Homework 2 Economics 503 Foundations of Economic Analysis 1. We observe the income of the consumers of diamond rings increase by 10%. We observe that the equilibrium consumption of diamond rings goes up by 5%. Explain why, ceteris paribus, we can infer that diamond rings are normal, but why we can’t say if they are income elastic luxury goods or income inelastic. Use at most 1 paragraph and 1 graph. If diamond rings are luxury goods, a 10% increase in income of diamond ring consumers will increase demand for diamond rings by more than 10% at any given price. If the supply curve is sufficiently inelastic, a shift in demand may lead to a sufficiently large rise in price such that actual diamonds purchase rises by less than 10%. However, if diamond rings were inferior goods, a rise in relevant income would result in lower demand at any price level, an effect that might be ameliorated to an extant by a decline in prices, but not completely offset to the extant that actual purchases would rise. S P 10% D′ D <10% Q 2. For reasons of safety, the Chinese government orders the closure of 75% of the coal mines currently operating in the PRC. Draw a graph of the effect of this on closure on the world coal market. Draw a graph of the effect of this on the world oil market. Explain your graphs in 1 paragraph or less. Closing most Chinese coal mines would be a large reduction in supply of coal at any price level. Coal supply would shift in. This would result in an increase in the equilibrium price of coal. Coal is a substitute for oil. An increase in the price of a substitute would cause the demand for oil to increase at any price level. In equilibrium, this would lead to a rise in the price oil. World Coal Market S′ P S D′ D Q P S World Oil Market D′ D Q 3. The cross price elasticity of oil with respect to Sport Utility Vehicles is -.1. The governments of the world agree to a tax on SUV’s which raise the price of SUV’s world-wide by 10%. Calculate the size of the shift in the demand curve for oil that results. The short-term price elasticity of demand for oil is -.061. The short-term price elasticity of supply for oil is .04. Calculate the short-run effect (in % terms) of the tax increase on the equilibrium price and quantity of oil sold in the world market in. The long-term price elasticity of demand for oil is .3; the long-term price elasticity of supply is .35. Calculate the long run % change in the equilibrium change in the price and quantity caused by this tax. The cross price elasticity is -.1. This means a 10% rise in the price of SUV’s reduces demand for oil by -.1*10% = -1%. This shifts demand at any given price level by 1%. However, a shift down in demand would result in a decline in both price and quantity. 1 1% . Since the The change in the equilibrium price is given as by % P* S e eD supply curve is not shifted, we will experience a movement along the supply curve. Therefore the changes in equilibrium quantity will be eS * %P* . In the short run, with eS = .04 and eD = -.061 we would see the price increase by %P* = -9.9% and the quantity increase by %Q* = -.04*9.9% = - .396%. In the long run, with eS = .35 and eD = -.3, the long-term price change will be %P*l 1/.65 * -1% = -1.538% and the quantity change will be %Q* = .35*-1.538% = -.538%. 4. Posit a simple demand curve for breakfast cereal of the form Q = 100 - 5P. Calculate Q and Revenue (R) at each of the following price points. What is the price elasticity of demand as we move from price point to price point? Calculate the % change in revenue relative to the % change in prices as the price changes. What is the price point where revenue is largest? Explain why raising prices above that point does not increase revenues. 5 75 Revenue 375 6 70 420 7 65 455 Price Q 8 60 480 9 55 495 10 50 500 11 45 495 12 40 480 13 35 455 14 30 420 15 25 375 %ΔR/%ΔP Elasticity 0.622642 -0.37931 0.52 -0.48148 0.40107 -0.6 0.261538 -0.73913 0.095477 -0.90476 -0.10553 -1.10526 -0.35385 -1.35294 -0.66845 -1.66667 -1.08 -2.07692 -1.64151 -2.63636 At price = 10, revenue is largest. At lower prices, elasticity of demand is less elastic than -1. This means that a 1% rise in prices results in a less than 1% decline in demand which means that a price rise will increase revenue. At higher prices, demand becomes more elastic and raising prices above 10 results in bigger declines in demand offsetting higher prices and reducing revenue. ; 5. Below are short-term and long-term demand schedules for petroleum as well as a supply schedule. Assume that the supply schedule is the same in the long-term and the short-term. Calculate the equilibrium level of price and quantity. Assume that a conflict in the Middle East permanently reduces the amount of oil that can be supplied at any price level. After the shock, only 94% of the previous level is supplied at any price level. Calculate the new supply schedules. Assuming the shortrun and long-run demand curves are unchanged, calculate the new price of oil in the short-term and in the long-term (within a range of $5). Price 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 Demand Short-term Long-term 31,060.3 48,317.8 30,301.5 40,259.2 29,774.4 35,370.7 29,371.9 31,991.4 29,047.0 29,471.5 28,775.2 27,496.4 28,541.7 25,892.8 28,337.4 24,556.2 28,155.8 23,419.1 27,992.6 22,435.9 27,844.4 21,574.4 27,708.8 20,811.1 27,583.8 20,128.6 Lower Supply Supply 26032.06 27,693.7 26457.7 28,146.5 26763.92 28,472.3 27003.87 28,727.5 27201.53 28,937.8 27369.77 29,116.8 27516.35 29,272.7 27646.3 29,411.0 27763.06 29,535.2 27869.1 29,648.0 27966.27 29,751.3 28055.95 29,846.8 28139.24 29,935.4 Originally, demand is greater than supply whenever the price of oil is lower than $30. Supply is greater than demand whenever price is above $35. Equilibrium lies between $30 and $35. After the shock, demand is greater than supply in the short-run whenever price is below $55. Supply is greater than demand only when price is above $60. Short-run equilibrium price is between $55 and $60. In the long-run, equilibrium price is between $35 and $40.