KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 1 KEEA/PBI ENERGY EFFICIENCY 2013 Program Track; Behavioral Change Tuesday, Oct. 1, 2013 10:45-11:45 Linda Wigington Linda M. Wigington Associates lwigington1@outlook.com www.thousandhomechallenge.org KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 FROM TIPS TO TRANSFORMATION! Exploring the power of example & collective action 2 KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 3 Conclusions 1) The impact of the integration of efficiency, 2) 3) 4) 5) lifestyle/behavioral choices, renewables is huge Deep reductions of energy use (~75% or greater) are attainable in many existing homes/households in PA High value from redefining what is possible, case studies, & ongoing feedback Getting there is simultaneously easier than expected & elusive Many implications from deep reduction efforts to efficiency initiatives, particularly concept of “On the Path” strategies KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 “FIND YOUR VOICE, AND INSPIRE OTHERS TO FIND THEIRS” Stephen Covey – “The 8th Habit” 4 KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 5 My Paradigm Shift ~2005 • Recognition – accumulation of personal CO2 emissions • Birth of first grandson • Rediscovery of Passive House Institute • Concept of Factor-10 reduction • Fundamental disconnect – inadequacy of my personal/professional efforts KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 New Paradigm – New Thinking • We see only what we perceive as possible • We often see what we expect to see • Our assumptions limit our vision (blinders or filters) • Need a new mental map 6 18,000 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 7 Net Zero Site Energy by Nov 2013! kWh (PV) (5.5 months) 8,000 kWh (electricity) 6,000 kWh (oil) 4,000 2,000 0 -2,000 KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 8 What Motivates & Supports Behavior Change & Action? Dollars & Savings? Or Value & Meaning? KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 9 For Action to Occur • Recognize the need or opportunity • Recognize that my actions can make an impact • Have access to accurate, consistent information • Have access to resources (financial, technical expertise, time) • Receive feedback or incentives • Have a way to measure progress against a goal KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 10 Thousand Home Challenge (THC) PURPOSE: To lay the foundation for transforming North American homes by demonstrating the potential for greater than 70% energy reductions in 1,000 existing homes. KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 What is the Value? • Demonstrate & Redefine What is Possible • Through case studies and webinars of deep energy reduction projects • Examples of performance-based design, deployment, verification • Educate & Inspire • Provide resources for educating homeowners, contractors, designers, etc. • Establish aggressive targets for residential energy performance • Encourage getting on the path to deep energy reductions • Build Capacity & Champions • Highlight local, regional, & national expertise • Stimulate collaboration & innovation 11 KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 Older homes from New England to California 12 KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 Newer homes from Pennsylvania to California 13 KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 14 Deep Energy Reductions Integrate energy efficiency with on-site renewables, behavioral & lifestyle choices, & community-based solutions Behavioral Choices Efficiency Renewables Community Solutions KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 15 THC Threshold Vs. Actual (kWh) Annual Net Household Site Energy Use of THC Participants 14,000 12,000 10,000 THC Allowance Total Net Site kWh/Yr 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 -2,000 -4,000 OH CA OH CA CA CA PA MA CA MA NY NY MA MA MA MN MA ON Includes PV production; US single family average energy consumption 31,400 kWh (2001 RECS) KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 16 1st Principle Go beyond energy reductions to make a value proposition Integrated solutions needed! • Increased resilience, adaptability • Decreased peak, water use • Improved house durability & viability • Improved comfort & IAQ KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 HANDOUT Home Owner Priorities • Clarifying the Value Proposition • Ranking Priorities • Team Communication 17 KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 2nd Principle A performance target can be a powerful & useful determinant of energy use if it is: • Transparent - logical - fair • Easily tracked & verified • Meaningful to the participants • Within participants’ field of influence 18 KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 19 THC Option B Allowance (kWh/yr) by Ft2 & Occupants (1 or 3) (rounded) NOTE: 7,500 kWh = 25 MMBtu, or ~250 therms of natural gas NOTE: 7,500 kWh = 25 MMBtu INPUTS: detached, fossil or wood heat, finished floor area (FFA), not conditioned floor area (CFA) KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 3rd Principle Rapid feedback is critical • Anticipate • Set targets • Zoom in as needed • Compare against targets • Track • Adjust 20 KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 Thousand Home Challenge Case Studies For Complete Case Studies… www.ThousandHomeChallenge.org Check back frequently – website is being updated 21 KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 22 Thousand Home Challenge Insights from Early Returns 1) Maintain & continue efforts to go deeper 2) Broad sustainability goals 3) High commitment to learn & share 4) Some technologies (e.g. ductless heat pumps) enhance impact of lifestyle choices 5) Huge variety of costs & strategies ACI 13 Conference May 2, 2013 Added DHP Jan 2011; also took steps to reduce electric baseload 23 KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 24 How Can Your Initiative Create Champions… & Support Behavior Change? KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 25 How Does Your Program View Occupants? • From Liability to Resource? • From Transaction to Key Account? • From Client to Partner? • From Curmudgeon to Champion? Additional opportunities: Case studies, testimonials, recognition, engage as volunteers or hire. KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 26 Which is the Missing Link? For Action to Occur • Recognize the need or opportunity • Recognize that my actions can make an impact • Have access to accurate, consistent information • Have access to resources (financial, technical expertise, time) • Receive feedback or incentives • Have a way to measure progress against a goal KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 27 Resources Garrison Institute: Climate Mind & Behavior Program https://www.garrisoninstitute.org/2013-09-16-15-3923/cmb-video-presentations/cmb-video-2013 Three Annual Symposiums (Garrison, NY) – by invitation only • Climate, Mind & Behavior Symposium • Climate, Cities & Behavior • Climate, Buildings & Behavior KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 28 Resources The 2013 Behavior, Energy and Climate Change Conference (BECC) http://beccconference.org/ • November 18 - 20, 2013 Sacramento, CA • A conference focused on understanding the behavior and decision-making of individuals and organizations and on using that knowledge to accelerate our transition to an energy-efficient and low-carbon future. KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 29 Resources • Precourt Energy Efficiency Center – Stanford University • http://peec.stanford.edu/behavior/ • This interdisciplinary, solutions-oriented website centralizes key behavioral science resources relevant to accelerating the adoption and sustained use of energy-efficient technologies and climate-positive actions by individuals, groups, and organizations KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 Occupants Matter! Nearly identical homes re construction and renewables 30 KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 FIND YOUR VOICE, AND INSPIRE OTHERS TO FIND THEIRS Stephen Covey – “The 8th Habit” 31 Feedback, Case Studies, & Projects Welcome! Linda Wigington 724-852-3085 lwigington1@outlook.com www.1000HomeChallenge.org KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 32 Additional Information on the 1000 Home Challenge KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 33 KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 34 Each household has a customized energy allowance to meet or exceed. Key Metric Transparent & Direct Include Occupants Net Annual Household Site Energy Credits/offsets: Solar & on-site renewables Wood counts (not excluded from energy use)! KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 35 Two Options for Qualifying Meet or Exceed a Customized Household Energy (Site) Allowance OPTION A OPTION B Relative, 75% reduction Absolute, not relative From recent, measured, verifiable baseline Reflects weather, house size, # of occupants, heating source, attached vs. detached GOAL: Fair & challenging to all! KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 36 THC Allowance Calculator Spreadsheet • www.1000HomeChallenge.org • http://thousandhomechallenge.com/sites/thousandhomechallenge.com/files/user- files/thc_threshold_calculator_v_1_3_mod3.xls Energy Conversions (site energy) • • • • • ~30 kWh = 1 therm natural gas ~40 kWh = 1 gallon of #2 oil 7,500 kWh = 25 MMBtu 7,500 kWh = 250 therms 7,500 kWh = 180 gallons/#2 oil KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 37 Energy Use Terms • kWh/yr. does not refer only to electrical energy use • In the Thousand Home Challenge & case studies, household energy use is converted to kWh site energy KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 38 39 KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 THC REDUCTION MATRIX ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD kWh (Pre, Post, & Allowance) Loads Proposed Usage Reductions - kWh/yr Pre-use (breakout may be estimated) (kWh/yr) Targetuse THC Allowance (kWh/yr) (kWh/yr) Efficiency Building Equipment Behavior Renewables Choice Reductions On-site Generation Community Solutions Heating Cooling Hot Water All Else Total 66,642 Starting Place – Your annual energy use 40 KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 THC REDUCTION MATRIX ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD kWh (Pre, Post, & Allowance) Loads Proposed Usage Reductions - kWh/yr Pre-use (breakout may be estimated) (kWh/yr) Heating Hot Water All Else Total 6,000 THC Allowance (kWh/yr) (kWh/yr) Efficiency Building Equipment Behavior Renewables Choice Reductions On-site Generation Community Solutions 48,781 Cooling Targetuse Break out by use or fuel 6,000 66,642 1,200 gallons of oil = 48,781 kWh 41 KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 THC REDUCTION MATRIX ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD kWh (Pre, Post, & Allowance) Loads Proposed Usage Reductions - kWh/yr Pre-use (breakout may be estimated) (kWh/yr) Heating Targetuse THC Allowance (kWh/yr) (kWh/yr) Efficiency Building Equipment Behavior Renewables Choice Reductions On-site Generation Community Solutions 48,781 3,375 6,000 2,229 6,000 2,160 Cooling Hot Water All Else Total 66,642 Enter THC Threshold OPTION B THC Threshold Assuming Electric Heat, 7,764 42 KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 THC REDUCTION MATRIX ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD kWh (Pre, Post, & Allowance) Loads Proposed Usage Reductions - kWh/yr Pre-use (breakout may be estimated) (kWh/yr) Heating Targetuse THC Allowance (kWh/yr) (kWh/yr) Efficiency Building Equipment Behavior Renewables Choice Reductions On-site Generation Community Solutions 48,781 3,375 6,000 2,229 6,000 2,160 Cooling Hot Water All Else Total 66,642 Many ways to get from here to there! 7,170 . KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 43 Behavioral Choices Exploration, Not Simplification • Process focused; household level • Examine assumptions & boundaries • Explore new paths to meeting needs • Social networks, goal setting, information, feedback, aggregation, benchmarking Thousand Home Challenge CRITERIA • Defines deep reductions • Accelerate innovation • Information exchange – lessons learned • Support climate champions • Focus – complementary, not competition • Potential catalyst - projects, partners, & programs KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 44 Essential Principles 1) Go for the 2-fers and 3-fers 2) Get the Signals Straight 3) What is On the Path? 4) It Is Not Just About Energy - Collaborate KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 45 Thousand Home Challenge Pilot Project Summary (4-29-2013) Active Projects, All Phases (83) Rest of US & CAN Meet THC Threshold (No App Yet or In Review) (21) California Massachusetts Officially Meet THC (18) Official THC Candidates (Project In Progress) (9) 0 10 20 30 KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 40 50 60 70 80 90 46 Thousand Home Challenge CRITERIA • Defines deep reductions • Accelerate innovation • Information exchange – lessons learned • Support climate champions • Focus – complementary, not competition • Potential catalyst - projects, partners, & programs KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 47 THC Option B Allowance (kWh/yr) by Household Size 10,000 8,000 occupant NOTE: 7,500 kWh =1 25 MMBtu, or ~250 therms of natural3gas occupants 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 SAN DIEGO, CA HOUSTON, TX NEW YORK, NY BURLINGTON, VT OPTION B INPUTS: Detached, fossil or wood heat, 1,200 ft2 finished floor area (FFA), not conditioned floor area (CFA) US single family average energy consumption 31,400 kWh (201 RECS) KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 48 OPTION B THRESHOLD ALLOWANCE kWh/Ft2 (net site energy) BURLINGTON, VT NEW YORK, NY HOUSTON, TX 1,200 Ft2 (3 occ) SAN DIEGO, CA Range of 7.5 in kWh/Ft2 3,600 Ft2 (3 occ) 0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 Assumptions: fossil/wood heat; single-family detached October EUI (KBtu/Ft2 = kWh/Ft2 * 3.412); USKEEA/PBI res. avg. EUI1, 2013 is 44.8 KBtu/Ft2 49 OPTION B THRESHOLD ALLOWANCE kWh/Ft2 (net site energy) So, What?? 1,200 Ft2 (3 occ) THC threshold has profound implications as a customized, meaningful deep reduction target that is not biased by house size!! KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 3,600 Ft2 (3 occ) 0.00 5.00 10.00 50 Asset Rating • Represents the energy efficiency of the building (the asset) under standardized conditions of weather and internal environment. The rating takes into consideration construction, U values of the windows, doors, floors, ventilation levels, lighting systems, etc. KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 51 Operational Rating . . . is based on actual energy use. It is a measure of the energy performance of the ‘‘asset’’ when a particular occupant uses it. The rating would usually be based on the energy bills for the building rather than on a survey or plans. KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 52 When Operational Performance ≠ Asset Performance What Can Go Wrong? Technical? Behavioral? KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 53 Behavioral Choices Exploration, Not Simplification • • • • Process focused; household level Examine assumptions & boundaries Explore new paths to meeting needs Social networks, goal setting, information, feedback, aggregation, benchmarking KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 54 The Lutz Passive House Inspired Retrofit (Urbana, OH) Total Household Energy Use/Day (kWh) Goal: 90% reduction in heating energy Sept Aug July June May Apr Mar Feb Jan Dec Nov Oct Post Pre Comparing 2008-09 & 2009-10 NOTE: 2008 winter interior: ~63° F 2009 winter interior: ~50°-55° F 0.0 20.0 40.0 kWh/Day 60.0 KEEA/PBI Case Study - www.ThousandHomeChallenge.org Insulated six sides, new door & windows, added mechanical ventilation October 1, 2013 55 Project Highlights Insulate all six sides of a small home to achieve higher performance than most believe is possible R-25 added to floor R-40 added to walls Final: 200 CFM50 Isolated crawl space KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 56 Total Household Monthly Energy Use (Comparing kWh/Month) 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 Pre Period: 9/15/08-9/14/09 Post Period: 9/15/09-9/14/10 NOTE: Pre to Post Heating Use 89% Reduction (Technical & Behavioral) PRE POST Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug 2008 winter interior temperature ~ 63° F KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 2009 winter interior temperature ~ 50°–55° F 57 Winter (Creative) Comfort • Creative Comfort – Psychological – the satisfaction of reducing fossil fuel consumption, of increasing awareness in my community - it is the right thing to do! – Physical – regard the reduced temperature not as a hardship, but rather as an adaptation, such as wearing extra clothes – In my view [Ward Lutz], psychological comfort trumps physical adaptation • Temperature Settings – Pre-retrofit 63˚ F (thermostat) – Post-retrofit 50˚-55˚ F (turn on electric space heater when needed) • NOTE: Ductless heat pump installed 2/2011 KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 58 Pre Period: 9/15/08-9/14/09 Post Period: 9/15/09-9/14/10 NOTE: Pre to Post Heating Use – 89% Reduction (Technical & Behavioral) THC Threshold (OPTION B) Inputs : 5,880 Degree Days; 576 Ft 2 FFA, Single KEEA/PBI Heat October 1, 2013 Family Detached; 1 Occupant; Electric 59 Possible Tools/Processes for Energy Initiatives • • • • • • • Identify occupants’ needs & concerns Apply segmentation to customize service & offerings Apply commitment process Interpret utility bills/benchmark Offer feedback devices Use low energy homes or high savers as mentors Ongoing communication (virtual community & social marketing) KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 60