TM 742: Engineering Management and Labor Relations Planning Session Three – 28 January 2009 • Provides method for identifying objectives • • • • • Design sequence of programs and activities to achieve objectives Strategic Planning Forecasting Goals and Objectives Decision Making Effective Planning • Plan to plan – not left to chance! • People implementing plan should be involved in preparing plan Planning • What is the Problem/Purpose? • Establish Goal/Objectives • What Client Need Is Being Satisfied by the Project? • Identify Success Criteria Planning • • • • • • What must be done? Who will do it? How will it be done? When must it be done? How much will it cost? What do we need to do it? The Foundation for Planning • Mission • Purpose or Goal • Objectives • Strategies All Customer Driven 1 Strategic Planning Definitions Vision/Mission • Mission – Overall goal for an organization and reason for an organization’s existence – Includes vision, values, beliefs SWOT Analysis Gap Analysis • Goals – Organizational – desired state that org attempts to reach. – Operative - ends sought thru operating procedures of the org – Legitimacy, direction and motivation, decision guidelines, performance criteria Goals Objectives • Strategy – Plan for interacting with the competitive environment to achieve organizational goals. Strategic Plan Mission Goal 1 Objective 1 Goal 2 Objective 2 Strategies Goal 3 • Suggests ways (strategies) to identify and to move toward desired future states • Consists of the process of developing and implementing plans to reach goals and objectives Strategy 1 Strategy 2 Strategic Plan • Not a business plan • Not an operational plan Strategic Management • The process through which managers formulate and implement strategies geared toward optimizing strategic goal achievement, given available environmental and internal conditions. Strategy formulation Strategy implementation 2 Strategic Process Strategy Formulation Levels of Strategy Strategy Implementation Assess Environmental Factors • Corporate Level – global organizational strategies Competitive Specific Analysis Strategies * Strengths * Corporate * Weakness * Business * Opportunities * Functional * Threats Mission & Strategic Goals Carry Out Strategic Plans Maintain Strategic Control Assess Organizational Factors Basic Issues in Business Strategy • External – What is the structure of this industry? – What are the major competitive forces – What are the major trends? Example: the Cola Wars Which came first… …The position an organization has chosen in its industry or the development of the capabilities which put the organization in that position? • Business Level – best means of competing within a particular business – strategic business unit • Functional Level – action plans for specific functional areas Basic Issues in Business Strategy • Internal – What skills, capabilities, and resources do we have that will allow us to do better than average in this industry? – What are our sources of sustainable competitive advantage? Example: Southwest Airlines Competitive Analysis • SWOT – Strengths – Weaknesses – Opportunities – Threats 3 TOWS Matrix Porter’s 5 Force Model Used to help identify strategic responses to the SWOT analysis Strengths (S) Opportunities (O) Threats (T) Weaknesses (W) SO WO Use strengths to take advantage of opportunities Overcome weaknesses by taking advantage of opportunities ST WT Use strengths to avoid threats Minimize weaknesses and avoid threats • • • • • Bargaining Power of Customers / Suppliers Determinants of Rivalry • • • • • • • Industry growth Distribution of market shares Fixed costs and storage costs Differentiation Switching costs Competitor diversity Barriers to exit • • • • • • • • Threat of New Entrants • • • • • • • • Capital requirements Economies of scale Product differentiation Switching costs Access to distribution First mover advantages Industry growth Strength of established competitors Rivalry Bargaining power of customers Bargaining power of suppliers Threat of new entrants Threat of substitute products or services Relative concentration Impact on supplier volume Impact on buyer cost Impact on buyer quality Product differentiation Switching costs Threat of forward / backward integration Industry profitability Threat of Substitutes • • • • Product differentiation Switching costs Customer loyalty Generic options 4 Corporate Level Strategies Concentration Growth Grand Strategies Vertical Integration Stability Diversification Harvest Defensive Turnaround Divestiture Bankruptcy Portfolio Strategies • A method of analyzing an organizations mix of businesses in terms of both individual and collective contributions to strategic goals • Three Common – BCG (Boston Consulting Group) – GE Business Screen – Product/Market Evolution Matrix Liquidation GE/McKinsey Matrix BCG Growth Matrix Relative Market Share Market Growth Rate High Low High Stars Cash Cows Question Marks Dogs Low Product-Process Life Cycle Product/Market Evolution Matrix Competitive Position Strong $ Average Weak Life Cycle Stage Develop Maturity Growth Decline Introduction Growth Shakeout Maturity Time Decline 5 Business Level Strategy • Cost Leadership – The firm’s advantage rests on its ability to produce a standard product at a lower cost than any other competitor. • Differentiation – The firm’s advantage rests on its ability to confer a unique character on its product or service. Open Systems Methodology for Organizational Effectiveness 1. Stakeholder Analysis • What need exists within the external environment? 2. Create Mission • • Why does this organization exist? How does the organization intend to fulfill environmental need? 3. Identify Operative Goals to Achieve Mission • What are the desired tangible, measurable outcomes? Strategy Implementation • • • • • Technology Human Resources Reward Systems Decision Processes Structure Step 1: Stakeholder Analysis • Identify key stakeholders and environmental needs – – – – Customers Employees Suppliers Stockholders – – – – Government Community Unions Many others 4. Identify Strategy to Achieve Goals • What tactics or methodology should be used to achieve goals? 5. Assess Effectiveness and Respond • Is the organization successfully achieving desired results? Step 2: Create Mission • Mission – An organizations official overall goal – Includes internal and external elements such as: • • • • Reason for existence Vision for the future Values & Beliefs Target market & customers • Questions to consider: – What are the needs of the environment? – What void can be filled by this organization? – What resources are available to the organization? Vision A vision statement describes in graphic terms where the goal-setters want to position themselves in the future. • Mission Statement – Method for communicating what the organization stands for and their desired identity – Communicates legitimacy to interested stakeholders 6 Vision Example Eastman Chemical Company “To Be the World's Preferred Chemical Company” Source: Collins and Porras, 1996 Vision – Microsoft (1980’s) "A personal computer on every desk, and every computer running Microsoft software." Recall: Mission Statement • Resembles a vision statement Planning Mission Statement • First step in planning process • What do we want to do Mission – Pal’s To deliver excellence in food service while providing a menu focused on exceptional quality. • Has a more immediate business focus with a time horizon 7 Mission Example Step 3: Identify Operative Goals • Operative Goals The mission of Southwest Airlines is dedication to the highest quality of Customer Service delivered with a sense of warmth, friendliness, individual pride, and Company Spirit. – Identify desired measurable and tangible outcomes – More tactical than official goals • Examples of Operative Goals – Overall Performance: profitability, growth, volume – Resource: acquisition of needed material and financial resources – Market: market share or desired market standing – Employee Development: training, promotion, safety – Innovation and Change: readiness to adapt to unexpected changes – Productivity: output achieved from available resources http://www.southwest.com 9/9/05 Strategic Planning Planning Goal Statement Vision/Mission Vision/Mission Aligned towards meeting customer expectations and within framework Of organizations philosophy ’ SWOT Analysis SWOT Analysis Gap Analysis Gap Analysis • Why? Forecasting Strategic Issues • What do we do? • For whom do we do it? Ongoing Strategic Planning, Goals Goals, Objectives Objectives, Strategies Planning Goal Statement • Gives purpose and direction • Used as continual point of reference for questions regarding scope or purpose Planning Objectives • • • • • More detailed goal statement Clarifies goal How do we go about it? To (action verb) Consistent with organization 8 Planning Develop Objectives • • • • • Objectives Characteristics • • • • Specific Measurable Attainable Realistic Time-limited Outcome - what is to be accomplished Time Frame - expected completion date Measure - metrics for success Action - how the objective will be met Step 4: Identify Strategy Goals and Objectives Porter’s Competitive Strategies Model Competitive Advantage Broad Market Share Innovation Productivity Physical and Financial Resources Manager Performance and Development Worker Performance and Attitude Profitability Social Responsibility Narrow – – – – – – – – Competitive Scope • Drucker’s Objectives for Organizational Survival Low Cost Uniqueness Low-Cost Leadership Differentiation (Dell Computer) (Starbucks) Focused Low-Cost Leadership (Enterprise Rent-a-Car) Organizational Design Outcomes of Strategy: Porter’s Competitive Strategies Focused Differentiation (Edward Jones Investments) Step 4: Identify Strategy • Miles and Snow’s Strategy Typology Strategy: Differentiation Organization Design: • Learning orientation; acts in a flexible, loosely knit way, with strong horizontal coordination • Strong capability in research • Values and builds in mechanisms for customer intimacy • Rewards employee creativity, risk-taking, and innovation Strategy: Low-Cost Leadership Organization Design: • Efficiency orientation; strong central authority; tight cost control, with frequent, detailed control reports • Standard operating procedures • Highly efficient procurement and distribution systems • Close supervision; routing tasks; limited employee empowerment – Prospector • Flexible, fluid, decentralized • Strong capability to adapt – Defender • Efficient, controlling, centralized authority • Emphasis on production and output – Analyzer • Balances efficiency and learning • Methodical in creating stable environment and innovation – Reactor • Unpredictable, unfocused 9 Organizational Design Outcomes of Strategy: Miles and Snow’s Strategy Typology Strategy: Prospector Organization Design: • Learning Organization; flexible, fluid, decentralized structure • Strong capability in research Strategy: Defender Organization Design: • Efficiency orientation; strong central authority and tight cost control • Emphasis on production efficiency; low overhead • Close supervision; little employee empowerment Strategy: Analyzer Organization Design: • Balances efficiency and learning; tight cost control with flexibility and adaptability • Efficient production for stable product lines; emphasis on creativity, research, risk-taking for innovation Strategy: Reactor Organization Design: • No clear organizational approach; design characteristics may shift abruptly, depending on current needs Step 5: Assess Effectiveness Quinn’s Competing Values Framework • • Step 5: Assess Effectiveness • Methods for Determining Effectiveness – Goal Approach • Focus on output and productivity • Easiest to measure – Resource-Based Approach • Focus on ability to acquire necessary resources • Useful when other measures are difficult to obtain – Internal Process Approach • Focus on efficiency and internal health of organization – Competing Values Approach • Recognizes difficulty of measuring multiple goals Step 5: Assess Effectiveness Organization Focus: internal or external Organization Structure: flexible or stable Step 5: Assess Effectiveness Source: Kim and Mauborgne, 1999 10 Benchmarking • What it is • What it is not – Measuring company processes by those of the best competitors • in your industry • outside your industry • domestic and foreign – – – – Learning how others do process Adapting what you learn to your own company Taking action to meet or exceed the best Becoming the new industry leader Metrics 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Benchmarking Financial Product performance Unit operation System operational Aggregated measures of performance Long term competitive capability 1. Technological capability 2. Technical personnel – a mechanism for resource reductions its aim is not “downsizing” – performance evaluation of individuals and groups within company – something you do half-heartedly – program, panacea, fad, or public relations campaign Organizational Learning • A learning organization is involved in both knowledge creation and behavioral changes based on the new knowledge. • Knowledge as an important resource • Institutional memory • Continuous improvement 7. Interactions with other activities Implementing the Plan Managerial decision making is the process of making a conscious choice between two or more rational alternatives • • • • What do we know? What do we think is likely to happen? How are we going to (pro- / re-) act? What if? Categories of Decision Making Tools • Routine vs. Nonroutine • Objective vs. Bounded Rationality • Level of Certainty 11 Decision Making Under Certainty Linear Program: Used to determine optimal allocation of an organization’s limited resources Decision Making Under Risk • Expected Value – Sum: (probability of future * value of future) • State the problem • Decision Trees • Decision Variables • Objective function – Graphical method for finding the expected value • Queuing • Constraints • Simulation OR Web: http://ie.sdsmt.edu/orweb/or.html Decision Making Under Uncertainty Forecasting • Maximax • Essential preliminary to effective planning • Maximin • Engineering manager must be concerned with both future markets and future technology • Hurwicz • Equally likely Why Forecasting? Long Range Forecasts • New facility planning • Design new products • Production planning • Determine capacity for new product • Work force scheduling • Long range supply of materials • Sensitivity analysis 12 Short Range Forecasts • Amount of inventory for next month • Amount of product to produce next week • How much raw material delivered next week • Workers schedule next week Delphi Method • Eliminates effects of interactions between members • Experts do not need to know who other experts are • Delphi coordinator asks for opinions, forecasts on subject Which Method? Textbook authors suggest: Forecasting Qualitative Methods • Judgment Methods Expert Opinion Delphi Historical • Counting Methods Market Testing Market Survey Forecasting Quantitative Methods • Time Series Methods Moving Average Weighted Moving Average Exponential Smoothing • Association or Causal Method Multiple Regression Forecasting New Products • First use judgmental – Select a few methods • Expert opinions – Make forecasts – Take simple average • Consumer intentions 13 Management Science Characteristics • Systems view of the problem • Team approach • Emphasis on use of formal mathematical models and statistical and quantitative techniques Management Science Process • Formulate the Problem – Construct a Mathematical Model – Test the Model – Derive a Solution from the Model • Apply the Model’s Solution to the Real System Next Class • Preparation: – Chapter 5 in the text • Topics: – Organizing and Organizational Theory – Participative Management 14