Reverse Auctions for Renewable Energy Policy Worth Considering Reverse auctions: A policy mechanism worth exploring The U.S. is struggling to achieve some of its national energy goals: enhance energy security; promote domestic economic activity and foreign competitiveness; and improve environmental sustainability. Smart energy policy can help, however, a variety of forces have inhibited Congress’ ability to move a comprehensive energy bill. Nor has Congress been able to move legislation that is specific to one sector, whether that be coal, gas, nuclear, wind or solar. While each sector lobbies for its own interests, the “renewables” sector, wind and solar, hasn’t done a sufficient job of advancing the policy discussion to ensure that its interests are protected. The renewables sector needs to make it easier for Congress to provide the political certainty that is necessary to drive continued investment and development in the sector. In addition to efforts by the renewables industry to extend the Production Tax Credit (PTC) for wind, and expand Master Limited Partnerships (MLPs) to include wind and solar, the renewables sector should also consider looking beyond tax-based support policy mechanisms to more market driven support policies. Renewable energy equipment manufacturers, vendors, project developers, owners, and power consumers are stakeholders that would like to see renewable energy policy drive product volume and installations, and help facilitate more competitively priced electricity. One such policy mechanism that is proven in accomplishing both of these goals is a “Reverse Auction.” What is a reverse auction? In a reverse auction, prices go down instead of up. In a typical auction, multiple buyers submit bids to buy something from a single seller, often causing the ultimate sale price to rise above the initial offer price. In a reverse auction, multiple sellers come to sell something to a single buyer, often causing the ultimate sale price to fall below the initial bid for business. As with typical auctions, reverse auctions create micro-markets and can be very useful tools for facilitating price discovery. When applied to power markets, reverse auctions serve as a contracting mechanism whereby project developers bid for power purchase agreements (PPAs) from a utility, end customer, or other contracting authority. As the renewables sector strives to promote a federal energy policy that would encourage further development of renewable power and attract investment, industry participants should consider promoting reverse auctions as an effective mechanism to drive product volume and future installations, and facilitate more competitively priced power. Reverse auctions are a market driven procurement tool that would complement existing state renewable portfolio standards and REC markets and could open the door for competitive bidding for support mechanisms such as production-based cash grants and feed-in tariffs as solar and wind approach grid parity in more regions of the country. How does it work? Figure 1 shows a simplified flow diagram of power, renewable energy credits (RECs) and money between those with exposure to a reverse auction that is conducted by a central contracting authority. Project developers would compete for power purchase contracts with the contracting authority by submitting bids via a technology-based reverse auction platform. The bidder(s) with the lowest price or combination of lowest prices that also fulfill the power contract load profile requirement would win the auction and the power, and RECs, would be sold into a regional power market. How are reverse auctions any different than a typical RFP process? When a utility issues a request for proposal (RFP) solicitation for either power or renewable energy credits, it is effectively creating a competitive marketplace where the bidder with the lowest price wins the procurement contract. However, despite the fact that a blind RFP attracts competing bids, the bidding process is often not transparent and therefore doesn’t foster truly competitive selling behavior. Blind RFP market structures force each bidder to guess who else might be in the market and at what price those bidders could submit to the procuring entity. Therefore, blind RFP processes do not allow for optimal price discovery. Additionally, bidding in typical RFP processes are often conducted by written proposals or email submission and not supported by dedicated technology exchange platforms and therefore do not allow for transactions to happen very quickly. A reverse auction is effectively a technology enabled RFP that optimizes the efficiency of the procurement process by creating a dynamic market environment where vendors can make business decisions based on real-time pricing information. A typical blind RFP may offer one or two bidding rounds over the course of the multi day or week solicitation period. A technology enabled reverse auction allows bidders to submit as many bids as necessary, over a short period of minutes rather than days, to compete for the procurement contract against other bidders prices that are visible to all participants. A technology enabled, exchange-like auction system that allows for unlimited bids per auction fosters competitive selling behavior, true price discovery and rewards the most efficient supplier. Reverse auction proposal in the U.S. House of Representatives Select members of Congress have proposed the use of reverse auctions at the Federal level as a way for renewable energy project developers to compete for support monies. In the 112th Congress, Representative Devin Nunes proposed Bill H.R. 909 that received support from 73 cosponsors and called for the establishment of a Federal Reverse Auction Authority (RAA), which would be a private sector non-profit entity overseen by the US Department of Energy (DOE), to initiate and conduct reverse auctions to support the development of domestic, renewable energy growth. H.R. 909 proposed to empower the RAA with the authority to distribute production-based support payments to renewable generators from a single-purpose trust fund, awarded to the least cost bidder found through the reverse auctions, as a way to further assist technologies along their respective cost curves as they approach grid parity across the country. The Bill proposed that the Trust Fund be seeded by off-shore oil & gas drilling lease sales, bonus payments and production royalties (See Figure 2.) The combined Reverse Auction Authority and Oil & Gas Trust Fund idea in H.R. 909 is a unique proposal that could help the country achieve its national energy goals, while appealing to stakeholders in the renewables sector as well as the traditional energy sectors. Renewable energy industry participants could perhaps use this proposal as a starting point for negotiation in order to navigate through the political gridlock in Washington and work towards a bipartisan national energy policy. While the reverse auction proposal in H.R. 909 is unique, it has some inherent flaws that could prevent the policy from successfully promoting renewable development. Notwithstanding the shortcomings of the legislation as it was originally written, there are potential solutions to these limitations that could allow this policy to successfully promote increased volume of renewable energy sales in the U.S. How can reverse auctions drive volume and future installations of renewable energy? Reverse auctions are proven to benefit the consumer of power but can also serve as a mechanism to drive volume and future installations of renewable power in the U.S. The Reverse Auction Authority idea proposed in H.R. 909, for example, which would become a central body for conducting auctions, could also become the central counterparty with which renewable energy project developers sign power purchase agreements (PPAs), thereby streamlining what is currently a long and costly process for developers. Streamlining the PPA process would likely have the immediate and positive effect of encouraging faster rates of renewable energy development. A Reverse Auction Authority could also encourage sweeping cost reductions by virtue of the fact that it would distribute support monies to producers with the most competitive offer price. Utilities and large power consumers might also consider using technology-based reverse auction tools to streamline procurement of power. Not only are reverse auctions proven to have the effect of reducing delivered power to the procurement body, it also open up new sales channels for renewable power sales. As will be discussed in the subsequent case study, the U.S. General Service Administration is an example of reverse auctions driving renewable energy sales by virtue of the fact that the buyer specified its desire to purchase a certain percentage of its power from renewable energy sources, attracting renewable energy sellers to an otherwise inaccessible market. Conclusion The renewables sector should look beyond its support of tax-based support policy mechanisms to more market driven support policies, such as reverse auctions, that work in the best interest of all stakeholders by driving volume and installations and further reducing costs to the consumer. The policy proposal to create a Reverse Auction Authority that has the power to distribute support monies from an “American Energy Trust Fund”, for example, would provide the political certainty that the renewables sector needs and further assist renewable energy technologies along their respective cost curves towards grid parity, enabling sustainable long-term growth of this industry in the U.S. Reverse Auction Case Study: U.S. General Service Administration’s use of reverse auctions is saving the tax-payer money and driving renewable power demand The U.S. General Service Administration (GSA), an independent agency of the US Government that was established in 1949 to help manage and support the basic functioning of federal agencies. GSA has used reverse auctions to procure power for over a decade, saving the U.S. tax-payer money. Power procurement and building energy management for GSA’s Region 7, which is responsible for the States of Texas, New Mexico, Oklahoma, Arkansas, and Louisiana, is handled by an “Energy Team”. Program Manager, Kevin Myles, with the Public Building Service, is a member of that Team headquartered in Fort Worth, TX. As government employees who are responsible for the energy management of approximately 1,350 Government owned and leased buildings, the “Team” works to reduce energy consumption and to contain utility costs. The Team has used electronic reverse auctions to procure power for roughly 115 government buildings in deregulated parts of the State of Texas, (Municipal Utilities and Cooperatives are not deregulated and thus do not participate). Members of the Team are tasked with the challenge of reducing the environmental footprint of the buildings they oversee, reducing energy costs, enhancing national energy security by reducing their dependence on fossil fuels, and being good stewards of U.S. tax-payers money. When the electricity market in Texas deregulated in 2002, Kevin Myles and his Team conducted a study and review of the procurement literature to determine the most cost effective way to procure power for the buildings in GSA Region 7. During their analysis, the Team found examples of procurement practices in the auto industry and military where reverse auctions were being used to good advantage. Reverse auctions, as the Team found, are most effective in markets with a uniform, interchangeable, commodity-like product, where one unit can be easily substituted for another unit. For example, auctions where gallons of paint or barrels of oil, or kWh’s of electricity, where one unit does not differ from another in quality work best under this type of procurement. Reverse auctions also benefit when there are multiple suppliers of these products who can compete on price and if there are low barriers to market entry. In many cases these reverse auctions have saved the procuring entities anywhere between 10-25% of what the cost would have been, if not for the competitive bidding process of the reverse auction. At the conclusion of the their review, the Team at Region 7 concluded that it could leverage GSA’s bulk buying power to create its own market for utilities services and reduce the ultimate purchase price using a reverse auction. Region 7 subsequently contracted with a company now called “World Energy Solutions” to conduct the first auction on its behalf. The initial auction was a success, yielding the anticipated savings that the Team at Region 7 expected. However, as GSA is often one of the more entrepreneurial agencies of the government, Kevin and his Team set out to develop their own reverse auction software and platform to achieve additional cost savings. The Team appealed to the “venture capital fund” in the CIO’s office of GSA to request funding to build their auction platform. Following an application for a grant, the Team was ultimately awarded ~$110,000 to build a software platform and server to its own conduct reverse auctions. This amount included the software development as well as the purchasing of a server to run it on. The software met all CIO office and government requirements and was specifically adapted for Government procurements. After a few months of development, the platform was successfully built and tested, allowing GSA Region 7 to conduct its own reverse auctions. The Region typically enters the utility markets and procures power for approximately 115 of its deregulated Texas buildings at periodic intervals. Normally, these “buys” are from 3 to 5 years depending on the length of the contract awarded in the previous round. (It only requires at most three people to run any particular auction.) The total load (electricity demand) of these buildings is approximately 130 million kWh/yr. The current five-year contract will expire in 2013 and the Team at Region 7 intends to hold the next reverse auction within the next year or so, for the follow on contract. How do GSA’s reverse auctions work? GSA Region 7’s reverse auction process is fairly straight forward. In a reverse auction, there are multiple sellers of a uniform, interchangeable, commodity-like product, and one buyer. In this light, the on-line reverse auction process operates in a similar way that a typical auction takes place on eBay, where there is a single good for sale and multiple bidders, only it works in reverse with the offered price going down instead of up (hence the name “reverse auction”). The party that offers the most favorable price and terms “wins” the Government’s business. To kick off the process, GSA Region 7 presents the market with notice of its procurement requirements including the building load profiles and utility use histories for their buildings. The Government then invites utilities, IPPs, and independent power marketers to participate in the reverse auction. The Government reviews and “qualifies” those responding who are the most qualified to provide the Government’s requirements. The reverse auction announcement is published on the electronic portal for doing business with the Government (FedBizOpps website1). This is done to encourage competition. Region 7 also sends a notification of the upcoming auction in the mail to all of the registered retail electricity providers that are registered with the Public Utility Commission of Texas. Myles notes that the Team typically receives a lot of interest from these two solicitations. GSA will then conduct short-listing round in order to select the companies that are allowed to move forward and participate in the reverse auction. Myles notes that that the contracting office conducts a full credit and financial responsibility analysis of the potential 1 http://www.fbo.gov bidders in order to generate the shortlist. Most of the potential participants are generally recognizable names, but sometimes there will be newer market participants or smaller firms that require a greater amount of scrutiny. The Team at Region 7 will ask certain questions of these less established bidders in order to become comfortable with their ability to deliver, should they ultimately submit the winning bid. Questions may include items such as: Have you operated in this business before? How long have you operated in this business? Can you provide client references? During the short-listing process, Region 7 generally excludes those who appear to lack qualifications such as technical ability, experience, or financial stability. It is very important to the Government that the flow of power to its buildings continues uninterrupted and reliably. This type of large power procurement typically attracts firms such as major utility providers with strong balance sheets and deep experience. The companies that pass these tests are short-listed to participate in the reverse auction. The electricity load for GSA Region 7’s deregulated Texas buildings is broken out into 4 lines and wires service territories, which are effectively small markets (or clusters of buildings served) on which the power marketers bid. Marketers are asked to price power as both 100% conventional generated power and alternatively as 50%-100% renewable. The Team asks the marketers to submit these two bids so that they can get a true feel for the price of both power products. In an uncompetitive environment, a utility might say that the renewable energy must to be sold at a large premium to traditional power because it’s an “intermittent” resource that has to be backed up with spinning reserves. In Region 7’s experience, however, this is only partially true, and not universally the way things work. The 100% conventional vs. 50% conventional and 50% renewable bidding system provides Region 7 with a “yardstick” to judge how big that premium should actually be, if any. In their most recent auction, Region 7 found the price of wind power to be too high in their North Texas service area (4.4% premium to 100% conventional generation) but more reasonably priced in their other 3 lines & wires service areas (2-3% premium to conventional generation). Kevin anticipates that the bids in their next auction will be lower than in previous years as a result of current low natural gas prices. He also expects wind generation to be competitive at 5 – 6 cents/kWh. Myles indicates that the behavior of the participating bidders during the auction is actually very interesting to observe in real time. Initially, he says, bidders will wait a while until the first bid hits and then the volume increases very quickly as the bidding brings the price down. Prior to and during the GSA auction, it is stated in BOLD UNDERLINED CAPS that the sellers should pay close attention to the pricing levels of their bids because the GSA will hold them responsible for whatever price they offer, under the firm bid rule. This helps somewhat to prevent the “Winners Curse” but as a failsafe, GSA also requires bidders place bonds or “corporate guarantees” and to provide information on their hedging strategy in order to prevent a possible default on power delivery at the winning price. Neither the Government nor the Marketer is well served if the price turns out to be one at which the marketer is unable to perform. Myles indicates that the timing of going into these markets is pivotal. The Team at Region 7 typically conducts an auction during the shoulder months of the year when power prices are lowest (spring or fall rather than summer or winter). Just how much savings? The cost “premium” of buying 50% wind power for three of four lines and wire areas in the most recent auction (2008) equals an estimated $172,192 per year. However, this must be viewed in the context of a nearly $70 million dollar five- year power purchase contract and the ability of the reverse auction to drive down the price of both conventional and renewable energy. The prior reverse auction contract (2005) only had 5% renewable power and averaged 9.23 cents/kWh. The 2008 contract averaged 10.6 cents/kWh. (This number includes transportation charges, so the Agency is paying a net average of ~8.5 – 10 cents/kWh for the actual power.) This is only a 15% increase over the power price locked in three years earlier – that was awarded in a market where power prices were rapidly increasing. By comparison, at the time the 2008 contract was awarded, the least expensive residential electricity price was 14.6 cents/kWh in Dallas, and 16.1 cents/kWh in Houston, 40% – 50% higher. The ultimate buying decision, Myles indicates, is a balance between the purely financial question, ‘what’s the least expensive option?’, and the energy security / environmental question, ‘what option would yield the most renewable power?’ The 2008 5-year contract valued at ~$69 million was considered to be both fair and reasonable and was considered to be in the best interest of the Government. It represents the optimal mix of the twin objectives of savings taxpayer money and advancing clean energy goals. Myles believes that the GSA could do even better if not for a statute in the General Service Administration Act of 1949 that sets a 10 year maximum term for utility contracts (other government agencies, such as the Military, have different authorities and longer contracting term limits). Myles indicates that if this contract term limit were increased to 20 or 30 years, he feels his Team could further reduce the contracted price for power that the Government must pay using tax-payer dollars. Such an extension could also attract a greater number of bids from developers who want to build future clean energy capacity and finance new build against 20 – 30 year PPAs with the Government. Why building energy efficiency management is so important Further to the inherent challenges of balancing the economic, energy security and environmental fiduciary duties of the job, Myles and his Team are among many managers responsible for seeing that the government meets Energy Efficiency Guiding Principles by 2015 and achieves zero-net-energy use in buildings by 2030, as mandated by Federal Statutes and Executive Orders 13423 and 135142. Thankfully, as Myles and his Team have found, the effectiveness of procuring power using reverse auctions is dramatically enhanced by the Agency’s use of building energy efficiency management practices. 2 Federal Sustainable Building and Campus Requirements http://www1.eere.energy.gov/femp/program/sustainable_requirements.html In addition to power procurement, the Team at Region 7 also reduces the load of their buildings by improving overall energy efficiency through building energy management systems and advanced metering technologies in buildings with large energy consumption. Region 7 has employed advanced metering with an average of some ~30 contact points throughout each building in its inventory (including ambient air temperatures, CO2 sensors, chilled water in and out sensors, boiler sensors, lighting sensors, etc.) A former nuclear engineer monitors these building statistics in real time and sends actionable information to each building manager, and building operator, when equipment attention, adjustment, action or maintenance is required. How is this relevant to a discussion about reverse auctions? By virtue of the fact that Region 7 has such good command of its power load, the Team can give reverse auction bidders very accurate load profiles on each of its buildings. In turn, the bidders don’t have to build a “fudge factor” into their ultimate bid in order to account for unexpected load and contingencies. This saves both the buyer and the seller money on the transaction. GSA will also give a letter of authorization to each bidder so that each can request a load profile history from the serving utility for confirmation, and so it can make its own independent assessment of the data. The Building Owners and Managers Association (BOMA) is an industry trade association whose members have an extensive portfolios of commercial properties around the country. Myles quoted the average amount of energy that is required to operate the buildings under management by members of BOMA as being equal to approximately 78k Btu/gross square foot. He states GSA Region 7’s average energy consumption to be approximately 48k Btu/gross square foot. Relative to industry standards, GSA Region 7 has become quite the model of building operation for energy efficiency to be emulated. Scaling this model across other agencies The cost savings that GSA Region 7 has been able to capture by developing its own proprietary reverse auction platform could possibly be scaled across other branches of government. In fact, The Navy, and some other branches, already use reverse auctions mechanisms to purchase uniform, interchangeable, commodity-like products. Myles indicates that the Energy Team at Region 7 will sometimes approach other agencies to invite their participation in GSA energy buys. Myles indicates that they often receive initial interest, but in many instances, other agencies are either already under existing power contracts, or their building loads are too different for it to be efficient or attractive to be included. The underlying impediment to scaling up the reverse auction power purchasing platform that the Energy Team at GSA Region 7 have developed is what Myles sees as a general need for more people with a “power procurement” skill set at many government agencies. Reverse auctions drive renewable energy sales This case study shows how reverse auctions can drive renewable energy sales. The GSA, which is a buyer of bulk power, was empowered with the ability to specify its desire to purchase a certain percentage of its power from renewable energy sources because of its reverse auction tool. This had the dual effect of attracting renewable energy sellers to an otherwise inaccessible market and allowed for competitive price discovery that in turn made the renewable energy affordable.i i The views expressed by Kevin Myles are his own and not official U.S. Government policy