2013 Table of Contents 1) Background to the survey Page 3 2) Headline figures Page 5 3) The size and scale of franchising in the UK Page 8 4) Dynamics within the franchise industry Page 23 5) The economic contribution of franchising Page 29 6) Regional distribution of franchising in the UK Page 36 7) The international dimension of franchising Page 39 8) Franchisee recruitment Page 42 9) Costs, fees and on-going charges Page 49 10) Franchisor / franchisee relationships Page 55 11) Red tape and running costs Page 59 12) Technical appendix: Survey method Page 64 2 Background to the survey 3 Background to the survey This document reports the results of the 29th annual survey amongst franchisors and franchisees in the UK, conducted on behalf of the British Franchise Association and sponsored by NatWest. Primary research was conducted using computer aided telephone interviewing (CATI) between June and July 2013. Interviews were completed with both franchisees and franchisors, speaking to directors and managers of franchise systems in addition to owners / partners of franchise units. This report combines these primary survey results with external industry expert and statistical sources. Undertaking the survey on an annual basis enables us to identify long-run trends on key measures which form the core tracking element of the study, whilst the additional variable content allows the study to be flexed to maintain relevance and interest for the franchise community taking part. In 2013 the survey timing has moved from the end of the year prior to the ‘reporting' year to mid-year in the year of reporting. The apparent anomaly of 2011 data being reported in 2012 (as in the last report) has, thus, been removed. This allows us to report the present results as being 2013 data, but with it being 18 months since the previous data collection there is the appearance of a one year ‘gap’ in the data record, with no data point for 2012 (as the data in the 2012 report were collected at end-2011). Within BDRC Continental, principal authors of this report are Richard Smith and Bethan Cooke, with additional editing, input and review from Dr Crispian Tarrant, Chief Executive of BDRC Group. The publishers use their best endeavours to ensure the accuracy of the report, but do not warrant the accuracy of the data provided nor do they accept liability for any error contained in or omission from the report or any loss direct or indirect arising there from. 4 Headline figures 5 The contribution of franchising to the UK economy There are 930 franchise systems in operation in the UK − This is a net change of plus one system on 2011, and is a figure that is an 11% increase in system numbers since the start of the recent recession in 2008 − 4 in 5 of the franchise systems in the country are now UK owned and run − 1 in 4 of the franchise systems in the UK export their business model abroad The total number of people employed in franchising in the UK is 561,000, of which just under half are in full time employment − This represents a 20% increase in franchise employment over the past 5 years − Over a ¼m full time jobs in franchising in the UK are recorded for the first time ever The overall contribution of franchising to the UK economy is £13.7 billion; which equates to just under one per cent of GDP This contribution has grown by 20% over the past 5 years, whilst the overall economy has shrunk 2.5% over the same period 6 The contribution of franchising to the UK economy Between them, the systems in the UK operate a total estimated at 39,000 franchised units, which represents: − A 7% increase over the past 5 years − With the largest 9 systems operating over 8,500 units between them There are reckoned to be 22,400 franchisees in total (as 1 in four run multiple units) 92% of franchised businesses are at least ‘marginally profitable’, with 49% saying they are either quite profitable or very profitable (albeit 8% are currently loss making) − 88% of franchisors expect improved trading conditions for their own businesses in the coming year. Although somewhat less bullish, still 54% of franchisees are anticipating the next 12 months to be better Recruitment is the single biggest on-going challenge for franchisors: on average it takes 250 leads and 25 interviews to sign up each new franchisee – but then the strong financial performance of franchisees in the UK indicates the benefit of the franchise system in filtering out unsuitable applicants 7 The size and scale of franchising in the UK 8 What constitutes a franchise system? Businesses included in the NatWest bfa Franchise Survey are based on the following criteria: 1. Businesses that involve a trademark, a method of trading and a license to use the trademark, which all franchisees must adopt and pay for. 2. The franchisee is able to sell the business on to a third party with the benefit of the goodwill derived from developing the business over time 3. The system is actively franchising – we exclude those who have announced plans to franchise, but do not currently operate any functioning (franchised) units, as well as those that have withdrawn from the franchising format, but continue to trade exclusively via company owned outlets Within unit numbers we exclude the estimated 6,500 units that are owned and run directly by the franchisor (and therefore are not franchised) Other sectors that display some but not all the characteristics of franchising include petrol stations and car/motorbike dealers. These sectors generally fail on the second criteria listed above, in that it is not possible for the business owner to sell on at a profit. When the survey began, the dairy roundsmen component of franchising was so significant a distinction was made between dairy and ‘non-dairy’ franchises. However, with just 1,700 franchised milkmen working for the dairies remaining, we include these now within our overall figures. 9 There are 930 franchise systems operating in the UK Number of UK Franchise Systems over time 900 929 930 950 850 750 650 541 550 432 450 350 379 568 597 718 671 677 695 665 642 759 781 809 838 845 474 414 373 396 295 244 250 150 50 19 88 19 89 19 90 19 91 19 92 19 93 19 94 19 95 19 96 19 97 19 98 19 99 20 00 20 01 20 02 20 03 20 04 20 05 20 06 20 07 20 08 20 09 20 10 20 11 20 13 -50 Based on the criteria previously detailed, our current estimate for the number of franchise systems operating in the UK is 930 (including dairy franchises), a net increase of just one system on 2011. Since the recession in 2008, the number of systems franchising has grown by 11%. The 215 systems that have withdrawn from franchising are more than compensated by 306 new systems. With so many 10 new systems entering franchising the longer term trend suggests further growth in the sector. Franchising systems in the UK are increasingly UK owned and run Ownership of Franchise systems Excludes dairies % based on 3 year rolling averages 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2013 Ultimate owner of the system 604 75% 626 75% 648 77% 700 78% 710 77% 760 82% Subsidiary of parent company that owns the system 89 11% 100 12% 101 12% 107 12% 117 13% 87 9% Master Licensee of another company that owns the system 113 14% 109 13% 93 11% 90 10% 99 11% 80 9% Source: Q1a Base: All franchisors The vast majority (82%) of franchise systems in the UK are UK-owned. This was far from the case 25 years ago, when the majority were imported from the US. The ownership of the remainder of the systems is equally split between those that are a subsidiary of the parent company (9%), and those that are master licensees of another company that owns the system (9%). 11 There are now reckoned to be 39,000 franchised units in the UK Number of franchised units ‘000’s 50 45 40 35 26.4 25.7 26.8 24.9 30.9 31.2 30.5 30.8 24 15 15 10 7.9 9 10.9 16 16.6 18.3 18.6 18.1 19.4 19.7 36.9 38.4 37.3 34.2 34.6 34.8 32 25 20 40.1 39 33.5 33.9 31.3 29.1 30 30 5 36.2 36.6 36.5 35.2 35.6 34.5 34.4 33.8 38.6 30.8 31.6 28.5 25.5 21.5 16.9 All units (excl. dairies) All units (inc. dairies from 1993) 0 The reason for the decline in the overall number of units over the last year is largely that those systems entering franchising, as one might expect, tend to have fewer units (360 in total) than those leaving (1,370 in total). Later in this report we discuss churn in franchising and the reasons for this. N.B. From 1993, Dairy Franchisees listed separately N.B. In 2004 Zurich business model changed, removed from sample (4000 Units) 12 We monitor six business categories within franchising For the past 12 years, we have classified franchised businesses according to categories developed by the European Franchise Federation (EFF). Whilst we observe that that EFF are (experimentally) moving towards the adoption of the NACE classification system we do not think there is a good fit at this time. The categories we use are as follows: Hotel & Catering: which includes hotels, coffee houses, fast food chains etc. Store Retailing: everything from travel agencies to shoe shops to bathroom centres Personal Services: entertainment and tutoring for children, personal trainers, pet services etc. Property Services: including estate agencies as well as plumbing, cleaning and gardening etc. Transport & Vehicle Services: couriers, car rental, vehicle repair Business & Communication Services: printing, office supplies, training, recruitment, accountancy The dairy franchises are assessed outside this structure, although in future years the intention is to include them within the (non-store) ‘retail’ category. In this document we frequently refer to the differences between these categories in terms of performance, structure and other characteristics. 13 System number changes vary considerably by category with personal, property and business & commercial services recently having more entrants who trial franchising, not all who continue Number of Franchise systems by category % Change since 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2013 2008 Hotel & Catering 116 114 113 117 112 109 108 115 125 123 127 130 132 +6% Store Retailing 91 86 86 89 91 97 101 101 100 97 104 107 105 +5% Personal Services 114 113 111 110 131 144 153 159 171 181 197 197 213 +25% Property Services 125 140 147 152 165 182 189 202 205 203 215 237 228 +11% Transport & Vehicle Services 75 76 72 76 64 66 70 73 71 68 68 65 65 -8% Business & Commercial Services 141 140 145 152 152 158 157 156 163 170 186 190 184 +13% TOTAL 662 666 674 692 715 756 778 806 835 842 897 926 927 +11% N.B. Dairy Franchises excluded 14 Reflecting system level changes, property services sees the largest year on year drop in unit numbers Number of UK Franchise units by category Survey data (3 year rolling average) plus known franchisors (500+ units) Data from list of franchisors Data from list of franchisors 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2013 Hotel & Catering 5,800 6,395 6,380 7,050 7,450 8,100 7,000 8,200 8,400 8,400 8,300 Store Retailing 4,260 4,390 4,580 4,785 4,860 5,100 3,700 4,400 5,300 5,600 5,400 Personal Services 4,125 4,540 4,280 4,740 4,950 5,900 6,000 6,500 8,200 8,900 8,700 Property Services 5,260 5,545 6,175 6,535 6,575 6,650 8,200 7,200 6,200 6,900 6,500 Transport & Vehicle Services 2,700 2,545 2,410 2,575 2,560 2,925 2,700 2,200 2,900 2,500 2,500 Business & Commercial Services 8,650 8,590 4,740 5,075 5,205 5,525 7,000 6,300 5,900 6,100 5,900 TOTAL 30,795 32,005 28,565 30,760 31,600 34,200 34,600 34,800 36,900 38,400 37,300 N.B. In 2004 Zurich business model changed, removed from sample (4000 Units) – impacts Business & Commercial Services figures 15 Overall it is the personal services category that has seen the largest growth over recent years There are some substantial variations in franchise system numbers depending on the category. The majority of franchise categories have seen only modest movement at a system level year-onyear, with the exception of Personal Services. This category has an additional 16 franchised systems compared to 2011, with the sector increasing in size by a quarter in the last 5 years The number of franchised systems in the Property Services category has reduced by 9 systems over the past year, although the net 5 year position remains positive at +11% The only category not to have grown in the last 5 years is the smallest of the sectors, Transport & Vehicle Services. A reduction of 6 systems over the last 5 years, is an 8% contraction in the number of systems operating in this sector At a unit level, Store Retailing, Personal Services and Business & Communication Services all have approximately 200 fewer units than last year, whilst Property Services shows a net loss of around 400 units over the past 12 months. The contraction in Property Services units simply accords with the number of systems withdrawing from franchising in this sector Taking a longer term ten year view it is clear that Personal Services has been the engine of growth for franchising in the UK, followed by Hotel & Catering 16 The nine largest franchise systems account for just over 8,500 units; that is over one in five of the total Scale of systems by unit number 500+ 200 – 499 101 – 199 61 – 100 41 – 60 9 23 e.g. Snap-on Tools (421) 45 e.g. Home Instead Senior Care (150) 76 e.g. Revive! UK (75) Dairy Crest Subway Scottish & Newcastle Domino’s Pizza Travel Counsellors McDonald’s Kumon Maths Bargain Booze Stagecoach Theatre Arts 59 e.g. Water Babies (53) 21 – 40 156 e.g. Urban Planters (22) 11 – 20 151 e.g. Antal International (17) 6 – 10 Up to 5 units 1632 units 1540 units 1136 units 820 units 750 units 750 units 681 units 650 units 625 units 135 e.g. Wagging Tails (7) 276 Base: All franchisors 17 Franchising is wide ranging and diverse When we look at the distribution of franchise systems according to size, it allows us to understand the breadth and range of businesses who use franchising as a business model. Some of the differences in scale are attributable to: • Length in business − It takes time to build up the number of franchises in any given system − This said, rapid growth is possible in Personal Services (where there is a virtually unlimited potential market) and in areas such as catering (Subway is a good example of a franchise brand which has proliferated in recent years) • Saturation point − The demand for car hire or garden maintenance is limited within any given territory Also, certain businesses simply don’t want to expand beyond a certain number of units or a given geographical region There are a large number of franchise systems with less than three units. Within this group are those which have just started out and are trialling this business model, along with many that are content to have just a few businesses running parallel to those owned by the parent company. 18 Many franchisees run complex, multiple unit businesses, especially in Hotel & Catering Franchise Unit Ownership by Unit Status All Units % Hotel and Catering % Store Retailing* % Personal Services* % Property Services* % Transport/ Vehicle services* % Business / comms services* (%) Single units 75 48 80 86 83 92 76 Multiple units 25 52 20 14 17 8 24 Mean number of units 3.95 6.03 2.30 2.09 2.55 2.5 2.14 Base: All franchisees *Base below 30 Three in four franchisees run just the one unit. However a quarter run two or more units, employing managers to run each individual unit on a day to day basis. This is particularly common in hotel and catering franchises where around half of franchisees run multiple unit businesses with an average of six units. On this basis there are reckoned to be around 22,400 franchisees in total 19 Outside of those sectors for which trading premises are essential, one in three franchises can be run from a home office Place the franchise can be run from Franchisors All Excluding Store Retail and Hotels & Catering A home office 28% 34% A shop/retail premises 28% 16% An office unit 20% 24% A van 11% 12% A factory unit/ business park premises/ other business premises 13% 14% Not all franchises require business premises. Many can be run from the home or from a van. Within the industry there are options to suit all tastes, all budgets and all levels of ambition. Source: Q21a, Base: All franchisors 20 The last 18 months has seen a shift from part time to full time jobs, with over a quarter of a million employed full time in franchising Total Number Employed in UK Franchising ‘000’s 594 561 521 480 467 465 431 407 384 363 365 323 221 219 225 223 217 224 235 256 222 222 228 2009 2010 2011 191 Full time employees only*** 2001 2002 2003 2004 ** 2005 2006 2007 2008 2013 As the chart illustrates, there is some volatility in the employment estimate as this is based on mean figures calculated from the survey. Nonetheless, the overall trend is upwards, particularly amongst full time employees. The indications this year would suggest fewer part timers and more full timers are being employed.*** * Figures rounded to nearest thousand **Zurich withdrawal from franchising ***Three year rolling averages 21 Although 1 in 4 franchisees employ no staff, a similar proportion provide work for six or more full time employees Number of part time and full time employees within each unit Part time 11+ 6-10 3-5 2 5 9 15 9 8 11 10 13 14 12 15 1 0 21 38 2006 15 11 16 36 40 2007 2008 9 8 16 14 16 10 11 18 8 13 35 41 2009 2010 Full time 13 11 11 14 12 11 10 12 10 13 22 21 19 10 13 11 16 10 14 16 9 12 14 14 11 8 8 11 21 21 18 14 14 16 16 14 13 29 31 31 27 2009 2010 2011 2013 21 10 13 15 35 39 2011 2013 11 15 30 27 2006 2007 35 2008 14 13 Despite the fall in the total number of people employed in UK franchises at an overall level, the proportion employing larger numbers of full time employees has risen (at the expense of part timers). Base: All franchisees 22 Dynamics within the franchise industry 23 Current economic conditions may be encouraging businesses to experiment with new models, such as franchising, reflected in greater system level churn recently System Level Churn: new entrants and withdrawals New entrants Withdrawals 106 100 87 83 80 85 80 73 73 72 64 59 58 51 45 35 28 19 Net Position 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2013 +23 +41 +32 +28 +32 +7 +57 +29 +1 The almost equal balance between entrants to, and withdrawals from, the market results in a virtual ‘no change’ net position, although this conceals a relatively high level of new entrants and withdrawals. 24 What drives churn at a system level? On the upside, new entrants are attracted to franchising as a business model by a combination of factors: • Generates an income via franchise fees and on-going share of profits • Makes expansion possible without high levels of investment • Consequently lower levels of risk and greater control of the business and the brand Over time some franchise systems may cease to trade in their current form: • Some are bought or consolidate with other brands − Recent examples include Bairstow Eves, bought by Hunters and Dolland & Aitchison, purchased by Boots Opticians. Both were subsequently rebranded • For some businesses franchising doesn’t work for them as a model, for a variety of reasons: − In some cases the change of the business model, from running a business for ‘customers’ to focussing on attracting, training, and servicing franchisees is a bridge too far − Some switch to other distribution models such as using ‘approved suppliers’ • Occasionally they fail In the current market, issues around access to finance makes franchising an attractive option – providing it’s possible to attract franchisees who can themselves gain access to finance. 25 There is correspondingly higher churn at a unit level Proportion of UK Franchised Units Experiencing Change 'Forced' (%) 3.6 5.8 3 7.1 4.1 3.4 4 3.2 5.3 5.9 5.4 5.2 5.1 6.4 7.4 'Voluntary' (%) 6.8 7.2 3.2 3.6 4.8 7 4.6 5.3 6.2 4.8 4.6 3.7 2.1 5 3.1 1.7 1.5 3.7 4.1 4.6 1.8 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2013 The level of ‘forced’ change is somewhat higher than the very benign conditions seen pre-2007. These two categories are broken down further in the next chart 26 Change driven as much by life-stage decisions as by commercial failure which remains at a low level Unit Changes Reported by Franchisors Changed Franchisee Bought Back Closed Down TOTAL % All Units All Reasons: 2230 183 1280 3692 10.0% Commercial Failure 227 46 576 849 2.3% Dispute 107 12 49 168 0.5% Realising Investment 379 0 38 417 1.1% Retirement 651 38 212 901 2.4% Ill health/ Domestic 513 32 144 680 1.8% Other reasons 352 64 261 677 1.8% The level of unit change has risen from 7.3% in 2011 to 10% this year. By looking at the reasons behind this headline figure, we can see that taken together the main reasons are life-stage driven, with franchisees retiring, realising their investment and leaving as a result of ill health or for domestic reasons. Closures due to commercial failure remain relatively low and stable at 2.3% of all franchised unit stock. 27 As the industry matures, anticipated levels of re-sales continue to rise Predicted Level of Re-sales for the next year Year of Forecast 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2013 % Franchise Systems Expecting to Offer Resales 29% 52% 53% 49% 51% 44% 58% Average No. of Re-sale Units Per System 4.5 3.3 5.7 4.1 3.7 4.5 4.2 1,020 1,400 2,500 1,679 1,693 1,829 2,274 Estimated Total No. of Re-sale Units Next Year Base: All franchisors A growing proportion of franchisors are expecting to be offering re-sales over the coming year. Such re-sales are to be expected as the industry matures and in many ways are a positive indicator of value in those units which are sold on. Each re-sale represents an opportunity for a franchisee (either new to the industry or already established) to take over a ‘going concern’. 28 The economic contribution of franchising 29 Franchising’s contribution to UK plc is calculated to be £13.7 billion for the last year Franchising Industry Turnover (£bn) 13.4 14 12.4 12.4 11.4 12 13.7 11.8 10.8 10.3 10 8.9 8 7 9.3 9.2 9.5 9.65 9.1 7.4 6.4 5.9 6 5.2 4.7 4.8 5 5.3 4.5 3.8 4 1.9 2.1 2 0.9 1.3 0 The total economic contribution of the franchise industry now stands at approximately £13.7 billion, up just over 2% on last year’s figure. Whilst there has been a reduction in the overall number of units, the rise in the mean turnover figure generates an overall uplift in the headline figure, showing that those franchises remaining in the industry are operating more successfully than before. 30 On average, each unit generates a turnover of £356,000, but there is a wide range in the figures recorded Franchise Unit Turnover 2001 2002 2003 2004 Over £500k 23 22 20 16 £250 - £499k 13 14 21 % £50k - £249k Less than £50k 42 22 38 26 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 24 22 26 28 23 24 13 14 17 16 21 20 37 34 37 19 20 18 19 34 25 40 26 35 27 44 19 37 20 2011 2013 30 26 19 19 35 39 17 15 Mean £292,000 £299,000 £297,000 £291,000 £318,000 £323,000 £360,000 £326,000 £335,000 £335,000 £349,000 £356,500 The diversity of franchising is evident from these turnover figures, encompassing one person bands through to sizeable SMEs which will have corporate characteristics. Base: All franchisees providing their turnover 31 Business sector, predictably, is a key influencer on typical revenues Annual Turnover of Franchise Units by Sector % Over £500k Hotel & catering 43 Store retailing 44 Property services Transport & vehicle Personal services Business and com. services 17 22 19 16 15 19 16 19 17 £250 - £499k 30 43 40 50 42 24 £50k - £249k 23 25 15 Less than £50k Mean 3 £547,500 £523,000 £296,000 18 £247,600 25 £228,700 19 £228,000 Applying a 3 year rolling average, we can see that the Store Retailing and Hotel & Catering sectors achieve the highest average turnovers, with almost half of franchisees in these sectors recording an annual turnover of over £500k per unit. This contrasts markedly with Business & Communications services, where just 1 in 7 fall within this 32 higher turnover bracket. Over half of franchisees report good profitability 2013 Time held Franchise Franchisee Claimed Unit Profitability 1990 1991 1992 Total 70 79 4 87 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2013 91 95 5 8 88 92 10 8 10 93 91 90 6 6 4 89 90 8 8 91 92 4 5 89 94 4 12 38 26 33 49 44 48 -12 -9 50 39 35 37 39 43 43 48 50 -12 -8 -7 -9 42 39 37 -5 37 44 44 45 48 43 -10 -12 -10 -9 -8 28 -23 Loss making Marginally profitable 47 44 37 27 -30 80 8 2 41 Up to 2 3 – 4 5+ years years years Quite profitable 44 -20 39 38 43 -11 -6 Highly profitable A key indicator of the health of the franchise industry is the extent to which each individual franchise unit considers itself to be profitable or not. The current year sees a strengthening of claimed profitability, as the proportion of franchisees considering themselves to be ‘quite’ or ‘highly’ profitable increases to a level not seen since 2005. This is a positive sign that the industry is beginning to recover post-recession. That 4 in 5 new franchises are profitable inside two years also is positive. 33 Some are finding it tougher than others When we look at profitability at a sector level we see that: • Property Services and Transport & Vehicle Services franchises are, generally, under the greatest pressure with 12% and 13% respectively reporting making a loss • Personal Services franchises appear to be doing better, with 12% reporting that they are ‘highly profitable’ This illustrates that whilst the franchising sector is robust, the dynamics across different sectors reflect overall economic and social trends • Until the very recent upturn in the housing market, this had been depressed for some years • Petrol price inflation has hit the profitability of many in the Transport & Vehicle sector • Brands such as Kumon and Stagecoach have become mainstream, with many parents feeling that these (and others) are now required elements of the education of their children There is also a size component to profitability. • Logically, those with lower turnover are more likely to report lower profitability (not always; some with turnover of less than £25,000 report high profitability). Generally though, around 1 in 6 with a turnover bellow £50,000 are loss making • Amongst the larger businesses with a turnover of £500,000 or more, 70% report being highly (11%) or quite profitable 34 In line with other indices, better things are forecast in year ahead, for the economy in general as well as for their own businesses % Expecting Improvements over next 12 months Business and Economic Confidence 100 90 89 80 81 75 84 95 89 85 79 80 60 84 76 75 70 % 86 90 90 86 82 60 62 51 61 53 43 39 35 31 30 22 27 20 10 55 56 62 50 40 78 81 74 76 69 68 60 88 79 79 68 92 17 23 20 12 30 55 33 35 23 34 22 63 55 16 27 21 11 15 67 52 36 31 54 43 41 19 19 13 0 Franchisors Economy Generally Franchisors Own Business Franchisees Economy Generally* Franchisees Own Business Confidence in both the economy in general, and in their own business, has seen substantial improvement amongst both franchisors and franchisees this year. Amongst the most ‘bullish’ are those in the Property Services sector 35 Regional distribution of franchising in the UK 36 More than half of all franchise units are based outside London and the South of England Regional Distribution of Franchised units Indexed to UK population Whilst franchising remains somewhat skewed towards London and the South East, when incidence numbers are indexed to the population it’s clear that the South West, Midlands and the North also have good distribution levels. As one might expect, it’s only those regions with large rural areas which have relatively lower distribution levels. 37 Franchised businesses make an important contribution to the local economy of all the regions in the UK Presence of All Franchise Systems in Region Regional Distribution of Franchise Units 2010-2013 Implied annual Turnover from Franchising £ billion 5 year % change in Implied annual Turnover from Franchising £ billion Average 2010-2013 % Average 2010-2013 % Indexed on UK Popn.* % 2006-2008 Implied annual Turnover from Franchising £ billion London 73% 17% 141 1.7 2.3 +35% Other South East 82% 20% 144 1.9 2.7 +42% South West 70% 10% 120 1.2 1.4 +17% East Anglia 56% 7% 72 0.7 0.9 +29% West Midlands 66% 9% 97 1.1 1.2 +9% East Midlands 53% 6% 89 0.8 0.9 +13% North West 65% 10% 88 1.1 1.4 +27% Yorkshire 54% 6% 71 0.7 0.8 +14% North/North East 44% 5% 114 0.6 0.7 +17% Wales 40% 3% 58 0.3 0.4 +33% Scotland 47% 5% 62 0.8 0.7 -13% Northern Ireland 26% 3% 86 0.4 0.3 -25% *Indices are based on the regional spread of the UK population 38 The international dimension of franchising 39 One in four franchisors operate outside the UK 26% of franchisors award the master licences or control the franchising of units outside the UK in addition to their UK operations. Export into international territories can be broken down as follows: • 21% operate in Europe (including Republic of Ireland) • 7% operate in the US or Canada • 13% operate in other locations worldwide Of those who do not currently operate internationally, one in seven (14%) would consider doing so in future. For the franchisor operating abroad, there are a range of structural options and it’s apparent that many apply different models to different markets, perhaps due to their proximity, understanding and confidence in each: • Three in five issue a master license in one or more markets • Half direct operations from the UK in one or more markets • Only one in five opens an office abroad and a similar proportion have joint ventures in one or more markets 40 Evidence of greater caution amongst internationally minded franchisors NB: question omitted in 2011 Barriers to Growth in International Franchised Units Wish to expand steadily/ slowly 46 Legislation in some countries 41 Language barrier 35 Lack of finance 31 Lack of management resource in own company 30 2010 2009 2008 33 30 27 44 41 38 30 30 25 29 21 26 31 28 25 Lack of suitable franchisees 26 31 21 31 Poor economic conditions generally 26 31 22 33 The Euro 20 10 4 5 EU/EC regulations 20 11 n/a n/a 12 8 8 12 8 12 12 17 12 10 10 15 6 4 4 Poor/ lack of professional advice 17 Static/ declining international markets 13 Competition from other similar franchises 7 Lack of suitable sites for franchisees Lack of demand for my product/ service 6 4 The greatest barrier to growth is a self-determined desire to expand at a sustainable rate. Beyond this, cultural factors (language and legal differences) combine with economic factors to dampen ambition. Indicatively the Euro and EU regulations are more salient than in the past. 41 Franchisee recruitment 42 Indications are that fewer females have entered franchising in the past two years Profile Characteristics of Franchisees All Franchisees New Recruits - all held Franchise 2yrs or less 2005 2011 2013 2005 2011 2013 % % % % % % Up to 30 10 5 7 17 14 22 31 – 40 20 15 21 27 31 19 41 – 50 32 31 34 35 39 42 Over 50 37 49 38 20 19 17 Typical (mean) age 46 49 47 41 41 41 Male 80 72 70 84 62 82 Female 20 28 30 16 38 18 AGE: The proportion of female franchisees has steadily increased over the past 25 years. However there are indications that the proportion of recent female entries has fallen. Next year’s data will determine whether this is a ‘blip’ or a trend. It’s worth noting that on average, franchisees are in their early 40’s when they start out and that around one in six new recruits are aged over 50. * Too small – less than 1% 43 Lack of suitable franchisees is a perennial theme within the industry Barriers to growth in UK Franchised Units 2011 2010 Lack of finance/ capital 57 56 Lack of suitable franchisees 45 61 Poor economic conditions generally 54 50 Wish to expand steadily/slowly 33 29 Competition from other franchises 18 20 Lack of available franchise areas 17 14 Loan guarantee schemes not applicable n/a 24 Lack of suitable sites for franchisees 10 20 Static/declining market place n/a 19 7 9 Prompted list No desire to grow further Whilst finance and capital remain high on the agenda as barriers to growth, the struggle to find suitably ‘qualified’ (as much the right attitude as the right skillset) prospective franchisees with the required investment is often cited as the main obstacle to more rapid expansion. 44 There are no shortage of applicants – but finding the right people remains both a challenge and a benefit of the franchising system Main Reasons for Not Granting a Franchise Prompted list Insufficient capital 68 Performance at interview 62 Applicant viewed it as a job not a business 60 Lack of business acumen 56 2011 2010 2009 71 68 73 54 49 53 42 36 40 60 61 64 Failure to turn up for appointments 40 25 25 28 Poor credit history 39 32 26 26 Lack of sales/marketing experience 39 32 28 34 17 30 27 21 17 18 10 7 8 Lack of experience in sector 31 Inability to complete application forms Failed psychometric test 27 11 Franchisors seem adept at assessing whether an applicant has ‘the right stuff’ to make a successful franchisee. Beyond hygiene factors such as filling in the form and attending appointments, it needs to be crystal clear that the applicant understands the commitment required. They are applying to start a business, not applying for a job. That franchisors are good at filtering out those who are unsuitable is evident from the strong financial performance of those that do make it through this process. 45 The majority of those new to franchising come from employment, around 1 in 4 with prior industry experience of some form Working Status Prior to Taking On a Franchise 80 66 70 60 62 55 65 63 27 26 69 66 72 72 69 68 71 52 50 40 32 33 26 30 29 23 18 20 10 0 5 3 7 5 2 5 2 2000 2001 2002 5 3 2 2003 6 2 1 5 3 2 2004 2005 Employed Self employed - a franchise Other 5 3 2006 6 4 3 2007 21 19 6 2 1 2008 3 22 19 5 2009 16 5 3 2 2010 4 2011 7 3 2013 Self employed not a franchise Unemployed/redundent One in four new franchisees come from within the industry, with 13% having previously worked as an employee for a franchise unit, and 11% having worked directly for a franchisor. They see the opportunity at close hand and want ‘a piece of the action’. They are also more likely to come across as credible candidates to franchisors. Only around half of new franchisees need to borrow money. 46 Franchisors use a wide range of recruitment channels Franchisors Most Useful Recruitment Channels 2011 2010 2009 Own system’s website 80 85 78 Word of mouth 62 66 67 Social networking sites, eg facebook, linkedin, twitter 24 22 n/a Other franchise website 54 55 49 bfa website 30 34 34 3rd party brokers, intermediaries & matchmaking services 21 13 16 Exhibitions 31 34 23 Franchising seminars/ open days 27 20 14 Magazine advertising 28 36 29 Prompted list Whilst a franchisor’s own website has been the leading source of applicants over the past few years, the growing value attached to numerous other sources shows that recruitment increasingly is a multichannel activity. Word of mouth has increased in importance this year, while social networking, first tracked in 2010, has risen to become the third most referenced channel. There are also indications that 3rd party brokers and other intermediaries are being more widely used. 47 On average it requires 250 leads and 25 interviews to recruit each new franchisee As indicated in the previous chart, 40% of franchisors use franchising websites as a recruitment channel. Online has grown in significance over recent years, although there are indications this year that some may be moving towards a more targeted approach to recruitment (brokers and intermediaries). Whilst online advertising reaches a very wide audience at relatively low cost, filtering enquiries and applications can be time consuming. Other than the bfa website (www.thebfa.org) used by one in three franchisees, there are now at least 10 other franchise recruitment sites to choose from. Amongst these, the most used are: One Franchisee 25 Interviews 250+ Leads • franchisedirect.co.uk • whichfranchise.com • theukfranchisedirectory.net • and selectyourfranchise.com The median amount spent externally on recruiting franchisees (advertising vacancies) is £10,000, although some of the largest catering franchises spend in excess of £100,000 annually. 48 Costs, fees & ongoing charges 49 A symbiotic relationship between franchisee and franchisor The franchisor gives access to a tried and trusted (and branded) system for running a small business, plus training, centralised marketing and other ancillary services • Training is a key element as in order to ensure success, the franchisee will need to follow the ‘formula’ for success carefully developed by the franchisor in their own and pilot businesses Depending on the type of franchise (and sector), the franchisor might also supply equipment, fixtures and fittings and products / stock • For a branded coffee shop for example this could include everything from the sign over the door to the sugar sachets Initially, the franchisee must have access to sufficient funds to pay for the rights to the franchise (the Franchise Fee), and all of the necessary equipment, goods and training required. Additionally, they need to have somewhere to operate the business from and sufficient working capital to begin trading. Once the business is up and running franchisees make on-going payments to the franchisor via a fixed percentage of turnover and/or from within the cost of the goods supplied for sale. Last asked in the previous survey, the average on-going fee was 11.7% of sales. • Every business model will be somewhat different, but all will be structured to ensure that both parties are rewarded by success 50 Start up costs include everything required to get the business up and running Increasingly, franchisors roll all of the start up costs together into a single package known as a turnkey solution. This provides clarity for the franchisee in terms of the total fees required and a degree of transparency assuming that the ‘bundled’ value of all elements has not been inflated. Others prefer to itemise the cost of each element of the offer, and indeed for some franchises the nature of the business will mean that the total cost will depend on individual factors such as the size or location of premises. Nine in ten charge a fee for the franchise itself or include this within the overall charge. The cost of this element will depend on a number of factors including: • The strength of the brand, the earning potential of the franchise etc. Most charge for training or include training within the overall charge Working capital, stock and equipment are included as and when appropriate A glance along the mean total cost column on the following table illustrates that average figures are rarely ‘typical’. Clearly a hotel or restaurant will require much greater investment than a personal services franchise teaching maths to children • And, logically, even within Hotel and Catering, the cost of opening a hotel will be much greater than opening a burger bar: So there is considerable variation both within and across categories 51 Typical financial considerations in starting as a franchisee All Hotel and Catering Store Retailing* Personal Services* Property Services* Transport / Vehicle services* Business / comms services* Franchise Fee 90 89 80 81 95 100 97 Equipment* 71 89 93 72 74 70 45 Stock* 64 95 60 69 64 60 42 Training* 84 95 67 78 90 90 84 Working capital* 75 79 87 78 77 60 68 Mean total start-up cost (new unit) £52,000 £142,000 £88,000 £33,000 £32,000 £25,000 £37,000 % of resale fee to account for goodwill 25 26 15 34 25 12 25 **Mean total sum invested on start-up £64,500 £111,000 £86,000 £36,000 £52,000 £63,000 £59,000 Incidence % Source: Q16b Base: Franchisors (excludes ‘don’t knows’) / All making each charge. *Base 30 or below. **Q17g Base: Franchisees (excludes ‘don’t knows’ and ‘refused’) 52 Where a franchisee purchases a resale, this may take into account the value of goodwill built up previously Asked in the most recent previous survey in 2011, at that time 36% of all franchisees said they had purchased a resale. Amongst those new to franchising in the preceding two years as many as 66% said they had acquired a resale. In many of these instances, there is a ‘goodwill’ fee included within the cost of taking over the business, based on the assumption that many existing customers will continue to buy once the business has changed hands. On average one in four re-sales includes a fee for goodwill. Logically this is higher in businesses where there is either likely on-going relationships (personal services, or business services), reputation (hotels and catering) and lower in sectors where repeat business is less common such as retail and transport & vehicle services. This goodwill element in part explains why on average, the total sum invested by the franchisee (the green row on the previous table) generally exceed the total start up cost figure provided by the franchisor. Whilst mean figures provide a guide, it is equally valuable to look at some individual examples (taken from the previous survey) providing a breakdown in start up costs for specific franchises. 53 Some example start-up costs from the 2011 survey Example Costs for Each Franchising Sector (from survey data) Hotel & Catering Store Retailing Personal services Property Services Transport & vehicle services £105,000 £60,000 £14,000 £27,000 £30,000 Franchise Fee £6,000 £40,000 £8,000 £1,000 £7,500 Equipment £80,000 £110,000 Stock £5,000 - Working Capital £10,000 £30,000 Training £6,000 £5,000 Other £19,000 £15,000 Total (non-turnkey) £120,000 £200,000 Turnkey: Typical charge Business & Comms. Services £25,000 Non-Turnkey examples £7,000 £27,000 £2,000 £2,000 £500 £17,000 £10,000 Source: Q16b Base: Franchisors (excludes ‘don’t knows’) – 2011 survey * Figures are rounded to nearest 100 £20,000 £15,000 £27,000 54 Franchisor / franchisee relationships 55 Franchisee relationships with franchisors are generally very good Net Satisfaction with Franchisor Relationships % ‘Definitely/Mainly Satisfied’ minus ‘Definitely/Mainly Dissatisfied’ 100 90 80 70 84 74 70 80 82 82 74 76 66 60 74 66 80 74 84 70 70 86 84 72 76 76 76 68 68 66 66 66 20 38 36 28 20 10 14 14 2002 2003 80 76 69 41 46 Marginal profitability* 38 26 24 78 89 84 83 54 40 30 90 84 58 50 91 All franchisees 23 High profitability* Negative profitability* 0 2000 2001 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2013 The last few years have certainly presented some tough trading conditions. Within this context it’s highly reassuring to see that franchisee-franchisor relationships have, on average, never been better with a net satisfaction figure of +84%. Some of the few struggling to turn a profit are somewhat less satisfied, but even for them the position is much better than it was a decade ago. 56 It only goes wrong if franchisees feel they are not supported Reasons for Unsatisfactory Relations with Franchisors Lack of direct support from franchisor 69 Lack of communication with franchisor 41 Franchisor not keeping initial promises 23 Lack of franchise brand marketing/ promotions 20 10 Personal reasons Other 2 2011 2010 2009 55 79 71 48 56 44 33 46 37 22 47 44 16 18 25 5 14 25 Around one in eleven franchisees have less than satisfactory relationship with their franchisor. More often than not this occurs where they feel they are not given sufficient support or where communication breaks down. More rarely personal factors and perceptions around failure to keep promises are involved. 57 Franchisees recognise all the benefits of having a ‘brand’ whilst running their own business Perceived Benefits of Being a Franchisee Quality expectation Having a standardised product/ service Appearing to be a larger business Having a sustainable business Competitive advantage Limited financial liabilities Being a part of a bigger brand Franchisor support/ support and backup No benefits Franchisees clearly value all the benefits of what might be considered being ‘associated with’ a bigger brand; standardisation, size, quality expectation for example. However, they do not feel ‘part of’ this bigger brand. Clearly the independence and freedom of running their own separate enterprise is something highly valued. 58 Red tape and running costs 59 Franchisees say Health & Safety require the most compliance effort, followed by Tax and Data Protection A great deal/ fair amount Effort required by franchisees to ensure compliance with… Health & Safety Tax & VAT 14% 23% 12% 2010 2009 37 51 54% 39 39 54% 24 35 20% 17% 44% 17% Data Protection 10% Minimum Wage 8% 16% 19% 58% 23 38 Environmental Legislation 8% 15% 20% 57% 23 32 Equal Opportunities 8% 15 29 10 23 9 19 14% 22% 9% Intellectual Property 6% & Copyright Laws 8% Company Identity Theft 5% 9% 21% 62% 16% 71% 19% 68% Note: question last asked in 2010 A great deal Base: All franchisees A fair amount Not a lot Not at all 60 Franchisors have a greater focus on IP and Copyright, as this directly impacts their business model A great deal/ fair amount 2010 2009 44 32 Effort required by franchisors to ensure compliance with… Health & Safety Intellectual Property & Copyright Laws 29 38 Data Protection 24 37 Tax & VAT 22 37 Minimum Wage 18 27 Company Identity Theft 13 26 Equal Opportunities 12 19 Environmental Legislation 11 21 Bribery Act 4 n/a A great deal A fair amount Not a lot Not at all Note: question last asked in 2010 Base: All franchisors 61 There is continued upward pressure on running costs for both franchisors and franchisees Net Position (increase minus decrease) Franchisees Franchisors 2008 60 2009 2010 2013 36 49 48 33 35 39 29 40 33 22 8 18 17 9 2008 76 2009 2010 2013 43 52 56 59 48 50 46 33 35 39 25 34 23 18 18 18 13 Energy costs 39 Stock & Material costs 36 23 54 Staff wages 25 15 42 Your prices Property rent/ lease charges 17 Interest/ Overdraft charges 8 18 16 Note: question last asked in 2010 Base: All franchisees & All franchisors expressing an opinion 62 Running costs strike directly at the bottom line When running costs increase, this squeezes profit margins. The only way to counteract this is to cut costs in other areas (where possible) or else to increase prices, which may be challenging and could result in reduced sales. When running costs were first investigated in 2008, it was at a time where nationally we were starting to experience the ‘double whammy’ of increased costs (fuel, commodities etc.) and reduced economic activity overall. Somewhat worryingly, there are indications from this year’s survey of increasing pressure on energy, stock and materials and wages. On the plus side, the commercial property market remains relatively stagnant (good for those renting premises) and whilst commercial lending rates and base rates have largely decoupled, there has been little upward pressure (for those borrowing) in recent years. It’s likely as true for franchising as it is for UK plc as a whole and individual households that when business levels do start to pick up this will present challenges as well as rewards; greater upward pressure on wages and perhaps increased property and borrowing costs. 63 Technical appendix: Survey method 64 Calculating the size and scale of the franchising industry In order to understand the health of the industry, it is important to have an accurate measure of the ‘total number of franchised units’. The derivation of this number is not straightforward due to the variable availability and often incomplete nature of the unit figures published online or in franchise directories. In order to bridge this gap in information, the figures detailed in this document are produced by combining our own sample database with database sources that are available for the largest franchises. Sources used to compile our database are diverse and include the Franchise World Directory, the UK Franchise Directory, www.franchiseinfo.co.uk, other online lists of systems known to be operating in the UK and the proprietary databases of the bfa and NatWest. From these sources and from information built up over previous years, a ‘long list’ is compiled. This list is then subject to intensive review by industry experts at the British Franchise Association and NatWest’s Franchise Section, until all parties are satisfied that only active systems are included. The authors of this report would like to thank these sources for their assistance. In addition to this, over recent years, we have been able to populate our own sample database with reported unit numbers from the survey, making it the most accurate and reliable measure available of the actual number of franchised units in the UK. 65 Statistical Confidence Note on Statistical Confidence Much of this report is based upon the findings of survey research studies, to which statistical confidence limits apply. Taking the 95% confidence interval the following indicative ranges apply to the survey findings: Survey Findings At Or About 5% / 95% 20% / 80% 50% Franchisor survey (n=150) +/-2% +/-3% +/-4% Franchisee survey (n=330) +/-3% +/-5% +/-6% Note that the finite population correction applies to the franchisor sample. Since the sample is a substantial proportion (16%) of the population this enhances our statistical confidence in the survey findings. Commissioned by: Sponsored by: Conducted by: 66