PR OJECT TITLE: Scaling Up Sweetpotato Through Agriculture and Nutrition (SUSTAIN) Assumptions IMPACT Indicator Baseline 2013/2014 Milestone 1 (Aug 2015) Milestone 2 (Aug 2016) Target + July 2018 Improved nutritional security and vitamin A intakes by women and young children in 4 subSaharan (SSA) African countries 1) % of children age 623 months meeting the minimum standard with respect to IYCF: Kenya: 38% Rwanda: 17% Malawi: 19% Mozambique: 13% 30% improvement of index of frequency of consumption of vitamin A rich foods among implementation households 40% improvement of index of frequency of consumption of vitamin A rich foods among implementation households 50% improvement of index of frequency of consumption of vitamin A rich foods among implementation households 25% of implementation households practices minimum level of IYCF practices 30% of implementation households practices minimum level of IYCF practices 40% of implementation households practices minimum level of IYCF practices 25% increase in production of sweetpotato by the intervention households as OFSP since 2014 50% increase in production of sweetpotato by the intervention households as OFSP since 2014 75% increase in production of sweetpotato by the intervention households as OFSP since 2014 2) 3) Semi-quantitative index of frequency of consumption of all vitamin A rich foods during past 7 days among women and children <2 yrs and children 3-5 yrs of age in rural & urban households, disaggregated by gender of household head Minimum level of infant and young child feeding practices (IYCF)* attained among 6-23 month old children, disaggregated by gender of household head Estimate of production (tons) of OFSP, disaggregated by gender of household head The first two of these indicators are from national level Demographic & Health Surveys that are often repeated every 5 years; only Mozambique includes OFSP (as distinct % of children 6-23 months of age consuming vitamin rich foods in last 24 hrs: Kenya: 67% Rwanda: 73% Malawi: 73% Mozambique: 58% National production of OFSP: Mozambique (2012): 133,162 tons Other countries.. unknown; would have to be established during project baseline OFSP varieties in use yield at least as well as local sweetpotato varieties in expansion area Infrastructure and staff available at country level to support increase in output of foundation planting material Policies for integrating agriculture with nutritional concerns remain favourable at the country and regional level. At national level in DHS surveys, expect to see significant improvement in key indicators Source: External evaluation team will collect indicators at the project level 3 times: at baseline (expected data collection from Jan-Mar 2014); at milestone 2, and at endline (July 2018) Demographic & Health Surveys: Rwanda (2010), Malawi (2010), Mozambique (2011), Kenya (2008-2009) and Project annual reports. *Breastfed children are considered to be fed within the minimum standards if they consume at least four food groups and receive food other than breast milk two to three times per day in the Logframe: Scaling Up Sweetpotato Through Agriculture and Nutrition (SUSTAIN), led by the International Potato Center (CIP) 1 from other sweetpotato) in its national agriculture survey. case of infants 6-8 months and three to four times per day in the case of children 9-23 months. Non-breastfed children are considered to be fed in accordance with the minimum standards if they consume milk or milk products at least twice a day, are fed four food groups each day, and are fed at least four to five times per day (including milk feeds). OUTCOME Indicator Baseline 2013/2014 Milestone (Aug 2015) Milestone (Aug 2016) Target + 2018 Assumptions 1.2 million small-farming households with at least one under-five child (U5) in the household growing and consuming OFSP by 2018. % of those receiving vines who are producing OFSP one year later, disaggregated by gender of household head During baseline, will assess % of households already growing OFSP At least 70% of 296,000 households with U5 receiving OFSP vines in 2014 are still producing At least 70% of 576,000 households receiving OFSP vines in 2014 and 2015 are still producing At least 70% of households receiving OFSP vines in 2014, 2015, and 2016 are still producing Adequate quantities of OFSP vines will be available for distribution in a timely fashion, not lost to floods or droughts 400,000 rural and urban consumers purchasing an OFSP-based processed product Indicator Number of consumers purchasing an OFSP product in urban and rural areas 4 countries with adapted OFSP varieties available Women and young children in particular will like the taste and performance of the new OFSP varieties and the OFSP processed products Source: External evaluation team will collect indicators at the project level 3 times: at baseline (Jan-Mar 2014); at milestone 2, and at endline (July 2018) Project reports. In countries with regular national sample surveys of agriculture, survey results can serve as a source Baseline Milestone (Aug Milestone (Aug Target July 2018 2013/2014 2015 ) 2016) Macro-economic and political stability supports private sector investment Number of OFSP products available in rural and urban markets Sales data from existing products & average frequency of purchase At least 40,0000 consumers purchasing OFSP products (sales data & average frequency of purchase) At least 150,0000 consumers purchasing OFSP products (sales data & average frequency of purchase) At least 400,000 urban and rural households Value-added taxes do not drive the cost of the product beyond it reach of desired target group Source: Monitoring data collected in collaboration with private sector partners from sales records and rapid surveys of product purchasers Logframe: Scaling Up Sweetpotato Through Agriculture and Nutrition (SUSTAIN), led by the International Potato Center (CIP) 2 Indicator Baseline 2012 Milestone (Aug 2015 ) Milestone (Aug 2016) Target + 2018 Number of young children and pregnant women consuming OFSP, either as boiled roots or in other processed form by men, women, children < 5 years of age, and pregnant women and frequency of consumption, disaggregated by gender of household head Will assess frequency and amount of consumption of all types of sweetpotato during baseline (7 day recall) Number of women and young children are consuming OFSP on average at least once per week (at least 200,000) & more than 2 X per week; men at least once per month. Number of women and young children are consuming OFSP on average at least once per week (at least 600,000) & more than 2 X per week; men at least once per month. Women and young children are consuming OFSP on average at least 2 times per week (at least 1 million) ; men at least once per month. Source Project reports (1st 2 indicators from monitoring data); last indicator will be collected by external evaluation team INPUTS (£) DFID (£) 12,500,000 Govt (£) Other (£) Total (£) INPUTS (HR) DFID (FTEs) Each country will have a value chain specialist & sweetpotato technical specialist, plus administrative support to assure success. A regional level nutritionist will backstop all countries. OUTPUT 1 Indicator Baseline 2013/2014 Access to improved OFSP varieties by smallholders scaled up in 4 countries: Mozambique, Malawi, Rwanda, Kenya, reaching at least 1.2 million household having children less than children <5 years old. # of households receiving vines or multiplying improved OFSP varieties, including % of vine recipients who were women, disaggregated by gender of household head Through other projects have reached since 2009: Kenya: 11,000 Rwanda: 650 Malawi: 110,000 Mozambique: 182,000 Indicator Baseline 2013/2014 Milestone 1 (Aug 2015) Will have reached an additional: Milestone 2 (Aug 2016) Will have reached: Direct beneficiaries: 40,000 Indirect: 200,000 Milestone 1 (Aug 2015) Direct beneficiaries: 120,000 Indirect: 600,000 Milestone 2 (Aug 2016) DFID SHARE (%) Target July 2018 Assumptions Will have reached: Commitment by government Ministries of agriculture, health, and education to support integrated food-based approaches and contribute at least staff time in-kind Direct beneficiaries: 200,000 Indirect: 1,000,000 Target July 2018 Logframe: Scaling Up Sweetpotato Through Agriculture and Nutrition (SUSTAIN), led by the International Potato Center (CIP) OFSP varieties in use in 3 # of decentralized multiplication sites established with trained farmer multipliers, disaggregated by gender # existing multipliers in selected intervention areas at baseline At least 4 multipliers per district At least 6 multipliers per district At least 8 multipliers per district other locations in the target countries are acceptable in the new expansion areas No major political upheaval or climatic shock causing major interruption in timing of disseminations Partners interested in implementing an integrated ag-nutrition approach can be identified and agree to adopt common M&E system Source IMPACT WEIGHTING 50% Multipliers can be individuals or groups depending on context Indicator Yields of different varieties will be captured in subsamples to enable better production estimates Monitoring system data summarized in annual donor report Mid-term independent evaluation (Aug 2016) and final independent evaluation (Yr5) verify reported data Baseline Milestone 1 (August 2015) Milestone 2 (Aug 2016) Target (July 2018) Yields from on-farm trial data Yield assessment updated Yield assessment updated Yield assessment updated Source: Monitoring team in collaboration with project partners RISK RATING Low INPUTS (£) DFID (£) 8,604.221 (68.7% of total budget) Govt (£) INPUTS (HR) DFID (FTEs) Project agronomist will backstop training & implementation of sub-grantee’s agronomic staff OUTPUT 2 Indicator Access to improved nutritional knowledge & diversified use of OFSP by both female and male caregivers # of caregivers (female and male) reached through nutrition and diversified use training administered through pathways expecting to achieve behavioral change Baseline 2013/2014 Through other projects have reached since 2009: Kenya: 6,000 Rwanda: 490 Malawi: 55,000 Mozambique: 10,000 Other (£) Total (£) DFID SHARE (%) Milestone 1 (Aug 2015) Milestone 2 (Aug 2016) Target July 2018 Assumptions 40,000 caregivers reached 120,000 caregivers reached 200,000 direct beneficiary caregivers reached Available partner organizations in target areas will be willing to test and adapt innovative approaches and document their successes and failures during implementation. Kenya: 35,000 Rwanda: 60,000 Malawi : 70,000 Mozambique: All partners will be willing Logframe: Scaling Up Sweetpotato Through Agriculture and Nutrition (SUSTAIN), led by the International Potato Center (CIP) 4 35,000 Source: Monitoring data Indicator # of events (media, field day, classes) etc. held that promote the appropriate use of OFSP to improve nutrition and diversify its use Previous OFSP integrated agriculture-nutrition impact pathways adapted based on lessons learned and encountered cultural context in new areas Baseline Milestone 1 (Aug Milestone 2 (Aug Target July 2018 2013/2014 2015) 2016) Will conduct rapid assessments of events held by other OFSP promotion efforts to date. # events sponsored by project, with participation noted by gender whenever possible # events sponsored by project, with participation noted by gender whenever possible to follow appropriate coding schemes for expenditures and share cost date with cost analysis experts # events sponsored by project, with participation noted by gender whenever possible Source: Monitoring system data summarized in annual donor report Mid-term independent evaluation (Aug 2016) and final independent evaluation (Yr5) will assess degree of exposure to various events Indicator Baseline 2013/2014 Milestone 1 (Aug 2015) Milestone 2 (Aug 2016) Target + 2018 Change in level of indices capturing nutritional knowledge and attitudes and practices concerning sweetpotato among female and male caregivers Baseline levels will be measured in both intervention and control areas Focus groups discussions to assure messaging is on track At least 20% improvement in indices among female caregivers; 10% among men At least 50% improvement in indices among female caregivers, 30% among men IMPACT WEIGHTING Indicator Baseline 2013 Milestone 1 (Aug 2015) Milestone 2 (Aug 2016) Target +July 2018 20% Reports of focus group discussions and other qualitative data to assess current practice and ability to change behaviors Review of existing tools for behavioral change in the country; Rapid formative research will be conducted to assure that sociocultural context Focus groups discussions to assure messaging is on track and gender & age considerations are being fully taken into account Focus group discussions to pinpoint behaviors that are and are not changing Focus group and key informant discussions to assess degree of uptake and diversified utilization of OFSP and likelihood of permanent adoption Source: External evaluation team for quantitative data at baseline, for milestone 2 and final target. Monitoring team will conduct qualitative work at Milestone #1 Logframe: Scaling Up Sweetpotato Through Agriculture and Nutrition (SUSTAIN), led by the International Potato Center (CIP) 5 captured Source: Project nutritionist will lead this data collection in collaboration with implementing partners RISK RATING Medium INPUTS (£) DFID (£) 1,440,000 (12% of total budget) Govt (£) Other (£) Total (£) DFID SHARE (%) INPUTS (HR) DFID (FTEs) OUTPUT 3 Indicator Baseline 2013 Milestone 1 (Aug 2015) Milestone 2 (Aug 2016) Target + 2018 Assumptions At least one commercially marketed processed product that uses OFSP as a major ingredient in each target country # of OFSP value added products on market Rwanda: Golden Power Biscuits (45% wheat flour replaced by OFSP puree) and OFSP doughnuts (andazi) on market made by local farmer groups; Research on a range of potential products & their potential socioeconomic target groups conducted and report of findings produced At least 1 new OFSP product under commercial development in each country At least 1 OFSP products commercially available in each country in major markets Economically viable OFSP based processed products can be developed that are liked by different consumer target groups (young, women, young children, etc.) Private sector companies agree to and continue to be willing to share sales volume and value information. Source: Monitoring data Project progress reports Indicator Baseline 2013 Milestone 1 (Aug 2015) Milestone 2 (Aug 2016) Target + 2018 # smallholder farmers linked to these value chains None Agreements between agroprocessor and smallholders completed At least 300 smallholders supplying each commercial processor At least 500 smallholders in each country are linked to major agro-processor Representative sub-samples of urban consumers from different socio-economic strata can be compiled and interviewed cost-effectively. Source: Monitoring data Project progress reports Logframe: Scaling Up Sweetpotato Through Agriculture and Nutrition (SUSTAIN), led by the International Potato Center (CIP) 6 IMPACT WEIGHTING Indicator Baseline 2013/March 2014 Milestone 1 (Aug 2015) 30% Sales levels of OFSP products and urban and rural stores and through ambulant traders Outlets belonging to agro-processor will be mapped as part of baseline exercise. Sales levels for each company exceed $20,000 per year for the product Milestone 2 (Aug 2016) Sales levels for each company exceed $80,000 per year for the product Target July 2018 Sales levels for each company exceed $100,000 per year for the product Source RISK RATING Medium INPUTS (£) DFID (£) 1,410,654 (11.3% of total budget) Govt (£) Other (£) Total (£) DFID SHARE (%) INPUTS (HR) DFID (FTEs) OUTPUT 4 Indicator Baseline 2013/2014 Milestone 1 (Aug 2015) Milestone 2 (Aug 2016) Target July 2018 Assumptions Evidence of achieving outcomes & disseminating findings # monitoring indicators and assessment tools, including qualitative tools, developed, tested and published Indicators from previous efforts & literature reviewed, modified if needed, and selected First set of indicators developed and field-tested (vine multiplication, value chains, nutrition/health) Indicators assessed and published; qualitative gender tool implemented for mid-term assessment; Exit strategies for sustained access to quality planting material and nutrition advise developed Additional assessment tools for each intervention area developed with partners External evaluation team will be hired by 15 November 2013 Trained staff of implementing partners collect quality monitoring data Source: Monitoring team, in consultation with implementing partners Indicator Baseline 2013 Milestone 1 (Aug 2015) Milestone 2 (Aug 2016) Target July 2018 # of studies that capture cost-effectiveness and assess the degree of sustainability of the 1 completed study for Uganda and Mozambique indicated cost- Qualitative assessment of project impact on gender roles & Preliminary costeffectiveness study in each country Evaluation of adoption of OFSP and recommended dietary practices Logframe: Scaling Up Sweetpotato Through Agriculture and Nutrition (SUSTAIN), led by the International Potato Center (CIP) 7 different delivery models (vine multiplication, value chains, nutrition/health) effective nutrition intervention gender equity and costeffectiveness of each country’s experience, highlight different approaches effect on gender equity and efficiency Baseline study will be conducted in Early 2014 Source: External evaluation team Reaching End Users and Mama SASHA studies for methodology 2012 Priority setting exercise on sweetpotato for Roots, Tubers & Bananas program Indicator Baseline 2013/2014 Milestone 1 (Aug 2015) Milestone 2 (Aug 2016) Target July 2018 # of regional technical conferences to share and improve tools & disseminate findings Annual attendance at Sweetpotato for Profit and Health Initiative (SPHI) meeting and at least one other regional technical meeting Participated in second conference, presenting project findings; Progress brief published & on Sweetpotato Knowledge Portal Participated in third conference, presenting project findings; Progress brief published & on Sweetpotato Knowledge Portal Participated in fifth conference, presenting project findings; Progress brief published & on Sweetpotato Knowledge Portal Source: Monitoring data, power point presentations; programs from conferences INPUTS (£) DFID (£) DFID (£) 960,000 (8% of total budget) INPUTS (HR) DFID (FTEs) Govt (£) Other (£) Total (£) DFID SHARE (%) Logframe: Scaling Up Sweetpotato Through Agriculture and Nutrition (SUSTAIN), led by the International Potato Center (CIP) 8