Something that can effectively replace something else.
In Quantity
And in Quality

Some Options for
Alternative Energy
Anything that replaces FOSSIL FUELS
LIQUID FUELS
Bio Fuels
Tar Sands
ELECTRICITY
Solar
Wind
Hydrogen
Nuclear
Hydro
Fuel Cells
Tidal/Wave
Geothermal
Fusion

87% is Fossil Fuels

Mind vs Body
Concept
Money
Quantity
Economics
Reality
Energy
Quality
Energetics

1 st Law of
Economics

Laws of Money

Laws of Money

Compound Growth

Exponential Growth

Perpetual Exponential Growth
The Money Onion NO LIMITS
This looks DANGEROUS!

Exponential Growth
10 lakhs
At 7% doubles in 10 years.
10 decades…..
Becomes 100 Crores
1024 times
BUT
So does use of RESOURCES
NO LIMITS

Money vs Energy
OIL
1860
Energy
Money

#1 - World RUNS on oil.
Transport Industry Agriculture Electricity

#1 - World RUNS on oil.
Transport Industry Agriculture Electricity

#1 - World RUNS on oil.
Transport Industry Agriculture Electricity

#1 - World RUNS on oil.
Transport Industry Agriculture Electricity

#1 - World RUNS on oil.
Transport Industry Agriculture Electricity
From 1 barrel ( 42 gallons) of oil
Only 78% goes to make petrol

#2 - World BUILT with oil.
The Remaining – 22% goes to make …..
Bitumen Plastics Fertilizers Lubricants

#2 - World BUILT with oil.
The Remaining – 22% goes to make …..
Bitumen Plastics Fertilizers Lubricants

#2 - World BUILT with oil.
The Remaining – 22% goes to make …..
Bitumen Plastics Fertilizers Lubricants

#2 - World BUILT with oil.
The Remaining – 22% goes to make …..
Bitumen Plastics Fertilizers Lubricants

#2 - World BUILT with oil.
The Remaining – 22% goes to make …..
Bitumen Plastics Fertilizers Lubricants

Rest goes into making.
Ammonia, Anesthetics, Antihistamines, Artificial limbs, Artificial Turf,
Antiseptics, Aspirin, Auto Parts, Awnings, Balloons, Ballpoint pens,
Bandages, Beach Umbrellas, Boats, Cameras, Candles, Car Battery Cases,
Carpets, Caulking, Combs, Cortisones, Cosmetics, Crayons, Credit Cards,
Curtains, Deodorants, Detergents, Dice, Disposable Diapers, Dolls, Dyes,
Eye Glasses, Electrical Wiring Insulation, Faucet Washers, Fishing Rods,
Fishing Line, Fishing Lures, Food Preservatives, Food Packaging, Garden
Hose, Glue, Hair Coloring, Hair Curlers, Hand Lotion, Hearing Aids, Heart
Valves, Ink, Insect Repellant, Insecticides, Linoleum, Lip Stick, Milk Jugs,
Nail Polish, Oil Filters, Panty Hose, Perfume, Petroleum Jelly, Rubber
Cement, Rubbing Alcohol, Shampoo, Shaving Cream, Shoes, Toothpaste,
Trash Bags, Upholstery, Vitamin Capsules, Water Pipes, Yarn

42 of 6000 items from Oil.
Solvents Diesel fuel Motor Oil Bearing Grease Ink Floor Wax Ballpoint Pens Football Cleats Upholstery
Sweaters Boats Insecticides Bicycle Tires Sports Car Bodies Nail Polish Fishing lures Dresses Tires Golf
Bags Perfumes Cassettes Dishwasher parts Tool Boxes Shoe Polish Motorcycle Helmet Caulking
Petroleum Jelly Transparent Tape CD Player Faucet Washers Antiseptics Clothesline Curtains Food
Preservatives Basketballs Soap Vitamin Capsules Antihistamines Purses Shoes Dashboards Cortisone
Deodorant Footballs Putty Dyes Panty Hose Refrigerant Percolators Life Jackets Rubbing Alcohol
Linings Skis TV Cabinets Shag Rugs Electrician's Tape Tool Racks Car Battery Cases Epoxy Paint Mops
Slacks Insect Repellent Oil Filters Umbrellas Yarn Fertilizers Hair Coloring Roofing Toilet Seats Fishing
Rods Lipstick Denture Adhesive Linoleum Ice Cube Trays Synthetic Rubber Speakers Plastic Wood
Electric Blankets Glycerin Tennis Rackets Rubber Cement Fishing Boots Dice Nylon Rope Candles Trash
Bags House Paint Water Pipes Hand Lotion Roller Skates Surf Boards Shampoo Wheels Paint Rollers
Shower Curtains Guitar Strings Luggage Aspirin Safety Glasses Antifreeze Football Helmets Awnings
Eyeglasses Clothes Toothbrushes Ice Chests Footballs Combs CD's & DVD's Paint Brushes Detergents
Vaporizers Balloons Sun Glasses Tents Heart Valves Crayons Parachutes Telephones Enamel Pillows
Dishes Cameras Anesthetics Artificial Turf Artificial limbs Bandages Dentures Model Cars Folding Doors
Hair Curlers Cold cream Movie film Soft Contact lenses Drinking Cups Fan Belts Car Enamel Shaving Cream
Ammonia Refrigerators Golf Balls Toothpaste Gasoline

#3 – Non-Renewable
Sun
Oil

300 Million Years of sunlight

Laws of Energy
ALL RESOURCES
Laws of Geology

Hubberts Curve
Peak

Hubbert’s Curve
Total Region

Money
Real World
Concept & Reality
Oil
Exponential Bell
Concept Reality

01/02/12
Money vs Oil
Money
Oil

Phase 1
Paradise Times

Layers of Concepts
The Money Onion

Phase # 2
Body Collapse

Concept # 5
Stock Market

Concept # 6
Fractional Reserve Banking

Concept # 7
No Gold Standard

Concept # 8
Leveraging

Concept # 8
Leveraging

Concept # 9
Options

Concept # 10
Derivatives

Concept # 10
Derivatives

Concept # 11
Glass Steagel Act

Concept # 12
Complex Financial Instruments

The Money Onion
Unbelievable Growth
Crazy Risk

Peak Oil
Concept Withers

March, 2008

Financial Collapse
50 Trillion dollars
2005

What do Alternative Energies need to achieve?
Run the Modern Industrial
World the way it runs now!
WHILE FIGHTING ENERGY
DESCENT!

To mitigate
Climate Change

 Maintain Perpetual Exponential Growth of Modern Industrial World.
 Follow Rules of Energetics

Rules of Energetics
RULE #1
Net Energy (ERoEI)
The Net Energy Gained has to be suitably high for the alternative to be viable.

Rules of Energetics
RULE #2
Oil Replaceability
Redesign the Modern Industrial
World to run on Electricity.
Entails a huge embedded energy cost.

Rules of Energetics
RULE #3
Oil Dependency
The alternative must not be too dependent on oil and its price.

Rules of Energetics
RULE #4
Energy Density
The energy density must compare with oil.

Rules of Energetics
RULE #5
Energy Density
The energy density must compare with oil.

Rules of Energetics
RULE #6
Scalability
The alternative has to be scalable to replace oil.

Rules of Energetics
RULE #7
Oil Byproducts
The alternative must give the byproducts of oil that are crucial to building, running & maintaining the
Modern Industrial World

The Energetics Truth
All Alternative Energies are….
ENERGY CONVERTERS

The Economic/Industrial Truth
Alternative Energies are useful ONLY if we….
• Accept Energy Descent
• Do honest Energy Accounting

The Whole Truth
It is not merely Alternative
Energies that we are seeking…
It is and Alternative World