% are diagnosed in women who were NOT screened in previous five years. 10% are diagnosed in women in lacking adequate follow up of an abnormal PAP. Risk factors for cervical cancer: Multiple sexual partners Early age of sexual initiation Multiparity (>3) Immunodeficiency Smoking Early onset parity (<20 yo) h/o STDs Low socioeconomic status Non white race HUMAN PAPILLOMA VIRUS (HPV) HPV: Most common sexually transmitted infection Precursor to 99.7% of all cervical cancers Also implicated in: Common warts Plantar warts Genital warts Bowen’s disease HPV oncogenic subtypes: HPV 16 associated with 50-60% of cervical cancers HPV 18 associated with 10-15% of cervical cancers Ten other HPV strains associated with remaining 25-35% of cervical cancers HPV prevalence 64% of urban adolescent females 40% of women aged 18-40 Lifetime risk for women is 80% Most common in teenagers and young adults In one study, 43% of college aged women who initially tested negative proceeded to test positive within three years. HPV transmission Primarily through sexual contact Oral sex Vaginal intercourse Anal intercourse Also through genital skin to skin contact Condoms reduce but do not eliminate the risk! HPV link in cervical cancer Infection with HPV is virtually required for the development of cervical cancer, but most HPV infections do NOT go onto to develop clinically significant cervical abnormalities. Transient nature of HPV 90% of infections are transient and are undetectable in 1-2 years. It is that 10% of infections that persist that we need to worry about. These have a 20-30% chance of becoming CIN3 within the following five years. PATHOPHYSIOLOGY SCREENING When done correctly screening has the potential to reduce rates of cervical cancer by 60-90% within three years. Things to consider when developing cervical cancer screening guidelines: Cannot prevent 100% of cervical cancers as no screening test is capable of finding all cancers Need to define the benefits and harms clearly to compare different screening techniques Defining Benefits: Compare the new techniques to the prior technique. Screening that is able to achieve the same or better reduction in incidence of or mortality from cervical cancer may be a better choice. In development of the new guidelines the organizations looked at detection of CIN3 as a measure of sensitivity of the screening technique. Benchmark for cervical cancer screening at time of the development of these guidelines was cytology alone every 2-3 years. Benefits: Earlier identification of cancer causing lesions Untreated, CIN3 has 30% risk of invasive cancer Treated, CIN3 has only 1% risk of invasive cancer Decrease in the incidence of CIN3/cervical cancer Decrease in mortality from cervical cancer Defining Harms: Identify harms in current screening as well as potential harms in new screening technique. Harms: Detection/treatment of lesions that would have regressed on their own (false positive) leading to: More frequent testing More frequent invasive diagnostic procedures Colposcopy Cervical biopsy Anxiety/Distress Unnecessary treatment of benign lesions Cold knife conization Loop excision Harms: Coloposcopy is used as marker of harms because it is associated with physical discomfort, psychological stress, and is a pre-requisite for invasive treatment. Tools for cervical cancer screening: Cytological screening HPV testing Cytology (PAP smear) Two types available: Conventional Liquid based (ThinPrep) No group has found a clinically significant difference between the two. Benefit of ThinPrep is ability to do HPV co-testing, gonorrhea, and chlamydia. HPV testing Tests for 13 high-risk subtypes of HPV Sensitivity for HPV is 88-100% Greater reproducibility compared to cytology HPV testing has a greater negative predictive value for CIN3+ compared to cytology HPV testing Increased sensitivity (>90%) for CIN2/CIN3 compared to cytology alone but a lower specificity so more potential false positives. Increased false positives leads to a potential for increased harms when utilizing HPV test alone Appropriate use of HPV in cervical cancer screening: Use for triaging ASCUS cytology in any age group: Most ASCUS (56.5%) is associate with normal histology. HPV neg/ASCUS has a very low risk of precancerous lesions (<2%) Co testing in women between 30-65 The ultimate goal is to utilize PAP and HPV testing in such a way that maximizes good patient outcomes and minimizes risk. In one study, only 22% of clinicians (including FPs, OBGYNs, and IMs) were able to correctly identify: Who to screen When to screen When to stop screening Organizations: American Society for Colpscopy and Cervical Pathology (ASCCP) United States Preventive Task Force (USPTF) American College of Obstetricians-Gynecologists (ACOG) Guidelines 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. When to start screening for cervical cancer? How often to screen for cervical cancer? When is HPV testing appropriate? When to discontinue testing? Does cervical cancer vaccination alter screening for cervical cancer? When to start screening? Considerations: Cervical cancer is rare in adolescents 0.1% of all cervical cancers 1-2/1,000,000 women aged 15-19 HPV in this population is almost always transient and resolves spontaneously Dysplasia in this age group usually regresses without treatment Dysplasia in adolescents: Women aged 18-22 with LSIL 61% were negative by one year 91% were negative by three years Only 3% progressed to CIN3 Women aged 18-22 with CIN2 65% negative by eighteen months 75% negative by three years Lack of benefits to screening adolescents: Despite screening in this age group over four decades, there has been NO improvement in incidence of cervical cancer in adolescents. Cervical cancers in the age group are often more aggressive and don’t seem to be preventable by current screening abilities. There is no difference in mortality/incidence of cervical cancer if screening delayed until 21 years of age. Harms associated with screening adolescents: High potential for harm from diagnosing/treating precancerous lesions with a high probability of selfresolution. Anxiety associated with a positive cancer screen Potential stigmatization from diagnosis with STD Additional discomfort from further diagnostic/treatment procedures Increased risk of preterm delivery following treatment Overall screening adolescents is associated with minimal benefit and great potential for harm. All three groups recommend waiting to screen until age 21 regardless of sexual history. Already screened your adolescent patient and got abnormal results? Cytology: Only need to proceed to colposcopy if HSIL HPV: Positive results should not determine managment How often to screen? Annual screening: Associated with $7.5 billion in health care costs Little to no evidence to support annual screening at any age by any modality Annual screening has never been shown to be cost effective Ultimately screening should be determined by age and clinical history. Age-specific guidelines recognizes that women of different ages have different trade-of between harms and benefits. Ages 21-29 Incidence of cancers in 21-29 yo with varying screening intervals: Annual screening: 3 cancers/1000 women Biennial screening: 4-6 cancers/1000 women Triennial screening: 5-8 cancers/1000 women Predicted lifetime risk of death secondary to cervical cancer in women aged 21-29 with varying screening intervals: Annual screening: 0.03 deaths/1000 women Biennial screening: 0.05 deaths/1000 women Triennial screening: 0.05 deaths/1000 women Lifetime risk of colposcopy based on varying screening intervals: Annual screening: 2000 colposcopies/1000 women Biennial screening: 1040 colposcopies/1000 women Triennial screening: 760 colposcopies/1000 women Screening every three years has an approximately equal risk of death from cervical cancer compared to annual screening but decreases the harm from colposcopy (and the potential for further intervention) by 40%. ASCCP recommends screening with cytology alone every three years USPTF recommends screening with cytology alone every three years ACOG recommends screening with cytology alone every two years HPV co-testing in the age group is not recommended by any of the three organizations. High prevalence of HPV in this age group increases the risk of identification of benign lesions Higher likelihood of regression of precancerous lesions Low incidence of cervical cancer at this age Ages 30-65 HPV has 37% greater sensitivity for CIN3+ compared to cytology alone. Review of four RCTs compared cytology to co-testing: Two rounds of screening: First round: Co-testing found more CIN3+ compared to cytology Second round: Decreased incidence of CIN3+ Overall diagnosis of CIN3 comparable but most diagnosed in first round with co-testing Six year risks of CIN3+ following: Negative cytology 0.97% Negative HPV 0.27% Negative co-test 0.28% HPV and co-testing has a greater negative predictive value compared to cytology. Co-testing diagnoses more CIN3 than cytology alone. Co-testing at the same interval as cytology also increases the number a false positives, colposcopies, and other potential harms. Lifetime cancer risk: Cytology every 3 years: 0.69% Co-testing every 5 years: 0.61% Five year incidence of cervical cancer: Negative cytology: 7.5/100,000 Negative co-testing: 5.2/100,000 Three year risk of CIN3: Following negative cytology: 0.17% Five year risk of CIN3+: Following negative HPV: 0.16% Following negative co-testing: 0.17% Three year risk of CIN3/cancer following negative cytology is virtually identical to the five year risk following a negative co-test. In a cohort of 100 women receiving co-testing every five years had fewer lifetime colposcopies compared to cytology alone every three years : Co-testing every five years: 575 colposcopies Cytology every three years: 758 colposcopies Earlier diagnosis of high grade lesions with co-testing is beneficial and by lengthening the screening interval the harms of solo HPV testing are mitigated. ASCCP Preferred: Cytology with HPV co-testing every five years Acceptable: Cytology alone every three years USPTF Cytology with HPV co-testing every five years with a note that similar benefits of cytology alone every three years ACOG Cytology every three years if there have been three consecutive negative cytologies Further benefits of HPV testing: Adenocarcinoma Cytology provides only modest protection against adenocarcinoma HPV detects 93% of adenocarcinomas 63% of adencarcinomas diagnosed in a five year period had an HPV+/cytology negative co-test HPV+/Cytology Negative Co-test Prevalence in women over 30: 3.4-8.5% 12 month risk of CIN3: 0.8-4% 12 month risk of cancer: 0.08% HPV+/cytology negative co-test: Management Options: Repeat co-testing in 12 months Most infection that are transient will clear in that time At time of repeat co-testing Positive on either HPV/cytology refer to colposcopy Negative on both return to routine screening Immediate HPV genotype specific testing for HPV 16 or 16/18 Positive for either HPV 16 or 16/18 refer to colposcopy Negative for both then co-test in 12 months When to stop screening? Considerations: Age of CIN development peaks in mid-productive years and declines in the fourth decade. Most cervical cancer diagnoses occur between the ages of 3555. Cervical cancer is less aggressive in older women compared to younger women. Transformation zone of older women is smaller and less accessible than in younger women. Benefits of continued screening in women over 65 who have been adequately screened: Prevention of 1.6 cancer cases per 1000 women Prevention of 0.5 cancer deaths per 1000 women Increases life expectancy by no more than one year Harms of continued screening in women over 65 who have been adequately screened: 58 false positives/1000 women 127 extra colpscopies/1000 women 13 extra CIN2/CIN3 treatment/1000 women Adequate screening defined: Three consecutive negative cytologies Two consecutive negative HPV within 10 years Most recent test within 10 years When properly screened, a 55 year old woman with two negative HPV tests has only a 0.08% chance of developing CIN3/cancer. The risks associated with overtreatment in the elderly population outweigh the benefits of screening. ASCCP recommends stopping cervical cancer screening at age 65 if adequate prior negative screening and no history of CIN2 in prior 20 years. USPTF recommends stopping cervical cancer screening at age 65 if there has been adequate prior negative screening ACOG recommends stopping cervical cancer screening between 65-70 if there are been three consecutive cytologies and no abnormal tests in prior 10 years. History of CIN2+ in prior 20 years increases risk for cervical cancer by 5-10 fold. ASCCP recommends routine screening for twenty years following regression/treatment of lesion even if this extends screening beyond age 65. ACOG recommends routine screening for ten years following regression/treatment of lesion even if this extends screening beyond age 65. Women over 65 without adequate screening: Screen every 2-5 years with co-testing Discontinue testing at ages70-75 Potentially reduce mortality by 74% Reinitiating cervical cancer screening USPTF/ASCCP recommend that once screening has been discontinued it should NOT be reinitiated even if patient has a new sexual partner. ACOG recommends that as older patients with multiple partners still have a theoretical risk for acquiring HPV and risk factors they need to be assessed to determine if reinitiating screening is appropriate. Do you screen women who has had a hysterectomy for benign reasons? Vaginal malignancy is uncommon. 0.18/100,000 in situ 0.69/100,000 invasive Positive predictive value of vaginal cuff cytology for detection of vaginal cancer is zero. 10, 000 PAPs in women status post hysterectomy: 104 abnormal PAPs 4 high grade lesions 3 VIN 1 squamous carcinoma of vagina *042 high grade lesions/1000 PAP ASSCP-Do not screen women with hysterectomy for benign indications and no history of CIN2+. USPTF-Do not screen women with hysterectomy for benign indications and no history of CIN2+. ACOG-Do not screen women with total hysterectomy for benign indications and no prior history of high grade lesion. Hysterectomy for cervical cancer All three organizations recommend continued screening for women who have had a hysterectomy for cervical cancer. Women in this category may be at an increased risk of vaginal cancer, but no good data exists to support or refute discontinuing screening in this population. Does HPV vaccination alter screening? 30% of oncogenic subtypes of HPV are not covered by the first generation vaccines. Many women are vaccinated after exposure which decreases efficacy. Not enough of the population is vaccinated: Only 32% of eligible women have received all doses of vaccine. Initiation of Gardisil in ages 13-17 has increased from 25% in 2007 to 48% in 2010. Number of insured females aged 13-17 completing the series dropped from 50% in 2006 to 20% in 2009. Only 1/3 of females complete the series. In one study, FPs were the least successful specialty in getting their female patients to complete the series Once vaccination is widely implemented it takes 15-20 years to realize a reduction in cervical cancer. It is possible that vaccination will alter screening in the future, but for now all three organizations’ guidelines recommend that we screen vaccinated and unvaccinated patients identically. ACOG (2009) ASCCP (2012) USPFT (2012) Under 21 No screening No screening No screening 30-64 May space screening to q 3 years if has three consecutive negative screenings Preferred: Screen with cytology and HPV testing q 5 years Preferred: Screen with cytology and HPV testing q 5 years Alt: Screen with cytology alone q3 years Alt: Screen with cytology alone q3 years May cease screening between 65-70 if has three consecutive prior screenings and no abnl results in past ten years. May cease screening at 65 if no CIN2+ in past twenty years. Otherwise screen for 20 yrs after lesion. May cease screening at 65 if no CIN2+ in past twenty years. Otherwise screen for 20 yrs after lesion. >65 Bringing it back to the office Screen your patients at appropriate intervals using HPV as recommended Make your population aged 9-26 is fully vaccinated Know when to stop screening Know who doesn’t need screening Reach out to your female population that hasn’t been screened. This is where we can make an impact on cervical cancer mortality. References Robbins Pathologic Basis Of Disease 7th Ed. (1999) Diag cytopathol 2011 Apr; 39 (4): 258-63 J Women’s Health 2011 Oct; 20 (10): 1479-1484 Contraception 72 (3): 179-181 Lancet Oncology 2012 Jan; 13: 78-88 J of Lower Genital Tract Disease 2012; 16 (3) Annals of Internal Medicine 2012, March Obstetrics & Gynecology 2009 Dec; 114 (6): 1409-1420 Up To Date: Cervical Intraepithelial Neoplasia: Reproductive Effects of Treatment Cervical Intrepithelial Neoplasia: Procedure For Cervical Conization Invasive Cervical Cancer: Epidemiology, Risk Factors, Clinical Manifestations and Diagnosis Screening for Cervical Cancer: Rationale and Recommendations