Strategic Management and Implementation TMU Johannes M. Pennings June 2004 www-management.wharton.upenn.edu/pennings 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 1 Strategy and Innovation • Part I, Day 1 – What is strategy? Frameworks – External vs Internal Focus: Customer & Knowledge – Strategy and Design • Part II, Day 1 – Strategic Management of Innovation – Market and Firm Interia • Photography Industry 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 2 The (Institutionalized) Strategic Management Shopping Mall Value Disciplines Dual Strategies Resource-Based View Time/Event Pacing Eco-Systems Strategy as Revolution 7-S Framework 2004 Day 1 Competing for the Future Capabilities-Based Competition Activity Systems Vision Time-Based Competition Multimarket Competition Strategic Innovation Value Chain Core-Competence Co-opetition 5-Forces model Virtual Integration Collective Strategy Profit Pools Strategic Groups Value Migration Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 3 Strategic Management … Confusion Reigns. “[W]aves of new approaches [have been] proposed. […] Each approach made its contribution in turn, yet how any of them built on or refuted the previously accepted wisdom was unclear. The result: Each compounded the confusion about strategy that now besets managers”. Source: Collis & Montgomery (1995) “ Competing on Resources: Strategy in the 1990s”, Harvard Business Review. 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 4 “People seem to disagree about almost every aspect of strategy making […] they disagree about which issues to address in developing strategy, they disagree about the process of developing strategy, and they even disagree as to whether one can think about strategy at all”. C. Markides (2000) All the Right Moves: A Guide to Crafting Breakthrough Strategy 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 5 Strategic Management: ... deals with the formulation and implementation of a set of decisions, the purpose of which is the realization of a sustainable competitive advantage (manifested in long-term above average profitability). 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 6 Many Frameworks of Strategy • Porter and Five Forces – Competitive advantage due to cost leadership or market differentiation • Mintzberg and Stream of Decisions – Not rational but emergent • BCG and low to high growth markets • New ”School” and competencies that produces a platform fro strategizing 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 7 Porter: Strategy, the Link between the Firm And its Environment THE FIRM Goals and Values Resources andCapabilities Structure and Systems THE INDUSTRY ENVIRONMENT STRATEGY STRATEGY Competitors Customers Suppliers Sources of Competitive Advantage COST ADVANTAGE COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE DIFFERENTIATION ADVANTAGE 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 9 Strategy and Innovation • Part I, Day 1 – What is strategy? Frameworks – External vs Internal Focus: Customer & Knowledge – Strategy and Design • Part II, Day 1 – Strategic Management of Innovation – Market and Firm Interia • Photography Industry 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 10 Porter’s Framework Forces Driving Industry Competition Potential Entrants Bargaining Power over Suppliers Threats of New Entrants Industry Competitors Buyers Suppliers Bargaining Power of Buyers Threat of Substitutes 2004 Day 1 Substitutes Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 11 Mintzberg on Strategy 1. Plan (Intended) Also a Ploy (a Trick a Way to ? a Competitor) 2. Pattern (Realized) •• •• • • •• •• •• •• •• •• • •• •• •• • • • 3. Position 4. Perspective 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 12 THE CONCEPT OF STRATEGY Unrealized Strategy Realized Strategy Inconsistent Behavior BCG Hi Growth Lo Growth 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 14 Strategy and Innovation • Part I, Day 1 – What is strategy? Frameworks – External vs Internal Focus: Customer & Knowledge – Strategy and Design • Part II, Day 1 – Strategic Management of Innovation – Market and Firm Inertia • Photography Industry 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 15 Shifting From an Industry Focus(Porter) to a Resource Focus THE FIRM Goals and Values Resources and Capabilities Structure and Systems STRATEGY THE THE INDUSTRY INDUSTRY ENVIRONMENT ENVIRONMENT Competitors Competitors Customers Customers Suppliers Suppliers The Firm-Strategy The Strategy-Environment 16 Pennings TUM interface Interface Strategic Management Innovation 2004 Day 1 Shifting From an Industry Focus(Porter) to a Resource Focus THE FIRM THE INDUSTRY ENVIRONMENT Goals and Values Resources and Capabilities Structure and Systems STRATEGY Competitors Customers Suppliers The Firm-Strategy The Strategy-Environment 17 Pennings TUM interface Interface Strategic Management Innovation 2004 Day 1 New School: Resources & Capabilities • The role of resources and capabilities in strategy formulation. • The resources of the firm • Organizational capabilities • Appraising the profit potential of resources and capabilities (sustainability and appropiability). • Developing the firm’s resources and capabilities. 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 18 Value Migration “We have to be willing to cannibalize what we’re doing today in order to ensure our leadership in the future. It’s counter to human nature but you have to kill your business while it is still working”. Lewis Platt, Hewlett-Packard 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 19 Value Migration “Financial accounting, balance sheets, profit-and-loss statements, allocating of costs, etc. are an x-ray of the enterprise’s skeleton. But much as the diseases we most die from - heart disease, cancer, Parkinson’s - do not show up in a skeletal x-ray, a loss of market standing or a failure to innovate do not register in the accountant’s figures until the damage is done”. P. Drucker (1993) Developing (strategic) leading indicators 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 20 Rationale for the Resource-based Approach to Strategy • When the external environment is subject to rapid change, internal resources and capabilities offer a more secure basis for strategy than market focus. • Resources and capabilities are the primary sources of profitability • But note that platform of capabilities can become a TRAP 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 21 Evolution of Honda: A Strategy Based Upon Resources and Capabilities 50cc 2-cycle engine Founding of Honda motor company 4 cycle engines 405cc motor cycle Related products: ground tillers, marine engines, generators, pumps, chainsaws 1948 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 First product: clip-on engine for bicycles 2004 Day 1 The 50cc super -cub N360 mini car 1000cc Goldwing touring motor cycle Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation Acura Car division 22 Resources as the Basis for Superior Profitability Barriers to Entry Industry Attractiveness Rate of Profit in Excess of the Competitive Level Monopoly Market share Vertical Power Firm size Financial resources Cost Advantage Process technology Plant size Low-cost inputs Differentation Advantage Brands Product technology Marketing capabilities 23 Competitive Advantage 2004 Day 1 Patents Brands Retaliatory capability Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation The Relationships Between Resources, Capabilities and Competitive Advantage COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE INDUSTRY KEY SUCCESS FACTORS STRATEGY ORGANIZATIONAL CAPABILITIES RESOURCES 2004 Day 1 TANGIBLE INTANGIBLE HUMAN •Financial •Physical •Technology •Reputation •Culture •Structure •Specialized skills and knowledge •Communication & interactive abilities •Motivation Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 24 The Rent-Earning Potential of Resources and Capabilities THE EXTENT OF THE COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE ESTABLISHED THE PROFIT EARNING POTENTIAL OF A RESOURCE OR CAPABILITY Scarcity Relevance Durability SUSTAINABILITY OF THE COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE Mobility Replicability Property rights APPROPRIABILITY 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation Relative bargaining power Embeddedness of resources 25 Growth of service sector partly explains increase in Strategy as Firm Knowledge 80 71 68 70 68 Value added as % of GDP 62 60 60 58 61 54 50 1980 1997 40 30 20 10 0 Australia 2004 Day 1 France Japan Norway Source: World Bank, 1998 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 26 Growth of service sector in Sweden, similar to other EU countries Employment Percent Agriculture Service Industry Source: IUI 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 27 The new forces Traditional sources of competitive leverage 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation Digitization 28 Source: Unleashing the Killer App Revolutionary changes • Digitization - Computing power and communications bandwidth becoming cheap enough to treat as disposable (Moore’s law) – Compare doubling grains of dirt on a chess board • Globalization – China, World is a large network, global network of suppliers and buyers, 24 hour operations, shop on a global basis • Deregulation - Free market better regulator than government, e.g., airlines, communications, banking 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 29 Business Week 1998 Market value Book value 60000 50000 40000 30000 20000 10000 0 Ericsson 2004 Day 1 Astra ABB Volvo Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation Vendex Haider 30 Business week and US Companies….Where is Haider, Bank of China, etc. ? Market value Book value 250000 200000 150000 100000 50000 0 GE 2004 Day 1 MicrosoftCocaCola Exxon Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation Merck WalMart Source: Business Week 31 Valuation Ratios Coca-cola Oracle Cisco Systems Computer Associated International Schering Plough Amgen Gillette Metronic Kellog Microsoft Pharmacia & UpJohn First Date Pfizer Abbot Laboratories Mereck Johnson & Johnson Bristol-Myers-Squibb Pepsico Phillip Morris Eds 2004 Day 1 19 15 14 14 12 10 10 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 7 7 7 7 6 6 Beverages Computer software/services Computer software/services Computer software/services Health care Health care Consumer Products Health care Food Computer software/services Health care Computer software/services Health care Health care Health care Health care Health care Beverages Tobacco Computer software/services Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 32 Competitive advantage is becoming increasingly dependent on firm’s ability to create and leverage knowledge External leakage and imitation Key idea: Firms are good at transferring tacit knowledge (Kogut & Zander, 1992) Firm knowledge Competitive advantage Internal codification Dissemination Transfer 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation (if resources & capabilities are hard to replicate or imitate) 33 Identifying Organizational capabilities : Functional Approach FUNCTION Corporate Management CAPABILITY Financial management Strategic Control Coordinating decentralized business units Managing Acquisitions EXEMPLARS Exxon, Coca Cola General Electric, Emerson Electric, GE ABB, Shell ING, ConAgra MIS Speed and responsiveness through rapid information transfer American Airlines Benneton R&D Research capability Development of innovative new products Mereck, AT&T Sony, 3M Manufacturing Efficient volume manufacturing Continuous Improvement Flexibility Electrolux Nucor, Motorola Benetton Design Marketing Design Capability Brand Management Sales & Distribution Promoting reputation Responsiveness to market trends Sales Responsiveness EfficiencyPennings and speed of distribution TUM Customer Service Strategic Management Innovation Apple, Swatch, Proctor & Gamble, PepsiCo American Express The Gap Microsoft, Glaxo 34 DHL KLM 2004 Day 1 The Framework for Analyzing Knowledge, Capabilities and other Resources 4. Select a strategy 3. Appraise the rent-earning potential of resources/ capabilities STRATEGY POTENTIAL FOR SUSTAINABLE COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE 2. Identify capabilities CAPABILITIES 1. Identify the firm’s resources. Appraise strengths and weaknesses 2004 Day 1 RESOURCES Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 5. Identify resource gaps that need to be filled. 35 Summary • We are moving into a knowledge-based economy as new forces are changing the face of business • A company’s market value is increasingly dependent upon the value of its intellectual capital or intangible assets • A company’s competitive advantage is based on a firm’s ability to create and leverage its knowledge • Thus, knowledge sharing across divisions, countries, functions is emerging as a major business priority 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 36 Strategy and Innovation • Part I, Day 1 – What is strategy? Frameworks – External vs Internal Focus: Customer & Knowledge – Strategy and Design • Part II, Day 1 – Strategic Management of Innovation – Market and Firm Inertia • Photography Industry 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 37 Internal and External Design: Strategy and Innovation • Brief Review of Organizational Design and and External Relationships • Structure, Culture, Networking of Internal Organization Design • Brief Review of External Design 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 38 Internal and External Design: Strategy and Innovation • Brief Review of Organizational Design and and External Relationships • Structure, Culture, Networking of Internal Organization Design • Brief Review of External Design 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 39 Internal Design Aspects • Specialization ( grouping by skills, process, customers, products, etc.) • Coordination • Hierarchy • Functional and Divisional Structure 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 40 The Basic Tasks of Organization Achieving high levels of productivity requires SPECIALIZATION Specialization by individuals necessitates COORDINATION For coordination to be effective requires COOPERATION But goals of employees = goals of owners THE AGENCY PROBLEM ORGANIZATIONAL CHALLENGE: design structure & systems that: 2004 Day 1 • Permit specialization of knowledge • Facilitate coordination by grouping individuals & link groups with systems of communication, decision making, & control • Deploy incentives to align individual & firm goals and 41 share knowledge among them Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation General Motors Organization Structure, 1997 Board of Directors Corporate Functions President’s Council North American Operations Delphi Automotive Systems GM Acceptance Corporation International Operations Hughes Electronics GM Europe Midsize & Luxury Car Group 2004 Day 1 Small Car Group GM Power Train Group Vehicle Sales, & Marketing Group Developme nt & Technical Cooperation Group Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation Asian & Pacific Operations Latin American, African, & Middle East 42 Operation General Electric’s Organization Structure, 1995 Corporate Staff Functions: Tax, Treasury, Audit. M&A, Legal, Business Public Relations, Government Development Relations, Leadership Development Board of Directors Corporate Executive Office Aircraft Engines Appliances Capital Services Industrial Power Systems Lighting Medical System s Service Divisions Aerospace Environmental Technology Programs 2004 Day 1 GE Supply NBC Electrical Distribution & Control Plastics Information Services Licensing/ Trading Marketing &Sales Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation Motors Transportatio n Systems 43 Organization design • By FUNCTION(sales, • By PURPOSE (market, production, customer service, etc.) product, segment, region, etc.) Sales New Cars 2004 Day 1 Finance Service And Parts Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation Used Cars Service And Parts 44 Functional Structure CEO R&D 2004 Day 1 Manufacturing Marketing Finance Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation Accounting HR 45 Multidivisional Structure (By Region, Product, or Customer) CEO Division 1 Division 2 Division 3 Division 4 R&D R&D R&D R&D Manufacturing Manufacturing Manufacturing Manufacturing Marketing Marketing Marketing Marketing Finance Finance Finance Finance Accounting Accounting Accounting Accounting HR HR 2004 Day 1 HR Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation HR 46 Multidivisional Structure at Proctor & Gamble Laundry and Cleaning Products Cleaners and Cleansers Detergents/Soaps Dishwashing Detergents Comet (1956) Lestoil (1936) Mr. Clean (1958) Spic and Span (1926) Bold (1965) Cheer (1950) Dash (1950) Dreft (1933) Era (1972) Ivory Snow (1930) Oxydol (1914) Tide (1946) Cascade (1955) Dawn (1972) Ivory Liquid (1957) Joy (1949) Personal Care Products Bar Soaps Camay (1926) Coast (1974) Ivory (1879) Kirk’s (1885) Lava (1893) Oil of Olay (1993) Safeguard (1963) Zest (1952) 2004 Day 1 Other Prod. Fragrances California (1989) Giorgio (1994) Hugo Boss (1985) Incognito (1992) Laura Biagiotti-Roma (1988) le Jardin (1983) NaVy (1990) Old Spice (1938) Red (1994) Toujours Moi (1921) Venezia (1993) Wings (1994) Respiratory Care Products Brand manager Chloraseptic (1957) Cough Drops (1931) DayQuil (1992) Formula 44 (1959) Inhaler (1939) NyQuil (1968) Sinex (1959) VapoRub (1905) VapoSteam (1959) Vitamin C Drops (1986) Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation Food & Beverage Products 47 Pros & Cons of Basic Organizational Designs Functional Structure Multidivisional Structure • Pros: fosters group identity, permits greater specialization and so increases skill levels, facilitates supervision. • Cons: creates strong contrasts and thus conflict between functional units, makes it harder to trace responsibility for performance (no unit is a profit centre), fails to develop well-rounded general managers. 2004 Day 1 • Pros: simplifies co-ordination across functions within units, can be very large and still maintain control, facilitates idiosyncratic treatment of customers when they differ greatly. • Cons: reduces collegiality, duplicates staff functions and foregoes opportunities to share them, reduces chances for skill specialization. Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 48 Dilbert on cross-functional conflict 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 49 The Fundamental Law of Organizational Design To the extent that you differentiate, you must integrate. 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 50 Task Interdependence • Pooled interdependence low low – Units share a common resource. Cost of Managing – One unit’s output is another unit’s input. 2004 Day 1 – Units must work with each other to produce common output. Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation high high • Reciprocal interdependence Priority for Linking • Sequential interdependence 51 Forms of Task Interdependence Need for Coordinating Integration Mechanism 1. Pooled Interdependence Regional HQ Hotel A Hotel B Low Standardize Medium Plan High Mutually Adjust Hotel C 2. Sequential Interdependence Customer Contact Needs Assessment Service Development 3. Reciprocal Interdependence Product 2004Development Day 1 Manufacturing Sales/Mktng Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 52 An Information-Processing Model of Organizational Design (Wheel vs Circle) Unpredictability of the Task Environmental Effects on the Task Task Uncertainty Information-Processing Requirements to do the Task Interdependence of Task Elements Fit Information-Processing Capacity of the Structure 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation Grouping Linking Management Processes 53 Costs of Managing the Linkage Information Processing Capacity • Hierarchy (i.e., a boss) low low Linking Mechanisms • Rules and procedures (formal or informal) • Liaison roles • Task forces, cross-unit teams 2004 Day 1 • Matrix structures Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation high high • Integrator roles/departments 54 Liaison Roles & Cross-Unit Groups Manager Manager A B Liaison 2004 Day 1 A B Cross-Unit Group Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 55 Integrators (Project, Brand, Program, & Account Managers) General Manager Marketing Manufacturing Engineering Program Project Manager Program 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 56 Matrix Structures General Manager Marketing Manufacturing Engineering Program Project Manager Program 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 57 New Organizational Forms Process-based organizations Organizing around business processes Recognizing corporate processes - entrepreneurial process - competence building process - renewal process Project-based organization, also Firm’s “Formulas” engineering cos., consulting cos., also manufacturing cos. e.g. Oticon Parallel structures separate structures of separate management processes e.g. 3M, TQM, change management process Network and Virtual Organization 2004 Day 1 the boundaryless corporation e.g. Sun Microsystems, Cisco Systems, Italian clothing 58 Pennings manufacturers TUM Strategic Management Innovation Firm as a bunch of silos or interconnected departments Images of the Internal Organization Firm as bunch of Silos 2004 Day 1 AGSM; June 1998 Pennings TUM Hans Pennings-Innovation (#2) Strategic Management Innovation Firms as set of Linking Pins 59 Strategy and Innovation • Part I, Day 1 – What is strategy? Frameworks – External vs Internal Focus: Customer & Knowledge – Strategy and Design • Part II, Day 1 – Strategic Management of Innovation – Market and Firm Interia • Photography Industry 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 60 External Design • • • • • • • Contracting Licensing Consortia Partnerships Alliances Joint Ventures Acquisitions 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation Relationship with Us? 61 Firms Sharing Assets • Governance or Control (Who is in Charge?) • Ownership 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 62 Firm A Firm B 3 Management 4 6 R&D 5 6 1 Creativity Marketing 5 Production 5 2 Innovations Other departments 3 Management 3 4 6 Management R&D 5 6 1 Creativity 4 6 Marketing 5 Production 5 2 Innovations Other departments R&D 5 6 1 Creativity Marketing 5 Production 5 2 Innovations Other departments 3 Management 4 6 R&D 5 1 6 Creativity Marketing 5 Production 5 2 Innovations Other departments Internal or External Hybrid 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 63 Strategy and Structure • Internal and external Strategic Perspective – Porter, BCG and Knowledge Based View • Internal: Functional to Divisional and Network Design • External: Licensing to Equity Joint Ventures and Acquisitions • ……Strategic management of Innovation: – Knowledge as Platform for Strategizing – Design inside and outside the firm for Strategizing 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 64 Strategy and Innovation • Part I, Day 1 – What is strategy? Frameworks – External vs Internal Focus: Customer & Knowledge – Strategy and Design • Part II, Day 1 – Strategic Management of Innovation – Market and Firm Inertia • Photography Industry 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 65 Strategy and Innovation • Resources and capabilities provide a basis for firms to stay in the market, but also to exit early (too early) – Stay: Nokia, IBM, – Exit: Mannesmann, Polaroid, Swissair, Marconi • Sink or swim depends on??? 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 66 Innovation and Strategy 1. Death of “Dominant Design” – Firm versus its environment – Some examples – What watch do you wear? 2. Unlocking the Firm from “Old” 3. Locking into the “New”Design 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 67 Dominant Design • A product or service with a clear identity, a standard that we take for granted and has become widely diffused – – – – – 2004 Day 1 Car Windows Pizza Endoscopy Mobile Phone Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 68 performance/cost Patterns of Technological/Market Evolution time 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 69 Strategic Focus Evolves with the S-curve • • • • Compare “product life cycle” Emergence of dominant design From product to process innovation From functionality to volume and standardization 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 70 performance/cost Technological Substitution 2004 Day 1 time Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 71 E.g., Cash Machine E.g. ICT 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 72 Innovation: a matter of life and death • Think of a product that got pushed out of existence? • Why did substitution occur? • What happened to the “Owners” of that dominant design? • Examples in your Industry, Sector 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 73 2004 Day 1 Sail-ship built around 1910, capsized on maidenPennings voyage, TUM off Southampton Strategic Management Innovation 74 Wooden Tennis Rackets 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 75 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation A 1998 racket that is now the dominant design 76 Ergonomic Designs (which never made it!) 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 77 Evolution of Tennis Racket as Dominant Designs 100% 12% 17% 90% 38% 80% material - head - width - length 39% 32% New Racket Introduction 70% 61% 36% 77% 60% comp - over - wide - LONG comp - over - WIDE - regular comp - OVER - regular - regular 94% 100% 50% COMP - small - regular - regular 13% METAL - small - regular - regular WOOD - small - regular - regular 40% Miscellaneous 60% 30% 59% Graphite (plastic) 34% 47% 37% wooden 20% 10% 0% 1956 - 1965 1966 - 1970 1971 - 1975 1976 - 1980 1981 - 1985 1986 - 1990 1991 - 1995 1996 - 1998 2004 Day 1 Period Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 78 Tennis Racket Manufacturers • Outside Firms often Major Innovators – Prince with Metal and Titanium Racket – Star Players Play Big Role in Acceptance of New Paradigms – Best Ideas Need not be Winners! 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 79 Substitution • Old products languish, but hang on, long after new technology emerges • New products often launched by firms outside traditional industry • New technology creates new markets • Penetration of new technology typically begins with tiny sub-markets 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 80 Example of Mechanical Watches dying paradigm • • • • Mechanical engineering Swiss Guild-like handicraft Jewelry-like 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 81 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 82 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 83 Watch as a Closed Assembly System Components 1860 1950 1960 1970 1990 Energy Spring Battery Battery Battery Battery Tuning Fork Quartz Quartz Oscillation Escapemen Escapement Linkage t Gears Gears Gears Gears Face Analog Analog Analog Analog Electroni cs Digital Case Gold Gold Gold/Plastic Plastic Plastic Accuracy; Minutes/mon Minutes/Month Minutes/month; Min./mont Sec./year; 2 # of Parts th;300 ;200 100 h; 20 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 84 Watch as a Closed Assembly System • Note that a watch is more than time keeping device: – Marketing - expensive to cheap; “push” to “pull” – Distribution -jewelry stores to drugstores – Production - craft, mass to automated – State - cartel protection to global openness • so changes in dominant design not only in product but also institutions, practices, competencies, distribution and regulation-protectionism 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 85 Watch’s Dominant Design: take-aways • S-curve for both product & process innovation. • Global watch industry went to three significant technologymarket discontinuities: • Dominant design switches with three outcomes: – bankruptcy – entrepreneurship – weathering the storm 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 86 Other Examples: New paradigm often results in displacement of incumbents by new entrants • • • • • • • • • Mechanical to electronic to auto-kinetic watches Wired to wireless telecom Bank branches to ATMs Vacuum tubes to transistors Propulsion to jet engines Typewriters to word processors 35MM Camera to Digital Photos Disk drives for desktop to laptop PCs Brick&mortar bookstores to e-book retail 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 87 Strategy and Innovation • Part I, Day 1 – What is strategy? Frameworks – External vs Internal Focus: Customer & Knowledge – Strategy and Design • Part II, Day 1 – Strategic Management of Innovation – Market and Firm Inertia • Photography Industry 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 88 performance/cost Technological Substitution 2004 Day 1 35MM time Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation Digital 89 From 35MM to Digital Cameras 2004 Day 1 35MM with FILMPennings TUM 90 Digital with FLASH CARD Strategic Management Innovation Paradigm • 35MM 2004 Day 1 • Digital Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 91 Key Players, Value Chain • Players: – Kodak, Canon, Minolta, Fuji, Agfa-Gevaert, Sony, Zeiss Ikon, Polaroid (bankrupt in 2002), Casio • Value Chain: – (1) Housing, (2)Shutter mechanism, (3) Optics, (4) Flash and Power source, (5) Development, (6) Printing, (7) Wholesale and (8) Retail 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 92 Evolution in this “ecology” • • • • !: 80-85….2: 86-90….3: 91-95….. 4: 96-03 Photography Group Adjacent Groups (Computer HW and SW) Development Infrastructure 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 93 Evolution of Photography 80-85 35MM Cameras And Early DI (Sony MAVICA No Substitution Paradigm and its Trajectory Very “Obvious” 2004 Day 1 86-90 PC Revolution Internet and Email limited to Universities Photo CD with CD Player 1. Complementary technologies And 2. Firms with NE Strategies, hugging Aging Paradigms 91-95 ‘Counter’ Innovations 96-2003 Polaroid Bankrupt APS Price-adjusted Quality full Match Convergence In Full Swing Digital sales Exceeds Conventional Sales Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 94 Paradigm • 35MM : • Digital: – Complements are development, paper – 50Mn plus pixels – Limited duplication, transmission – Analog – Hard, Real – Key Players Kodak, Agfa, Fuji, also Canon – Companion Paradigms: Film and film reels, Movie Production, Projection 2004 Day 1 – Complements are PC, WWW, Email – Number of pixels growing – Duplication – Digital – Soft, Virtual – Key Players Canon, Sony, Minolta, and perhaps Kodak – Companion Paradigms: Editing, Visual arts, Movie Production Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 95 Key photography elements of product/service/delivery Relative Value Digital Price 2004 Day 1 Resolution Features Immediate Image Viewing Sharing Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 96 Photographic Process – Digital vs. Film Paradigm Traditional Film Image Lifecycle Slide Album Camera Slides Image Taken Developing Film Consumer Re-purchase Cycle Prints Negatives Photo Album Frequent re-purchases Digital Image Lifecycle Ink . Memory Cards Digital Camera Specialty Batteries 2004 Day 1 Printed on Home Printer Image Taken Image Transfer Software and Hardware Viewed on PC Photo Paper Printer Consumer Repurchase Cycle Professionally Printed On-line Stored on Home PC or CD-ROM Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation Infrequent re-purchase CD-ROM Infrequent repurchase 97 Imaging / Photography Value Chain Imaging Equipment • Canon • Nikon • Kodak • Olympus • Minolta • Polaroid Imaging Equipment • Sony • H-P 2004 Day 1 Imaging Media Imaging Transfer • Kodak film • Fuji film • Agfa film • Kodak Chemicals Imaging Media Imaging Transfer • SanDisk • Sony • Intel • Toshiba • Microsoft Software • Adobe Software • Kodak Software • Dell Software • H-P Printers / Ink • Epson Printers / Ink • Lexmark Printers / Ink Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation Imaging Storage • Kodak Paper • Fuji Paper Imaging Storage • Ofoto online • H-P paper • CVS.com • AH.com • CD-ROMs Imaging Display • Various Album Manufacturers Imaging Display • PC Manufacturers • Mobile Phones • Palm Pilots / PDAs 98 …..smile…. 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 99 Photography Industry - Milestones Year Event 2004 Day 1 1827 First photographic picture (Daguerre Type) 1880 Kodak founded by George Eastman 1882 Kodak roll film introduced 1900 Kodak introduces ‘Brownie’ camera 1981 Sony’s MAVICA digital video camera introduced 1986 Canon’s first all-digital camera introduced 1992 Kodak’s Photo CD introduced 1994 Compact Flash (from SanDisk) introduced 1996 Advanced Photo System (APS) introduced 1999 Kodak’s Ofoto Online service founded 2003 Digital Sales Exceeds 35 mm Sales 2004 Kodak Pennings TUM Stops making 35 mm camera Strategic Management Innovation 100 Cameras • Old versus New Paradigm – “Razor Blade” – Polaroid Dead and Kodak out of the Dow (DJIA) – Movie Theaters and Hollywood next? – Film, Paper and Album replaced by Digital – …..and WWW and Email – What is Next ? 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 101 Kodak Options – – – 2004 Day 1 Majority of Kodak’s revenues come from sales of films not cameras, and digital cameras do not use any film. How difficult for Kodak to give up its cash cow product. The economics of traditional photography are much more attractive for producers than those of digital. A constraint on Kodak? Finally, given that Kodak supports a vast organization on the basis of film sales, and that digital won’t yield profits for some time to come, how will this organization be supported in lieu of film sales. Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 102 Patents, Strategic Alliances, Joint Ventures….. Links Among Companies in Photo Subgroup (Alliances) 40 30 PhotoCentrality 20 Centrality (mean) 10 0 1980 2004 Day 1 1985 1990 1995 2000 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 103 Kodak’s Response to Digital Disruption • Approached digital photography as a threat to its core business – Saw cannibalization of existing film-based business – Focused on current consumer behavior vs. emergent technologies (Paradigm Hugging) – Focused on traditional film competitors (e.g. Fuji) 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 104 Kodak’s Response to Digital Disruption Before December 2001: –Kodak’s organization was organized by end-user market –The work of digital champions had to be divided among the various segments rather than as a unified strategy – Besides having the difficulty of charging one group with the responsibility to develop Kodak’s digital strategy, simple funding for R&D efforts would be divided among the existing segments –Given this structure, digital imaging was a threat to the established paradigm and its “owners” 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 105 Kodak Refocuses • Kodak restructured in 2002 to better integrate digital technology into its product line • Photography • Health Imaging • Commercial Imaging • Refocused on the business of “Photography” – Recognized the need to meet multiple market segments: • Consumers with differing needs, shopping habits, Internet usage, technical sophistication • Partnering with other firms 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 106 Kodak’s Prospects • Kodak is not the leader it once was; its core competencies in paper and film have become core rigidities • The photography market is likely to be much more fragmented • As we will see on June 13, we need a dedicated integrated business unit for new paradigm to overcome core rigidities 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 107 So far… lessons: 1. Death of “Dominant Design” – Firm versus its environment – Innovations – Inertia and Paradigm Huggers 2. Unlocking the Firm or Industry from “Old” Paradigm Photography Industry 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 108 First Day • Concept of Strategy • External (Customer, market) and Internal (Knowledge) View • Tools for Strategizing (Internal Structure and External Structures) • The Strategic Challenge for Players in their Industry in overcoming Inertia 2004 Day 1 Pennings TUM Strategic Management Innovation 109