Transmission and distribution pricing ABARE submission to the NECA review The central objective of transmission and distribution services pricing is the achievement of efficient outcomes in terms of network use, operation and maintenance, and investment (NECA 1997). Designing a satisfactory pricing structure for network services which achieves this objective is one of the most complex tasks of regulatory authorities. Yet, it is important to get the prices right as these have implications not only for efficiency in the use of the network system, but also for investment decisions on grid expansion, generator and customer location. In addition, in a vertically related electricity system the terms of network access also impinge on the effectiveness of competition at the production and retail ends of the electricity supply chain. The focus of ABARE’s submission is on economic efficiency in network pricing. In particular, the objectives in this submission are: • to provide a framework for achieving economic efficiency through network pricing arrangements; and • to address the following specific questions raised in the National Electricity Code Administrator’s issues paper (NECA 1997): – – – – How should network charges be structured in order to reflect the different cost components of network service provision? Does the code provide sufficient locational signals through the wholesale market arrangements and the network pricing arrangements? How can the network pricing arrangements encourage economic bypass, while ensuring that uneconomic bypass does not occur? What is the potential for contracts to be introduced for aspects of network service? 1. Framework for efficient network pricing An efficient pricing regime needs to reflect the costs incurred in providing network services. Transmission and distribution networks are characterised by high capital 1 intensities. Therefore, a high proportion of network costs is fixed and attributable to the capital costs of establishing network infrastructures. The variable costs associated with electricity transmission and distribution systems are relatively low and consist essentially of energy losses when capacity of the network is not constrained and of energy losses and congestion costs (as measured by the divergence of electricity spot market prices across regions) when capacity is constrained. Electricity networks are also subject to significant economies of scale, which implies that, for a given geographic area, transmission and distribution systems are natural monopolies. The high fixed costs and low variable costs have important implications for the pricing of network services if optimal network use and investment is to be delivered. 1.1 Efficient network use Efficiency in network use requires that network services be priced at levels reflecting the costs to society of supplying those services. Setting prices equal to short run marginal cost (SRMC) is a possible reference benchmark as it equates the cost of using an additional unit of access to the value of that unit of access to network users. SRMC includes only the costs directly associated with the provision of an additional unit of access and, therefore, does not cover capital costs and ongoing maintenance costs. This outcome reflects the sunk nature of fixed costs, such as infrastructure costs, which have no bearing on the efficient level of network utilisation for a given level of capacity. However, one of the major criticisms of marginal cost pricing in highly capital intensive industries, such as electricity transmission, is that marginal cost is typically below average cost when the network is not capacity constrained. Therefore, SRMC pricing is likely to lead to a shortfall in revenue for network service providers. In addition, when capacity is constrained, SRMC would not reflect the additional capital cost incurred in adjusting capacity to provide an extra unit of access services. The implementation of SRMC pricing also requires regulators to have access to information on costs. There is a number of pricing options which allow the regulator to balance the need for efficient pricing, as embodied in SRMC pricing, against the need to finance investment (Berg and Tschirhart 1988; Armstrong, Cowan and Vickers 1994). Ramsey pricing, for example, provides a means to cover the regulated firm's costs by a mark-up over marginal cost which is inversely proportional to the demand 2 elasticities of different user groups (Berg and Tschirhart 1988). Another option is a two-part tariff with variable prices set at marginal cost and an access fee to cover any financial deficit. The major objective of these pricing regimes is to allocate fixed costs in a manner that minimises the distortions caused by any deviation from marginal cost pricing. 1.2 Efficient network investment The design of network pricing regulation has significant implications for investment decisions. Long run marginal cost (LRMC), which includes the capital cost of augmenting the network and the cost of operating the extended network relative to the cost of operating the facility at existing capacity, provides better signals for long term investment decisions than SRMC. Investment in capacity is optimal if a user’s willingness to pay for an additional unit of network services in peak periods is greater than the LRMC of expanding the network. However, LRMC pricing distorts prices away from their optimal levels in the short run when capacity is not constrained. It is therefore generally accepted that it is difficult to design a pricing regime that allocates existing capacity efficiently and also provides the correct incentives to expand the network (Hinchy and Low 1993; King 1995). Even if the focus was on providing the right economic signals for investment through LRMC pricing at least in periods when capacity constraints are binding, there are several factors which are likely to distort investment decisions. First, there are both positive and negative externalities inherent in electricity networks because networks are typically shared assets. For example, the upgrading of a line may not benefit only users who are directly affected by the expansion but it could also provide indirect benefits to all users in terms of enhanced system security. To the extent that the marginal benefits experienced by all users exceed the marginal benefit of an individual investor at that individual’s optimal investment quantity, this could result in a lower level of investment than is socially desirable (Bushnell and Stoft 1997). In addition, transmission and distribution systems are natural monopolies. A network owner assessing the optimal capacity for a new or expanded line would invest only up to the point where the marginal revenue produced by the additional capacity is equal to the marginal cost. Therefore, monopolistic behavior would also lead to underinvestment in network capacity. 3 For these reasons, it may be difficult to achieve ‘first best’ outcomes for network investment through market based incentives only. This suggests that some central coordination of grid expansion would be required for procedural oversight and assessment of the market investment process. In particular, the oversight would need to ensure that investment decisions provide a cost effective way of meeting additional electricity demand after equal consideration of network augmentation, additional generation and demand side management options. Nonetheless, the role of the price mechanism in terms of providing clear signals about the need for additional capacity should not be overlooked. 1.3 Efficient location of new generation and load In order to promote efficient location of new generation and load, network prices should be location dependent, thus reflecting the location dependent costs that new generating facilities or end use loads impose on transmission and distribution systems. This pricing regime would need to reflect the positive correlation between the costs of transmission and distribution and the distance between generation and load. In many ways a pricing regime which delivers efficient use of the existing infrastructure would also send the appropriate price signals for efficient location of new supply and demand facilities. This requires a pricing system which reflects marginal energy losses and also congestion costs when capacity is binding. If fixed costs are to be covered, the provision of locational pricing signals needs to involve the allocation of these costs on a location dependent basis. 2. Network pricing issues The key feature of an efficient network pricing regime is a high degree of cost reflectivity, with marginal cost as the appropriate cost parameter rather than average cost. However, it is also clear from the previous section that, in practice, an access regime based strictly on marginal cost pricing may be made difficult by a number of considerations. In the following section comments are provided on specific questions raised in the NECA issues paper and some guidelines are provided on how these should be addressed to achieve efficient outcomes. 2.1 Costs of network services How should network charges be structured in order to reflect the different cost components of network service provision? 4 The pricing methodology proposed in the National Electricity Code for covering fixed costs is a combination of cost reflective pricing (defined as a pattern of pricing which reflects the differentials in cost related to distance or the value of the assets used) and postage stamp pricing (which is essentially average cost pricing). Common costs that cannot be attributed to particular user groups are allocated on the basis of network use. The code also provides for connection costs to be covered through fixed charges to network users. Within this broad framework network charges can be designed to include one or more of the following components: a fixed charge, a demand component and an energy component. Variable network costs including energy losses and congestion rents are transacted through the wholesale spot market. The point of departure for an access regime which is to provide the right signals for efficient network use should be SRMC pricing, reflecting energy losses when capacity is not constrained and also congestion cost when capacity is constrained. However, given that SRMC is lower than average cost when capacity is not constrained, this approach may not deliver a sustainable revenue stream to network owners which includes a reasonable rate of return on investment, which is one of the objectives of the pricing regime as specified in the code. In this case, the distortions caused by average cost pricing can be reduced by adopting a nonlinear pricing regime such as a two-part tariff. A two-part tariff enables prices to approach SRMC while allowing network owners to cover fixed costs of service provision through an access fee. If the fixed charge does not encourage some network users to exit the market then nonlinear tariffs are clearly superior to uniform tariffs in terms of efficiency (Berg and Tschirhart 1988). In general, this situation would apply to electricity networks as demand for access services from most network users is unlikely to be sensitive to the access fee given that the demand for electricity is price inelastic. However, some users who have the option of bypassing the incumbent network service providers may be driven away if the access fee is perceived to be too high. The efficient nonlinear tariffs would then require that network owners be in a position to identify different user groups and tailor the tariffs to particular groups according to their elasticity of market participation with respect to prices and access fees. Alternatively, network service providers could be encouraged to offer self-selecting two-part tariffs in which consumers are provided with a range of tariffs to choose from (Brown and Sibley 1986). In essence, self-selecting tariffs allow users to select 5 the tariff that best fits their own demand with the objective of preventing a reduction in the market participation rate. A structure for network prices which aims to minimise distortions could therefore consist of an energy based charge which reflects the SRMC of network use and a fixed access fee which ideally should be completely insensitive to use. The access fee would cover both common costs, such as power system security, as well as costs of capital that are directly attributable to particular users. In practice, however, the fixed access fee is often determined on the basis of some measure of maximum demand, a measure which is not fully independent of use. A key consideration for a demand based charge is that it should reflect the costs that particular users impose on the system. This implies that the demand charge should be based on users’ demand during the time interval in which systemwide demand is at its peak rather than based on maximum demand irrespective of time. The latter approach does not account for spare capacity in the network and attempts to cover fixed cost in of!f-peak periods may deter the utilisation of this capacity. The concept of marginal cost is an important prerequisite for any efficient pricing regime. It is clear that the feasibility of an optimal tariff structure depends highly on the availability of information on demand and cost profiles. Asymmetric information can be an important issue for network pricing because regulators typically have less information than network service providers. While access to demand and cost information may be difficult to obtain, prices determined without this information are likely to be inconsistent with economic efficiency (Baumol and Sidak 1994). This highlights the need for regulators to reduce information asymmetries through independent studies and yardstick comparisons where these are feasible. 2.2 Locational signals Does the code provide sufficient locational signals through the wholesale market arrangements and the network pricing arrangements? Locational pricing signals in the national electricity market are provided primarily through loss factors in the determination of merit order dispatch for generators and the calculation of wholesale electricity prices, and through the cost reflective method proposed in the code for pricing the use of transmission services. 6 The key characteristic of an efficient pricing regime is that prices should reflect the underlying costs. The existing arrangements for network pricing, while providing some price signals for the location of new load and generation, are likely to distort network use and long term investment decisions for the following reasons: • Network losses The pricing of energy losses should be such as to provide signals about the costs of losses. The relevant cost parameters are marginal losses as these provide clear signals about the extent and timing of any congestion. The code provides for three types of losses: – – – interregional loss factors based on marginal losses; intraregional loss factors based on the average of marginal losses; and distribution loss factors based on average losses. Energy losses across regions in the national electricity market are to be based on incremental losses. This can be expected to provide appropriate price signals for investment in major interconnectors and the location of new generation and load across regions. However, the averaging of marginal transmission losses and of total distribution losses within regions is likely to weaken the signalling function of prices particularly given that regions in the national electricity market are broadly defined. To the extent that marginal losses are substantially higher than average losses, this would not provide the incentive for network users to minimise losses through locational and cyclical load adjustment. The distortions are likely to be more significant in periods when the differential between marginal and average losses is relatively high such as when capacity is constrained or when there i!s a large amount of spare capacity. The averaging of intraregional transmission and distribution losses are justified in the code by the complexity involved in calculating dynamic marginal losses at each connection point within a region. However, the merits of reducing the degree of averaging and moving toward full marginal cost pricing need to be reconsidered in the light of technological advances which would make the adoption of marginal pricing feasible across all segments of the network. • The postage stamp component It is proposed in the code that 50 per cent of network costs be covered through cost reflective prices which are location dependent with the balance to be covered on a postage stamp basis. Postage stamp pricing involves a uniform 7 price per unit of capacity used irrespective of distance. The postage stamp component is justified on the basis that full cost reflective pricing, as defined in the code, would oversignal locational costs (Gawler 1997). The oversignalling of locational costs would arise because the concept of cost reflective pricing as proposed in the code is based on average cost pricing rather than marginal cost pricing. Consequently, given that incremental cost is typically lower than average cost, a pricing method based on the latter would clearly inflate location based costs. A further justification for the postage stamp component i!s related to government social policy objectives regarding rural development. The common service rate resulting from the averaging of transmission and distribution costs would clearly lead to distortions in terms of network use and investment choices between additional network capacity, generation and demand side options. In particular, by reducing the degree of cost reflectivity through cross-subsidies, this approach would induce responses by market participants which do not reflect the underlying costs of network service provision. For example, the reduction in the degree of cost reflectivity could potentially provide incentives for inefficient entry and the duplication of network assets. It is therefore important that alternatives for achieving social policy objectives be canvassed as these objectives are often in conflict with economic efficiency goals. At the very least, the extent of network pricing cross-subsidies should be identified and funded explicitly through community service obligations. • The allocation of transmission charges Another feature of the proposed pricing regime which is likely to distort locational decisions is that generators are to pay network charges only for their ‘shallow’ connection costs (that is, the direct costs of connecting a new generator to the network and not for the costs of any subsequent augmentation elsewhere in the network). Fundamentally, customers pay for the bulk of use of system and common charges. This allocation of transmission costs can be expected to exacerbate the distortions resulting from the postage stamp component of network pricing by removing any incentive for generators to minimise transmission costs through locational decisions. To the extent that the location of new generation facilities is not regulated, this allocation would have the effect of creating additional 8 demand for transmission services, resulting in higher costs to consumers, without any consideration of the benefits involved in locating generation close to load centres. Moreover, the advantage of cogeneration in terms of savings in transmission costs would be reduced. If efficient outcomes in terms of location of generators are to be achieved, it is critical that the costs of transmission which are affected by the location of generation facilities be internalised as much as possible. The implication is that generators should be allocated transmission charges which are fully cost reflective and location dependent. 2.3 Network bypass How can the network pricing arrangements encourage economic bypass, while ensuring that uneconomic bypass does not occur? Network bypass occurs when a network user invests in new capacity which duplicates parts of the existing network infrastructure. The threat of bypass can be expected to result in a degree of contestability for the services provided by incumbent network service providers. In particular, the option to bypass ensures that incumbent network owners cannot charge users more than it would cost to duplicate the service themselves. The costs that a user would incur by bypassing a segment of the network include the stand alone cost of establishing the necessary infrastructure in addition to the variable costs attached to the level of network use (NECA 1997). The code does not explicitly promote or restrict network bypass; however, there is a case for the code to encourage efficient bypass which reduces total network cost. Bypass is privately beneficial if the per unit cost of transmission or distribution along the newly built segment of the network is less than the network price charged by the incumbent network owner. However, socially efficient bypass may not coincide with private incentives to bypass when externalities are present or when network prices are not reflective of the costs of service provision. For example, a user’s private decision to bypass is not likely to take into account the costs which are external to that user. These may include the cost of stranded assets and the higher cost burden borne by the remaining captive customers. In contrast, bypass is socially efficient or economic if the cost to society of meeting the demand for network services is lower with a bypass than without. 9 The likelihood of inefficient bypass increases if network prices are greater than the cost of network service provision. One example of where network prices may not reflect the cost of service provision is when a network owner is in a position to exercise market power to earn monopoly rents. Equally, prices may not reflect costs if network prices include some degree of cross-subsidisation for social policy reasons. An example of this situation is the use of postage stamp pricing which results in users paying an average of the cost of services over large segments of the network. Through postage stamp pricing, users of low cost segments of the network will face network charges which are higher than the cost of service provision. The divergence between private and social incentives for bypass may be reduced by: • removing cross-subsidies inherent in average cost pricing; • allowing negotiation to reduce prices to a more cost reflective level for those users who threaten to bypass; and • regulating against socially inefficient bypass. To the extent that it may not be feasible to remove cross-subsidies, allowing different network prices to different users may represent a more viable means of reducing inefficient bypass. If users threaten to bypass in response to prices which do not reflect the costs of service provision then a system of negotiation between these users and the incumbent network owner may reduce inefficient bypass (Groom 1996). Faced with the threat of bypass, an incumbent network service provider would be willing to reduce its network price to a more cost reflective level and, hence, the negotiated outcome would make both parties better off than if the bypass had gone ahead. However, this market based approach for dealing with non cost reflective prices does not provide a solution to the problem of external costs which are imposed on stakeholders other than the negotiating parties. Similarly, if the incumbent network owner is in a position to exercise market power over the captive users,! the negotiation approach may lead to welfare losses as the incumbent attempts to recover the revenue forgone through higher charges to the remaining users. The scope for inefficient bypass could thus be reduced through a regulatory system which allows bypass only when it can be shown that the net public benefit of bypass is positive. This will require that regulators be able to identify the costs and benefits of bypass proposals on a case by case basis. Measures which remove any divergence between the cost and price of network services clearly provides a first best approach for reducing the potential for inefficient 10 bypass. However, the presence of externalities provides a role for a regulatory body to assess the social consequences of any private decision to bypass. 11 2.4 Contracts for network capacity What is the potential for contracts to be introduced for aspects of network service? Under the existing arrangements for network pricing, annual tariffs are used to allocate costs to network users. However, the pressure for capacity contracts is increasing as network users request differential standards of network services such as firm access and standby service (NECA 1997). One of the key advantages of capacity contracts over tariffs is that tradable property rights assigned to network capacity provide a means of allowing buyers and sellers to establish a market-clearing price for the use of network capacity. However, property right structures which would lead to an efficient allocation of network capacity need to be exclusive in the sense that all benefits and costs accrued as a result of owning and using network capacity are captured exclusively by the owner of the property right, transferable and enforceable (Tietenberg 1992). While some categories of network services satisfy these conditions, other types of network services are less amenable to a system of network access rights. In particular, when network capacity rights cannot be well defined the use of existing infrastructure and new investment resulting from a system of capacity rights are likely to be distorted. Capacity rights could be applied to new major interconnectors which are independent of the meshed transmission and distribution networks. The auctioning of these rights would provide a means of introducing competition in the provision of additional network capacity. In addition to using access rights for new interconnectors, a system of transferable transmission rights could also be adopted for the provision of firm or uninterrupted access to network users. This would allow the development of a market based mechanism for constrained transmission capacity with holders of these rights able to resell their rights in a short term secondary market. There are several important issues involved with a market based system for allocating constrained capacity. A major issue is the potential for the exercise of market power in the access rights market. If the market for firm access rights is not competitive, holders of transmission capacity rights may be in a position to raise the price of firm access above the competitive benchmark by increasing transmission constraints. For 12 example, large generation portfolios could behave strategically by creating congestion costs for rival generators through their bidding strategies. Therefore, it will be necessary to monitor market outcomes if the scope for the exercise of market power is assessed to be significant. Conclusion The key focus of the NECA review is on the allocation of network costs to network users in a manner which is consistent with economic efficiency objectives. An efficient network pricing regime is characterised by a high degree of cost reflectivity, with marginal cost as the benchmark. The various considerations that may reduce the feasibility of marginal cost pricing call for pricing arrangements that minimise the welfare losses associated with deviation from marginal cost. However, any pricing regime designed to deliver efficient outcomes would require that regulators have access to information on demand and cost profiles of network services. It is virtually impossible to formulate network prices which would provide appropriate signals for network use and investment without information on demand elasticities, market participation elasticities, short and long run marginal costs, the extent of cross-subsidies and capacity constraints. Regulators can generally be expected to have less information on these variables than network owners themselves. It will therefore be important that this asymmetry be addressed through independent studies and comparative assessments where possible. References Armstrong, M., Cowan, S. and Vickers, J. 1994, Regulatory Reform: Economic Analysis and British Experience, MIT, London. Baumol, W. and Sidak, J. 1994, Toward Competition in Local Telephony, MIT, London. Berg, S. and Tschirhart, J. 1988, Natural Monopoly Regulation, Cambridge University Press, England. Brown, S. and Sibley, D. 1986, The Theory of Public Utility Pricing, Cambridge University Press, England. 13 Bushnell, J. and Stoft, S. 1997, ‘Improving private incentives for electric grid investment’, Resource and Energy Economics, vol. 19, no. 1, pp. 87–108. Gawler, R. 1997, Electricity transmission issues, Paper presented at the IIR Conference, ‘The Electricity Spot Market’, Melbourne, 12–13 February. Groom, E. 1996, Implementation issues, presented at the ACCC’s National Electricity Market network pricing forum, Canberra. Hinchy, M. and Low, J. 1993, Electricity Transmission and Bulk Pricing under Deregulation, ABARE Research Report 93.14, Canberra. King, S. 1995, Access Pricing, Discussion Paper for the Government Pricing Tribunal of New South Wales, Research Paper no. 3, Sydney, February. National Electricity Code Administrator (NECA) 1997, Transmission and Distribution Pricing Review: Issues in Network Pricing, Sydney, December. Tietenberg, T. 1992, Environmental and Natural Resource Economics, third edition, HarperCollins, New York. 14 15