Oman College of Management & Technology Department of Computer Science Baraka, Oman Tel. (968) 26893366 Fax (968) 26893068 (502104) Probability Class sections and Lecturers: Section 1: 8:30 - 10 Mon and Wed C5 Loay AlNeamy Instructors Office Hours: Email: Office Location: Office Hours: Website: Loay.alneimy@omancollege.edu.om 223 Sun, Tue, Thu 10:30-11:30, 13:30-14:30 Mon, Wed 10:00 – 11:30 www.omancollege.edu.om/loay Course Code : 502104 Course Name : Probability Semester / Session : First 2015/2016 Credit Hours : 3 Hrs Course Prerequisites : - Course Description The course covers the basic principles of the theory of probability and its applications. Topics include combinatorial analysis used in computing probabilities, the axioms of probability, conditional probability and independence of events; discrete and continuous random variables; joint, marginal, and conditional densities, moment generating function; laws of large numbers; binomial, Poisson, gamma, univariate, and bivariate normal distributions. Course objectives Know the definitions of permutations, combinations, distinguishable permuations, the hypergeometric distribution, Bernoulli trials, and the Binomial distribution. Know the "formal definitions" of Probability, conditional probability, mutually independent events, random variable, and the probability mass function of a random variable. Know the statement of the Multiplication Principle, the Multiplication Rule for probabilities, and Bayes' Theorem. Know how to prove properties of probability (e.g. P(A B) = P(A) +P(B) - P(A B), ...), Bayes' Theorem, properties of independence. Finally, be able to compute using enumeration techniques and apply them to probabilities and random variables. Be able to compute probabilities for joint probability distributions. Be able to compute marginal and conditional distributions, correlation coefficients, and expectations for random variables with joint distributions. Know the properties of independent random variables. Learning Outcomes After completing this course the student should be able to: Set functions including set notation and basic elements of probability Mutually exclusive events Addition and multiplication rules Independence of events Combinatorial probability Conditional probability Bayes Theorem / Law of total probability Teaching Methods The course will be based on the following teaching and learning activities: Power point presentations that covers the theoretical part Review questions Lab sessions Course Plan Course Time Table: Week 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Subjects Empirical and probability distribution Continuous-type data Time sequences Probability density and mass functions Properties of probability Methods of enumeration (First Exam) Conditional probability Independent events Bayes' theorem Discrete distribution Random variables of the discrete type (Second exam) The poisson distribution Random variables of the continuous type The uniform and exponent ional distribution The normal distribution Final Exam Evaluation Plan Modes Of Assessment First Exam Second Exam Assignments Final Exam Score 20% 20% 10% 50% * Makeup exams will be offered for valid reasons only. Makeup exams may be different from regular exams in content and format. Attendance Policy Lecture attendance is mandatory. Students are allowed maximally of 15% absentia of the total module hours. Teaching Resources Main Textbook : Probability and Statistical Inference (6th Ed.), by R. V. Hogg and E. A. Tanis, Prentice-Hall, 2001. ISBN: 0-13-027294-9 Recommended Books: Fundamentals of Applied Probability Theory, Drake.