Using New Technologies to Drive Efficiencies Moderator: Tom Cox, Harvard Collection Services, Inc. Presenters: Thomas Glanfield, Boston Portfolio Advisors Jackie Bohline, Veri-Tax 2015 NCHER KNOWLEDGE SYMPOSIUM November 4-6, 2015 San Antonio, TX NCHER Knowledge Symposium Technology Tools Can Optimize Portfolio Performance Presented by Boston Portfolio Advisors November 2015 Today’s Discussion Leveraging Data into Powerful Action Steps There is Plenty of Data Out There — Just Use It 1. Increase recoveries using advanced analytics by prioritizing accounts based on Net Present Value 2. Optimize expenses by matching the right account with the right effort 3. Deepen portfolio penetration cost effectively 4. Rehab programs increase the payer base and portfolio value 3 BPA Introduction Boston Portfolio Advisors, Inc. (“BPA”) has been providing advisory services for over 30 years and prides itself on delivering the highest quality services that address and solve complex client issues. Highlights that can make a difference: Focus on portfolio performance for optimal value Sophisticated proprietary analytical tools provide balanced, productive, cost effective guidance Staffed by industry veterans with extensive experience and deep skill sets and with PhD practioners in Data Mining Superior portfolio management, finance, operations and data/ analytics capabilities re-designed for the post 2008 environment Understand the new paradigms of consumer credit behavior Years of experience improving portfolio values – we have done it 4 BPA Technology Toolkit Tools that Assist in Portfolio Management Advanced Analytics embedded in the Gain Model scores and segments accounts based on propensity to repay and estimated total collection Accounts throughout the entire lifecycle are managed and monitored and the database Champion/Challenger Approach for improved tactical operations Calls and Contact Data continuously enhance results Valuation Model assesses NPV and potential value of each account Account Level Tactical recommendations for contact approach and frequency Customizing Settlement Offers based on probability of payment vs. opportunity cost 5 Consumer Behavior – 15 Typical Bills Most People Have 6 Integrating Data Points Increases Account Value Modest Increase in Effort Produces Significant Improvement 7 Other Data Points That Enhance Results 8 Data Flow and Feedback Process Data Collection From multiple sources Collection Agencies Other Clients __________________________________________________________________________ Gain Model Analysis and Methodology Creates Prioritization of borrowers for highly targeted contact strategy Find correlations across entire field of attributes GAIN MODEL Historical Performance / Tactics Loan Info Feedback Loop __________________________________________________________________________ Borrower Info Program Management Collection tactics driven at account level based on Priority Score PROGRAM MANAGEMENT __________________________________________________________________________ Results Monitored, Scoring Model Updated Account level tactics revised for optimal results and actionable information provided to all parties Other Collection Agencies Clients 9 Advanced Analytics = BPA’s Gain Model Gain Model includes data and analytics to serve different aspects of the student lifecycle: Life Cycle Phase Model Employed In School In Grace In Repayment Continue Repayment or Default Graduation Probability Default Recovery Potential Loan Sale Valuation Key differentiator is combining Borrower, Loan, and Historical Performance data Data to build models comes from over 200,000 loans in the past few years (no old data) Loans represent over 400 educational institutions – 4 years public and private, 2 years public and private, career schools, and other Results of the models are used with servicers and collection agencies for specific campaigns and tactics on specific loans Correlations are measured by categories and numerical results 6 Student Loan Case Studies 1. Call Reallocation Produces Recovery Lift 2. Portfolio Penetration Improves with Optimization Effort 3. Better Data, Better Results 4. Improve Revenue and Probability Performance at the Same Time 5. Rehabilitation Efforts Lead to Higher Values 6. Loan Sale Valuation are Based on NPV and Market Prices 11 Case 1 – Call Reallocation Produces Recovery Lift Historical Performance - Produces 5.8% Recovery Rate Segment Historical Phone Attempts Phone Attempts (% of Historical) Contact Rate Close Rate Realization Rate Historical Collection Amount Per Phone Attempt ($) Historical Collections % of Total Collections Historical Placements Historical Collection Rate 1 295,000 100% 3.2% 18.7% 80.1% 2 417,000 100% 2.7% 14.6% 82.2% 3 208,000 100% 2.8% 9.8% 76.0% 4 278,000 100% 2.3% 8.0% 79.6% 5 431,000 100% 1.6% 4.9% 76.4% 6 275,000 100% 1.5% 2.6% 82.7% 7 317,000 100% 2.5% 18.6% 83.5% 8 104,000 100% 3.4% 8.3% 81.2% Total 2,325,000 100% 2.4% 8.9% 79.4% $5.61 $3.60 $7.17 $4.54 $0.53 $0.56 $2.87 $7.07 $3.41 $1,656,000 20.9% $1,499,000 18.9% $1,491,000 18.8% $1,261,000 15.9% $229,000 2.9% $153,000 1.9% $908,000 11.4% $735,000 9.3% $7,932,000 100.0% $10,614,000 $15,389,000 $21,645,000 $28,137,000 $16,999,000 $27,860,000 $7,060,000 $9,053,000 $136,757,000 15.6% 9.7% 6.9% 4.5% 1.3% 0.5% 12.9% 8.1% 5.8% Improvement by Redistributing Phone Attempts - Increases Recovery Rate by 32% Segment Phone Attempts - Redistributed Phone Attempts (% of Historical) Contact Rate - No Change Close Rate - No Change Realization Rate - No Change Projected Collection Amount Per Phone Attempt ($) Projected Collections % of Total Collections Collection Rate With Redistribution of Phone Attempts Gain ($) Gain (%) 1 443,000 150% 2 521,000 125% 3 364,000 175% 4 348,000 125% 5 154,000 36% 6 101,000 37% 7 238,000 75% 8 156,000 150% SAME AS HISTORICAL Total 2,325,000 100% 2.4% 8.9% 79.4% $5.61 $3.60 $7.17 $4.54 $0.53 $0.56 $2.87 $7.07 $2,487,000 23.8% $1,873,000 17.9% $2,609,000 24.9% $1,579,000 15.1% $82,000 0.8% $56,000 0.5% $682,000 6.5% $1,103,000 10.5% $10,471,000 100.0% 23.4% 12.2% 12.1% 5.6% 0.5% 0.2% 9.7% 12.2% 7.7% $831,000 50% $374,000 25% $1,118,000 75% $318,000 25% ($147,000) -64% ($97,000) -63% ($226,000) -25% $368,000 50% $2,539,000 32% 12 Reallocating Collection Calls Optimizes Effort Traditional Industry Approach (Gray bars) use credit bureau recovery scores to direct efforts borrowers Gain Model Approach uses enhanced data on the account and prior activity to focus on accounts based on probability of success (Green is highest) Historical Attempts New Attempts - High Priority 6 New Attempts - Medium Priority New Attempts - Low/No Priority Contact Effort Index 5 4 3 2 1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Segment 13 Case 2 – Optimizing Improves Portfolio Penetration High Effectiveness - Focus on highest return accounts High Opportunity - Different tactics and frequency implemented to focus also on B and C Priorities to enhance results High Effectiveness – 75% of Recoveries from only 14% of balances Decile Priority % of Total % of Total Balance Recoveries 1 2 A Recovery Rate Lift Factor 5.4% 55.2% 53.63% 917% 8.9% 20.0% 11.82% 124% 3 10.1% 7.2% 3.77% -29% 4 10.1% 4.5% 2.36% -55% 10.1% 3.5% 1.81% -66% 6 10.6% 3.3% 1.64% -69% 7 10.7% 1.8% 0.88% -83% 11.1% 1.3% 0.63% -88% 11.0% 2.3% 1.11% -79% 12.0% 0.9% 0.40% -92% 5 B 8 C 9 10 TOTAL D TOTAL 100.0% 100.0% 5.28% Recovery Priority TOTAL % of Total Rate A 75.2% 27.63% B 15.2% 2.65% C 6.4% 1.04% D 3.2% 0.74% 100.0% 5.28% High Opportunity - Incremental lift can be achieved with B and C accounts 14 Traditional Thinking in 2015 can be Misleading 15 Case 3 – Better Data, Better Results Gain Model identifies 82% of future payers vs. 57% using enhanced attributes when selecting top 20% of borrowers Prior: Using Limited Attributes Enhanced Results: Using Additional Attributes 16 Recovery Model – Sample of Numeric Variables 17 Recovery Model – Sample of Categorical Variables 18 Case 4 - Improve Revenue and Profitability Performance Comparison of Results with and without Gain Model Prioritization Results Without Targeting Calls Decile Attempted 1 100,000 2 100,000 3 100,000 4 100,000 5 100,000 6 100,000 7 100,000 8 100,000 9 100,000 10 100,000 Total 1,000,000 Contacts Made 3,381 3,230 2,787 2,678 2,549 2,327 1,587 1,518 1,288 1,016 22,362 Contact Expense $10,735 $10,255 $8,849 $8,504 $8,094 $7,387 $5,039 $4,819 $4,088 $3,227 $70,998 Results With Targeting Payment Calls Rate # Payers Revenue Profit/Loss Decile Attempted 23.26% 786 $196,584 $185,849 1 160,000 9.73% 314 $78,586 $68,331 2 160,000 3.50% 97 $24,364 $15,515 3 130,000 2.02% 54 $13,517 $5,014 4 130,000 1.71% 44 $10,899 $2,804 5 130,000 1.12% 26 $6,519 ($868) 6 70,000 0.86% 14 $3,422 ($1,617) 7 70,000 0.53% 8 $2,003 ($2,816) 8 70,000 0.95% 12 $3,064 ($1,024) 9 40,000 0.51% 5 $1,294 ($1,934) 10 40,000 1,361 $340,252 $269,254 55 1,000,000 Modest Increase in Expense Contacts Contact Made Expense 5,410 $22,314 5,168 $21,318 3,623 $12,229 3,482 $11,751 3,314 $11,186 1,629 $4,071 1,111 $2,778 1,062 $2,656 515 $1,030 407 $813 25,721 $90,147 Payment Rate # Payers 23.26% 1,258 9.73% 503 3.50% 127 2.02% 70 1.71% 57 1.12% 18 0.86% 10 0.53% 6 0.95% 5 0.51% 2 2,055 Revenue $314,534 $125,738 $31,674 $17,573 $14,168 $4,563 $2,396 $1,402 $1,226 $517 $513,791 Profit/Loss $292,220 $104,419 $19,445 $5,821 $2,983 $492 ($382) ($1,254) $196 ($296) $423,644 GAIN $ $106,371 $36,089 $3,930 $808 $178 $1,360 $1,235 $1,562 $1,219 $1,638 $154,389 GAIN % 57.2% 52.8% 25.3% 16.1% 6.4% 156.6% 76.4% 55.5% 119.1% 84.7% 57.3% Sizable Increase in Results 19 Case 5 - Rehabilitation Efforts Lead to Higher Values Measures consistency and amount of payments Identifies accounts needing remediation Focuses on rehabilitation process Current accounts beginning a streak Current 30 Days Delinquent Broken streak in Nov 2014, began new streak Dec 2014 20 Rehabilitation Continuity equals Higher Values Rehabilitation Success Settlement Success 21 Case 6 - Loan Valuation and Sale BPA typically recommends keeping the High Value Loans as expected cash flows are significantly higher than the expected sale price. Sale Pool Loans fall within the range where the expected sale price is higher than the expected future cash flows Low Value Loans are typically non-performing and would realize the lowest sale price. Recommendation many times is to hold these loans until they are re-performing so that they can achieve a higher sales price Expected Cash Flow Sale Price NPV High-Value Loans Sale Pool Loans Low-Value Loans 22 Thank You for the Interest Tom Glanfield Boston Portfolio Advisors tglanfield@bostonportfolio.com 954-832-3556 23 Electronic Income Documentation Retrieval November 5, 2014 Topics for Today I. Income Based Repayment II. Collection of Income Documentation III. Tax Transcript Retrieval with Veri-Tax IV. Metrics of Success 25 Department of Education Repayment Program As of July 1, 2014, the Department of Education requires income documentation to qualify a borrower for an Income Based Repayment Plan Income Based Repayment Criteria Adjusted Gross Income Filing Status Taxable Income Poverty Guideline Family Size Discretionary Income Collection of income documentation 27 Collection of income documentation Option A Borrower Experience • Manually intensive • Uncomfortable sharing sensitive information • Frustration! Collection Agency Experience • Ask and ask and ask and ask… • Wait and hope • Frustration! 28 Collection of income documentation Option B Borrower Experience • • • • Convenient Confident Secure Happy! Collection Agency Experience • • • • Streamlined Controlled Authentic Happy! 29 Tax Return Transcript Adjusted Gross Income, Taxable Income, Family Size, Filing Status, and Discretionary Income are listed on a 1040 Tax Return Transcript 30 Tax Transcript Retrieval Process with Veri-Tax Agency Borrower Creates Order E-signs 4506-T Sends 4506-T to IRS IRS Receives Results Sends Results to Agency Receives Results Account Management / Customer Happiness Support 31 Veri-Tax Web Portal Agent performs 3 Steps to Create a Transcript Order: 1. Enter borrower’s information 2. Select the product type, year(s) requested, and transcript type 3. Confirm the request and submit the order 32 4506-T E-Signature Ceremony 33 4506-T E-Signature Ceremony The prefilled 4506-T opens for review and e-signature. After successfully e-signing, VeriTax electronically receives the 4506-T with audit log and sends the order to the IRS. 34 How to Access the Tax Transcripts Veri-Tax provides results through three options of delivery Web Portal Web Services SFTP Delivery Veri-Tax Ordering Tracking and Management System 35 Tax Transcript Results – 1040 or Wage & Income The 1040 Tax Return Transcript is a summary of the filed 1040 tax return The Wage & Income Transcript is a summary of the filed W2s, 1099s, 1098s 13 What do I do with the tax transcript? 37 Tax Return Transcript Summary Coversheet In addition to the requested tax transcripts, Veri-Tax will include a summary coversheet that highlights key line items for income analysis and IBR calculation ease The 15% Income Based Repayment calculation is on the summary sheet for easy analysis 38 How do we measure success? 39 Veri-Sight Performance Report Reports enhanced turnaround time calculations, rejection rates by user, and overall volume metrics, to deliver the most accurate insight into each account's performance. Metrics Description Number of Years: Track order volume trend broken down by number of years Form Type: Monitor order volume trend broken down by number of form type Top Ten: Turnaround Time: Track user volume trends so you can plan for future capacity Monitor order turnaround time trends to ensure they are falling within the SLA thresholds Volume: Track and monitor order volume trends Rejection Breakdown: Track order rejections by type over time Rejection Stats: Rejection Rates per User: Track rejection rate over time so you can manage resources effectively IRS Data: Includes the raw order data used for the reports without sensitive consumer data IRS Downtime: Includes each occurrence of IRS related downtime for the given report period Monitor user level rejection rate trends so you can improve future performance 40 VSPR - Turnaround Time Report Sample Turnaround Time Report accurately monitors order turnaround time by excluding holidays, non-working days, and IRS downtime to ensure SLA thresholds are met Turnaround Time (Minus Holidays, Non Working Days and IRS Downtime) # of Orders 0 - 8 Hrs 8 - 16 Hrs 16 - 24 Hrs 24 - 32 Hrs 32 - 40 Hrs 40 - 48 Hrs Over 48 Hrs Grand Total 2013 February 294 6 35 226 59 157 58 835 March 2360 273 186 1685 4496 1336 3640 13976 April 1629 163 176 2212 2826 881 4208 12095 May 598 148 37 962 1316 565 1127 4753 Grand Total 4881 590 434 5085 8697 2939 9033 31659 Turnaround Time 0 - 8 Hrs 2013 May 8 - 16 Hrs 16 - 24 Hrs 2013 April 24 - 32 Hrs 32 - 40 Hrs 2013 March 40 - 48 Hrs Over 48 Hrs 2013 February 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 41 Summary I. Income Based Repayment July 1, 2014 – ED requires income documentation II. Collection of Income Documentation Option A – Manual Option B – Electronic III. Tax Transcript Retrieval with Veri-Tax Receive electronic income documentation directly from the IRS, typically within 72 hours IV. Metrics of Success Veri-Sight Performance Report 42 Veri-Tax Contact Page Jackie Bohline Director of Client Services and Customer Happiness 949.783.2121 Jackie.Bohline@veri-tax.com Customer Happiness Team 800.969.5100 customerhappiness@veri-tax.com 8 am – 7 pm Central Time Veri-Tax, LLC 30 Executive Park, Suite 200 Irvine, CA 92614 43 Questions 2015 NCHER KNOWLEDGE SYMPOSIUM November 4-6, 2015 San Antonio, TX