INSTITUTE OF BANKERS IN MALAWI DIPLOMA IN BANKING EXAMINATION SUJECT: INTERNATIONAL TRADE FINANCE (IOBM-D202) - NOV 2012 SECTION A Answer ALL Questions Question 1. (a) Explain the ”Mercantilist Theory of Trade and mention the system that replaced this theory? (5 Marks) The mercantilist theory of trade was based on nationalism and the desire to develop national power and was based on the view that the most essential thing for a country was to become rich and powerful by exporting more goods in order to achieve balance of payments. This was later replaced industrial revolution which removed the restrictive bonds of a protectionist mercantile socity and quickened the pace of international trade. (b) State Adam Smith’s Theory of trade and illustrate how countries stand to benefit from specialization ( 5 marks) Adam Smith argued that with free and voluntary trade countries could specialize in the production of those goods and services in which they had an absolute advantage over other nations Tobacco Copper Zambia 2 12 Malawi 4 2 According to the table Zambia has an absolute advantage over Malawi in the production of copper while Malawi has an absolute advantage in the production of tobacco. If Zambia specialized in the production of copper and Malawi specialized in the production of tobacco both countries would benefit through trade. 1 (c) Assume you are buying a vehicle from UAE the price quoted is US$ 5,000.00 The US$ / Malawi Kwacha exchange rate on the day you were quoted is 1 US$ = MK 160.00 I. II. III. (d) Calculate the cost of the car to you in Malawi Kwacha (2 Marks) Suppose at the time of paying for the car, the US$ / MWK exchange rate is now US$1 = MWK 180.00 calculate the additional cost of the car in Malawi Kwacha ( 2marks ) Explain the effect of a strong dollar to you as an importer, as well as an exporter . Quantify your answer by showing your calculations. ( 2marks) Explain two reasons why the mere acceptance of the bill of exchange by the importer is not a guarantee that payment will be made? (2 Marks) Banks involved do not provide any guarantee of payment Question 2. Explain briefly, by giving examples, how the following will affect the exchange rate of a country’s currency: (a) Rate of inflation. (3 marks) High inflation makes a country less competitive internationally and, therefore, tends to cause deterioration in the current account. Currency movements under a generalized system of floating exchange rates should, according to the purchasing power parity (PPP) theory, respond primarily to inflation differentials. High inflation could lead to a weakening of a currency to the point where the rate is again the equilibrium rate, reflecting purchasing power parity. (b) Leads and lags. (3 marks) Market observers have noted that market participants not only act on the basis of known facts and figures, they also go according to expectations Leads: Importers expecting a fall in the value of the Malawi Kwacha, will rush to pay in currency (or sell currency) ahead of time normally chosen for their payments (selling). This is very typical in Malawi as the foreign exchange availability if often seasonal. Lags: exporters (also expecting a falling Malawi Kwacha) will delay (lag) the sale of their export proceeds or payment of their obligations. 2 A combination of leads and lags will very soon produce a deteriorating balance of payments and worsening trade balance. Imports will increase dramatically and exports will reduce, thus leads and lags that were set in motion possibly by only minor deficiencies could actually create a major currency crisis (c) Economic position. (3 marks) Ordinarily, faster economic growth of one country than other countries tends to cause deterioration in the trade balance in cases where imports rise faster than exports. On the other hand, this may attract foreign capital in the form of securities investments or direct investments. Good economic growth prospects could induce foreign investors to invest in such a country rather than other non-performing economies. Generally, it is expected that currency of a country with a rising economy will strengthen as investors come in with foreign currency while the currency of a country in economic problems will weaken as investors are moving out of the country with foreign currency. (d) Hot money. (3 marks) This is a very substantial quantity of international money which is available for investment (or speculation). Hot money “flows” into a country when interest rates are higher than in other countries, or when there is speculation that the currency’s exchange rate will appreciate. Just as hot money flows into a country, it just as quickly flow out, putting speculative pressure on the country’s currency to weaken. When hot money is used for investment, the investors will probably cover forward by selling the currency when the investment matures. In this situation, hot money would, therefore, affect both spot rates (purchase of investment) and forward rates (at sale of proceeds of investments). (e) Hedging. (3 marks) Traders that would like to protect themselves against heavy foreign exchange losses through hedging will actively activate forward, options and other hedging products. This leads to speculation on exchange rate movement and affects the current exchange rates. 3 Question 3. (a) The following information relates to transactions in a treasury section of bank on 27 February 2012: Bought £250,000 @ 280 Sold US$120,000 @ 175 Sold £100,000 @ 290 Bought US$25,000 @ 170 Summarise the information above by preparing a deal blotter showing the closing positions for each foreign currency. (8 marks) Answer Deal 1 US$ 2 3 -120,000 4 +25,000 £ +250,000 -100,000 Rate 280 175 290 170 MK +70,000,000 -21,000,000 -29,000,000 4,250,000 Net +MK24,250,000 (b) Explain the risk exposure to the bank created by the transactions. (2 marks) Answer This shows that the branch has closed with a short position. This means that more foreign currency has been bought than sold. The risk about this position is the strengthening of the local currency since it will result in incurring foreign exchange losses. (c ) Describe two payment mechanisms in international trade. (2 Marks) Clean payments- open account or payment in advance Documentary collections 4 (d) Define a Bankers Acceptance (3 Marks) A Bankers Acceptance is a short term credit instrument created by a non financial firm and guaranteed by a bank to make payment. It is a negotiable time draft for financing imports, exports and other transactions. Question 4 (a) State two advantages and disadvantages for the use of advance payments (4 Marks) Exporter receives cash before hand i.e before parting with goods Exporter avoids currency changes Risk of exporter absconding the release of goods Cash-flow problem to the importer (c) Define a documentary collection. Mention two different ways in which documentary collections are carried out (6 Marks) A method of payment used in international trade where by the exporter entrusts the handling of commercial and financial documents to the importer. Banks involved do not provide guarantee for payment ( d) State the difference between Confirmed Irrevocable letter of credit and unconfirmed irrevocable letter of credit ( 5 marks ) A confirmed Irrevocable letter of credit is a definite undertaking by a bank where the importers bank irrevocably commits itself to the exporter and confirming bank adds its commitment and assumes the responsibility to pay the exporter if the presentation of the documents is in good order. For Unconfirmed Letter of credit the exporters bank is under no obligation to pay . Payment is the sole responsibility of the importers bank. 5 SECTION B ( 40 marks ) Answer ANY TWO questions from this section. Question 5. ( Total 20 marks) From International Trade Finance HandBook Chapter 5, Section 5.4 (Sub sections 5.4.1 to 5.4.3) Mechanics- How does a documentary collection work. The Principal • Also called the drawer, seller or exporter The Remitting Bank 6 • The principal’s bank that remits the documents to the collecting bank on behalf of the principal The Collecting Bank • The correspondent of the remitting bank; collecting and presenting bank may be the same bank The Presenting Bank • The bank presenting the collection to the drawee and obtaining payment from the drawee The Drawee • Also known as the buyer or importer • The party to whom the presenting bank presents the collection ( 5 marks for identifying parties and extra 5 marks for defining their roles in the documentary collection process.) Modus Operandi (follow the steps and sequence from the diagram above) (1) The buyer (“drawee”) and seller (“principal/drawer”) conclude the sales contract (2) The principal ships the goods to the drawee (3) The principal hands the documents to the remitting bank with instructions to release the documents: (3.1) against payment of the amount owed; or (3.2) against acceptance of a bill of exchange (4) The remitting bank forwards the documents to the collecting bank in the drawee’s country (4.1) The collecting bank could be the drawee’s bank or a bank nominated the remitting bank by (4.2) If the collecting bank is not the drawee’s bank, then the collecting bank forwards the documents to the drawee’s bank (the presenting bank) to present the documents to the drawee 7 (4.3) The presenting bank must communicate and effect payment through the collecting bank; they cannot communicate direct with the remitting bank (5) The collecting/presenting bank releases the documents to the drawee as per instructions received from the remitting bank (6) The buyer clears the goods (7) The collecting/presenting bank obtains payment from the drawee and effects payment to the remitting bank for credit to the principal’s account (7 marks, the yellow highlighted area, if not mentioned, will not attract penalties for students) (3 marks for drawing the diagram and correct labeling) (Where the student correctly draws the diagram and correctly labels it with parties to the collection and the above 7 sequences without explaining separately, they get the full 20 marks) Question 6 (a) Letter of credit: Makwasa should advise the customer to apply for letter of credit in favour of Makwasa as a means of settlement of the sale contract. The issuing bank will be based in Sweden and the confirming bank in Malawi. Makwasa will receive payment upon presentation of documents specified in the letter of credit such as shipping documents. Invoices and insurance certificates to the confirming bank in Malawi. (7 marks) (b) The three ways are: (i) (ii) (iii) (c) Invoice the goods in a strong currency such as the American Dollar or Euro since a great depreciation of the currency is unusual hence Makwasa can be assured of very little losses if any arising due to exchange rate movement. Purchase a forward contract from a financial institution so that the foreign amount that will be received from Mc Gregor will be exchanged for local currency at a predetermined rate provided in the contract. Purchase of an option with a financial institution to sell foreign currency received from Mc Gregor at a predetermined rate. Makwasa will exercise the option to sell the foreign currency if it becomes commercially viable to do so depending on exchange rate movement. (6 marks) MK215m x 0.30 + 0.4% (K36m+K29m+K41m+K38m+K52m) 8 10,000 = K64,500 + 0.4% x K196m = K64,500 + K784,000 Answer = MK848,500.00 (7 marks) Question 7. (a) Discuss three factors that would determine a countries exchange rate? (6 Marks) Country’ monetary policy Inflation rate Balance of Payments (b) Explain how balance of payments would affect a country’s exchange rate? (4 Marks) The balance of payment position of a country is a very important determinant of the external value of its currency. Supply of foreign currency originates primarily from the exports of goods and services and capital in flows, whereas demand for foreign exchange originates from the payment for imports and the outflow of funds from the country. (c) Mention the documents required by authorized dealer banks in order to approve application to pay for imports? (10 Marks) Authorised dealer approved proforma invoice Suppliers final invoice or certificate of origin The Malawi Customs and Exercise import bill of entry Pre shipment inspection clean report of findings 9 A bill of lading, airway bill or road / rail consignment note Exchange control form E Copy of import licence Customs transit entry forms Ex ware house home consumption entry form The Malawi Customs and Excise Department receipt for all taxes Question 8 (a) What is export credit insurance and on what basis is the insurance premium calculated? ( 10 Marks) Export credit insurance is a specialized insurance cover arranged in respect of risks that exporters experience in the course of undertaking export trade in foreign countries. The following risks are covered under export credit insurance cover; Conflict risk Insolvency risk Transfer risk Importation risk Repudiation risk The basis for the calculation of premium is the spread of risk arising from the nature of the facility. (b) Describe the procedures and steps in the establishment of a documentary letter of credit (5 marks) A letter of credit is a banking mechanism which allows importers to offer secure terms to exporters . All letters of credit contain the following information: 1. A payment undertaking given by a bank on behalf of a buyer. 2. To pay a seller a given amount 3. On presentation of documents specified in the letter of credit 10 4. Within a specified time limit a. At a specified place (C ) Describe two payment methods and list the advantages off such payment methods to the exporter (5 Marks) Clean Payments- open account or payment in advance. For payment in advance exporter is paid before delivery of goods and therefore assumes no risk Documentary collections- exporter entrusts the handling of documents to banks gives instructions concerning the release of the documents to the importer. Documentary collections may be carried as sight collections or cash against documents; or documents against acceptance. In documentary collection it is less costly to the exporter and documents are not released to the importer until payment has been effected. 11