Chapter 20 The Student Handbook to THE APPRAISAL OF REAL ESTATE The Income Capitalization Approach 1 The Income Capitalization Approach The present value of a property can be considered to be the present value of the future benefits, which are the cash flows and the resale value of the property. Relationship to appraisal principles Anticipation and change Supply and demand Applicability and limitations Interests to be valued Leased fee Leasehold Student Handbook to THE APPRAISAL OF REAL ESTATE Chapter 20 2 Leases Types of leases Flat rental lease Variable rate lease Step-up or step-down lease Lease with annual increase Revaluation lease Percentage lease Expenses in leases Gross lease Net lease Triple net lease Student Handbook to THE APPRAISAL OF REAL ESTATE Chapter 20 3 Rent Common rent types Market rent Contract rent Effective rent Excess rent Deficit rent Percentage rent Overage rent Student Handbook to THE APPRAISAL OF REAL ESTATE Chapter 20 4 Future Benefits Potential gross income (PGI) Starting point As if full and w/o collection losses Effective gross income (EGI) PGI less vacancy and collection losses Net operating income (NOI or IO) EGI less fixed expenses and variable expenses Less reserves for replacement (sometimes) Student Handbook to THE APPRAISAL OF REAL ESTATE Chapter 20 5 Future Benefits, continued Equity dividend – also called cash on cash Equity income (IE) divided by equity input (VE – down payment) The ratio of the income to the equity to the equity input (down payment) Ignores the value of the reversion Reversion – return of the investment Sometimes it is nothing. Sometimes it is a meaningful amount. Student Handbook to THE APPRAISAL OF REAL ESTATE Chapter 20 6 Reconstructed Operating Statement Student Handbook to THE APPRAISAL OF REAL ESTATE Chapter 20 7 Operating Expenses Necessary to maintain the property Debt service not included Fixed expenses – do not vary with occupancy Variable expenses – do vary with occupancy Replacement allowance – included if expense is included in capitalization rates of comparable properties but not if expense is not Student Handbook to THE APPRAISAL OF REAL ESTATE Chapter 20 8 Rates of Return Return on and return of capital Return on an investment is like the interest on a mortgage. Return of an investment is like the principal payments on a mortgage. Income rates Overall capitalization rate (RO) – ratio of a single year’s income (periodic) to the sale price or value (lump sum) Net income multiplier – reciprocal of overall capitalization rate Student Handbook to THE APPRAISAL OF REAL ESTATE Chapter 20 9 Capitalization Rate Extraction Worksheet Subject Sale 1 $1,985,000 Sale 2 $1,458,000 Sale 3 $3,258,000 $510,000 $369,000 $253,680 $601,000 Reported sale price PGI for next year Vacancy & collection loss EGI for next year Operating expense next year Taxes Insurance Management $0.05 Maintenance - building Maintenance - grounds Utilities Reserve fund - roof covering Reserve - parking lot Reserve fund - HVAC Reserve fund - elevator Tenant improvements Total expenses Net operating income -$25,500 -$25,830 -$15,221 -$48,080 $484,500 $343,170 $238,459 $552,920 $56,000 $10,600 $24,225 $22,050 $11,000 $67,000 $5,000 $4,500 $3,200 $1,500 $5,500 $210,575 $44,258 $9,600 $17,159 $16,055 $8,000 $55,000 $4,200 $3,900 $2,500 $1,200 $4,400 $166,272 $26,000 $4,500 $11,923 $10,700 $4,900 $34,000 $2,600 $2,500 $2,900 $1,800 $3,500 $105,323 $72,000 $14,500 $27,646 $26,500 $13,800 $76,800 $4,200 $7,500 $6,200 $3,600 $12,600 $265,346 $273,925 $176,899 $133,136 $287,574 Extracted capitalization rates 8.91% $273,925 / 9.13% $0.09 8.83% = $3,043,611.11 Student Handbook to THE APPRAISAL OF REAL ESTATE Chapter 20 10 Rates of Return, continued Discount rates Internal rate of return – rate of return on the investment considering the price paid for the investment, the periodic cash flows, and the reversion Overall yield rate – rate of return including debt and equity Equity yield rate – rate of return from the perspective of the equity investor, i.e., the rate of return on the amount paid as a down payment from periodic income after debt service and including the reversion after the debt has been paid off Student Handbook to THE APPRAISAL OF REAL ESTATE Chapter 20 11 Cash Flow Projection For reversion value only Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Tenant 1 $72,000 $72,000 $72,000 $84,000 $84,000 $84,000 Tenant 2 $66,144 $66,144 $66,144 $66,144 $66,144 $66,144 Tenant 3 $51,600 $53,000 $60,000 $60,000 $60,000 $60,000 Tenant 4 $14,400 $18,000 $19,200 $19,200 $19,200 $19,200 Tenant 5 $27,780 $27,780 $27,780 $27,780 $27,780 $30,558 Tenant 6 $28,800 $24,000 $33,600 $33,600 $33,600 $33,600 Potential gross income $260,725 $260,924 $278,724 $290,724 $290,724 $293,502 Vacancy and collection (4%) -$10,429 $250,296 -$10,437 $250,487 -$11,149 $267,575 -$11,629 $279,095 -$11,629 $279,095 -$11,740 $281,762 $55,000 $56,650 $58,350 $60,100 $61,903 $63,760 $195,296 $193,837 $209,225 $218,995 $217,192 $218,002 Last year's income divided by the cap. rate $2,158,366 Effective gross income All expenses Net operating income Reversion (10%) Cash flow $195,295 $193,837 $209,225 $218,995 $2,375,558 Discounted at (9%) Present values 0.9174 $179,164 0.8417 $163,153 0.7722 $161,564 0.7084 $155,136 0.6499 $1,543,875 $2,202,891 Student Handbook to THE APPRAISAL OF REAL ESTATE Chapter 20 12 Estimating Rates Risk A big factor because risk is a primary component of the yield rate A risky investment requires a higher return than a less risky investment. Investment-specific Student Handbook to THE APPRAISAL OF REAL ESTATE Chapter 20 13 Estimating Rates, continued Inflation Also a factor in the yield rate The change in the buying power of the currency will affect the investment criteria. Unfortunately, almost all competing investments suffer under the same inflation rate. Therefore, competition will not allow the investor to adjust for this factor. Investors may want higher yields during high inflation periods, but the alternatives may not allow it. Student Handbook to THE APPRAISAL OF REAL ESTATE Chapter 20 14 Capitalization Procedures Direct capitalization Uses a single year’s income Based on the ratio of property income to sale price Yield capitalization Uses multiple years’ income Based on the assumption that all investments are the present value of future cash flows. Student Handbook to THE APPRAISAL OF REAL ESTATE Chapter 20 15 Capitalization Procedures, continued Direct capitalization, yield capitalization, and discounting compared If income is level and the data is good, direct capitalization is easy and accurate. If income is irregular or data is hard to obtain, discounted cash flow analysis will work better. The discounted cash flow model essentially says, “How much do I get and when do I get it?” Student Handbook to THE APPRAISAL OF REAL ESTATE Chapter 20 16 Problems Suggested solutions begin on page 428. Student Handbook to THE APPRAISAL OF REAL ESTATE Chapter 20 17 Problem 7 Purchase price Mortgage amount @ 75% Down payment @ 25% of sale price Net operating income = Annual debt service Income to the equity Income to the equity/equity investment $1,235,000 -$926,250 $308,750 $96,000 -$78,558 $17,442 5.65% Student Handbook to THE APPRAISAL OF REAL ESTATE Chapter 20 18 Problems 8 and 10 Base rent Sales % rent Less base Overage income Problem 8 5,000 X $ $ 850,000 $ 600,000 $ 250,000 X 12 = 3% = $ 60,000 $ 7,500 $ 67,500 Problem 10 Tenant PGI 1 60,000 2 75,000 3 65,000 4 75,000 PGI 275,000 V&C -13,750 EGI 261,250 Expenses -100,000 NOI 161,250 Student Handbook to THE APPRAISAL OF REAL ESTATE Chapter 20 19