CRIME RATE TRENDS AND ISSUES IN LA CASTELLANA C.Y. 2007 JULY 1 TO 2009 JUNE 30 A RESEARCH PROPOSAL PRESENTED TO: Mr. Meo J. Mallorca FACULTY, DEPARTMENT HEAD OF CRIMINOLOGY COLLEGE OF FISHERIES CARLOS HILADO MEMORIAL STATE COLLEGE ENCLARO, BINALBAGAN, NEGROS OCCIDENTAL BY: Antonio Omes Tobias Jr. BSCRIMINOLOGY IV-1 February 28, 2011 ABSTRACT A Gathering data is use to demonstrate how accurate crime rate forecasts can be produced trends in the reported robbery, homicide, physical injury, and theft rates for the La Castellana are modeled, using annual data for the year 2007 to 2009. The poverty ratio and unemployment rate, two variables considered important predictors of crime in the traditional criminological literature, fail to account for the index crime trends in this analysis. A “Criminal opportunity perspective “is used to formulate several substantively moderate social changes can generate rather dramatic increments in the crime rate. The data presented here indicate the efficacy of including criminal opportunity factors in crime rate forecasting designed to supply policy maker with technical information relevant to organizational goal criteria. CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION La castellana is one of the municipality of Negros Occidental; it composed of many barangay’s and it’s one of the progressive Municipalities in Negros. Sometimes we can’t deny the fact that all cities and municipalities encountered minor and serious problems. La Castellana police department as well as there municipality studied about what causes crime? Is crime increasing? And how can juvenile crime be prevented in there municipality. Today’s criminals are frightening, because they have never learned right from wrong; they place no value on the lives of others. But tomorrow’s super predators are designed to be worse because they are being raised in the fatherless families and drug, violence-ridden neighborhoods, created by today’s criminals. La Castellana police department believe that today’s juvenile delinquents are destined to become tomorrow’s adult felons if they will not prevent it immediately. Today’s adults have no concept of the relationship between their present action and future consequences. A small proportion of juvenile criminals in La Castellana are responsible for nearly half of all offenses committed by all teenagers. The criminal behavior of the current population of offenders brings about the social conditions to produce an even more deviant future breed juvenile. La Castellana police department is now planning how to prevent and decrease crimes and to have criminal justice in there municipality and do their best action to prevent more juvenile criminals in the near future, BACKGROUND OF THE STUDY The crime means an unlawful acts committed with the consequences or correspondingly or equitable penalty, trend is how frequent an action is committed, sometimes accepted because people are victims; sometimes keep silent while issues are reasons for crime. It seems that the world never becomes happy and contented without even the must heinous crime that happen not only in La Castellana but places all over the world what should be done must be that when heinous activities are manifest the government and justice must also equate them solve with more heinous punishment. The case of Maggie Delaheva vs. He Rapist was a controversial one. The punishment of the assailants even went to the president to appeal for pardon but not granted. Today the latest crime trend and issues of Hubert Webb vs. Carmella Vizconde it all is even more intrigues because even if Webb’s trice to acquit this Hubert or even it the supreme court does or even if the Philippines majority will always have their own protects to make whether it be manifest or silent, why because at the very start 100% of the people knows that Hubert and company are undoubtedly the assailant, by the way in the later part of the study the researcher can provide samples or proceedings to see why there are heinous criminals such as these and how do trends and issues affect criminals in the process. What makes an accusation, cases weak is when witness are afraid to testify or when they are not credible. STATEMENT OF THE PROBLEM The researcher wants to establish in an operational term. He wants to establish facts about the crime usually committed. The statistics of different trends or the frequency why such crimes are being done issues that trigger the society whether true or not and we as a whole can learn from it. The study wants to pursue operationally, all the terms use and procedures done are located with in this study itself. This study sought to answer the following; a. How to establish facts about the crime usually committed? b. What are the months when the crime decreases and increases? c. What are the causes why people committing crime? d. How the crimes solved and unsolved? OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY 1. To establish facts about the crime usually committed. 2. To determine the months when the crime decreases and increases. 3. To find-out the causes why people committing crime. 4. To determine the crimes solved and unsolved. SIGNIFICANCE OF THE STUDY The relevant of the study is timely because it informs the public which crimes are usually committed and can become an eye-opener to the public. When trend can be measured the reader will realize that they can be able to connect why crimes and its frequency and speed they are committed at the same time the reader will be able to realize what the society wants whether true or not as a whole can learn from it. As will as the best possible reasons why they are usually committed and what crimes are specifically and popularly done, the researcher can even recommendation about the problem. THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK La Castellana may be a small municipality but its not free from crime and additionally in today’s word where a crime can be shortly economic but one can terrorize that they exist because mostly the best reason can be behavioral disorder, drugs addiction or law of spiritual guidance. The betterment of ones self depends of oneself depends largely on his or her own personal discipline but mostly though for some specific reason. The different crimes are theft, physical injury, murder, homicide, rape, others. Common trends are the following; a. Economic problem takes first place for theft. b. Personal or behavioral disorder is primary causes of passion killing or frustrated murders. c. Use of treason usually lightens each scale % usually every year. d. La Castellana has a small percentage of crime because basically people there are spiritually oriented. e. Theft is normally happen in La Castellana. ISSUES; a. Frustrated murder happens because some assailants become bored with life. b. Homicide happens because victims do not guard themselves visibly. c. Heinous and light crime happens because police system is a weak system. d. Treason usually occurs because some people are discontented the way the government does their functions. e. Illegal drugs users normally exist because it is their way of escaping an unhappy family. CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK Study crime rate trends and issues is the process of gathering of documents from the place of La Castellana where the study will be conducted. Crime rate is useful for a purpose of evaluating the effectiveness of crime prevention measures or the relative safety of a municipality or neighborhood. In studying crime rate trends and issues we can determine whether the crime rate trends and issues increases or decrease in every year. It is also important to recognize the type of crime having the highest rating of unlawful act in recorded data. LIMITATION OF THE STUDY The place of Respondents is residence only of La Castellana from 2007 to 2009. The data they answer are only based on research through documentation (gathering of Documents) presented. The total tally which they answered is only the basis of the researcher’s results and findings. The respondents will only be limited to the record of the municipality of La Castellana police station; will be able to find findings from the data gathered. DEFINITION OF TERMS 1. Crime rate is a measure of the rate of occurrence of crimes committed in a given area and time. Most commonly, crime rate is given as the number of crimes committed among a given number of persons. 2. Issues a particular grouping of an organization's securities. For Example, General Motors has a number of different issues of Preferred stock listed on the New York Stock Exchange. 3. Trends The relatively constant movement of a variable throughout a period of time. The period may be short-term or long-term, depending upon whether the trend itself is short-term or long-term. For example, a rising market is taken to mean that prices of most stocks are in an upward trend. 4. Murder the unlawful premeditated killing of one human being by another. 5. Homicide the killing of a human being by another person or a person who kills another. 6. Physical Injury A body wound or shock produced by sudden physical injury, as from accident, injury, or impact. 7. Robbery is the crime of taking or attempting to take something of value by force or threat of force and/or by putting the victim in fear. 8. Theft in criminal law, theft is the illegal taking of another person's property without that person's freely-given consent. 9. Rape is the commission of unlawful sexual intercourse or unlawful sexual intrusion. Rape laws in the United States have been revised over the years, and they vary from state to state. 10. Crime a violation of a law in which there is injury to the public or a member of the public and a term in jail or prison, and/or a fine as possible penalties. CHAPTER 2 REVIEW OF RELATED LITERATURE Much confusion exists in criminological literature over rural distinction. In most cases, theoretical distinctions by rural and sociologists have been ignored, and criminologists have employed simple, arbitrary cutoff point to distinguish rural from areas. In some instances, in fact, commentators have designated entire rural areas. American sociologists shared similar beliefs. Social Darwinists at the turn century saw pathology in rural life itself (Wirth; Davis). Early social workers, taking their intellectual justification from the social Darwinist, created the juvenile court and other social service agencies (for example, hull house founded by Jane Addams in Chicago) to try to control crime and delinquency among wayward urbanites, many of whom were thought to be negatively influenced by life in the municipality. CHAPTER 3 METHODOLOGY This chapter presents the research design, employed the subject and respondents of the study the data gathering procedure, data gathering instrument. Research design The historical data were gathered and previous data were reviewed in order to add or improve present study. It may be noted that a lot of tools were used in order to come up our study. This study used to descriptive type of research. Descriptive research is an honest, exhaustive, intelligent researching of facts and their meaning and implications with a reference to a given problem. It is a systematic and refined technique of thinking and employing specialized tools, instrument and procedures in order to obtain more adequate solutions of the problem. This may defined as the method of studying problem whose solutions are to be derived partly and wholly from facts. Descriptive research aims to make contribution toward the solution of the problem in the field of La Castellana by using of this method. METHOD OF RESEARCH This study on the crime rate trends and issues in La Castellana utilized the descriptive method of research through documentation (gathering of documents). This research is a fact finding procedure that solve classification, measurement and evaluation. The data gathered were organized and interpreted according to the descriptive method adopted. This study utilized the respondent in order to determine and find-out the existing crime rate trends and issues in La Castellana. DATA GATHERING INSTRUMENT To accomplish this study the researcher used the documentation (Gathering of Documents). The researcher look back to see what has been accomplished and with a critical eye, evaluates the results whether they are satisfactory or not, with the end in view of making improvements. The researcher used this as it can provide enough details into his study. The schedule for conducting this study will be on January 14, 2011, I will be a whole day gathering data in La Castellana under the administration of La Castellana Law enforcement officers. DATA GATHERING PROCEDURE The very first step that the researcher made was to look for crime rate trends and issues in La Castellana through internet and how we can compete with other place. It includes some previous data which can be used as data base for the said place for my study. The steps of data gathering are the following; 1. Preparing questions in order to gain information’s. 2. Getting some reliable sources or some file by preparing a request letter in order to get some files to gain more information’s. RESPONDENT OF THE STUDY The respondent of the study was the gathering of document in the municipality of La Castellana from July 1, 2007 to June 30, 2009. Schedule of Activities The schedule for conducting of this study will be on January 14, 2011 for primary data gathering on municipality of La castellana. January 14, 2011 ------------------------------------------ Primary data Gathering January 21, 2011 ------------------------------------------ Consolidate data January 26, 2011 ------------------------------------------ Analysis February 10, 2011 ----------------------------------------- Presentation of data February 28, 2011 ----------------------------------------- Submission of final data TABLE 1: THE INDEX CRIME AND NON-INDEX CRIME FROM JULY 1, 2007 TO JUNE 30, 2008 IN LA CASTELLANA MONTHS/YEAR JUL 2007 AUG 2007 SEPT 2007 OCT 2007 NOV 2007 DEC 2007 JAN 2008 FEB 2008 MAR 2008 APR 2008 MAY 2008 JUN 2008 TOTAL INDEX 3 3 2 4 3 3 2 2 5 7 3 2 39 NON-INDEX 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 4 1 1 17 The table 1 show that the case rates on the month of July 2007 there were three crimes committed in the index crime, for the non-index crime rates there was one crime committed. On the month of August there were three index crime committed and there was two non-index crimes committed, on the month of September there were two index crime committed and there was one non-index crime committed. On the month of October there were four crimes recorded in index crime and there was two crimes committed in non-index crime, on November there was three crimes reported in index crime and one for non-index crime, on the month of December there was three index crime committed and there were one for non-index crime, on January 2008 there were two recorded in index crime and there was one recorded on non-index crime. On the month of February there were two index crime committed and one for non-index crime, on the month of March there was five crimes reported in the index crime and one for non-index crime, on the month of April there were seven recorded index crime and there was four recorded on non-index crime, on May there was three index crime committed and one for non-index crime, on the month of June there was two index crime committed and one for non-index crime recorded, and for the total of index crime and non-index crime from July 1, 2007 to June 30, 2008 was fifty six sum total. FIGURE 1: INDEX CRIME AND NON-INDEX CRIME FROM JULY 1, 2007 TO JUNE 30, 2008 IN LA CASTELLANA 45 40 35 30 25 INDEX 20 NON-INDEX 15 10 5 L TO TA ay -0 8 M ar -0 8 M Ja n08 No v07 Ju l-0 7 Se p07 0 Figure 1 show that the line graph of cases of index crime the higher crime rates on the month is on April and the lower rates is on the month of September, January, February, June. While in the non-index crime the higher rates was on the month of April and the lowest rates was on the month of July, September, November, December, January, February, March, May, June. So the line graph shows that the case rates from the month of July 1, 2007 to June 30, 2008, the index crime has the higher rates total than the non-index crime. TABLE 2: MONTHLY AVERAGE OF INDEX AND NON-INDEX CRIME FROM JULY 1, 2007 TO JUNE 30, 2008 MONTH/YEAR JUL 2007 AUG 2007 SEPT 2007 OCT 2007 NOV 2007 DEC 2007 JAN 2008 FEB 2008 MAR 2008 APR 2008 MAY 2008 JUN 2008 TOTAL AVERAGE MONTHLY CRIME OF INDEX AND NON-INDEX 7.14 8.93 5.36 10.71 7.14 7.14 5.36 5.36 10.71 19.64 7.14 5.36 6.72 Table 2 shows that the average monthly crime rates of index crime and non-index crime on July 1, 2007 to June 30, 2008, that on the month of July has 7.14 total average, August has a total average of 8.93, on the month of September there was a total of 5.36, the total average of October there was 10.71 and in November there was 7.14 total average, December has a total average of 7.14. on the month of January 2008 there was 5.36 total average of crime and for February there was 5.36 total average also, on the month of March there was 10.71 and on April there was 19.64 total average of crime and for May there was 7.14 total average and for June has 5.36 total average of crime and for the sum total of average from index crime and non-index crime from July 1, 2007 to June 30, 2008 has a total average of 6.72. FIGURE 2: MONTHLY AVERAGE OF INDEX AND NON-INDEX CRIME FROM JULY 1, 2007 TO JUNE 30, 2008 AVERAGE MONTHLY CRIME OF INDEX AND NON-INDEX Jul-07 Aug-07 Sep-07 Oct-07 Nov-07 Dec-07 Jan-08 Feb-08 Mar-08 Apr-08 May-08 Jun-08 TOTAL Figure 2 shows that the pie graph on average monthly crime rates of index crime and non-index crime indicates that the index crime rates reported are higher than the non-index crime rates reported. The crime also includes total volume and solution. TABLE 3: THE INDEX CRIME AND NON-INDEX CRIME FROM JULY 1, 2008 TO JUNE 30, 2009 IN LA CASTELLANA MONTHS/YEAR INDEX NON-INDEX JUL 2008 2 0 AUG 2008 3 1 SEPT 2008 2 1 OCT 2008 2 0 NOV 2008 2 1 DEC 2008 2 1 JAN 2009 2 0 FEB 2009 2 1 MAR 2009 2 0 APR 2009 4 2 MAY 2009 3 1 JUN 2009 2 0 TOTAL 27 8 The table 3 show that the case rates on the month of July 2008 there were two crimes committed in the index crime, for the non-index crime rates there was zero crime committed. On the month of August there were three index crime committed and there was one non-index crimes committed, on the month of September there were two index crime committed and there was one non-index crime committed. On the month of October there were two crimes recorded in index crime and there was one crimes committed in non-index crime, on November there was two crimes reported in index crime and one for non-index crime, on the month of December there was two index crime committed and there were one for non-index crime, on January 2009 there were two recorded in index crime and there was zero recorded on non-index crime. On the month of February there were two index crime committed and one for non-index crime, on the month of March there was two crimes reported in the index crime and zero for non-index crime, on the month of April there were four recorded index crime and there was two recorded on non-index crime, on May there was three index crime committed and one for non-index crime, on the month of June there was two index crime committed and zero for non-index crime recorded, and for the total of index crime and non-index crime from July 1, 2008 to June 30, 2009 was thirty five six sum total. FIGURE 3: THE INDEX CRIME AND NON-INDEX CRIME FROM JULY 1, 2008 TO JUNE 30, 2009 IN LA CASTELLANA 30 25 20 INDEX 15 NON-INDEX 10 5 0 8 l-0 u J 8 -0 p Se 08 vo N 09 na J M 9 -0 ar M 9 -0 ay TA O T L Figure 3 show that the line graph of cases of index crime the higher crime rates on the month is on April and the lower rates is on the month of July, September, October, and November, December, January, February, March, June. While in the non-index crime the higher rates was on the month of April and the lowest rates was on the month of August, September, November, December, February, May, and zero rate are the following months: July, October, January, March, June. So the line graph shows that the case rates from the month of July 1, 2008 to June 30, 2009, the index crime has the higher rates total than the non-index crime. TABLE 4: MONTHLY AVERAGE OF INDEX AND NON-INDEX CRIME FROM JULY 1, 2008 TO JUNE 30, 2009 MONTH/YEAR JUL 2008 AUG 2008 SEPT 2008 OCT 2008 NOV 2008 DEC 2008 JAN 2009 FEB 2009 MAR 2009 APR 2009 MAY 2009 JUN 2009 TOTAL AVERAGE MONTHLY CRIME OF INDEX AND NON-INDEX 5.71 11.43 8.57 5.71 8.57 8.57 5.71 8.57 5.71 17.14 11.43 5.71 4.2 Table 4 shows that the average monthly crime rates of index crime and non-index crime on July 1, 2008 to June 30, 2009, that on the month of July has 5.71 total average, August has a total average of 11.43, on the month of September there was a total of 8.57, the total average of October there was 5.71 and in November there was 8.57 total average, December has a total average of 8.57, on the month of January 2009 there was 5.71 total average of crime and for February there was 8.57 total average also, on the month of March there was 5.71 and on April there was 17.14 total average of crime and for May there was 11.43 total average and for June has 5.71 total average of crime and for the sum total of average from index crime and non-index crime from July 1, 2008 to June 30, 2009 has a total average of 4.2. FIGURE 4: MONTHLY AVERAGE OF INDEX AND NON-INDEX CRIME FROM JULY 1, 2008 TO JUNE 30, 2009 AVERAGE MONTHLY CRIME OF INDEX AND NON-INDEX Jul-08 Aug-08 Sep-08 Oct-08 Nov-08 Dec-08 Jan-09 Feb-09 Mar-09 Apr-09 May-09 Jun-09 TOTAL Figure 4 shows that the pie graph on average monthly crime rates of index crime and non-index crime indicates that the index crime rates reported are higher than the non-index crime rates reported. The crime also includes total volume and solution. TABLE 5: NUMBER OF REPORTED CASES FROM JULY 1, 2007 TO JUNE 30, 2008 IN LA CASTELLANA REPORTED CASES TOTAL MURDER 7 HOMICIDE 2 PHYSICAL INJURY 11 ROBBERY 4 THEFT 14 RAPE 1 OTHERS 17 SOLVED 0 Table 5 shows that the number of reported cases total, the number of murder there were a total seven, two for homicide, and eleven for physical injury, four for robbery, on theft there were fourteen reported cases, one for rape, seventeen for others reported cases and zero for solved. FIGURE 5: NUMBER OF REPORTED CASES FROM JULY 1, 2007 TO JUNE 30, 2008 IN LA CASTELLANA 18 16 14 MURDER HOMICIDE 12 PHYSICAL INJURY 10 ROBBERY THEFT 8 RAPE 6 OTHERS SOLVED 4 2 0 TOTAL Figure 5 shows that the bar graph indicates the higher number of reported cases from July 1, 2007 to June 30, 2008 that the others higher and for the lowest is rape and unsolved. TABLE 6: NUMBER OF REPORTED CASES FROM JULY 1, 2008 TO JUNE 30, 2009 IN LA CASTELLANA REPORTED CASES TOTAL MURDER 1 HOMICIDE 5 PHYSICAL INJURY 12 ROBBERY 2 THEFT 7 RAPE 0 OTHERS 8 SOLVED 0 Table 6 shows that the number of reported cases total, the number of murder there were a total one, five for homicide, and twelve for physical injury, two for robbery, on theft there were seven reported cases, zero for rape, eight for others reported cases and zero for solved. FIGURE 6: NUMBER OF REPORTED CASES FROM JULY 1, 2008 TO JUNE 30, 2009 IN LA CASTELLANA 14 12 MURDER 10 HOMICIDE PHYSICAL INJURY 8 ROBBERY THEFT 6 RAPE OTHERS 4 SOLVED 2 0 TOTAL Figure 6 shows that the bar graph indicates the higher number of reported cases from July 1, 2008 to June 30, 2009 that the Physical in jury higher and for the lowest is murder and zero for rape and unsolved. CHAPTER 5 ANALYSIS La Castellana is a 2nd class municipality in the province of Negros Occidental, Philippines. La Castellana is politically subdivided into 13 barangays. The Governments of the Municipality of La Castellana recognize the seriousness of the problem and are exploring innovative policy responses at both the national and regional levels. Civil society organizations are doing their part as well by designing and implementing violence prevention programs targeting youth crimes, crimes against women, and other important forms of crimes. Much, however, remains to be done. Some of the factors that make the La Castellana most vulnerable to crime and violence the robbery and homicide are two important examples require a response that transcends national and even regional boundaries. This research is offered as a contribution to the ongoing dialogue in the region on approaches to address crime and violence. It is not intended to provide a definitive blueprint for action, but rather is offered as a tool to engage stakeholder’s governments, civil society organizations, citizens, and international partners in a serious dialogue on crime and violence, based on evidence and good practices from inside and outside the municipality. This study describes an analysis of trends in crime in the La Castellana during the period July 1, 2007 to June 30, 2009, using time-series analysis to estimate relationships between recorded crime and demographic, economic and policy developments in the community. The researcher especially interested in the relationship between crime rates trends and issues. We use the crime rates recorded by the police, which, because of variations in the propensity to report by the victims and the recording policy of the police, may differ from actual crime rates. We find the following results. The motivation effect is significant with total theft, qualified theft, theft from shops and pickpocket theft. The opportunity effect is significant with care thefts. The routine-activity is significant with criminal damage. Interpretations for these findings and the problems that occur with the time-series analysis are fully studied. RECOMMENDATION The researchers have used the gathered information to address crime problems, explain them, and develop preventive measures and recommendations: 1. In dealing with young offenders, there is a need to ensure that rehabilitation mechanisms are available. In this regard: More and better juvenile detention facilities are required which focus on vocational training and counseling programmers. There should be more organizations that focus on young offenders and other vulnerable youth to ensure that restorative justice is carried out and that other vulnerable young people are afforded opportunities to avoid involvement in violence. 2. Police forces should have geo-coded crime and incident data as part of the roll out of neighborhood policing teams. They should put in place there quarrymen’s to use this mapped data as a key means of sharing information with the public, including on a force website, within three years. 3. For youth violence they should undertake impact evaluations that systematically document what works in youth violence prevention in the La Castellana. • Provide skills training and internships for at-risk youth. Create alternative opportunities for youth. Finance programs with proven track record of success with youth violence prevention. • Invest in early childhood development programs and programs targeting children aged 4 to10. Target specific youth-at-risk populations. • Apply existing laws separating incarcerated youth from adults. • Restrict availability of alcohol and other drugs. CONCLUSIONS This research is being conducted in La Castellana, the aims of the research are broad and in many ways all-encompassing. While every effort has been made to focus on the pertinent issues, it must be noted that gaps will remain until further research can be conducted on specific findings raised through this report, and others. Nevertheless it is hoped that this report will contribute significantly to the discourse and will stimulate thinking and further research by stakeholders in the region in the future. This research has culled many different sources of data to present as comprehensive a picture as possible of crime and violence in the Municipality of La Castellana. Most crimes are not reported, not recorded, not followed through, or not able to be proved. There have been more reports of robberies, by being aware of personal safety and the practice of good safety precautions, you can avoid putting yourself in an uncomfortable situation that may lead to these incidents. It is all about being aware of a potential problem before it happens. The fear-of-crime rationale for gated communities would appear to be at odds with the evidence, though more research is needed. Authorities employ various mechanisms to regulate certain behaviors in general. Governing or administering agencies may for example codify rules into laws, police citizens and visitors to ensure that they comply with those laws, and implement other policies and practices which legislators or administrators have prescribed with the aim of discouraging or preventing crime. Law enforcement can optimize the benefits of existing research and use them to address issues in their own jurisdictions to make their citizens and communities even safer. Governments also need inter-agency governance mechanisms and incentives to help individual agencies in the justice sector align their work with system-wide goals. If sector-wide governance mechanisms are to succeed, their authority must go beyond performance measurement to include real executive powers.