which could no longer claim the lands that had been promised to the Soviets during the Yalta Conference (some Japanese islands and the control over Manchuria in China). Chapter II – The USA and the World, 1945-2003 Introduction The consequences of Hiroshima in the balance of power between the two blocs The bombs were launched while the Potsdam Conference was still in progress: it changed the balance of power between the two blocs. Truman had kept the attack entirely secret, and Stalin saw this show of force as a way for the USA to intimidate the USSR and the whole world, and assert its World-wide domination. It snatched away the prestige the USSR had gained during the War by heroically fighting against the Nazis (the USSR lost 24 million people during World War II). Besides, Truman became more confident and more aggressive during the conference. Hiroshima definitely launched the nuclear arms race between the two superpowers. It put an end to the Grand Alliance, and some historians even say that Hiroshima was “the first casualty of the Cold War”. After 1945, the USA became one of the two Cold War superpowers. We will study its might, its leadership, its domination over the rest of the World from 1945 (end of WWII) to 2003 (beginning of the War in Iraq), and how it became a hyperpower (after 1991) whose might is nowadays questioned. I – The USA and the World in 1945: the great winner of World War II A – An unchallenged military power 1 – The end of World War II in Europe World War II mobilized 12,200,000 American soldiers: 38.8% volunteers while the others were draftees. 420,000 of them never came back and almost 700,000 more were wounded. “V-E” (Victory in Europe) day occurred on May 8th, 1945, thanks to the tremendous role of the Grand Alliance (the UK, the USA and the USSR). 3 – The assertion of the USA’s hard power The USA’s hard power was characterized by the country’s numerous and strong army (more than 3 million soldiers in 1953) and by the intelligence agencies specialized in espionage and counter-espionage like the CIA (Central Intelligence Agency) created in 1947. 2 – The end of WWII in the Pacific: the US atomic unchallenged superiority a – Hiroshima, August 6, 1945 The city was the target of the first nuclear bomb (nicknamed “Little Boy”) ever dropped by the plane Enola Gay, at 8.15 am on August 6, 1945, triggering 117,000 casualties according to the Americans (twice as many according to the Japanese). The blast flattened the landscape in a two-mile radius, destroying 69% of the town’s buildings, and the mushroom cloud rose to 15,000 meters. On 9 August, the Americans dropped another bomb (nicknamed “Fat Man”), on Nagasaki. The Japanese surrendered on August 14. B – The first economic and financial power in the World 1 – The economic supremacy Unlike many other countries (Europe, the USSR, China, Japan, etc.), the USA had not been destroyed during WWII (except the Japanese surprise attack on Pearl Harbor, Hawaii, Dec. 7, 1941). The war effort definitely helped the USA out of the 1929 crisis: the country doubled its GDP during the War while it produced around 1/3rd of the World’s manufacturing goods (twice the production of Nazi Germany and ten times the production of Japan). By 1945, the country represented half of the world’s industrial production and owned two third of the World’s Gold stocks, while the defeated countries as well as France, the USSR and the UK were economically exhausted. b - Hiroshima analyzed by US historians: end of WWII or beginning of the Cold War? The official explanation of the bombs… The official explanation stipulates that the bombs were dropped to end the war quickly and “to save the lives of thousands and thousands of young Americans” (President Truman, August 9, 1945), because the Japanese sent Kamikazes against the American warships. …which started being questioned in the 1960s But in the 1960s, historians questioned the official version: - The Japanese had offered to surrender on August 3, but their offer was rejected because it wasn’t an “unconditional” surrender. - President Truman dropped “Little Boy” just before the USSR entered the war in the Pacific (August 8). By doing this, he beat the USSR by a nose1, surprising the USSR 1 2 – The Bretton Woods Monetary Conference (New Hampshire, north of Boston) The Conference gathered 44 Allied countries including the USA, the USSR, the United Kingdom, China, France as well as most Latin American countries. It established the IMF and the World Bank, both headquartered in Washington D.C. It set the gold standard at $35 an ounce (i.e. 28.35 grams), and chose the dollar to be the reference currency /backbone of international exchanges, the only currency convertible into Gold. The meeting provided the World with post-war currency stability. C – The political prestige of the savior To beat sb by a nose: prendre quelqu’un de vitesse. 1 1 – A major actor of the Conferences that reorganized the World Meeting, representatives Decisions and context Yalta Conference (Russia), - Germany would be demilitarized and divided into four in February 1945, gathering zones (Russian, British, French and American) as well as the “Big Three” (Stalin, Berlin, the capital city. Churchill, Roosevelt). War in - They agreed on “a Soviet sphere of influence over Europe was not finished: Eastern Europe”: very vague term, but free elections the USSR was in a position had to be organized in these liberated countries. of strength as it had - The UNO would be set up to maintain World peace. liberated all Eastern Europe. San Francisco Conference The Conference resulted in the creation of the United (USA), in April-June 1945, Nations Charter on June 26, 1945, giving birth to the gathering delegates of 51 United Nations Organization (UNO) whose role was to allied States of the Grand maintain World Peace. Alliance (including the President Truman addressed the delegates on the opening USSR, many European day of the Conference, April 25, 1945: “You members of countries and the USA). this Conference are to be the architects of the better world. In your hands rests our future. By your labors at this Conference, we shall know if suffering humanity is to achieve a just and lasting peace.” Potsdam Conference Tensions had appeared since the Yalta Conference: (Germany), in July-August - Division over the fate of Germany: the USSR wanted to 1945, gathering Stalin, punish it harshly, unlike Truman who did not want to Truman, Churchill and Attlee repeat the mistakes of the 1919 Treaty of Versailles. (after Churchill lost the - No final agreement over Eastern Europe still occupied general elections in Britain). by the Red Army. The USSR never organized free The war was not over in elections: Stalin settled popular democracies (East Asia and the USA dropped Germany, Poland, Hungary, Czechoslovakia, Romania, the A-bomb on Hiroshima: Bulgaria) thanks to rigged elections, i.e. puppet this gave the USA a position communist states which were under the domination and of strength. the control of Moscow. 1 – The Kennan Telegram, also known as “The Long Telegram”, February 22, 1946 This telegram was written by the American Embassy adviser in Moscow: it inspired the Truman doctrine and drew the CW scenario that would freeze the World for 40 years. The content of this telegram was kept secret: An incompatibility due to the USSR The hostility comes from the USSR since the very beginning, and goes back much before 1946 (he quotes Stalin to prove it). The Russian population has a good background (Kennan flatters the Russians) but is manipulated by the Party and the Soviet leaders. The leaders, not the population, are responsible for this incompatibility. The underhand/insidious strategy of the USSR to fight against Capitalism The USSR represents a threat: - First, Soviet leaders lie to their population, demonizing the USA presented as menacing, as a threatening “creeping disease”, as Evil, so that the Russian population feels insecure. The leaders are afraid of comparison. - Moreover, Soviet leaders try to proselytise Communism in weak countries, in easily influenced countries (like Eastern Europe), so as to spread the ideology. - Last, Communism threatens the capitalist bloc within its frontiers (“communist penetration”) because in order to prosper, it needs to destroy/disrupt/undermine the other bloc, as it cannot bear comparison. Kennan uses the future, as if he was certain of his assertions: Communism will infiltrate the USA. Mind the chronological order of the arguments: he goes from the least to the most threatening one, it rises in a crescendo. The USA’s reaction: how to cope with communism? What strategy should the USA adopt to fight against Communism: - Kennan advocates the arms race, to give the USA a deterrent/intimidation force. - He recommends propaganda to create fear of communism and hatred towards Russians among the American population. Communism is compared to a “malignant parasite”. - Both foreign and domestic policies must mingle, because Communism is not only a foreign threat: the USA must solve its internal problems and be a model for the rest of the World. If the USA stands for Good in the Good versus Evil pattern, then its image must not be tarnished by any problem. - The USA has a mission that consists in saving the World: it is a crusade against communism. The USA must offer a good alternative to the communist theory. Kennan encourages the USA to stop its isolationism and start intervening into World’s affairs. 2 – The beginning of an “American Century” The expression was coined in February 1941 by the journalist Henry Luce working for Life Magazine. The expression accorded well with the economic realities of the American power (see I-B-2) as well as with the political prestige of the savior country. Conclusion Kennan is very lucid, clear-minded: he warns his country against the risk of copying the behaviour of the communists, because this is exactly what the Communists would like so as to destabilize the USA. G. Kennan is considered the “father of Containment”. III – The USA, the leader of the Free World A – The Cold War scenario seen by the USA: the Good versus Evil pattern, according to G. Kennan, 1946 2 2 – The consequences of the Kennan Telegram: the birth of the Truman Containment Doctrine, 1947 Kennan’s telegram inspired President Truman’s Containment Doctrine launched in a speech to Congress uttered on March 12, 1947. The idea is to contain the Soviet Union’s expansionism and imperialism. 3