YORK UNIVERSITY Department of Economics ECON1010A: Principles of Macroeconomics Midterm #3: June 7, 2011 Duration – 1 Hour Aids Allowed: Non-programmable calculators only Time Allowed: 1 Hour The total marks in this test are 50. The test is divided into two parts: Part I - Problem format - is worth 42 marks (42 of the total mark of 50) Part II – Explanations (5 marks) and Multiple choice (3 marks) (8 of the total mark of 50) Show your work where applicable. Please use pen instead of pencil. Print your name and student number clearly on the front of the exam and on any loose pages. Name: (Family Name) Student #: . (Given Name) . There are 6 pages to the exam. - 1/5 - ECON1010A : Midterm Test #3, June 7, 2011 Name: ______________________ Part I: Place your answers (and work where necessary) in the space provided. Clearly label all axes, curves, and points. 1. Monetary Policy: Diagrams (10 marks) Suppose that the Bank of Canada decreases the money supply to slow down the Canadian economy to prevent inflation. In the space below, use Money Demand/Supply, Marginal Efficiency of Investment (MEI), and AE/Y diagrams to demonstrate the impact of a decrease in money supply on the Interest rate, Investment, and GDP equilibrium. Ignore ‘Crowding Out’. Label your axes carefully. Use the subscript ‘o’ to represent the original equilibrium and ‘1’ to represent subsequent changes. In particular, a) Draw AE/Y, Money D/S, and MEI diagrams showing an initial equilibrium before the monetary policy. Use the subscript ‘o’ for initial curves and equilibria. (4 marks) c) How could the Bank of Canada decrease the money supply? Explain briefly (1 mark) 1 mark: sell bonds (or switch government deposits from private banks to Bof C) b) Now show the effect of the Bank of Canada’s monetary policy on the equilibrium Interest rate, Investment, and GDP using the subscript ‘1’. (5 marks) r SM1 r SM0 r1 r0 r1 r0 MEI DM Mo real AE M (or M/P) Y1 Yo I1 Io AE0 AE1 real I real Y (or GDP) 1 mark: ro at intersection of or vertical SM (or Ms) and negatively sloped DMo (or MDo) vertical with M (or M/P) on the horizontal (and r on the horizontal axis) 1 mark: downward sloping MEI in diagram with r on vertical and I on horizontal axis 1 mark: Io from negatively sloped MEI at ro 1 mark: Yo from intersection of AEo and 45 degree line 1 mark: Decrease in Money Supply (SM1) Take off 2 marks if they get this wrong because they increased Money Supply or changed Demand for Money (i.e., don’t give the next mark) and then see if there subsequent answers are consistent with their mistake 1 mark: increase in interest rate (r1) from intersection of new SM and MDo (no mark for decrease in interest rate even if it is consistent with an increase in money supply) 1 mark: Fall in I (I1) (or rise if they increased money supply but nothing for change Dm) 1 mark: shift down of AE to AE1 (or shift up if they increased money supply but nothing for change Dm) 1 mark: Fall of Y (Y1) (or hift up if they increased money supply) - 2/6 - ECON1010A : Midterm Test #3, June 7, 2011 2. Name: ______________________ Monetary Demand and Supply:Equations (10 marks) Suppose that the following equations describe an economy (r is in decimal form). Money Demand: MD = 0.125Y – 900r Aggregate Expenditure: AE = 920 + I + 0.6Y Marginal Efficiency of Investment: I = 136 – 1200r a) What is the equilibrium interest rate is if GDP (Y) = 2400 and Money Supply (MS) = 228? (2 marks) 1 mark: setup: something like 228 = 0.125*2400 – 900 r 1 mark: correct answer, r = 0.08 (8%) b) What is equilibrium Investment given your calculation of the interest rate? (1 mark) 1 mark: I =40 from 136 – 1200*0.08 c) Is this economy in equilibrium? Explain (2 marks; all for the explanation) 1 mark: Y = 2400 from Y = 920 + 40 + 0.6Y 1 mark: something like the initial Y (or Y determining demand for money and hence interest rate) is the Y determined by the interest rate d) Suppose that Government Spending increases by 14.4 but that Money Supply is unchanged and I is the same as in b) What is ‘equilibrium’ Y? (1 mark) 1 mark: Y = 2436 from Y = (920 + 40 + 14.4)/(1 - 0.6) (or consistent with their b) e) What is the equilibrium interest rate if Government Spending rises by 14.4 ceteris paribus? 1 mark: 0.085 (8.5%) from r = (0.125*2436 – 228)/900 f) What is ‘equilibrium’ Investment if Government Spending rises by 14.4 ceteris paribus? 1 mark: I = 34 from 136 – 1200*0.085 g) What is crowding out if Government Spending increased by 14.4 ceteris paribus? (1 mark) 1 mark: = 6 from 40 - 34 h) What government policy (fiscal or monetary) would result in a decrease in equilibrium GDP and an increase in the equilibrium interest rate? Briefly explain (no diagram) the steps that bring about this combination. (3 marks) 1 mark: monetary 1 mark: decrease in money supply increases interest rate 1 mark: increase in interest rate decreases Investment and GDP - 3/6 - ECON1010A : Midterm Test #3, June 7, 2011 3. Name: ______________________ Aggregate Demand: Diagrams (12 marks) Suppose that the Canadian economy is presently at full employment income Y*. Demonstrate the short-run and long-run equilibrium effects of a decrease in Exports in Aggregate Expenditure/Income and Aggregate Demand/Supply diagrams in the space below. In particular: a) Draw an Aggregate Expenditure/Income diagram in an upper diagram to show equilibrium Yo. Label your axes clearly (1 mark). b) Draw Aggregate Demand/Supply diagrams in a lower diagram to show Aggregate Demand (AD), Long-run Aggregate Supply (LRAS) and Short-run Aggregate Supply (SRAS) at full employment. Indicate equilibrium Yo and Po at use the subscript ‘o’ to indicate all curves and equilibria. (5 marks) c) Now show the short-run impact of a decrease in Exports in both your diagrams. Label all new curves and equilibria with the subscript ‘s’. (4 marks) d) Finally, show the new long-run equilibrium Y1 and P1 with any changes in curves. (2 marks) AEo (Po) and AE 1(P1) real AE AE1 (Po) Yo P real Y LRAS SRASo SRAS1 Po Ps P1 AD1 Ys Y* Yo Y1 ADo real Y 1 mark: Yo at intersection of positively sloped AE with 450 line (or something like it 1 mark: vertical LRAS in lower diagram at Yo from upper diagram 1 mark: positively sloped SRAS 1 mark: SRAS has increasing slope particularly after LRAS 1 mark: downward sloping Aggregate Demand 1 mark: downward sloping Aggregate Demand intersecting SRAS and LRAS at Yo (and Po) 1 mark: Shift down of AE in upper diagram 1 mark: Aggregate Demand shifts to the left 1 mark: Aggegate Demand shifts left through Po and the Y (not designated) formed by intersection of AE1 and 45 degree line. 1 mark: Ps < Po and Ys < Y* (Yo) from intersection of AD1 and SRASo 1 mark: equilibrium Y1 at LRAS 1 mark: SRAS shifts down to intersect AD1 at LRAS (giving P1) - 4/6 - ECON1010A : Midterm Test #3, June 7, 2011 4. Name: ______________________ Aggregate Demand/Supply Equations. (10 marks) a) Suppose an economy has the following equations (Net Taxes are zero) Consumption = 1,260 + 0.65Y – 5P Investment = 300 + 0.2Y - 2P Government Spending = 900 Exports = 800 - P Imports = 100 + 0.1Y + 2P What is the Aggregate Demand function? (2 marks) 1 mark: AE = 3,160 + 0.75Y - 10P 1 mark: AD: Y = 12,640 – 40P Ignore part a). The following are an economy’s Aggregate Expenditure (AE), Short-run Aggregate Supply (SRAS), and Long-run Aggregatge Supply (LRAS) equations. AE = 2,400 + 0.8Y – 6P SRAS = 5,000 + 20P LRAS = 8,150 . b) What is short-run equilibrium price level and GDP? (3 marks) 1 mark: AD = 12,000 – 30P 1 mark: equil P = from 12,000 – 30P = 5,000 + 20P 1 mark: equil Y = 7,800 from 12,000 – 30*140 or 5,000 + 20*140 c) Suppose that Government Spending increases by 40? What is the new Short-run equilibrium Price level and GDP? (3 marks) 1 mark: AD = 12,200 – 30P from some derivation 1 mark: equil P = 144 from 12,200 – 30P = 5,000 + 20P 1 mark: equil Y = 7,880 from 12,200 – 30*144 = 5,000 + 20*144 d) What is the long-run equilibrium Price level and GDP given the increase of 40 in Government Spending? (2 marks) 1 mark: GDP = 8,150 or set up of AD = LRAS 1 mark: P = 135 from 12,200 – 30P = 8,150 IIa: Explanations (5 marks) Give a brief explanation of each of the following. a) How is Marginal Efficiency of Investment calculated? (1 mark) - 5/6 - ECON1010A : Midterm Test #3, June 7, 2011 Name: ______________________ b) What is the classical/neo-classical explanation of the Demand for Money? Briefly explain. (1 mark) c) Why is the quantity demanded of money inversely related to the interest rate? (1 mark) d) What is ‘crowding out’? (1 mark) e) What effect does an increase in a country’s price level have on its imports? Briefly explain. (1 mark) Part IIb: Multiple Choice (3 marks): Circle the best answer Each question is worth 1 mark. No marks deducted for wrong answers. 1. What is the present value (to the nearest whole number) of a return of $1200 payable at the end of 2 years if the interest rate is 6%? a) $1050 b) $1068 c) $1071 d) $1088 e) $1344 f) $1348 g) None of the above 2. What is the effect of a decline in Government Spending ceteris paribus on equilibrium GDP, interest rate (r), and Investment (I)? ( = decrease and = increase) a) in GDP, in r, and in Investment b) in GDP, in r, and in Investment c) in GDP, in r, and in Investment d) in GDP, in r, and in Investment e) in GDP, in r, and in Investment f) in GDP, in r, and in Investment g) in GDP, in r, and in Investment h) in GDP, in r, and in Investment i) None of the above 3. What is the effect of a decrease in the Reserve Ratio on equilibrium reserves, money supply (Ms) and the interest rate (r)? a) in Reserves, in Ms, in r b) in Reserves, in Ms, in r c) in Reserves, in Ms, in r d) in Reserves, in Ms, in r e) in Reserves, in Ms, in r f) in Reserves, in Ms, in r g) in Reserves, in Ms, in r h) in Reserves, in Ms, in r i) None of the above - 6/6 -