Competitive Advantage in Mature Industries OUTLINE • Key success factors in mature industries • Strategic Implementation: Structure, Systems, Style • Strategies for declining industries Competitive Advantage in Retailing: Retailers with the Highest and Lowest Valuation Ratios TOP 15 Valuation Sales Ratio ($,bil.) Amazon.com (US) n.a. 3.9 Caremark Rx (US) 18.0 6.8 Expedia 16.6 0.6 Autozone (US) 13.1 5.3 Hennes & Mauritz (Swe.) 10.5 5.9 Next (UK) 10.1 3.6 Bed, Bath & Beyond (US) 8.5 3.7 Woolworth (Australia) 8.0 16.0 Gap (US) 4.1 14.5 TJX (US) 6.9 12.0 Inditex (Spain) 6.8 4.7 Wal-Mart (US) 5.7 244.5 Radio Shack 5.6 4.6 Family Dollar Stores 5.1 4.2 Best Buy (US) 5.0 20.9 BOTTOM 15 Valuation Sales Ratio ($, bil.) Toys-R-Us 0.6 11.3 J.C. Penny (US) 0.7 32.3 Federated Dept. Stores (US) 1.1 15.4 J. Sainsbury (UK) 1.1 29.8 Ito-Yokado (Japan) 1.1 28.0 Ahold 1.2 78.3 Safeway plc (UK) 1.3 29.8 Pinault-Printemps -Redoute (France) 1.4 32.2 Sears Roebuck (US) 1.4 41.4 Dixons Group (UK) 1.4 8.0 Albertson’s (US) 1.5 35.6 May Department Stores (US) 1.7 11.9 Office Depot (US) 1.7 11.4 CVS 1.9 24.2 Kingfisher (UK) 2.0 17.6 Key Success Factors in Mature Industries • Opportunities for sustainable competitive advantage are limited -- limited potential for differentiation -- technology stable and well diffused -- ease of entry due to well developed industry infrastructure and powerful distributors -- international competition : domestic cost advantage vulnerable • Sources of cost advantage -- Economies of scale -- Low-cost inputs -- Low overheads • Segment and customer selection -- As general industry environment deteriorates, important to locate attractive segments and woo good customers. • Sources of differentiation advantage -- Emphasis on image differentiation and differentiation through complementary services. • Sources of innovation -- Limited opportunity for product and process innovation but considerable opportunity for strategic innovation Sources of Strategic Innovation in Mature Industries • Reconfiguring the value chain: - Benetton and Zara in clothing - Southwest & Ryanair in airlines - Dell in PCs • Redefining markets and products - Swatch in watches - Starbucks in coffee shops - Barnes & Noble in book retailing • Innovative approaches to differentiation - Virgin Atlantic in air travel - Sephora in cosmetics retailing Who are the strategic innovators? • New entrants • Existing firms on the periphery • Firms from adjacent industries - CNN in news broadcasting - Nucor in the U.S. steel industry -Sun Records in rock ‘n roll music - Apple in consumer electronics Why not leading incumbents? • They are constrained by “industry recipes,” relationships with existing customers, investments in resources & capabilities linked to past strategies. RATE OF INNOVATION Product, Process, and Strategic Innovation over the Life Cycle Product innovation Strategic innovation Process innovation TIME Strategy Implementation in Mature Industries:The Traditional Model STRATEGY - Pursuit of cost efficiency through mass production STRUCTURE - Functional departments - Line and staff distinction - Job specialization CONTROLS - Quantitative, short-term performance targets - Hierarchical monitoring and control - Standard, formalized operating procedures, reporting, and management by exception. INCENTIVES - Emphasis on financial incentives linked to individual performance TOP MANAGEMENT - Primary functions are control and strategic decision making - Two main styles: politician and autocrat The Competitive Environment of Declining Industries Features of declining industries Smooth adjustment - Excess capacity - Lack of technological change - Consolidation (but some new entry as old firms exit) - Old machines and employees - Predictability of decline of capacity depends upon - Barriers to exit { Durable assets Costs of closure Management commitment - Strategies of surviving firms Strategy Options in Declining Industries LEADERSHIP Establish dominant market position -encourage exit of rivals -buy market share through acquisition -acquire capacity -demonstrate commitment -dispel optimism about the industry’s future -raise the stakes NICHE Identify an attractive segment and dominate it. HARVEST Maximize cash flow from existing sources DIVEST Get out while there is still a market for industry assets Strategy Alternatives for a Declining Industry COMPANY’S COMPETITIVE POSITION INDUSTRY STRUCTURE Favorable to decline Unfavorable to decline Strengths in remaining demand pockets Lacks strength in remaining demand pockets LEADERSHIP or NICHE HARVEST or DIVEST NICHE or HARVEST DIVEST QUICKLY Vertical Integration and The Scope of the Firm OUTLINE • Transactions Costs and the Scope of the Firm --Why does the firm exist? --The evolution of firms and markets • The Costs and Benefits of Vertical Integration • Designing Vertical Relationships • Recent Trends From Business Strategy to Corporate Strategy: The Scope of the Firm • Business Strategy is concerned with how a firm computes within a particular market • Corporate Strategy is concerned with where a firm competes, i.e. the scope of its activities • The dimensions of scope are – geographical scope – vertical scope – product scope Transactions Costs and the Scope of the Firm VerticalProduct Geographical Scope Scope Scope [A] Single Integrated Firm V1 V2 V3 [B] Several V1 Specialized V2 Firms linked by Markets V3 P1 P1 P2 P2 P3 P3 C1 C1 C2 C2 C3 C3 In situation [A] the business units are integrated within a single firm. In situation [B] the business units are independent firms linked by markets. Are the administrative costs of the integrated firm less than the transaction costs of markets? Transactions Costs and The Existence of the Firm • Transaction cost theory explains not just the boundaries of firms, also the existence of firms. • In 18th century English woollen industry, no firms – independent spinners and weavers linked by merchants. • Residential remodeling industry -- mainly independent selfemployed builders, plumbers, electricians, painters. • Key issue -- transaction costs of the market vs. administrative costs of firms. • Where transaction costs high—firm is more efficient means of organization Note: transaction costs comprise costs of search and contract negotiation and enforcement Aggregate Concentration in US Manufacturing, 1947-97 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 1947 1954 1962 1970 1978 1987 1997 Top-200 cos. share of value added in US manufacturing Determinants of Changes in Corporate Scope 1800 – 1980 Expanding scale and scope of industrial corporations due to declining administrative costs of firms: • Advances in transportation, information and communication technologies • Advances in management—accounting systems, decision sciences, financial techniques, organizational innovations, scientific management 1980 – 1995 Shrinking size and scope of biggest industrial corporations. Increasingly turbulent external environment Increased no. of managerial decisions. Need for fast responses to external change Admin. costs of firms rise relative to transaction costs of markets 1995 – 2007 Rapid increase in global concentration (steel, aluminium, oil, beer, banking, cement). Key drivers: quest for market power and scale economies. Also, large corporations better at reconciling size with agility The Costs and Benefits of Vertical Integration: BENEFITS • Technical economies from integrating processes e.g. iron and steel production —but doesn’t necessarily require common ownership • Superior coordination • Avoids transactions costs of market contracts in situations where there are: -- small numbers of firms -- transaction-specific investments -- opportunism and strategic misrepresentation -- taxes and regulations on market transactions Williamson (1975) • Complete vs incomplete contracts – Bounded rationality – Measurement problems – Information asymmetry Ensure all contracts are incomplete • Asset specificity creates quasi-rents – the difference in value of an asset in its best and next best use (fundamental transformation to small N bargaining or bilateral monopoly) • Site specificity – assets located side by side to save costs • Physical asset specificity – customized to a particular transaction • Human asset specificity – workers have specialized skills Holdup • The existence of quasi-rents creates the incentive for opportunism in the form of hold-up – E.g. If I make you the exclusive supplier of a critical part then I expose myself to your demands • Firms integrate to avoid the threat of hold-up or the costs of avoiding it (e.g. litigation, distrust) • Integration is efficient if the transaction costs of hold-up exceed governance costs • In theory, hold-up should be very rare because potential victims will integrate before being held up. The Costs and Benefits of Vertical Integration: COSTS • Differences in optimal scale of operation between different stages prevents balanced VI • Strategic differences between different vertical stages creates management difficulties (dominant logic) • Inhibits development of and exploitation of core competencies • Limits flexibility -- in responding to demand cycles -- in responding to changes in technology, customer preferences, etc. (But, VI may be conducive to system-wide flexibility) • Compounding of risk • Also lack of market prices increases inefficiency (may result in tapered integration –part internal, part market) When is Vertical Integration More Attractive than Outsourcing? How many firms are available to undertake the activities? The fewer the companies the more attractive is VI Is transaction-specific investment needed? If yes, VI more attractive Does limited information permit cheating? VI can limit opportunism Are taxes or regulation imposed on transactions? VI can avoid them Do the different stages have similar optimal scales of operation? Greater the similarity, the more attractive is VI Are the two stages strategically similar? Greater the strategic similarity ---the more attractive is VI How great the need for entrepreneurship & continual upgrading of capabilities Greater the need, the greater the disadvantages of VI How uncertain is market demand? Greater the unpredictability ----the more costly is VI Are risks compounded by linkages between vertical stages VI increases risk. The value chain for steel cans Iron ore mining Steel production Steel strip production Can making VERTICAL INTEGRATION, AND MARKET CONTRACTS VERTICAL INTEGRATION MARKET CONTRACTS Canning of food, drink, oil, etc. MARKET CONTRACTS What factors explain why some stages are vertically integrated, while others are linked by market transactions? More brainteasers • Why do car manufacturers not own dealerships anymore? • Why don’t Hollywood studios produce or exhibit films anymore? Why were they completely integrated before WWII? Designing Vertical Relationships: Long-Term Contracts and Quasi-Vertical Integration • Intermediate between spot transactions and vertical integration are several types of vertical relationships ---such relationships may combine benefits of both market transactions and internalization • Key issues in designing vertical relationships -- How is risk allocated between the parties? -- Are the incentives appropriate? Recent Trends in Vertical Relationships • From competitive contracting to supplier partnerships, e.g. in autos • From vertical integration to outsourcing (not just components, also IT, distribution, and administrative services). • Diffusion of franchising • Technology partnerships (e.g. IBM- Apple; Canon- HP) • Inter-firm networks General conclusion:- boundaries between firms and markets becoming increasingly blurred. High Different Types of Vertical Relationship Low Long-term contracts Joint ventures Agency agreements Spot sales/ purchases Informal supplier/ customer relationships Low Formalization Franchises Low Supplier/ customer partnerships Degree of Commitment Vertical integration High Birdseye Case • Why did Birds Eye develop as a vertically integrated producer the way it did? • Did a vertically integrated producer have a competitive advantage over more vertically specialized suppliers of frozen foods during the early 1980s? • What should Birds Eye have done in 1979?