Ragnar Arnason Department of Economics, University of Iceland Principles of Fisheries Management DRAFT A paper prepared for the Workshop on Policy and Planning for Coastal Fisheries Resources University of South Pacific, Suva, Fiji, January 28 to February 8 2008. 2 Table of Contents Page B. Fundamentals of Fisheries Management 3 1. The fisheries management regime 4 2. The fisheries management system Technical appendix 1 7 2.1 Biological fisheries management 2.2 Direct economic restrictions Technical appendix 2 Technical appendix 3 16 23 2.3 Taxes and subsidies Technical appendix 4 39 2.4 Property rights Technical appendix 5. Technical appendix 6. Technical appendix 7. 49 2.5 Fisheries Management Systems: Conclusions 89 3. Monitoring, Control and Surveillance 3.1 Monitoring 3.2 Enforcement 3.3 The Cost of MCS Technical appendix 8 91 92 95 96 4. Fisheries Judicial System 4.1 The simple theory of violations 4.2 Conclusions Technical appendix 9 105 105 113 .References 116 C. Cases of Fisheries management References 119 153 3 B. Fundamentals of Fisheries Management Theoretical fisheries economics, outlined in Section A above, shows that unmanaged fisheries from a common property resource are economically wasteful. In fact, according to the theory, such fisheries generally manage to squander most or all of the attainable economic rents from the fisheries. This theoretical prediction is confirmed by the experience from unmanaged common property fisheries worldwide. Virtually without exception such fisheries are characterized by excessive fishing fleets and fishing effort, overexploited fish stocks and small or no economic rents (FAO, 1993, Arnason, 1993, OECD, 1997). Thus, theoretical evidence and empirical evidence go hand in hand on this matter. Both clearly demonstrate the need for some judicious interference in the fisheries process if the potential economic benefits of the fisheries are to be realized. This judicious interference or fisheries management is the subject of this chapter. The chapter is organized broadly as follows. We begin by defining the concept of a fisheries management regime consisting of (i) the fisheries management system, (ii) the monitoring, control and surveillance system and (iii) the fisheries judicial system. Following this, in section 2, the various options for a fisheries management system are discussed and their efficiency properties evaluated. The monitoring, control and surveillance system is considered in section 3 and the fisheries judicial system in section 4. Finally, in section 5, we consider some pertinent aspects of the complete fisheries management regime. 4 1. The fisheries management regime All fisheries, whether they are explicitly managed or not, are subject to an overall framework of social institutions. We refer to this institutional framework as the fisheries management regime. Essentially, the fisheries management regime is a set of social prescriptions and procedures that control the fishing activity. In some cases, the fisheries management regime is quite intricate, involving several formal organizations and activities. In others it is quite simple; consisting merely of a few social customs and prescriptions. Irrespective of their complexity, however, all fisheries management regimes must logically comprise the following three basic components: The fisheries management system. The monitoring, control and surveillance system. The fisheries judicial system. Figure 2.1 Components of the Fisheries Management Regime The fisheries management system (FMS) specifies the regulatory framework for the fishing activity. It consists of all the rules that the fishing activity must obey such as gear and area restrictions, fishing licences, catch quotas etc. In many countries, most fisheries rules are based on explicit legislation. In others, they are primarily based on social customs and conventions. The primary task of the monitoring, control and surveillance (MCS) system is to observe the fishing industry’s activities and to enforce its adherence to the rules of the fisheries management system. Its secondary, but nevertheless very important, task is to collect data about the fishery that can be used to improve both the fisheries management and fisheries judicial systems as well as the monitoring, control and surveillance system itself. The fisheries judicial system (FJS) is usually a part of the general judicial system. It should be noted, however, that in most societies, formal judicial processes are complemented by informal ones. The function of the fisheries judicial system is to process alleged violations of fisheries management rules and issue sanctions to those 5 deemed to have violated the rules. The fisheries judicial system thus complements the monitoring, control and surveillance activity in enforcing the fisheries management rules. These three components of the fisheries management regime are strongly interdependent. For example, the fisheries rules specified by the fisheries management system define the necessary monitoring, control and surveillance activity as well as the focus of the fisheries judicial system. Similarly, the extent and quality of the monitoring control and surveillance system have obvious implications for the fisheries judicial system and the relevance of the various rules contained in the fisheries management system. All three components of the fisheries management regime are crucial to its success. They are, so to speak, links in the same chain. If one of them fails, the fisheries management regime as a whole fails. Thus, for instance, a perfectly designed fisheries management system will accomplish nothing is not supported by a strong monitoring, control and surveillance system. Fishing firms, just like any other profit maximizing firms, are not for long going to follow rules that are not enforced. Indeed, the laws of competition inform us that in an environment of non-enforcement of rules, firms that nevertheless follow the rules will soon be driven out of business by the superior performance of the firms that break the rules. For this reason, a fine fisheries management system will be useless if it is not supported by the appropriate monitoring, control and surveillance activity. Similarly, a well designed fisheries management system, supported by a good monitoring, control and surveillance activity will accomplish very little if the fisheries judicial system fails to provide the necessary back-up for these two systems. If violators of the fisheries management rules are left unpunished, even when spotted and apprehended, they will of course have little incentive to follow the rules. Hence, it should be clear that to achieve full benefits from fisheries management, all three components of the fisheries management regime the fisheries management system, the monitoring, control and surveillance activity and the fisheries judicial system must be appropriately designed, fully functional and well coordinated. This crucial point cannot be overemphasized. Any one of the three basic components of the fisheries management system, however well designed and implemented, will generate precious little social benefits unless supported by the other two components. We therefore conclude that the design and implementation of an effective fisheries management regime requires full attention to all three of the basic components of the fisheries management regime. Moreover, to co-ordinate the activities of these three components, a single entity must be in charge of the fisheries management regime as a whole.1 Without a strong coordinating force of this nature, the overall effectiveness of the fisheries management regime is likely to be substantially reduced. This coordinating arrangement may be illustrated with the help of an organizational chart as in Figure 2.2 below. 1 This is not intended to exclude the possibility that the actual co-ordination be effected by means of prices generated by the market system. 6 Figure 2.2 Fisheries management regime: Organizational chart Fisheries Management Regime Coordinator Fisheries Management Rules Design and modification Monitoring, control and Surveillance Function Fisheries Judicial Processes In many countries, the co-ordination of the fisheries management regime is provided by a Ministry of Fisheries or a Department of Fisheries within another ministry. Note, however, that from an organizational point of view, this coordination function can really be performed by any agency provided it is equipped with the necessary powers. Thus, it does not even have to be a government agency. 7 2. The fisheries management system The fisheries management system is basically a set of rules about how the fishery (or fisheries) should be conducted. These rules may be formal for instance in the form of published law and regulations or they may be informal a part of the social culture governing fishing behaviour. In most fisheries both types of fisheries management rules, the formal and the informal, apply. Sometimes they conflict in which case the formal fisheries management system may experience adherence difficulties. Generally, the more commercially advanced the fishery, the more important is the role of formal, explicitly expressed fisheries management rules. It is important to realize, however, that even in advanced fisheries where formal fisheries management rules are dominant, there are usually still in existence informal fisheries management rules stemming from an earlier culture but continuing to exert their influence on the behaviour of the fishermen. This book is about the design of and implementation of fisheries management regimes. It follows that we must inevitably proceed in terms of formal fisheries management rules. This doesn't mean, however, that we should ignore the existence of the informal ones especially as they may impinge on the effectiveness of the formal ones. Desirable properties The purpose of the fisheries management system is to contribute to the generation of net economic benefits flowing from the fishery. As discussed in Section A, the crucial component of this objective is the generation of net economic profits or fisheries rents. After all, it is precisely these rents, properly measured, that define society's ability to improve the economic welfare of its members. This fundamental objective, however, is not as straight-forward as may appear. On closer examination it involves a number of different considerations. Thus, for instance, what is of concern is not the fisheries rents generated by the fishery, but the remaining fisheries rents, when the cost of operating the fisheries management system have been subtracted. It is convenient to refer to the fisheries rents less the cost of fisheries management as net fisheries rent. Thus, the cost of operating the fisheries management system, enforcing the rules and so on, is of great relevance. The same applies to the data requirements of the fisheries management system. data collection and analysis is costly. Therefore, the less data demanding the fisheries management system is the better. Another important attribute of the fisheries management system is its robustness. By this we mean its ability to generate fisheries rents, preferably the maximum ones, under a variety of conditions. Some fisheries management systems may work relatively well under certain conditions but poorly under others. Thus, for instance, the unmanaged competitive fishery generally manages to generate considerable fisheries rents during the early development phase of the fishery when the fish stocks are large and fishing capital employed is still moderate. This is illustrated in Figure 2.3. Accordingly, one might conclude that this fisheries management system is reasonably efficient under these conditions, i.e. large fish 8 Figure 2.3 Competitive and optimal adjustment paths from a virgin stock equilibrium Fishing effort, e e 0 ec stocks and low fishing capital. With time, however, as, the fishery matures, the stock declines and the fishing capital becomes excessive, the unmanaged fishery becomes severely suboptimal as illustrated in Figure 2.3 and is further discussed in Chapter A, section 1.4. This particular fisheries management system is, in other words, not robust. Finally, the distribution of the benefits generated by the Optimal fisheries management system equilibrium is clearly of great relevance for its ability to generate economic Virgin Biomass, x stock benefits. A fisheries management system that is technically excellent but is perceived to be highly unfair in terms of its distribution of benefits and costs may encounter social hostility and, for that reason, may not turn out to be very effective if nevertheless implemented. More generally, an important attribute of the fisheries management system is its overall social acceptability. A technically good fisheries management system that is not socially acceptable may be of little practical use. Competitive equilibrium x 0 For later reference, it is useful to summarize some of the desirable properties of fisheries management systems as follows: (a) (b) (c) (d) (e) (f) Effectiveness in generating net fisheries rents Robustness in the face of variable conditions. Low cost of operation. Minimal data needs. Perceived fair distribution of benefits. General social acceptability. The fisheries management system: Definitions Fisheries management represents the application of specific fisheries management instruments or tools. Typical fisheries management tools are, for instance, fishing gear restrictions, limitations on the number of allowable fishing days during the year, area closures and so on. A particular application of a fisheries management tool, e.g. setting the allowable number of fishing days to a certain number, is called a fisheries management measure. 9 Thus, the fisheries management tools are like variables or, more precisely, control variables and the fisheries management measures the values that can be chosen for these control variables. Thus, the fisheries management tools are in a sense more fundamental than the fisheries management measures. Moreover the number of the latter is probably infinitely higher. Therefore, at least for classification purposes, it is convenient to define fisheries management systems in terms of the management tools they incorporate rather than the particular applications of these tools, i.e. the actual fisheries management measures chosen. . Definitions Fisheries management tool A variable influencing the fishery that can be adjusted by the fisheries manager Fisheries management measures A particular application of a fisheries management tool Fisheries management system A particular collection of fisheries management tools. The number of possible fisheries management systems It should be clear that for most fisheries the number of possible fisheries management tools is quite high. Examples of fairly broad categories of fisheries management tools are provided in the Table 2.1. Clearly, it is possible to construct a more finely divided list with substantially more fisheries management tools. 10 Table 2.1 Some fisheries management tools: A list 1 Fishing gear restrictions 2 Fishing area restrictions 3 Fishing time restrictions (Certain dates excluded from fishing) 4 Fish size restrictions 5 Total harvest restrictions (Total allowable catch, TAC) 6 Individual harvest restrictions (Individual catch quotas) 7 Taxes and subsidies (The fishing activity subject to taxes or subsidies) 8 Fishery access restrictions (Fishing licences) 9 Fishing vessel restrictions (Restrictions on vessels' size, power, equipment etc.) 10 Fishing effort restrictions (Limited total fishing time) 11 Sole ownership (exclusive ownership over a fish stock or a part of it) 12 Territorial use rights in fisheries (TURFs) Now, fisheries management systems consist of particular combinations of one or more these tools. Thus, obviously, the number of possible fisheries management systems increases very fast with the number of available fisheries management tools. Thus, with only two tools the number of possible fisheries management systems (including no management whatsoever) is four. However, with 12 fisheries management tools as in Table 2.1, the number of possible fisheries management systems (including no management) is 4096.2 With 20 fisheries management tools the number of possible fisheries management systems become 1.048.576! Given this high number of possibilities, it comes as no surprise that identical fisheries management systems are rarely found around the world. Classification of fisheries management systems As we have seen the number of possible fisheries management systems is very great. Most of them may, however, be grouped into two broad classes: (i) Direct fisheries management and (ii) indirect fisheries management as illustrated in Figure 2.4. 2 The number of possible fisheries management systems is given by the 2 n, where n is the number of management tools. See technical appendix 1. 11 Figure 2.4 Fisheries management systems: A classification Direct Fisheries Management Biological Economic Indirect Fisheries Management Taxes Property Rights Direct fisheries management attempts to control components of the fishing activity directly by commands or, more often, restrictions that must be adhered to. Indirect economic fisheries management, by contrast, attempts to induce the fishing firms to behave differently by modifying the operating conditions of the fishery without imposing direct constraints. Thus, under indirect fisheries management, the fishing firms are generally free to select whatever level of fishing activity they please as long as they are willing to bear the consequences. The difference between direct biological and economic fisheries management lies in what they seek to control. Direct biological fisheries management attempts to alter the biological yield of the fishery. Thus, under biological fisheries management, for instance, the sustainable yield curve is normally shifted. Direct economic fisheries management attempts to alter the behaviour of the fishing firms by direct restrictions on economic inputs, such as the allowable number of fishing days, vessel size etc. Thus, direct economic management generally affects the cost structure of the fishery directly. Indirect fisheries management alters the operating conditions of the fishing industry. There are, of course, many ways to do this. Most, however, belong to two main categories; (a) taxes (and subsidies) which basically alter the prices facing the fishing industry, and (b) property rights, which alter the nature of the external effects imposed by the fishing firms on one another. Most fisheries management tools are fall quite naturally into one of the fisheries management categories in Figure 2.4. The main exception is the total harvesting restriction or total allowable catch (TAC). There may be some doubt whether this should be regarded as a biological or direct economic restriction. However, since a TAC restriction does not shift the sustainable yield curve but certainly shifts economic costs (at least in time) it is here regarded as an economic restriction. 12 Table 2.2 allocates the fisheries management systems listed in Table 2.1 to the four fisheries management categories. Table 2.2 Fisheries management systems: Classification Direct biological fisheries management Direct economic fisheries management Gear restrictions Area restrictions Total allowable catch, TAC Vessel restrictions Time restrictions Effort restrictions Taxes Property rights Taxes/subsidies Access licences Individual harvest quotas Sole ownership Minimum size restrictions Territorial use rights Thus, it appears that the particular classification of fisheries management systems illustrated in Figure 2.4 is fairly complete as well as practical. Consequently, this is the one we will adopt in the discussion that follows. It should be realized, however, that actual fisheries management systems may combine elements from different management categories in Figure 2.4. Thus, it is not uncommon to see fisheries management systems that combine biological management tools with direct economic restrictions. Some even add property rights elements to the mix. We refer to these fisheries management systems as hybrid as opposed to pure fisheries management systems. In the analysis that follows we will for the most part restrict our attention to pure fisheries management systems. Generally the properties of hybrid systems are easily deducible from the properties of the pure systems. Another possible typology for fisheries management systems is to divide fisheries management tools into (i) input controls, (ii) output controls and (iii) technical measures as in OECD (1997). Under this classification, the fisheries management tools listed in Table 2.1 would be classified as in Table 2.3. Table 2.3 Fisheries management systems: Input/output classification Input controls Output controls Technical measures Access licences Total allowable catch, TAC Gear restrictions Effort restrictions Individual harvest quotas Area restrictions Vessel restrictions Sole ownership Time restrictions Territorial use rights Minimum size restrictions 13 Note that according to this classification, the "technical measures" are what was called "biological fisheries management" in the first classification. "Input controls" correspond approximately to "direct economic restrictions" and "output controls" include the "property rights" management from the first classification as well as the TAC restriction. In this input/output classification system there is no obvious place for taxes and subsidies. Apart form this, the two classification schemes are not dissimilar. Tools of analysis In the following subsections we will examine the properties of the various pure fisheries management systems defined in Figure 2.4 and Table 2.2. In particular we will focus on their ability to generate net economic benefits For this purpose we will employ the tools developed in Chapter A. In particular we will make use of the sustainable fisheries model (Fig. 1.14) and the dynamic fisheries model (Fig. 1.28). Now, the impact of fisheries management can be represented as shifts in the different curves in these diagrams. Hence, it may be useful to briefly review these tools here. Figure 2.5 The sustainable fisheries model Revenues $ Costs e* ec Effort, e xc The sustainable fisheries model is illustrated in Figure 2.5. It consists of three sustainable relationships represented as curves in the diagram; a sustainable revenue curve, a cost curve and a sustainable biomass curve. As these curves are drawn in Figure 2.5, competitive equilibrium is found Sustainable biomass, at fishing effort ec x and biomass level xc. Optimal sustainable fishing, however, occurs at fishing effort level e* and biomass level x*. Now, fisheries management is going to shift one or more of these curves (at least as perceived by the fishing firms). Consequently, the competitive equilibrium is going to be shifted as well. Biomass x* The dynamic fisheries model is illustrated in Figure 2.6. It consists of two equilibrium relationships, the biomass equilibrium curve, x =0, and the economic equilibrium curve, e =0. In what follows, it is important to realize that the fishing 14 industry is losing money anywhere to the left of the economic equilibrium curve and is making profits anywhere to the right of the curve. Competitive equilibrium is found at the intersection of these two curves at fishing effort level ec and biomass level xc. By contrast, optimal equilibrium is found at a lower effort level, e*, and higher biomass level, x*. Figure 2.6 The dynamic fisheries model Fishing effort, e e 0 ec x 0 e* xc x* Biomass, x Fisheries management shifts either or both of the two equilibrium curves. Hence the competitive equilibrium is going to be shifted as well. In the dynamic fisheries model, however, the main thing is not equilibrium but the adjustment paths toward this equilibrium. A few samples of these adjustment paths are illustrated in Figure 2.6. Obviously, as the fisheries management shifts the competitive equilibrium, the dynamic adjustment paths will be altered as well. In fact, by the appropriate combination and modification of fisheries management over time it is apparently possible to produce any dynamic path of the fishery. 15 Technical appendix 1 The number of possible fisheries management systems Define the fisheries management system as any collection of fisheries management tools. Let the number of possible fisheries management tools be n. Consider all the fisheries management systems consisting of m of these tools. Then, according to the mathematical theory of combinations (Apostol, 1969), the number of possible fisheries management systems containing m tools , is: n L(m,n)= = n!/m!(n-m)! m Now, m can be any number from zero (no fisheries management tool applied, i.e. an unmanaged fishery) to n. Therefore, the total number of possible fisheries management systems is: n L(n) = L( m ) . m 0 On this basis it is possible to show (Apostol, 1969) that the total number of fisheries management systems as a function of n is: L(n) = 2n. 16 2.1 Biological fisheries management Biological fisheries management is designed to improve the biological yield of the resource. Biological fisheries management, in other words, consists of methods to increase biomass growth for any given level of biomass and, consequently, to effect an upward shift in the sustainable yield function and downward shift in the sustainable biomass function as illustrated in Figure 2.7. How can biomass growth be increased for a given level of biomass? One way to do this is by the Sustainable appropriate altering of yield, y the yearclass or cohort composition of the biomass.3 Focussing harvesting on older, more slowly growing cohorts and avoiding harvesting younger, Effort, e faster growing cohorts tilts the cohort composition of the biomass toward faster growing cohorts. Consequently, overall Initial New biomass growth will be Sustainable increased and the biomass, x sustainable yield function will be shifted upward as illustrated in Figure 2.7. This of course, is exactly parallel to standard practice in most livestock farming and, in fact, forestry. The older more slowly growing individuals are slaughtered or harvested, while the younger fast growing individuals are left to grow. Figure 2.7 Shifts in the sustainable yield and biomass functions In many cases the difference in growth and, consequently the shift in the sustainable yield function, can be quite substantial. Note, however, that there must be a natural limit to how far upward the sustainable yield function can be shifted. This upper bound or envelope has been referred to as the eumetric sustainable yield curve in the literature (Beverton and Holt, 1957, Turvey, 1964) There are several ways to induce the harvesting selectivity necessary to appropriately modify the cohort structure of the biomass. Among the most common are the following: 3 Other ways could be habitat improvement, selective feeding, stock reduction of competitors and so on. 17 Gear restrictions: These include mesh size and hook size restrictions (these must usually exceed a certain lower limit in order to protect younger fish), special gear selectors (such as metal grids) and other stipulations concerning the design of the gear. Area closures: This consists of closing certain areas disproportionately populated by fast growing cohorts to fishing. These areas could for instance be spawning grounds, nursery grounds or areas of particularly high juvenile density. Time closures: This consists of closing the fishery (or parts of it) for a certain period of time during which fast growing individuals are particularly vulnerable to fishing. These are the most common methods of biological fisheries management. Note that they are not mutually exclusive. They can, and often are used in combination. In particular, time and area closures are frequently used together in biological fisheries management. For completeness we also mention a fourth biological fisheries management option: Culling/thinning: When new cohorts are especially large, their weight gain and natural mortality may be adversely affected by limitations of food and space. Hence, it may enhance biomass growth to reduce their size. This is culling or thinning and it is common in many areas of farming. Therefore, this method, although rare in ocean fishing, appears to constitute a natural part of biological fisheries management. Note, however, opposite to the other, more standard methods mentioned above, it is not a constraint. It actually requires a positive action, namely an increased fishing effort on, usually, immature fish. Biological fisheries management, properly conducted, is clearly capable of increasing the sustainable yield from a stock of fish. It is important to realize, however, that it does not alter the underlying economic forces operating in the fishery. In particular it does not remove the common property problem that is at the root of the fisheries problem. Therefore, if biological fisheries management manages to enhance biomass growth and increase the sustainable yield, competition between the fishermen for harvest shares will result in a correspondingly increased fishing effort and capitalization of the fishing fleet. More vessels will be introduced into the fishery until all fisheries rents have disappeared again. Thus, from the perspective of economic benefits, biological fisheries management appears useless. This basic conclusion can be further illustrated with the help of our sustainable fisheries diagram developed in Chapter A. 18 Figure 2.8 The Equilibrium Effects of Biological Fisheries Management New equilibrium $ Initial equilibrium e0 e 1 Effort, e x0 x1 Sustainable biomass, x Initial New Figure 2.8 illustrates what happens to the sustainable fishery under successful biological fisheries management. First the sustainable biomass function shifts downward indicating that at every level of fishing effort (except zero), the sustainable biomass is now larger than before. Similarly, the sustainable yield function shifts upward, indicating that at every level of fishing effort (except) zero the sustainable yield (harvest) is now higher than before. There is no shift in the fishing cost function. Consequently, at the initial fishing effort level, e0, corresponding to the initial equilibrium in the fishery, profits will be experienced. The existence of these profits will attract increased fishing effort. New firms will enter and old ones will expand fishing effort. This process will continue until a new competitive equilibrium is established at fishing effort level, e1, where there are no profits. At this new equilibrium, however, the sustainable yield is higher than before and biomass is slightly increased.4 4 Under biological fisheries management this always happens if the profit function is concave. 19 So apparently, biological fisheries management implies a shift in the equilibrium position of the fishery to a higher sustainable harvest, biomass and fishing effort level. However, there is no increase in the flow of sustainable economic rents from the fishery. They are zero as before. These results are summarized in table 2.4. Table 2.4 Effects of biological fisheries management on equilibrium values Fishing effort Yield (harvest) Biomass Risk of stock collapse Fisheries rents + + + ? 0 The increase in yield may benefit fish consumers (through reduced prices). Biomass has increased. However, it is not clear whether the risk of a biomass collapse is now greater or smaller than before. Finally, fisheries rents have not increased. Thus, it appears that the only clear economic benefit of biological fisheries management consists of the increase in consumer surplus stemming from an increase in the sustainable supply of fish. This, however, is most likely small. Moreover, for the fishing industry as such or, alternatively, a fish exporting entity (nation or a community) this is not much of a benefit. These results apply in equilibrium. What about the adjustment path toward the new equilibrium? Is it possible that there will be significant economic benefits along this path? The dynamic path can be studied with he help of the dynamic fisheries model developed in Chapter A and replicated in Figure 2.6. Obviously, biological fisheries management shifts the biological equilibrium curve upward as illustrated in Figure 2.9. What is perhaps less obvious is that the economic equilibrium curve will be shifted the right. The reason is that biological fisheries management, increased mesh sizes, closed areas and closed seasons, if at all binding, must initially subtract from the ability of the fishing fleet to harvest. Thus, for any given biomass and fishing effort level, the biological harvesting restrictions imply the fleet will harvest less. In other words, the catchability coefficient of the harvesting function is reduced. It is only later on when the biomass increases that the harvest rates start to expand again. Thus, biological fisheries management implies the shifts in the equilibrium curves illustrated in Figure 2.9 20 Figure 2.9 Dynamic Effects of Biological Fisheries Management Fishing effort, e New equilibrium ec Initial equilibrium e* xc x* Biomass, x In Figure 2.9, the initial equilibrium curves are indicated by the dashed lines and the new ones, after the introduction of the biological fisheries management, by the solid curves. As is clear from the diagram, both equilibrium fishing effort (substantially) and biomass (slightly) are increased as a result of the biological management. This corresponds with the results from the sustainable fisheries model discussed above. The adjustment path from the initial equilibrium to the new one begins by a (relatively brief) period of operating losses to the fishing industry and, consequently, contracting effort. This of course is caused by the new biological fisheries management measures that constrain the activity of the fishing fleet. With the growth of biomass, however, the fishery moves to the right side of the economic equilibrium curve and becomes profitable. As a result, fishing effort starts to expand again and the fishery follows the usual cyclical path toward the new equilibrium with no profits. So, along the adjustment path toward the new equilibrium profitability fluctuates beginning with a short period of relatively small negative profits followed by a relatively long period of substantial profits followed by a snort period of small loss and so on. This path of profits is further illustrated in Figure 2.10. 21 The question, of course, is what is the present value of profits for the complete adjustment path. If this is positive, the economic Figure 2.10 contribution of biological Biological fisheries management: Typical fisheries management is evolution of profits positive too and vice versa. Looking at the example in the Profits diagram, it seems that this present value may be positive. Whether it actually is positive or negative in particular cases depends however entirely on the empirical situation; the initial Time relative shifts in the biomass and economic equilibrium curves and the ensuing relative adjustment speeds of biomass and fishing effort. Depending on these variables, the present value of fisheries rents along the adjustment phase toward a new equilibrium may be positive or negative. Nevertheless, it should be said that for judiciously chosen fisheries management, i.e. a relatively large shift in the biomass equilibrium curve, and a relatively small shift in the economic equilibrium curve, it is likely that this present value is positive. Example Biological fisheries management: Dynamic adjustment paths Consider our usual very simple fisheries model with the biomass growth function x = x - x2 –, where, as usual x is biomass. Let the harvesting function be: y = ex, where y represents fishing effort and e fishing effort. And let costs be c = e, where c denotes costs. Thus profits are: = ex - 0.7e, where represents profits. Finally, let fishing effort evolve according to the adjustment function e = . 22 Now, imagine a biological fisheries management that shifts the equilibrum biomass curves upward and the economic equilibrium curve slightly to the right as discussed is the main text. Let the corresponding shift in equilibrium values be as follows: Competitive equilibrium values Initial 0.69 0.78 Biomass Fishing effort Final 0.70 0.87 The dynamic adjustment path of fishing effort and biomass from one initial equilibrium to the new one and the corresponding path of fisheries rents over time are described in the next two diagrams. 0.95 0.1 0.05 Profits Fihing effort 0.9 Z n 2 0.85 prof ( n ) 0 0.8 0.75 0.65 0.7 Zn 1 Biomass 0.75 0.8 0.05 0 20 40 n Time As can be seen from the diagram, fisheries rents are initially slightly negative as predicted by theory. Then they turn positive and subsequently converge to zero in a cyclical fashion. Maximum fisheries rents along the adjustment path are about 8% of revenues and maximum losses are about 5% of revenues. Assuming 5% annual rate of discount (time measured in quarters), the present value of the adjustment path is positive. amounting to 0.3% of revenues. The costs of management It is important to realize that biological fisheries management is inevitably costly. It requires quite extensive biological research to identify the appropriate biological management measures and monitor the results. It requires some administrative activity to set and modify the biological management measures. It requires monitoring, control and surveillance (enforcement) activity which, at least, in the case of area restrictions must take place at sea (or remotely). Finally, it requires some judicial activity to process alleged violations. All these activities are costly. According to recent research (Arnason, Hannesson, Schrank, 2000), the cost of these kinds of activities may easily amount to at least 5% of the gross revenues of the fishery. 23 Conclusions We have seen that there are very little, if any, long run benefits of biological fisheries management. There is no increase in sustainable fisheries rents. The sustainable biomass is likely to increase somewhat. The sustainable yield will grow so fish processors and consumers may enjoy some increase in producers' and consumers' surplus. Finally, there will be an increase in fishing effort which in an persistent unemployment situation may be beneficial.5 During the disequilibrium phase, alnong the adjustment path toward the new equilibrium, however, some economic rents may be generated, provided the biological fisheries management measures are reasonably well designed. These gross economic benefits, whatever they are, must be set against the costs of operating the biological fisheries management regime, i.e. the management costs. Comparing the rather substantial research and management costs associated with biological fisheries management with the rather meager gross benefits of biological fisheries management, it seems decidedly unlikely that the net economic benefits will be positive. Hence we must conclude that fisheries management based exclusively on biological fisheries management will most likely produce a negative economic return. This management, therefore, cannot be recommended except as a last resort, where the only alternative is the biological destruction of the fish stocks. 2.2 Direct economic restrictions Direct economic restrictions are designed to improve the economics of the fishery. Consequently they tend to concentrate on the various fisheries inputs such as allowable fishing time, vessels size, gear volume etc. in order to reduce fishing effort. Note that as already discussed (section B.2) we include restrictions on the total allowable catch (TAC) in the category of direct economic restrictions. One important reason is that to implement the TAC it is generally necessary to resort to direct economic restrictions such as limited fishing time. Direct economic restrictions subtract from the efficiency of the fishing fleet. As a first approximation, it is convenient to regard this as an increase in the cost of producing a given fishing effort.6 This means that the cost of a given sustainable harvest is shifted upward as illustrated in Figure 2.11 5 6 Persistent unemployment actually implies that the market price of labour is too high which in turn implies that the price system in general is distorted. Consequently, the guidance of the market system is flawed and private decisions, including fisheries decisions, generally suboptimal. For details, see the technical appendix. 24 There is a great variety of possible direct economic restrictions. Generally, however, they are all designed to reduce fishing effort in some way. The motivation is typically the observation that the fisheries problem is caused by too much fishing effort. Hence, what is more natural than to reduce fishing effort by restricting some of its more obvious manifestations? The Figure 2.11 problem, however, is that Shifts in the cost function this method of direct restrictions does not remove Revenues the basic source of the and costs, New fisheries problem, the costs $ common property arrangement of the fishery Initial and the externality it costs produces. Therefore, in spite of being constrained in various ways, the members of the fishing industry still have the same Fishing effort, e incentive as before to compete with each other for catch. Now, fishing effort consists of a great number of variables. One subset of these variables is of course the number of fishing days. Another is the fishing vessel and its numerous components, such as size, engine power, speed, hull design, fishing equipment, hold capacity, catch conservation equipment, landing equipment and so on. A third component of fishing power is the fishing gear itself, its size, design and fishing ability. A fourth component is the fish finding capability of the vessel; fish finding equipment, external fish finding supports (such as airplanes, satellite intelligence, special search vessels etc.), the fish finding knowledge of the captain and the crew and so on. A fifth component of fishing effort is the crew itself, it number, training and general ability. Not the least important among the crew is the captain. A sixth component of fishing effort it the ratio of fishing time to total operating time that the vessel is able to achieve. This depends on many factors many of which have been mentioned above, namely fish finding ability, crew training, vessel speed and landing equipment. Other variables that can increase this crucial ratio are the location of the vessel relative to the fishing grounds and on-sea supports such as resupply, maintenance, and, even more importantly, the offloading of catch and its transport to shore by alternative vessels. The above are just some of the more obvious examples of the various components of fishing effort. A complete list would be extremely long containing virtually thousands of individual components of fishing effort. The crucial point, however, is that most of these components of fishing effort are technical substitutes, i.e. they can to a certain extent replace each other. Thus, if one or more of them are constrained, others can step in their place. Thus, for instance, if fishing days are restricted, this can be counteracted by increased number of vessels. If both fishing time and the number of vessels are restricted, this can be counteracted by the employment of larger vessels. If the size of the vessels is also restricted, this can be 25 counteracted by more powerful engines, better fishing finding equipment, better trained crew and so on. The crucial point is, that due to the multi-component nature of fishing effort, it is virtually impossible to control fishing effort. The most common direct economic restrictions employed are listed in the following table: Table 2.5 Examples of common direct economic restrictions Categories Specific restrictions Fishing time Number of fishing days Number of days at sea Fishing capital Vessel size (length breath, GRT) Vessel hold capacity Engine power Vessel speed Various fishing equipment Fish finding equipment Fishing gear Type of fishing gear Volume of fishing gear Number of gear units (traps, nets) Let us now turn our attention to the impact of direct restrictions using our standard sustainable fisheries model. The reader should be reminded that in analysing the effect of direct economic restrictions we are, as always, relying on the cetering paribus assumption, i.e. assuming that no other conditions of the fishery change.7 First, it is clear that direct economic restrictions, by increasing the cost of fishing effort, will in general reduce equilibrium fishing effort and thus, increase the equilibrium biomass. This is illustrated in Figure 2.12. Second, it is likely, although by no means certain, that direct economic restrictions will increase the equilibrium catch and the fishery revenue. This case is also illustrated in Figure 2.12. In this case, the shift in the cost of (effective) fishing effort leads to a reduction in fishing effort from e0 to e1, a substantial increase in sustainable yield and an increase in biomass from x0 to x1. 7 Technically we may say that apart from the direct economic restrictions that are modified, no exogenous variable is altered. 26 Figure 2.12 Equilibrium Effects of Direct Economic Restrictions Final equilibrium $ Initial equilibrium e1 e0 Effort, e x0 x1 Sustainable biomass, x The other, less likely, case, could occur if the economic restrictions are extremely severe and/or the initial equilibrium is fairly close to the maximum sustainable yield. This is illustrated in Figure 2.13, 27 Figure 2.13 Equilibrium Effects of Direct Economic Restrictions: Fall in Sustainable Yield Final equilibrium $ Initial equilibrium e1 e0 Effort, e x0 x1 Sustainable biomass, x Irrespective, of whether the sustainable yield increases or not, direct economic restrictions do not lead to an improvement in net economic returns from the fishery. The fundamental reason is that the competitive forces that brought about the initial situation of a no-profit fishery are not at all affected by direct economic restrictions. The imposition of the restrictions, leading to an upward shift in the equilibrium effort curve (Figures 2.12 and 2.13), merely means that the fishery has become less profitable than before. In other words, it is experiencing losses. Hence, to avoid these losses, there is a contraction in fishing effort. This may occur in either or both of the following two ways: (i) firms (presumably the least efficient ones) will be forced by financial losses to leave the industry, (ii) firms will find it to their advantage to reduce fishing effort. This process of adjustment will continue until the industry finds a new equilibrium (at effort level, e1) where there are no profits. At this point there is not incentive either to increase or decrease fishing effort. The industry has found a new equilibrium. As in the previous section, it may be helpful to summarize these results as in Table 2.6: 28 Table 2.6 Effects of direct economic restrictions on equilibrium values Fishing effort Yield (harvest) Biomass Risk of stock collapse Fisheries rents ? + 0 As in the case, of biological management, direct economic restrictions will increase the equilibrium fish stock biomass. Another benefit, not necessarily the outcome of biological fisheries management, is that the risk of a biomass collapse is now distinctly smaller than before (see Figures 2.12 and 2.13). On the other hand, the main benefit of biological fisheries management, increased sustainable yield (and hence consumer surplus), is not certain to happen under direct economic restrictions. Finally, just as in the case of biological fisheries management, the muost crucial variable, fisheries rents, have not increased. Thus, it appears that the only clear economic benefit of direct economic restrictions is a reduction in the risk of a stock collapse. There are, however, significant countervailing costs, as we will see. The fishery cannot jump instantaneously from the initial equilibrium with direct economic restrictions to the new one with the direct economic restrictions imposed. Instead the fishery will have to travel between these two points along an adjustment path, that may easily take considerable time. Obviously, therefore, what happens to economic fisheries rents along this path is of substantial consequence. The dynamic adjustment path of the fishery from the initial equilibrium to the new one is illustrated in Figure 2.14. Figure 2.14 Direct Economic Restrictions: Dynamic Adjustment Paths Fishing effort, e Initial equilibrium e0 e1 Final equilibrium x0 x1 Biomass, x 29 Direct economic restrictions make a given level of fishing effort less profitable than before. Therefore, a given level of fishing effort can only be sustained without losses if the biomass level is increased. This is why the equilibrium biomass curve, e =0, shifts to the right in the diagram and the new equilibrium is found at a lower effort level and higher biomass than before, in accordance with Figures 2.12 and 2.13. The adjustment path from the initial equilibrium to the new one begins with a decline in fishing effort. This is natural as following the imposition of the direct economic restrictions (such as restricted fishing gear or fewer fishing days), the initial fishing effort level will be uneconomical. Following the initial reduction in fishing effort, biomass begins to increase making fishing effort gradually more economical. Eventually, the fishery becomes profitable and fishing efforts expands anew. Thus, the adjustment path between the two is a spiral suggesting cyclical movement of biomass and fishing effort and, consequently yield (harvest) and economic rents. Figure 2.15 Direct economic restrictions: Typical evolution of profits Profits Time The cyclical movement of economic rents (or profits) along the adjustment path toward the new equilibrium is illustrated in Figure 2.15. Initially, along this path, profits are highly negative. This is the period of declining fishing effort. Subsequently, profits turn positive and continue toward the long term equilibrium of zero in a cyclical manner. The present value of profits along this path cannot be determined in general. It depends on the particular situation. However, given the initial period of high negative profits, the odds are the present value of profits along the adjustment period is negative as suggested in the numerical example below. Interestingly enough, the abolition of existing direct economic restrictions will in all likelihood produce the reverse effect, i.e. net benefits along the adjustment path to the new equilibrium. 30 Example Direct economic restrictions: Dynamic adjustment paths Consider our usual very simple fisheries model with the biomass growth function x = x - x2 –, where, as usual x is biomass. Let the harvesting function be: y = ex, where y represents fishing effort and e fishing effort. And let costs be c = e, where c denotes costs. Thus profits are: = ex - 0.7e, where represents profits. Finally, let fishing effort evolve according to the adjustment function e = . Now, imagine direct economic restrictions that shift the equilibrum effort curve to the right as discussed is the main text. Let the corresponding shift in equilibrium values be as follows: Competitive equilibrium values Initial 0.63 0.91 Biomass Fishing effort Final 0.70 0.87 The dynamic adjustment path of fishing effort and biomass from one initial equilibrium to the new one and the corresponding path of fisheries rents over time are described in the next two diagrams. 0.05 Biomass & effort Fihing effort 0.95 0.9 Zn 2 0.85 0.8 0.6 0.65 Zn 1 Biomass 0.7 0.75 0 prof ( n ) 0.05 0.1 0 20 n Time 40 31 As can be seen from the diagram, fisheries rents are initially highly negative as predicted by theory. Then they turn positive and subsequently converge to zero in a cyclical fashion. Maximum fisheries rents along the adjustment path are about 6% of revenues and maximum losses are about 11% of revenues. Assuming 5% annual rate of discount (time measured in quarters), the present value of the adjustment path is negative amounting to alightly less 0.3% of revenues. The costs of management Direct economic restrictions, just as biological fisheries management and, for that matter, any fisheries management, is inevitably costly. It requires research to identify the appropriate management measures, administrative processes to compare the options, make a decision and implement it, and usually a good deal of monitoring and enforcement activity to see to it that the measures are satisfactorily adhered to. As discussed in section 2.1, all of these activities are quite costly and can amount to a significant fraction of the gross revenues of the fishery (Arnason, Hannesson and Schrank 2000). Distortion of inputs In virtually every fishery, fishing effort, as already discussed, can be produced with a great number of economic inputs.8 At any point, fishing firms will produce their profit maximizing amount of fishing effort with what is to them the optimal combination of inputs. Faced with direct economic restrictions on the use of one or more of these inputs, fishing firms will rearrange their combinations of inputs. This, in general means that they will to a certain extent replace the constrained inputs with some other inputs.9 Thus, in addition to directly restraining the use of some inputs, direct economic restrictions will distort the use of other inputs. While this is certainly cost minimizing given the direct restrictions (as well as nullifying some of their impact), it may imply a long term social cost. Some of the inputs used excessively to counteract the restrictions may take the form of capital inputs. Thus, the capital structure of the fleet may be distorted by the economic restrictions.10 In the extreme case, technological advances can not be implemented. Thus, when, the direct restrictions are abolished, as they must be one day, the fishing fleet may be severely distorted, even to the point where much of the existing capital is useless. This represents an added potential cost of direct economic restrictions. 8 9 10 One of the simplest fishery conceivable is an abalone fishery where the fishermen dive from raft to collect abalone from underwater rocks. Nevertheless, the number of of distinct economic inputs in this fishery that can substitute for each other is very high. Let’s for instance assume that the fisheries authorities get it into their head to limit the number of dives. Then, the fisherman can compensate by one or more of the other (i) train himself to be able to dive longer and deeper, (ii) select his diving areas with greater care so that he can pick more abalone in each dive, (v) select the best fishing times, (iv) discover a new technique to pick abalone (e.g. from submarines, plows, using scuba gear etc.). (v) increase the number of trips if only dives per trip are controlled. This example should make it clear that it is very difficult to control all the various means, the fishermen have to generate fishing effort. This is argued in some detail in Technical Appendix 4. Too powerful vessels to beat limited fishing days, misshapen vessels to beat length restrictions etc. 32 Conclusions: Direct economic restrictions do not remove the common property problem that is at the root of the fisheries problem. Therefore they do not produce any long term economic gain. In addition, there are generally considerable costs associated with operating a system of direct restrictions. First, imposing direct restrictions probably involves some net costs along the adjustment path to the new equilibrium. Second, designing, imposing and enforcing direct economic restrictions represents a net cost of most likely quite significant magnitude. Third, direct economic restrictions are likely to distort the technical composition of the fishing fleet compared to what would be most efficient and thus implies a certain capital cost in the future when the restrictions are abolished. Counteracting these costs are a higher level of biomass and most likely less risk of a stock collapse an d possibly higher sustainable yield of fish. These benefits, however, appear small compared to the economic costs mentioned above. Thus, direct economic restrictions can hardly be recommended for fisheries management except possibly in the extreme case where the alternative is the collapse of the fish stocks. In this sense direct economic restrictions fall in the same category as biological fisheries management. If anything, however, direct economic restrictions due to their net costs along the adjustment path and input distortive effect, may be even more harmful than biological fisheries management. 33 Technical Appendix 2 Direct restrictions: Analysis Consider the following general fisheries model: (1) x =G(x)-Y(e,x), (2) (e,x) Y(e,x) – C(e) where x represents biomass, e fishing effort and x x/t, where t refers to time. The functions, G(x), Y(e,x), C(e) and (e,x) represent the biomass growth, harvesting, cost and fisheries profit functions respectively all having the usual properties (See chapter A).11 In particular, we take all first derivatives of these functions to be positive. Competitive equilibrium is defined by the conditions: e = (e,x) = 0. Solving system (1) and (2) with these conditions imposed yields the corresponding equilibrium values for fishing effort, e, and biomass, x, provided such a solution exists. As demonstrated in Chapter A, in a stable equilibrium, Gx(x)-Yx(e,x)<0 and Ye(e,x) – Ce(e)<0. Consider now direct fisheries management. This may be represented as shift parameters in the three basic functions, G(x), Y(e,x) and C(e). Let us represent this as follows: G(x,), Y(e,x,), C(e, ), where may be regarded as biological management and economic management. Without loss of generality we take all first derivatives to be positive. Note that we have assumed that direct economic restrictions affect both the harvesting function and the cost function. Analytically, it is easier to consider only one type of effects. This we can do by the appropriate definition of fishing effort. For this, there are basically two options which we refer to as options (a) and (b) below: (a) Fishing effort is defined as the biologically effective fishing effort (e.g. fishing mortality). It follows that that the harvesting function, Y(e,x), is independent of management restrictions. On the other hand, it should be clear that the quantity of economic inputs necessary to produce a given level of effective fishing effort depends on the management restrictions. Formally: 11 Note that without loss of generality the price of fish has been normalized to unity. 34 e=E(z,,), where z represents economic inputs and direct economic management measures. The first derivatives of the function E(z,) may plausibly be assumed to exist and to be: Ez > 0, E,E< 0. Hence, the inverse function z=E-1(e, ,), also exists. Substituting this function into the cost identity yields: c wz = w E-1(e, ,) C(e,,), where C(e, ,) is the cost function for effective fishing effort and w represents the unit price of inputs. It is now easy to derive: c/e = w/Ez>0, c/ = -wE/Ez >0 c/ = -wE/Ez >0. So, the cost function is increasing in both effective fishing effort and the direct restrictions. The latter means that the cost function shifts upward in (cost,effort)space if direct restrictions are imposed. (b) Fishing effort is defined as (some index of) economic inputs. In this case, the harvesting function depends on the direct economic restrictions. Y(e,x,), and the cost function is simply the identity: c we C(e) In what follows we will adopt option (a). Comparative statics Under this specification we have for equilibrium: 35 (3) G(x,)- Y(e,x) =0, (4) Y(e,x) – C(e,,) = 0 Differentiating we can derive the following expressions for the impact of the fisheries management parameters, and , on the equilibrium values of x and e: x/ = x/ = e/ = e/ = G (Ye Ce ) C Ye 0, C Ye > 0, Y x G C (G x Y x ) = ? (>0 if C small enough), (G x Y x ) C <0, where is the determinant of the matrix: Ye G x Yx , = (Gx-Yx)(Ye – Ce)+ YxYe >0. Y , Y C x e e Dynamics Now we investigate shifts in the biomass and economic equilibrium curves in (biomass,effort)-space. These curves are defined by: (5) x = G(x,)-Y(e,x) = 0, (6) e = (e,x) Y(e,x) – C(e,,) = 0. Differentiating (5) we find: x/ = G >0, provided Gx-Yx<0, i.e. the system is stable. (G x Y x ) e/ = G >0, Ye So the biomass equilibrium curve shifts upward and to the right when direct biological restrictions are imposed. Differentiating (6) we find: 36 C >0, Yx C e/ = >0, Ye x/ = x/ = e/ = C Yx C Ye >0, >0, So, the economic equilibrium curve shifts to the right when direct management restrictions are imposed. 37 Technical appendix 3 Direct economic restrictions and the optimal combination of inputs Imagine a fishing firm having a profit function: (e,x) Y(e,x) – C(e), where x represents biomass and e fishing effort. The functions, Y(e,x), C(e) and (e,x) represent the harvesting, cost and fisheries profit functions respectively. Now let us assume that fishing effort is produced by the concave increasing production function: e=E(z), where z represents the vector of economic inputs. Let the unit price of each of these inputs be given by the vector of input prices, w. For each level of fishing effort, the firm would like to select the minimum cost combination of economic inputs. More formally: Min wz s.t. e=E(z). Write the solution to this problem as the vector function: z = Z(e, w) Notice that this expression gives the optimal use of the inputs for any level of fishing effort and input prices. hence, any deviation from this rule is socially costly. For constant input prices and a homothetic effort production function (such as the Input 2 Hi Cobb-Douglas production function) the gh er fis optimal combination of any two inputs is hi ng ef constant. This is illustrated in the following fo rt diagram. Now consider the case where some of the inputs are constrained by e.g. direct economic restrictions. Let the restricted input be represented by the vector z°. Then the optimal combination of the remaining inputs given this constraint is given by the function: Optimal combination of inputs Input 1 z = Z°(e, w, z°). Generally, therefore, not only the restricted inputs will be altered but also the unrestricted ones. The reason is that in order to counteract the effects of the input 38 ing ish f er gh Hi restrictions the fishing firm will in general alter its use of the other inputs. Thus, the firm will move off the optimal combination of inputs. The result is a distortion in input use as illustrated in Input, Distorted z2 the next diagram. In the diagram, the combination of inputs use of input 1, z1, is restricted. To partially compensate for this more of input 2, z2, is used. As a result input Distortion combination becomes distorted as indicated in the diagram. This, by itself Optimal combination represents an economic loss. of inputs ort eff At the same time, unless there is perfect substitutability between the two inputs, the optimal level of fishing effort for the firm is reduced. z°1 Input, z1 39 2.3 Taxes (and subsidies) The fisheries problem stems fundamentally from the fact, that fishing appears more profitable to individual fishermen than it is for the fishing industry as a whole. As a result, individual fishermen invest, fish and harvest in excess of what would be collectively optimal. This situation can be changed by imposing a tax on the fishing activity. A tax on the fishing activity renders it less financially rewarding to the fishermen. Hence they will normally find it to their advantage to reduce the level of their operations. It can be shown that with the correct tax the fishing activity the amount of fishing capital, the level of fishing effort, the harvesting volume and so on will be socially optimal.12 It is worth noting that the correct tax may in general be either positive or negative. A negative tax represents a subsidy. A subsidy on the harvesting of particular species may be for instance be justified in the multispecies framework in order to reduce the stock size of a species that cannot be profitably harvested by itself but adversely affect the stocks of other more valuable species (e.g. by predation or food competition). This arrangement a ‘fisheries subsidy’ parallels subsidies or payments for the control of pests, mice, insects etc., often seen in association with economic activity on land. This idea of corrective taxes (and subsidies) is an old one in the theory of economic policy and management. It was first rigorously formulated by the English economist Pigou in 1912. Pigou was concerned with what has since become known as the problem of externalities, i.e. the situation where one agent’s activities affect another’s opportunities without a commensurate payment. The reason for nonpayment is generally the lack of the appropriate property right for which payment could be charged. Pigou’s proposed solution was to impose a tax equivalent to this missing payment on the producer of external effects and thus induce him to bring his activities into line with what would be socially optimal. Ever since this arrangement has been known as Pigovian corrective taxes. The Pigovian theory of corrective taxes is directly applicable to the fisheries problem. In fisheries, one fisherman’s harvest reduces the available fishable stock and, consequently, the opportunities of all other fishermen to harvest. He, in other words, imposes an externality on all the other fishermen.13 This external effect can, in principle, be corrected by the appropriate Pigovian corrective tax. A fisheries corrective tax can in principle be imposed on either the outputs (the harvest) or the inputs. We will now briefly discuss each one in turn. The simplest and most effective way to implement corrective taxation in a fishery is to tax the catch value. The effect of this is to reduce the net revenues of the industry and thus make the fishery less profitable for the fishermen. In the framework of our sustainable fisheries model, this is equivalent to shifting the sustainable revenue curve downward as illustrated in Figure 2.16. 12 13 See Technical appendix 5. More generally, he may also impose externalities on other users of fish stocks such as conservationists. 40 There are many ways to tax the output value of a fishery. Figure 2.16 illustrates the effect Revenues; Costs No Tax of a proportional tax $ on revenues (landed value).14 This tax may for instance be Tax imposed as a certain Revenues proportion of landed With Tax value or, what essentially amounts ec e* Effort, e to the same thing, a xc proportion of the landed price. In any Biomass x* case, the effect of the tax is to shift the sustainable revenue Sustainable curve downward biomass, according to the size x of the tax.15 This will of course alter the equilibrium position of the fishery as illustrated in Figure 2.16.In the initial position, before the tax is imposed, the industry equilibrium is at fishing effort ec, and biomass xc where there are no economic rents. After the imposition of the tax, with lower net revenues, the industry equilibrium is at a lower fishing effort level e*. The corresponding equilibrium biomass stock level is increased to x*, and, depending on the particulars of the initial situation, most likely also the volume of harvest. Figure 2.16 Optimal Tax on Landed Values In the new equilibrium, (e*,x*), the industry is not making any more profits than in the initial equilibrium (ec,xc). There are substantial rents, however, indicated by the line marked ‘Tax’ in the diagram. These rents are collected as tax payments from the industry. This is an important point. In a fishery managed by taxes, the equilibrium taxation revenue is equivalent to the fisheries rents generated. Theorem Taxes equal fisheries rents In a fishery managed by taxes, taxation revenue is equivalent to fisheries rents. 14 15 If revenues are written as py, where p is price and y the landed quantity, revenues with the proportional tax imposed tax would be (1-t)py, where t is the tax rate and the tax income would be tpy. Thus, in the extreme case of 100% taxation, the revenue curve would simply follow the horizontal axis. 41 As, the diagram in Figure 2.16 is drawn, the tax is optimal in the sense that it is equivalent to the maximum fisheries rents that can be extracted from the industry. Both lower and higher tax rates would generate lower tax revenues. In fact, as can be seen from the diagram, a slightly higher tax Figure 2.17 rate (lowering revenues Tax revenues (fisheries rents) as a function of the tax still further) would rate make the fishery unprofitable at any effort level, so it would Tax income end and the tax (fisheries rents) income, consequently, fall to zero. In most real fisheries, this drop in tax revenue or fisheries rents at too high tax rates would 100% happen long before the Tax rate, t 100% tax rate and be quite precipitous. Thus, typically, the tax revenue as a function of the tax rate would evolve as illustrated in Figure 2.17. Tax on the use of economic inputs would, in principle, albeit not necessarily in practice, yield the same results. The effect of such a tax is to move the fisheries cost function upward by the amount of the tax. Again, the tax returns must be fisheries rents. If the correct tax is selected, the tax is Figure 2.18 selected, fisheries Optimal Tax on Inputs rents will be maximized. In other Costs With Tax words, the fishery is $ optimal. This is illustrated in Figure Costs; 2.18. In this diagram No tax Tax there is a tax on Revenues fishing effort. Having to pay this tax, the industry is ec e* Effort, e unprofitable at the old fishing effort level, ec. xc Therefore, fishing Biomass effort contracts until x* the industry finds a new equilibrium at fishing effort, e*. If, as Sustainable biomass, in the diagram, the tax x is correct, this effort 42 level is optimal for the fishery. Thus, the fishery outcome fishing effort, harvest and biomass is identical to that under the output tax in Figure 2.16 The same applies to the level of economic rents reflected in the tax revenue and the profitability of the fishing industry, namely zero. Finally, the schedule of tax returns (economic rents) as a function of the tax rate would exhibit the same general characteristics as that for the output tax, illustrated in Figure 2.17, including the possibly discrete drop at sufficiently high tax rates. The exact shape of this schedule for the input tax regime will, however, be different from the output tax regime. In reality the situation is not this simple. Fishing effort is not a observable variable suitable for taxation. Fishing effort, as we have already seen, It is generated by a large set of economic inputs such as vessel characteristics, fishing gear, days at sea, crew size and so on. In practice, it is only a few of these inputs, generally the more easily measurable ones, that can be taxed. Thus, we are faced with the practical problem that only some fisheries inputs can be taxed but fishing effort as such cannot. This, essentially brings us into the framework of the previous section, direct economic restrictions. For the fishing industry will, of course, attempt to substitute the taxed inputs with untaxed ones. This will counteract the purpose of the tax, at least to a certain extent. Secondly, and more seriously, it will distort the input mix of the industry and make it less efficient. Within the framework of Figure 2.18, therefore, the effect of tax on some (but not all) the inputs, will be to shift the basic fisheries cost function, i.e., before the tax is imposed, upward. This latter effect represents a real economic loss reducing the maximum net fisheries rents that can be extracted from the industry. For this reason, fisheries management by taxing fisheries inputs is in general greatly inferior to taxing fisheries output, i.e. the volume or value of the harvest. So, it emerges that a tax on fishing, especially tax on landings, can in principle achieve the main goals of fisheries management, reduce fishing effort, increase the fish stocks reduced the risk of stock collapse and, most importantly, generate fisheries rents. These results are summarized in Table 2.7. Table 2.7 Effects of landings tax on equilibrium values Fishing effort Yield (harvest) Biomass Risk of stock collapse Fisheries rents ? + + The results listed in Table 2.7, apply in equilibrium. What about the adjustment path from the initial equilibrium without taxation to the final one? This, it turns out, depends very much on how the tax regime is implemented. Unlike most direct (biological and economic) fisheries management tools, the fisheries tax is essentially a quantifiable instrument in the sense that the tax rate can be continuously varied. By varying the tax rate over time, the adjustment path of the 43 fishery from the old to the new equilibrium can be controlled. Thus, in principle, it would be possible to follow the optimal adjustment path by more or less continuous variations of the tax rate. To simplify matters, however, let us consider the extreme, but perhaps not so unrealistic, case of a once and for all imposition of the optimal long run tax rate on an initial situation of bionomic equilibrium. In our usual diagram for dynamic analysis (in (biomass, fishing effort)-space), the immediate effect of this is to shift the economic equilibrium curve to the right as illustrated in Figure 2.19. The initial equilibrium, consequently, is one of severe economic losses to the industry. Consequently, there will be a Figure 2.19 contraction in Tax on landings: Dynamic adjustment of the fishery fishing effort leading to increase in the Fishing biomass size effort, e which, combined with falling fishing effort, will ultimately Initial equilibrium make the fishery e0 profitable again giving rise to a e1 cyclical Final adjustment of the equilibrium with tax fishery to the new equilibrium as illustrated in Figure 2.19. x x0 1 Biomass, x Essentially the path of the fishery is similar to the one for direct economic restrictions discussed in section 2.2. Thus, the industry experiences substantial losses during the initial phase and the present value of profits to the industry during the complete adjustment phase to the new equilibrium of zero profits is almost certainly negative. There is an importance difference, however. Economics rents, i.e. net economic benefits, are earned throughout the adjustment phase. And the sustainable rents, in the new equilibrium, can be very substantial. Thus, there is an important difference between industry and social profitability under the fisheries taxation regime. Social profitability is positive, generally substantially so, if the tax is anywhere close to being optimal. Fishing industry profitability, on the other hand, is probably negative and at best zero. The difference is accounted for by the tax proceeds. This is illustrated in Figure 2.20. 44 Figure 2.20 Evolution of tax returns (fisheries rents) and industry profits Tax income (fisheries rents) $ 0 Time Industry profits Example Tax on landings: Dynamic adjustment paths Consider, once again our very simple fisheries model with the biomass growth function x = 2x -1 x2 – 0.3, where, as usual x is biomass. The profit function as before is: = ex - 0.7e, where e represents profits and profits . Let fishing effort evolve according to the adjustment function e = 5. Finally, assume a rate of discount of 10% (0.1). Under these specifications, the competitive and optimal (rent maximizing) equilibrium levels of biomass and fishing effort are: Competitive and optimal equilibrium values Biomass Fishing effort Competitive 0.7 0.871 Optimal 1.262 0.5 45 The optimal tax rate, i.e. the one that will sustain the optimal fishery as an industry equilibrim is 0.445. Imposing this tax at the initial competitive equilibrium generates a fishery adjustment path as described in the next diagram: Fihing effort 0.871 Zn 2 0.092 1 0.5 0 0.5 0.7 1 1.5 Zn 1 Biomass 2 1.546 The corresponding path of fishning industry profits, tax evenues and economic rents is illustrated in the following diagram. As can be seen from this diagram, taxes initially exceed ffisheries rents by a wide margin. Thus initially most of the tax revenue is met by the corresponding losses to the industry. Subsequently, however, fisheries rents starts to pick up, industry losses diminish and the paths of tax revenue and fisheries rents converge.In the new equilibrium, fisheries rents and taxes are identical and industry profits (after tax) are zero. Assuming a rate of discount of 10%, the present value of economic rents along the ajustment phase is 1.73 (units of fish) or about 3 times the annual revenues. The present value of tax returns are higher or 2.09 (units of fish). The difference is exactly made up by industry losses of 0.36 (units of fish). Management costs A taxation regime is generally subject to substantial management costs. There are first of all certain costs, associated with merely determining the appropriate tax rate, especially if it is supposed to be close to the optimal one. To do that requires extensive knowledge of both the biological and economic conditions of the fishery. Then there are the collection and enforcement costs. For instance, if there is a tax on the value of landings, the volume an unit price of landings needs to be monitored in order to assess the tax. In most cases this requires expensive monitoring activity at landing sites if not aboard the vessels themselves. Then the tax must be collected which requires the set up of the appropriate collection mechanism. Finally, there will generally be significant legal costs associated with the apprehension and prosecution of alleged violators. These management costs represent the use of real economic resources. Consequently, they have to be subtracted from the gross tax proceeds to generate net tax proceeds or, equivalently, net fisheries rents. Government waste In most cases the tax proceeds are collected by the government or a similar agency and become a part of the government’s overall income. This can both be an advantage 46 and a disadvantage. It is an advantage in the sense that this new income provides the government with an economically efficient tax base. Thus, it provides the government with tax base that, unlike most traditional tax-bases, is not only non-distortive but actually economically beneficial. This is particularly important in the case of severely underdeveloped nations which tend to have weak tax bases. Secondly, the tax income provides the government with the opportunity to reduce or end other, presumably economically distortive, taxation such as excise or income taxes. The disadvantage is that increased tax income received by the government (or a similar agency) is potentially subject to misuse and waste. Hence, it is possible that the fisheries rents saved from being wasted in the fishing industry by the fisheries tax system, simply end up being wasted by the government. It is now well established (Sutinen and Anderson 1985, Andersen et al. 1998) that there are three fundamental reasons for government waste; (i) inappropriate incentives, (ii) asymmetrical distribution of the costs and benefits of government actions and (iii) rent seeking. This will be further discussed in a later section [SECTION NUMBER]. Without going into detail at this stage, let us just state that any income received by the government or a similar agency, including fisheries tax revenues, is potentially subject to wasteful use. This, then is a cost, like any other that must be associated with fisheries management by means of taxation and, consequently, subtracted from any net economic fisheries rents the regime manages to generate. Conclusions Fisheries management by means of taxation has some attractive advantages. – It works in principle. I.e. the tax if correctly determined and administered can bring the fishery to its optimal point. – It is difficult to totally mismanage a taxation system. Any tax returns must represent fisheries rents. Hence, the amount of tax returns (especially if they are reasonably stable) provide a measure of the efficiency of management. Thus, if the tax returns are low, then the tax rate is either too low or too high. – The fisheries management tax is economically beneficial. At the same time generates income for the government. It thus provides the opportunity of replacing less efficient taxes with an economically beneficial one. This is an added sidebenefit of the fisheries tax. Unfortunately, there are also some significant disadvantages. – For an initially overexploited fishery, the taxation regime entails a difficult adjustment period for the fishing industry with high losses and, quite possibly, widespread bankruptcies. This can only be avoided if the tax rate is set at a very low level initially and increased extremely slowly thereafter or if the industry receives countervailing lump sum subsides. Neither alternative is attractive. The former really means the continued sacrifice of economic fisheries rents for a substantial length of time. The second, as any other subsidy, implies administrative costs and risks of misuse. Besides, unless successfully implemented as a lump sum16, the subsidy may even thwart the purpose of the tax. 16 I.e. totally unrelated to the fishing activity of the firms in question. 47 – A taxation regime, is in general socially unpopular. This seems to be partly for the economic hardship it entails. However, the general opposition to this type of management seems often to be more deep-rooted. In any case, there must be a reason why a fisheries management taxation regime has not been implemented in any significant ocean fishery around the world. – Fisheries management by means of taxation requires a great deal of rather costly enforcement. – It is extremely difficult, if not impossible in practice to determine the correct amount of the tax. To be able to calculate the optimal tax, the authorities must be in command of all the data about all the fishing firms. It must know everything about the fish stocks and its population dynamics over time and it must continually monitor all the relevant prices including those for fish landings and fisheries inputs. Finally, the taxation authority must be able to assimilate all this data and calculate the optimal tax virtually instantaneously. For the optimal tax must be continuously adjusted over time in the light of altered conditions. Obviously, no real fisheries manager can meet these requirements. Hence the tax is bound to be less than optimal. The question therefore is how suboptimal will the tax set by real world authorities be? – In many societies, it is legally, administratively and politically difficult to vary taxes over time. However, as we have seen, the optimal tax must be continuously altered. Therefore, in practice, the tax must be sub-optimal also for this reason. – It can be shown (Arnason, 1990), that the optimal tax varies across firms basically according to their size. Thus, a small firm should pay a higher tax per unit of catch than a small firm.17 Unfortunately, in most cultures, this type of a tax schedule violates standard notions of fairness. – Fisheries taxation generates income for a centralized authority. Under certain circumstances, this may be an advantage. However, any such income is also potentially subject to government waste. In the extreme case, fisheries rents initially wasted but saved by a successful fisheries management by means of taxation is eventually wasted by misguided government spending. In summary: Fisheries management on the basis of taxation has some quite attractive theoretical as well as practical properties. At the same time, the method, is subject to a several disadvantages. Broadly these disadvantages suggest that it is extremely unlikely that a fishery can be anywhere close optimally managed on the basis of taxation. On the other hand, fisheries management on the basis of taxation seems to be quite robust in the sense that it the manager has to be particularly inept not to be able to generate substantial part of the maximum attainable fisheries rents with the help of this method. We therefore conclude, that fisheries management on the basis of taxation remains an interesting possibility for effective fisheries management. 17 What could be the practical relevance is this effect? For a roughly equally sized firms the difference in taxation is negligible. However, if some firms have a significant fraction (5%) of the industry while others have a very small fraction (0.1%), say the difference in the optimal tax rate becomes significant. 48 Technical appendix 4 The optimality of taxes Imagine a fishing firm having a profit function: (e,x) Y(e,x) – C(e), where x represents biomass and e fishing effort. The functions, Y(e,x), C(e) and (e,x) represent the harvesting, cost and fisheries profit functions respectively. Note that without loss of generality, the price of fish has been set to unity. Now impose a tax, , on the output of this fishery. With the tax, the profit function becomes: (e,x,) (1-)Y(e,x) – C(e). Profit maximization by the firm leads to a path of fishing effort that can be described by the function: e°(t) = F(x(t),(t)), where t refers to time. Now, provided, the profit function is sufficiently smooth, this function will in general be continuous and monotonically decreasing in the tax rate, . Moreover, an infinite tax rate will generate an infinitely negative fishing effort (F(x(t),) -) and in infinite negative tax rate will generate an infinite effort level (F(x(t),-) ). It follows that any fishing effort level can be generated by the appropriate choice of the taxation instrument. Let’s now assume that the optimal fishing effort at time t is e*(t). It follows from the above, that there exists a tax rate, *(t), that will generate precisely this level of fishing effort according to the equation: e*(t) = F(x(t),*(t)). 49 2.4 Property Rights The market is known (Debreu 1958, Varian 1992) to have certain very attractive efficiency properties. Secure and well defined property rights are fundamental to the proper operation of the market (Arnason, 2000). Lack of property rights manifests itself as externalities or, more precisely, technical externalities (Bator, 1958). Technical externalities occur when one agent’s actions affect another’s opportunities without compensation (i.e. without the agreement of both parties). With complete property rights this cannot happen. A negatively affected person would of course receive compensation for the violation of his property and a positively affected person would be pleased to pay for an increase in the actions that he benefits from. The fisheries problem may be regarded as being caused by externalities. Since fish stocks are limited, each fisherman's catch reduces the harvesting opportunities of all other fishermen. This is a typical technical externality. As all other technical externalities, it arises because of lack of property rights. In this case, there are inadequate property rights in the fish stocks from which the harvest is taken. So, in a very fundamental sense, the fisheries problem is caused by a lack of property rights. It follows that it would disappear, if only the appropriate property rights could be defined, imposed and enforced. This, however, is precisely the problem. For it turns out that there are substantial technical and social problems to defining, imposing and enforcing sufficiently good property rights in many fisheries, especially off-shore ocean fisheries. For this reason, fisheries managers have often been forced to resort to resort to rather weak and indirect property rights such as access licences and harvesting quotas. In some cases, however, these indirect (or quasi-) property rights can solve a good part of the fisheries problem. Before we discuss such options, it is useful to briefly consider the essential contents of a good property right. 2.4.1 Property rights: Content, dimensions and quality To understand property rights and their economic function , it is necessary to appreciate the following two fundamental attributes of property rights: A property right is not a single variable. It is a multi-dimensional phenomenon composed of a number of characteristics Property rights are not equally good. The quality of a given property right lies on a scale that ranges from zero no property right quality at all to a perfect property right. We will now briefly consider these two fundamental attributes of property rights in more detail. Property rights, really consists of a collection of different characteristics. The number of distinguishable characteristics that make up a property rights is very high. However, according to Scott (1996, 2000) the most crucial characteristics are: 50 Security Exclusivity Permanence Transferability Let us now briefly discuss the content of these characteristics. Security, or quality of title A property right may be challenged by other agents individuals, firms or the government. Security, here, refers to the ability of the owner to withstand such challenges and maintain his property right. It is perhaps best thought of as the probability that the owner will be able to hold on to his property right. Probabilities range from zero to unity. A security measure of unity means that the owner will hold his property with complete certainty. A security measure of zero means that the owner will certainly lose his property. Excusivity This characteristic refers to the ability of the property rights holder to utilize and manage the subject of the property right (the asset) without outside interference. An individual's personal things such as his clothes, generally have a very high degree of exclusivity. A right to the enjoyment of a public park has almost zero exclusivity. An ITQ holder has a right to a specified volume of harvest from a given stock of fish over a certain time period. Given the conventional legal protection, this right as such is virtually 100% exclusive. No-one else can take this catch. However, the question of exclusivity also refers to his ability take this harvest in the way he prefers. Any government fishing regulations clearly subtract from this ability. The same applies to the actions of other fishermen that may interfere with his ability to harvest his quota in various ways. Thus, an ITQ right generally provides substantially less than 100% exclusivity to the relevant asset, i.e. the fish stock and its marine environment. It should be noted that enforceability, i.e., the ability to enforce the exclusive right, is an important aspect of exclusivity. Permanence Permanence refers to the duration of the property right. This can range from zero, in which case the property right is worth nothing, to infinite duration. Leases are examples of property rights of a finite duration. By convention, the label "ownership" usually represents a property right in perpetuity or for as long as the owner wants. Note that there is an important difference between an indefinite duration, which merely doesn't stipulate the duration of the property right, and property right in perpetuity which explicitly stipulates that the property right lasts forever. The duration of a property right may seem related to security; if a property right is lost then, in a sense, it has been terminated. Conceptually, however, the two characteristics are quite distinct. Thus, for instance, a rental agreement may provide a perfectly secure property right for a limited duration. Transferability This simply refers to the ability to transfer the property right to someone else. For any scarce (valuable) resource, this characteristic is economically important because it 51 facilitates the optimal allocation of the resource to various competing uses as well as users. An important feature of transferability is divisibility, the ability to subdivide the property right into smaller parts for the purpose of transfer. Following Scott (1988), it is helpful to visualize these characteristics of property rights as measured along continuum from, say zero to unity. Thus, all four characteristics may be represented as axes in four-dimensional space.18 This is illustrated in Figure 2.21. A given property right may exhibit all four characteristics to a Exclusivity greater or lesser extent. It is convenient to measure this on a scale from zero to unity. A measure of zero means that the property right Security Permanence holds none of the characteristic in question. A measure of unity means that the property right holds the characteristic Transferability completely. Given this we can draw a picture of perfect property rights as a rectangle in the space of the four property rights characteristics illustrated in Figure 2.21. The outcome is illustrated in Figure 2.22. Figure 2.21 Characteristics of property rights Figure 2.22 A perfect property right Exclusivity Security Permanence Transferability 18 We refer to the map of the property rights characteristics as in Figure 2.22, as the characteristic footprint of a property right. Obviously, the characteristic footprint of a perfect property right represents the outer limit for the quality of all property rights. It follows that the corresponding characteristic footprint of any actual property right in the same space Obviously, more property rights characteristics would simply mean more axes. 52 of characteristics must be completely contained within this rectangle. This is illustrated in Figure 2.23 Figure 5 illustrates the characteristic footprint of some actual property right within the characteristic Figure 2.23 footprint of a The quality map of a property right perfect property right. As the reader Actual property right can see, the actual Perfect property right Exclusivity property right illustrated in Figure 2.23 has rather little security and even less transferability. On the other hand, Security Permanence it has good exclusivity and almost perfect permanence. Transferability The difference between the two characteristic footprints (a) our example of the actual property right and (b) the perfect property right provides an idea of the relative quality of the actual property right. We can use this to devise a measure of the quality of a property right. One such measure, the so-called Q measure, is defined in Arnason (2000). According to this measure the overall quality of a property right ranges between zero and one, i.e. Q[0,1], with zero indicating no property right and unity a perfect property right. Now, as already pointed out, property rights are a necessary for the operation of the market system. The market system, in turn, furthers economic efficiency and production. We may take it for granted that the higher the quality the property right the more scope for the operation of market forces and the more efficient the associated economic activity. Hence, an overall measure of the quality of property rights can be a useful tool for economic managers in general and fisheries managers in particular, to assess, in broad terms, the probable efficiency of the management system in place and to determine where economic problems may reside. 53 Technical appendix The Q-measure of the quality of property rights. Given the multi-dimensional nature of property rights, it is useful to construct an aggregate numerical measure of the quality of a property right. Let us for convenience refer to measure of the quality of property rights as the Q-measure. What properties should the Q-measure satisfy? First, is should clearly be increasing in all property rights characteristics. Second, it is convenient to restrict its value to the same numerical range as the characteristics, namely the closed interval [0,1], which "0" indicating zero quality property rights and "1" perfect property rights. Third, since it appears that a positive level of some property rights characteristics, e.g. security and permanence, is necessary for the property right as a whole to be worth anything, a zero value of any of these characteristics should imply a Q-measure of zero as well. We refer to these particular property rights characteristics as essential. Fourth, the Q-measure should be flexible with respect to the individual weights of the various property rights characteristics. The following Q-measure seems to satisfy all these requirements: N Q ( xiai ) ( w1 i 1 M w j N 1 2, j x j j ), a This Q-measure comprises M characteristics. The first N, xi, i = 1,2…,N, are essential property rights characteristics, i.e. those that render the property right worthless if they are zero. The remaining M-N property rights characteristics, i.e. xj, j = N+1,N+2,…,M, are non-essential. The exponents, aI, i = 1,2…,M are all positive. So are the weights, w1 and w2,j, which moreover sum to unity. It is easy to check that this Q-measure satisfies all four of the requirements stated above provided of courser that individual characteristics are measured on the interval [0,1]. It is, moreover, flexible in the sense that it can account for any number of essential and nonessential characteristics. In our special case of four property rights characteristics, the Q-measure may be taken to be: Q SEP(w1+ w2T), , , , , w1, w2>0 and w1 + w2 =1 where S denotes security, E exclusivity, P permanence and T transferability. The first three characteristics are considered essential. A priori, it doesn’t seem unreasonable to assume linear homogeneity (constant returns to scale) of Q with respect to the first three property rights characteristics, i.e. S, E and P. In that case we have the added restriction. ++=1. 54 2.4.2 Fisheries Management by Means of Property Rights A great number of different property rights can be defined in fisheries. Quite a few variants have actually been put into use. The spectrum, however, seems to be adequately covered by the following alternatives: (1) Access (fishing) licences (2) Territorial use rights in fisheries(TURFs) (3) Individual harvesting quotas, especially individual quotas (IQs) and individual transferable quotas (ITQs). (4) Community property rights (5) Sole owner rights These alternatives are not independent. TURFs are really a variant of sole owner rights defined over an area. Community property rights really refers not to the form but the holder of the right. The property right itself can take any form; sole owner rights, territorial user rights, harvesting quotas or access licences. Thus, from this perspective, the fundamental forms of the property rights are basically just three; sole owner rights, harvesting quotas and access licences. An attempt to represent these relationships is found in Figure 2.24. Figure 2.24 Property rights alternatives and their relationships Sole owner rights TURFs Quota rights Access licences Community rights Access licences Access (or fisheries) licences give the holder the right to pursue a particular fishery, or set of fisheries, for a certain duration of time. Other restrictions regarding the permissible fishing area, vessel type, fishing gear etc. are frequently added. These, however, may obviously be regarded as direct economic restrictions extraneous to the access licence as such. So in what follows we will ignore them. Access licences, by conferring a right to the holder, constitute a property right. To the extent that they are tradable in the market they will command a market price. This price will depend on a number of variables, but generally the more restrictive the issue of licences the higher the price ceteris paribus. 55 Access licences, however, are quite weak property rights, at least as far as the fish stocks are concerned. Access licences only constitute a right to fish. The fish stocks are still the common property of all holders of access licences. Thus, access licences rank extremely low in the crucial property rights characteristic of exclusivity. As a result the overall quality of the property right is quite low (see Technical Appendix 6). So, the holders of access licences are still to a large extent subject to the common property problem. Therefore, in order to improve or even maintain their share in the fishery they are forced to invest in fishing capital and expand fishing effort far above what would be optimal. Moreover, just as in the unmanaged fishery, they will continue to do so until all attainable economic rents have been dissipated. Only at this point will the fishery find an equilibrium. Under a system of access licences, however, the common property problem may be somewhat alleviated. In an unmanaged fishery, fishing effort and capitalization expands for two reasons; (i) entry of new fishing firms and (ii) expansion in the operations of existing fishing firms. Under an access licence regime, the first factor is obviously eliminated. In addition, if licences are for fishing vessels, which is most common, the number of vessels cannot increase. Thus, access licences, provided of course they are properly implemented, remove an important component of the process by which fishing effort expands in an unmanaged fishery. Unfortunately, however, the consequence will normally not be that the fishery will manage to preserve the fish stocks and some fisheries rents in equiibrium. Usually, this only means that the process toward stock reduction and complete rent dissipation will be slower and less severely cyclical. After all, each licenced firm still finds itself competing with all the others for a share in the catch. Therefore, it has an incentive to expand operations (e.g. by enhancing the fishing power of its licenced vessels) as long as average industry profits are positive. An equilibrium is only reached when all industry profits have disappeared.19 Under access licences there is another, albeit perhaps not a very realistic possibility for a significant economic improvement. If the group of licence holders is sufficiently small and stable, there is a chance that they will be able to collectively reach an agreement to pursue the fishery in a jointly beneficial manner. This, if put into effect, is analytically equivalent to fisheries management based on communal property rights to be discussed below. However, to make a distinction between the two let us refer to collective fisheries management by licence holders as group management. The two main obstacles to this kind of outcome are first, the difficulty in actually reaching an agreement, especially if the number of licence holders is significant and second, the difficulty of actually enforcing whatever agreement can be reached. Thus, most likely, access licences will not alter the competitive equilibrium of the fishery compared to no management whatsoever. There is a slight chance, however, especially if they are relatively few and the social distance between them small, that licence holders will manage to set up reasonably efficient group 19 For more formal derivation of the above assertions see Technical appendix 5. 56 management in the fishery. For this reason, there is a degree of uncertainty regarding the outcome of fishery management based on access licences. These results are summarized in Table 2.8. Table 2.8 Effects of access licences on fisheries equilibrium values (Possible but unlikely outcomes are indicated by brackets “[ ]”) Fishing effort Yield (harvest) Biomass Risk of stock collapse Fisheries rents 0 0 0 0 0 [-] [?] [+] [-] [+] We conclude that access licences, while probably some improvement on open access fishery, constitute very weak property rights and are, consequently, not very promising as a fisheries management system. Territorial use rights. Under a system of territorial use rights in fisheries (TURFs), certain areas of the ocean and/or the ocean floor are allocated to fishing entities, individuals and firms, which subsequently have exclusive rights to the resources in the area. It may be the case that these owners only hold exclusive rights to a part of the marine resources in the area, e.g. shellfish, while other resources, e.g. pelagic species are accessible to others. Obviously, for TURFs to constitute a reasonably high quality property right, the fish stocks in question must be sufficiently stationary. If the stocks can be subjected to outside fishing pressure on leaving the area temporarily, the property right will be correspondingly undermined.20 For this reason, TURFs are primarily applicable to relatively (compared to the size of the territory) sedentary fish stocks such as shellfish and certain crustaceans. For the same reason as well as reasons of social history TURFs have usually been confined to relatively inshore areas. Examples of fisheries that have been managed on the basis of TURFs are mussel, oyster, scallops and even lobster fisheries.21 To the extent that the fish stocks in question, are sufficiently confined to the territory, TURFs constitute a very good property right. Under these conditions, the quality of the TURF property right approaches that of a farmer holding a certain plot 20 21 This applies for instance to the case of migratory fish stocks temporarily leaving fisheries jurisdictions.( Munro 1979, Arnason and Bjorndal 1991). Exclusive mussel and oyster areas are common, for instance in the Bay of Biscayne, France and Pudget Sound, USA. Exclusive ocean quahog areas are found in Iceland. Exclusive scallop areas are found e.g. in New Zealand and Iceland. Exclusive lobster rights exist in Maine, USA. Japan? [Check all this and find references]. 57 of land. Indeed, in many cases of territorial use rights, the owners find it to their advantage to improve the habitat of their fish resources (e.g. oysters in Pudget sound, scallops in New Zealand) and even feed them, just as a farmer husbands his animals. In other cases, territorial use rights holders act more like ranchers or game keepers. So, TURFs, when they are applicable, are fairly close to ideal property rights. In fact, as property rights they are quite similar to typical land based property. Unfortunately, however, given the migratory behaviour of most species of fish , territorial use rights are not really applicable to many ocean fish stocks. No doubt, however, their use in many inshore waters might be substantially expanded. Sole ownership The common property problem can of course be solved by establishing sole ownership over the resource (Scott 1955). Under sole ownership, there can be no externality and therefore no damaging competition for catch shares. In fact, under sole ownership, the fishery becomes like the normal property on land. Thus, conceptually sole ownership of a fishery is similar to a TURF except the sole ownership does not have to be territorially based. The position of the sole owner of a fishery is very much like that of a game farmer or a ranch farmer with a herd of semi-wild animals. The main difference, is that the sole owner of a fishery is usually not in the same position as the rancher or the game farmer to improve the habitat and biomass growth of his resource. A sole owner of a fishery will have both the incentive and the means to manage his property in the most efficient manner. This does not mean, however, that he will not have any difficulties in achieving this. He will, of course encounter the usual problems of enforcing his property right. Indeed, it most probably he will have to deal with the classic problem he poaching. He may also have some persistent management problems. If the fishery is a reasonable size he will need a fleet of fishing vessels to pursue the fishery, each with its own captain and crew. His problem will be to control and co-ordinate these fisheries units so as to maximize his overall benefits.22 In this respect his situation will not be unlike that of the typical fisheries manager trying to manage a fishery operated by several individual agents. The difference is that sole owner will typically have much more power over the conducting of the fishery than the typical fisheries manager. After all he can simply fire captains and crews that misbehave. Also he will generally not be subject to the vagaries of the political process like the typical fisheries manager. And, of course, the sole-owner will not overinvest in capital. In spite of these important differences, however, the sole owner’s management problem is in many respects similar to the classical fisheries problem. He needs to set up a system that will induce his fisheries units to operate in the most efficient way. For this purpose he may well chose to adopt some of the fisheries management techniques discussion in this chapter. More fundamentally, however, there are certain limitations concerning property rights quality of a sole-ownership of a fishery. All fish stock exist as a component of a complex of fish stocks embedded in a common ecosystem. It follows 22 This is the well known principal-agent problem (Kreps, 1990, Varian.1984). 58 that the size of other fish stocks are going to influence the growth of the particular stock subject to sole ownership. So, the sole owner of a particular stock of fish is, in fact, not insulated from the external effects imposed on him by the activity of other fishermen harvesting other species. These external effects can only be solved by sole ownership over the complete ecology. Of course, a farmer on land, not the least ranchers and game farmers, encounter similar problems. The problem of species interactions, however, appear to be of relatively greater magnitude in the ocean. Nevertheless, while these cross-species effects in the ocean may be quite significant,, they are probably in most cases much smaller than the direct effects of the fishery on the stock itself. There are some historical examples of sole ownership of fisheries. Thus, for over four decades following World war II, the Icelandic large whale fishery was conducted by a single company (Hvalur ltd)under an exclusive licence. The company did the biological research, set a TAC every year and operated a fleet of vessles to harvest it.. The company was highly profitable and, as far as can be seen, the fishery was operated on a sustainable basis (Palsson, 1991). This arrangement only ended in in 1988 because of the global ban on whaling. More recently, the Icelandic ocean quahog fishery has been put under a similar management regime. [MORE EXAMPLES, Japanese fishing rights, Aquarium fish licence in the Maldives. etc.]. Given the obvious economic advantages of sole ownership of fisheries, it is somewhat curious that this method of fisheries management is not more common around the world. Historical evolution may provide a partial explanation. Fisheries, especially ocean fisheries have usually been exploited by many harvesters. Indeed, typically, most of these harvesters have been small. Consequently, social cultures and values supporting this state of affairs have evolved. The idea of exclusive property rights over marine resources is relatively new. It goes counter to most people’s perception of the proper social arrangement. In addition, there is the question of income distribution and fairness. Giving sole owner rights to one agent in an already established fishery may obviously threaten the livelihood of other fishermen. Even those, not directly affected will generally find tend to find it unfair that most of the fishing firms will have to give up their business to establish the exclusive rights of a single firm. However, on closer examination, the unfairness of a sole ownership of a fishery is perhaps more apparent than real. At the very least, it does not have to be unfair. For instance, sole ownership can be awarded on the basis of competitive bidding. In this way, all current participants have a chance. More importantly, via the auctioning process, the complete fisheries rents may be collected. Therefore it is possible to more than compensate those that leave the fishery for their financial losses. Moreover, even a sole owner will need vessels and fishermen. Hence, normally, current fishermen will be able to sell him their vessels and equipment and many existing fishermen will find work in his operations. Finally, sole ownership may be awarded for a limited duration only.23 Thus, whatever problems emerge may be reversed in due course. 23 Sole ownership of limited duration raises problems of economic efficiency in connection with the state of the resource at the end of the sole ownership period. With sole ownership of limited duration, it is undoubtedly necessary to set clear terminal conditions as to the state of the resource when returned with the appropriate penalty clauses if violated. 59 Conclusion: Sole ownership of fisheries is an interesting option for fisheries management. If feasible it is likely to solve the most of the classical economic problems of fisheries. The disadvantage is that sole ownership of fisheries seems to goes counter to deeply entrenched social sentiments concerning the proper arrangement of fisheries. This notwithstanding, it may be applicable to considerable more fisheries than it has been so far. Community management: One particular form of property rights management in fisheries has received increasing interest in recent years [References, Hanna, Symes and Hatcher] This is the so-called community management or group management system. The essence of the community management is that a well defined group of people, e.g. a community, an association of fishermen or a fisheries co-operative, is given exclusive rights to a fishery or a particular part thereof. The property right may for instance be defined by a geographical area (TURF) or a certain allowable harvest (quota).24 Given that these rights are sufficiently extensive and exclusive, the group as a whole has clear interest in managing their part of the fishery in the most profitable fashion. Whether they will actually by successful in doing so is another story. This depends to a large extent on the knowledge and internal dynamics of the group, in particular it decision making mechanism. Assuming that group members are rational, however, strongly suggests that a community management of a fishery is likely to improve the economic outcome of the fishery compared to no management. At the same time, the group is likely to be quite efficient in enforcing its fisheries management rules. Hence the fisheries enforcement problem may be alleviated. Among the many advantages of community management of fisheries the following may be mentioned: (1) (2) (3) It may alleviate enforcement problems It is socio-politically attractive in many cases. It facilitates improved fisheries management by Giving property rights to a group Creating more appropriate incentives for decision makers Decentralization /shorter lines of communications More efficient use of information Some of the disadvantages are: (1) 24 There is no guarantee that communities get fisheries management right. Much depends on the precise group dynamics, the availability of knowledge and the structure of decision making. Also, there is a real possibility that community decision making will shackle private initiative and lead to a conservative fisheries policy based on the lowest common denominator in the group. Exclusive community geographical areas are common in the inshore fishery in Japan and many other places in the world. [REFERENCES, USA, Alaska, Europe, India]. 60 (2) (3) Government authorities still need to monitor the communities anyway to see that they do not exceed their allocated rights such as TACs or infringe upon the rights of others (e.g. fish other stocks, exceed their allotted area etc.) There is some risk of conflict between different community groups. In spite of many problems, community management of fisheries is an interesting variant of property rights–based fisheries management. In theory it is inferior to sole ownership, TURFs and even ITQs but it often has the advantage of being feasible where the other property rights arrangements cannot be implemented for technical or socio-political reasons. Community management seems particularly suited to small-scale artisanal type of fisheries with a high number of fishermen needing little infrastructure (ports, processing, transportation and so on). In a situation of this type, the cost of enforcing individual property rights may well prove prohibitive. Community based rights, however, may overcome that problem by incorporating a good part of the enforcement problem in the routine form of communal enforcement. This is especially likely to be the case where existing community structures are well developed and strong. However, it may also work for new communities and associations. Individual Quotas Individual catch quotas constitute a private property right in the total harvesting quantity. More precisely, a catch quota gives the holder the right to a certain share in the total allowable catch. Since each fisherman’s use of the fish stock is restricted by his quota holdings, the common property nature of the fishery is greatly reduced. Thus, instead of competing with his fellow fishermen for catch from a limited resource, the fisherman, under a vessel quota system, can concentrate on minimizing the cost of harvesting his catch quota and maximizing its value by improving its quality. Individual catch quotas may be divided into two subclasses individual quotas and individual transferable quotas. Individual quotas, usually referred to as IQs, are quota rights that are nontransferable. In other words, an IQ must be held by the initial recipient indefinitely. Individual transferable quotas, usually referred to as ITQs, may be transferred or traded to others. Hence, at each given point of time the holders of ITQs may be quite different from the initial recipients. Since IQs may be regarded as ITQs with direct restrictions imposed, and the latter, i.e. ITQs, are economically very much superior to IQs, we will for the most part restrict our attention to ITQs in what follows: ITQs Transferable and perfectly divisible catch quotas are usually referred to as individual transferable quotas or ITQs. If the ITQs are also permanent they constitute a relatively high quality property right, not unlike exclusive user rights to a forest or a piece of land. In that case, standard economic theory should apply and, barring other market 61 imperfections such as crowding on the fishing grounds, the fishery should automatically reach full efficiency. This important point may be explained in a little more detail: First, if catch quotas are transferable, a market for the quotas will emerge. With the help of this market quotas will tend to revert to the most efficient fishing firms. The more efficient the quota market the more pronounced will this tendency be. In this manner, an ITQ-based fisheries management system will tend to guarantee that the total allowable catch (TAC) is always caught by the most efficient fishing firms. Second, if the catch quotas are also permanent, fishing firms will find it to their advantage to adjust the capacity of the fishing fleet to the socially optimal level. After all, due to the transferability of the quotas, only the most efficient firms will do the harvesting. These firms will not hold excessive fishing capital. If they did, they would not be fully efficient and would lose out in the market for quotas. Therefore, aggregate fishing capital will tend towards the socially optimal level. Transferable quotas have a market price. Hence, they constitute a valuable asset. This asset is diminished by use, i.e. harvesting. Thus, under an ITQ system, there is, on top of the normal harvesting costs, a special cost or charge associated with extracting harvest from the fish stocks. This cost is simply the market price of quotas multiplied by amount of catch. It is convenient to refer to this cost as the quota cost. It is important to realize that the quota cost is borne by the fishing firms irrespective of whether they have to buy quota or not. In the case of firms without quota the cost is, of course, obvious for they will have to buy the corresponding quota at the going market price. In the case of fishing firms with sufficient quota, the cost stems from the fact that their quota is reduced by the amount of harvest. Hence, by harvesting, they forego the opportunity of selling the corresponding quota at the market price. This is what economists call the opportunity cost of using an asset (Varian 1992). It is just as real as a direct monetary outlay. So, under an ITQ system, harvesting entails a cost equivalent to the value of the corresponding quota. The effect is to reduce the net revenue from a given volume of catch exactly as tax on catch under the tax regime. The implications of this can be illustrated as in Figure 2.24. The initial equilibrium, before the institution of the ITQ system, is defined by the intersection of the ‘Gross Revenues’ curve and the ‘Costs’ yielding fishing effort ec and biomass xc and no economic rents. Now, under an ITQ system a quota price will emerge that will normally25 shift the revenue curve downward as illustrated in Figure 2.24. The new equilibrium is defined by the intersection of the new revenue curve, ‘Revenues less quota value’ and the ‘Costs’ curve at a lower fishing effort, e*, and a higher biomass level, x*. At this point, as illustrated in the diagram, there are substantial economic rents in the form of quota values. If the TAC is set optimally, as in fact assumed in the diagram, this new equilibrium will also represent the fishery optimum. 25 As we will later see, it is in fact likely, in the multi-species framework , that some quota prices will be negative, suggesting a shift upward in the revenue curve. 62 Figure 2.24 Individual Transferable Quotas Gross Revenues $ Costs Quota value Revenues less quota value e* ec Effort, e xc Biomass x* Sustainable biomass, x Quota trades Quota trades distinguish IQs from ITQs and are fundamental to the operation of the latter. Therefore, it may be useful to describe their function in a more detail. If fishing firms are interested in profits and catch quotas transferable, it is a virtual certainty that a market for quotas will emerge. On this market bids and offers for quotas will be placed and a market price generated26. The highest bids for quotas will of course tend to come from the most efficient fishing firms those that make the most profits from each unit of catch and vice versa. Observing these offers, less efficient fishing firms will generally find it to their advantage to sell part or all of their quota. Thus, with the help of market trades, quotas will tend to be sold away from the less efficient fishing firms and bought be the more efficient fishing firms. This process will continue as long as there are significant differences in fishing firm efficiency. An equilibrium will only be reached when all active firms will be operating roughly at the same level of efficiency. At this point, a measure of this efficiency level will then be given the quota price. 26 For the purist, a market price only exists for an instance as a trade take place. In between trades there is no market price, only bids and offers. 63 This analysis can be illustrated with the help of the diagram in Figure 2.25. This diagram describes a fishery composed of three firms, Firms 1, 2 and 3, at a given point of time. Quantity of harvest (or quota) is measured along the horizontal axis and values along the vertical one. After paying Figure 2.25 harvesting costs each firm Quota trades: An example derives marginal benefits from harvesting as $ described the three Firm 1 downward sloping lines in the diagram. Each of these Firm 2 lines indicates the firm’s relative efficiency at Firm 3 different levels of harvest. Quota Total So Firm 3 is more efficient price, s demand than Firm 2 which is more efficient than Firm 1. At the same time, the lines q q q q represents demand for Q Q Q Harvest catch, i.e. the price (vertical axis) the firm would be willing to pay for the privilege to harvest the corresponding quantity (horizontal axis). Thus, under no management, where the purchase price, so to speak, of harvest is zero, the firms will elect to harvest q1, q2 and q3, respectively. The total harvest, the sum of the three, is simply q. The total harvest that would prevail if there was a positive purchase price of harvest is given by the bold line in the diagram. 1 2 2 3 3 Now imagine, the imposition of an ITQ system and assume a considerable cutback in total allowable catch to Q. Without such a cutback, of course, the fisheries management would be meaningless.27 Given the total allowable catch of Q, the equilibrium quota price would be s. At this price there will be a radical rearrangement of the firms in the industry. Firm 1, the least efficient one, will leave the industry simply sell its quota. In should be noted that this firm, provided it doesn’t sell its quota greatly below the market equilibrium price, s, will gain substantially from selling out. The bulk of the catch, denoted Q3 in the diagram, is now taken by Firm 3, the most efficient one, which has substantially increased its share of the fishery. Firm 2, will take approximately the same share as before. Thus further illustrate the changes brought about by quota trades let us summarize the numerical results corresponding to Figure 2.25 in Table 2.9. 27 The cutback, of course, doesn’t mean that the future TAC would be less than the harvest under no management. Remember that this diagram only applies at a given point of time. In due course, presumably, the fish stocks would recover, and the TAC would be increased, even beyond q. Note, however, at that time, the harvest level corresponding to no-management would be even higher. 64 Table 2.9 Quota trades: Numerical example Before ITQs After ITQs Firm 1 15% 0% Share in total catch Firm 2 31% 33% Firm 3 54% 67% A well designed ITQ system To reap the full economic benefits of an ITQ system, the system has to be designed in the appropriate manner. The most important components of such a design are: 1. 2. 3. 4. The quota right should be secure. The quota right should be permanent The quota should be perfectly divisible and transferable The quota should be stipulated as a share in whatever TAC is decided in the future. The first three components are all crucial aspects of any high quality property right as discussed in section 2.4.1.28 The fourth has the added advantage of giving the ITQ holder vested interest in the future of the fish stocks. Under share quotas, the value of the ITQ holders harvesting rights is directly dependent on the state of the fish stocks. If they are in a poor state, this value will be low and vice versa. Hence, under a share quota system, the ITQ holder has every reason to conserve the reason, rebuild depressed fish stocks the fish stocks and to avoid foolhardy harvesting policies. Indeed, it can be shown (Arnason, 1990), that his attitude toward the stocks will be in good accordance with that of society as a whole. In what follows, we will generally take it for granted that the ITQ system is designed according to stipulations 1.-4. above. Optimality of ITQs The above discussion should make it clear that under a well designed ITQ system we have the following: (1) Since the firms enjoy ownership of a harvesting rights, they are in a position to maximize the economic benefits offered by their quota holdings.29 (2) Transferability of quotas means that only the right number of the most efficient firms will do the harvesting. (3) If the TAC is set optimally, the ITQ fishery will maximize economic rents. optimal 28 Note that the fourth basic characteristic of a high quality property right, namely exclusivity, is really built into the ITQ (or IQ) as such. Thus, an ITQ/IQ defines a certain degree (not very high) of exclusive property right in the fish stock . 29 This they will among other things do by its investment/disinvestment policy, by adjusting the extent and timing of its fishing effort to take advantage of variable profitability over time, by revising its selection of fishing gear and so on. 65 The practical situation is somewhat more complicated. The ITQ system only produces the optimal solution conditonal upon the total allowable catch (TAC). Consequently, in spite of the ITQ system, the authorities are still faced with the problem of determining the optimal TAC. It is important to realize that this type of requirement is by no means particular to the ITQ system. It applies for instance to fisheries management by means of taxes, where the authorities need to set the correct tax rate. It also applies to economic management in general. Thus, the market system only produces optimal results given the existence of a variety legal restrictions and conditions imposed by the government. A major task of all governments is to set these restrictions and conditions optimally. In the case of the ITQ fisheries management system, it can be shown30 that the TAC that maximizes the resource rents from the fishery is the one that maximizes the value of the quota shares.31 A formal proof is a bit involved. The basic intuition, however, can be gained from Figure 2.24 and the associated discussion. Remember that resource rents are equivalent to quota values. Hence, looking at that diagram, the TAC that maximizes quota values is obviously also the one that maximizes resource rents. This property of the ITQ system greatly simplifies the fisheries management problem. In this task, the fisheries manager is helped by market valuation of quotas. Market players hold the most complete information about the relevant variables such as biomass levels and growth, input and output prices and fisheries operating conditions in general. After all, quota holders and quota traders have the most to lose by poor information or wrong predictions. Therefore, quota market arbitrage will ensure that if the TACs are set too high or too low, the value of permanent quotas will be correspondingly reduced. Only at the optimal TACs is the aggregate quota value maximized. This is illustrated in Figure 2.26. Of course, Figure 2.26, is only one example of the possible relationship between total allowable catch and resource rents. The relationship can easily be different. Thus, for instance, maximum resource rents may be at zero total allowable catch. In fact this would be a typical outcome in some of the more overexploited fisheries of the world. 30 31 Arnason (1990). If some vessels are more efficient than others the optimal TAC may be slightly higher. Arnason 1990. 66 Figure 2.26 Relationship between resource rents and total quotas: An example Thus, under the ITQ system, all the authorities need to do is to Quota values, adjust the TAC resource until the market rents value of the quotas is maximized. Due to the extreme informational parsimony of this method basically the fisheries manager doesn’t have to Total allowable catch, TAC know anything about the fishery himself it has been referered to as the minimum information management (MIM) in the literature (Arnason, 1990, 1993). Dynamics The dynamics of a catch managed fishery are qualitatively different from the other management systems considered, especially biological management and direct economic controls. Under a quota system the management control is the total allowable catch (TAC). This indirectly determines fishing effort, as the least cost effort to take the TAC, and, in the case of ITQs, the quota price. Thus, by selecting TACs, the fisheries manager can generate any biologically and economically feasible path fishing effort and biomass over time. It should be noted that it is usually not possible under a catch quota fisheries management system, to impose the optimal equilibrium TAC and simply wait for the fishery to settle down. In this way, a quota management system is very different from a tax system where, as illustrated in section 2.3, the optimal equiibrium tax could simply be imposed once and for all and the fishery would eventually settle down at the optimal point. In a quota managed fishery, if the fishery has been overexploited, which is most often the case, it is normally necessary at the reduce the TACs initially below the optimal long run level and then increase the TAC at a later stage. Otherwise, the stock could not be rebuilt. It is only if the fishery is relatively underexploited at the outset, which would be the case for a new fishery, or the initial harvest level is in excess of the optimal equilibrium one that the optimal equilibrium can be reached without altering the TAC over time. 67 Thus, under the IQ/ITQ system , the nature of the adjustment path toward equilibrium is fundamentally up to the fisheries manager. For instance there is no reason to accept the cyclical adjustment paths that tend to characterize the adjustment under the alternative management Figure 2.27 systems. Indeed, An IQ/ITQ adjustment path toward the optimum there is every reason to exploit this Fishing flexibility to follow effort, e as closely as possible the optimal adjustment path. In identifying this path, Initial equilibrium the fisheries e0 manager would be assisted by the MIM Optimal procedure. An e1 equilibrium example of such a reasonably optimal looking path is presented in Figure x1 2.27 x0 Biomass, x It is important to realize that along the adjustment path illustrated in Figure 2.27, the fishing industry will be profitable, provided the opportunity costs of quota is not subtracted from the net revenues. In this the ITQ system is very different from fisheries management by means of taxes. The reason is that under the ITQ system, the fisheries rents is left in the industry in the form of quota values, while in the taxation regime, the fisheries rents are expropriated by the fisheries manager. Impact of ITQs on Costs and Revenues As mentioned above, the property right vested in ITQs, in particular, the security of harvest they imply, gives the holder the opportunity to seek ways to take that harvest in the least cost way and to maximize the value of the harvest. In most fisheries there are many ways to do this. Harvesting costs (or costs per effective effort) can be reduced by selecting the optimal time to go fishing, i.e. when the catchability is highest, avoid bad weather, reduce fuel consumption and wear and tear of the engine by selecting the optimal engine speed, reduce gear usage by more selective fishing methods, reduce crew overtime and accidents and so on. The value of the harvest can be increased by a selecting more appropriate fishing grounds, fishing time and fishing gear to bring aboard more highly valued catch, by a slower rate of catch so that quality is better maintained, by a more careful attention to the preservation and storage of catch before landing, adjusting the supply of landings to the fluctuations in demand and so on. All of these cost saving and value increasing measures are made easier by the security of having a catch quota. 68 It is important to realize that these effects are not included in the description of the impact of the ITQ system in Figure 2.24. That figure only illustrates how, when the proper level of the TAC is selected, the ITQ system moves the fishery toward the optimal effort and, consequently, in time also the optimal biomass level. The effects discussed above, on the other hand result in favourable shifts in both the cost and the sustainable revenue functions. Hence, to the extent that these effects materialize, the overall benefits of the ITQ system will be even greater. This is illustrated in Figure 2.27. Figure 2.27 ITQs: Cost reductions and quality improvements With the shift in the revenue and cost functions, the Gross optimal fishing effort Costs Revenues increases as $ illustrated in Figure 2.27. The interesting Quota aspect of this is that, value to the extent that this Revenues effect is exists, the less quota value reduction in fishing effort and increase in ec e* Effort, e biomass, normally xc associated with a movement form an Biomass competitive x* equilibrium to the optimal one, will be smaller than would Sustainable biomass,be the case. The main thing, however, is that the maximum attainable quota otherwise x value is increased. What is the empirical relevance of this effect. Few measurements are actually available. However, those few strongly indicate that they may be substantial. Thus according to National Economic Institute of Iceland (As reported by Arnason 1995), quality improvements in the first year after the introduction of the ITQ system in the demersal fisheries, accounted to some 2.6% of the total value of the catch. Similarly, Casey et al. (1995) and Wilen and Homans (1997) report that in the B.C. Halibut fishery a good deal of the fisheries rents under ITQs seems to stem from increases in market prices due to improved quality. Other advantages of the ITQ system The main advantage of the ITQ system is of course that it can in principle generate efficiency in the fishery. There are, however, several other important positive aspects of the ITQ system of which a few should be mentioned here. First, it is essentially a decentralized fisheries management system. Second, it is robust in terms of generating fisheries rents. Third, it allows for a straight-forward and non-distortive expropriation of fisheries rents. Fourth, it is extremely flexible in terms of the distribution of the 69 economic benefits. Fifth, it promotes increased personal safety at sea. Sixth, it tends to stabilize the supply and, consequently, the price of landings. We will now briefly review these benefits. (1) Decentralized management The ITQ system is fundamentally a decentralized fisheries management system. Under the ITQ management regime the government's only role is to set the TAC and to enforce the property rights. Apart from this, the fishery manages itself. There is, at least not in principle, any need for input restrictions, investment constraints or any other interference in the decisions of fishing firms. Given the familiar problems of centralized government, this, of course, is a great advantage. It may be noted that the ITQ system seems to offer an even further scope for decentralization. Thus, the suggestion has been made that under the ITQ regime, the fishermen could in principle determine the TAC and enforce the quota property rights themselves.32 (2) Robust rent generation The ITQ fisheries management system is highly robust in the sense that it practically guarantees some economic rents from the fishery. For any TAC that is decided the industry will automatically maximize the economic rents generated. Only if the TAC is so large that the fishery becomes an unmanaged fishery, or so small that the fishery is closed will there be no rents generated. Moreover, the success of the fisheries manager in setting the appropriate TAC will be reflected in the prevailing quota prices in the market. These properties are actually illustrated in Figure 2.26 above. As demonstrated in Figure 2.26, it is quite difficult to seriously mismanage an ITQ system. Thus, an ITQ fishery even under a fairly inept fisheries manager, will normally generate at least some economic rents. The only question is whether these rents will actually exceed the management costs. To ensure that they will, it may be a good idea to recover management expenses from the industry in the form of taxes. This, of course, will have the added advantage of encouraging the industry to take over the management function. (3) Rent expropriation All governments need to collect taxes to finance public expenditures. Most traditional tax collection, e.g. income taxes, import duties, excise taxes, value added taxes etc. are economically distortive. They induce modifications of economic behaviour and, as a result, usually subtract from the efficiency of the economy. The ITQ system has the important advantage that it can be combined with rent expropriation schemes without distorting economic behaviour. A relatively easy way 32 See e.g. Scott (1988, 1993) and the references therein. 70 to this is by imposing a tax on catch. This will be matched exactly be a reduction in the market price of quotas. Hence, the tax will have no effect on the behaviour of the fishery. Thus, being non-distortive, this fisheries resource tax is ideal for taxation purposes. For some fisheries based economies the fisheries resource tax could be quite substantial. (4) Income distribution Yet another advantage with the ITQ system is that it is compatible with almost any distribution of the fisheries rents. Economic benefits from using quotas tends to be reflected in their market values. Hence any distribution of the fisheries rents to individuals, social classes or geographical regions can be achieved by judicious allocation of the quotas. In addition to this, fisheries rents can, as pointed out above, expropriated by taxation for public use. Hence, contrary to what is sometimes asserted33, the income distribution issue actually constitutes an advantage of ITQ systems and not a disadvantage. (5) Safety The ITQ system allocates property rights in the harvesting quantity. Consequently, it largely eliminates the need race for fish. Thus, the ITQ system greatly reduces the need to pursue fishing in dangerous conditions. Under the ITQ system, the individual companies can fish their quota at their leisure under relatively safe conditions. As yet little evidence on increased safety under ITQ systems has become available. What evidence there is34 tends to confirm the above theoretical predictions. (6) Supply of fish By allocating private property rights in the harvesting process, the ITQ system offers fishing firms the opportunity to select the optimal time profile of harvesting. In particular, under the ITQ regime, fishing firms are in a position to adjust the harvesting activity to market conditions. This means, ceteris paribus, reduced harvesting activity during periods of relatively low prices and vice versa. By harvesting arbitrage of this kind, the ITQ system is likely to smooth out fluctuations in fish supply and prices compared to what would otherwise be the case. The ITQ System: Disadvantages ITQs like other innovations in fisheries management have of course been subject to a critical review by the economic profession. In fact, over the years, several problems or 33 34 See e.g. Sutinen et. al. 1992. See Sutinen et al. 1992. 71 disadvantages with ITQs have been suggested in the literature.35 These criticisms are quite varied and somewhat haphazard. Many, moreover, are, in my opinion misplaced. The following summarizes what I regard as the main problems with ITQs. (1) Imperfect property rights The most fundamental problem with the ITQ fisheries management system is that the ITQs are imperfect as property rights. The source of the fisheries problem is the common property nature of the fish stocks. This problem can be tackled by defining private property rights in the fish stocks, preferably individual fish. More fundamentally, the crucial natural resource, is the ocean habitat that sustains the fish. Hence, ideally, private property rights should be defined in the ocean habitat itself. ITQs, however, only define property rights in the harvesting process. They do not define property rights in the fish stock, let alone individual fish or the ocean habitat. Consequently, ITQs are imperfect property rights from the point of view of economic efficiency and progress. They are, as pointed out by Hannesson (1994) comparable to the right to extract a certain quantity of timber from a given forest or the right to harvest a certain number of deer from a given colony. This type of a property right promotes efficiency as far as it goes. It is for instance likely to improve the economics of the extraction process. It is, however, obviously not suitable for the optimal husbandry of the forest or the colony of deer. For that property rights in individual trees and deer, and preferably to the land itself, is required. Many of the difficulties that have been associated with the ITQ system stem from the limitation of ITQs as property rights. These include certain enforcement problems, discarding of catch, the use of environmentally damaging gear etc.36 The problem is often exacerbated by enforcing the quota restriction at the point of landing rather than at the actual harvest level. With perfect private property rights in the ocean habitat and individual fish, however, no-one would discard excessively or employ environmentally inappropriate gear. Moreover, many of the quota enforcement problems would simply evaporate. (2) Discarding of catch Discarding of catch up to a certain level is socially optimal. It can be shown, however, that the ITQ system, generates an incentive to discard catch in excess of the socially optimal level.37 This is readily understandable. A particular fish that has been harvested will normally be discarded when its unit price ashore does not cover the cost of handling, storing and transport to port. Ignoring the impact of discarding on the ecology this is also optimal. In an ITQ managed fishery, on the other hand, the fisherman would normally prefer to discard a particular fish when its unit price ashore 35 36 37 A good early source is Copes (1986). A more recent review of problems with ITQs can be found in Sutinen et al. (1992) and Squires, Kirkley and Tisdell (1994). In addition to this several social scientists especially anthropologists have been critical of ITQs. Note, however, that many of these problems apply even more so to other fisheries management systems that have been proposed. For detailed analysis consult Arnason (1994). 72 less the corresponding quota value does not cover the cost of handling, storage and transport to port. What this extra incentive to discard catch under an ITQ system means in practice depends on the parameters of the situation. Generally speaking, however, the greater the variability in the catch quality and the greater the price differential for quality grades, the more likely it is that catch will be discarded excessively under an ITQ system. As an illustration consider the following diagram adapted from Arnason (1994). Figure 4 Discarding functions for the Icelandic Cod fishery: Stylized calculations Discarding value 0,6 0,4 0,2 0 -0,2 -0,4 -0,6 -0,8 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Fish age (size) ITQ Competitiv e Figure 4 presents stylized calculations of discarding functions for the Icelandic cod fishery. The discarding functions measure the incentive to discard by cod age. The higher the discard value the higher the incentive to discard. More precisely, a positive discard value means that it is profitable to discard. The discarding functions are calculated for two management regimes; the ITQ system based on recent ITQ prices and the unmanaged fishery. Figure 4 shows that the ITQ discarding values are uniformly higher than the ones for the unmanaged fishery. Notice, in particular, the added tendency to discard juvenile cod under the ITQ system. The implications for actual discarding may not be all that great, however. According to the calculations in Figure 4, it is only 2 year cod that would be discarded under the ITQ system but retained under the unmanaged regime. It is important to realize that the discarding problem is fundamentally a consequence of the imperfect property rights defined by the ITQ system. To see this simply consider the case where the property rights are applied to individual fish, as is the case e.g. in cattle and sheep farming on land. In this case, the problem of discards would obviously not arise — at least no more than it does in cattle and sheep farming. This suggests that an enhancement of the usual ITQ property rights would alleviate the discarding problem. Consider for instance a system where there are 73 separate ITQs for different grades, e.g. size, of fish. In that case, the ITQs for different grades would command different market prices. In particular, the quota price for low grade fish would ceteris paribus be reduced and there would be correspondingly less incentive to discard lower grade fish excessively. Finally notice, that the discard problem may also be regarded as a problem of enforcement. It arises primarily because the ITQ restriction is normally enforced a the landing point and not at the harvesting stage. Socially excessive discarding is privately optimal only if the discarded catch is not counted against quota. If discarded catch were subtracted from the quota, there would be no extra incentive for discarding. (3) Discrete quota periods A continuous quota system is one where the quota periods are infinitely small. A discrete quota system is one where the quota periods are of finite length. In practice quota periods must be of finite length. Frequently a period of one year is chosen for that purpose. Now, it is easy to see that an ITQ system will generally have to be continuous to be optimal.38 When ITQ quota periods are finite, the fishing firms can select the time profile of the harvesting activity provided only that they satisfy the quota constraint for the whole period. Hence, in the discrete ITQ system it is clear that the fish stock externality has not been completely eliminated. By changing the time profile of his extraction activity, a fishing firm will generally impose an externality, positive or negative, on all other firms. The need to employ discrete quota periods rather than continuous ones constitutes a fundamental disadvantage of ITQ systems. It is fundamental in the sense that it is essentially imposed by physical constraints. Hence it is not easily overcome. The general recommendation would be to reduce the length of the quota periods. This, however, is only feasible up to a point determined by administration costs and the availability of management data. The social costs of having to make do with discrete quota periods rather than continuous ones depends in general on the parameters of the problem. It would seem, however, that in most actual cases this cost is not substantial. It should also be noted that most other fisheries management systems that have been proposed including limited access, restricted inputs, Pigovian taxes etc. are subject to similar problems.39 (4) Enforcement An ITQ system like any other system of fisheries management requires a certain degree of enforcement to be effective. Most importantly the individual quota constraint has to be enforced. 38 39 See Arnason (1990). This generic class of problems might be referred to as "management period problems". 74 In the ITQ system there is a built-in incentive to harvest in excess of quota holdings. The quota is a valuable property and harvesting in excess of quota represents an equivalent gain. It is also, in principle a theft. The victim of the theft is all other quota holders that have to suffer less catches in the future and a corresponding reduced value of their quota holdings. It is important to realize that this particular enforcement problem is by no means unique to the ITQ system. It is actually inherent in all property rights systems. In our property rights system on land, that has evolved over a long time, social pressures and legal enforcement combine to keep the problem in check. The enforcement costs, however, are quite substantial. It may well be that the enforcement aspect of ITQ systems is not as much of a disadvantage as may appear at first sight. First, it doesn't appear to be any more difficult to enforce quota property rights than any other property rights. In fact, given the relatively few fishing firms in most societies compared to the population as a whole the quota enforcement problem appears fairly easy. Second, the harvesting quantity is a crucial variable in most fisheries and is consequently closely monitored in most managed fisheries anyway. It follows that the ITQ enforcement requirement normally does not constitute an additional monitoring activity although the previous monitoring of catches may have to be improved. Third, it must not be forgotten that the enforcement of other fisheries management systems is also problematic. Why for instance should fishing gear regulations, area restrictions and even access licenses be easier to enforce than quota constraints? Fourth, it is important to appreciate that enforcement of ITQs is a fairly new task. It follows that there has been little opportunity to develop efficient enforcement procedures. It is very likely that modern technology offers efficient enforcement techniques that are yet to be applied. What is important in quota enforcement, as in enforcement in general, is to strike the right balance between the monitoring and sanctions. Poaching is a risky business and rational poachers are primarily motivated by the expected gain of poaching. The higher the expected gain the more poaching will take place and vice versa. The problem of quota enforcement is to make the expected gain of violations sufficiently low, preferably negative. This can be done by either high degree of monitoring or heavy penalties for violations.40 Monitoring is costly. Therefore, from the point of view of efficient enforcement, low degree of monitoring and heavy penalties for discovered violations appear ideal. It is important to realize, however, that there are certain upper bounds on penalties. These are both technical — the maximum fine cannot really exceed a person's wealth — and social —certain crimes only warrant a certain penalty. Given the maximum penalty level, the cost of quota enforcement increases with the (a) unit price of the fish and (b) the complexity of the fishery in particular the number of landing points and operators. This suggests that there may actually be fisheries where enforcement of quota is prohibitively costly. For these fisheries some other fisheries management system may be preferable. Notice, however, that if quota constraints are 40 Monitoring determines the probability of being caught. The penalty represents the cost of being caught. The multiple of the two defines the expected cost of violations. 75 difficult to enforce, the constraints of alternative fisheries management systems are probably hard to enforce as well. 5) Social costs ITQs, to the extent that they are successful, tend to lead to a significant restructuring of the fishing industry. If the fishery was initially overcapitalized, which is of course usually the case, there will be fewer vessels. Aggregate fishing effort is bound to fall. and there will likely be a reduction in the number of fishermen. In addition to this, fishing methods and fishing technology is likely to change, even radically. Finally the regional location of the fishing industry may be altered. Changes of this nature will have social repercussions. They will disturb established social structures and invalidate parts of a previous social culture associated with the fisheries41. Often, perhaps even generally, people dislike changes of this nature. Hence these changes represent a cost, a social cost. This cost which can in principle be evaluated by economic means42, should of course be subtracted from the more standard economics benefits. Quite apart form their impact on social structures, the increased income and income distributional implications of ITQs tend to give rise to another type of social disturbance, namely the fight about who should get how much and when. This, while in a sense the cost of success, may also be of relevance in judging the suitability of ITQs for any particualr situation. This concludes what I regard as significant problems with the ITQ fisheries management system. Notice, that these problems can hardly be regarded as substantial. They represent certain disadvantages that, in most cases, merely detract from the advantages of the ITQ system. In most cases of ocean fisheries ITQs offer huge advantages. Multi-species fisheries management The MIM procedure applicable under the ITQ fisheries management system suggests a very elegant approach to the difficult problem of multi-species fisheries management. In short, it turns out that the fisheries manager only needs to set the vector of TACs such that the overall market value of outstanding ITQs is maximized. Provided the market system works, the resulting TACs automatically constitute the best possible multispecies fisheries management policy. (Arnason 1993, 2000) Ecosystem fisheries management with the help of ITQs has some interesting implications. For instance, negative TACs and negative quota prices for some species are quite possible and have a meaningful economic interpretation. 41 42 For further readings about this see Palsson, and Petursdottir (1997) and the references therein. E.g. the various methods used to assess the value of other non-market goods, see e.g. Hanley et al. 1997. 76 For privately profitable fisheries, those that are normally observed in the real world, share quota price would be positive. On the other hand, in the ecological framework, the MIM procedure may well result in negative share quota prices for some other species. The reason is that the optimal ecological fisheries policy will usually require a reduction in the stock size of some species of fish that are themselves not valuable but prey on or compete with commercially valuable species. The quota price for these species would be negative representing harvesting subsidies. This is not at all surprising. There are many parallels under the more developed property rights system ashore. Rewards for killing low value predators such as minks and foxes and the eradication of pests in general provide a case in point. When share quotas prices are negative, profit maximizing quota holders would clearly prefer not to spend economic resources catching their share quota. Therefore, in this case, the ITQ requirement that quotas be fulfilled must be imposed. Clearly, profit maximizers will only assume such an obligation for a payment. For this reason, the initial allocation of share quotas in a privately unprofitable fishery will normally require a payment or subsidy. The firms requiring the lowest subsidy, i.e. the most efficient ones, would normally be the recipients of these share quotas. Another interesting feature of ecological fisheries management with the help of ITQs is that optimal TACs for some species might be negative. A negative TAC means that the quotas holders are under the obligation of adding to rather than extracting from the stock of the species. Thus, it appears that ecological fisheries management with the help of share quotas naturally accommodates fish stock enhancement as a dual to harvesting. Again, if a quota price for a negative total quota is negative it represents a subsidy for fish stock enhancement. That would occur in the case of socially optimal but privately unprofitable stock enhancement. An example of this would be the hatching and releasing of valuable marine fish into the ocean. Alternatively, stock enhancement may be privately profitable. A case in point might be ocean ranching of valuable species such as scallops or salmon. For ecological reasons the quota price would often be positive indicating that the ocean ranching firms would pay for the privilege of releasing fish into the ocean. It should now be clear that there are four polar cases of ecological fisheries management in the ITQ framework as summarized in Table 2.10 below. 77 Table 2.10 TAC and ITQ price combinations ITQ Price Total Quota, TAC Negative Positive Negative Unprofitable Stock Enhancement Unprofitable Fishery Predator/competitor Stock reduction Positive Profitable Stock Enhancement (Ocean Ranching) Profitable Fishery (Commercial Fishery) Applying the MIM procedure to a given marine ecosystem will normally produce entries in one or more of the boxes in Table 1. Notice, however, that a prerequisite for an entry with negative quota price (top-half of Table 1), is that there is at least one entry with a positive quota price. Hence, if the ecology is not useful at all, all share quota prices would be zero. It is important to realize that the MIM procedure actually compares the overall costs and benefits (as judged by the quota market) of any TAC change including stock enhancement quotas. For instance, if the stock enhancement of a given species is regarded as detrimental to valuable fisheries (presumably through ecological interactions) the share quota prices in these fisheries would decline making it less likely that the MIM procedure recommend the stock enhancement TAC. For that to happen, the increase in the market price of the stock enhancement share quota must exceed the decline in the market price of the share quotas of the other fisheries. IQs IQs have all the properties of ITQs except the quotas are not transferable. The question is how much of a drawback that is. It may be useful to notice that, unlike ITQs, IQs also constitute access licences. The non-transferability of the IQs means that the group of those that have access to the fishery has been fixed. Hence IQs may also be regarded as a system of access licences with quantative harvesting rights imposed. Above, we have established that ITQs have the following efficiency properties: (1) (2) (3) (4) Aggregate fishing effort and biomass will be optimal (given the structure of the industry and provided the TAC is set optimally) The TAC is taken by the most efficient fishing firms at all times. The cost of harvesting is reduced. The value of harvest is increased. 78 Benefits (3) and (4) stem from the nature of ITQs as secure harvesting property rights. IQs share this characteristic. Therefore, there is little reason to expect that most of these benefits will not be realized under IQs.43 Since IQs are by definition not transferable, the IQ system will, in effect, freeze the initial fishing firm mix of the industry. Hence, the ITQ system will generally not achieve efficiency property (2). The economic cost of this can be either large or small depending essentially on two things; (i) the relative efficiency of the firms initially in the industry and (ii) the evolution of this relative efficiency for the duration of the IQ system. There is little reason to be optimistic about either. Initially, when it is felt necessary to introduce an IQ system, the fishing industry is generally quite distorted by the competition for catch shares and poor financial outcomes. Hence, it may be expected it contain a good number of firms of inferior efficiency and or firms whose internal structure and routines are not conducive to efficient operations in another environment. Moreover, following the introduction of the IQ system, there tends to be little pressure on these firms to improve the efficiency of their operations. The reason is the financial benefits generated by the IQ system and the lack of competitive pressure form outside the system creates. IQs can, in principle, achieve property (1), optimal aggregate fishing effort. However, the practical situation is a bit more pessimistic. Since the quotas are nontransferable, the fisheries manager will have to make do without the informational guidance of quota prices. Therefore, it is distinctly less likely that he will manage to set the optimal TAC under the IQ system compared to an ITQ system. Again, it associated cost is difficult to judge but can clearly be substantial. So, the IQ system is clearly economically less efficient than the ITQ system. The difference depends, however, entirely on the empirical situation. It can be either large or small. To provide some idea of the magnitudes involved it may be helpful to study the following simple example. Consider a very simple fishery composed of only three firms. Let the profit functions of these firms, for a given level of biomass, be defined by: i = aiqi - biqi2 - ci, i=1,2,3, where i denotes the profits and qi the harvest of firm i. Let firm 2 be the least efficient, firm 2 more efficient and firm 3 the most efficient. More precisely, let the parameters be given by the following: 43 It is of course possible that since IQs are nontransferable, a particular firm will find itself with an excessive quantity of IQs relative to its on-board catch processing capacity. In this situation, quality is likely to suffer. It might also be difficult to reduce costs of harvesting. However, under an IQ system, the firm could remedy the situation by investing in capacity until it has reached the desired quality level. The problem could only persist in the long run if capital came in strongly discrete units. In the short run, however, due to stock and catchability fluctuations, the problem would linger. 79 Parameters b 1.0 2.0 2.0 a 1.0 2.0 3.0 Firm 1 2 3 c 0.2 0.2 0.2 Thus the profit functions and the marginal profit functions of the three firms area as illustrated in the following figure: 4 1 Pi1( q1 ) MP2( q1 ) Pi2( q2 ) 0.5 MP1( q2 ) Pi3( q3 ) MP3( q3 ) 0 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 0 q1 q2 q3 0 0.5 1 q1 q2 q3 Under no management, the firms will harvest at a point where marginal profits are zero. Thus, firms 1 and 2 will harvest 0.5 units and firm 3 0.75 units. The total harvest will be 1.5 units. Let us assume that under the IQ/ITQ system the TAC is set at 0.75 units and allocated to the three firms pro rata according to their initial catches. Then under IQs, the firms will be stuck at that harvest rates as illustrated in the following Table. There will be substantial aggregate profits nevertheless. Under transferable Harvest No management IQ ITQ Firm 1 0.500 0.214 0.000 Firm 2 0.500 0.214 0.250 Firm 3 0.750 0.322 0.500 Total 1.500 0.750 0.750 quotas, however, firm 1 will sell out and firm 2 and, in particular firm 3 increase their share of the fishery. Most importantly, however, profits will almost 50%, higher in the ITQ fishery than the IQ fishery or 0.975 compared to 0.663 for the IQ fishery. These extra benefits stem purely from the ability of the industry under the ITQ fishery to reallocate catches to the most efficient firms. Note that it does not take account of the fact that the TAC will probably be set more optimally under ITQs than IQs. Nore does it take account of the other, less crucial, advantages of ITQs discussed below. This, of course, is just an example of the extra benefits generated by the ITQ fishery compared to the IQ fishery. It is not necessarily illustrative of the outcome in any particular fishery. The advantage of ITQs depends very much on the the differences in the relative efficiency of the firms in the initial situation. It also 80 depends very much on the reduction in the TAC compared to the initial harvest. For instance, if there is no reduction there will be no change in the fishery. There are other disadvantages with IQs as compared to ITQs. One, related to the problem of the optimal configuration of fishing firms, has to do with the ability of the fishing industry to adjust its operations to short term fluctuations in fish availability and prices. Fish availability is uncertain, even when stocks are large. Thus, during a certain period of time, a month, say, a certain species of fish might be abundant in one geographical location and not in others while the opposite might hold for some other species. A similar effect might apply to demand, e.g. landing prices. Under these circumstances it is clearly economically desirable to reallocate quota holding so that some of the firms can specialize in exploiting the favourable conditions in one location and some in the other locations. In ITQ system this adjustment would happen virtually automatically. In fact, in actual ITQ systems, a good deal of short term trades of this nature can be observed. Under the IQ system, however, this adjustment is not possible. Another relative disadvantage, at least from the point of view of the fishing firms, is that with non-transferable quotas, their ability to borrow against the collateral represented by the quotas and their financial strength in general is very much reduced. Of course, compensating for these disadvantages, is the increased social stability represented by the non-transferability of quotas under the IQ system compared to the ITQ system. No doubt, it is this perceived benefit that often induces fishing nations to opt for IQs or ITQs with restricted transferability instead of a fully fledged ITQ system. Property rights systems: A summary comparison The fisheries property rights discussed above have different efficiency as well as social properties. Generally, everything else being the same, we may take it that the higher the quality of the property right the more economically efficient is the associated fishery. Consequently, one way to assess the economic efficiency of the various fisheries property rights systems, is to determine the quality of the property right itself. For this purpose, it is convenient to use the Q-measure defined in Technical appendix 5. Indeed, the Q-measure, consistently applied, provides a convenient tool to quickly obtain an assessment of the economic efficiency of any property rights arrangement that may be proposed. For the special case of four property rights characteristics, the Q-measure was in Technical appendix defined to be: Q SEP(w1+ w2T), , , , , w1, w2>0 and w1 + w2 =1 where S denotes security, E exclusivity, P permanence and T transferability. We select the following values for the parameters: 81 Q-measure: Parameters Parameters w1 w2 Values 0.25 0.50 0.25 1.00 0.60 0.40 We consider the six property rights systems in fisheries discussed above, namely (i) access licences, (ii) territorial use rights (TURFs), (iii) sole ownership, (iv) individual quotas (IQs), (v) individual transferable quotas (ITQs) and (vi) Community rights. In order to focus as much as possible on the inherent property rights content of these systems, we assume that the property right they comprise is in all cases perfectly secure and permanent. Therefore, they only vary as to the exclusivity regarding the subject of the property right, the fish stock and the transferability of the property right. Regarding transferability, it is a matter of definition that individual quotas are not transferable at all. Community fishing rights are more problematic. What does transferability of community fishing rights mean? Is it transfers of such rights between communities or does it refer to the transferability of rights conferred to individuals by the community. Obviously, a wide range of arrangements may apply. Therefore, in order to obtain some results, we set the transferability of community fishing rights in an interval ranging from [0-1]. Transferability of all other property rights systems is assumed to be perfect (i.e. unity). The main difference between the six property rights systems is in terms of the exclusivity of the property right relative to its subject, the fish stocks. Briefly, we assume that the exclusivity of the sole owner right is unity; exclusivity of territorial use rights slightly less or 0.9; exclusivity of the individual quota systems lesser still or 0.7 and the exclusivity of access licences very small or 0.05. Again community rights are problematic. Much depends on the size of the community and the fisheries management system it decides to adopt internally. So again, it seems most reasonable to determine the exclusivity of community fishing rights over an interval. A seemingly plausible interval for this purpose is [0.05,0.9]. The outcome of the calculations are given in Table 2.11 82 Table 2.11 Quality of some fisheries property rights: An assessment Property rights system Characteristics Security Access licences TURFs Sole Ownership IQs ITQs Community rights Quality of the property right 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 Exclusivity Permanence Transferability Q-measure 0.05 0.90 1.00 0.70 0.70 [0.05-0.90] 0.22 0.96 1.00 0.53 0.89 [0.22-0.96] 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 [0.00-1.00] The numerical results listed in Table 2.11, should, of course, not be taken too seriously. They are quite sensitive to the specification of the of the Q-measure parameters as well as the numerical values given to the property rights characteristics. The results should rather be regarded as attempt at ordering the property rights quality of the various systems. Having stated these reservations, the results in Table 2.11 suggest that sole ownership and TURFs are generally the highest quality property rights and, therefore, probably the most efficient arrangements. ITQs also exhibit quite a high property rights value, substantially higher than IQs. The property rights quality of access licences is by far the lowest although hardly negligible. The property rights quality of community rights depends to a great extent on the fisheries management system adopted within the community. Thus, it can range from almost nothing to almost perfect according to how the community decides to use its power. On this basis, one may conclude that ranked according to economic efficiency the property rights arrangements are (1) Sole ownership, (2) TURFs, (3) ITQs, (4) IQs and (5) access licences with community rights somewhat indeterminate. This, however, only holds as a general assessment, i.e. with everything else being the same. There will undoubtedly be situations (technical and socio-political) where some of property rights systems will simply not be feasible. There may also be special circumstances, e.g. problems of enforcement, which will alter the above efficiency ranking. 83 Technical appendix 6 The Optimality of Various Property Rights Regimes The following supplies formal arguments for the optimality or lack thereof of the various property rights regimes discussed in the foregoing section. In order to focus on the essential ideas, the arguments are here presented in relatively simple equilibrium framework with identical firms. An extension to a fully dynamic setting with non-identical firms is straight forward but mathematically much more messy. The Basic Model Let the fishery be conducted by N identical firms. Let the social profit function of each of these be: (1) (e,x) = Y(e,x)-C(e), where e represents the firm's fishing effort and x the biomass of the fish stock. The function Y(e,x) represents the revenue function and is concave and increasing in both fishing effort and biomass. The function C(e) is the harvesting cost function and is increasing and convex in fishing effort. It follows that the profit function (e,x) is concave. All functions are assumed to be twice differentiable and Yex>0. Aggregate social benefits from the fishery is defined by the sum of individual profit functions i.e., (2) N(e,x) = N(Y(e,x)-C(e)) Biomass growth is given by the expression: x = G(x) - NY(e,x), where G(x) is the usual concave natural biomass growth function and NY(e,x) is the total harvest. Restricting the analysis to equilibrium for simplicity we have the biomass growth restriction: (3) 0 = G(x) - NY(e,x). The Optimal Fishery Social optimum requires the selection of number of firms, N and the fishing effort of each one, e, so as to maximize aggregate profits, i.e. (2), subject to the biomass constraint, (3): I. Max N(e,x), s.t. G(x) = NY(e,x). N,e The solution to this problem includes the expressions: 84 (I.1) e = Ye, all firms, (I.2) (e,x) = Y(e,x), where the Lagrange multiplier, , represent the shadow price of biomass. , in other words, is the social value of a unit of biomass. The interpretation of as the social shadow price of biomass makes condition (I.1) readily understandable. According to this condition, social optimum requires that each firm's fishing effort should be expanded to the point where its marginal contribution to profits just equals the cost in terms of reduced biomass, namely Ye. Remember that Ye is the marginal catch of fishing effort (i.e. reduction in biomass due to the marginal fishing effort) and is its unit social value. . The second necessary condition, (I.2) simply says that the number of firms should be increased until the social cost of doing so measured by Y(e,x) equals the profits. Some readers may find it interesting that this condition implies that = (e,x)/Y(e,x), i.e., the social value of biomass in equilibrium equals profits per unit of harvest. The Unmanaged Fishery In the unmanaged fishery, each firm in the industry attempts to adjust its fishing effort to solve the following problem: II. Max (e,x), s.t. G(x) = e N Y(e,x). 1 This is attained at a point were, at least for moderately large N, marginal profits are approximately zero.44 I.e., (II.1) e 0, all firms. Moreover new firms enter while profits are positive. Hence equilibrium requires: (II.2) (e,x) = 0. Thus, comparing (II.1) and (II.2) with the corresponding optimal expressions we see that the unmanaged fishery is characterized by (i) excessive fishing effort by each vessel for every level of biomass, (ii) excessive number of firms for every level of biomass and (iii) less profits. In fact, according to (II.2), in the unmanaged regime, the fishery yields no net economic benefits. 44 For a discussion of this qualification see Arnason (1990). 85 Access Licences Managed Fishery Under access licences, the number of vessels (firms) is limited. Let us refer to the restricted number of vessels by N0. The individual firms' maximization problem is: Max (e,x), s.t G(x) = III N0 Y(e,x). 1 The solution to this problem involves the approximate condition45: (III.1) e 0, all firms. Since the number of firms is exogenously fixed there is no entry condition. Comparison of condition (III.1) with the optimal one, (I.1) shows that the fishing effort exerted by each firm in the industry will be excessive for every given biomass level. However, unless the profit function is linear in effort, there will normally be some economic profits in a restricted access fishery, reflecting the 'manmade' scarcity of access. The present value of these profits will be reflected in the market (perhaps the black market) price of access licences. How large these rents will be depends on how close the optimum the actual number of licences is and the degree to which rents can be dissipated by increasing fishing effort components. In any case the rents will be less than the maximum attainable. Whether they will be sufficient to pay the management costs depends on the parameters of the situation. An ITQ managed fishery Under this particular fisheries management regime each fishing firm is faced with the constraint that catches cannot exceed quota holdings. In other words: Y(e,x) = q0+z, where q0 is the firm’s initial quota and z represents quota purchases (or sales). Thus the profit maximization problem facing each firm is: Max (e,x) - sz, s.t. Y(e,x)=q0+z, G(x) = Q, where s represents the market price for quotas and Q the total allowable catch (TAC). Substituting the quota constraint into the maximand we obtain the following equivalent problem: IV. Max (e,x) - s(Y(e,x)- q0), s.t. G(x) = Q, where Q it the total allowable catch (TAC). 45 See Arnason (1990). 86 The solution to this problem involves the condition: (IV.1) e = sYe, all firms. And the firm entry condition is: (IV.2) (e,x) = sY(e,x). Comparing these two necessary conditions with the corresponding optimal ones, namely (I.1) and (I.2), shows that the ITQ fishery will indeed be optimal provided the price of the quotas, s, is equal to the shadow value of the biomass, . Now, it should be intuitively clear that s depends on Q, i.e. the TAC determined by the fisheries authorities.46 After all Q is the total supply of quotas and of course the price, s, depends on the total supply. Hence, under the ITQ system, the fisheries authority only has to select the optimal Q to optimize the fishery. Notice, however, that even if the optimal Q is not selected, the ITQ fishery will, according to (III.2) generally yield positive net profits or rents equivalent to NsY(e,x). Only in the limit where Q is so large that s actually goes to zero will the ITQ fishery yield no rents. Notice that in that case, the ITQ fishery has actually been transformed into an unmanaged fishery. An IQ managed fishery Under an IQ constraint, each fishing firm is faced with an harvesting restriction equivalent to its IQ. Consequently, the firm attempts to adjust fishing effort to solve the following problem: V. Max (e,x), s.t. , Y(e,x) q, G(x) = Q where q is the firm’s catch quota and Q the total allowable catch. The solution to this problem involves the condition: (V.1) e = Ye, all firms, where is the shadow value of the quota constraint to the firm. Since the number of firms is exogenously fixed there is no entry condition. Comparing this necessary condition with the corresponding optimal ones, namely (I.1) and (I.2), shows that the IQ fishery will in general not be optimal. First, the firms’ fishing effort will not be correct unless each of their s is equal to the shadow value of biomass, . This clearly can only happen if the firms are identical and even so it would be unlikely. Second, the IQ fishery is unlikely to satisfy the entry condition (I.2), except by an incredibly unlikely accident. 46 Formally shown in Arnason, 1990. 87 A territorial use right fishery Assuming the territory and the fishery is exclusive, i.e. there are no losses to outside areas and fishermen, the problem facing the territorial use right holder is simply : VI. Max N(e,x), s.t. G(x) = NY(e,x), N,e where N should now rather be interpreted as the number of capital units rather than the number of firms. Now, problem VI is identical to problem I for the optimal fishery. Hence, the territorial use right arrangement also maximizes fishery rents.47 A sole owner fishery The profit maximizing sole owner will, just as the territorial use rights holder, try to solve problem I. Hence, a fishery run by a sole owner will be economically efficient. 48 Community fisheries rights Community fishing rights are, as far as the community is concerned, formally identical to sole owner rights or TURFs. Hence, provided the community rights are sufficiently exclusive, the community could in principle manage the fishery in the most optimal manner. In practice, however, the outcome is not so clear. Communitis are generally composed of many agents with varying interests. Therefore the management of the fishery depends very much on the decision making process in the community. Thus, in the case of community fisheries management it appears plausible to model the controls fishing effort, e, and the number of capital units, N as being restricted to a set determined by what can be agreed on within the community. So, under community management we have the following maximization problem: VII. Max N(e,x), s.t. G(x) = NY(e,x), N,e. N,e The key necessary conditions for solving problem VII are: (VII.1) e = Ye + , (VII.2) (e,x) = Y(e,x) + , 47 48 It may be pointed out that unless the territorial user rights are transferable, it may be the case that the right holder is relatively inefficient. Hence, without transferability, the fishery may actually be run in a less than efficient manner. Here, of course, the qualification of the previous footnote also applies. 88 where is the shadow value of biomass and the term is a correction reflecting the shadow price of the community restriction set, if it is binding. Comparing conditions (VII.1) and (VII.2) to the optimal ones (I.1) and (I.2) above, shows that only if the community restriction set is non-binding will community management be optimal. 89 2.5 Fisheries Management Systems: Conclusions Of all the fisheries management systems considered above, only (i) certain property rights arrangements and (ii) tax on catch seem to be theoretically capable of delivering the full potential economic benefits of fisheries. Direct fisheries management irrespective of whether it is based on biological or economic restrictions seems particularly inept for this purpose of and should, consequently, not be adopted except as the only alternative to serious depletion of the fish stocks. For some reasons, fisheries management by means of taxation does not appear to have been implemented in any significant ocean fishery in the world. As a result there is no empirical evidence about the practical application of this method of fisheries management. The situation regarding property rights-based fisheries management is very much different. Many variants of property rights systems have been applied in ocean fisheries.49 Thus, there are several cases of sole ownership50, many cases of TURFs especially in inshore areas51 and numerous cases of communal or group fishing rights52 Fisheries access licences have been and continue to be common.53 Finally, individual quota systems, IQs and ITQs, have been implemented in hundreds of fisheries around the world.54 Generally, the economic outcome of property rights-based fisheries management systems has been as predicted by the theory. Sole owner rights and TURFs seem to have worked very well where they have been applied. Fishery access licences have done poorly, although they seem to have constituted some improvement on the open access regime. The economic outcome of communal or group property rights is mixed just as predicted by theory. In some cases, especially where the internal (i.e. within the group) fisheries management system has been efficient such as in some UK Producer Organization groups they seem to have done very well (Goodlad 1986, 1999, Leal 1986). In others e.g. Japanese fishermen’s co-operatives (OECD 1997), they don’t appear to have generated much economic rents. Usually, however, communal or group fishery rights seem to have had a stabilizing effect on the fishery, halted and even reversed declining stocks and, in some cases, generated significant fisheries rents. Individual quota systems, especially the ITQ variety, have also been economically quite successful (Arnason 1996, OECD 1997). In fact, the current interest in and expansion of such systems can probably be attributed to a large extent to their relative economic success. Under such systems, fish stocks have often been rebuilt, the profitability of fisheries operations has generally improved greatly and, in the case of ITQs, the market value of quota rights soared. 49 50 51 52 53 54 For general readings on the various applications of property rights systems in fisheries see e.g. Neher et al. 1989, Gimbel 1994, Pikitch et al. 1997, OECD 1997, Petursdottir 1997, Palsson and Petursdottir 1997 and National Research Council 1999 as well as the references contained therein. Iceland whaling and certain Icelandic scallops fisheries. E.g. Iceland ocean quahog, Puget Sound oysters. Examples are provided by Japan’s fishermen’s co-operatives (Ruddle, 1988, Jentoft 1989, OECD 1997), British producer organizations (Goodlad 1996 and 1999, OECD 1997, McEwan 1997) and many others (Jentoft 1989, Leal 1996). See e.g. OECD 1997, Neher et al. 1989. See e.g. Arnason 1996 and OECD 1997. 90 In recent years, there has been a clear movement toward property rights-based fisheries management, in particular IQ and ITQ systems, around the world. In many ways Iceland and New Zealand have been the front-runners in this development. These countries were among the first to introduce IQs and ITQs in major ocean fisheries55, Iceland in 1975 and 1979 and New Zealand in 1982, and have since gone on to implement a comprehensive ITQ systems in all their fisheries. Other nations that have implemented ITQs in many of their fisheries are the Netherlands, Australia, Greenland and Canada. A number of other fishing nations, including Namibia, Norway and several EU countries have installed an individual quota management system without transferability, i.e., the IQ system, in their fisheries. Finally, several large fishing nations including Chile, Peru, Argentina, Morocco and the United States have already taken steps toward the eventual adoption of an IQ/ITQ system in their fisheries. This trend toward property rights in fisheries mirrors to a certain extent a corresponding development in the organization of economic activity on land in earlier times. In fact, the spreading of property rights-based fisheries management systems may be regarded as yet another stage in the historical expansion of private property rights as a method of economic organization. Just as property rights on land, property rights in the ocean may be confidently expected to yield substantial economic benefits. This prediction is, in fact, supported by the experience of the fishing nations that have already adopted such systems. These historical and economic arguments should not, however, close our eyes to the problems associated with implementing property rights in fisheries. First, fisheries property rights are, for technical reasons, usually quite difficult to define implement. For fisheries property rights to work, it has to be possible to enforce the them. This, of course, applies also to property rights systems on land. The difference is that the technology of defining and enforcing property rights on land is much more advanced than the corresponding technology at sea. Therefore, it is generally not possible to define and enforce fisheries property rights that have anything like the same quality as the usual property rights on land. Thus, for example, it is generally not possible to attach a private property right to individual fish in the ocean while such an arrangement is pretty standard on land. As a result, currently feasible fisheries property rights are generally substantially less efficient than property rights on land. The second disadvantage is that the introduction of an ITQ system often represents a radical restructuring of traditional fishing activities. This generally requires socio-economic adjustments that are often resisted and may, consequently, prove difficult to accomplish. Third, although the introduction of property rights systems may, in most fisheries, be expected to yield social benefits far exceeding the costs, the actual distribution of the costs and benefits may easily turn out to be socially undesirable. This tends to stir up social disagreement even to the point where there is significant opposition to the introduction of the property rights system, even when the odds are that virtually everyone will benefit. 55 The Netherlands also introduced ITQs in her flatfish fishery in 1975 (Davidse 1997). 91 Fortunately, however, provided of course the property rights system generates net economic benefits, it is generally possible to achieve any income distributional objective by the appropriate design of the system. One way is by the appropriate allocation of the property rights at the outset. Another way is by the subsequent taxation of the resource rents and the appropriate allocation of the proceeds. These options, as well as the potential social controversy about the sharing of the fisheries rents, suggests the importance of taking full notice of distributional considerations in the initial design of a fisheries property rights system. The crucial point, however, is that economic rationalization of ocean fisheries is probably inevitable. The social demand for higher personal incomes can only be met by increased economic efficiency in all sectors of the economy. Thus, there will generally be direct or indirect pressure for increased efficiency in fisheries. This pressure is intensified by international fisheries competition and, indeed, the effects of globalization in general. So, unless a domestic fishing industry manages to become reasonably efficient, it is likely to be out-competed by more efficient foreign fishing industries enjoying the fruits of an efficient fisheries management system and either bought-out by them or left to wither away. In either case, an efficient fisheries management system will have to be adopted. 3. Monitoring, control and surveillance Monitoring, control and surveillance or, MCS, in short, is technical phrase invented decades ago by the FAO (Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations) and has since become a part of the standard fisheries management vocabulary. Broadly speaking the phrase refers to two distinct activities; (i) the monitoring of the fishery and the activities of the fishing (harvesting) industry and (ii) the enforcement of fisheries management rules. MCS Monitoring of the fishery and fishing fleet activities and the enforcement of fisheries management rules MCS is, as already discussed, a crucial component of any fisheries management regime. Logically, it is the management authority that must conduct and co-ordinate the MCS activity although it may engage contractors to do part of the work. So, under centralized fisheries management systems, it is the central fisheries manager, i.e. the government, that operates the MCS activity. Under property-rights based fisheries management systems, such as community rights and ITQs not to mention sole ownership and TURFs, the opportunity arises for decentralized MCS, i.e. MCS conducted by the property rights holders themselves 92 3.1 Monitoring The monitoring part of MCS involves collection of the relevant biological data about the fish stocks and the surrounding ecosystem, as well as the relevant technical, economic and behavioural data about the fishing industry and its activities. The monitoring activity is conducted for essentially two purposes: (1) Gather information for improving the fisheries management: Data generation monitoring. This involves revising and even replacing the fisheries management system, determining management measures within the framework of the fisheries management system such as setting the TAC, deciding on the extent and timing of closed areas, modifying gear regulations, fixing tax rates etc. We refer to this as data generation monitoring. (2) Gather information for the purpose of enforcing existing fisheries management rules: Enforcement monitoring. This involves observing the activities of the fishing fleet in order to verify that these activities are in accordance with the fisheries management rules. Typical activities of this kind are to check that vessels hold the appropriate licences, are using the permitted fishing gear, are fishing in the approved areas and are not exceeding their catch quotas. We refer to this as enforcement monitoring. It is important to realize that in order to transform fisheries data into sensible decisions on fisheries management measures and modifications of the fisheries management system a good deal of biological and economic research has to take place. Thus, catch data are typically used by fisheries biologists for fish population assessment, a crucial ingredient for most types of fisheries management. Similarly, data on industry operational results, catch per unit effort, input and output prices, quota prices and so on are necessary to determine the industry’s profit and harvesting functions which are equally necessary to effect the best possible fisheries policy. Hence, is should be clear that research both biological and economic research is an integral part of the monitoring part of the MCS activity. Data generation monitoring Data generation monitoring may be divided into biological monitoring and economic monitoring. Biological monitoring consists of data collection for the purposes of biological research as well as the biological research itself. The focus of this research is essentially to determine the current fish stock sizes and other relevant conditions and to obtain improved estimates of the form and parameters of the various biomass growth functions of relevant species (often in a highly disaggregated form). With these in hand it is, as discussed in Section A above, possible to predict the impact of different levels of fishing on future biomasses and thus to obtain estimates of the cost in terms of biomass of pursuing any given fisheries policy. 93 The necessary data collection includes among other things the monitoring of the volume of landed catch by species and age classes, examination of records of fishing behaviour including the location and time of harvest, the gear used etc. Some of these data have to be obtained by direct observation. Others are obtainable from fishing vessel log-books, other records kept by fishermen and surveys. It also frequently requires independent studies of stock abundance and the environmental conditions and oceanographic and climatic research conducted by means of field trips and surveys on specially designed research vessels. Most of this type of work is usually carried out by marine biologists and other marine scientists based in marine research institutes or equivalent institutes. Economic monitoring is concerned with monitoring the economics of the fishing activity. This includes assessment of fishing company profitability generally on the basis of an examination of their accounts, systematic collection of price data, capital stocks, fleet size and developments, fishing technology employed, fishing effort etc. Economic monitoring is a very important but sometimes undervalued function. Its primary objective is to obtain estimates of the fishery profit function and its constituents, the harvesting and cost functions. Knowledge of these functions is, of course, crucial to determine the optimal fisheries policy. Indeed, as the preceding sections should have made clear, it is just as important as knowledge of the biological relationships. Nevertheless, in many actual MCS systems, economic monitoring is often underdeveloped compared to biological monitoring and much less funded. Just as the biological monitoring, economic monitoring is probably best placed in a special office, department or institute. The technical expertise needed is primarily fisheries economics and statistics. Enforcement monitoring Enforcement monitoring is monitoring for the purpose of enforcing fisheries management rules. Clearly, the type of enforcement monitoring needed depends on the fisheries management system in place. For this reason, there can be no universally applicable model for enforcement monitoring. We will now briefly discuss certain enforcement monitoring functions that need to be carried out in association with certain common fisheries management systems. (1) Biological fisheries management As discussed in section B.2.1, there are many types of biological fisheries management tools. Prominent among these, however are (i) gear restrictions, (ii) area restrictions, (iii) seasonal closures and (iv) various other restrictions designed to enhance biological growth. Gear restrictions require monitoring of fishing gear at sea and on land in proportions that depend on the nature of the restriction, the gear in question and the particular fisheries situation. If, for instance the gear cannot be left at sea between fishing trips and cannot be easily modified at sea, it may be sufficient to examine the gear when 94 the vessels is in port. The opposite situation, however, easily applies for many types of fishing gear. Fishing area restrictions by their very nature almost invariably require monitoring at the fisheries location itself.56 This has traditionally been conducted by monitoring at sea by coast guard vessels or on-board observers. However, with recent advances in technology, similar results may, in many cases, be obtained more efficiently by remote sensing or on-board black-boxes recorders. Seasonal closures of fishing grounds and fisheries usually require at least some monitoring of fleet activities at sea to ensure adherence. However, in some cases, e.g. sufficiently complete closures, it may be sufficient to take stock of the fleet in port (assuming the vessels not accounted for are in fact violating the closure). In other cases, with a fishery (not area) closure, it may be sufficent to monitor the species composition of landings. Other biological restrictions such as restrictions on the minimum fish size, fishing of egg-carrying individuals and so are usually enforced by inspection of the catch. However, to avoid the problem of discards, at-sea monitoring would be more effective albeit also more expensive. (2) Direct economic restrictions As biological fisheries management, there is a great number of possible direct economic restrictions. Here we therefore restrict our attention to a few of the more prominent ones. Total allowable catch (TAC) restrictions require extensive monitoring of catch (at sea) but is more usually carried out by monitoring of landings (at the landing site). which, of course, equal catch less whatever discards have taken place at sea. Monitoring of landings is most reliably carried out by the physical observation of landings at the landing sites (dock-site monitoring). The often used method of relying on report is less reliable since the fishermen have a clear incentive to misreport, but may work in some cases (Kaufmann et al. 1999) Effort restrictions are may be monitored at sea or on land according to the nature of the effort restrictions. If days at sea are restricted, monitoring can take place on land. If actual fishing time is restricted the monitoring must take place at sea although perhaps remotely or via a black box recorder. Fishing capital restrictions are generally relatively easily monitored by inspection of the vessels. However, since a vessel’s capacity may be modified after construction this kind of inspection has to be periodically repeated. Other input restrictions. Monitoring of other input restrictions depends on the type of restriction and the fisheries situation in general. 56 Except in the special case where the fishing location is revealed by other variables such as the landing port, the type of fish etc. 95 (3) Management by Means of Taxes (Subdsidies) Enforcement monitoring for taxation purposes is conceptually relatively straightforward. It merely requires that the subject of the tax landed value, landed quantity or the various fisheries inputs by monitored. Thus, if there is a tax on landings, the volume of landings must be monitored. This requires methods as discussed in connection with TAC restrictions discussed above. If there is a tax on the value of landings, the unit price of landings in addition to the volume must be monitored. Tax on fisheries inputs similarly requires the monitoring of the use of these inputs. This can generally also take place on land. (4) Property rights Property rights regimes have the advantage, compared to other fisheries management systems, that the holders of property rights have an incentive, sometimes quite a strong one, to enforce their own property rights. Apart from this, enforcement monitoring, just as for taxation monitoring, depends very much on the nature of the property right. Access licences require the monitoring of whether vessels pursuing particular fisheries have the necessary licences. This may require monitoring at the fishing grounds as well as the landing points although the latter should be sufficient in most cases. Sole owner rights basically only need protection against the encroachment by outsiders. Generally very little centralized monitoring is needed for this as the sole owner can be relied on to look after his own interests. TURFs as sole owner rights and, in fact farms on land, don’t require much enforcement monitoring. The TURF holders can generally be relied on to protect their own property and prosecute trespassers. On the other hand, there may be a reason monitoring that the TURF holder does not exceed his property right at the cost of the surrounding area not held as TURF. Individual quotas require the monitoring to verify that the quota constraint is not violated. Basically, the activity is the same as that needed to enforce a TAC. Usually it takes the form of monitoring landings although monitoring of catch (at sea) would be a more appropriate. It may also be possible to check on catch by monitoring input or output quantity at processing plants. Community rights are property rights held by a community instead of a single agent. To the extent these property rights are sole owner rights, TURFs or quota rights, the enforcement monitoring is pretty much that described for these property rights above. 3.2 Enforcement The enforcement part of MCS consists of acting upon alleged violations of fisheries management rules. It generally takes place where and when the violating activity occurs. The action taken may be of several degrees of severity: 96 (1) Induce the violator end the illegal activity For instance a vessel fishing in the wrong area is forced to stop the fishing. This, of course, is the minimum conceivable action. If it is not undertaken, there is no enforcement. (2) Impose a penalty This is an administrative penalty, typically a fine or a temporary revoking of fishing licence. In many legal systems, the alleged violator can refer this kind of an administrative penalty to the judicial system (appeal). (3) Indict the alleged violator. This means that the alleged offense will be tried in the courts where, in the case the accused is found guilty, a penalty is assessed. (4) Apprehend and indict the alleged violator. In this case the alleged violator is apprehended (a penalty in itself) and also formally charged for the offence. It should be clear that if the fishing firms are profits maximizers, enforcement action (1) will, in general, not suffice to generate sufficient adherence to the fisheries management rules, unless the level of monitoring and enforcement is extremely high relative to the fishing activity. Since the former implies that a decentralized fishery can never be efficient and the latter is obviously far too expensive compared to the value of the fishery, we may conclude that any reasonable MCS system must rely on (2)-(4) to a significant extent. For later reference it is useful to note that the enforcement part of MCS, especially degrees (3) and (4) above, is linked to the operations of the Fisheries Judicial System and, in fact, depends on it, if it is to be effective. 3.2 The Cost of MCS The cost of MCS in fisheries is by no means negligible. The available indications (Arnason et al. 2000, Wallis and Flaaten 2000) suggest that this cost usually ranges between 2% and 10% of the total landed value of national the fisheries.57 The following table, Table 2.12) adopted from Wallis and Flaaten 2000 provides estimates of overall fisheries management costs (the bulk (95%) of which are MCScosts) in several developed countries. 57 There are a few cases of fisheries management costs exceeding 20% of the total value of landings. These, however, generally apply to small fishing nations and/or fisheries that have severely declined. 97 Table 2.12 Fisheries Management Costs Year: 1997 (Source: Primarily Wallis and Flaaten 2000) Countries Australia* Canada Greece Italy Iceland Japan* Mexico New Zealand Norway Spain United Kingdom United States EU (total) OECD (total) MCS-costs as a fraction of revenues (percent, %) 11% 8% 9% 4% 2% 4% 2% 8% 7% 1% 8% 18% 6% 6% MCS-costs per volume of landings USD/metric tonne 408 153 236 139 9 104 14 66** 34 37 94 143 87 71 * Enforcement costs not included. ** Author’s estimate According to table 2.12, the average fisheries management expenditures as a fraction of fisheries revenues are about 6%. Obviously, 6% of revenues represents a significant part of the maximum attainable fisheries rents in most fisheries. Most of these costs may be taken to be MCS-costs. Now, fisheries MCS-costs, of course, depend on the extent of MCS. Most of the countries in Table 2.12 operate an extensive fisheries MCS system. Where there is little or no fisheries management, MCS-costs, even measured as a fraction of fisheries revenues, may be assumed to be much smaller. According to Arnason et al (2000) the most important MCS cost items appear to be: (1) Enforcement at sea and on land (2) Data collection and research (3) Policy formulation and system administration. Enforcement costs, especially those at sea, are generally very high and as whole usually account for well over half of the total MCS-costs. Data collection and research costs typically account for over a third of total MCS-costs with the most costly item being biological research. The rest of MCS-costs is accounted for by policy formulation and general administration costs. A typical division of these three cost items is illustrated in Figure 2.29. 98 Figure 2.29 MCS-costs: Main categories Averages for Iceland, Norway and Newfoundland (Source: Arnason et al. 1999) 7% Enforcement 34% Research 59% Administration The existence of significant MCS-costs suggests the need to take account of these costs in formulating the fisheries policy. After all, what counts are the net economic benefits, after the payment of all the costs including the MCS costs required to rationalize the fishing activity. Clearly, the costs of managing the fishery will reduce the desirability of doing so. Indeed, if the MCS-costs are too great, the best option may be not to manage the fishery at all. Implementing a harvest rate or fishing effort different from what individual fishermen would like is inevitably costly. Moreover, it seems plausible that the greater the difference between the permissible harvest or fishing effort and the ones individual fishermen would like, the greater will be the MCS needed and, consequently, the cost. We refer to this relationship as the MCS-cost function. Its exact nature is a matter for empirical investigation. However, it seems plausible that the its general shape may be as illustrated in Figure 2.30. Figure 2.30 The MCS-function: An example MCS-costs ecomp Fishing activity 58 In Figure 2.30, ecomp denotes the level of fishing activity, the fishing firms would select at the given stock level and other conditions, in the absence of fisheries management. Consequently, to generate this fishing activity, there is no need for costly MCS. Hence, the associated cost is zero.58 Any deviation from this point implies the need for enforcement and consequently MCS-activity. Therefore, as drawn in Figure 2.30, the MCS-cost may be assumed to increase Note that in many real-life fisheries, significant MCS-expenditures are incurred in spite of the fishery staying more or less at the open access or unmanaged point. 99 on both directions. Figure 2.31 Total costs: Harvesting and MCS-costs $ Total costs Harvesting costs In terms of our standard sustainable fisheries model, MCS-costs constitute an addition to the basic harvesting costs as illustrated in Figure 2.31. The basic effect is to move the overall cost function upward and make it flatter. MCS-costs ecomp Fishing effort Consequently, the optimal sustainable fishery is characterized by more fishing effort and less biomass than would otherwise be the case. This is illustrated in Figure 2.32. Figure 2.32 The Sustainble Fishery under MCS Costs Old optimum New optimum Total costs $ Costs Revenues e* e** ec Effort, e xc x** x* Sustainable biomass, x Biomass 100 So, as illustrated in Figure 2.32, when an efficient fisheries policy can only be implemented at a cost and this cost is not fixed but increases with the Figure 2.33 fisheries rents generated, the No management is optimal optimal policy is to adopt a less efficient fisheries policy than Total costs with MCS would otherwise be the case. In the extreme case, the MCS-costs could $ be so high or the fishery of so low Harvesting value that little or no fisheries costs management could be justified. This could happen in particular if Revenues there are some fixed costs of associated with having an MCS activity at all. A possible configuration where this would be ecomp Fishing effort the outcome is illustrated in Figure 2.33. Example Effects of MCS-costs Consider the very simple fisheries model with the biomass growth function x = 2x -x2, where, as usual, x is biomass. Let the harvesting function be: y = ex, where y represents fishing effort and e fishing effort. And let fishereis costs be c = 0.7e, where c denotes costs. Thus profits are: = ex - 0.7e, where represents profits. Now, let MCS-costs depend on the deviation of actual fishing effort, e, from the equilibrium fishing effort with no management denoted by e° as follows: c2 = ( e°-e)2, where the parameter =0.2 Thus, it is assumed that MCS-costs increase increasingly faster as fishing effort is forced further away from what individual operators in the fishing industy would try to do without management. This relationship is illustrated in the following figure. 101 0.4 mcost ( e) 0.2 0 0 1 2 e Note that MCS-costs are at a minimum at fishing effort level 1.3, which is the competitive, unmanaged fishing effort. MCS-costs add to the usual harvesting costs and consequently alter the optimal position of the fishery at each point of time as well as in the long run. Basically MCS-costs increase the costs (or diminish the benefits of reducing fishing effort. Hence, the existence of significant MCS-costs generally make the optimal long t-run fishng effort higher than would otherwise be the case. This is illustrated in the following two diagrams: ysust ( e) ysust ( e) 1 1 cost ( e) cost ( e) tcost ( e) 0 0 1 0 2 0 e 1 2 e The second diagram includes management costs on top of the familiar harvesting costs. It should be clear from comparing the two diagrams that the additon of the MCS-costs, while not changing the competitive fishing effort and catch, leads to a higher optimal fishing effort and harvest than would otherwise be the case. The actual numerical outcomes for the model specifications given above are listed in the following table: Fishing effort Biomass Yield Fisheries profits MCS-costs MCS-costs/revenue Net fisheries profits No management Optimal ignoring MCS-costs Optimal recognizing MCS-costs 1.30 0.70 0.91 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.650 1.350 0.878 0.423 0.085 0.096 0.338 0.758 1.242 0.942 0.411 0.059 0.062 0.352 102 The table confirms the theoretical results discussed above, namely that the existence of MCScosts leads to greater optimal fishing effort and less biomass. Although fisheries profits may be higher when management costs are ignored, the overall or net profits from the fishery are not maximized. This can only happen when MCS-costs are explicitly taken into account when the “optimal” fishing effort is selected. The difference, as indicated in the table, can be quite significant. Finally not that the cost of MCS has been calibrated so that the ration of MCS-costs to total fishery revenues is similar to what has been observed in real fisheries. The relationship between fisheries management costs and the optimal level of fishing effort and biomass is illustrated in the following diagram: 1,6 1,4 1,2 1 Biomass 0,8 Effort 0,6 0,4 0,2 0 0 2,1 3,8 5,2 6,2 7,1 7,8 8,4 8,9 9,2 9,6 10 10,5 MCS-costs as percent of revenues So, in this example MCS-costs of approximately 6% of fisheries revenues, the average in the OECD, leads to about 16% increase in the profit maximizing fishing effort and about 8% reduction in the the profit maximizing biomass. With MCS-costs of 10% of fishereis revenues the effect is substantially greater. Ignoring MCS-costs in formulating the fishereis policy thus may lead to quite substantial errors in the selection of the “optimal” fishing effor and biomass. The impact on net fisheries profits, however, is much smaller as indicated in the above table. 103 Technical Appendix 8 Consider our usual simple fisheries model with a profit function defined by (e,x) = Y(e,x)-C(e), where e represents the firm's fishing effort and x the biomass of the fish stock. The function Y(e,x) is the harvesting function and the function C(e) the fisheries cost function. Biomass growth is given by the expression: x = G(x) - Y(e,x), where G(x) is the biomass growth function. Restricting our attention to equilibrium for simplicity, we may characterize the optimal solution by the equations (Clark and Munro 1982, Arnason 1990): Gx +YxCe/e = r, G(x) – y = 0, where r is the rate of discount and YxCe/e is what Clark and Munro (1982) refer to as the marginal stock effect. As shown by Clark and Munro, the larger the marginal stock effect the higher the optimal stock level. The competitive (or unmanaged) fishery may be characterized by the zero profit condition: (e,x) = 0, Solving this equation for fishing effort we find: ecomp=F(x), which simply states that the competitive fishing effort is some, normally increasing, function of the biomass at each point of time. Let us now turn our attention to MCS-costs. Presumably MCS-costs depend positively on the deviation of the (enforced) fishing effort from that which would be selected by the the firms if there was no fisheries management. More precisely, let’s define the MCS-cost function as: C2(e- ecomp), where the notation C2(.) is to remind us that this is the MCS- cost function and not the harvesting cost function. In accordance with the above discussion the management cost function is convex with a minimum at e = ecomp. More formally: 104 C2(0) = 0, C2ee>0, assuming, without loss of generality, that the C2(.) function is sufficiently smooth to allow differentiation. Note that according to this formulation, C2e<0, if e< ecomp which applies when the fisheries management consists of reducing fishing effort compared to what would otherwise be the case. With MCS-costs included, the optimal equilibrum conditions are: Gx +Yx(Ce+ C2e) /(e - C2 e) = r, G(x) – y = 0, where the term Yx(Ce+ C2e) /(e - C2 e) is the "new" marginal stock effect when there are management costs. Provided C2e<0, this new stock effect is obviously smaller than the one without MCS-costs. It immediately follows that the effect of MCS-costs is to reduce the optimal equilibrium stock level and, consequently, to increase the optimal equilibrium fishing effort level. 105 4. The fisheries judicial system The purpose of the fisheries judicial system (FJS) is to: (1) Process alleged violations of fisheries rules. (2) Apply sanctions as appropriate. It follows that the FJS must contain well defined procedures as to how to process alleged violations. What are the courts, how cases may be referred to the courts, appeal procedures, time limits and so on. We refer to this as the fisheries judicial procedures. It must also contain legal specifications as to what is a violation, what constitutes adequate proof that it has occurred and a schedule of of sanctions or penalties corresponding to given violations. We refer to this as fisheries judicial legal specifications. Without the support of the fisheries judicial system, the MCS activity would not work. Alleged violators would simply go to court and get off with penalties insufficient to deter them from their illegal activities. Hence, the MCS activity would be of little use. In particular, it would not succeed in enforcing the fisheries rules. It might not represent a complete waste of money, however. By imposing some additional cost on the fishing activity, it may succeed to reduce the overall level of fishing activity just as the fisheries tax discussed in section B.2.3. This, however, would be a very inefficient tax because it is imposed by means of costly MCS activity which, incidentally, might easily far exceed the benefits of the tax. It is often found that the fisheries judicial system is the weakest link in the fisheries management regime. Partly this is because this part of the system is most liable to be forgotten by the designers of the regime. More fundamentally this is because the judiciary is in most countries fairly independent of the executive and legislative branches of government. As a result, this part of the fisheries management regime is much less amenable to redesign and change than the other two components. Judges pass judgements according to law, custom and convention. They generally have little understanding of the intricacies of the FMR. This suggests the need to include carefully designed articles concerning the treatment of fisheries violations, the burden of proof , penalties etc. in the fisheries legislation defining the fisheries management regime. 4.1 The simple theory of violations To correctly design the FJS, it is necessary to understand what motivates violations of fisheries rules. Our fundamental assumption is that fishing firms, as any other firms, seek to maximize their own profits. It immediately follows that fishing firms will compare the expected benefits of violations to the expected costs.59 If the expected benefits exceed the expected costs, a risk neutral firm will elect to commit 59 This approach to the theory of crime was developed by Becker 1968. For a non-technical treatment see Hellman and Alper 1997. 106 violations.60 Thus, for instance, a risk neutral fishing firm will elect to exceed its catch quota or poach in closed fishing area, if the expected gain of this exceed the expected penalty. To develop these basic ideas further, it is necessary to resort to slightly more formal arguments. Let the variable z represent the extent (or quantity) of violations by a given fishing firm. Probably, z is most easily though of as the number of violations. For our purposes, however, it is more useful to regard z as a more general continuous variable measuring the total extent (volume or size) of violations and not merely their individual number. We take it that z=0 represents no violations and z>0 represents some positive quantity of violations. Let the function (z) be the (expected) profits from the violations before the subtraction of possible penalties. Presumably, these profits are, up to a point, increasing in the extent of the violations but at a slowing rate as illustrated in Figure 2.34. This means that the marginal profits of violations (the additional profit from each new unit of violation) must be declining with the extent of the violations. Both the profits and marginal profits from the violations are illustrated in Figure 2.34. Figure 2.34 Expected profits and marginal profits of violations Profits Marginal Profits Violations Violations Consider now the penalty for committing violations. This penalty may take several forms. It may consist of a formal legal sanction, such as a fine, or an informal sanction such as a social censure or a bad conscience61. Let C(z) represent the expected penalty for committing violations z. We may take it for granted that this expected penalty increases with the extent of the violations. So, C(z) should be increasing in z. Moreover, if extensive violations are more severely dealt with (per unit of violation) than minor violations, the expected penalty will rise at a faster rate than the violations as illustrated in the first diagram in Figure 2.35. Consequently, the marginal expected penalty (the additional expected 60 61 Essentially the same theory carries through, even if the firms are not risk-neutral l. Hence, in what follows we will assume risk-neutral firms. Which of course is a form of a social sanction. 107 penalty for each additional unit of violations, is similarly increasing. This form of the expected marginal penalty is illustrated in the second diagram in Figure 2.35. It should be noted, however, that the following argument is in no way dependent upon these particular shapes of the expected penalty and marginal penalty functions, Figure 2.35 Expected penalty and marginal penalty of violations Expected penalties Marginal expected penalties Violations Violations provided the expected penalty rises with the extent of the violations. Increased enforcement activity, conducted as a part of the MCS, will normally increase the probability of being observed violating the fisheries rules and hence the expected penalty of violations. The same applies to the penalty. If the penalty is increased, while the probability of being observed committing a violation is constant, the expected penalty of a violation also increases. Thus, an increased enforcement activity or for that matter a higher unit penalty will generally shift the expected cost functions in Figure 2.35 upward as illustrated in Figure 2.36. Clearly, if there is no enforcement or the penalty is always zero, both the expected penalty and the expected marginal penalty for violation are zero. Figure 2.36 The effects of increased enforcement activity on expected penalties Higher enforcement Expected penalties Marginal expected penalties Higher enforcement Lower enforcement Lower enforcement Violations Violations 108 Now, profit maximizing (and risk-neutral) firms will want to operate where their net expected benefits of violations are maximized. This happens where the expected marginal benefits of violations equal the expected marginal cost. If the former exceeds the latter it is clearly profitable for the firm to increase its violations and vice versa. Hence, this point constitutes a desirable position or an equilibrium for the firms. Two examples of such equilibria are illustrated in Figure 2.37, one for low Figure 2.37 Violations as a function of marginal expected penalties Very high Marginal expected penalties Marginal $ High Low Marginal expected benefits 0 v2 v1 v0 Violations enforcement activity and the other for high enforcement activity corresponding to violation levels v1 and v2, respectively. From Figure 2.37 we see that the level of violations depends directly on the expected penalty. Thus, if there is no expected penalty, the fishing firms will choose violations level v0. This of course corresponds to an unmanaged fishery. As the expected penalty increases, the level of violations diminishes until, at some level of expected penalty, there are no violations. To increase the expected penalty, however, usually requires more costly enforcement activity. Consequently, it is generally not economical to seek 100% adherence to the rules. We conclude that by altering the expected penalty, the fisheries authorities can, in effect, determine the level of violations. This, as we have seen can be done by altering either the enforcement activity or the penalty for the violations. The practical management problem is to select the appropriate level of these variables. To do that it is necessary to investigat4e further the structure of the expected penalty function is constructed. To this we now turn. Structure of the expected penalty function 109 The expected penalty is, in the first instance, simply the penalty (fine or whatever) for committing violation z multiplied by the probability that the penalty will have to be suffered. In other words: C(z) = pf(z), where p is the probability that the penalty will have to be suffered and f(z) is the size of the penalty. So, the expected penalty may be increased by either increasing the penalty or the probability that the violator will have to suffer the penalty. Note that according to this formulation there is a certain trade-off between p, the probability that the penalty will have to be suffered, Figure 2.38 and f(z), the size of the The trade off between the probability of having to penalty. Thus a certain suffer the penalty and the size of the penalty level of expected penalty for a violation, i.e. C(z), may be Enforcement, achieved by either the p combination of high probability of having to suffer the penalty Constant and a low penalty or C(z) the combination of a low probability of having to suffer the penalty and a high penalty. The nature of this trade-off is Penalty, f illustrated in Figure 2.38. Note that if the probability of having to suffer the penalty approaches zero, the size of the penalty has to approach infinity to maintain the same expected penalty for the violation and vice versa. While the penalty itself is conceptually a fairly straight-forward variable, the same does not hold for the probability that a the penalty will have to be suffered, i.e. p. This is composed of a number of sub-probabilities each of which is of relevance for the design and operation of the FJS. To explain further, it is necessary to resort to the concept of a conditional probability.62 A conditional probability is the probability that something, a, say, happens when something else, b, say, has already happened. Traditionally, this type of probability is denoted by an expression such as p(ab). which reads p is the probability that a happens given that b has already happened. Now, it should be fairly obvious that the probability that a violator will have to suffer a penalty is the conditional probability that a penalty will be assessed when a 62 The theory of conditional probabilities is expounded in virtually all elementary textbooks on statistics. See e.g. Freund 1979. 110 violation has taken place. Let us refer to this probability as p(penaltyz). So, more formally: p p(penaltyz) According to standard probability theory, this, conditional probability can be decomposed as follows:63 (4.1) p(penaltyz)=p(penaltyfound guilty)p(found guiltyapprehended) p(apprehendedz), where p(penaltyfound guilty) is the conditional probability that a violator will be have to pay a penalty if he is found guilty, p(found guiltyapprehended) is the conditional probability that an alleged violator will found guilty if he is apprehended and p(apprehendedz) is the conditional probability that an alleged violator will be apprehended if he commits violation z. So, the probability of having to suffer a penalty when one has committed a violation depends on: (1) (2) (3) The probability of being apprehended having committed the violation. The probability of being found guilty if apprehended The probability of having to pay a penalty if found guilty. The first probability has to do with the extent of the MCS activity. The more intensive the enforcement part of the MCS activity, the higher this probability. The second and third probabilities have to do with the FJS. The second refers to the efficiency of the courts and the “burden of proof”. The third refers both to the ability of the court to assess a penalty in the case of a guilty verdict and the ability of the FJS to actually execute the penalty once assessed.64 Thus, it should be clear, that the proper operation of the FJS is crucial for the probability that a fishing firm will have to suffer a penalty for violating fisheries rules. Even if the MCS works perfectly and the probability of apprehension if a violation is committed, i.e. p(apprehendedz), approaches unity, if either of the probabilities of being found guilty once apprehended, p(found guiltyapprehended) and having to pay the penalty if found guilty, p(penaltyfound guilty), are low the overall probability of having to pay the penalty for violation of fisheries rules cannot be large. This is illustrated in Table 2.13. Table 2.13 Probability of a penalty p1 = p(apprehendedz) p2 = p(found guiltyapprehended) p3 = p(penaltyfound guilty) p = p(penaltyz) 63 64 Further decomposition is this basic probability is of course possible. For instance, it is not uncommon in many cultures for fines to remain unpaid. 111 p1 p2 p3 p = p1p2p3 0,1 0,5 0,5 0,1 1,0 0,5 0,5 0,7 0,7 0,2 0,8 0,8 0,8 1,0 0,2 0,04 0,20 0,28 0,07 0,04 Table 2.13 shows first of all that even with perfect MCS (p(apprehendedz)=1), the overall probability of a penalty will be very small, unless the FJS functions reasonably well also. Secondly, and no less importantly, it shows that the overall probability of a penalty will generally be fairly small for reasonable levels of the constituent conditional probabilities making up the overall probability of a penalty. Thus, even with a 50% probability of apprehension fort a violation and 70% probability of conviction and 80% probability of having to pay the penalty if convicted, the overall probability of a penalty is only 28%. With the probability of apprehension being reduced to 10%, which is more in accordance with reality in most fisheries, the overall probability of having to pay the penalty can only be 10% at best and is, in all likelihood, substantially less. So, in almost all realistic cases the probability of having to pay the penalty for a fisheries violation cannot be very large. Thus, the make the expected cost of a violation sufficiently high to deter violations, the penalty itself has to be sufficiently heavy. To this we now turn. The importance of heavy penalties As discussed above the expected cost of committing a violation is C(z) = pf(z), where p is the probability of having to suffer a penalty for a violation and f(z) is the corresponding penalty. Now, as argued above, p is most likely to be quite small, even when all parts of the enforcement process work as well as can be expected. Hence, the most feasible way, and the least expensive one, to increase the expected cost of violations is to increase the penalty, f(z). Indeed, since fisheries enforcement is generally quite costly, it can be shown (see Technical appendix 9) that overall fisheries rents could be increased by cutting back on enforcement but keeping the expected cost of violations up by increasing the penalty. The reason for this result is not difficult to fathom. The penalty contributes to the adherence to fisheries rules. It is, in other words, a productive input. At the same time increasing the penalty, at least the formal part of it (e.g. a fine) is approximately costless. Hence, adherence to fisheries rules can be achieved at a low cost by little enforcement but heavy penalties. This, essentially corresponds to flattening the MCScost curve discussed in section 3 and illustrated in Figures 2.30 and 2.31. This result presupposes that penalties can be increased at a low cost. In some societies there may be socio-legal obstacles to increasing formal penalties for fisheries violations. If that is the case, the best course of action may be to put the formal 112 penalties as high as possible, attempt to increase the informal penalties by a public information and awareness programme and then to set the enforcement activity correspondingly. Example Effects of the penalty on the optimal fishery solution We consider the same simple fisheries model as in section B.3 with the sustainable profit function. = ex - 0.7e, where represents profits and e fishing effort. As in section B.3 we let MCS-costs (here really enforcement costs) depend on the deviation of actual fishing effort, e, from the equilibrium fishing effort with no management denoted by e° as follows: C2 = (f)( e°-e)2, except (f) is now a function of the penalty, f. More precisely we specify (f) = 0.25/f. So, according to this specification, for a fixed effort level, MCS costs fall with the size of the penalty approaching zero as the penalty approaches infinity. This is illustrated in the following diagram. 0.5 0.4 MCScost ( f ) 0.2 3 1.76 10 0 0 0.01 1 2 f 3 3 Note, however, as the optimal efforet level depends on the penalty, the actual relationship where the optimal effort is adjusted with respect to the level of penalty is more complicated. Now, the higher penalty the less costly it will be to achieve any giving level of fishing effort. Enforcement, in other words, becomes more economical. Therefore it becomes optimal to increase enforecement and move the fishery closer to the optimal (i.e. the optimal when enforcement costs are ignored). This implies htat the optimal fishing efofrt will be lower and the optimal biomass level larger the higher the penalty. At the same time the maximum attainable net profits (i.e. net of management costs) will be higher. These results are illustrated in the following diagrams. 113 0.6 1.5 0.4 eestar ( f ) x( eestar ( f ) ) 1 netprof ( f ) 0.2 0.5 0 2 4 f 0 0 2 4 f In the limit when the penlaty, f, goes to infinity, enforcemetn costs will, in effect, be zero and the optimal fishing effort will converge to the level that is optimal assuming no enforcement costs 4.2 Conclusions The purpose of the FJS is to back-up the enforcement part of the MCS-activity. In particular the FJS determines crucial components of the probability that a violator of fisheries rules will have to suffer a penalty and sets the penalty itself. Adherence to fisheries management rules requires sufficiently high expected cost of penalties. The most efficient way to do this is by setting sufficiently high penalties. More generally, any expected cost of a violations can be generated by the appropriate combination of enforcement and penalties. To find this appropriate combination, it is necessary to obtain an empirical estimate of how increased enforcement activity and improved FJS will affect the expected costs of violations. 114 Technical Appendix 9 The role of the penalty in the enforcement of fisheries rules Let ec refer to effort level the industry produce when there is no fisheries management (i.e. no enforcement of fisheries rules) and e the actual fishing effort under management. Then we may regard the deviation e-ec as the output of the enforcement activity. In what follows we will primarily be interested in negative deviations, i.e. reduction in fishing effort compared to what the industry would elect if left unmanaged. Let us for convenience refer to it as management output. Obviously, management output depends on (i) the enforcement activity and (ii) the level of the penalty. The former increases the probability of having to suffer the penalty and the latter the size of the penalty that has to be suffered. There will of course be other variables influencing the management output including the prevailing social culture. These, however, we abstract away from in what follows. Let the production function of management output be: e-ec = M(m,f), where m refers to the extent of the enforcement activity and f to the size of the penalty and sufficient smoothness of the production function M(.,.) is assumed. We take it for granted that the first derivatives of M(.,.) with respect to these variables is negative, i.e. the higher m and f the more negative the deviation. Given, existence of sufficient regularity of the production function M(.,.) we may define the necessary enforcement activity to generate a given management output given the size of the penalty as: m = E(e-ec, f), where on the basis of our previous assumptions both first derivatives are negative. Moreover, it is intuitively obvious, and easy to show that in the limit where f , the necessary enforcement activity approaches zero, i.e., m0. The reason is that the when f , the expected penalty, pf goes to infinity even when the probability of detection is, p, is very low. Hence there will be no violations. Assuming for convenience of exposition that each unit of enforcement can be produced at a fixed price, w, we have the following simple expression for the management (or enforcement) cost function: C2(e-ec , f) = wE(e-ec, f). Note that this function is a generalization of the MCS-function defined in Technical Appendix 8. The generalization is that now the penalty size is included in the management cost function. Its effect is to reduce management costs. In the limit where the f , C2(e-ec , f) 0. 115 Now, looking at the static framework for simplicity of exposition, the fisheries manager attempts to solve the following maximization problem: max = Y(e,x) - C(e) - C2(e-ec , f) s.t. G(x) - Y(e,x) = 0 e,x,f Among the necessary conditions we have that the fine should be increased as long as: (1) -C2f(e-ec , f) > 0. But this implies that f . This result, of course is quite intuitive because by increasing the penalty the management costs (for any given level of management output) are reduced, while the penalty increases are costless (fines are just a transfer). If the penalty can only be increased at a cost, C3(f), say, the necessary condition for the penalty must be changed into (2) -C2f(e-ec , f) - C3f(f)> 0. this normally means that the optimal level of penalty will be finite. 116 References Andersen, P., J.G. Sutinen and K. Cochran. 1998. Paying for Fisheries Management. Paper presented at IXth IIFET conference. Tromsoe. Apostol, T.M. 1969. Calculus vol II (2nd edition). Xerox College Publishing, Toronto. Arnason, Hannesson, Schrank. 2000. Costs of Fisheries Management: The Cases of Iceland, Norway and Newfoundland. Marine Policy 24:233-43 Arnason, R. 1990. 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Introducing Property in Fisheries Management. Fish Rights 99. (Editor R. Shotton). Forthcoming. Squires, D., J. Kirkley and C.A. Tisdell. 1994. Individual Transferable Quota as a Fisheries Management Tool. (Mimeogram). Sutinen, J., P. Mace, J. Kirkley, W. Depaul and S. Edwards. 1992. An Overview of Individual Transferable Quotas. In L.G. Anderson (ed.) Consideration of the Potential Use of Individual Transferable Quotas in U.S. Fisheries, Vol 1 Overview Document, National Marine Fisheries Service. Sutinen, J.G. and Andersen, P. 1985. The Economics of Fisheries Law Enforcement. Land Economics 61:387-97. Turvey, R. 1964. Optimization and Suboptimization in Fishery Regulations. American Economic Review 54:64-76. Varian, H.R. 1984. Microeconomic Analysis (2nd edition). Norton, New York. Varian, H.R. 1992. Microeconomic Analysis (3rd edition). W.W. Norton and Co, New York. Wallis, P and O. Flaaten. 2000. Fisheries Management Costs: Concepts and Studies. A paper submitted at the IIFET 2000 conference. IIFET Corvallis, Oregon. Wilen, J.E. and F.R. Homans. 1997. Unraveling Rent Losses in Modern Fisheries: Production, market or Regulatory Inefficiencies. In E.K. Pikitch, D.D. Huppert and Michael P. Sissenwine (editors) Global Trends: Fisheries Management. American Fisheries Society. Pp. 256-263. 119 C. Cases of Fisheries Management This chapter deal with special cases of fisheries management around the world. the experiences of a number of significant fishing nations, including Australia, Greenland, Iceland, New Zealand, Norway and the Netherlands, are reviewed. The past couple of decades have seen a fundamental shift in the management of the world's ocean fisheries. During this period, most ocean fisheries have gone from almost complete operating freedom to a highly regulated state. Today, completely unregulated fisheries are almost exclusively found on the high seas, i.e. outside the 200-mile national exclusive economic zones (EEZs) that have become the international standard. A great variety of fisheries management systems have been tried by the world’s fishing nations including many of those discussed in Chapter *** of this book. In fact many fishing nations have over the years experimented with several systems and measures. Recently, however, there has been a clear trend toward the adoption of property rights based fisheries management systems worldwide. Several types of property rights have been tried including exclusive user rights, access licences, capacity licences and various types of harvesting quotas. Of these, individual transferable quotas (ITQs) have been most successful. As a result, their use in fisheries management around the world is expanding. For this reason a good part of this chapter is devoted to the examination of property rights based fisheries management systems as a tool to enhance the efficiency of fisheries. 2 Property Rights Structures in Fisheries Management It appears helpful to view the trend toward property-rights based regimes in fisheries as yet another stage in the historical expansion of private property rights as a framework for economic activity. Economic history informs us that the extension of the private property system has generally been motivated by the desire to increase economic efficiency (Smith, 1776 1937; Marx, 1867 1952;Demsetz, 1967). In fact, the private property rights system is generally believed to be fundamental to the current high level of economic productivity on land (Hayek, 1979; Demsetz, 1967; Buchanan, 1975). A well defined private property rights system at sea may be expected to yield similar economic benefits. This expectation seems to be confirmed by the experience of the fishing nations that have already adopted reasonably complete private property rights in their fisheries. In this section is concerned with property rights as an organizational framework in fisheries. In particular, it focuses on the implications of property rights structures on economic efficiency. Most of the chapter is devoted to examining the property rights regimes employed by a few prominent fishing nations and their economic outcomes. To set the stage for this discussion, the chapter begins by outlining the basic fisheries problem and its relationship with property rights structures employed in fisheries. 120 Fish stocks provide a crucial input into the fisheries process much like physical capital in standard production processes. However, unlike physical capital, ocean fish stocks rarely constitute the private property of the producer. Usually, they are the common property of a collection of individuals (or firms) that are entitled to use the fish stocks to produce catch. Fish stocks, however, are natural resources of limited size and capacity of sustainable yield. It follows that each fisher's catch will normally reduce the catch opportunities (i.e. the production possibilities) of other fishers. It is this externality, caused by the common property arrangement of fish stocks, that is at the root of the fisheries problem as discussed at length in Chapter *. A fundamental result for the theory of fisheries management, discussed in Chapter *, is that an unmanaged, common property fishery converges to an equilibrium where total fishing costs equal the value of the harvest. A fundamental reason for this result, as demonstrated in Chapter *, is the lack of private property right in sthe fishery. It should be noted, however, that what would usually be referred to as a common property fishery, i.e. one based on a common property fish stock, does not necessary lead to excessive exploitation of the resource. The common owners may choose to adhere to fishing procedures that, to a lesser or greater degree, alleviate the fisheries problem. In fact, examining natural resource utilization in traditional cultures, one would expect to find social institutions controlling the extraction from the natural resource and enforcing "socially acceptable" utilization procedures (Ciriacy-Wantrup & Bishop, 1975; Lueck, 1995). In the case of fisheries, this is, of course, tantamount to the imposition of fisheries management rules. It is interesting to note that these rules would, in most cases, restrict individual use of the resource and hence limit the common property rights. These considerations motivate the concept of an unmanaged common property fishery. This is a common property fishery that is not subject to any specific fisheries management rules. The reason for the absence of fisheries management rules is immaterial in the current context. Perhaps, the common owners are yet to recognize the common property fisheries problem. Perhaps, high transaction costs prevent them from agreeing on and enforcing fisheries management rules. In any case, unmanaged common property fisheries are still found around the world. Examples are provided by many high seas fisheries. The prediction of rent dissipation in fisheries certainly applies to common property, unmanaged fisheries. Under that particular property rights structure, the fishers are basically forced to overexploit the fish stocks, even against their own better judgement. The problem, however, is to define property rights that work. A property right is usefully perceived as consisting of a bundle of characteristics (Scott, 1983, 1989). These characteristics include (i) security of title, (ii) exclusivity of use, (iii) duration of the property right, (iv) divisibilty, and (v) transferability (Scott, 1989). These are dimensions along which the quality of the property right may be judged. The more of each characteristic the higher the quality of the property right. A perfect property right would be fully secure, completely 121 exclusive, infinite in duration, perfectly divisible and transferable. It is worth noting that complete exclusivity is, of course, equivalent to what is usually referred to as private property. Perfect property rights are undoubtedly extremely rare, if they exist at all. Relatively high quality property rights, in the above sense, are, on the other hand, quite common. In particular, private property rights in economic inputs are fairly standard in land based industries. A reasonably satisfactory property rights structure in fisheries from an economic point of view, would consist of private property rights in both specific individual fish and the ocean environment that sustains them. This, incidentally, corresponds to the usual property rights structure in animal husbandry where the farmer typically holds property rights in both the animals and the land that sustains them.65 However, at the current level of technology, it is generally not feasible or at least prohibitively expensive, to implement property rights of this type in ocean fisheries. It follows that it is necessary to resort to broader and, consequently, less effective property rights. Several types of property rights regimes have been employed in an attempt to alleviate the fisheries problem. These include exclusive use rights (EURs), territorial use rights (TURFS), access licences, capacity licences, and harvesting quotas. Of these, only EURs and TURFS come close to economically ideal property rights. EURs in complete fisheries, however, are socially unattractive and, consequently, rarely employed. TURFS are only practical for relatively sedentary species and have only been implemented close to the shore (Rettig, 1989). 3. Cases of Property Rights Based Fisheries In this section we will briefly discuss six cases of property rights based fisheries management in ocean fisheries. These are the cases of Australia, Greenland, Iceland, the Netherlands, New Zealand and Norway. Of these, Iceland and New Zealand have adopted fairly complete versions of the ITQ system in most of their fisheries. Australia Greenland and the Netherlands are somewhat less advanced in this direction and have introduced ITQs only in some of their fisheries. Finally, Norway, has no ITQ fisheries but has introduced property rights in the form of nontransferable individual quotas (IQs) in most of her fisheries. 3.1 Australia Australia has one of the largest EEZs in the world. Nevertheless, due to the relatively low biological productivity of her waters, Australia is not a major fishing nation. In recent years, annual catches have only been slightly above 200,000 tonnes. Much of this harvest, however, consists of high value species such as lobster, shrimp and 65 These property rights, however, are not sufficient for full efficiency in agriculture as exemplified by pollution problems. 122 abalone. Therefore, the value of the fishery is quite high -- in excess of US$1 billion (Anonymous, 1992; 1996). The jurisdictional aspects of Australian fisheries management are somewhat involved. The state governments have jurisdiction over and, consequently, responsibility for fisheries management up to three nautical miles from their coastlines. The national or Commonwealth government’s jurisdiction is from the three mile limit to the 200-mile boundary of the Australian EEZ. This jurisdictional separation is problematic for fisheries management. Many species reside in two or more jurisdictions or periodically migrate between them. In those cases, the law allows for “Joint Authority” management between the jurisdictional entities. However, these “Joint Authorities” have proven to be administratively cumbersome and ineffective (Morris, 1994). The inshore fisheries, i.e. those under state jurisdiction, account for over three quarters of the total value of the Australian fisheries (Morris, 1994). These fisheries are, for the most part, managed by direct restrictions; seasonal and area closures, gear restrictions, access limitations and the like. In recent years, ITQs have been applied to a small number of state managed fisheries. These include (i) the rock lobster fisheries off New South Wales and South Australia, (ii) the abalone fisheries off New South Wales, Victoria, South Australia, Western Australia and Tasmania and (iii) major sectors of the pearl and oyster fishery (Morris, 1994). In the Commonwealth fisheries, a variety of management techniques are employed. Again, direct restrictions on the fishing activity are most common. However, property rights based methods, including access licences and ITQs, are becoming more common. Currently ITQs are applied in two important Commonwealth managed fisheries; the southern bluefin tuna fishery and the southeast trawl fishery. 3.1.1 The Bluefin Tuna Fishery Southern bluefin tuna is a highly migratory species. Spawning takes place off Java. Juveniles migrating to the south-east form large surface schools off southern Australia while mature bluefin tuna are dispersed throughout the southern oceans. On this migratory route, the bluefin tuna are fished by many nations, including Japan, Korea, Indonesia, Taiwan and New Zealand as well as Australia. Until the 1970s, fishing pressure on the southern bluefin tuna was comparatively light and the fishery was completely unmanaged. Following greatly increasing fishing effort during the 1970s, the stocks seemed to decline and the economics of the fishery deteriorated. Consequently, toward the end of the 1970s, further entry of vessels into the fishery within the Australian EEZ was stopped. This, however, did not halt the increase in fishing effort. Many licenced vessels were replaced by more powerful ones and the fishing power of the others was increased by modifications and the adoption of new fishing techniques. Consequently, harvesting continued at an unsustainable rate and the stocks continued to decline. 123 In 1983, a scientific meeting attended by scientists from all the main fishing nations concluded that the southern bluefin tuna stock was seriously depleted and urged an immediate reduction in total catch levels. Following this advice, the Australian government imposed a TAC limitation within its EEZ. An industry inquiry (the Industries Assistance Commission) quickly concluded that the TAC regime, although biologically necessary, was economically wasteful. Further, it was determined that the joint goals of stock conservation and economic efficiency would be most easily attained with the help of an ITQ-based fisheries management regime. Hence, after consultation with the relevant state governments and industry organisations, the Commonwealth government in October of 1984 established an ITQ fisheries management system for the bluefin tuna within the Australian EEZ. The bluefin tuna ITQs are permanent rights to harvest a certain proportion of the TAC each year. These rights are perfectly divisible and transferable to any Australian operator in the fishery. Thus, these ITQs are fairly high quality property rights. The initial allocation of quota shares was subject to extensive negotiations and bargaining with members of the industry. The quota rights were allocated to all significant participants in the fishery prior to the introduction of the system. “Significant operators” were defined to be those that had landed at least 15 tonnes of bluefin tuna during the three preceding seasons. These received permanent quota share based on a formula that gave 75 per cent weight to their actual catch share during the previous 3 years and 25 per cent weight to the value of their fishing vessels. Complaints by those that felt they had been unfairly treated by this procedure were handled by an appeals tribunal. Enforcement of the bluefin tuna ITQ system is carried out by state agencies on behalf of the Commonwealth. This involves both at-sea observations and on-land monitoring by the actual weighing of landings. Although the quota enforcement system seems to be quite effective, there have been some problems. For instance, the shift toward increased long-lining and the direct export of whole, unprocessed fish to Japan has made monitoring the harvest volume more difficult. There are also difficulties in monitoring and preventing the discarding of inferior fish at sea. There are strong indications that the ITQ system has led to a substantial increase in economic efficiency in the Australian bluefin tuna fishery. There has been a large reduction in the fleet size (Geen & Nayar, 1989; Geen et al., 1993). Also, substantial benefits have been generated by the employment of fishing techniques designed to increase the unit value of catch (Morris, 1994). Thus, in spite of a substantial cuts in TACs, the industry has remained highly profitable. Simulation exercises carried out during the early part of the ITQ management period (Geen & Nayar, 1989) suggest that industry profits under the previous management regime would have been no more than 25 per cent of those achieved under the ITQ system. In 1985, Japan, New Zealand and Australia, then the main harvesters of southern bluefin tuna, agreed to the setting of an overall quota on the southern bluefin tuna harvest and the allocation of this TAC among them. This agreement, which has been in effect ever since, is clearly quite crucial to the effectiveness of Australia’s bluefin tuna ITQ system. Without it, the total stock couldn't be controlled and the 124 quality of the quota property right would be correspondingly undermined. With the recent increase in the high seas harvest of bluefin tuna by other nations, most notably Taiwan, this trilateral agreement needs to be extended. 3.1.2 The South-east Trawl Fishery The south-east trawl fishery is a multi-species fishery with a long history of commercial exploitation. A large number of species are involved, the most important being gemfish, orange roughy, blue grenadier and warehou. The main fishing gear is otter trawl and Danish seine. This fishery was first subjected to management in 1985, in response to increased fishing pressure and declining stocks. Entry to the fishery was restricted and various constraints on inputs imposed. These measures, however, proved ineffective. Fishing effort continued to increase, threatening to deplete certain fish stocks (Morris, 1994). Consequently, a TAC regime was imposed on the gemfish fishery in 1988. In 1992, after extensive consultations with the industry, an ITQ system was introduced in the fishery. About 16 species, constituting the bulk of the south-east trawl catch, are currently covered by the ITQ system. As in the bluefin tuna fishery, the ITQs are permanent rights to harvest a certain proportion of the TACs each year. These rights are divisible and transferable. In this sense the ITQs constitute reasonably complete property rights. However, this ITQ system is seriously flawed in other respects. Most importantly, it only applies to the otter trawl and Danish seine fisheries. Other fishing methods such as longlining and handlining as well as the quite substantial recreational fishery are exempt from the ITQ system. This means that the extent of the harvesting rights represented by the ITQs depends on unconstrained harvesting activity outside the ITQ system. Obviously, this seriously subtracts from the quality of the ITQs as property rights. The initial allocation of quota shares was to the two trawl sections -- otter trawl and Danish seine, separately. However, the allocation rule differed only in minor details. In both cases, the allocation was made on the basis of the historical catch record during 1984-89 and the level of investment in the fishery. In the case of otter trawl vessels, 80 per cent of the allocation was based on historical catches. In the Danish seine fishery, 70 per cent of the allocation was based on historical catches. Enforcement of the south-east ITQ system has apparently been somewhat problematic. This hardly comes as a surprise. A good part of the catch is valuable for local consumption, and there are many landing places. Moreover, as mentioned above, some fishing methods are not subject to the quota constraint, making enforcement of the regulations even more difficult. Due to the recent introduction of the ITQ system in the south-east trawl fishery, data on its impact is quite limited. The available evidence, moreover, is mixed. According to Morris (1994), there was a slight increase in the profitability of the industry, especially the offshore fleet, in 1992 and 1993 compared to that in previous years. That this happened in spite of reduced TACs suggests that, the ITQ 125 system may, indeed, have generated some increase in efficiency. However, there have also been a many problems with the system. One of them is the bycatch of quotabound species when other species are being targeted. Another, not unrelated, problem is the seemingly increased discarding of unwanted fish (Morris, 1994). 3.2 Greenland66 Due to the extensive foreign fishing off Greenland, effective management of the fisheries was not really feasible until 1985. At the end of 1976, Greenland's EEZ was extended from 12 to 200 miles. This extension brought most of the fishing grounds off Greenland under Greenland's jurisdiction. However, because Greenland (as a part of the the Danish kingdom) was a member of the European Community (EC), the area between 12 and 200 miles remained open to EC fishing fleets. This was changed in 1985 when Greenland voted in a national referendum to leave the EC. Since then, Greenland has had sole control of her EEZ and, consequently, been in the position to impose a fisheries management regime of her choice. 3.2.1 The Fisheries Management System In Greenland fisheries management varies according to fleet category. Undecked vessels are not subject to any management whatsoever. Among the inshore fishing vessels, only shrimp-trawlers are subject to fisheries management. The ocean-going fleet, Greenland's most important fishing fleet, is subject to extensive fisheries management based on a property-rights regime. The ocean-going fleet In 1985, the ocean-going fleet was subjected to a licensing system and annual catch quotas (IQs). Vessels above 79 GRT had to apply annually for a fishing licence and a corresponding catch quota (expressed in terms of volume). For each vessel, this quota was calculated simply as the TAC divided by the number of licenced vessels, with some modifications reflecting the vessel's historical harvesting performance. Apparently, fishing licences were handed out quite freely, with the result that the IQs became progressively smaller as the fleet expanded. In 1991, the fisheries authorities, undoubtedly spurred on by the declining profitability of the fisheries, introduced a system of ITQs for this segment of the fleet. Under this system, licence holders were given permanent rights to harvest a percentage of the annual TAC. These permanent harvesting rights, or ITQs, are freely transferable. The initial allocation was on the basis of historical catches under the previous system. 66 This section relies heavily on Arnason and Friis (1995). 126 The inshore shrimp fleet Until the end of 1991 the inshore shrimp fleet was only controlled by the issue of annual licences. There were no IQs and the fisheries administrators were supposed to prevent overexpansion of the fleet by restricting the annual issue of licences. On December 1, 1991 this system was replaced by a permanent capacity licensing system. Under this system, operators get capacity rights referred to as “owner points”. The owner points are permanent and freely transferable. They do not, however, directly determine the allowed capacity. This is determined by the relationship between owner points and the so-called “vessel points”. Vessel points constitute a measure of the estimated capacity of a given vessel. Every time a new vessel is added to the fleet, it is assigned vessel points on the basis of its technical specifications. In any given year, a certain number of owner points corresponds to a certain number of vessel points. This correspondence is not fixed over time, however. Every year, the fisheries authorities determine this correspondence on the basis of the state of the shrimp stocks. When the shrimp stocks are poor, owner points correspond to relatively few vessel points and vice versa. Thus, under this system, the holder of a certain number of owner points will be allowed to operate a vessel or vessels of a certain capacity (measured in vessel points) for one year. Fishing firms may accumulate owner points, but they do not know before the start of the year how much capacity (vessel points) a certain number of owner points will amount to. Once this is known, however, they can trade owner points between themselves to achieve the capacity rights they desire. When a new vessel is added to the fleet, its vessel points are assessed by the authorities. To be able to operate this vessel, therefore, the owner must acquire the required owner points presumably from other vessel owners. In this way the fisheries authorities hope to be able to halt the expansion of the inshore shrimp fleet. This capacity control system in the inshore shrimp fishery has been in operation for only four years, so not enough data are yeat available to assess its impact. A priori, however, it should not be expected to generate substantial economic benefits. Admittedly, the system is a property rights system of sorts. However, the basic property right is in uncertain capacity rights, i.e. owner points. Their relationship with harvesting or the fish stocks is, at best, limited. Hence, the system does not at all tackle the basic stock externality that is at the root of the basic fisheries problem. On the other hand, provided the authorities maintain an appropriate correspondence between owner points and vessel points, the system clearly creates an incentive for capacity reduction. However, it should not be forgotten that capacity (and effort) control systems are notoriously ineffective as fisheries management tools due to the multidimensional nature of fishing capacity (Townsend, 1990). 3.2.2 Impact of the Fisheries Management 127 The Greenland fisheries management system, although quite limited in scope and in many other respects imperfect, seems to have produced quite good economic results. Thus, under the largely open access management regime before 1991, the fishing fleet expanded at an exponential rate as illustrated in Figure 1 below. Thus, in 1990 the fishing fleet measured almost 60,000 GRT, up from about 10,000 GRT in 1976 and far above what was needed. Since 1991, however, following the introduction of the ITQ system in the offshore fishery, the fleet has contracted substantially. Thus, at the end of 1993, the fleet was down to 38,000 GRT which represent a reduction of about 35 per cent in only three years under the new fisheries management regime. Figure 1 The Greenland Fishing Fleet 60 50 40 30 Fishing fleet tonnage 20 10 0 1976 1980 1985 1990 1993 (Source: Arnason & Friis, 1995) Another measure of the effectiveness of a fisheries management system is provided by the productivity of the Greenland fisheries relative to that of other similar fisheries. Common measures of the productivity of fisheries are catch value per fisherman and unit of capital (Arnason, 1995). By these measures, the Greenland fisheries appear to be quite efficient compared to most other North Atlantic fisheries. According to the data presented in Table 5 in Section 4 below, the capital productivity of the Greenland fisheries is similar to or higher than that of most of the other North Atlantic fisheries. The comparative labour productivity in the Greenland fisheries is even better. It is considerably higher than that of most of the other North Atlantic fisheries listed in Table 5. It is not clear how much of this relative degree of economic efficiency is due to the property-rights aspects of the fisheries management regime. However, the rather dramatic contraction in fishing capital since 1991, following the introduction of the ITQ system in the off-shore fishery and transferable capacity rights in the inshore fishery, suggests that they may be have been an important factor. 128 3.3 Iceland Icelandic fishing grounds, located at the intersection of warm (Gulf Stream) and cold (Artic) ocean currents and endowed with a wide continental shelf, are unusually fertile and rich in marine life. Within the 200-mile EEZ of less than 0.3 million square miles, this body of water is capable of yielding a sustainable harvest of over 1.5 million tonnes annually. About half of this yield consists of demersal species (such as cod and haddock) and crustaceans (mostly shrimp). The other half consists of pelagic species (such as herring and capelin). Important fishing grounds, especially for deepsea redfish, are also found outside the EEZ. Currently, about 40 species are harvested commercially in Icelandic waters, but only about 15 of these constitute a basis for targeted fisheries. The others, mostly various demersal species, appear as bycatch. The total annual harvest in recent years has fluctuated around 1.5 million tonnes with a landed value of some US$900 million (Arnason, 1995). The most important fisheries are the demersal fisheries with about 75 per cent of the total landed value, followed by the shrimp, herring and capelin fisheries. The single most important fishery is the cod fishery normally representing about 50 per cent of the total landed value of the Icelandic fisheries. Icelandic fishing grounds came under exploitation by European distant water fishing fleets in the 14th century. By the 15th century, a large number of English, German and Dutch fishing vessels were taking substantial catches of cod and other demersal species off Iceland (Thorsteinsson, 1976). From then, until the extension of the fisheries jurisdiction to 200 miles in 1976, the fishery off Iceland was an international one. Large foreign fishing fleets from numerous European nations featured prominently on the fishing grounds, taking almost half of the demersal catch as late as 1975. For this reason, effective management of the fisheries, especially the demersal ones, was not feasible. Consequently, fisheries management prior to the extension of the fishing limits to 200 miles was minimal. With the extension of the exclusive fishing zone in 1976, this situation was radically changed. Since that time the Icelandic fisheries have come under gradually increasing management, culminating in a uniform ITQ system in practically all fisheries in 1990. The progress toward a property-rights based ITQ fisheries management regime, however, differed substantially among the various fisheries. The chronology of this development in the major fisheries is summarized in Table 1 Table 1 Key Steps in the Evolution of the Icelandic ITQ Management System: A Chronological Overview 1975 1979 1980 1984 1985 1986 1990 The herring fishery: Individual quotas introduced. The herring fishery: Individual quotas made transferable. The capelin fishery: Individual quotas introduced. The demersal fisheries: Individual transferable quotas introduced. The demersal fisheries: Effort quota option introduced. The capelin fishery: Individual quotas made transferable. A complete uniform system of individual transferable quotas in all fisheries. 129 3.3.1 The Current ITQ Fisheries Management System Iceland’s ITQ fisheries management system was instituted at different times and in somewhat different form in the various fisheries. It was made uniform across fisheries by the Fisheries Management Act passed in 1990. Since then, however, the system has continued to be modified and Fisheries Management Act has been amended three times since 1990. The current fisheries management system is based on ITQs. The quotas represent shares in the TAC and are permanent, perfectly divisible and transferable. The quotas are subject to a small annual charge to cover enforcement costs. Further details of the system are as follows: The Ministry of Fisheries determines the TAC for each of the most important species in the fisheries. This decision is made on the basis of recommendations from the Marine Research Institute. Currently 11 species are subject to TACs and consequently individual quotas; six demersal species (cod, haddock, saithe, redfish, Greenland halibut and plaice), two pelagic species (herring and capelin), shrimp, lobster and scallops67. These 11 species account for most of the targeted fisheries in Iceland, over 95 per cent of the total volume of the annual harvest and well over 90 per cent of its value. The remainder of the catch is accounted for by a large number of demersal species many of which appear only as bycatch. The fact that these fisheries are not currently subject to TAC does not mean that they are outside the ITQ system, only means that a TAC has not been set and, consequently, they can be pursued freely. The basic property rights defined by the ITQ system are TAC shares, i.e. shares in the TAC for every species for which there is a TAC. These TAC shares constitute permanent property rights in the fishery. Although TAC shares may be held by any legal entity, each one must be formally attached to a specific fishing vessel with a valid fishing licence. The method by which the TAC shares were initially allocated to fishing vessels varies somewhat across fisheries. In the demersal, lobster, scallop and deepsea shrimp fisheries the TAC shares were based on the vessel's historical catch record during certain base years. In the demersal fisheries this usually equalled the vessel's average share in the total catch during the three years prior to the introduction of the vessel quota system in 1984. There were exceptions to this rule, however. If, for instance, a vessel had not been operating normally during 1981-3 due, for example, to major repairs or to having entered the fleet after 1981, the calculated share was adjusted upwards. In the herring and inshore shrimp fisheries the initial TAC shares were equal for all eligible vessels (i.e. vessels with a recent history of participation in the fishery). The same rule applied to the capelin fishery, except that a third of the TAC was allocated on the basis of vessel hold capacity. 67 There are actually several substocks of inshore shrimp and scallops, each with its own TAC. 130 The size of a vessel's annual quota in a specific fishery is a product of its TAC share and the TAC for that fishery. Therefore, while the TAC share is a percentage, the annual quota is denominated in terms of weight. Both the permanent TAC shares and the annual quotas are transferable (subject to certain restrictions) and perfectly divisible in the sense that any fraction of a given quota may be transferred. Regarding quota transferability, one must distinguish between the permanent TAC share and the annual quota. TAC shares are transferable without any restrictions whatsoever. On the other hand, there are some relatively minor restrictions on the transferability of annual quotas. First, transfers of annual quotas between geographical regions must be agreed to by the Ministry of Fisheries. The purpose of this restriction is to avoid short term destablization of regional employment. In practice, however, few inter-regional transfers have actually been blocked by the Ministry. Second, a vessel that doesn't harvest at least half of its annual quota two years in a row forfeits its TAC share. This restriction, introduced in 1992, apparently stems from widespread public dissatisfaction with the "unearned" quota rents received by some quota holders. The ITQ system allows a good deal of flexibility with regard to the individual quota constraint each year. Thus, current rules allow quota holders to exceed their annual quota for each species by five per cent, subject to a corresponding reduction in their quota next year. Similarly, the quota holders are allowed to postpone the harvesting of up to 20 per cent of their annual quota until next year. Finally, it is permitted to switch up to a five per cent of the annual quota (in value terms) from one species to another within the year. The purpose of these provision is to provide operational flexibility to the quota holders. The annual vessel quotas calculated in the above-described manner were initially issued by the Ministry of Fisheries free of charge. However, according to the Fisheries Management Act of 1990, the Ministry is to collect fees for catch quotas to cover the cost of monitoring and enforcing the ITQ regulations. The law sets an upper bound on this fee currently amounting to 0.4 per cent of the estimated catch value. There are currently two minor exemptions from the ITQ system, both in the demersal fisheries. First, vessels under six gross registered tonnes( GRT) may elect to be exempted from quota restrictions. In this case they must employ hook and line and be subjected to limited fishing days. In addition, their total catch of cod is restricted. This is enforced by restricting the number of permissible fishing days as required. Second, recreational demersal fishing (currently neglible) is not subject to the ITQ system. 3.3.2 Enforcement Thanks to Iceland’s elatively few landing ports (61 in 1994), an effective landings control system, and the fact that over 99 per cent of the catches are processed for export, enforcement of the ITQ system is not much of a problem. On behalf of the Ministry of Fisheries, a separate public organization, the Fisheries Directorate, is charged with the responsibility of enforcing the quota system. For this purpose, the Fisheries Directorate operates an elaborate landings control 131 system covering every landing port in the country. The cornerstone of this system is the legal requirement that all marine catch for commercial purposes be weighed on official scales at the point of landing. Public officials record the landings, determine the species composition of the catch and assess its quality. The information collected in this way is then promptly conveyed to the Fisheries Directorate's central data-bank via a direct computer link. To cope with the export of fresh fish, a similar landings control system has been established in foreign export ports. With the help of this landings control system, the Fisheries Directorate is able to maintain a day by day record of the cumulative landings by every licenced fishing vessel in the country. Monitoring the output quantities of the processing plants at the export level provides a check on their received fish inputs and, thus, serves as a further check on vessel landings. A similar system, utilizing estimated catch-product transformation coefficients, supplemented with on-board observations, is used to calculate the harvest of freezer trawlers. To further monitor adherence to vessel quota rules and other fisheries regulations, the Fisheries Directorate maintains a group of fisheries observers. This force counts about 30 persons many of whom are retired fishing captains. At any time, a number of these observers are based aboard fishing vessels, while others conduct inspections in fishing ports. On the basis of observers' reports, the Fisheries Directorate may promptly assess fines or other penalties or order further investigation into alleged violations. There is, some evidence of inferior catch being discarded at sea in order to maximize the value of the vessel quota. While this practice is not thought to occur on a significant scale (estimates range from one to six per cent depending on the fishing gear used), it violates the terms of the quota and is punishable by fines or revoking of fishing licences. It is, however, difficult to verify. 3.3.3 The Performance of the ITQ System As discussed above, the ITQ system was introduced at different times and in different forms in the various fisheries. Consequently, it may be useful to discuss the impact of the system in each main fishery separately. The Herring Fishery The ITQ management of the Icelandic herring has been biologically successful. The two Icelandic herring stocks -- the spring-spawning herring and the summer-spawning herring -- collapsed in the late 1960s through overfishing. As a result, a complete moratorium on herring fishing was introduced in 1972. In 1975, the summerspawning herring fishery was resumed under an IQ regime that was turned into an ITQ regime in 1979. In spite of a steadily increasing harvest, the summer-spawning herring biomass has continued to grow. Currently, its biomass is greater than at any time since the 1950s. The spring-spawning herring, on the other hand, has not recovered and continues to be subject to a fishing moratorium. The path of biomass and harvest for the summer-spawning herring since 1975 is illustrated in Figure 2. 132 Figure 2 The Icelandic Summer-Spawning Herring: Biomass and Annual Catches 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 1975 1980 1985 Catch 1990 Fishable Stock (Source: Marine Research Institute) The economics of the herring fishery also appear to have improved substantially. The number of vessels participating in the fishery has been greatly reduced. In 1975, at the beginning of the IQ fisheries regime, there were about 65 vessels in the fleet. In 1980, the first full year of the ITQ system, over 200 vessels took part in the herring fishery. This increase reflects the fact that many vessels entered the fishery in 1980 to obtain property rights in the new ITQ system. Fifteen years later, in 1995, there were less than 30 vessels in the fishery. Yet these vessels were harvesting twice as much herring as the 200 vessels did in 1980. Moreover, whereas the average vessel size has increased substantially, fishing effort measured as ton-days at sea68 has also contracted since 1975 and in particular since 1980. Since, at the same time catches have greatly increased, catch per unit effort (CPUE) has dramatically increased -- by a factor of eleven since 1975 and by a factor of five since 1979 (Figure 3). 68 The effort measure "ton-days at sea" is simply the total number of days at sea multiplied by the tonnage of the vessel. 133 Figure 3 Herring Fishery: Development of Stock and Catch per Unit Effort 12 Catch per unit effort (index) Stock size (1000 metric tons) 700 600 10 500 8 400 6 300 4 200 2 100 0 1975 0 1980 1985 Catch per unit effort (left axis) 1990 Stock Biomass (Source: Marine Research Institute, Fisheries Association) The Capelin Fishery An IQ fisheries management was introduced in the capelin fishery in 1980, followed by ITQs in 1986. It appears that the capelin stock size has not been significantly affected by these management systems. The capelin is a short-lived species highly dependent on environmental conditions and, consequently, subject to severe biomass fluctuations, even in the absence of harvesting. These fluctuations have continued since 1980 and there is no apparent trend in either the average stock size or catch volume during the period since 1980 (Figure 4). 134 Figure 4 Capelin Catch and Stock Size at End of the Fishing Season (1000 tonnes) 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 Catch Fishable stock (Source: Marine Research Institute) The economics of the capelin fishery appear to have improved substantially. There has been a pronounced reduction in the number of capelin vessels. At the beginning of the IQ fisheries management regime in 1979 there were about 68 capelin purse-seiners in operation. In 1994 there were only 40. Thus, during this period, there has been a total reduction in the number of capelin vessels by over 40 per cent. The fleet reduction in tonnage terms has been much less as it is primarily the smaller vessels that have left the fishery. Nevertheless, from 1979 to 1993 the total tonnage of the capelin fleet has been reduced by over 25 per cent, from about 25,800 GRT to about 18,900 GRT. These statistics are further illustrated in Figure 5. 135 Figure 5 Evolution of Capelin Fishing Fleet 100 Number of vessels Fleet size (1000 GRT) 35 30 80 25 60 20 40 15 10 20 0 1977 5 1980 1985 Number of vessels (left axis) 1990 0 1995 Fleet GRT (right axis) (Source: Utvegur) Capelin fishing effort has also similarly contracted. Thus, between 1979 and 1993 total days at sea for the capelin fleet has been reduced by almost 25 per cent. The Demersal Fisheries The demersal fisheries were subjected to an ITQ system in 1984. Since then, this system has been under almost continuous revision. Most importantly, the ITQ system in the demersal fisheries was combined with an optional limited effort system in 1985. This meant that vessel owners preferring effort restrictions could opt for that arrangement in place of the individual quota restriction. There seem to be two main explanations for this rather drastic deviation from the ITQ system. First, some of the vessel owners claimed that they had been unfairly treated by the initial allocation of quotas in 1984. An effort quota option would give them a chance to remedy this. Second, powerful regional politicians felt that vessels from their regions could, by being situated close to the fishing grounds, actually harvest greatly in excess of their allocated quotas. Hence, by freeing their vessels from the quota constraint, they could substantially expand economic activity in their regions. The limited effort option was abolished in 1990. In the meantime, however, a large fraction of the demersal fleet opted for limited effort rather than individual quotas with the result that between 1986 and 1990 less than half of the demersal catch was taken under the ITQ system. Consequently, during these years, an ITQ system can hardly be said to have been in effect in the Icelandic demersal fisheries. The 136 evidence on the performance of the ITQ system in the demersal fisheries must be interpreted in this light. The demersal fish stocks have not been rebuilt under the ITQ system. In fact, the aggregate biomass of cod, haddock, saithe and Greenland halibut has declined somewhat since the introduction of the ITQ system. It should be noted, however, that this constitutes a shift from the sharply declining trend in the aggregate biomass of these species during the preceding six years. This development is further described in Figure 6. Figure 6 Demersal Catch and Biomass (Cod, haddock, saithe and Greenland halibut, 1000 tonnes) 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 Biomass Catch (Source: Marine Research Institute) Why is it that the demersal stocks have not improved during the ITQ period? There seem to be two main explanations for this. First, apparently for environmental reasons, the recruitment of the largest demersal stock, the cod, has been substantially below its historical average for several years running. Second, compared to the reduced reproductive capacity of the fish stocks, the catches have simply been excessive. This is due to two factors. One is that the TACs have been set too high. Successive governments facing the reduced TAC recommendations by the Marine Research Institute that would have resulted in almost immediate negative macroeconomic impacts, have apparently succumbed to the temptation to gamble with the resource. The other factor is that actual demersal catches, especially those of cod, persistently exceeded the TACs set by the government during the 1986-1990 period when the limited effort option dominated the demersal fisheries management. Under this system, there was no direct way to control the harvest level and, as it turned out, reductions in allowed fishing days always lagged behind the increase in daily fishing capacity. 137 It should be noted, however, that the decline in the demersal stocks seems to have been reversed since 1991, following the abolition of the effort quota option and a return to a more complete version of the ITQ system. This has been accomplished primarily by sharp reductions in TACs and, consequently, catches as indicated in Figure 5. It is somewhat difficult to assess the economic impact of the ITQ system in the demersal fisheries since 1984. The reason is that for five years of this period, from 1986-90, the demersal fisheries management was actually dominated by effort restrictions. A reasonably pure version of the ITQ system has only been in operation from 1984-5 and again from 1991 onward. Nevertheless, looking at the period as a whole, there appear to have been substantial increases in economic efficiency. This can be inferred inter alia from the development of aggregate demersal fishing effort and fishing capital and, perhaps most tellingly, from the value of quota rights. The development in demersal fishing effort, measured as ton-days at sea, is illustrated in Figure 6. It shows an initial rapid growth in fishing effort from 1978 to1984. This is noteworthy as during this period the demersal fisheries management system consisted of a limited effort regime. This expansion in fishing effort was abruptly halted in 1984, when the ITQ system was introduced. In fact, fishing effort dropped by some 15 per cent in 1984, the first year of the ITQ system and by an additional six per cent in 1985. From 1986 to 1990, on the other hand, fishing effort increased considerably again. This is no doubt primarily due to the widespread exploitation of the effort quota option within the ITQ system during this period. Since 1991, following the abolition of the limited effort option, demersal fishing effort has again declined substantially. Compared to its peak in 1983, the demersal fishing effort in 1995 had been reduced by some 30 per cent. The course of fishing capital (in value terms) tells a similar, albeit less dramatic story. Fishing capital expanded at a fast rate during the limited effort period preceding the ITQ system in 1984. The growth was halted in 1984 and 1985 only to be resumed in 1986 when effort limitations became dominant again. Since 1991, after the tightening up of the ITQ system, the value of fishing capital has actually declined although much less than fishing effort. 138 Figure 7 Demersal Fishing Effort and Capital 1977-96 1,6 Index 1,5 1,4 1,3 1,2 1,1 1 0,9 0,8 0,7 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 Effort (ton-days) 1990 1992 1994 1996 Fleet (value) (Source: Fisheries Association, National Economic Institute) Figure 7, regarded as a whole, is indicative of the relative impacts of a restricted effort fisheries management and an ITQ system on fishing effort and capital. During periods of relatively pure versions of the ITQ system, demersal fishing effort uniformly contracts. During periods of restricted effort, it expands. The impact on fishing capital is qualitatively similar but less in magnitude. This is evidence in support of the prediction that the ITQ system produces an incentive to economize on fishing effort and capital so as to bring them in line with the natural productivity of the fish stocks. Another, more direct way to assess the efficacy of the ITQ system is to look at quota prices. As the quotas are transferable, a market for them has developed. In this market, quotas are exchanged for other valuables such as money. Hence, applying standard economic theory, the quota price in this market should provide a good indicator of the economic rents generated in the fishery (Table 2). 139 Table 2 Economic Rents in Demersal Fisheries: Quota Price Valuation Year ---1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 Price range, US$/tonne ----------------------Cod Other ------------55-87 84-126 127-176 206-259 208-277 262-349 428-514 680-720 650-700 500-550 900-1050 1389-1050 24-40 54-72 79-109 104-131 154-205 157-209 256-308 450-500 400-450 250-300 230-270 193-333 Total values, million US$ -------------------------------All quotas Whole fishery ---------------------36-57 36-53 23-32 35-44 49-65 62-83 151-182 331-357 257-282 180-203 193-226 235-275 36-57 51-72 66-91 104-131 108-144 143-189 222-267 345-372 286-313 204-231 230-269 276-321 Sources: Quota traders, Fisheries Association, author's calculations. According the fourth column of Table 2, it appears that the total value of demersal quotas, evaluated at the mid-point of the price range given, was some US$46 million in 1984, US$166 million in 1988 and about US$255 million in 1995. However, these numbers almost certainly underestimate the true value of demersal catch rights. The reason is that they ignore the value of the nontradable catches, most of which were taken under effort limitations and other exemptions from the ITQ system. If all the demersal catch is evaluated at the vessel quota prices, we obtain the valuation in the last column of Table 2. These estimates, however, must be interpreted with great care. Most importantly, it must be realized that one of the first effects of a reasonably complete ITQ system is to make excessive fishing capital commercially redundant. This means that the market value of fishing capital falls drastically and the opportunity cost of its use is correspondingly reduced. Now, the market value of catch quotas tends to reflect the variable profits of using these quotas. Hence, with the fall in the opportunity cost of fishing capital, the market quota values are correspondingly increased. This, however, is a short term effect that will be reversed in the long run when the level of fishing capital reaches a new equilibrium. Nevertheless, the message of Table 2 appears clear enough: Considerable economic rents are currently being generated by the ITQ system, and these rents have been increasing. Currently they constitute a substantial fraction of the total landed value of the demersal fisheries. 140 3.4 The Netherlands The Dutch ocean fishery is subject to European Union common fisheries policy, according to which the Netherlands are allocated national quotas for a range of species annually. The current Dutch fisheries management procedure is to divide this national quota into individual fishing rights. Thus, the Dutch fisheries management is founded on a property rights regime. The nature of the property rights, however, varies somewhat across fisheries. To this we now turn. 3.4.1 Fisheries Management The Netherlands operates three main ocean fisheries; the flatfish (plaice and sole) fishery, the roundfish (cod, haddock and whiting) fishery and the herring and mackerel fishery. Of these, the flatfish fishery is by far the most valuable. These fisheries are largely independent, except that the flatfish fishery takes a good deal of roundfish as bycatch. The flatfish fishery The flatfish (mainly plaice and sole) fishery is the most important Dutch fishery accounting for 60-70 per cent of the total value of landings. Before 1976, this fishery was mainly controlled by minimum mesh and fish size regulations. The results of this management was not good. The stocks declined and fishing profitability was unsatisfactory. In 1976, an IQ system with very limited transferability was introduced. The national quota was allocated as IQs to vessels on the basis of historical catch shares and vessel capacity measured in terms of engine power. Quotas were attached to specific vessels and transferable only with the vessel. However, this restriction was reportedly widely circumvented (Anonymous, 1994). Consequently, in 1985, the quotas were made more easily transferable.69 This system, one of the very first IQ or ITQ fisheries management systems in the world, was not particularly successful in the beginning. As the fishery was subject to a closure when the European Community’s (EC’s) overall flatfish quota was reached (presumably due to the excess harvesting by other nations coupled with the inability of the Dutch government to enforce national quota restrictions), individual quotas did not represent high quality property-rights. Hence, in spite of the quota system, the race-to-fish was not eliminated. However, as the quota enforcement was improved -- on the international level by the issue of national quotas by the EC in 1983 and on the national level by an improved quota monitoring system in the Netherlands in 1988 -- the efficiency of the system has greatly improved. 69 It is now possible to buy and sell quotas. However, a fisher wanting to sell his quota has to sell all of it although there may be many buyers each purchasing a part of the quota. 141 The roundfish fishery The targeted cod fishery was subjected to a limited licensing scheme in 1981. The purpose was to restrict fishing effort and thus prevent an early closure of the fishery due to exhaustion of the national quota. In 1985, due to expansion of the flatfish fishery, it was felt necessary to introduce landing quotas for cod as bycatch. In 1987, all cod fishing rights were allocated as weekly individual nontransferable quotas. In 1994, these quotas were set on monthly basis and made fully transferable. Due to the transferability of the cod quotas, it is expected that the flatfish fleet will in due course acquire much of the roundfish quota to meet its bycatch quota needs. Herring and Mackerel Until 1993, the Dutch North Sea herring fishery was subject to very little specific management apart from that represented by the national quota. In 1993, however, the Dutch government decided to allocate the herring TAC to fishermen's producer organizations. These organizations, in turn, generally reallocate their TAC shares to individual vessels as IQs. The mackerel fishery which takes place to the west of the British Isles, was subjected to IQs as early as 1983. These quotas became freely tradable within the group of mackerel trawlers in 1985. 3.4.2 Experience During the past two decades or so the Netherlands have experimented with various management measures. Broadly speaking, however, the system has been evolving toward an increasingly more complete property rights based regime. The favoured type of property rights seems to be ITQs. This is already in place in a fairly complete form in the most important Dutch fisheries. Generally speaking, the system seems to have had quite beneficial results. There has been a substantial reduction in fleet size. Thus, between 1987 and 1993 the /number of flatfish vessels declined by 23 per cent and the total engine power of the flatfish fleet by 12 per cent (Anonymous, 1994). More importantly, the Dutch fishing industry, especially the flatfish fishery, is now highly profitable (Davidse, 1995). This, of course, is a strong indication of the efficacy of the fisheries management system. 3.5 New Zealand New Zealand's EEZ is approximately 1.2 million square miles. Although among the largest in the world, this EEZ is not particularly productive as a fishing zone. The main reason is the relative narrowness of the continental shelf. About 72 per cent of the EEZ consists of water deeper than 1000 meters. About 130 species are fished commercially in New Zealand waters. The most important ones in terms of value are orange roughy, hoki, snapper, ling, abalone and 142 spiny rock lobster. The total annual harvest in recent years has fluctuated between 5600 thousand tonnes. Including aquaculture the harvest in 1993 was 593 thousand tonnes with a landed value of some US$330 million (Anonymous, 1995a). New Zealand extended her fisheries jurisdiction to 200 miles in 1978. Prior to this, New Zealand fisheries consisted mostly of small scale inshore fisheries within the 12-mile fishing zone. The deep-sea fisheries outside the 12-mile zone were dominated by foreign fishing fleets, especially Japanese, Korean and Soviet ones. The management of the fisheries was minimal. The inshore fisheries were open access ones and almost devoid of any regulations whatsoever (Clark, 1994). The offshore fisheries were high-seas fisheries and, consequently, not subject to New Zealand control at all. Hence, until the extension of the EEZ to 200 miles in 1978, the New Zealand fisheries were textbook examples of common property, unmanaged fisheries. The deep-sea fisheries around New Zealand which had commenced in the 1960s expanded rapidly during the 1970s. From 1970 to 1977, the total harvest off New Zealand increased from 50 thousand tonnes to 500 thousand tonnes, primarily due to the foreign deep-sea fishing activity. The main species exploited were hoki, orange roughy, southern blue whiting and squid (Anonymous, 1995a). At the same time, the inshore fisheries, encouraged by investment grants and tax breaks, also expanded (Anonymous, 1995a; Clark, 1994). This resulted in overexpansion of the inshore fleet and, consequently, overexploitation of the stocks and poor profitability in the industry. Following the extension of the fisheries jurisdiction to 200 miles in 1978, measures were taken to curtail what was generally regarded as excessive fishing pressure. This marks the beginning of modern fisheries management in New Zealand waters. In the foreign deep-sea fishery outside the 12-mile zone, catch limits and licence controls were introduced. This initially resulted in a substantial drop in the offshore fishery, but due to increased participation of New Zealand companies, the quickly recovered. Within 5 years of the extension of the EEZ the offshore catch had reached 400 thousand tonnes with New Zealand companies taking about two-thirds directly and through joint ventures. In the inshore fisheries, on the other hand, the introduction of licence limitations and other input control measures did not prove particularly effective. Investment in fishing capacity continued unchecked. Consequently, effective fishing effort kept on rising in spite of the restrictions, the decline in the inshore fish stocks was not arrested and the economics of the fishery deteriorated further. In an attempt to deal with these problems, the Fisheries Act was passed by the New Zealand parliament in 1983. This act consolidated all previous legislation on fisheries management and vested the responsibility for fisheries management squarely in the national government. According to the Fisheries Act, the objective of fisheries management was not only resource conservation but also maximum economic return from the fishery. The Fisheries Act, although fairly general and vague, constitutes a watershed in New Zealand fisheries management history. On the basis of this act, significant steps toward efficient management of the fisheries were undertaken. 143 First, in the deep-sea fishery, a property rights based fisheries management regime based on ITQs (deep-water quotas) was introduced. Under this scheme, later known as the Deep-Water Trawl Policy (Clark, 1994), deep-water quotas were allocated to fishing firms on th ebasis of the size and capacity of their fishing vessels. In order to encourage New Zealand participation in the fishery , the allocation of these quotas was restricted to firms with at least 75 per cent New Zealand ownership. In addition, the quota holders were required to process at least 35 per cent of the catch onshore in New Zealand (Clark, 1994). The Deep-Water Trawl Policy was implemented in 1983. It constitutes one of the first examples in the world of an ITQ system in a major demersal fishery. Second, part-time fishers were summarily excluded from the inshore fisheries. This meant that about half of the inshore fisheries licences were retired. The reduction in fishing effort was much less, however, as the remaining commercial licences (about 2,500) had accounted for most of the catch. A period of intense debate about the most effective means of addressing the twin problem of overfishing and overcapitalization followed. The outcome of this debate, no doubt influenced by the apparent success of the Deep-Water Trawl Policy, was a consensus for the introduction of property right-based fisheries management. Consequently, by an amendment to the Fisheries Act, a uniform system of ITQs in all major fisheries was introduced in 1986. The ITQ system introduced in 1986 consisted of permanent annual catch rights in volume terms. These rights were perfectly divisible and transferable. The initial allocation of these ITQs varied a bit across the offshore and inshore fisheries. In the offshore fisheries, the initial allocation of quotas according to the Deep-Water Trawl Policy of 1993 was based on participation in the fishery in 1992, the actual catch volume during that year and the vessel's capacity. This allocation was not altered by the general ITQ system of 1986. In the inshore fisheries, the allocation was based on two criteria: only vessels active in the fishery in 1985 were eligible for ITQs, and the amount of ITQs received depended on their catch history in 1982-4. For fishers that believed themselves unfairly treated by the initial allocation, there was an appeal process. Given this allocation mechanism and the nature of the quotas (permanent volume quotas), it is not surprising that the total allocations in many cases exceeded the sustainable harvest. To reduce total catch rights to sustainable levels, the government was committed to buy back quotas. In 1986 alone, the New Zealand government spent approximately US$30 million for this purpose. However, it was soon discovered that the government had greatly overestimated the sustainable yield of important fish stocks, especially orange roughy, in its initial quota allocation. Consequently, this policy of quota buy-backs could not be sustained. Hence, in 1990, following protracted negotiations with the fishing industry, a new amendment to the Fisheries Act transformed the ITQ system into a proportional or share quota system. More precisely, instead of fixed volumes, the permanent quotas would now be a percentage of whatever annual TAC set by the government. By way of compensation, the government agreed to repay the industry a sum equivalent to five years' of the socalled resource rentals to be described below. 144 At the inception of the ITQ management regime in 1986, the government announced its intention to recover a substantial part of the expected fisheries rents by charging the fishing industry on the basis of quota values. In fact, until 1993/4 this charge, called resource rentals, was imposed on the industry. Amounts recovered, however, were not high and were further reduced following the switch to a proportional quota system in 1990. In 1994, a new legislation, the Cost Recovery Act, provided for the recovery of all fisheries management costs including those associated with fisheries research, enforcement of the fisheries management system and conflict resolution. It is estimated that about US$25 million will be collected from the industry for this purpose in 1994-5 (Anonymous, 1995a). This is equivalent to about 7.5 per cent of the annual value of the fishery. The evolution of the New Zealand fisheries management system is summarized in the Table 3: Table 3 Evolution of the New Zealand Fisheries Management System 1963-78 1978 1978-83 1983 1986 1990 1994 Minimal management Extension of the fisheries jurisdiction to 200 miles Licence limitations and various input restrictions ITQs in deep-sea fisheries; quantity quotas A uniform ITQ system in all fisheries; quantity quotas Proportional ITQ system; share quotas Fisheries management Cost Recovery Act. 3.5.1 The current fisheries management system The current New Zealand fisheries management system is based on ITQs. The quotas represent shares in the TAC and are permanent, perfectly divisible and transferable. Further details of the system are as follows: The government sets TACs for all important commercial species in each fishing area within the New Zealand EEZ. There are currently ten fishing areas and 32 species covered by TACs.70 The basic property right in the system are permanent shares in the TAC for every species for which there is a TAC. These TAC shares constitute a right to harvest a fixed proportion of the given TAC every season in perpetuity. The annual quota for a given species is given as a simple product of the TAC share and the TAC for that species. 70 In principle there could be 320 different TACs, but since not all of the species are found in all fishing areas and the TACs of some are independent of fishing areas, the actual number of TACs set is about 180. (Anonymous, 1995a). 145 Both the permanent quota shares and the annual quotas are perfectly divisible and transferable to any New Zealand resident or to firms with less than 25 per cent foreign ownership. However, no single person or firm is allowed to hold more than 35 per cent of the total deep-sea quota and 20 per cent of the total inshore quota. ITQ fisheries are subject to a government charge designed to recover the cost of managing the fishery. All commercial fishers must hold a fishing permit. Fishing permits, which must be granted to any person or firm holding quota, impose certain conditions on the fishing activity in terms of fishing methods, areas, species, provision of information to the fishing authorities etc. 3.5.2 Enforcement of the ITQ system With the introduction of the ITQ system, the enforcement activity has, to a great extent, been shifted from the enforcement of input restrictions (access, area, season, gear) to the enforcement of output restrictions (catch volumes) in the form of the individual quota constraint. This requires the monitoring of individual catch volumes and the comparison of those with quota holdings. The catch monitoring system is largely based on a system of catch handling documents supplemented, with physical surveillance as needed. The fishers are required to submit catch and landing reports. The buyers of catch and other fish traders are required to submit trading documents and records and corresponding documentary requirements are made of fish processors and exporters. A good deal of the monitoring process consists of matching these documents against each other and other data. Discrepancies that are discovered serve as indications that a closer inspection may be needed. The skills needed for this type of monitoring are general investigative and auditing skills. Hence, the composition of the New Zealand fisheries enforcement staff has changed considerably since the introduction of the ITQ system. A substantial number of enforcement officials are now investigators, investigating accountants and solicitors. The number of the traditional fisheries surveillance officers has been correspondingly reduced. The total number of enforcement staff since 1986 has not been increased, however (Anonymous, 1995a). At the inception of the ITQ system, it was realized that under-reporting of catch might be more difficult to detect than violations of some of the more traditional input control. For this reason, it was decided to impose heavy penalties (fines up to US$170,000 as well as forfeiture of quota) on violations. Alleged violations of quota restrictions are tried before a judge (not jury) in the general criminal courts. Due to the penalties involved, the average time and expense of these trials has greatly increased. Although little hard evidence is available, it is generally felt that there is little under-reporting of landings and that the enforcement of the system generally in good 146 shape (Gibson, 1989; Clark, 1994; Anonymous, 1995a; Grafton, 1996). Discarding of catch at sea, however, may pose a more serious problem (Grafton, 1996). 3.5.3 The Performance of the ITQ system The New Zealand ITQs are permanent, perfectly divisible and transferable (subject to seemingly minor restrictions). Moreover, the enforcement of these rights is apparently quite good. Consequently, the ITQs constitute relatively high quality property rights in the sense of Section 2. above. The New Zealand quota system has now been in effect for a number of years. Although hard data on its results are limited, it seems to have been quite successful. The available evidence may be divided into two parts: qualitative evidence and quantitative data. The qualitative evidence is quite positive. Dewees (1989), reviewing the inshore fishery, notes that a substantial fraction of his respondents claimed that the ITQ system had led to increased harvest quality and some of the fishers had reduced their fishing effort. Macgillivray (1990) credits the ITQ system with improving the economic performance of the industry. Pearse (1991), after extensive interviews with the industry participants and others, notes a general satisfaction with the system and the feeling that the ITQ system constitutes a great advance on the prior fisheries management system. He also reports that the system has led to better biological management of the fish stocks, a reduction in fishing capacity and a substantial improvement in the economic results of the fishing activity. These views are supported by spokesmen of the industry itself (Sharp & Roberts, 1991;Clark,1994). The available quantitative data tend to support these assessments. Generally speaking, under the ITQ system aggregate catches have increased. Most resource stocks seem to have been stable. Following an initial increase, the size of the fishing fleet has declined slightly since 1989/90 (Anonymous, 1995a). Catch per unit effort has been stable or slightly increasing. Profitability has been good and improving. There has been a degree of quota concentration in the hands of the most efficient companies. Finally, quota prices have increased considerably. Table 4 provides a summary of recent data on the impact of the New Zealand ITQ system for the key species in the New Zealand fisheries. 147 Table 4 The impact of the ITQ system in New Zealand Species -------------Hoki Jack mackerel Orange roughy Snapper Rock lobster Oreos Beginning year of ITQ ---------------1986 1986 1983 1986 1990 1983 Stock ---------Stable Stable NA Stable Stable (-) Percentage Catch per change in unit effort quota price ------------ -----------(+) +1200 NA -40 (-) +60 NA +280 Stable +143 Stable +180 Approximate annual quota value (million US$) ---------------50 1 20 25 9 5 Symbols: (+) slight increase; (-) slight decrease; NA not available Source: Anonymous (1995a) These species account for the bulk of landed catch in terms of value. The most striking outcome under the ITQ system is the increase in quota prices since the inception of ITQs. For most of the species, this price has risen dramatically. Only in the case of the low-valued jack mackerel has the quota price fallen. Now, quota values may be identified with resource rents (Arnason, 1995). Hence, according to the quota values listed in Table 4, annual resource rents for the six species listed are in the neighborhood of US$100 million. This represents close to a third of the landed value of the catch. This represents powerful evidence that the ITQ system is generating substantial economic benefits. 3.6 Norway The Norwegian fisheries have been subject to extensive fisheries management measures for a long time. Until recently, however, these measures have mostly consisted of input restrictions, minimum mesh size stipulations, area and seasonal closures and overall quotas. These methods have not significantly modified the common property nature of the fisheries and consequently not been particularly efficient. In recent years, Norwegian fisheries management has developed in the direction of property rights based regimes with the introduction of IQs in many fisheries. 3.6.1 Fisheries Management Norway's most important fisheries are based on fish stocks that periodically migrate in and out of her EEZ. Consequently, Norway's fisheries management must start with negotiations with other North Atlantic fishing nations about the utilization of the shared stocks. The main partners in these negotiations have been Russia, Iceland, the 148 Faroe Islands and the European Community. Since the general extension of fisheries jurisdictions to 200 miles in the late 1970s, these negotiations have concentrated on setting the appropriate overall TAC and, subsequently, the sharing of this TAC among the nations involved. Once agreements of this nature have been reached, Norway's share becomes the national TAC, and the management issue is restricted to the harvesting of this TAC. There are currently two main methods for keeping the total catch within the bounds set by the national TACs; individual quotas and controls on the application fishing inputs. The use of these two management methods differs for the offshore and inshore segments of the fishing fleet. The harvest of the offshore fleet is controlled by nontransferable individual catch quotas, IQs. these IQs are allocated annually with the allocation mechanism favouring smaller vessels (Hannesson, 1994; Anonymous, 1995b). Although not formally permanent, the offshore IQs have, in practice, exhibited a degree of permanence since the initial shares in the offshore TAC have been maintained in subsequent quota allocations. On the other hand, there is no guarantee that the share of the offshore TAC in the overall TAC will be maintained. In fact, this has repeatedly been altered in the past (Anonymous, 1995b). Due to their limited transferability and permanence, the offshore IQs can hardly be characterized as high quality property rights. The harvest by the inshore fleet is restricted by several methods including restrictions on the use of fishery inputs, TAC restrictions and nontransferable IQs. Most inshore fisheries of significance are subject to IQs. The allocation and the permanence of the IQs is similar to that in the offshore fisheries. There is an important difference, however. In the cod fishery, by far the most valuable inshore fishery, the total sum of the IQs allocated exceeds the inshore TAC. When the TAC is reached, the fishery is closed regardless of the extent to which individual vessels have filled their IQs. This particular provision, clearly, subtracts substantially from the property rights value of the IQs. As a result, it encourages competition for catch and, consequently, overinvestment in fishing vessels and shorter fishing seasons (Anonymous, 1995b). The single most important element of the Norwegian fisheries management regime is the IQ system. This system, clearly, defines certain property rights in the fisheries. These property rights, however, are very weak. Most importantly, the property rights represented by the IQs are nontransferable, they are not reasonably secure over time and, in the inshore fisheries, they do not even confer reasonably secure rights in harvesting shares for the current period. The option to make the IQs transferable was seriously considered in Norway in 1990/2. In the end it was rejected primarily due to opposition from the fishing industry. The crucial reason for this opposition appears to be that the fishermen, as represented by their national associations, did not want to see the restructuring of the industry and regional habitation patterns that would tend to follow quota transferability, even if they might personally benefit. (Hannesson, 1994b). 149 Overall, the Norwegian fisheries management system perpetuates excess capacity in the fishing fleet. The fleet will not expand any more, for new capacity will not get a fishing licence. However, since the quotas are nontransferable, there is no incentive to reduce the fleet either. Retiring vessels just means that the corresponding IQs revert to the common quota pool. 3.6.2 Experience The Norwegian fisheries management system described above has resulted in two opposite outcomes. On the one hand, the biological management of the fish stocks has been excellent. Important fish stocks that had been seriously depleted, like the Atlanto-Scandian herring stock and the cod stock, have been rebuilt under this system. The multi-species aspects of the biological management strategy have been second to none. On the other hand, the economic outcome of the system has been unsatisfactory. In spite of being endowed with extremely productive fishing grounds, state-of-the-art fishing technology and good access to high price fish markets, the economic results of the fishing industry have been very poor (Hannesson 1994a). This is confirmed by overall productivity measures. According to the estimates in Table 5 below, capital and labour productivity of the Norwegian fishing industry is low. It is much less than in some of the other North-Atlantic fishing industries such as Iceland, Greenland and the Netherlands which, incidentally, have all relied on ITQs in their most important fisheries. It is, on the other hand, similar to that of the UK and the Faroe Islands which, as Norway, have refrained from basing their fisheries management on sufficiently high quality property rights. 4. Efficiency in Fisheries: National Comparisons The fishing nations of the world have thus far elected to employ a range of fisheries management systems. In principle, this provides us with a basis for testing the relative efficiency of these systems. In reality, however, the respective national situations are far too complicated and diverse for reliable statistical inference on this basis without the support of detailed comparative case studies. These reservations notwithstanding, it appears informative to consider simple measures of economic efficiency in fisheries across countries. Output value per unit of capital and per unit of labour, often referred to as capital and labour productivity, respectively, are frequently used measures for this purpose. Some comparative data of this type are listed in Table 5 below. 150 Table 5 Efficiency in Fisheries: Comparative Statistics Catch value per fishing fleet (US$/GRT) Australia (1990) Canada (1990) Faroe Islands (1993) Greenland (1993) Iceland (1990) " " (1993) Netherlands (1993/4) New Zealand (1993/4) Norway(1990) United Kingdom(1990) United States (1990) NA 2,400 3,100 5,100 5,100 5,900 3,000 5,500* 2,300 3,700 2,100 fisherman (US$/fisherman) 66,200 13,500 55,500 84,400 93,300 114,400 132,800 * 69,200 * 27,300 33,900 13,100 * Particularly uncertain estimates. Sources: Data for year 1990 (Anonymous, 1992; Arnason, 1995). Data for Greenland, the Faroe Islands and Iceland (1993) (Arnason & Friis, 1995). Data for the Netherlands and New Zealand (Anonymous, 1995a; Anonymous, 1995c¸ Anonymous, 1996). Author's calculations Table 5 shows a certain relationship between the degree to which countries have chosen to rely on property rights in their fisheries management and the productivity of their fisheries. Thus, Iceland and New Zealand, that have adopted the ITQ system in practically all of their fisheries rank highest in terms of the productivity measures contained in Table 5. Greenland, the Netherlands and Australia, that employ the ITQ system to a substantial extent, also exhibit relatively high productivity in their fisheries. Norway, that doesn't have ITQs at all and relies on access licences and limited term, non-transferable IQs for the management of her fisheries, lags far behind on these measures. According to these data, the productivity of the Icelandic and New-Zealand fisheries is two to three times that of the Norwegian fisheries. The Greenland, Netherlands and Australian fisheries also appear to be substantially more productive than the Norwegian fisheries. Similar comparative results apply to the fisheries of the United Kingdom, United States Canada and the Faroe Islands, none of which had, at the time covered by the data in Table 5, employed advanced property rights methods to manage their fisheries to any great extent. In addition to the basic methodological reservations expressed at the outset of this section, it should be pointed out that international statistics on landed values, the size of fishing fleets and the number of fishermen, on which the above comparisons are made, are notoriously imprecise. In particular, there is a great uncertainty about the number of actual fishermen and active fishing vessels. Nevertheless, the differences in estimated efficiency reported in Table 5 are so large that more accurate data are unlikely to alter the general pattern detected. 151 5. Conclusions Several nations have already instituted property rights based fisheries management systems in their fisheries. The property rights employed, however, are of various kinds, even within the same country. Some fisheries, especially sedentary inshore fisheries, are subject to territorial user rights (TURFs). Exclusive user rights (EURs) for specific fisheries, i.e. sole owner rights, can also be found.71 Access licences, which are basically EURs granted to a limited group of users, are much more common. In fact, they are probably the most widespread form of property rights defined for the purposes of fisheries management. Capacity licences are yet another popular form of property rights employed for fisheries management. Finally, in recent years, individual harvesting rights or quotas have become increasingly common as a means of fisheries management. None of these property rights, except perhaps EURs and TURFs, can be regarded as ideal from an economic point of view. In particular, they do not confer property rights in specific fish and the immediate ocean environment that sustains them. In this sense, they fall far short of the usual property rights in modern farming. As a consequence, none is adequate as an institutional basis for fully efficient fisheries. It is important to realize, however, that in terms of adequacy in this sense, these property rights differ substantially. In particular, well designed harvesting rights, such as ITQs are much closer to ideal property rights in the fishery than, say, access or capacity licences. The countries studied in this chapter have all instituted private property rights regimes in their fisheries during the past two decades. However, they have done so to very different extents. Iceland and New Zealand are most advanced in this respect, with fairly complete ITQs in most of their fisheries. Greenland and the Netherlands are not far behind with ITQs in their most important fisheries and access licences in others. Australia has installed ITQs in some of her fisheries. Norway is least advanced this respect although she has also installed limited IQs in many of her fisheries and restricts access to others. The experience of these countries seems to teach four main lessons: It appears that ITQs, although quite imperfect as property rights, are capable (at least under the appropriate circumstances) of substantially improving the economic efficiency of fisheries. At least on the evidence reviewed in this chapter, alternative property rights regimes, such as IQs, access licences and capacity licences do not seem capable of creating significant economic benefits. There is not, at least not yet, a standard ITQ system. The experience of the countries reviewed demonstrates this clearly. Their ITQ systems although similar in broad outline differ in detail. There are, in other words, many different ITQ 71 One example is the exclusive ocean quahog fishery off north-west Iceland. 152 systems in operation. Moreover, these systems are almost continually being modified and, presumably, improved. One implication is that we may expect much better variants of the ITQ system in the future. However, there is little reason, to look forward to the uniformly best ITQ system. It is much more likely that to be fully efficient, each ITQ system, or, for that matter, any other property rights based fisheries management system, must be tailored to local conditions. Although each ITQ system studied is unique there are certain common features. First, in spite of a myriad of possibilities, the initial allocation of ITQs is usually on the basis of only two factors; catch history and vessel capacity. Second, once ITQs or IQs have been introduced, there is a marked tendency for the associated property rights to become enhanced over time. Thus, IQs tend to develop into ITQs. ITQs tend to become more permanent, restrictions on transfers to be lowered and the enforcement of the quota rights improved. Third, the experience of the countries included in this study shows clearly the importance of comprehensive coverage under an ITQ system. All exceptions from the ITQ constraint tend to be economically expensive and to undermine the ITQ system itself. Notwithstanding socio-political obstacles to the adoption of new property rights regimes, it appears that the lack of appropriate technology may be the fundamental reason for the practically universal use of highly imperfect property rights in fisheries. At the current state of technology, it is impractical -- or, rather, prohibitively expensive -- to define and enforce property rights over individual fish. The required property rights technology is simply not available. Shortcomings in property rights technology are by no means limited to fisheries. Technological shortcomings have undoubtedly delayed desirable extensions of property rights on land in the past. Moreover, they still do as witnessed by many instances of pollution and environmental degradation. However, it may be taken for granted that to the extent that more complete property rights systems are economically beneficial and the corresponding demand can be expressed, there will be an effort to supply the appropriate technology. Therefore, future advances in property rights technology and, consequently, a more complete property rights regime in fisheries may be confidently predicted. 153 References Anonymous. 1992. Om struktur- og reguleringspolitikk overfor fiskeflaaten. St. meld nr. 58. Fiskeridepartementet, Oslo. Anonymous. 1994. Fisheries Management Techniques. The Netherlands, OECD, Room Document nr. 12. Anonymous. 1995a. Fisheries Management Techniques: Country Reports, New Zealand, OECD EG/95/2. Anonymous. 1995b. Fisheries Management Techniques: Country Reports, Norway, OECD EG/95/1. Anonymous. 1995c. 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