University of North-West Graduate School of Business and Government Leadership MBA/MPA Programme ADM 007 3.2 STRATEGY FORMULATION 3.2.1 SWOT Analysis Situation analysis begins the process of strategy formulation and requires that strategic managers attempt to find a strategic fit between external opportunities and internal strengths while working around external threats and internal weaknesses. SWOT (Strength, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats) analysis should identify a corporation’s distinctive competence the particular skills and resources a firm possesses and the superior way in which they are used. Distinctive competence is considered to be a collection of core capabilities that differentiate a company strategically. One way to summarise the corporation’s strategic factors is to combine the external strategic factors (EFAS) and internal strategic factors (IFAS) into a Strategic Factors Analysis Summary (SFAS) (refer to example in text book p.146 & 147) The strategic factors analysis summary requires the strategic manager to condense these factors into less than 10 factors. (usually stated in priority order) The SFAS contains only the most important factors and provides the basis for strategic formulation. 3.2.2 Reviewing the Mission, Goals and Objectives When making a decision, there is an important universal tendency to concentrate on the alternatives – the action possibilities – rather than on the goals and objectives we want to achieve. Problems in performance can arise from an inappropriate statement of mission, which may be too narrow or too broad. If a mission statement does not provide a common thread for a corporation’ businesses, managers may be unclear about where the company is heading. Goals, objectives and strategies might conflict, with divisions competing against one another rather than against outside competition, which is to the detriment of the corporation as a whole. A company’s goals and objectives may also be stated inappropriately. They amy either focus too much on short term operational goals or b so general that they provide little real guidance. There may be a planning gap between planned and achieved objectives. Copyright © Prof. WPJ van Rensburg Derived from Wheelen and Hunger: Strategic Management and Business Policy 1 University of North-West Graduate School of Business and Government Leadership MBA/MPA Programme ADM 007 3.2.3 Developing Strategies a. Corporate strategy Corporate strategy specifies 1. The firm’s orientation toward growth, and 2. The industries or markets in which Corporate strategy can provide a strategic platform, or the ability of the organisation to handle business in various environment with a common set of capabilities. There are certain questions o extreme importance associated with corporate strategy, namely: 1. Should be expand, cut back, or continue our operations unchanged? 2. Should we concentrate our activities within our current industry or should we diversify into other industries? 3. If we want to grow and expand, should we do so through internal development or through external acquisitions, mergers, or joint venture? Corporate strategy embodies THREE general grand strategies: 1. GROWTH 2. STABILITY 3. RETRENCHMENT From a SWOT analysis, the strategic managers is a single business firm can consolidate the company’s many external strategic factors (opportunities and threats) under the category industry attractiveness. They can also consolidate the company’s many internal strategic factors (strength and weaknesses) under the category of competitive position Growth Strategies By far the most pursued corporate strategies are those designed to achieve growth in sales, assets, profits or some combination Copyright © Prof. WPJ van Rensburg Derived from Wheelen and Hunger: Strategic Management and Business Policy 2 University of North-West Graduate School of Business and Government Leadership MBA/MPA Programme ADM 007 Companies that do business in dynamic environment must grow in order to survive. Continuing growth means increasing sales and a chance to take advantage of the experience curve to reduce the per unit cost of products sold, thereby increasing profits. Growth, however is a very seductive strategy for two main reasons: 1. A growing firm can cover up mistakes and inefficiencies more easily than can a stable one. 2. A growing firm offers more opportunities for advancement, promotion, and interesting jobs. Growth itself is exciting and ego enhancing of CEO’s. A growing organisation tends to be seen as a “winner” or “above the move” by the market place and by the potential investors. The two basic growth strategies are CONCENTRATION IN NOE INDUSTYR and DIVERSIFICATION into OTHER INDUSTIRES. Concentration through vertical integration: Growth through concentration in the firm’s current industry can be achieved via VERTICAL INTERGRATION (that is taking over a function previously performed by a supplier (BACKWARD INTERGRATION) or by a distributor (FORWARD INTERGRATION) This strategy is logical for a corporation or business unit with a strong competitive position in a highly attractive industry. Vertical integration is common in the oil, basic materials, motor vehicle, and forest products industries and its advantages include lowering of costs and improving coordination and control. Vertical integration is ideal fro a strong firm to increase its competitive advantage in an attractive industry. Concentration through horizontal integration Growth through concentration in the firm’s current industry can be achieved via HORIZNTAL INTERGRATION (by expanding the firm’s activities into other GEOGRAPHICAL LOCATIONS and / or by INCREASING the RANGE of PRODUCTS and SERVICES offered to current markets. Copyright © Prof. WPJ van Rensburg Derived from Wheelen and Hunger: Strategic Management and Business Policy 3 University of North-West Graduate School of Business and Government Leadership MBA/MPA Programme ADM 007 A company who wants to expand horizontally can acquire market share, production facilities, distribution outlets, or specialised technology internally through R&D or externally through acquisitions or joint ventures with another firm in the same industry. Concentric Diversification Growth through DIVERSIFICATION into a RELATED INDUSTRY may be an appropriate corporate strategy when a firm has a strong competitive position but with low attractiveness. The emphasis in this strategy is to build on a firm’s key resources and capabilities. The firm attempts to SECURE strategic fit in a new industry where the firm can apply the product knowledge, manufacturing capabilities, and marketing skills it used so effectively in the original industry. The search is for SYNERGY (2+2=5), that will allow two businesses to generate MORE profits together than they could separately. The point of commonalty may be similar technology, customer use, distribution, managerial skills or product similarity. Companies most likely to diversify out their current industry into a related industry are those that are the leaders in their core businesses and have the capabilities needed for success in the new industry. A firm may choose to diversify concentrically, through either internal or external means. Conglomerate Diversification Growth diversification out of an industry into an UNRELATED INDUSTRY may be appropriate corporate strategy when a firm’s competitive position is only average and industry attractiveness is low. (EXAMPLE: S.A. Breweries from the liquor industry bought the majority of shares in O.K. Bazaars, and Edgars, who are in the food, clothing and household industries) When management realises that the current industry is unattractive and that the firm lacks outstanding abilities or skills that it could transfer easily to related products or services in other industries, its most likely strategy is to diversify into an unrelated industry. In conglomerate diversification, timing is important, early entry seems to be a key success when established companies move into a younger industry. The emphasis in conglomerate diversification on financial synergy rather than on the product market synergy common to centric diversification. A cash rich company with few opportunities for growth in its “own” industry, Copyright © Prof. WPJ van Rensburg Derived from Wheelen and Hunger: Strategic Management and Business Policy 4 University of North-West Graduate School of Business and Government Leadership MBA/MPA Programme ADM 007 for example, might move into another industry where opportunities are great but cash is hard to find. Another instance of conglomerate diversification might be the purchase by a company with a seasonal and therefore uneven cash flow of a firm in an unrelated industry with complementing seasonal sales that will level out the cash flow. Conglomerate diversification through acquisition and mergers also let established corporations move into attractive industries without the baggage of their core businesses. Stability strategies The stability category of corporate strategies probably for a reasonable successful company operating in an industry of medium attractiveness. Pause or “proceed with caution” A company with a strong position in an industry of only moderate attractiveness may NOT pursue any significant change in corporate strategy. A pause strategy may be appropriate as a temporary strategy to enable a company to consolidate its resources after prolonged rapid growth in an industry now facing an uncertain future. The situation within the industry may call for a “proceed with caution” strategy because the external environment could soon become highly attractive with many new opportunities or unattractive with many new threats, management is not likely to make sudden moves or take unjustified risks by investing either in or out of the industry. No change or profit strategies : A company may pursue a no change strategy or a profit strategy where it is operating in an industry of medium attractiveness and has only an average competitive position. If the company faces no obvious opportunities or threats and has no significant strengths or weaknesses. Few aggressive new competitors are likely to enter such an industry. A no change strategy’s success depends on a lack of significant change in a corporation s’ situation. Most small town businesses probably follow this strategy. When an industry is reaching maturity (dropped from high attractiveness to medium attractiveness) a company with only an average competitive position may find its sales and profits levelling off and perhaps even Copyright © Prof. WPJ van Rensburg Derived from Wheelen and Hunger: Strategic Management and Business Policy 5 University of North-West Graduate School of Business and Government Leadership MBA/MPA Programme ADM 007 beginning to decrease. Rather than announcing this to shareholders and the investment community at large, top management may be tempted to follow the “profit strategy”. The profit strategy is useful only to help a company get through a temporary difficulty when the industry’s attractiveness is dropping. Wanting to believe that this drop in industry attractiveness is only temporary, management defers or cuts some short term discretionary expenses, such as R&D, maintains, and advertising, to stabilise profits during this period. Retrenchment strategies Retrenchment strategies may be pursued when a company has a weak competitive position regardless of the industry’s attractiveness. The weak competitive position typically results in poor performance – sales are down and profits may become losses. Depending on the attractiveness of the industry, managers could select from among the turnaround, captive company or selling out, and bankruptcy or liquidation strategies. Turnaround The turnaround strategy is most appropriate when a corporation is in a highly attractive industry and its problems are pervasive but not yet critical. This strategy emphasises the improvement of operational efficiency. The are tow phases of turnaround strategy, namely CONTACTION and CONSOLIDATION. Contraction is the initial effort to “stop the bleeding” quickly with across the board cutbacks in size and costs. Consolidation is the implementation of a program to stabilise the now learner corporation. To streamline the company, management develops plans to reduce unnecessary overhead and to justify the costs of functional activities. If management doesn’t conduct the consolidation phase in a positive manner, many of the company’s best people will leave. Captive company or selling out A company with a weak competitive position in an industry of only medium (or probably declining) attractiveness may not be able to engage in a full blown turnaround strategy. A company in such a position faces poor sales and increasing losses unless it takes some kind of action. Copyright © Prof. WPJ van Rensburg Derived from Wheelen and Hunger: Strategic Management and Business Policy 6 University of North-West Graduate School of Business and Government Leadership MBA/MPA Programme ADM 007 Management is now desperately searching for an “angel” by offering to be a captive company to one of its larger customers in order to guarantee the company’s continued existence with a long term contract. In this way the company may be able to reduce the scope of some of its functional activities, such as marketing, thus reducing costs significantly. The weaker company gains certainly of sales and production in return for becoming heavily dependent on one firm for at least 75% of its sales. If a corporation with a weak competitive position in its industry is unable either the pull itself up by its “bootstraps” or to find a customer to which it can become a captive company, it may have no choice but to sell out and leave the industry completely. The selling out strategy makes sense if a company doesn’t see any way to build some strengths or shore up its weaknesses and management believes that the industry isn’t soon likely to become more attractive. It can still obtain a good price by selling out to firms with moderately attractive positions that are expanding through horizontal integration. (refer to 6.3.1.2 on page 36) Bankruptcy or Liquidation When a company finds itself in the worst possible situation with a weak competitive in an industry of low attractiveness, management’s alternatives are limited and all are distasteful. To the extent that top management identifies with the corporation, bankruptcy or liquidation may be perceived as admission of failure. Pride and reputation, as well as jobs and financial assets, are liquidated. Bankruptcy involves giving up management of the firm to the courts in return for some settlement of the corporation’s obligations. In contrast to bankruptcy, which seeks to perpetuate the corporation, Liquidation terminates the firm. When the industry is unattractive and the company is too weak to be sold as a going concern, management may choose to convert as many saleable assets as possible to cash, which the company then distributes its shareholders after paying all obligations. Portfolio analysis One of the most popular aids to developing corporate strategy in a multibusiness corporation is portfolio analysis. This approach places corporate headquarters in the role of an internal banker. Top management views its business units as a series of investments from which it expects to earn a profitable return. Management conducts portfolio analysis with a series of two dimensional matrixes that summarise the internal and external strategic factors. Copyright © Prof. WPJ van Rensburg Derived from Wheelen and Hunger: Strategic Management and Business Policy 7 University of North-West Graduate School of Business and Government Leadership MBA/MPA Programme ADM 007 Advantages of portfolio analysis: 1. It encourages top management to evaluate each business individually and to set objectives and allocate resources for it. 2. It stimulates the use of external data to supplement management’s judgement. 3. It raises the issue of cash flow availability for use in expansion and growth. 4. Its graphic representation makes interpretation and communication easy. Limitations of portfolio analysis 1. Defining product / market segments is not easy. 2. Using standard strategies may miss opportunities or be impractical. 3. Providing an illusion of scientific rigor masks the reality that positions are based on subjective judgements. 4. Utilising value added terms such as cash cow and dog may lead to self-fulfilling prophecies. 5. Determining what makes an industry attractive or what stage a product is in its life cycle is not always possible. 6. Following naively the presentations of a portfolio method may actually reduce corporate profits it they are used inappropriately. b. Business and Functional Strategies (See section 1.2: Hierarchy of Strategy) c. Selection of the best Strategy After management has identified and evaluated strategic alternatives, it must select ONE for implementation. Because many alternative will likely has emerged as feasible, HOW do managers determine which one is the best strategy? Perhaps the most important criterion is the ability of the proposed strategy to deal with the specific strategic factors developed earlier in the SWOT anaylis. Another important consideration in the selection of a strategy is the ability of each alternative to satisfy agreed on goals and objectives with the least use of resources and with the fewest number of negative side effects. Copyright © Prof. WPJ van Rensburg Derived from Wheelen and Hunger: Strategic Management and Business Policy 8 University of North-West Graduate School of Business and Government Leadership MBA/MPA Programme ADM 007 Scenario construction Using pro forma (estimated future) balance sheets income statements, management can construct detailed scenarios on a PC using spreadsheets to forecast the likely effect of each alternative strategy and its various programs on divisional and corporate return on investment. (ROI) To construct a scenario, first use the industry scenarios and develop a set of assumptions about the task environment. Second, develop common size financial statements for the company’s previous years to serve as a basis for the pro forma financial statements. For each strategic alternative, develop a set of optimistic, pessimistic, and most likely assumptions. Example: Forecast three sets of sales and cost of goods sold figures for at least five years into the future. Look at historical data and make adjustments based on the environmental assumptions made. Third, construct detailed pro forma financial statements for each strategic alternative. Do this exercise with optimistic, pessimistic and most likely assumptions. Pressure from the external environment The attractiveness of a strategic alternative will be affected by its perceived compatibility with the principal stakeholders in a corporation’s task environment. Creditors want to be paid on time, unions exert pressure for comparable wages and employment security, governments and interest groups demand social responsibility and shareholders want dividends. Strategic mangers should ask four questions to assess the importance of stakeholder concerns in a particular decision, namely: 1. Which stakeholders are most crucial for corporate success? 2. How much of what they want are they likely to get under this alternative? 3. What are they likely to do if they don’t get what they want? 4. What is the probability that they will do so? Strategic decision makers should be able to choose strategic alternatives that minimise external pressures an maximise stakeholder support. Copyright © Prof. WPJ van Rensburg Derived from Wheelen and Hunger: Strategic Management and Business Policy 9 University of North-West Graduate School of Business and Government Leadership MBA/MPA Programme ADM 007 Pressures from the corporate culture: If a strategy is compatible with the corporate culture, it probably won’t succeed. Foot dragging and even sabotage may well result, as employees fight to resist a radical change in corporate philosophy. In considering a strategic alternative, the decision makers must assess its comp ability with the corporate culture. If there is a little fit, management must decide whether it should.: 1. 2. 3. 4. Take a chance on ignoring the culture Mange around the culture and change the implementation plan. Try to change the culture to fit the strategy, or Change the strategy to fit the culture. Needs and desires of key managers: Even the most attractive alternative might not be selected if it runs contrary to the needs and desires of important top managers. People’s egos may be tied to a particular proposal to the extend that they strongly lobby against all other alternatives. Key executives in operating divisions, for example, might be able to influence other people in top management to favour a particular alternative and ignore objections to it. d. Policy Development The selection of the best strategic alternative isn’t the end strategy formulation. Management must now establish polices to define the ground rules for implementation. Flowing form the selected strategy, they provide guidelines for decision making and actions throughout the organisation. Policies are crucial in multinational corporations where subsidiaries in different geographical areas may feel free to develop product strategies independently of the rest of the company. Some policies will be expressions of a corporation’s critical success factors. Critical success factors are the elements that determine a company’s strategic success or failure, emphasising its distinctive competence to ensure competitive advantage. Copyright © Prof. WPJ van Rensburg Derived from Wheelen and Hunger: Strategic Management and Business Policy 10