Food Retailing AG BM 102 Introduction • Major interface with the customer – 2/3 of all food • Place where customer shows preferences • A sector in transition • First stores to act as a group • Consumer’s number one criteria for choice of supermarket is convenience Percentage of disposable income spent on food 2010 food-at-home 5.5% food away-fromhome 3.9 Source: USDA Some PA Markets • Philadelphia • Pittsburgh • Central PA - Harrisburg Chains • 11 or more stores working as a group • Corporate chains – company owns everything • Voluntary chains – independent wholesaler – Thriftway, Foodland, Shop N’ Save • Cooperative chains – stores jointly own wholesaler – Shop N’Bag Supercenters • 20.7% of grocery sales in 2010 (est) • 28% of sales in WalMart supercenters are groceries & tobacco in 2005 Convenience Stores • • • • 4.5% of business High gross margins Access obviously key – Uni Marts, Sheetz Cigarettes, lottery tickets, snack food, etc. Sam’s Club & Costco • 1,600 items rather than 25,000 for regular store • Large sizes, one choice, high turnover • Membership fees. Food Away From Home Share of Food Expenditures 50 45 40 35 % 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 1970 1975 1980 Source: USDA 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 Share of Food at Home Sales, 2012 Supercenters Convenience stores Specialty food stores Farmers, etc. Other stores Home deliveries, etc. Supermarkets Share of Food at Home Traditional Food Stores Sales, 2012 Supercenters Convenience stores Specialty food stores Supermarkets Source: USDA Vertical Integration • The food chain controls an input supplier • Private labels - 17% of food & beverage sales in 2009 • Bakeries • Dairies • 24% of Kroger's total grocery sales come from its house brands; 41 company-owned manufacturing plants produce 7,500 Kroger products. Buying Power • • • • Key to recent mergers Buy for whole country – over a long period Makes access difficult for small sellers Royal Ahold – Dutch Company – bought up lots of chains, including Giant & Stop & Shop – largest retailer on East Coast • Summer 2015 Ahold merging with Delhaize Group of Belgium (Food Lion), and Hannaford Concentration • Market share – how much of market do leading four firms have? Leading firm? • Relevant market – On selling side small – distribution of major newspaper • On buying side seems to be whole country Supermarket Chains Chain Share 1993 Share 2001 WalMart 6% Kroeger 0% 9.6% (19% now?) 7.3% Albertsons 3% 5.6% Safeway 4% 5.0% Ahold 2% 3.4% Sources different – numbers may not be strictly comparable WalMart • After the 2.3 weekly trips the average consumer makes to the food store – not profits from food • Past decade- 29 chains have sought bankruptcy-court protection, Wal-Mart a catalyst in 25 of those cases • Wal-Mart pays about 20% less in labor costs • 19% of U.S. grocery sales • Sell 32% of Disposable Diapers • 44% of grocery sales in Arkansas in 2002 Walmart has 15% share in at least 75 markets Sales of Top 8 Chains as a % of Total Grocery Sales 60 30 0 53.5 26.5 '29 26.3 '48 26 25 '63 '75 29 '94 '99 By 2004 - Top 8 food chains will account for 65% of total U.S. retail food sales Cornell Horticultural Business Management and Marketing Program Supermarket market share Minneapolis-St. Paul 2009 Cub Foods 35.4* SuperTarget 13.9 Rainbow Foods 12.9 Wal-Mart Supercenter 9.5 Byerly's 3.7 Lunds 2.8 Trader Joe's 2.0 Festival Foods 1.9 Kowalski's Markets 1.9 Source: IRI InfoScan, published by Nielsen Co.'s Trade Dimensions Supermarket market share Central Florida 2012 Firm Share Publix 42.9% Walmart 26.3% Winn-Dixie 10.1% Sweetbay 6.3% Super Target 3.2% Save-A-Lot 2.9% Source Tampa Bay Times, July 15, 2012 The number of fresh produce items carried by food retailers 400 350 300 200 173 100 0 1987 2001 Source: Supermarket Business, Progressive Grocer Economies of Scale • • • • In store- beyond 30,000 sq. ft. not much Advantage of large stores – non-food Disadvantages – search costs, supervision Warehousing & distribution – considerable economies within about 200 mi. circle – more stores better Chain Economies • Buying!!! • Advertising • Dis-economies - management Pricing • • • • Mark-up pricing – e.g., cost times 1.33 Coupons Image competition Margins Item Margin Item Margin Canned goods Dairy 16% Frozen foods 25% 19% Housewares 33% Meat 20% Produce Non-foods >25% 31% Profit • 1 to 2% of sales • Depends on turnover of inventory • If profit goes over 2% competition gets fierce • Much (or most) of profit comes from promotional allowances from manufacturers • Labor ~70% of a traditional grocer's overhead. Industry Trends • • • • • • In-store banking In-store pharmacies More private labels More customer service Home delivery Home meal replacement Concluding Comments • An Industry in transition • Mergers and increased concentration affecting access • Competition on selling side local