THE ECONOMY AND YOU KEY CONCEPTS – 1 INTEREST RATES ARE APPLIED TO MONEY THAT IS BORROWED (A COST) OR SAVED (A GAIN) HOW MUCH MONEY IS SAVED OR BORROWED DEPENDS ON WHETHER THE INTEREST RATE IS SET HIGH OR SET LOW Interest Rate SET HIGH SET LOW Amount borrowed Amount saved DECREASES – loans + major credit purchases are expensive – sales of big ticket items decrease – prices of goods + services fall INCREASES – low risk investment (sits in the bank + collects interest) – good for people living off fixed investments GICs, bonds, etc. INCREASES – funds for major purchases easily affordable – sales of homes, cars, vacations increase – if supply < demand prices increase = inflation – “bubbles” may burst (real estate) DECREASES – return on money invested in a bank is low – stock market may give a better return BUT higher risk – living off investments more difficult The interest rate can have an influence on how an economy performs by adjusting the supply and demand of money. Adjusting the short term interest rate to slow down or stimulate the economy is called MONETARY POLICY. FACTORS AFFECTING INTEREST RATES global market forces expected rates of INFLATION o high interest rates usually follow a period of inflation to increase the cost of borrowing, which decreases demand leading to lower prices o higher rates are needed to cancel the effect of inflation for investors o indexed pensions are protected from inflation – monthly payments are increased to make up for the loss of purchasing power monetary policy - as explained above INFLATION + COST OF GOODS Online source: http://www.tutor2u.net/economics/content/topics/inflation/what_is_inflation.htm If a good in 2007 costs $1000 and inflation is at 2.5% then the cost to the buyer in 2008 will be $1000 x 1.025 = $1025. Companies must pass on their increased costs (COST-PULL INFLATION) to consumers. Or, if a person earns $1000 in 2004 they will need to earn $1025 to maintain their lifestyle in 2005. INFLATION + INVESTMENTS Bank Rate - set by the Bank of Canada Prime Rate - set by commercial banks and other lending institutions, which is higher than the bank rate (rate given to most credit worthy customers) Nominal Rate (N) - posted rate for consumer lending/saving Inflation rate (I) - rate of inflation On savings accounts: Real interest rate (R) = N–I Example: If a savings account earns 5% interest but inflation is at 3%, the account is really only earning 2% because 3% of the earned interest must be used to offset the increased cost of purchased goods and services. This is why investors will ask for much higher rates of return under inflationary conditions; or investors may avoid investing in an economy where inflation is high and increasing steadily. DEFLATION – caused mainly by insufficient money in the economy to buy up the available goods and services available – lowered demand forces prices lower to increase demand, but only so far – company profits suffer, which inevitably will lead to higher unemployment and lower consumer confidence – Japan suffered from deflation for almost a decade – interest rates were set at 0% in an attempt to stimulate borrowing to stimulate economic growth – Want to know more? Try http://www.inflationdata.com/inflation/Articles/Deflation.asp, or http://www.guardian.co.uk/theissues/article/0,6512,959334,00.html#article_continue .