HEALTH ECONOMICS & POLICY

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Market Competition
Because regulation has failed to contain
health care costs, managed care which
emphasized competition between
providers has grown, particularly in
employer based plans (about 20% of
Medicare and Medicaid)
 Cost savings still illusive because of
public backlash, increasing regulation
and remaining market distortions

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
Demand Side Market Failures
– Tax-exempt employer paid insurance which
creates MB<MC care and disproportionately
benefits high income taxpayers
– Employers don’t offer choice of plans (80% only
1), decreasing the incentive of the insurer to
respond to employer preferences and to decrease
premiums
– Employers that do offer plan choice pay fixed %
(usually 75-80%) of costs, not fixed $, which
induces employees to opt for the expensive plan
– Employers pay same premium for all employees
so little incentive for insurer to actively manage
high user care
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– Health care providers don’t want to
provide information on quality to
consumers, providing little incentive
for investments in improving quality
– Medicaid and private plans have very
low copays leading to little incentive to
economize on use
– Medicare copays are defeated by the
wide purchase of Medigap policies
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
Supply Side Market Failures
– Medical providers are consolidating, i.e., hospitals and
specialists

Federal judges have ruled nonprofit mergers are OK even if
they result in monopolies
– State regulations are increasing, because local politicians
are more susceptible to industry demands


Mandatory benefits, providers, licensing, training
Community rating, any willing provider laws
– Patient and/or MD ignorance

Specialists in the same area provide widely differing
care to patients with the same diagnoses. Inadequate
diagnosis or treatment knowledge ?
– Fee for service payments
4
Obama Health Plan Key
Features




Provides health coverage for another 32
million “legal” Americans, increasing %
with insurance from 83% to 95%
Provides subsidies to small businesses
and Medicaid for expanded coverage
Requires insurance coverage thru
employer or self
Will pay for expansion with new taxes
and cuts to Medicare
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Obama Health Plan : 3/23/10

Kaiser Foundation Timeline
– Source
http://www.kff.org/healthreform/8060.cfm

Kaiser Foundation Summary
– Source
http://www.kff.org/healthreform/upload/8
061.pdf
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Obama Health Plan: 3/23/10
Source: http://www.csmonitor.com/Money/Christian-Personal-Finance/2010/0325/What-Obama-s-newhealth-care-bill-means-for-us

Changes Happening in 2010
– Children age 26 and younger will be able to
remain covered under their parents health
insurance plans (this is increased from past
age limits which were anywhere from age 2225).
– Medicare recipients will receive a $250 rebate
to help in closing the “doughnut hole” (with
the goal being to close the doughnut hole
completely by 2020).
– Health insurance companies will be banned
from excluding coverage for pre-existing
conditions for children.
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– Adults with pre-existing conditions will be
eligible for coverage into high risk health
insurance pools until future health care
exchanges are up and running.
– Health insurance companies will be
prohibited from levying annual limits <
$750,000 and lifetime limits on coverage.
2014 and after, no annual limits.
– All new health insurance plans must
provide coverage for preventative services
with no out of pocket cost (all health plans
will be forced to comply by 2018).
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– Those companies that offer health benefits
for early retirees ages 55 to 64 will receive
assistance from a temporary reinsurance
program.
– All new health insurance plans will have to
comply with new regulations that lay out an
appeals process for when health insurance
claims are denied.
– Small businesses that employ less than 50
people are eligible for a tax credit equal to
35% of their health insurance premiums (this
increases to 50% by 2014).
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
Changes happening in 2011
– Medicare will offer wellness visits for free one
a year and personalized prevention plans. All
new Medicare plans will offer preventative
services with no out of pocket cost.
– Seniors enrolled in Medicare Advantage or the
Prescription Drug Plan will receive a 50%
discount on brand name drugs immediately
with additional prescription drug discounts to
follow.
– The current penalty tax of 10% on all
distributions from a Health Savings Account
before the age of 65 on nonqualified medical
expenses will increase to 20%.
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A small business alternative to a
cafeteria plan will be presented so that
small businesses can offer tax free
benefits without having to deal with the
administrative costs of a cafeteria plan.
 Everyone earning more than $200,000 as
an individual or $250,000 for those who
file married filing jointly will have their
Medicare payroll tax increased from the
current 1.45% to 2.35%.

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
Changes happening in 2013
– A $2,500 annual cap will be placed on all
contributions to flexible spending accounts
(amount indexed for inflation each subsequent
year).
– The current tax deduction that employers
receive for subsidizing the prescription drug
costs of their employees who are eligible for
Medicare Part D will be done away with.
– A 2.9% excise tax on the sale of medical devices
will be put into place. Certain common items
like glasses, hearing aids, etc. are exempted
from this tax.
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– The hospital insurance tax will increase an
extra .9% (2.35%) for those who earn more than
$200,000 ($250,000 for those married filing
jointly) and 3.8% tax on unearned income over
those amounts.
– Additional requirements on health insurance
companies to implement uniform standards for
exchanging health care information, electronic
communication, and other measures to reduce
insurance company administrative costs.
– The minimum threshold for being able to
claim an itemized deduction for health care
expenses increased from 7.5% to 10% of AGI
although those over the age of 65 can stay at
the 7.5% threshold through 2016.
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
Changes happening in 2014
– All US residents will be forced to have health
insurance coverage considered acceptable by the US
Government or else pay a fine of $95 in 2014, $325 in
2015, $695 in 2016 (capped at 2.5% of AGI). All of the
fines are per person per year except for families have a
cap on the total fine of $2,250 and the fine amount for
children is half of the adult fine.
– Eligibility standards are implemented for newly
formed health care exchanges. Exchanges will offer 4
types of plans: Bronze, Silver, Gold, Platinum &
Catastrophic. Only those <=30 buy individual
coverage can buy latter.
– Credits to buy insurance from exchanges will be based
on income levels. People earning up to 400% of
poverty level will have premiums of 2 – 10% of AGI
for Silver.
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– Businesses with 50 or more employees will face
a fine of either $2,000 or $3,000 per employee
for not offering health insurance coverage.
– Group health insurance plans have a maximum
waiting period of 90 days.
– Health insurance companies are prohibited
from using an individual’s health status to
issue a policy or renew a policy. All preexisting conditions must be covered and higher
health insurance rates cannot be levied because
of health, gender, etc. All insurers must offer
minimum benefit set (Bronze).
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– All health insurer plans must conform to 1
of 5 standards.
– The eligibility standards for Medicaid will
be changed to 133% of poverty for those
who are not considered elderly. Feds will
pay 90 – 100% of extra costs to States
– New annual fees will be levied on all large
health insurance providers and
pharmaceutical companies: $11Bil. in 2012-3,
$14B in 2014-16, and $18B afterwards.
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
Changes happening in 2018
– The “Cadillac” health insurance plan tax will
kick in. An excise tax (40%) will be levied on all
employer provided health insurance plans
costing more than $27,500 for families and
$10,200 for individuals (with increased limits
for those considered to be in “high risk”
professions).

Click on NY Times link for impact on
differing people:
– http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2010/03/24/
us/politics/20100319-health-careeffect.html?ref=policy#tab=2
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Pros & Cons
With or w/o reform, Health Care will
be 21% of GDP in 2019 (up from 16%)
 Liberal Pros:

– CBO says 32 million more people will be
covered by 2019
– Federal Cost is modest ($172 Billion) or
$5375 per person newly insured. More
Medicaid & subsidies to buy mandated
insurance.
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– Cost controls will actually stabilize
overall health care costs. So covering
many more people for same $4.7 Trillion
– No impact on Deficit due to tax
increases

Corrects for market failures by
providing consumers more info,
options, limits deductions for
medical expenses, & only way to
cover more people with existing
system
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Liberal Objections
Doesn’t insure everyone
 Still doesn’t control costs as much as
possible. Single payer option (either
private or public) would decrease
administrative costs
 Health insurers should all be nonprofits or government (like Europe &
Canada). No role for for-profits.

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
Canadians and Europeans are far
more satisfied with their health care
systems than Americans, even though
more state involvement. Health
outcomes better also.
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Conservative Objections
Won’t decrease health care costs
 Questionable assumption that
payments to MDs & others can be
limited. Some foresee 20% hospitals
refusing Medicare
 If employers opt to pay fine, govt.
subsidies to cover employees will soar
 Increased taxes on high incomes leads
to fewer jobs, production, savings

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Huge expansion of government into
private sector yielding less choice &
freedom
 Individual mandate is loss of freedom
and MB < MC
 Mandatory community rating will
increase uninsured by choice
 Cuts to Medicare MCOs will decrease
choice for seniors & decrease efficiency

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Conservative Reforms
Individual tax relief for everyone,
regardless of where they work, to
purchase their own insurance.
 Replace tax deduction for employer
contribution with tax credit for
individual purchase
 No barriers to interstate insurance
sales

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Allow employers to convert from defined
benefit to defined contribution plans
 Move Medicare to defined contribution
plan & allow Medicare clans to opt out
 Promote new group purchasing based on
organization memberships & associations
 More consumer-directed options like
health savings accounts & flex plans

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•
Extend rational pre-existing
condition provisions in individual
plans rewarding responsible
behavior
• Equal payment for traditional
Medicare & MCO Medicare
• Encourage states to set up highrisk pools and consumer based
reforms
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• Provide Medicaid insurees with opt
out to private insurance
• Increase fraud & abuse efforts in
Medicaid
• Encourage private savings and
private long term care insurance to
solve long term care needs
• Stop new tax increases and promote
tax cuts to expand private insurance
coverage
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