Chapter 9 STT 200 – STATISTICAL METHODS HOMEWORK ASSIGNMENT NUMBER 5 DUE DATE: WEDNESDAY NOVEMBER 25, 2015 163 Chapter 9 1. When a truckload of apples arrives at a packing plant, a random sample of 125 is selected and examined for bruises, discoloration, and other defects. The whole truckload will be rejected if more than 8% of the sample is unsatisfactory. Suppose that in fact 12% of the apples on the truck do not meet the desired standard. What’s the probability that the shipment will be accepted anyway? A. 0.029065 B. 0.970935 C. 0.00084 D. 0.9156 E. 0.08437 QUESTIONS 2 – 3 It’s believed that 8% of children have a gene that may be linked to juvenile diabetes. Researchers hoping to track 40 of these children for several years test 542 newborns for the presence of this gene. 2. The sampling distribution of the proportion of children with gene linked to juvenile diabetes is best described as A. N(0.01165, 0.08) B. N(0.08, 0.01165) C. N(40, 542) D. N(0.08, 0.000136) E. N(0.000136, 0.01165) 3. What is the probability that they find enough subjects for their study? A. 0.2974 B. 0.0738 C. 0.9200 D. 0.7026 E. 0.0800 QUESTIONS 4 – 6 The weight of potato chips in a medium-size bag is stated to be 12 ounces. The amount that the packaging machine puts in these bags is believed to have a Normal model with mean 12.1 ounces and standard deviation 0.09 ounces. 164 Chapter 9 4. What fraction of all bags sold are underweight? A. 0.9804 B. 0.0478 C. 0.8667 D. 0.0900 E. 0.1333 5. Some of the chips are sold in “bargain packs” of 5 bags. What’s the probability that none of the 5 is underweight? A. 0.8630 B. 0.1434 C. 0.5108 D. 0.4892 E. 0.1333 6. What’s the probability that the mean weight of the 5 bags is below the stated amount? A. 0.9935 B. 0.0478 C. 0.0065 D. 0.4892 E. 0.1333 7. Assessment records indicate that the value of homes in a small city is skewed right, with a mean of $140,000 and standard deviation of $60,000. To check the accuracy of the assessment data, officials plan to conduct a detailed appraisal of 100 homes selected at random. What is the probability that the mean home value is between $128,000 and $152,000? (Hint: 68 – 95 – 99.7% Rule) A. 0.320 B. 0.0857 C. 0.997 D. 0.950 E. 0.680 165 Chapter 9 QUESTIONS 8 – 9 Information on a packet of seeds claims that the germination rate is 94%. The packet contains 160 seeds. Let p̂ represent the proportion of seeds in the packet that will germinate. 8. The sampling distribution model for p̂ is A. N(0.01877, 0.94) B. N(0.06, 0.01877) C. N(0.08, 0.0215) D. N(0.94, 0.01877) E. 0.94, 0.0003525) 9. What’s the approximate probability that more than 98% of the 160 seeds in the packet will germinate? A. 0.01654 B. 0.98345 C. 0.02990 D. 0.01877 E. 0.92120 QUESTIONS 10 – 13 Statistics from Cornell’s Northeast Regional Climate Center indicate that Ithaca, NY, gets an average of 35.4 inches of rain each year, with a standard deviation of 4.2 inches. 10. During what percentage of years does Ithaca get more than 42 inches of rain? A. approximately 84.28% B. approximately 10.95% C. approximately 31.2% D. approximately 5.80% E. approximately 94.19% 11. Less than how much rain falls in the driest 30% of all years? A. 70 inches B. 33.19 inches C. 64.60 inches D. 31.9 inches E. 30 inches 166 Chapter 9 A Cornell University student is in Ithaca for 8 years. Let y represent the mean amount of rain for those 8 years. 12. The sampling distribution model of this mean, y , is best described as A. N(1.484924, 35.4) B. N(4.2, 35.4) C. N(35.4, 4.2) D. N(35.4, 0.828427) E. N(35.4, 1.484924) 13. What’s the probability that those 8 years average less than 30 inches of rain? A. 0.8474576 B. 0.0001382 C. 0.9998618 D. 0.2666667 E. 0.7333333 QUESTIONS 14 – 15 Carbon monoxide (CO) emissions for a certain kind of car vary with mean 3.2 g/mi and standard deviation 0.7 g/mi. A company has 70 of these cars in its fleet. Let y represent the mean CO level for the company’s fleet. 14. Estimate the probability that y is between 3.3 and 3.4 g/mi. A. 0.1076 B. 0.8924 C. 0.0836 D. 0.9164 E. 0.9706 15. There is only a 1% chance that the fleet’s mean CO level is greater than what value? A. 30 gm/mi B. 0.528 gm/mi C. 3.39 gm/mi D. 4.83 gm/mi E. 1.57 gm/mi 167 Chapter 9 16. Which of the following is an example of a difference in two proportions based on independent samples? A. A random sample of 1000 voters is asked who they plan to vote for in the upcoming election. The difference is found between the proportion of voters who plan to vote for the Republican candidate and the proportion of voters who plan to vote for the Democratic candidate. B. Each student in a random sample of 500 sophomores and a random sample of 500 seniors is asked what proportion of classes he or she skips in a typical quarter. The difference in the average responses for the two groups is found. C. A random sample of 800 adults in the US in 1999 was asked if they support the legalization of marijuana, and another random sample of 800 adults was asked the same question is 2009. The difference in the proportions of adults who supported it in 1999 and 2009 is found. D. None of the above is an example of a difference in two proportions based on independent samples. E. None of the above 17. Which of the following statements is correct about a parameter and a statistic associated with repeated random samples of the same size from the same population? A. Values of a parameter will vary from sample to sample but values of a statistic will not. B. Values of both a parameter and a statistic may vary from sample to sample. C. Values of a parameter will vary according to the sampling distribution for that parameter. D. Values of a statistic will vary according to the sampling distribution for that statistic. E. None of the above 18. Which of the following statements best describes the relationship between a parameter and a statistic? A. A parameter has a sampling distribution with the statistic as its mean. B. A parameter has a sampling distribution that can be used to determine what values the statistic is likely to have in repeated samples. C. A parameter is used to estimate a statistic. D. A statistic is used to estimate a parameter. E. All of the above 168 Chapter 9 19. Which one of the following statements is false? A. The standard error measures the variability of a population parameter. B. The standard error of a sample statistic measures, roughly, the average difference between the values of the statistic and the population parameter. C. Assuming a fixed value of s = sample standard deviation, the standard error of the mean decreases as the sample size increases. D. The standard error of a sample proportion decreases as the sample size increases. E. All of the above 20. For which of the following situations would the Rule for Sample Proportions not apply? A. A random sample of 100 is taken from a population in which the proportion with the trait of interest is 0.98. B. A random sample of 50 is taken from a population in which the proportion with the trait of interest is 0.50. C. A binomial experiment is done with n = 500 and p = 0.9. D. The Rule for Sample Proportions would apply in all of the situations in A, B and C. E. None of the above 21. The mean of the sampling distribution for a sample proportion depends on the value(s) of A. B. C. D. E. the true population proportion but not the sample size. the sample size but not the true population proportion. the sample size and the true population proportion. neither the sample size nor the true population proportion. All of the above 22. A television station plans to ask a random sample of 400 city residents if they can name the news anchor on the evening news at their station. They plan to fire the news anchor if fewer than 10% of the residents in the sample can do so. Suppose that in fact 12% of city residents could name the anchor if asked. What is the approximate probability that the anchor will be fired? A. B. C. D. E. 0.02 1.23 0.11 0.89 0.016 169 Chapter 9 23. Suppose that the mean of the sampling distribution for the difference in two sample proportions is 0. This tells us that A. B. C. D. E. The two sample proportions are both 0. The two sample proportions are equal to each other. The two population proportions are both 0. The two population proportions are equal to each other. All of the above 24. For which of the following situations would the Rule for Sample Means not apply? A. B. C. D. E. A random sample of size 20 is drawn from a skewed population. A random sample of size 50 is drawn from a skewed population. A random sample of size 20 is drawn from a bell-shaped population. A random sample of size 50 is drawn from a bell-shaped population. All of the above 25. Which one of the following statements is false? A. The sampling distribution of any statistic becomes approximately normal for large sample sizes. B. The sampling distribution of the sample mean becomes approximately normal for large sample sizes. C. The sampling distribution of the sample mean is exactly normal if the observations are normally distributed. D. The standard deviation of the sample mean decreases as the sample size increases. E. All of the above 26. Suppose that the mean of the sampling distribution for the difference in two sample means is 0. This tells us that A. B. C. D. E. the two sample means are both 0. the two sample means are equal to each other. the two population means are both 0. the two population means are equal to each other. None of the above 170 Chapter 9 Questions 27 – 29 A large car insurance company is conducting a study on behavior behind the wheel to explain the fact that male drivers (who tend to be thought of as more aggressive drivers) have more accidents, on average, per year, than female drivers. The average number of accidents per year for male drivers is 2.3 with a standard deviation of 0.8 and for female drivers the mean is 1.7 with a standard deviation of 0.6. Independent random samples of 25 male and 20 female drivers are to be selected to take part in the behavior study. 27. If the sample mean number of accidents is to be calculated for both the male and female drivers and we calculate the difference as male – female, what is the expected value (mean) for the difference in sample means? A. B. C. D. E. 1.7 2.3 0.6 0.8 4.0 28. If the sample mean number of accidents is to be calculated for both the male and female drivers and we calculate the difference as male – female, what is the standard deviation of the sampling distribution of the difference in sample means? A. B. C. D. E. 0.0436 0.2088 0.2942 0.7 0.14 29. Suppose we can assume that the number of accidents per year is normally distributed, both for males and for females. What is the probability that the average number of accidents in the sample of 25 male drivers is less than the average number of accidents in the sample of 20 female drivers? A. B. C. D. E. 0.9980 0.0020 0.0207 0.2266 0.7734 171 Chapter 9 30. Assume that the duration of human pregnancies can be described by a Normal model with mean 262 days and standard deviation 13 days. A certain obstetrician is currently providing prenatal care to 30 pregnant women. Let y represent the mean length of their pregnancies. What is the probability that the mean duration of these patient’s pregnancies will be less than 263 days? A. B. C. D. E. 0.6628 0.3372 0.5596 0.2817 0.4010 172