Chapter No.12 Estimation ESTIMATION Short Questions Q.1 What is meant by statistical inference? Ans: It is the conclusion made about the unknown value of the parameter of the population using information contained in an observed sample taken from population at random. Q.2 Define estimation. Ans: The statistical estimation is a procedure of making judgment about the unknown value of a population parameter by using sample observation. Q.3 Differentiate between estimator and estimate. Ans: Estimator is the rule or method that used to estimate a parameter, whereas an estimate is the numerical value obtained by sample data. Q.4 Explain estimator and estimate by example. Ans: If X1 ,X 2 ,.......,X n is a random sample of size"n"taken from population with mean μ, then X= Q.5 X is an estimator of μ and the value X is an estimate of μ. n What are the different types of estimation? Ans: Two types of estimation are: (1) Point Estimation (2) Interval Estimation. Q.6 Define point estimation. Ans: The method of finding the single unknown value of parameter from the sample values by using an estimator is called point estimation. Q.7 Define point estimate. Ans: A single numerical value calculated from sample data by using an estimator is called point estimate. Q.8 Define Interval estimation. Ans: The method of finding an interval, on the belief that it will include the parameter with a known probability is called interval estimation. Q.9 Define interval estimate. Ans: An interval, calculated on the belief that it will include the parameter with a known probability is called interval estimate. Senior Subject Specialist 1 0345 7412131 Chapter No.12 Estimation Q.10 What is meant by interval? Ans: The range of values is called interval. Example a, b Q.11 What is meant by confidence interval? Ans: An interval to which 100(1- )% probability is associated that it will include the parameter is called confidence interval. Example P(L< < U) = 1 - Q.12 What is confidence coefficient? Ans: 1 - or 100(1- )% probability associated with an interval that it will contain the parameter is called confidence coefficient. Confidence coefficient is also called level of confidence. Q.13 Estimator is a statistic, explain? Ans: Estimator is sample statistic used to estimate true value of population parameter, hence it is always statistic which is both function and random variable with probability function. Q.14 What are the properties of good point estimator? Ans: Properties of good point estimator are: (1) unbiased ness (2) efficiency ( 3) consistency (4) sufficiency Q.15 Explain unbiasedness. Ans: An estimator is defined to be unbiased when an estimator has its expected value equal to the true value of population parameter. Suppose be an estimator and is a parameter then, E( ) = , then is an unbiased estimator of E( ) , then is a biased estimator of E( )> , then is a Positive biased estimator of E( )< , then is a Negative biased estimator of Q.16 Write the formula of bias. Ans: Bias = E( ) - Q.17 Is an estimator a random variable? Ans: An estimator is a random variable having its own probability distribution. Q.18 Why interval estimation is useful? Senior Subject Specialist 2 0345 7412131 Chapter No.12 Estimation Ans: Interval estimation is useful, because interval estimation provide precision of the estimate. Q.19 What are advantages of interval estimation? Ans: It provides an interval of values that is lively to include the unknown true value of the parameter. Interval estimation provides precision of the estimate. Q.20 Describe methods for increasing precision. Ans: By decreasing standard error to estimate. By decreasing the confidence coefficient. Q.21 Define lower and upper confidence limits. Ans: The end point “L” and “U” that bound the confidence interval are called lower and upper confidence limit for parameter . Example P(L< < U) = 1 - Q.22 What is the effect on confidence interval for , if “n” decreases? Ans: The length of confidence interval for “ ” increases by “n” decreasing. Q.23 When finite population correction factor can be ignored for estimating ? Ans: The finite population correction factor can be ignored when sample size “n” is less than 5% of population size “N”. Q.24 What are large sample and small sample? Ans: When n 30 samples is called large size otherwise small sample. Q.25 Define t – statistic. Ans: Let a small sample of size n<30 is drawn from a normal population with unknown variance, then the sampling distribution of the statistic t= X-μ with "v" d.f s n Q.26 Describe the term degree of freedom. Ans: Degree of freedom represents the number of independent random variable that expresses the sampling distribution. Q.27 How the width of confidence interval can be decreased? Ans: The width of confidence interval can be decreased by: (i) Increasing the sample size. (ii) Decreasing confidence coefficient (level of confident) Senior Subject Specialist 3 0345 7412131 Chapter No.12 Estimation Q.28 What is the best estimator of population proportion? Ans: x n The best estimator of population proportion “ ”is P = Q.29 What is the pooled estimator of population mean and population proportion? Ans: The pooled estimator of population mean is X p n1 X1 n2 X 2 n1 n2 The pooled estimator of population proportion is n1 P1 n2 P2 n1 n2 Q.30 Give pool estimator of population variance. Ans: The pooled estimator of variance is s 2p n1S12 n2 S22 n1 n2 2 IMPORTANT FORMULAE Confidence interval for population mean (1) (2) (3) When is known: X Z n 2 X Z 2 n When is unknown and sample size large: X Z When is unknown and sample size small: X t S S X Z 2 n n 2 s (v) n 2 X t S (v) 2 n Confidence interval for difference between population mean ( 1 2 ) (1) When Variances are known: 12 22 1 2 ( X 1 X 2 ) Z 2 n1 n2 (2) When Variances are unknown for large samples: ( X 1 X 2 ) Z 2 12 n1 22 n2 S12 S22 S12 S22 1 2 ( X 1 X 2 ) Z 2 2 n1 n2 n1 n2 (3) When Variances are unknown for small samples: ( X 1 X 2 ) Z ( X1 X 2 ) t (v) S p 1 1 1 2 ( X1 X 2 ) t n1 n2 Confidence interval for paired observation: d t (v) 2 2 sd d t d n 2 Senior Subject Specialist (v) 2 (v) S p 1 1 n1 n2 sd n 4 0345 7412131 Chapter No.12 Estimation Confidence interval for Population proportion: pq pq p z p z 2 2 n n Confidence interval for difference between Population proportions: ( p1 p2 ) z 2 p1q1 p2 q2 ( p1 p2 ) z 2 n1 n2 p1q1 p2 q2 n1 n2 Multiple Choice Questions Each question has four possible answers. Select correct answer. 1 The statistical inferences has types: (a) two 2 (b) data (c) variable (d) population (b) three (c) four (d) five (b) number (c) data (d) value (b) value (c) statistic (d) parameter (b) statistic (c) estimate (d) parameter (b) estimate (c) observed value (d) observation A specific value calculated from sample is called (a) error 11 (d) values An point estimate is a specific value of an (a) estimator 10 (c) parameters Point estimator is used to estimate the unknown true value of population (a) data 9 (b) observation A point estimator is a sample (a)estimate 8 (d) unknown The object of point estimation is to obtain a single (a) digit 7 (c) universe The statistical estimation of population has types (a) two 6 (b) sample data Statistical estimation examine the entire (a) sample 5 (d)five Statistical estimation procedures provide estimates of population (a) data 4 (c) four Population parameters are estimated from (a) random variable 3 (b) three (b) statistic (c) parameter (d) bias A function that used to estimate a parameter is called Senior Subject Specialist 5 0345 7412131 Chapter No.12 (a) bias 12 Estimation (b) error (c) estimator (d) estimation (c) biased estimator (d) unbiased If E( ) = , then is called (a) negatively biased (b) positively biased estimator 13 A statistic is said to be positively biased if (a) E( 14 )> (b) sample proportion (c) sample median (d) all of these (c) P (d) (b) estimator (c) estimation (d) error (b) level of confidence (c) power test (d) none of these X X (b) 90% (c) 95% (d) 99% (b) (c) 1 - (d) (b) confidence interval (c) size of AR (d) size of CR (b) 40 (c) 1000 (d) all of these (c) 30 (d) all of these (c) n is large (d) none of these A small sample contains less than values (b) 25 In applying t –test when is (a) known 25 (d) none of these A large sample contains more than values (a) 5 24 )= Level of significance is also called (a) 30 23 (c) E( Level of significance is denoted by (a) power test 22 )< Which of the following is level of confidence, if level of significance is 0.05 (a) 1- 21 (d) none of these 1 - is called (a) 5% 20 )= E(T) - is equal to (a) level of significance 19 (b) E( (b) (a) bias 18 (c) E( The point estimator of “u” is (a) X 17 )< These statistic’s are an unbiased (a) sample mean 16 (b) E( A statistic is said to be negatively biased if (a) E( 15 )> (b) unknown t – distribution is used when Senior Subject Specialist 6 0345 7412131 Chapter No.12 Estimation (a) population is normal 26 (b) three (b) biased (b) different (d) none of these (b) English letter (c) Latin letters (d) Roman letters (b) decreasing (c) decumulative (d) none of these (b) increase (c) no effect (b) no effect (d) none of these (c) fixed (d) decrease (c) > (d) none of these (c) variance (d) proportion X is an unbiased estimator if E( X ) is (b) < “P” is an unbiased estimator of (a) mean (b) median n s2 (X i 1 i X )2 n 1 n S2 (c) three values The width of confidence interval decrease if the confidence co-efficient is (a) = 35 (d) b & c By decreasing X the length of confidence interval for (a) increase 34 (d) none of these a&b Bias is (a) decrease 33 (c) Population parameters are denoted by (a) cumulative 32 (d) ten (c) opposite (b) range of value (a) Greek letters 31 (c) five In interval estimation, we always get (a) single value 30 (d) all of these Interval estimation and confidence interval are (a) same 29 (c) n is small If E(s2) = 2 then s2 is estimator (a) unbiased 28 is unknown The precision can be increased by methods (a) two 27 (b) (X i 1 i is an unbiased estimator of 2 X )2 n is a biased estimator of 2 AHMAD NAWAZ NASIR SSS (STATISTICS) Senior Subject Specialist 7 0345 7412131