Chapter 6: Scale Economies, Imperfect Competition, and Trade McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright 2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 6.1 Introduction Chapter Objective: To learn and understand the major developments in trade theories after the second World War. 6-2 Contents Intra-Industry Trade Economies of Scale Product Differentiation Overlapping Demand Product Cycle 6-3 6.2 Intra-Industry Trade 产业内贸易 Definition Intra-Industry Trade VS Inter-Industry Trade 6-4 Measurement Intra-Industry Trade Index IITX = 1 - ExportsX - ImportsX ExportsX + ImportsX 0 < IITX< 1 6-5 IIT as a Percentage of Trade in Nonfood Manufactured Goods Country 1989 2005 United States 55.3 58.3 Canada 54.3 63.2 Japan 27.8 41.2 Germany 62.6 67.5 France 71.3 73.9 United Kingdom 69.0 71.7 6-6 6.3 Trade with Economies of Scale Internal Economies of Scale External Economies of Scale 6-7 Internal vs. External Economies of Scale Firm’s ACX Firm’s ACX ACX ACX O Firm’s Output of X (a) Internal O Industry Output of X (b) External 6-8 Internal Economies of Scale Monopolistic Competition 垄断竞争 Modest Scale Economies Oligopoly 寡头垄断 Substantial Scale Economies 6-9 Monopolistic Competition and Trade Firm’s Production Decision without Trade 封闭条件下厂商的生产决策 6-10 Figure 6.4 Price and Cost per unit (Millions of yen per car) The Monopoly Element in Monopolistic Competition 3.1 Demand (D0) 1.5 Average Cost Marginal Cost 6 Quantity MR0 (Millions of cars per year) 6-11 Figure 6.5 The Competition Element in Monopolistic Competition Demand (D0) 6-12 Firm’s Production Decision Under Free Trade 开放贸易条件下厂商的生产决策 6-13 Figure 6.6 The Same Monopolistic Competitor after Opening Trade 6-14 Trade and Market Equilibrium 自由贸易条件下的市场均衡 6-15 Figure 6.7 The Automobile Market with No Trade and with Free Trade 6-16 Basis for Trade Product Differentiation 产品差异 Scale Economies 规模经济 6-17 Gains from Trade More Varieties Lower Prices 6-18 Welfare effects Little impact on income distribution between different factor owners. Gains from greater variety can offset losses in factor income resulting from inter-industry shifts in production. 6-19 Oligopoly and International Trade Oligopoly 寡头 Duopoly 双寡头 Large Civil Aircraft Market Boeing Airbus 6-20 Oligopoly and Trade Pattern Production is concentrated in a few countries, which are net exporters, and other countries are importers. 6-21 What is behind this pattern ? Comparative Advantage Economies of Scale 6-22 Can this pattern be changed ? Not easily. Scale Economies New entrants may suffer losses for price reductions and competition from old firms. 6-23 Oligopoly and Gains from Trade Oligopoly pricing National support for highprofit oligopoly firms 6-24 External Economies of Scale Industrial Agglomeration 产业集聚 Silicon Valley Hollywood Wall Street 6-25 (Short-run) (Long-run) 46 6-26 Welfare effects Producers in the exporting country tend to gain producer surplus despite of decline in price. Producers in the importing country lose producer surplus. Consumers in both countries gain consumer surplus. 6-27 Trade pattern Similar to trade with substantial internal economies of scale. Determination of locations • Size of domestic market • Historical luck • Government push 6-28 6.4 Technology-Based Theories of Trade: The Product Cycle Raymond Vernon 1966 雷蒙德·弗农 (1913-1999) Harvard University 6-29 Product Cycle New product Mature product Standardized product Introduction Maturity Growth Decline 6-30 Innovating Country Developed Countries Export O Import t1 t2 t3 t4 t5 t Developing Countries 6-31 6.5 Overlapping Demands as a Basis for Trade Staffan B. Linder 1961 林德 6-32 Product Quality QAmax QAmim O IAmim IAmax Income 6-33 Product Quality QBmax QAmax Trade QBmim QAmim O Income Overlap IAmim IBmim IAmax IBmax Income 6-34 SUMMARY Intra-Industry Trade Economies of Scale Product Cycle Hypothesis Overlapping-Demand Hypothesis 6-35 6-36 6-37 6-38 6-39 6-40 6-41 6-42 6-43 6-44 6-45