F402/F560 Corporate Valuation and Strategy Part 2: Basic Corporate Performance Measures Readings in The Quest for Value: Chapter 3, pp. 68-76 and 83-95 The Economics of the Business Market value is driven by the economics of the business. - Cash is invested (by debtholders and equityholders) in assets to operate the business. - The assets are used to generate sales revenue. - Operating expenses and income taxes are subtracted from sales revenue. - The resulting after-tax operating profit represents the cash return to the investors. Return on Capital Paraphrasing Stewart: Managers add value to their company only if they earn rates of return on capital which exceed the returns offered by other, equally risky businesses. If they do not, then capital has been misallocated or mismanaged. F402/560 1 Invested Capital is the sum of all cash invested in the operations of the business. It is equal to the net operating assets (net of NIBCLs, see below): Current assets + PP&E – current operating liabilities. Why are current operating liabilities netted out? Return on invested capital (ROIC) is the after-tax, cash-on-cash yield earned in operating the business with those operating assets. It is the after-tax cash profits divided by the amount of capital employed in the business: NOPAT Beginning Operating Capital An important distinction among items on financial statements: 1. Operating invested capital and operating cash return 2. Financial invested capital and financial cash return A third category: nonperating accounts, such as extraordinary or nonrecurring items. Companies should be valued on the economics of the business, i.e., the results of operations: operating cash return on operating invested capital. Keep operating items and financial items separate (though they must balance). Maintains comparability among firms. Eliminates distortions caused by different financial structures. F402/560 2 Measuring Capital (in Economic Terms) Capital is the sum of all cash contributed to the business by all investors (debtholders and equityholders). Capital = cash invested in the operations of the business for purposes of earning a return = (debt + equity) in the business, where “debt” means interest-bearing borrowings, not things which have no interest cost. = (net working capital + net fixed assets) in the business = operating invested capital The amount of invested capital can be computed from the accounting balance sheet. F402/560 Total assets Deduct financial assets (e.g., cash and marketable securities) Deduct non-interest-bearing current liabilities (NIBCLs) 3 Example: Assets Inventory Accounts receivable Total current assets Property, plant & equipment Total assets 6,000 3,000 9,000 11,000 20,000 Liabilities and equity Accounts payable Debt Equity Total liabilities and equity 2,000 6,000 12,000 20,000 Operating capital - operating approach Net working capital 7,000 PP&E 11,000 Operating capital 18,000 Operating capital - financing approach Debt 6,000 Equity 12,000 Operating capital 18,000 F402/560 4 Measuring Return on Capital (in Economic Terms) The cash returns in the business are the funds available for distribution to debtholders and equityholders. Cash returns are the profits derived from the operations of the business, after taxes and before financing costs. Net operating profit after tax = NOPAT = Sales revenue – operating expenses – taxes on just the operating profits NOPAT does not include financing cash flows. They must be reversed. In other words, the effects of financing items in the income statement (such as interest expense) must be removed. NOPAT = Net income + interest expense after tax + other nonoperating expenses after tax F402/560 5 Example: Sales revenue Costs Gross profit Interest expense PBT Tax Net income Add back interest Subtract tax savings from interest NOPAT Firm A 100 (80) 20 0 20 (8) 12 Firm B 100 (80) 20 (9) 11 (4.4) 6.6 0 0 12 9 (3.6) 12 Assets 100 100 Liabilities Equity Total liabilities and equity 0 100 100 90 10 100 F402/560 6 IDENTIFYING OPERATING ITEMS IN FINANCIAL STATEMENTS Objective: Determine the operating return on the operating invested capital in the business. Whether an item should be categorized as an operating item depends on the answers to these questions: Is this item used in – or does it result from – the normal, everyday running of the base business? If yes, it’s part of operating invested capital. Does this item represent cash from the investors, invested in the business with the expectation of earning a return, or income or expense associated with such an item? If yes, it’s part of financial invested capital. If the answer is no to both, then the item is an unusual, extraordinary or nonrecurring item. It should be excluded from the calculations of operating and financial returns. Operating items: Inventory PP&E Accounts payable Cost of goods sold Rent Depreciation Financial items: Debt, short-term or long-term Interest expense (or income?) Treasury stock Deferred taxes F402/560 7 Nonoperating or extraordinary items: Short-term invested cash Restructuring charges Extraordinary income or expense Charges for changes to accounting practices The boss’ condo in Ft. Meyers To compute operating return on operating invested capital, reverse the effects of financial and nonoperating items from the income statement: Add back financial and nonoperating deductions (then increase taxes, due to loss of tax shield). Subtract financial and nonoperating income (then decrease taxes, due to removal of taxable income). On the balance sheet, include “Other assets” net of “Other liabilities” as part of operating invested capital. Any liability with an explicit interest cost or other explicit rate of return should be included as part of financial invested capital. F402/560 8 NOPAT, FINANCING APPROACH Start with Net Income (at the bottom of the income statement). Reverse financing items, after tax, to arrive at an after-tax operating profit number. Use marginal tax rate (40%). Add changes in deferred taxes, to arrive at cash operating profit after tax (NOPAT). See Abercrombie & Fitch example on the following pages. NOPAT, OPERATING APPROACH Start with Total Revenue (at the top of the income statement). Add and subtract only operating items, leaving out any financial income or expense, to arrive at an operating profit number before tax (NOPBT). Subtract the accounting Provision for Income Tax. Reverse tax effects of financing or nonperating items (only the tax effects, not the items themselves) to arrive at an after-tax operating profit number. Use marginal tax rate (40%). Add changes in deferred taxes, to arrive at cash operating profit after tax (NOPAT). See Abercrombie & Fitch example on the following pages. F402/560 9 OPERATING NOPAT: CASH TAXES ON NOPBT Actual cash taxes on operating NOPBT can be approximated by adjusting the accounting provision for taxes (shown on income statement) to account for two things: 1. Reverse tax effects of nonoperating income statement items. 2. Adjust for any changes in the deferred tax accounts on the balance sheet, to arrive at an estimate of cash taxes actually paid. Reduce the taxes by the amount of increase in deferred tax liability. Increase taxes by the amount of increase in deferred tax asset. Reverse tax effects means: Cash taxes are higher by the amount of any tax shield from nonoperating deductions. Cash taxes are lower by the amount of any taxes paid on nonoperating income. Tax rate: Always use the marginal tax rate for making these line-item adjustments: Use 40% at present. Adjust for changes in deferred taxes means: If deferred tax liability went up, then the amount of the increase represents taxes computed by the accountants which were not actually paid. Therefore, there is no cash outlay for the amount of the increased liability. This is equivalent to a cash inflow. If deferred tax liability went down, then the amount of the decrease represents additional taxes paid on calculated taxes from previous years. This is equivalent to a cash outflow. Deferred tax assets have the opposite effect; increase in deferred tax assets is an outflow; decrease is an inflow. F402/560 10 Basic example: Year ending 2002 2003 Deferred tax liability Sales Costs and expenses Interest expense Profit before tax Provision for taxes Net income Cash taxes on NOPBT Accounting taxes Tax shield from interest Change in deferred tax Cash taxes 1,200 1,500 25,000 (16,000) (2,000) 7,000 (2,170) 4,830 (2,170) (800) 300 (2,670) See Abercrombie & Fitch example on the following pages. F402/560 11 ABERCROMBIE & FITCH CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF NET INCOME (Thousands, except per share amounts) 2007 (Year ending Feb. 2, 2008) NET SALES Cost of Goods Sold GROSS PROFIT 3,749,847 (1,238,480) 2,511,367 Stores and Distribution Expense Marketing, General & Administrative Expense Other Operating Income, Net OPERATING INCOME (1,386,846) (395,758) 11,734 740,497 Interest Income, Net INCOME BEFORE INCOME TAXES 18,828 759,325 Provision for Income Taxes NET INCOME ABERCROMBIE & FITCH CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS (Thousands, except share amounts) ASSETS Deferred Income Taxes (283,628) 475,697 February 3, February 2, 2007 2008 33,170 36,128 LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY Deferred Income Taxes 30,394 22,491 F402/560 12 ABERCROMBIE & FITCH NOPAT (financial) NET INCOME Interest Income reversed Marginal tax on interest income reversed 475,697 (18,828) 7,531 Change in deferred taxes: Asset Liability Financial NOPAT (2,958) (7,903) 453,539 NOPAT (operating) NET SALES Cost of Goods Sold Stores and Distribution Expense Marketing, General & Administrative Expense Other Operating Income, Net Provision for Income Taxes Reverse tax effects of nonoperating items: Interest Income, Net Change in deferred taxes: Asset Liability Operating NOPAT F402/560 3,749,847 (1,238,480) (1,386,846) (395,758) 11,734 (283,628) 7,531 (2,958) (7,903) 453,539 13