the THE EAST AFRICA BUDGETS Report

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T H E E A S T A F R I C A B U D G E T S :

C O M P A R A T I V E A N A L Y S I S O F 2 0 1 5 / 2 0 1 6

P O S T B U D G E T R E V I E W B R E A K F A S T M E E T I N G

S E R E N A H O T E L , 1 5 J U N E 2 0 1 5

C O U T T S O T O L O , C H I E F E X E C U T I V E O F F I C E R

© 2009 Crowe Horwath International

Audit | Tax | Advisory Exceeding Expectations

© 2009 Crowe Horwath International

Presentation layout

 Overview of Parker Randall Eastern Africa

Introduction to EAC 2015/16 Budget

 An Overview of the EAC Economic Environment

 Priority Sectors Across the EAC Region

 Measures in the Budgets to Facilitate and Sustain Regional

Growth

Potential Business Opportunities

 Contradictions / Issues Arising from the Budgets

Q&A

Parker Randall

 A connected international firm that provides proactive solutions to business at local, regional and global level.

 Global Provider of Assurance, Tax and Advisory Services.

 Presence in over 43 countries,100 offices and 2000 Partners and professional staff.

 Structured into 5 regions; Americas, Europe, Middle East, Africa, and Asia

Pacific.

 Parker Randall Eastern Africa is the Africa Leader.

 Anchor Africa offices in Mauritius, Kenya, Rwanda, Egypt, Botswana,

Sudan and Nigeria.

 Parker Randall Eastern Africa serves the client needs across over 14 countries in the EA region:-

 Established 2014

5 Partners across all the service lines

 Partners, Directors and Managers with big 4 experience

 32 employees and growing

© 2009 Crowe Horwath International

Introduction to EAC 2015/16 Budgets

 Examines four EAC Economies – Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda and

Rwanda

Budget speech and financial period coordinated across the region

 Average EAC projected economic growth is above the global estimate (6.5% against 3.5%)

 The EAC budgets have allocations to enhance regional integration and promote intra trade

Opportunities and challenges for investments in the region

 The table below indicates the overview of EAC economic performance.

© 2009 Crowe Horwath International

An Overview of the EAC Economic Environment

Indicator

Population (Million)

GDP (US $ bn)

Projected econ growth (%)

Inflation (%)

Budget amount(US$ bn)

Domestic revenue (US$ bn)

Domestic financing (US$ bn)

External financing (US$ bn)

Appropriations in aid & grants

(US$ bn)

Kenya Tanzania Uganda Rwanda

42.8

49.6

35.8

11.3

59.2

7.0

6.9

21.0

13.2

2.4

3.5

1.9

36.4

7.3

4.5

10.5

6.5

2.9

1.1*

-

* This represents grants and loans from external sources.

24.9

5.8

5.5

7.7

3.6

2.3

1.5

0.3

9.0

6.5

2.6

2.6

1.5

0.2

0.4

0.5

© 2009 Crowe Horwath International

Priority Sectors Across the EAC Region

Tanzania Uganda Kenya Rwanda

Security – 13% Election and referendum

Infrastructure

(energy & ICT

& transport) –

15%

Agricultural transformation

– 4%

Rural development –

6.2%

Infrastructure & transportation –

15.1

Infrastructure – 18% Infrastructure

& Energy –

16%

Energy – 15% Agricultural transformation

– 7%

Health – 11% Education and health – 38%*

Tap latent talent – 2%

Energy and minerals – 5.7%

Security – 9%

*

Include the other component of EDRS I – Macro Economic stability and Public Finance Support organs.

© 2009 Crowe Horwath International

Measures in the Budgets to Facilitate and Sustain Regional

Growth

 Harmonization of import and export duties and VAT:

 Reduction of IDF in Kenya from 2.25% to 2.0 %

 Export duty rate on hides and skins to 80%

 Zero rating of services in respect to goods in transit. Previously exempted

 Increase of import duty across various products to encourage to local production(Semolina, toothpaste tubes, fishing nylons, sugar)

 Investment in infrastructure to improve connectivity

 Addressing insecurity concerns (tourism, businesses)

 Provisions to enhance the capacity of Institutions mandated to fight corruption

 Intention of developing a framework to facilitate leasing as an alternative financing mechanism for capital expenditure

© 2009 Crowe Horwath International

Measures in the Budgets to Facilitate and Regional Sustain

Growth (Cont’d)

 Implementation of Trade Net System (single window system) i.e. Kentrade in Kenya.

 Establishing fully integrated one stop centre for investors across the region e.g. RDB in Rwanda

 Improving public service delivery examples i.e. Huduma

Centres.

 Rehabilitation and improvements of airports – e.g. Entebbe,

JKIA, Malindi and Kisumu.

 Establishments of industrial parks

 Tax incentives - on-job training for 10 graduates

 Structural reforms in the financial sector

 Core capital of Kenyan banks and Uganda Development Bank.

 Core capital and risk based capital of insurance companies.

© 2009 Crowe Horwath International

Potential Business Opportunities Within EAC

 Pasta manufacturing

 Agricultural sector – value addition, farm inputs, farming

 Construction sector

 293 schools in Uganda

 Industrial parks

 SGR

 Industrial supply chain - 40% local content

 Film industry – exempt WHT for crews and actors, VAT exempt on goods and services; proposed fund for rebating expenses by producers

 ICT sector

 Textile and leather industries

 New investments in water facilities and small holder irrigation equipment – reap on tax incentives.

© 2009 Crowe Horwath International

Contradictions / Issues Arising from Budget

 Requirement of gazettement manufacturers of specific products e.g. pasta manufacturers

 Duty remissions of duties across some sectors/products

 Establishing of a National Construction Company – unfair competition

 Sin tax vis-à-vis illicit brews

 Strengthening of Anti Laundering Act vis-à-vis planned measures to encourage repatriation of wealth held abroad

 Cost burden of infrastructure spending i.e. Kenyan fuel levy

 M-Akiba bond- enhance savings at the expense of discretionally spending

© 2009 Crowe Horwath International

© 2009 Crowe Horwath International

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