Chapter 28: Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply – page 1 Shocks to the System – In 2008, the chairman of the Federal Reserve was ____________________________. Generally speaking, the Federal Reserve fights unemployment by _______________________________________ and fights inflation by _____________________________________. It is less clear what to do when the economy is experiencing _______________________ - both high inflation and high unemployment. This situation occurred in the 1970’s and 2008 when recessions were driven by ________________________________________________. Aggregate Demand – The Aggregate Demand (AD) curve displays the relationship between ______________ _______________________________________________. It is different from the demand curve developed earlier in the class in that _____________________________________________________________________________ The x-axis of the AD-AS model can be labeled either with _______ ______ or ________________ ____________. The AD curve is ________________ sloping, meaning that at higher prices a _______________ Q is demanded. Why is the AD Curve Downward Sloping? The formula for the Q of domestically produced final goods and services demanded during a given period is ___ + ___ + ___ + ___ - ____. Of these, ____, ____, and X-Im are levels set in the private sector that are adversely impacted by _____________ prices. These are the categories we will focus on as we learn about the wealth effect and the interest-rate effect. The Wealth Effect – When the aggregate price level (PL) rises, people can afford less stuff. Therefore, they are ________ wealthy. When the PL falls, people can afford more stuff. They are ___________ wealthy. This change in consumption patterns brought on by a change in P is called the __________ ___________ (of a change in PL). The Interest Rate Effect – When there is a higher PL, people need more ________________. They must then sell illiquid assets and convert them into liquid assets. Higher prices have effectively cut into people’s ability to ______. As savings decrease, the ______________ ________ rises. Higher interest rates decrease ___, as many projects’ projected rate of _____________ move below the cost of borrowing. C is reduced through the negative multiplier effect, and by the fact that more of people’s disposable income will now be used to pay interest of money borrowed. Make a note that higher interest rates also affect net exports. Foreigners would want our higher interest rates, D for our currency would increase, our currency would appreciate, and our goods would be more expensive abroad. The AD Curve and the I-E Model – Describe how the I-E model is related to the AD curve. ____________ ____________________________________________________________________________________________ Shifts of the Aggregate Demand Curve - Describe how each of the following can cause a shift in the AD curve. Changes in expectations _______________________________________________________________________ Changes in wealth ____________________________________________________________________________ When does change in wealth cause a movement along the AD curve? ___________________ a shift? ___________ Size of existing physical capital __________________________________________________________________ Fiscal Policy - ________________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________________________ Monetary Policy _____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________________________ CYU 28-1, 1. a. _____________ b. ______________ c. _______________ d. _______________ e. ______________ Aggregate Supply – Between the years 1929 and 1933, economists have concluded that the U.S. economy was moving down along the _______________ _____________ curve. This means that the economy was experiencing __________________ price levels, ____________________ GDP and _____________________ unemployment. The Short-Run Aggregate Supply Curve – The period between 1929 and 1933 revealed something dramatic about the nature of our economy. This is THE insight that changed the field of macroeconomics. Brace yourself. There is a _________________ relationship in the short-run between price level and output. That was it. How do you feel? Shocked? Rattled? Emboldened? Perhaps none of these (yet). Two results are worth noting before we move on. The short run matters. Since gov. has a lot of control of PL, all sorts of tinkering could be justified. So why do higher prices drive higher production in the short run? _______________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________________________ Explain the concept of sticky wages. How do sticky wages ensure that the AS curve is upward sloping? ____________________________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________________________ Shifts of the Aggregate Supply Curve - Describe how each of the following can cause a shift in the AS curve. Changes in commodity prices ___________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________________________ Changes in nominal wages _____________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________________________ Changes in productivity _______________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________________________ CYU 28-2, 1. a. __________________________ b. __________________________ c. _______________________ Problem 3. a. b. 4. a. ____________________ b. ____________________ c. _____________________ d. ____________________ Chapter 28: Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply – page 2 The Long-Run Aggregate Supply Curve – Wages are “sticky” in the short run, but flexible in the long run. Explain why this is. ____________________________________________________________________________ Aggregate price level has no effect on GDP in the long run. Explain. ____________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________________________ Because all prices are flexible in the long run, including inputs, the LRAS curve is _________________________. This indicates that in the long run, even if prices change, GDP is _______________________________________. The LRAS curve connects with the x-axis at a point labeled Yp called ____________________ _______________. This is the point at which the economy would produce if ______________________________________________. As the economy grows over time (as represented in Figure 28-8), the LRAS curve shifts to the ________________. From the Short Run to the Long Run - Make a note that when the X formed by the AD & AS curves does not intersect on the LRAS curve, the economy is either operating above or below __________________. The economy is experiencing some combination of unnatural levels of employment and/or inflation/deflation that may need to be addressed through monetary or ___________ policy. These policies impact the AD curve by stimulating or limiting demand. When the economy moves back to potential through a shift in the SRAS curve, the variable that typically adjusts is ________________ ______________. When the economy is operating below potential, nominal wages will __________, and when it operating above potential, nominal wages will _________. CYU 28-2, 1. a. _________________________ b. _________________________ c. _________________________ 2. __________________________________________________________________________________________ p. 764 pr. 5 The AD-AS Model – The AD-AS Model is helpful in determining __________________________________. Short-Run Macroeconomic Equilibrium – The point at which the AD and AS curves intersect is referred to as _________________________________. This represents the short run equilibrium ________ and ___________. In this model, a fall in output of price does not mean they are declining, the increase is just below ______________. Shifts of Aggregate Demand: Short-Run Effects – Shifts in the AD curve are caused by ___________ __________. A negative demand shock causes _______ PL _______ GDP. A positive one causes ______PL and ______ GDP. Shifts of the SRAS Curve - Shifts in the SRAS curve are caused by ___________ __________. A negative supply shock causes _______ PL _______ GDP. (Ah! Stagflation!) A positive one causes ______PL and ______ GDP. Demand shocks cause PL and GDP to move in the ______ direction, whereas supply causes them to move in __________ directions. Governments have more control over the ____ curve than they do over the _______ curve. Pr. 7. Rank – 1. 2. 3. 4. Explain – Long-Run Macroeconomic Equilibrium - When there is a negative demand shock, the difference between the short-run equilibrium and the LRAS curve is referred to as a ______________________ ________. The main problem this shock causes is high ________________________. If no government policy is applied, wages will _______, SRAS will shift _____________ and the economy will return to _________________ in the long run at a lower _______ ________. If AD is restored, the economy returns to _____________ a the old _______ ________. When there is a positive demand shock, the difference between the short-run equilibrium and the LRAS curve is referred to as an __________________ ________. The main problem this shock causes is high _______________. If no government policy is applied, wages will _______, SRAS will shift ___________ and the economy will return to _________________ in the long run at a higher _______ ________. If AD is reduced, the economy returns to _____________ a the old _______ ________. Note that restoring or reducing AD can be induced by the g______ Recessionary and inflationary gaps are both called ____________ gaps. Output gaps tend to move toward _____. Because of this, we say the economy is ______-_______________. AD shocks affect the economy only in the _______ ______. Describe supply shock recessions since World War II. Why are they so nasty? ______________ ____________________________________________________________________________________________ CYU 28-3, 1. a. SRAS shifts right, PL – up, GDP -- ______ b. _________________________________________ c. ____________________________________________ d. __________________________________________ Pr. 8. a. ________________________________________ b. __________________________________________ c. ____________________________________________ 11. a. d. __________________________________________ b. c. d. Chapter 28: Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply – page 3 Macroeconomic Policy – In the long run, the economy is self-correcting, meaning it trends back toward _______________ ______________. Economists have concluded this can take how long? ___________________ Because self-correction takes a long time, most economists recommend the government use __________________ and _____________ policy to return the economy to __________________ ________________. These policies are called _______________________ policies, and they impact the _________________ ______________ curve. These policies (are / are not) often effective in returning the economy to potential faster than self-correction would. Policy in the Face of Demand Shocks – What two policy goals would be achieved if the government were to react immediately to negative demand shocks? ___________________________________________________________ Since policy makers are not perfectly informed, they should be cautious in acting to correct negative AD shocks. Why? _______________________________________________________________________________________ Should policy makers respond to positive AD shocks that increase productivity and price levels? _______ In the U.S., we normally rely on monetary policy in such a case. How would monetary policy work to shift AD to the left? ____________________________________________________________________________________________ Responding to Supply Shocks – There is no one appropriate response to a negative supply shock. Why is this? ____________________________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________________________ Is Stabilization Policy Stabilizing? Has stabilization policy – applied in the U.S. since World War II – been stabilizing to the U.S. economy? _________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________________________ 12. Draw the graphs with all labels presuming a self-correcting economy. a. b. 14. a. __________________ b. ___________________________________________________________________ b. c. d. __________________________________________________________________________________________ Chapter 28 – Review Slope of the AD curve? _________________ SRAS curve? ________________ LRAS curve? ________________ Reasons for the Slopes of the Curves: Wealth Effect – Interest Rate Effect – Sticky Wages – Self-Correcting Economy – Movements along the AD or SRAS curve are caused by changes in ______________ ______________. List the factors that can shift the AD curve. List the factors that can shift the SRAS curve. List the 3 factors that shift the LRAS curve (chapter 25). List examples of fiscal policy that would shift the AD curve right. Which of the following affects AD directly – government purchases of goods and services or government transfers? Describe how monetary policy would shift the AD curve left. What is the impact of the following on GDP, PL, and unemployment? AD shifts right: AD shifts left: SRAS shifts right: SRAS shifts left: Define: potential output – Recessionary gap – Inflationary gap – Stagflation – Stabilization policy – Stabilization policy is effective to address ________________ shocks, but not ________________ shocks. 1) Draw the AD-AS model with a recessionary 2) Draw the AD-AS model with an inflationary gap gap form a negative AD shock. from a positive AD shock. What stabilizing options does the government have in case 1? Case 2? Why are there not good options for the government to address a recessionary gap resulting from stagflation?