Residual Income Valuation Prof. Dr. Martin Užík Residual Income 2 - Residual income is net income less a charge (deduction) for common shareholders’ opportunity cost in generating net income. - Recent years have seen a resurgence in its use as a valuation approach, also under such names as economic profit, abnormal earnings and Economic Value Added®. Primary uses of Residual Income 3 - Measurement of internal corporate performance - Estimation of the intrinsic value of common stock - We focus on the residual income model for valuation of common stock. Residual income vs traditional accounting income - Traditional financial statements are prepared to reflect earnings available to owners. Net income includes an expense to represent the cost of debt capital (interest expense). Dividends or other charges for equity capital are not deducted. Traditional accounting leaves to the owners the determination as to whether the resulting earnings are sufficient to meet the cost of equity capital. - The economic concept of residual income, on the other hand, explicitly considers the cost of equity capital. 4 Residual Income Calculation - One approach is to compute the cost of equity capital (in terms of currency), which we term an equity charge, and subtract this from net income, as follows: - Equity Charge = Equity Capital х Cost of Equity Capital in % Tax Rate Total Assets Equity Ratio Debt Ratio rD (Cost of Debt) rCAPM EBIT Interest Expenses EBT Tax Expenses EAT (Net Income) Equity Charge = Cost of Equity (in EUR) Residual Income 5 30% 870.000,00 € 40% 60% 5,4% 13,5% 115.000,00 € 28.188,00 € 86.812,00 € 26.043,60 € 60.768,40 € 46.980,00 € 13.788,40 € Tax Rate 30% Total Assets 870.000,00 € Equity Ratio 40% Debt Ratio 60% rD (Cost of Debt) 5,4% rCAPM 13,5% EBIT 35.000,00 € Interest Expenses 28.188,00 € EBT 6.812,00 € Tax Expenses 2.043,60 € EAT (Net Income) 4.768,40 € Equity Charge = Cost of Equity (in EUR) 46.980,00 € Residual Income - 42.211,60 € Residual Income - Residual income has also been called economic profit since it represents the economic profit of the firm after deducting the cost of all capital, debt and equity. - The term abnormal earnings is also used. Assuming that over the long term the firm is expected to earn its cost of capital (from all sources), any earnings in excess of the cost of capital can be termed abnormal earnings. - One example of several competing commercial implementations of the residual income concept is Economic Value Added (EVA®) trademarked by Stern Stewart & Company. EVA® is computed as - 6 EVA® = (rROCE – rWACC) x Capital - NOPAT is the firm’s net operating profit after taxes, - rROCE = return on capital employed - C is total capital. rROCE NOPAT Capital Residual income vs traditional accounting income In the Residual Income Model (RIM) of valuation, the intrinsic value of the firm has two components: 1. The current book value of equity, plus 2. The present value of future residual income This can be expressed algebraically as RI t Et rBt 1 P0 B0 B0 t t ( 1 r ) ( 1 r ) t 1 t 1 B0 is the current book value of equity, Bt is the book value of equity at time t, RIt is the residual income in future periods, r is the required rate of return on equity, Et = net income during period t, RIt = Et – rBt-1. 7 RIM Valuation Tax Rate Total Assets Equity Ratio Debt Ratio rD (Cost of Debt) rCAPM EBIT Interest Expenses EBT Tax Expenses EAT (Net Income) Equity Charge = Cost of Equity (in EUR) Residual Income Nomber of Shares eps (earnings per share) book equity Value per share rCAPM RI per share Share Price 30% 870.000,00 € 40% 60% 5,4% 13,5% 115.000,00 € 28.188,00 € 86.812,00 € 26.043,60 € 60.768,40 € 46.980,00 € 13.788,40 € 13000 4,67 € 26,77 € 0,14 € 1,06 € 34,63 € RI t Et rBt 1 4,67 0,135 * 26,77 P0 B0 B 26 , 77 34,63 0 t t 0,135 t 1 (1 r ) t 1 (1 r ) 8