Syllabus Spring 2003 Western Kentucky University Gordon Ford College of Business - Department of Economics Economics 465 - Regression and Econometric Analysis 465.001/465G.001 MW 1:25-2:40 GH 439 INSTRUCTOR Prof. Michelle W. Trawick GH 411 745.8803 michelle.trawick@wku.edu OFFICE HOURS MWF 8:30a-10:00a, M 3:00p-4:00p, W 3:00p-4:00p, and by appointment. TEXTS Studenmund, A. H. Using Econometrics: A Practical Guide, 5th Edition, Addison Wesley Longman, 2001. REQUIRED MATERIAL Simple Calculator Access to an internet connection Adobe Acrobat Reader Access to SPSS PREREQUISITE COURSES ECON 306 COURSE DESCRIPTION AND OBJECTIVES Description–Presents the use of statistical methods in measuring and testing economic relationships. Emphasizes the use of ordinary least squares in estimating single equation models. Topics included are dummy variables, lagged variables and such problems as autocorrelation, heteroscedasticity, multicollinearity and identification. (WKU Catalog Issue 2001-2003) Objectives--This course will provide students with the fundamental tools needed for estimating basic econometric models. Students should leave the course with the ability to formulate a question; gather, decipher, and troubleshoot data needed to answer the question; and estimate then test their theoretical predictions. ATTENDANCE/GRADING/CLASSROOM BEHAVIOR Students are expected to attend class regularly and be prepared for class discussions. There will be no explicit score for attendance or class participation. However, it has been my experience that students who attend class and participate in class discussions perform better in their courses. The final grade for this course will consist of quiz/homework grades, two midterm exams, a project, and a final exam. Your evaluation will depend upon your ability to answer analytical and conceptual problems. Please keep in mind that exam and quiz scores will not be curved. Grades are assigned using the traditional 10-point scale with rounding up at 0.5. For example, someone with an 89.5 has earned an “A” and someone with a 59.5 has earned a “D.” Category QZ/HW Exam 1 Exam 2 Project Final Exam Date Various Dates Wednesday, 2/12 Wednesday, 3/19 Due Monday May 5 by 12 pm Friday, May 9 at 1 pm Weight 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 1 !The dates for Exam 1 and Exam 2 are tentative. Should there be a need to adjust the schedule, students will be informed with as much advance notice as possible. If classes are canceled for some reason, assume the exam will be given at the next available class meeting. !Quizzes, which may or may not be announced, will be given throughout the semester. There will be no make-up grades on a missed quiz for any reason. If you are absent, you will be assigned a zero for that quiz. Again, your attendance is very important. Homework assignment are due within the first 15 minutes of class (as judged by my watch). I will drop your lowest quiz score for the semester. !There will be no make-up exams given. If a timely and reasonable excuse is provided by you and accepted, you may allow your final exam to count 40% of your score rather than 20%. This would allow you to “make-up” your zero on the exam. In effect, you would have a zero on this exam until you take the final. Please keep in mind that your definition of a timely and reasonable excuse may not be my definition of a timely and reasonable excuse. !Some of your assignments may be based on “Cooperative Learning.” That means, you would work and learn in teams. Please be aware that your grade would be a group grade. !It is your responsibility to obtain class notes and assignments given during your absence. Do not expect me to “re-lecture.” !Please note: although you do not receive an explicit score for attendance and class participation, I reserve the right to adjust a student’s letter grade either upward or downward, depending on the student’s attendance and class participation. !I expect your behavior in the classroom to be respectful of your fellow students and myself. If you are unable to refrain from sleeping or disturbing the class (e.g., talking), please stay at home. Otherwise, you will be asked to leave. In addition, either turn off your cell phones or set them to silent. ACADEMIC HONESTY Students who commit any act of academic dishonesty may receive from the instructor a failing grade in that portion of the coursework in which the act is detected or a failing grade in the course without possibility of withdrawal. The faculty member may also present the case at the Office of the Dean of Student Life for disciplinary sanctions. A student who believes a faculty member has dealt unfairly with him/her in a course involving academic dishonesty may seek relief through the Student Complaint Procedure. (WKU Catalog Issue 2001-2003) PROJECT You are asked to formulate a research question, gather and analyze the appropriate data, and test and interpret your results. Basically, you will be writing an academic research paper. This project is a two-person, team assignment. Each team will make a short in-class presentation the last week of class. The final assignment is due Monday, May 5 by 12 pm. No late assignments will be accepted. BLACKBOARD WEB PAGE You will be able to access handouts, homework assignments, grades, and announcements for the course on Blackboard as they become appropriate. Most documents will be in pdf format. The address for is: http://ecourses.wku.edu/ You should be able to follow the instructions for logging into your “My WKU” page from there. If you have any questions, please let me know. 2 STUDENTS WITH DISABILITIES “Students with disabilities who require accommodations (academic adjustments and/or auxiliary aids or services) for this course must contact the Office of Student Disability Services, Room 445, Potter Hall. The OFSDS telephone number is (270)745-5004 V/TDD. Please DO NOT request accommodations directly from the professor or instructor without a letter of accommodation from the Office for Student Disability Services.” -Office for Civil Rights KEY DATES January 21–last day to drop course without a grade. Last day to change from audit to credit. Last day to add. March 6–last day to drop with a “W’. Last day to change from credit to audit. COURSE MATERIAL AND TENTATIVE SCHEDULE WEEK MONDAY WEDNESDAY 1/13-15 Introduction and Begin Review of Regression Analysis: Ch. 1. Simple Linear Regression: Chs. 1 & 2 1/20-22 UNIVERSITY CLOSED Multiple Regression: Ch. 2 1/27-29 Using Regression Analysis: Ch. 3 Using Regression Analysis: Ch. 3 2/3-2/5 The Classical Model: Ch. 4 The Classical Model: Ch. 4 2/10-12 Finish Material and Review EXAM 1 2/17-19 Review Exam. Hypothesis Testing: Ch. 5. READ CH. 11 Hypothesis Testing: Ch. 5 2/24-26 Hypothesis Testing: Ch. 5 Specification: Independent Vars: Ch. 6 3/3-5 Specification: Independent Vars: Ch. 6 Specification: Functional Form: Ch. 7 3/10-12 Specification: Functional Form: Ch. 7 Multicollinearity: Ch. 8 3/17-19 Finish Material and Review EXAM 2 3/24-26 3/31-4/2 SPRING BREAK!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Review Exam. Multicollinearity: Ch. 8 Serial Correlation: Ch. 9 Serial Correlation: Ch. 9 Heteroskedasticity: Ch. 10 4/14-16 Heteroskedasticity: Ch. 10 Time-Series Models: Ch. 12 4/21-23 Time-Series Models: Ch. 12 Time-Series Models: Ch. 12 4/28-30 Presentations Presentations 4/7-9 FINAL EXAM FRIDAY, MAY 9 @ 1 PM 3