Salford Strategic Partnership Board
23rd October 2009
Salford Recession Task Group
Indicator Dashboard
September 2009
Salford Recession Task Group
• Formed to combat & mitigate the impact of the
Recession on people, businesses and visitors to
Salford.
• Chaired by the Leader of the Council and attended by
key partners.
• Meets monthly.
• Recession Indicator Dashboard – Resident, Business,
Place.
• Recession Partners Priorities Plan
Recession Indicator Dashboard
Resident monitor
September 2009
10.0%
9.0%
8.0%
7.0%
6.0%
5.0%
4.0%
3.0%
2.0%
1.0%
0.0%
Worsley&B'town
Claremont
Aged 25-49
Kersal
Swinton South
Irlam
Walkden South
Cadishead
Pendlebury
Aged 18-24
Eccles
Swinton North
Weaste &
Winton
Pendleton
Aged under 18
Barton
Blackfriars
Little Hulton
Walkden North
Ordsall
Broughton
Langworthy
% of working age population in receipt of
JSA
Salford JSA claimant rates: Aug 2009
Aged 50+
Salford
GM
NW
UK
Source: DWP Claimant Count
Aug 2009
Apr 2009
Dec 2008
Aug 2008
Apr 2008
In-Flo w
Dec 2007
Aug 2007
Apr 2007
Dec 2006
Aug 2006
Apr 2006
Dec 2005
Aug 2005
Apr 2005
Dec 2004
Number of people
Salford JSA: Flows In and Flows Off
Off-Flo w
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
Source: Claimant Count, DWP 2004-2009
Notified Redundancies Aug 2009: 280
Notified Redundancies Q1 2009: 489
23
Manufacturing
26
Transport and storage
231
Real Estate
Citizens’ Advice Bureau cases in Salford
Issue By Category
2007/08
2008/09
2009/10
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Unsecured Debt
(credit/store/charge cards
plus unsecured loans
244
473
552
907
933
1012
Unsecured Debt (Hire
Purchase arrears plus
catalogue and mail order
debts)
42
128
113
135
175
Redundancy
29
52
85
140
123
98
Job Seekers Allowance
80
105
162
187
218
196
Mortgage & secured loan
arrears
48
89
127
112
129
Bankruptcy
20
42
45
43
58
36
Selected total
463
889
1084
1524
1636
1654
174
138
Homeless Presentations / Acceptances
Year
Presentations
Acceptances
Acceptance
Rate
Per ‘000
households
2006/07
1410
1057
75%
9.9
2007/08
968
587
61%
5.5
2008/09
825
461
56%
4.3
2009/10
210
116
55%
N/A
(Q1 01.04.09 –
31.08.09)
Recession Impact Monitoring to
31.08.09
31.07.09 Monitoring
Homelessness
presentations
210
Of which, for
mortgage arrears
1
0.47%
Homelessness
acceptances
116
Of which, for
mortgage arrears
1
0.86%
Housing Advice
presentations
873
Of which, for
mortgage arrears
6
0.69%
Total Number on Waiting List
19, 692
households
Arrears and Repossessions – Spatial
Mapping
Arrears and Repossessions – Spatial
Mapping
Recession Indicator Dashboard
Business monitor
September 2009
Trading Conditions
• 37% of Salford firms are above average risk whilst GM
has 33% and NW has 28% (BLNW 10.09.09)
• Commercial property deals took an average of 211
days in quarter 1, compared to 242 in previous quarter
• Gap between asking and achieved price was 11% in
quarter 1 compared to 4% in previous quarter
• Main business support enquiries concern access to
finance and training
• Still difficult to raise finance through the banks – cash
flow is still a major issue
Demand for business support services
2008/09
2009/10
Service
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
To date
Number of business
enquiries to Economic
Development
218
200
234
357
223
370
Number of business
starts via intensive
assistance
50
50
26
39
49
50 (est)
Attendance at business
events
N/A
55
90
105
95
120
Commercial Delphi Risk Score
Number of employees
Recession Indicator Dashboard
Place monitor
September 2009
Serious acquisitive crime Aug 08 – Aug 09
Aug-08
Se
p08
Oc
t08
No
v08
De
c08
Ja
n09
Fe
b09
Ma
r09
Ap
r09
Ma
y09
Ju
n09
Ju
l09
Au
g09
Tot
al
Serious Acquisitive
Crime (All)
557
663
74
8
699
668
634
535
616
569
646
505
57
1
494
790
5
Burglary Dwelling
188
182
19
0
183
212
210
158
167
188
194
131
14
1
141
228
5
Theft from Motor
Vehicle
254
351
43
4
401
313
264
250
324
254
313
275
30
1
235
396
9
Theft of Motor Vehicle
83
90
85
65
70
86
76
74
81
87
62
83
71
101
3
Robbery - Business
11
10
6
14
20
22
10
6
5
9
10
16
16
155
Robbery - Personal
21
30
33
36
53
52
41
45
41
43
27
30
31
483
Serious Acq. Crim e Aug 08 - Aug 09
800
Serious Acquisitve Crime (All)
600
Burglary Dw elling
Theft from Motor Vehicle
400
Theft of Motor Vehicle
200
Robbery - Business
0
Robbery - Personal
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Average house sales prices
£200,000
Start of credit crunch
Average House Sales Price (£)
£180,000
£160,000
£140,000
£120,000
£100,000
£80,000
£60,000
£40,000
£20,000
£-
2002 Q1 2003 Q1 2004 Q1 2005 Q1 2006 Q1 2007 Q1 2008 Q1 2009 Q1
Manchester
Salford
Manchester Salford Pathfinder
Total number of house sales
3700
Start of credit crunch
3300
Number of sales
2900
2500
2100
1700
1300
900
500
100
2003 Q1
2004 Q1
Manchester
2005 Q1
2006 Q1
Salford
2007 Q1
2008 Q1
2009 Q1
Manchester Salford Pathfinder
p
Pathfinder
p
Manchester
p
Salford
p
ar
M
Se
ar
M
Se
ar
M
Se
04
3
09
08
08
07
07
06
06
05
05
04
ar
p
M
Se
ar
M
Se
ar
pt
0
M
Se
% of Total Properties
Residential void rates
15%
Start of credit crunch
10%
5%
0%
And so…our response has
developed…
•
•
•
•
•
•
Cabinet
Credit Salford
Salford Strategic Partnership
Recession Task Group
Audit Commission
Crime & Disorder Reduction Partnership
Frequency
Governing Body
Attendees
Monthly
Greater Manchester
Executive
Political Leaders
Monthly
Association of
Greater Manchester
Chief Executives
Chief
Executives
Monthly
Team Manchester Economic
Development Leads
Lead ED
Officers - GM Districts/ Commission
Monthly
TMEDL Task and Finish Group
GM Partners /ED Leads
Bi-Monthly
Salford Local Strategic Partnership
Board
Monthly
Salford Recession Task Group
Monthly
Credit Salford
Main LSP
Board
Partnership
Board
Officer
Executive
Response – Partners Priorities Plan
• Developed by the Salford Recession Task Group.
• Range of actions designed to mitigate the impact of the
Recession.
• Monitored monthly via the Recession Task Group
• Includes newly developed Recession web pages:
www.salford.gov.uk/living/advice/recession
Getting and keeping a job
Deliver local support to reduce impact of
economic downturn
Develop and deliver working
neighbourhood teams
Integrate worklessness/ 14-19 agendas
Reduce re-offending and assist the
rehabilitation of offenders
Improve job opportunities for care leavers
Maximise the take-up of educational
maintenance allowance
Expand pathways to employment
programme to support worklessness
Getting and keeping a home
Deliver Salford Housing Options Point –
SHOP
Tackle increasing homelessness
Deliver effective housing applications
process
Develop plans for delivery of a Council
managed mortgage scheme
Protect people’s homes
Disrupt and prevent acquisitive crime that
affects people’s homes.
Address the increased risk of domestic
abuse, associated homelessness and
economic impact on families
Supporting new and existing
businesses
Deliver prompt payment to suppliers
Deliver business start up support
Deliver support for existing businesses
Encourage local economic benefit
Promote Salford’s commercial premises
Tackle businesses dealing in counterfeit
products
Develop tourism in Salford to support
local businesses
Support businesses by tackling crimes
that impact on them
Knowing where to turn – publicity
about resources of help
Launch tackling recession website and
helpline
Promote sources of recession help
Target financial support/ advice
Enhance access to benefits advice and
income maximisation
Enhance access to debt advice
Maintaining income and managing debt
Deliver fast-track benefit claims service
Design flexible debt recovery procedures
Promote affordable credit and combat
illegal money lending
Develop the financial inclusion agenda
Promote affordable warmth
Develop and implement child poverty
strategy
Deliver quality income/ debt advice to
employees
Making the most of public resources
Deliver the Council as an exemplar
employer
Develop the local employment benefit of
Mediacity:UK
Integrate community safety with other
activity in areas that recession has hit
hardest
Promote take-up of free school meals
Develop the horticultural academy
So that we…
‘…do create a robust, growing and dynamic City
economy that plays a leading role at the heart of
Greater Manchester and meets the needs and
aspirations of Salford people’
Salford Economic Development Plan
So that we…
‘…do create a robust, growing and dynamic City
economy that plays a leading role at the heart of
Greater Manchester and meets the needs and
aspirations of Salford people’
Salford Economic Development Plan
So…the Council and its Partners are
doing a lot…
•
•
•
•
What does the Recession feel like for you in Salford?
Are we taking the right approach?
What more can we do?
What could you bring to the table?