Markov Chains Part 5 Are you regular Or Ergodic? • Absorbing state: A state in a Markov chain that you cannot leave, i.e. pii = 1. • Absorbing Markov chain: if it has at least one absorbing state and it is possible to reach that absorbing state from any other state. • Transient : In an absorbing Markov chain any state that is not absorbing. • Ergodic Markov Chain: if it is possible to go from every state to every state (not necessarily in one move). Also called irreducible. • Regular Markov chain: if some power of the transition matrix has only positive elements. That means that for that n it is possible to go from any state to any state in exactly n steps. Special Matrices Q The following form (rearrangement of rows/columns) of the 0 transition matrix is called canonical. The properties of an absorbing Markov chain are described by the transition matrix P as well the matrices Q, R, N, t, and B, where: • the matrix N = (I − Q)−1 is called the fundamental matrix; the entry nij of N gives the expected number of times that the process is in the transient state sj if it started in the transient state si • The vector t = Nc, where c = <1,1, …, 1>, is called time to absorbtion • The matrix B = NR has entries bij that give the probability that an absorbing chain will be absorbed in the absorbing state sj if it starts in the transient state si R Id Misc Questions • If the transition matix contains entries pij = 1, is that state automatically absorbing? • Can a matrix with a 1 entry still be ergodic? How about regular! About Regular Chains • Theorem: Let P be the transition matrix for a regular chain. Then, as n goes to infinity, the powers Pn approach a limiting matrix W with all rows the same vector w (whose components are all positive and they sum to one) • Example: Find the limiting matrix W for our Land of Oz • Examples 1 and 2 on page 38