HELP WANTED: A CALL FOR COLLABORATIVE ACTION FOR THE NEW MILLENNIUM Executive Briefing of a Study on IT Workforce Shortages January 12, 1998 Information Technology Assn. of America VIRGINIA POLYTECHNIC INSTITUTE AND STATE UNIVERSITY VIRGINIA TECH, 1998 HELP WANTED: A CALL FOR COLLABORATIVE ACTION FOR THE NEW MILLENNIUM Executive Briefing Surviving at the “Cutting Edge of Change” The manufacture of knowledge now has more economic value than the manufacture of goods! The digital information technology (IT) revolution is impacting every segment of our economy including banking, insurance, automotive, manufacturing, finance, retail, health care, communications, education, and government to say nothing of IT companies themselves. Nationally, the high tech industry yielded 27% of the growth in the GNP over the past three years--that number is predicted to increase over the next three years. The IT revolution affects our national economy, our country’s competition in a global marketplace, trade, and our everyday lives. A competent and skilled IT workforce is absolutely critical to a vibrant U.S. economy and to our personal futures. This Briefing details findings of a severe shortage of skilled IT workers in both IT and non-IT companies across the United States. Thousands of companies are working at the cutting edge of change to maintain and expand innovation, productivity, and cost effectiveness. Briefing Overview Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University (popularly known as Virginia Tech) and the Information Technology Association of America (ITAA) collaborated on this research project to advance understanding on information technology industry needs. The key findings are a call for decisive collaborative action among corporations, education, government, and professional associations. This Briefing contains key findings regarding the three core IT occupational clusters (programmers, systems analysts, and computer engineers/scientists), proposed action items, methodology, and tables. It does not present all findings from the study but instead provides an overview of the most critical outcomes. A final report will be available for release in mid-February, 1998. Key Findings Page 2 Key findings are based on responses to a telephone survey by 532 representatives from IT and non-IT companies with more than 100 employees. The estimated numbers of vacancies for programmers, system analysts, and computer scientists/engineers far exceeded previous estimates. Companies are experiencing serious difficulty in hiring and retaining employees in these three core areas. The fact that most companies require a four-year degree in the three core areas suggests the need for creative problem solving to provide sufficient employees. Clearly, to meet this workforce shortage, well defined career paths to the diversity of IT positions will be critical. Results that follow concerning IT vacancies represent estimates of the numbers of claimed vacancies across about 104,000 U.S. companies with 100 or more employees. These numbers may differ from the numbers of vacancies that would be filled promptly if qualified applicants were immediately available. 1. Responses suggest that 346,000 IT positions are currently vacant in the three core IT occupational clusters – 129,000 in 5,874 IT companies and 217,000 in 97,733 non-IT corporations with more than 100 employees. 2. Vacancy numbers in the three core occupational clusters represent 10% of the total number of reported current core IT employees (3,354,000) or about 3 vacancies for each company. 3. The average number of IT vacancies per company did not vary significantly across regions of the country (northeast, south, midwest, and west). This was true even when the companies were broken down according to size and whether or not they were IT companies. For example, the average number of reported IT vacancies per medium-sized non-IT companies did not vary significantly across geographic regions. This does not mean that regional differences may not exist, only that the data from the survey do not reveal any differences. 4. The two most challenging training issues were found to be the fast pace of changing technology and finding qualified trainers. Over 50% of respondents agreed “strongly” or “somewhat” that these issues caused problems. 5. The two major sources of training for IT workers are the in-house training department and hardware/software vendors. Over 70% of the respondents reported using these two sources “often” or “sometimes.” 6. Companies reported two major solutions for IT employee needs--hiring new employees to respond to growth and retraining existing staff. Respectively, 91% and 88% of respondents reported these as the two major solutions. Page 3 7. A bachelor’s degree is required for “all” or “most” of the positions in the three core occupational clusters by a very large proportion of IT and non-IT companies, regardless of size or geographic region. 8. High percentages of respondents found it “very difficult” or “somewhat difficult” to hire personnel in the three core IT occupational clusters. Smaller proportions, but nevertheless majorities, found people in these three job categories “very difficult” or “somewhat difficult” to retain. Page 4 Going Forward from Here This survey suggests a severe shortage of information technology workers in IT and non-IT companies. Such outcomes mandate action. We believe the actions below should be considered. A severe shortage of competent and skilled information technology workers exists. Debate among many from different perspectives will not change this reality. We must accept and take ownership of the challenges presented by these survey findings. Only through this acceptance will meaningful planning and policy change result. Consideration must be given as well to the implications for a nation unable to mobilize sufficient employees in the near future to take advantage of introducing innovations from fast-paced technological advances. Partnerships among corporations, education, government, and professional associations at national and regional levels must provide an infrastructure for fostering positive leadership and meaningful change. These partnerships must address how each segment can support upgrading educational and skills requirements. This seems extremely important when the results of this survey suggest that individual corporations and hardware/software vendors are the major providers of training. Partnerships can provide an impetus for major educational and training providers to fill specialized niches consistent with their missions. This approach takes on added importance when over half of the companies report finding qualified trainers a problem and only a small proportion of companies report insufficient training budgets to be a barrier. A bachelor’s degree is presently required for the overwhelming majority of the positions in the three occupational clusters. Though bachelor’s degrees are certainly warranted for many positions, many other positions are rapidly emerging which may not require fouryear degrees. Many employees may function very productively in certain IT positions without a bachelor’s degree. This is especially true in emerging new IT areas such as customer service, e-commerce, and sales. Exploring alternative forms of education, experience, and skill development to meet employment needs takes on added importance. Survey Methodology A random sample of 1,500 U.S. IT and non-IT companies with 100 or more employees and stratified according to size and IT status (IT or non-IT) was obtained from Dun & Bradstreet. Attempts were made to contact 1,493 of these companies by telephone during the period November 12 to December 17, 1997. Page 5 Five hundred thirty-two interviews were successfully completed for an overall response rate of 36%. Larger companies and those in the southern region of the country responded relatively more often than others. Therefore, the findings may be applied more confidently with respect to southern and larger companies. Point estimates for population sizes were obtained by weighting cell means based on company size and IT status. In addition, 90% confidence intervals were computed for the IT, non-IT, and total population estimates. For the total population these ranged from +/9% to +/- 15% with the exception of the estimate of systems analysts employed which was +/- 19%. For the IT and non-IT populations, the confidence intervals were moderately greater, ranging from +/- 13% to +/- 21% for IT companies and from +/- 17% to +/- 33% for non-IT companies. Summary The future of an information technology industry proactively engaged in new product development and implementation is at risk. National manpower planning, creative problem solving, and decisive action are required to respond to the severe shortage of IT workers in both IT and non-IT companies. Only IT and non-IT companies responded for this survey. Consider the additional IT needs of education and government. A concerted effort to proactively respond is required from the corporate world, education, government, and professional associations for the national impact required. Page 6 TABLE 1: ESTIMATED NUMBERS OF IT EMPLOYEES AND VACANCIES IN THE THREE CORE OCCUPATIONAL CLUSTERS IT COMPANIES (N = 5,874) NON-IT COMPANIES (N = 97,733) TOTAL (N = 103,607) Total No. of Core IT Employees Total of Core IT Vacancies & % of Total Core IT Employees 1,019,000 2,335,000 3,354,000 129,000 13% 217,000 9% 346,000 10% Programmers Employed & % of Total Core IT Employees Programmer Vacancies & % of Programmers 520,000 51% 1,357,000 58% 1,877,000 56% 60,000 12% 128,000 9% 188,000 10% Systems Analysts Employed & % of Total Core IT Employees Systems Analyst Vacancies & % of Systems Analysts 197,000 19% 721,000 31% 918,000 27% 36,000 18% 57,000 8% 92,000 10% Computer Engineers/Scientists Employed & % of Total Core IT Employees Computer Engineer/Scientist Vacancies & % of CE/S 302,000 30% 257,000 11% 559,000 17% 34,000 11% 32,000 12% 66,000 12% Page 7 TABLE 2 METHODS FOR MEETING IT PERSONNEL NEEDS* Company Strategy % often or sometimes Hire new employees 91% Retrain existing staff 88% Utilize consultants/ 74% temporary workers Hire new immigrants 40% Outsource to non-US 16% contractors * N = 484-506; some respondents did not answer all questions. TABLE 3 SOURCES OF TRAINING* Training Source Company training dept. Hardware/software training vendors Private IT training companies Four year colleges & universities Two year colleges & technical schools * N = 483-490 % often or sometimes 76% 74% 62% 53% 47% Page 8 TABLE 4 TRAINING CHALLENGES* Training Challenge % strongly or somewhat agree 64% 54% 46% 36% Fast changing technology Finding qualified training providers Employees leave after training Training budget insufficient N = 472-504 TABLE 5 RESPONSES CONCERNING SPECIFIC IT POSITIONS 1 Require a bachelor’s degree for “all” or “most” Require no more than a 2-year program for “all” or “most” “Very difficult” or “somewhat difficult” to hire “Very difficult” or “somewhat” difficult” to retain 1 2 3 Programmer 83% Systems Analyst2 82% Computer Scientist/ Engineer3 90% 12% 14% 6% 85% 78% 84% 58% 59% 65% N = 444-453 N = 438-441 N = 264-266 Page 9