Johnnie Davis Anna Sterling Zane Barnes Nolan Bosworth Shaina Weaver Kimberly Smith Clay Jones Sonic’s Main Competitors: McDonalds Burger King Wendy’s Jack-in-the-Box Main points: Leadership Marketing Financial Outlook Globalization Original location in Stillwater Oklahoma in 1953 First franchise location in Woodward Oklahoma in 1956 1958 new openings in Enid and Shawnee Oklahoma Growth in the 1960’s Vast expansion in the 1970’s Reorganization of the 1980’s Opened 1000th location in 1987 J. Clifford Hudson CEO Been at Sonic for last 34 years Has been president since 1995 Became CEO in 2000 Average drive in profit increase Average drive-in sales increase And increased sales at the store level Renee G. Shaffer CIO Became CIO in 2005 Prior to appointment of CIO she served as Treasurer of Sonic Corp. Stephen C. Vaughan CFO Member of Sonic Corp. since 1992 Prior to appointment of CFO he served as a Vice President and Treasurer McDonald’s Burger King Wendy’s Jack-in-the-Box McDonald’s: $924,709 Burger King: $760,259 Sonic: $1,031,085 • • • Holds true to American Values – Drive-In with a retro feel Stick to what made us so popular – Convenience with fun, friendly customer service Menu consists of made to order American classics – Hand battered onion rings, tator tots, burgers, chicken • • • finger and even fried pickles Full menu all day Dollar menu Best and only option for drinks – More than 168,000 drink combinations – First to offer a happy hour • Both older and newer generations – Classic American feel of carhops intrigues all generations • First in the industry to air commercials hundreds of miles away – Raises awareness and helps with expansion • “Two Guys” advertising campaign – Aimed at grabbing people’s attention with humor • http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6qx6pmX G1Ug&feature=related We are the best in the world at giving a classic dining experience in a hurry! • • • • Humility + Will J. Clifford Hudson: CEO and Chairman of the Board Started as legal council in the 1980’s, then CFO and COO Since 1995: – Drive in sales have grown from $602,000 to $1.1 • million – Brand awareness has doubled – Revenue is 7 times greater No superstar status or private jet No link to making a great leader Mr. Hudson has the lowest numbers by far • • • • Sonic – Sales: $792.97 million, up 4.4% – Income: $53.27 million, down 6.5% Jack in the Box – Sales: $2.54 billion, up 1% – Income: $118.21 million, down 23% Burger King – Sales: $2.55 billion, up 9.9% – Income: $186 million, down 10.2% McDonalds – Sales: $23.52 billion, up 3.2% – Income: $4.31 billion, down 22.6% Past Year Past 10 Years -SWOT analysis must be customer focused to gain its maximum benefit; strength is really meaningful only when it is useful in satisfying the needs of a customer. At this point, the strength becomes a capability (Marketing Strategy, 1998) Internal Factors Strength- Atmosphere/ Happy Hour Weakness- Bad weather External Factors Opportunity- New Markets/International Expansion Threat- Food borne illness A marketing strategy is the process of anticipating future events and determining strategies to achieve organizational objectives in the future The marketing mix or four P’s is made up of product, place, promotion, and price Products offered by sonic are: Food Beverages Customer service Brand image Convenience Atmosphere Place or distribution strategies are concerned with making products available when and where customers want them Sonic does not use large centralized distribution center, only uses local suppliers. Sonic locations are easily accessible and visible Sonics are open from 6 a.m. to 12 p.m. Monday through Saturday and 11 a.m. to 11 p.m. on Sundays Promotion’s help inform, educate, persuade, and remind the public of the benefits offered Advertising Public relations Sales promotions Philanthropy Price is what a buyer must give up to obtain a product Price can be the most flexible element of the four P’s Due to the current rescission disposable personal income has been dramatically decreased Dollar menu also know as a value menu is a competitive weapon A firm without a good marketing strategy is destined to be over taken by its competition McDonalds is the leader but has no barriers to keep its competitors from imitating their marketing mix Television advertisements are the most effective way of reach mass amount of customers • • • The weakest link in the marketing mix is price; although easily adjusted and very effective the prices of the burger segment can not be reduced much more New and creative products can create temporary increased sales Sonic will have to continually manipulate their four P’s to increase the value to the customers and increase its revenues • The quick-service restaurant industry is a highly competitive market that focuses on placing an emphasis on marketing similar products with a different brand image. • In the quick-service industry they compete on speed and quality of service, food variety and quality, the number and location of other restaurants, attractiveness of facilities, effectiveness of advertising and marketing promotions, and new product development. • Future growth in the fast-food restaurant industry depends on how well retailers are able to innovate, provide value for money, and keep up and surpass competitors through their own competitive strategies. • “America’s Drive-In” sums up Sonics’ strategy. • Sonic is primarily within the United States, and offers more than 3,500 drive-ins from coast to coast. • Sonic recently added a dollar-menu to compete with their major competitors. • Sonic strives for potential customers to feel like they are the best option for drinks. Customers can order more than 168,000 drink combinations making Sonic “Your Ultimate Drink Stop!” • Sonic was also the first of our competitors to offer a happy hour every day to encourage customers to come in for half-price drinks. • Sonic is unique from other fast-food restaurants in that food is brought to you by carhops. Companies try to compete at the lowest cost possible and differentiate themselves through their advertising. Each of the quick-service restaurants incorporate their own themes and characters to help bring out their core values, ideas, and products. Effective advertising is necessary to compete with and stand out from each of the large quickservice chains. Sonic took the comedy route for their advertisements. Sonics’ new advertising and commercials are meant to appeal to the younger generation as well as the original customers. They use the slogan "It's not just good... it's Sonic good," implying a higher standard of quality than normal fast-food restaurants. Growth is another important aspect of Sonics’ continued success. Because this industry is highly competitive, growth is very important to keep market share. Sonics’ buildings stand out from competitors because they have a new, unique look. This is the second redesign that they have had in 10 years. Sonic Corporation says that their primary “objective is to maintain their position as, or to become, a leading operator in terms of the number of quick-service restaurants within each of their core and developing markets (Sonic 10-k).” The Current Market The restaurant industry, like most other industries, has felt the wrath of the current, global economic downturn. Sonic has seen a decrease in earnings per share since 2007 and Value Line revenue estimates for 2009 are down almost $5 million. Year 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Average earnings growth per year: SONC MCD BKC 0.68 1.93 0.05 JACK 1.14 0.81 1.97 0.44 1.24 0.88 2.30 0.24 1.52 1.01 2.91 1.09 1.89 0.97 3.67 1.38 2.00 0.85 3.85 1.45 2.05 4.37% 12.73% 186.73% 10.67% (EPS figures from Value Line and respective 10K’s) Sonic’s slow earnings growth is attributed to reduced consumer traffic due to the economy and a corresponding rise in input prices. Sonic is not seen as a “value” fast food establishment and this has kept its growth slower than its competitors. Debt Structure Sonic has $780 million in total debt; $733 million of this is long term. The last two fiscal years the company has posted current liabilities in excess of current assets. In times of economic prosperity this can be viewed as positive by investors as long as the company is growing. In Sonic’s case tapping our ample retained earnings makes the most sense. Z-Scores The Z-Score measures the probability of bankruptcy as a function of current assets, current liabilities, total assets, net sales, retained earnings, equity, and operating income. On a more positive note, Sonic’s more than adequate retained earnings and solvency left it with a Z-Score second only to McDonalds when compared with its closest competitors. Z-Score Scale >2.99=Safe Zone 1.8-2.99=Grey Zone <1.8=Distress Zone Firm McDonalds Sonic Burger King Jack in the Box Z-Score 4.37 3 2.51 2.38 The restaurant industry and the quick service segment in particular have a much better three to five year outlook than the current conditions allude to. The market is not getting smaller, people just aren’t eating out as much. Value oriented fast food chains could actually see gains, as consumers forego the sit down restaurants in favor of the cheaper fast food. Sonic will have to focus on its strengths, new value menu, and increasing market share. Sonic’s Strengths 50’s classic drive-thru theme commands slight price premium and creates a market niche. New value menu starting to increase sales. Summer ad campaign and later hours Widest drink selection of any quick service chain Sonic must-do’s Defend niche and continue expansion in the south Find ways to expand into northern states Increase popularity of new value menu The average revenue growth rates for the last six years and positive sales change in the last twelve months are good signs that the new value menu and long term growth initiatives are having and impact. Year 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Average revenue growth per year: Revenue Growth Rates SONC MCD (Revenue figures from Value Line) BKC JACK 536.4 19065 1754 2322.4 623.1 20460 1940 2507.2 693.3 21586 2048 2765.6 770.5 22787 2234 2876 804.7 23522 2455 2890.6 800 23500 2620 2570 7.07% 3.59% 6.98% 1.95% (Percentages in pie chart from QSR Magazine, 2008) (Sales change percentages from QSR Magazine) Summary and Growth Rates Sonic is leading the competition in both annual revenue growth and annual positive sales change. EAR Valuation method has the current stock price undervalued by almost $10.00 using 10.6% required rate of return. Value Line growth rates: Sales (16%), Cash Flow (13.5%), Earnings (15%) All of these measures point to a futures rise in share price and increase in market share. Sonic is positioned very well in the event of an economic turnaround. Sonic Corporation has grown to be a competitor in the quick-serve food industry Through Sonic’s unique atmosphere and marketing campaigns, along with their financial strategy, they have established themselves amongst some of the largestnamed restaurants Sonic has also made themselves known across borders in Mexico, and we will see if this continues