Probability and Statistics I & II – Math 502AB Monday/Wednesday 5:30-­‐8:15 p.m. PST LH 302 (in-­‐person) or via Polycom (two-­‐way stream) MediaSite (one way delayed stream) Instructor: Office: Office Hours: !
!
!
Phone: Fax: Email: Webpage: Classroom Phone Online Tech Support IP Address
!
Mortaza (Mori) Jamshidian, Ph.D. MH-­‐182I Monday 1:30-­‐2:30 p.m. PST (MH 182I) Wednesday 3:50-­‐4:50 p.m. PST (MH 182I) Thursday 6:00-­‐7:00 p.m. PST (Via AdobeConnect – See my webpage), Or by appointment 657-­‐278-­‐2398 657-­‐278-­‐1431 mori@fullerton.edu hGp://mathfaculty.fullerton.edu/mori 657-­‐278-­‐4419 Andrew Pasmant (657) 278-­‐2557, Kang Hwang 657-­‐278-­‐4030
!
Your e-­‐mail address wanted: You are required to fill out the ques.onnaire, linked to the web URL below, no later than tomorrow 5:00 p.m. In the sec.on that asks for an email address, please include an address that you check regularly (not necessarily your school e-­‐mail). !
hGps://www.surveymonkey.com/r/BZ6LMDX I will send various communiqué, including online quizzes, through e-­‐mail. A “test e-­‐mail” will be sent to everyone by Wednesday. If you do not receive this test e-­‐mail, please see me ASAP on Wednesday aXer class to resolve any problems there may be. Note: Any credit that you lose due to not establishing your e-­‐mail connec.on with me on .me will be your responsibility. Text: Casella, G. and Berger, R. L. (2001). Sta$s$cal Inference, Second Edi.on, Duxbury Advanced Series. !
Software: There will be some minimal use of R in this class. R is a free soXware environment for sta.s.cal compu.ng and graphics. It compiles and runs on a wide variety of UNIX plaaorms, Windows and MacOS. You can download R from one of the CRAN mirror sites. !
Dropbox: Those who do not aGend class in person will turn-­‐in their assignments, quizzes, projects, and exams through Dropbox. If you already have a Dropbox, please provide the email address that is linked to your Dropbox. If you don’t have a Dropbox account, I will send you a Dropbox invita.on. Please accept and install Dropbox locally to your machine. Once you have installed the Dropbox, I will share a folder with you, where you can place your documents for me to grade. This all must be in place before next Monday! !
Course Description: Math 502AB has two parts. In the first part we learn fundamentals of probability theory, including random variables, joint and condi.onal distribu.ons, expected values, major probability limit theorems, and some well-­‐known distribu.ons. The objec.ve in the second part is to u.lize the probability theory learnt in the first part for sta.s.cal inference. We will cover topics including parameter es.ma.on, especially maximum likelihood and method of moments, sufficiency, Bayesian es.ma.on, proper.es of es.mators, confidence and credible intervals, and hypothesis tes.ng. Grading: Quizzes/homework/projects will account for 20% of your grade. You must work on the quizzes individually. Homework will be assigned and collected occasionally on the due date without a previous announcement. About 24 hours before the homework due date, a quiz, in pdf format, will be e-­‐mailed to you that will be closely related to the assigned homework problems. You are to print out the quiz and answer the ques.ons on the printed page and turn the quiz in at the beginning of the next class. For those aGending class online, scan your solu.ons into a single pdf file and save it with appropriate name (e.g., quiz5.pdf) and place it in your shared folder in the Dropbox. Note: Mul.ple files are not accepted. Cell phone pictures are not accepted. The only accepted format is pdf. More about homework and quizzes: Generally your weekly homework is due on Wednesday of each week (except possibly for weeks with holidays or exams). You should aGempt to solve all the assigned problems prior to the due date, and ask any ques.ons that you may have in class on Monday prior to the due date and during my office hours. Your quizzes are usually due on Wednesdays and contain ques.ons related to the homework due that week. Two midterm exams (50%) and a final exam (30%) will be given. The exams may include take-­‐home por.ons. You will be allowed to bring in one page of crib-­‐sheet during each midterm exam and five pages of crib-­‐sheet during the final exam. LeGer grades will be assigned according to the distribu.on of the overall grades. Plus-­‐minus grading will be used. The following is a tenta.ve exam schedule: Exam I
Exam II
Final Exam
Wed. 9/30
Wed. 11/4
Mon. 12/14, 5:00-­‐6:50 p.m. PST
!
!
Late homework/projects/quizzes will not be accepted. Make-­‐up exams will be given only in extreme instances and only with advance permission of the instructor. Any student who does not take an exam at the scheduled .me without prior consent of the instructor will receive a grade of zero on that exam. If any student feels that a sudden illness is sufficiently extreme to warrant a make-­‐up exam, the instructor must be provided with documenta.on prepared by an appropriate authority.
!
Remote Assessment: All students, whether remote or local to CSUF, will take the exams that are not take-­‐home on the scheduled day and .me. If you are taking the exam remotely, you must have (1) a computer with Internet access, (2) speakers, a microphone, and a webcam, and (3) a scanner. !
!
Methods of Delivery of lectures: This course will be delivered synchronously in two ways: One mode of delivery is a live two-­‐way stream via the Internet from our classroom where students are physically present. Polycom, a system for live stream delivery of online courses, will be used. Informa.on on how to use Polycom will be provided prior to the first day of class. Also, as a backup system, Mediasite will be available. Mediasite has a delay of about 15 seconds, and should be used only in cases where Polycom cannot be used. A Mediasite link to each class session is also available (click here). A second mode of delivery is the tradi.onal in-­‐person. In this mode student aGend class in-­‐person in the designated classroom for the course. ASendance either via online or in-­‐person is required. Par.cipa.on in discussions whether you are aGending class in-­‐person or remotely is highly encouraged. Students have the choice of aGending online or in-­‐person for any given class session. !
Online ofSice hours: In addi.on to tradi.onal in-­‐person office hours held on campus, online office hours will be held via AdobeConnect during the designated online office hour .mes given above. To get connected to the online office hours go to my webpage and click on “Virtual Office.” Enter as a guest and enter your full name. You may be required to download an add-­‐in the first .me that you connect. Although AdobeConnect works with all browsers, Firefox seems to be the best to use. !
Required Technology Materials and Equipment: Students who join the class remotely (all the .me, or occasionally) as well as those who aGend office hours online must have all of the following: • A computer equipped with speakers, a webcam, and a microphone. Headsets are highly recommended. • Cable or DSL access to the Internet with minimum download speed of 3Mb/Sec. • A scanner will be required to scan handwriGen material which will be e-­‐mailed to the instructor. • Polycom soXware (see instruc.ons provided) • Mediasite -­‐ Click on the link provided on Titanium !
Students with Special Needs: If you have a disability or special need for which you are or may be reques.ng an accommoda.on, please inform me and contact the Disabled Student Services Office, located in University Hall 101, as early as possible in the term. For more informa.on, the Disabled Student Services Office can be reached by calling (657) 278-­‐3117 or visit their website at www.fullerton.edu/disabledservices/. Confiden.ality will be protected. !
Emergency Procedure Notice to Students The safety of all students aGending California State University Fullerton is of paramount importance. During an emergency it is necessary for students to have a basic understanding of their personnel responsibili.es and the University’s emergency response procedures. In the event of an emergency please adhere to the following guidelines Before an emergency occurs-­‐ 1. Know the safe evacua.on routes for your specific building and floor. 2. Know the evacua.on assembly areas for your building. When an emergency occurs-­‐ 1. Keep calm and do not run or panic. Your best chance of emerging from an emergency is with a clear head. 2. Evacua.on is not always the safest course of ac.on. If directed to evacuate, take all of your belongings and proceed safely to the nearest evacua.on route. 3. Do not leave the area; remember that faculty and other staff members need to be able to account for your whereabouts. 4. Do not re-­‐enter building un.l informed it is safe by a building marshal or other campus authority. 5. If directed to evacuate the campus please follow the evacua.on routes established by either parking or police officers. AXer an emergency occurs 1. If an emergency disrupts normal campus opera.ons or causes the University to close for a prolonged period of .me (more than three days), students are expected to complete the course assignments listed on the syllabus as soon as it is reasonably possible to do so. 2. Students can determine the University's opera.onal status by checking the University's web site at hGp://www.fullerton.edu, calling the University's hotline number at 657-­‐519-­‐0911, or tuning into area radio and television sta.ons. Students should assume that classes will be held unless they hear or read an official closure announcement. EMERGENCY CALLS DIAL 9-­‐1-­‐1 All campus phones and cell phones on campus reach the University Police Department Non-­‐emergency line: (657) 278-­‐2515 !
!
ACADEMIC INTEGRITY Students are expected to maintain a high standard of academic integrity. Policies on academic integrity will be strictly enforced. Familiarize yourself with the academic dishonesty policy, which can be found hGp://www.fullerton.edu/deanofstudents/judicial/Academic%20Integrity%20Resources.asp. According to the Policy on Online Instruc.on (UPS 411.104), students enrolled in online courses are subject to the same university policies and procedures applicable to students aGending courses on campus. Academic standards regarding chea.ng, plagiarism, and appropriate online behavior (“Ne.queGe”) shall be according to the UPS 300.021 Academic Dishonesty. !
MATH DEPARTMENT ADD / DROP DATES, FALL 2015
September 8 (Tuesday): Last day for students to ADD with a permit.
All permits expire at midnight on September 8.
September 8 (Tuesday): Last day for students to DROP without a grade of “W”. Students drop
using Titan Online.
October 2 (Friday): Last day the Math Department will be flexible on the approval of late
withdrawal requests. Beginning Monday, October 5, students must have a serious and
compelling reason for withdrawing (e.g. medical reason) and must provide supporting
documentation for their reason. Please encourage students who are considering withdrawing to
do so BY OCTOBER 2.
November 13 (Friday): Last day to withdraw with a truly serious and compelling reason that is
clearly beyond the student’s control. Students must document their reason. See Math Department
for more info.