Financial Sustainability WHAT TRUSTEES AND HEADS NEED TO KNOW (AND SHOULD BE TALKING ABOUT) JANUARY 10, 2015 Linda Myers Dennison, CPA independent school sustainability strategist lpmdennison@gmail.com THE CHALLENGES Linda Myers Dennison, CPA independent school sustainability strategist lpmdennison@gmail.com Selected National Issues Drastic increases in demonstrated need in recent years, including families who did not historically need assistance Slow economic recovery Reduced enrollment/not at capacity Substantial debt service Individual faculty/staff compensation has not increased at a sustainable pace…losing ground Demand for student services continues to increase Linda Myers Dennison, CPA independent school sustainability strategist lpmdennison@gmail.com The Financially Sustainable University Jeff Denneen and Tom Dreiler with Sterling Partners and Bain and Company “Institutions have more liabilities, higher debt service, increasing expense without the revenue or cash reserves to back them up.” “Operated on the assumption that the more they build, spend, diversify and expand, the more they will persist and prosper. But instead, the opposite has happened: institutions have become overleveraged.” Linda Myers Dennison, CPA independent school sustainability strategist lpmdennison@gmail.com The Merry-G0-Round Tuition Increases Beyond CPI Values Proposition Faculty/Staff Compensation Linda Myers Dennison, CPA Increasing Financial Aid Increasing Student Services independent school sustainability strategist lpmdennison@gmail.com DATA Linda Myers Dennison, CPA independent school sustainability strategist lpmdennison@gmail.com Tuitions Continue to Rise NAIS Average $50,000 Median Day Tuition, 9th 12th and grade median: $22,700 $45,000 National Medians Grades 9 and 12 Median Boarding tuition, 12th grade: $46,800 $40,000 $35,000 $30,000 $25,000 $20,000 $15,000 $10,000 $5,000 $- 2002 Day Boarding $13,795 $27,400 Source: NAIS Facts at a Glance 2013 (CPI Only) $17,700 $34,575 2013 Actual Grades 9&12 $22,700 $46,800 Tuition Increases: CPI versus Reality Average yearly CPI increase for the past 12 years is 1.96%. $25,000 $20,000 $15,000 Axis Title Think of your school. Have you had a tuition increase in any given year that was less than 2%? $10,000 It’s not just about affordability, but about managing expectations. $5,000 $Grades 1 & 3 Grades 6 & 8 Grades 9 & 12 2002 $10,912 $12,465 $13,795 Source: NAIS and U. S. Dep’t of Labor 2013 (CPI Only) $13,721 $15,673 $17,700 2013 Actual $18,212 $20,148 $22,700 NBOA 2013 BUSINESS OFFICER SURVEY Financial Aid Allocation Trends by Year 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 survey survey survey survey survey More aid awarded to returning students 21.60% 23.30% 23.40% 32.80% 47.80% More aid awarded to new students 12.50% 13.50% 13.10% 13.30% 13.90% About the same allocation 62.10% 58.00% 58.80% 50.70% 34.40% Not sure/no response 3.80% 5.20% 4.70% 3.30% 3.80% Samples limited to those who were able to provide specific financial aid allocation data. NBOA 2013 Business Office Survey, Baseline Results Source: 2013 NBOA Business Office Survey Strategic Reactions 26.4% were Most popular going to increase Strategiesthe average class size but only 11.7 •Increase % did.class average size 58.8% were going to decrease •Increase planned salary teaching loads increases but only 32.3% did •Increase employee contributions for benefits Linda Myers Dennison, CPA independent school sustainability strategist lpmdennison@gmail.com Source: 2013 NBOA Business Office Survey Perceived Financial Health: National Source: 2013 NBOA Business Office Survey 12.9% 11.9% Outstanding 24.9% Much above average 25.6% Somewhat above average 9.3% 8.3% Somewhat below average 0.4% Critical 0.0% 2.2% 1.2% 1.0% 5.0% Present Linda Myers Dennison, CPA 27.8% 20.7% 20.3% Average Much below average 27.2% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% Expected at end of 13/14 SY independent school sustainability strategist lpmdennison@gmail.com DISCUSSIONS AT YOUR SCHOOL Linda Myers Dennison, CPA independent school sustainability strategist lpmdennison@gmail.com Get Started! No silver bullet and no one size fits all! Purposefully thought provoking Intentionally controversial Consider the following in the context of your mission and culture…they MUST be your guideposts! All opinions respected No sacred cows Linda Myers Dennison, CPA independent school sustainability strategist lpmdennison@gmail.com NBOA’s Spectrum Project Report: High Performing Schools Summary in Net Assets, Nov/Dec 2014 Qualitative and Quantitative research study intended to reveal the “distinct characteristics of high performing independent schools.” A mix of independent school leaders, NBOA staff and research experts from McKinley Advisors Phase One: Define independent school financial health Phase Two: Surveys – 167 NBOA Member Schools Phase Three: In-depth telephone discussions with 20 schools Linda Myers Dennison, CPA independent school sustainability strategist lpmdennison@gmail.com Headline… “HIGH PERFORMING SCHOOLS: Focused on Outcomes, But Flexible in Achieving Them” Courtesy of NBOA Linda Myers Dennison, CPA independent school sustainability strategist lpmdennison@gmail.com Common Traits Among High Performing Schools (courtesy of NBOA) Lean Fewer students Approx. half as many administrative, non-teaching staff Collaborative and Focused on Clarity Clear expectations Strive to build consensus Work hard to explain critical matters Academically Rigorous Guided (not governed) by the Strategic Plan Have a strategic plan Guide to achieve the outcomes Linda Myers Dennison, CPA independent school sustainability strategist lpmdennison@gmail.com Traits, continued (courtesy of NBOA) Debt-Averse Use debt very conservatively Disciplined Endowment Draw Less likely to have altered in the last 5 years Focused on Benchmarking Define success and measure it Benchmark against a cohort of a few local schools vs. national Scrutinize enrollment trends in evaluating performance Top-Down Decision Making Quality, not Quantity, in Budget Training Linda Myers Dennison, CPA independent school sustainability strategist lpmdennison@gmail.com The Financially Sustainable University Liquidity issues arose because we succumbed to the “Law of More” Must reverse the “Law of More” By Developing a clear strategy, focused on the core Reducing support and administrative costs Freeing up capital in non-core assets Strategically investing in innovative models Linda Myers Dennison, CPA independent school sustainability strategist lpmdennison@gmail.com Focusing on the Core “It is the area where they are clearest about the value they add.” Differentiation point Identity Culture “the strategic anchor” “In any industry, there are 3 primary paths to competitive advantage: differentiation (product), low cost (price) or structural advantage (process).” Linda Myers Dennison, CPA independent school sustainability strategist lpmdennison@gmail.com Admin, Capital and Innovation Reduce support and administrative costs Cut from the outside in (build from the inside out) Look for economies of scale Outsource opportunities? Free up capital in non-core assets Perhaps less of an issue for independent schools i.e. real estate, heavy facilities equipment, etc. Strategically invest in innovative models ICS: BLinc Linda Myers Dennison, CPA independent school sustainability strategist lpmdennison@gmail.com NAIS & ISM “New Normal” Charge only what people can pay Design your program to that revenue number “Full Steam Ahead” Charge what it costs CPI + 2 or more when needed The New Discipline (NAIS) Increase enrollment without increasing staff “Sunset” an old program for every new one Right size: re-think class size, workload, # of teacher specialists, assistants, school size Devote 1/3rd of each fundraising dollar raised to endowment 21st Century Schools (ISM) Decide whether you are a price, product, or process school (you can’t be all 3!) Acknowledge that the 20th century “factory” model of education will not prepare students for the 21st century Design a 21st century school that individualizes learning using technology Dedicate 2% of your budget to faculty professional development The “P”s Definitions A PRICE School: Differentiates itself on price alone Is a price leader in it’s area (lower) Typical student:faculty ratio 16:1 Can charge average tuition of $7,000 When something new is proposed, asks: “what will this do to my price?” Product Schools A PRODUCT School: Assures that nearly all graduates will go on to a selective college Practices highly selective admission Typical student/faculty ratio 10:1 Can charge average tuition $20,000 When something new is proposed, asks: “what will this do to my college admissions?” Process Schools A PROCESS School: Has programmatic uniqueness Put students at a variety of academic levels through curricular and co-curricular program tailored to student Typical student:faculty ratio 8:1 Can charge average tuition $25,000 When something new is proposed, asks: “does it make our program richer or more valuable to a wider market” DEBATE THE PROPOSITIONS Debatable Propositions Purposely Controversial Can take a stand: for or against Can spark new thinking around both long-held beliefs or revolutionary concepts Can eradicate “cherished theories”: things you believe, but have no evidence to support RECOMMENDATION: gather data and respectfully debate based on facts Linda Myers Dennison, CPA independent school sustainability strategist lpmdennison@gmail.com For example… 1. The value of the smaller class experience is not as great as the cost. or… 2. Financial aid should only be used in service of mission, not to increase enrollment. and… 3. The cost of technology exceeds the value it provides. how about… 4. Schools need to fully fund depreciation in order to ensure the long-term sustainability of their facilities instead of relying on philanthropic donations. And don’t forget… 5. A school that stays within the 20th century educational paradigm-including keeping a 9month academic calendar, considering enrollment a singleunit sale, ignoring true environmental sustainability, and ignoring virtual learning--will fail. BUT AS YOU DISCUSS… GATHER DATA!!! WHAT DOES THE DATA SAY? DISCUSS FACTS! Linda Myers Dennison, CPA independent school sustainability strategist lpmdennison@gmail.com Are You Tracking These Financial Indicators? Revenue Diversity (NBOA and NAIS) The gap the cost to educate a student at your school and net tuition as well as Gross Tuition vs. Net Tuition (NBOA Financial Position Survey) Financial Aid and Tuition Remission as a % of gross tuition revenue (NBOA Business Office Survey, Financial Position Survey and school’s own data) Expendable Financial Resources: the “reserve” which a school has on hand to cope with a short-term financial shock. Expendable financial resources provide a way for a school to invest in new programs or facilities. (NBOA Financial Position Survey) Market Demographics FTE / Student Ratio (NBOA and NAIS) (NBOA and NAIS) Demographics- An example You need to know your region. What are the trends in terms of students: Kindergarten bust or Middle School explosion. What about income levels? Where are the families who are most likely to attend your school? Connecticut New Jersey New York Families with one or more children aged 14-17 and income over $350,000 2012 projected 2017 6,407 10,330 15,094 25,180 23,290 38,415 Source: NAIS Demographic Center AND REMEMBER… Linda Myers Dennison, CPA independent school sustainability strategist lpmdennison@gmail.com Adaptability “Executives today face two competing demands. They must execute in order to meet today’s challenges. And, they must adapt what and how things get done in order to thrive in tomorrow’s world. They must develop ‘next practices’ while excelling at today’s best practices.” Harvard Business Review July/August 2009 Timeless Principles vs. Daily Practices “How we deal with change differentiates the top performers from the laggards. But first we must know what should never change. We must grasp the difference between timeless principles and daily practices. Again, most sustainable change is not about change at all but about discerning and conserving what is precious and essential.” -Harvard Business Review July/August 2009 What Makes Your School Unique? Why Indian Creek? Why now? All constituents: students, faculty, parents…do they answer the same? Is it mission/culture consonant? How do you define success? NOT just financial: programmatic, personnel, others ICS: Cohorts, Organizational Learning Can you change something in your business model and achieve greater “success”? Linda Myers Dennison, CPA independent school sustainability strategist lpmdennison@gmail.com Adaptability in School Culture Create a culture that embraces “courageous conversations” and depersonalizes conflict Create common language to discuss sensitive issues Create an environment that allows for experimentation (without recourse) Distribute leadership Mobilize the community to generate solutions Collaboration! Facilitating Change Conversation may start because of constrained resources Discuss/identify core mission, values, and timeless principles Review the school’s current budget to ensure alignment or to discuss realignment and steps required– no sacred cows! Amount of budget is not a value indicator Encourage “experiments” Collaborate on results Something to Consider “Embrace Disequilibrium. Without urgency, difficult change becomes far less likely. But if people feel too much distress, they will fight, flee, or freeze. The art of leadership in today’s world involves orchestrating the inevitable conflict, chaos, and confusion of change so that the disturbance is productive rather than destructive.” Harvard Business Review, July/August 2009 Leading the Independent School Way… • Lead by Example • Build Teaming through Information and • • • • • • Communication Be Inclusive as Appropriate Understand & Anticipate the Changing Environment Explain Issues in English Give Credit When Due Don’t Tolerate Discourtesy Look “Outside” for Solutions My Contact Information Linda Dennison lpmdennison@gmail.com 443.271.2262 Director of Finance and Operations Indian Creek School ldennison@indiancreekschool.org 443.343.1111 Linda Myers Dennison, CPA independent school sustainability strategist lpmdennison@gmail.com READ MORE ABOUT IT NBOA’s High Performing Schools, Net Assets, November/December 2014. The Financially Sustainable University, Jeff Denneen and Tom Dreiler, Bain and Company 2012. NBOA’s Report on Independent School Financial Sustainability, a whitepaper summarizing the discussions, ideas, and follow-up steps from the conference Igniting the Vision, an NBOA PowerPoint presentation summarizing the major points from the conference Direction? Full Steam Ahead, the ISM and Measuring Success PowerPoint presented at the conference by Terry Moore, Director of Consultants, ISM (see below for additional slides, “Full Steam Ahead Part 2”) Debatable Propositions by NBOA—the original six debatable propositions shared at the conference IAFM Reading Material, a collection of key papers and articles on financial sustainability The New Normal: A Game-Changing Model for Financially Sustainable Schools by Patrick F. Bassett, President, NAIS. NAIS members can click on the link above, log in, and download the presentation. Full Steam Ahead Part 2: Cutting-Edge Research and Opinion for Excellent Independent Schools by ISM and Measuring Success. Available for free public download. Igniting the Vision: What Will Make Your School Financially Sustainable? A presentation summarizing the work of IAFM READ MORE ABOUT IT Lipton, Mark. Guiding Growth, How Vision Keeps Companies on Course, Harvard Business School Press, Boston, MA. 2003. Berry, Leonard L. Discovering the Soul of Service, The Free Press, A Division of Simon & Schuster, Inc. New York City, NY. 1999. Blanchard, Kenneth and Peale, Norman Vincent. The Power of Ethical Management, William and Morrow Company, Inc. New York City, NY. 1988. Drucker, Peter F. Managing the Non-Profit Organization, HarperCollins Publisher, Inc. 1990. Bernardin, John H. (2003) Human Resource Management: An Experiential Approach Third Edition. McGraw Hill Irwin. George, Bill; Sims, Peter; McLean, Andrew N. and Mayer, Diana (2007) Discovering Your Authentic Leadership. Harvard Business Review, February, 129-138. George, Bill and Bennis, Warren G. Authentic Leadership: Rediscovering the Secrets of Creating Lasting Value, J-B AHA Press, 2004 My Go To Resources My Colleagues! www.nboa.net PD, Library, Toolkits, Data, Forums, Net Assets, Demographics www.nais.org Library, Demographics, Independent School Magazine www.shrm.org Harvard Business Review Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI) CPA Letter Daily