The Influence of Property Rights on Cutting Decisions in the Forestry Sector Livia Bizikova (progbizi@savba.sk) and Birgit Friedl (birgit.friedl@uni-klu.ac.at) December 10, 2003 Introduction Generally, the value of a forest cannot be reduced just to its timber value, but additional values such as providing wildlife habitat, watershed protection, or natural areas for recreation could be recognized. However, the assessment of forest management activities is nearly exclusively focusing on maximization of forest value, namely the timber value. One explanation for this is that the inclusion of additional forest values is compromised by the hardship to describe them in monetary values. Moreover, the inclusion of non-timber values can create non-convexities, which leads to problems with maximization in the model analyses1. For instance, in the case of transition countries of Central and Eastern Europe the property over the forest is gradually shifted from public to private ownership. Therefore, it is of key interest whether this change in property rights does imply changes in forest management. One trend recognized is that the degree of both legal and illegal cutting is increasing and the coordination between the different stakeholders becomes more complicated. It is known from resource economics that public forest ownership can ensure also recreational and other existence and option values to a higher extent than private ownership. Unfortunately, the allocation of different function of forests between competing uses becomes more and more difficult as society’s demand for all uses have increased. On the other hand, this wider understanding of forest values requires management at a lager scale which cannot be restricted by the boundaries of publicly owned land. Taking these into account, one solution might be the imposition of taxes or other measures, which try to regulate private forest owners. However, these instruments are usually hardly accepted and are often not designed to reach full internalization of all cost of lost forest values. In our model, we try to simulate the impact of different ownership on the timber production and we also take account of the recreational value of the forest. More specifically, we analyze the changes in the utility of households related to the ownership and imposed taxes on the forestry sector. In the case of public ownership, we assume that the authority is aware of the households’ interest to avoid the cutting of the forest by means of the concept of marginal willingness to pay (MWTP). In case of private forest, we use the value of the MWTP to determine the tax rate necessary to internalize the loss in forest values. 1 Kant, S. 2003. Extending the boundaries of forest economics. Forest Policy and Economics 5, 39-56. 1 This short paper is organized as follows. First, the inclusion of an externality due to a diminished forest stock into the household’s utility maximization problem is discussed. Afterwards, different property rights regimes for the forest sector are discussed as well as their implications for the profit maximization problem of the forest owner. Then, the equations of the model which are identical to the 2 good – 2 factor closed economy model are briefly reviewed. Building on that the model calibration is lined out. Thereafter, some policy and parameter simulations are undertaken. In a final section, shortcomings and possible extensions are discussed. The Model As in the reference model called ‘open’, we have a 2 factor – 2 goods (=sectors) – 1 household model with both Cobb-Douglas utility and production function with unitary elasticity of substitution and constant returns to scale respectively. Compared to the standard model, two major changes can be observed. First, utility is dependent on the remaining forest stock after cutting. Second, property rights are defined by a scale parameter which can take any value between zero and one. Let us discuss briefly each extension. Utility is not only dependent on the consumption of the forest product (index 1) and all other goods (index 2) but also on the value of the remaining forest stand, denoted by µF. Let FF be the forest stand if no tree is cut. Then, the remaining forest stand is defined by F ( FF X 1 ) / FF , where X1 stands for the output in sector 1 (forestry). Thus, when assuming a Cobb-Douglas utility function with constant returns to scale, utility is defined by: U (C1 , C 2 , F ) C1 C 2 b 1b e F , 0. (1) As seen from this utility function, overall utility is inversely related to the size of the remaining forest. In other words, if the forest is not cut (and therefore the output of the forest sector is zero), the household’s utility is equal to U (C1 , C 2 , F ) C1 C 2 b 1b 1 . On the other hand, if a positive value is cut, the factor e F will be smaller than one. To assign a value to the loss in terms of utility by a reduction in the remaining forest, it is convenient to derive the households’ marginal willingness to pay for cutting one unit less of the forest. With respect to that, one has to rephrase the dual to the utility maximization problem which is an expenditure minimizing problem subject to a utility constraint. Solving this problem gives the following expenditure function: E P1 , P2 ,U B P1 P2 b 1b U e F , where B b b (1 b) b 1 . (2) Accordingly, the households’ marginal willingness to pay to avoid an incremental increase in F is E P1 , P2 ,U b 1b B P1 P2 U e F . F (3) As pointed out before, although the household is negatively affected by cutting the resource stock, it does not recognize that it could reduce the negative impact by the diminished forest by consuming less of the forest product. 2 The second major extension refers to the inclusion of property rights. We shall distinguish two opposite property right regimes. Either the forest is owned privately or by the state. According to that, the damage of the forest output on the representative household is either not considered at all (in the case of private forest ownership), taken fully into account by means of the marginal willingness to pay (MWTP) stated by the consumer in order to avoid this impact (case of public ownership), or the forest industry is taxed at a tax rate equal to this MWTP (case of private ownership with taxation). Both property rights and taxes are modeled by means of a dummy variable (actually an endogenous one), denoted by m in the first case and t in the second: t1, 2 m1, 2 0, in case of private property t1, 2 m2 0, m1 1, in case of public property t1 1, m1, 2 t 2 0, in case of private property w ith tax property rights (4) Accordingly, the supply of firm i is determined by Pi t TAX yield i W , R, X i m MWTP , X i where MWTP E P1 , P2 ,U F 0 and TAX yield MWTP 0 . F X 1 (5) Thus, if the forest sector is in private ownership, we have as in the standard model that price equals marginal cost. Under public ownership, however, the firm has to bear an extra cost which is just equal to the marginal willingness to pay of the household. In the third case, a tax drives a wedge between marginal costs and price such that the private forest industry behaves just as under public ownership. The remaining equations are very similar to the equilibrium conditions in the standard closed economy model2. Disposable income is changed by the transfers on behalf of the government: Y W N R ( K H K G ) (t1 TAX yield X 1 m1 MWTP X 1 ) Due to the Cobb-Douglas utility function, both household demand and factor demand remain unchanged: Ci bi Y ’ Pi (6) ai R N i A 1 ai .W 1 i 1 ai ai R X i , K i A 1 ai .W 1 i ai Xi . (7) Also market clearing in both factor and output markets look the same: C X i i 2 i i , N i i N, K i K H KG . (8,9) i Derivation of the equations as well as the GAMS code can be obtained from the authors upon request. 3 Due to the change in the utility function as well as in the expenditure function, equivalent variation is calculated according to the following: EV B P1 P2 b 1b (U e F U e F ), where B b b (1 b) b 1 . (10) The equivalent variation gives the change in budget necessary to keep utility of the household before and after a change in prices just equally well off, for given initial prices. Thus, U refers to benchmark utility and F to the benchmark remaining forest stock. Thus, a positive value implies a decrease in utility while a negative value implies an increase. Model Calibration For the numerical simulation, a Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) is used as depicted in Table 1. Note that sector 1(forestry) is labor intensive while sector 2 (all other goods) is capital intensive. Moreover, it is worth noting that capital is an aggregate of both natural and manmade capital. For the forestry sector, capital is interpreted as natural capital (the forest resource stock), and for the other goods sector as manmade capital. Corresponding to this SAM, the parameters of the utility function and the production function are given in Table 2. Table 1: Base case SAM Forest owned privately X1 X2 N K H G Total Forestry (X1) 60 60 Other products (X2) 120 120 Labor (N) 45 30 75 Capital (K) 15 90 105 Households (H) 75 180 105 0 Government (G) Total 60 120 75 105 180 0 Starting from that, we will analyze three factor of influence: (i) the ownership structure, (ii) the influence of the scaling factor of the cutting intensity, and (iii) the influence of the available forest stock. Let us discuss each in turn. 4 Table 2: Parameter Values (baseline) Parameter Values Utility elasticity of good 1, b 0.33 Utility elasticity of good 2, 1- b 0.67 Scaling factor in utility function, BB 2.07 Reference forest stock, FF 600 Scaling factor of cutting intensity, µ -0.01 Output elasticity of labor (good 1), A(G1) 0.75 Output elasticity of labor (good 2), A(G2) 0.25 Scaling factor in production function, AA(G) 1.75 Benchmark utility, Ū 180 Benchmark remaining forest stock, F 0.9 MWTP dummy, m 0 Tax dummy, t 0 (i) Ownership structure The ownership structure is grasped by the MWTP dummy. If the forest is in private property, the forest owner is maximizing the profit from cutting the forest. This is the baseline case depicted in column 1 of Table 3. On the other hand, if the forest is in public ownership (which means that the government is the owner), the aim is not only to maximize profits but also to take account of the negative impact of cutting on the utility of the representative household (column 3). Finally, in the case that the forest is partly owned privately and partly publicly, we refer to it as ‘mixed’ ownership. Table 3: Impact of Ownership Structure Simulations for different type of ownership* Private Mixed Public Private Mixed 0 0.5 1 0 0.5 0 0 0 1 0.5 Output sector 1 (Forestry), X1 60 59 58 58 58 Output sector 2 (Other goods), X2 120 121 122 122 122 Disposable income, Y 180 181 182 182 182 Equivalent variation, EV 0.00 0.02 0.06 0.06 0.06 Price of good 1, P1 1.00 1.02 1.04 1.04 1.04 Price of good 2, P2 1.00 1.00 0.99 0.99 0.99 0 0 0 0.062 0.031 0.000 0.000 0.000 3.600 1.802 m1 (if MWTP considered = 1) t1 (if tax imposed = 1) Tax rate Total tax *µ=-0.01, FF=600 5 By comparing these three cases, it can be seen that the price of sector 1 increases the more the forest is in public ownership. Correspondingly, the output of sector 1 is falling. The reverse effects can be recognized in sector 2. Overall, the disposable income is increasing when one moves from private to public ownership. What is worth noting in that case is that the equivalent variation is increasing which implies that utility is actually decreasing. The reason for this is that the increase in price 1 seems to reduce utility by more than the rise in the remaining forest stock does increase utility. Finally, in column 4 and 5, the outputs under private and mixed ownership are taxed according to a rate equal to the marginal willingness to pay to avoid an additional unit of destruction of the forest on behalf of the households. Not surprisingly, in either case the resulting prices and quantities are just the same as in the public ownership case. Tables 4 and 5 give the corresponding SAMs for column 3 (public ownership) and column 4 (private ownership plus tax). Tables 4, 5: SAM for different ownership structures and tax rates Forest owned publicly X1 X2 N K H Forestry (X1) Other products (X2) Total G 58 58 122 122 Labor (N) 44 31 75 Capital (K) 14 91 105 Households (H) 75 Government (G) 90 15 15 15 Total 58 122 Forest owned private + tax X1 X2 75 N 105 180 K H Forestry (X1) Other products (X2) 165 0 Total G 58 58 122 122 Labor (N) 44 31 75 Capital (K) 14 91 105 Households (H) 75 180 105 0 Government (G) Total 58 122 75 105 180 0 6 (ii) Importance of the remaining forest stock to the household The value the representative household attaches to the remaining forest stock F is measured by the negative value of µ. The larger this value in absolute terms, the smaller will be both the F scaling factor e and the resulting utility level. Table 6 gives the result for different cases of µ where its value is increasing from left to right. The larger |µ|, the smaller is the output in forestry and the larger in all other goods. This also translates to a decline in price 1 and an increase in price 2. Because the forest sector is assumed to be labor intensive and its demand for labor is falling, the wage rate is declining relative to the interest rate. The effect of all that is a decline in the remaining forest stock (see bottom row) which implies an increasing MWTP to avoid an additional unit of the utility decreasing cutting of the forest. In line with this is also the increase in the disposable income. However, although the MWTP is increasing with the absolute value of µ, the equivalent variation is negative (but increasing) for values of |µ| between 0.005 and 0.1, but then starts to turn positive for values of |µ| larger than 0.1. Thus, compared to the base case, utility decreases if |µ| gets too large. The reason is that in the case of a very environmentally conscious household (as depicted by a |µ| larger than 0.1) the price of the forest product increases by up to roughly 40% which has a very negative impact on consumption possibilities and therefore utility. Therefore, this negative impact on utility dominates the positive effect of a reduced output in sector 1 on the remaining forest stock F. Table 6: The impact of the scaling factor for cutting intensity Base case Scaling factor of cutting intensity, µ Output sector 1 (Forestry), X1 -0.1 Simulations (for Public Ownership) P = MC - MWTP, MWTP < 0. -0.005 -0.05 -0.1 -0.15 -0.3 -0.707 60 60 59 58 57 55 49 Output sector 2 (Other goods), X2 120 120 121 122 123 127 139 Disposable income, Y 180 180 181 182 183 187 204 Equivalent variation, EV 0.00 -14.75 -7.94 -0.10 8.07 34.58 124.9 Wage rate, W 1.00 1.00 0.99 0.97 0.96 0.94 0.91 Interest rate, R 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 Price of good 1, P1 1.00 1.00 1.02 1.04 1.07 1.14 1.39 Price of good 2, P2 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.98 -0.062 -0.003 -0.031 -0.062 -0.093 -0.187 -0.453 0.900 0.900 0.902 0.903 0.905 0.909 0.918 Marginal WTP, MWTP(G1) Remaining forest proportion in %, F 7 (iii) The size of the exogenous forest stock Due to factors exogenous to the model, such as extreme weather events, the forest stock could be destroyed. In that case, keeping the cutting rate at a high level can lead to extinction of the forest. Therefore, the household’s utility is reduced by a larger negative externality (as measured indirectly by the remaining forest stock) if the forest stock decreases. The base case refers again to private ownership of the resource, the corresponding numbers under public ownership are given in column 4 (numbers in italics). The table should be read once by going left from that column (thereby decreasing the forest stock) and once by going right (increasing the forest stock relative to FF = 600). If FF is decreased, the MWTP is increasing, as well as the disposable income does because the transfers to the household increase in the case of public ownership. Moreover, the equivalent variation is declining which implies an improvement in terms of utility. On the other hand, if the forest stock is increasing, maybe as a consequence of good growing conditions, the MWTP falls to virtually zero and therefore the disposable income is not increased by transfers from the government. Moreover, the equivalent variation is decreasing a little and approaches zero (as in the case of private ownership without tax). Table 7: The impact of the size of the forest stock Base case Simulations (for public ownership) P = MC - MWTP, MWTP < 0. Reference forest stock, FF 600 100 300 600 1000 3000 6000 Output sector 1 (Forestry), X1 60 50 56 58 59 60 60 Output sector 2 (Other goods), X2 120 135 124 122 121 120 120 Disposable income, Y 180 199 184 181 181 180 180 Equivalent variation, EV 0 -4.12 -0.39 -0.1 -0.03 0 0 Wage rate, W 1 0.91 0.95 0.97 0.98 0.99 1 Interest rate, R 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Price of good 1, P1 1 1.313 1.09 1.04 1.03 1.01 1.00 Price of good 2, P2 1 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 -0.062 -0.381 -0.124 -0.062 -0.037 -0.012 -0.006 0.9 0.496 0.812 0.903 0.941 0.98 0.99 Marginal WTP, MWTP(G1) Remaining forest proportion in %, F 8 Summary and outlook The present model is an attempt to analyze the impact of different forest ownership structures on the economic performance of the forest sector and other sectors, as well as their influence on the utility of the households. Moreover, the sectoral changes as a consequence of the tax imposed under different property regimes are included in the paper. To keep analysis straightforward, the management of this natural resource was analyzed in a static two sector CGE model where one sector uses a natural resource as input and the decrease in the resource stock affects negatively the households. The preferences of the households for the remaining forest were grasped by means of their willingness to pay in order to avoid the cutting of an additional unit of the forest. The simplifications made in the model setup could influence the results and their implications for forest management. One important basic assumption was the substitutability of natural and manmade capital, which allows any shift from one sort of capital to another. With respect to other factors of production, one should also take account of the value of land since a certain forest stand can easily be converted into agricultural land. Moreover, because of just two production sectors used in the model, the forestry industry constitutes a rather dominant sector relative to the rest of the economy. By the inclusion of more sectors, a more realistic balance of the sectors could be created. The inclusion of forest resources in a static CGE model is not able to describe the dynamics of both forest growth and its development. This is valid not only for natural increment over time, but also the occurrence of extreme events such as floods, storms etc. An important role for the condition of the forests plays the forest management activities implemented. The character, scale and probably also the quality of the management activities are influenced by the profits obtained. In our model, the imposed tax influenced the production of the forestry sector, but we cannot estimate the change in management activities, which could have a significant impact on the further development of a forest. Since our model is a closed economy model, we did not take account of other determinants of prices of the forest good, such as the exchange rate or the price of wood in the world market. Those determinants could cause changes in the output of the sector but also in factor intensities. Moreover, other values of the forest which could be described by option and existence values could enrich this approach. For the further development of our model it is necessary to include real data from SAMs to better take account of the size of the forest sector relative to other sectors, the distribution of the factors between sectors and the opportunity cost of land. The quality of our results can be improved also by the diversification between households, for instance by distinguishing groups according to differences in their dependence on the forestry sector. 9 Appendix: GAMS Code $title A FORESTRY GAMS model $stitle Forest Value in the Utility Function, Forest is Publicly or Privately Owned SET G GOODS / G1, G2 / * good 1 = forestry product, good 2 = all other goods H HOUSEHOLDS / RICH / PARAMETER / G1 A(G) OUTPUT ELASTICITY OF LABOR 0.75, G2 0.25 / PARAMETER AA(G) SCALE FACTOR IN PRODUCTION FUNCTION; AA(G)=A(G)**(-A(G))*(1-A(G))**(A(G)-1); DISPLAY AA; PARAMETER BB(H) SCALE FACTOR IN UTILITY FUNCTION FOR HOUSEHOLD H / RICH 2.067859818 / TABLE DG(H,G) UTILITY ELASTICITY OF GOODS FOR HOUSEHOLD H G1 RICH 0.3333333333333333 PARAMETER TG(G) / G1 0, G2 0 PARAMETER LH(H) / RICH PARAMETER CG / 0.6666666666666667 TAX RATE ON GOODS / LABOR ENDOWMENT OF HOUSEHOLD H 75 / PARAMETER CH(H) / RICH G2 CAPITAL ENDOWMENT OF HOUSEHOLD H 90 / CAPITAL ENDOWMENT OF GOVERNMENT 15 / PARAMETER STRANS(H) SHARE OF TRANSFERS ACCRUING TO HOUSEHOLD H 10 / RICH 1.00 / PARAMETER C(G) COST FUNCTION CONSTANT; C(G)=(A(G)**(-A(G)))*((1-A(G))**(A(G)-1))/AA(G); DISPLAY C; PARAMETER MU SCALING FACTOR OF FOREST CUTTING INTENSITY / -0.1 / PARAMETER FF TOTAL FOREST STOCK / 600 / PARAMETER FBENCH BENCHMARK FOREST FRACTION / 0.90 / PARAMETER UCONST(H) EXPENDITURE FUNCTION CONSTANT; UCONST(H)=(PROD(G,DG(H,G)**(-DG(H,G))))/BB(H); PARAMETER PGBENCH(G) / G1 1.000, G2 BENCHMARK PRICES OF GOODS 1.000 / SCALAR WBENCH BENCHMARK PRICE OF LABOR / 1.000 / SCALAR RBENCH BERNCHMARK PRICE OF CAPITAL / 1.000 / PARAMETER QBENCH(G) / G1 60, G2 BENCHMARK QUANTITIES OF GOODS 120 / PARAMETER LGBENCH(G) BENCHMARK ALLOCATION OF LABOR / G1 45, G2 90 / PARAMETER CGBENCH(G) BENCHMARK ALLOCATION OF CAPITAL / G1 15, G2 90 / PARAMETER UBENCH(H) / RICH BENCHMARK UTILITY OF HOUSEHOLD H 180 / PARAMETER WTPCONST(G) WTP Factor / G1 0, G2 0 / POSITIVE VARIABLES W PRICE OF LABOR 11 R PRICE OF CAPITAL P(G) PRICE OF GOOD G Q(G) OUTPUT OF GOOD G VARIABLES F(G) REMAINING FOREST CD(H,G) CONSUMPTION OF GOOD G BY HOUSEHOLD H RL(G) UNIT LABOR DEMAND IN SECTOR G RC(G) UNIT CAPITAL DEMAND IN SECTOR G Y TOTAL DISPOSABLE INCOME YH(H) DISPOSABLE INCOME OF HOUSEHOLD H GNP GROSS NATIONAL INCOME AT FACTOR COST U(H) UTILITY OF HOUSEHOLD H EV(H) EQUIVALENT VARIATION FOR HOUSEHOLD H TAX TOTAL TAX BILL MWTP(G,H) MARGINAL WILLINGNESS TO PAY PMWTP(G) PRICE MARK UP MWTP TAXR(G) PFAC(H) TAX RATE PRICE FACTOR EQUATIONS YDEF DEFINITION OF TOTAL DISPOSABLE INCOME * Associated free variable: Y DISP(H) DEFINITION OF DISPOSABLE INCOME OF HOUSEHOLD H * Associated free variable: YH(H) NATIO DEFINITION OF GNP * Associated free variable: GNP TAXDEF DEFINITION OF TOTAL TAX BILL * Associated free variable: TAX 12 UTILITY(H) UTILITY FUNCTION OF HOUSEHOLD H * Associated free variable: U(H) EQUIVAR(H) DEFINITION OF EQUIVALENT VARIATION OF HOUSEHOLD H * Associated free variable: EV(H) PRICEFAC(H) PRICE PART IN EQUIVALENT VARIATION * Associated free variable: PFAC(H) PRICEMUP(G) PRICE MARK UP FROM MWTP * Associated free variable: PMWTP(G) DEMAND(H,G) DEMAND FOR GOODS BY HOUSEHOLD H * Associated free variable: CD(H,G) SUPPLY(G) UNIT LOSS FOR GOOD G * Associated positive variable: Q('G1') TAXRATE(G) TAX RATE EQUALS MTWP *Associated Variable: TAXR(G) MARKET(G) MARKET CLEARING CONDITION FOR GOOD G * Associated free variable: P(G) LABDEM(G) UNIT DEMAND FOR LABOR IN SECTOR G * Associated free variable: RL(G) CAPDEM(G) UNIT DEMAND FOR CAPITAL IN SECTOR G * Associated free variable: RC(G) LABMARK MARKET EQUILIBRIUM FOR LABOR * Associated free variable: W CAPMARK MARKET EQUILIBRIUM FOR CAPITAL * Associated free variable: R FEQU(G) FOREST STOCK MINUS FOREST OUTPUT * Associated free variable: F(H) EXTRAC(G,H) EXTRA COST (MWTP times dF divided by dX1); * Associated free variable: MWTP(G,H) 13 YDEF.. Y=E=SUM(H,YH(H)); DISP(H).. YH(H)=E=W*LH(H)+R*(CH(H)+CG)+STRANS(H)* (TAX-SUM(G,PMWTP(G)*Q(G))); * Disposable income is increased by a transfer (equal to tax income of * the government) or by the transfer from the price wedge (caused by the * MWTP part on the supply side)] NATIO.. GNP=E=SUM(H,W*LH(H)+R*(CH(H)+CG))+TAXSUM(G,PMWTP(G)*Q(G)); TAXDEF.. TAX=E=SUM(G,TAXR(G)*Q(G)); UTILITY(H).. U(H)=E=BB(H)*PROD(G,CD(H,G)**DG(H,G))*exp(MU*F('G1')); EQUIVAR(H).. EV(H)=E=UCONST(H)*(PROD(G,PGBENCH(G)**DG(H,G)))* (UBENCH(H)*exp(-MU*FBENCH)-U(H)*exp(- MU*F('G1'))); * EV gives the change in the expenditure function, given the prices at * the initial level, necessary to make the HH just as well off as in the * base case PRICEFAC(H).. PFAC(H)=E=PROD(G,PGBENCH(G)**DG(H,G)); * the price part of the expenditure function EXTRAC(G,H).. FF*MWTP(G,H)=E=MU*BB(H)*UCONST(H)*U(H)* exp(-MU*F(G))*PFAC(H); * define the marginal willigness to pay as the derivative of the * expenditure function with respect to the forest output PRICEMUP(G).. PMWTP(G)=E=WTPCONST(G)*SUM(H,MWTP(G,H)); * increase the MC of the forest product by the MWTP DEMAND(H,G).. P(G)*CD(H,G)=E=DG(H,G)*YH(H); SUPPLY(G).. C(G)*W**A(G)*R**(1-A(G))=G=P(G)+PMWTP(G)-TAXR(G); * output price is decreased by either the MWTP (if WTPCONST=1) or the * tax (if TG=1) TAXRATE(G).. TAXR(G)=E=-TG(G)*SUM(H,MWTP(G,H)); * the tax rate equals the negative of the MWTP MARKET(G).. Q(G)=E=SUM(H,CD(H,G)); LABDEM(G).. RL(G)=E=C(G)*A(G)*W**(A(G)-1)*R**(1-A(G)); CAPDEM(G).. RC(G)=E=C(G)*(1-A(G))*W**A(G)*R**(-A(G)); LABMARK.. SUM(H,LH(H))=E=SUM(G,RL(G)*Q(G)); CAPMARK.. SUM(H,CH(H))+CG=E=SUM(G,RC(G)*Q(G)); FEQU(G).. F(G)=E=(FF-Q(G))/FF; * how much of the forest stock remains after cutting 14 MODEL OPEN SIMPLE OPEN-ECONOMY CGE MODEL / YDEF.Y, UTILITY.U, EQUIVAR.EV, NATIO.GNP, DISP.YH, TAXDEF.TAX, DEMAND.CD, SUPPLY.Q, LABDEM.RL, CAPDEM.RC, LABMARK.W, CAPMARK.R, MARKET.P, FEQU.F, EXTRAC.MWTP, PRICEFAC.PFAC, TAXRATE.TAXR, PRICEMUP.PMWTP / ; * NUMERAIRE R.FX=1.000 ; * BOUNDS ON VARIABLES W.LO=0.01; CD.LO(H,G)=0.01; F.LO(G)=0.01; * INITIAL VALUES W.L=1.00; Y.L=180; YH.L(H)=180; Q.L(G)=QBENCH(G); SOLVE OPEN USING MCP; DISPLAY GNP.L, Y.L, YH.L, F.L, FBENCH, U.L, UBENCH, EV.L, Q.L, CD.L, W.L, R.L, RL.L, RC.L,TAX.L, P.L, MWTP.L; * COMPARATIVE STATICS: * change value of forest stock and of forest factor resp. *FF=600; *FBENCH=0.8; * change value of valuation of remaining forest (the larger MU, the more * important to households *MU=-0.15; TG('G1')=0; * change labor intensity of forestry sector *A('G1')=0.5; * switch on public ownership WTPCONST('G1')=1; SOLVE OPEN USING MCP; 15 DISPLAY GNP.L, Y.L, YH.L, F.L, U.L, EV.L, Q.L, CD.L, W.L, R.L, RL.L, RC.L,P.L, MWTP.L,PMWTP.L, TAXR.L,TAX.L; $ONTEXT * switch off public ownership; induce private forest owner to behave in * best interest of all by taxing the output WTPCONST('G1')=0; TG('G1')=1; SOLVE OPEN USING MCP; DISPLAY GNP.L, Y.L, YH.L, F.L, U.L, EV.L, Q.L, CD.L, W.L, R.L, RL.L, RC.L,P.L, MWTP.L, PMWTP.L, TAXR.L, TAX.L; *COMPARATIVE STATICS: *change value of forest stock and of forest factor resp. *FF=300; *FBENCH=0.8; *change value of valuation of remaining forest (the larger MU, the more *important to households *MU=-0.005; $OFFTEXT 16