Target Market Study Kenya Solar PV & Wind Power German Energy Desk Nairobi, July 2013 1 Table of Contents Executive Summary ................................................................................................................ 3 1. Overview of the power sector ........................................................................................ 9 1.1. Energy mix .............................................................................................. 9 1.2. Development of electric power supply and demand ............................... 10 1.3. Role of renewable energies ................................................................... 11 1.4. Power tariffs .............................................................................................. 13 1.5. Power sector structure .............................................................................. 14 2. Regulatory framework for solar PV & wind ................................................................ 15 2.1. Feed-in Tariff-Scheme (FIT) .................................................................. 15 2.2. Power purchase agreement ................................................................... 17 2.3. Energy regulations ................................................................................. 17 2.4. On-going review of the regulatory framework......................................... 18 3. Status solar PV & wind energy sector ............................................................................. 19 3.1. Status of solar PV...................................................................................... 20 3.1.1 Off-grid pico & SHS ................................................................................ 22 3.1.2 Off-grid professional ............................................................................... 25 3.1.3 Grid-connect (Small scale) ..................................................................... 26 3.1.4 Grid-Connect (Utility-scale)..................................................................... 27 3.2. Status of Wind Energy Sector.................................................................... 28 4. Market potential and planned projects .......................................................................... 31 4.1. Overall sector outlook ................................................................................... 31 4.2. Planned projects ........................................................................................... 34 4.2.1 Government projects: Institutional and SHS segment ............................. 35 4.2.2 Government projects: Hybrid mini-grids .................................................. 35 4.3. Undeveloped market opportunities................................................................ 38 4.3.1 Utility power Generation ..................................................................... 39 4.3.2 Green building sector ......................................................................... 40 4.3.3 Agriculture .......................................................................................... 42 4.3.4 Tourism .............................................................................................. 45 4.3.5 Telecom ............................................................................................. 46 4.3.6 Manufacturing Sector ......................................................................... 48 5. Engagement and positioning of German companies .................................................... 51 6. Annexes .............................................................................................................................. 58 Annex 1: List of Players ........................................................................................................ 58 Annex 2: Bibliography and Resources .............................................................................. 76 2 Executive Summary In general, Africa countries have not, until very recently, actively pursued the potential of small-scale distributed renewables as a core element of the central power system expansion. Instead, renewables such as PV were, and still largely are, considered as part of efforts to conduct off-grid rural electrification and increase general energy access. This is still the approach that most African Governments and international donors take. The problem --- for German PV players --- with this is that the approach is donor aid, charity and Government-led and that it does not necessarily build the overall solar/PV sector. Instead it builds a sector that is set up to pursue grant-funded smallscale, off-grid projects that are unattractive for many German companies. As well, off-grid solutions are increasingly over-the-counter and dominated by low cost equipment from the Far East. However, the increasing ability of PV to compete on-grid and the increasing awareness of consumers, suppliers and policy makers of the on-grid role of PV is changing the situation. Although major donors such as the World Bank and UN (in Africa) still are primarily focused on use of PV in off-grid access, more players are becoming interested in PV’s overall role in commercial applications (both off and on grid). Generally, Kenya’s solar and wind market is developing quite dynamically. The regulatory framework has become more attractive over the last year: Apart from a technology-specific Feed-in-Tariff-scheme, which has been introduced many years ago, there are now standardized PPAs available, which reduce the transaction costs for projects in the range of 500 kW and 10 MW. In addition, Kenya works on regulations for the net-metering, which has been introduced in the Energy Bill 2012. Once such regulations will be in place, experts expect the take-off of the small & medium scale grid connect market segment. Finally, the Solar PV regulations will be of benefit for the German companies, because the overall requirements at quality of products and systems will be higher, which of course favourizes German companies. With regard to solar PV, currently the off-grid market segments are the most important ones (around 20 MW installed capacity in total). Of most relevance for German companies is the so-called professional off-grid market segment, in which public facilities such as schools and health centres are electrified through solar PV (mostly driven by the Government and NGOs) and where commercial/ industrial clients such as hotels, lodges, camps but also telecommunication companies (base stations) and farms invest in Solar PV for their off-grid facilities. The grid connect solar PV market is not yet of much relevance. In the small & medium scale grid connect segment, Solar PV has just recently become an issue and option, especially because solar PV has been considered to be an option primarily for the electrification of remote areas. But nowadays, more and more power consumers are tired of the unreliable power supply from the main grid and suffer from the high fuel/ diesel costs (around 1 USD/ litre) for the stand-by diesel generators. Although the net-metering is not yet in place, there are some “early movers” investing in solar PV systems (e.g. Uhuru flower farm). Dozens of projects are under development. With regard to the utility-scale grid connect market, most developers and experts are of the opinion that the FIT (for power from main grid connected systems) of 12 UScents/ kWh are not enough to make investments in Solar PV systems commercially viable. There are some project ideas around and feasibility studies have been conducted, but no project has been realized up to now. Of more interest 3 are the isolated mini-grids: There are still few hybrid ones (just 510 kW Solar PV in total), but 9,4 MW solar PV are planned for existing mini-grids and especially for Greenfield mini-grids. The FIT of 20 USCent in mini-grids is more attractive. In the wind power sector the situation is different: While the wind off-grid market is by far lagging behind solar PV, the large-scale grid connect market is quite important: The installed capacities of 5,1 MW are not yet much, but projects of >500 Mw are in the pipeline; 5 projects are in an advanced stage. Grid connected wind power (utility scale) has high priority for the Government: By 2030 wind power capacities shall amount to 3 GW. However, the bottleneck is actually the grid, which has still a limited absorption capacity. In isolated mini-grids wind power is supposed to play a less important role than solar PV: 3,1 MW wind power systems are planned for the extension of the existing mini-grids and the Greenfield projects. Most German companies can bring in their strengths especially in those market segments, which requires more comprehensive systems and respective system integration knowledge and are not so much off-the-shelf products. Thus, the most relevant segments are mainly the professional off-grid segment as well as the small & medium grid connect segment (with project sponsors from private sector, i.e. commercial/ industrial/ service sector): Sub-sector Opportunities/ indications for potential Building sector UN-Habitat programme on Energy Efficiency in (Small & medium grid Buildings/ Green Building review of building codes connect) IFC financing (20 Mio. USD, through Housing Finance Kenya) to encourage eco-friendly building Early movers, e.g. Strathmore, UNEP etc. Flower farms Many farms suffer from bad power and face high fuel (Small & medium grid costs for diesel generators connect) KAM RTAP programme (French credit line through 2 local banks) works on feasibility studies for 2 big flower farms Early mover: Uhuru invested in 75 kWp solar PV system Other flower farms expressed high interest in solar PV (e.g. SIAN) General trend towards “sustainable production” in consideration of European buyers Tea Factories High interest of Kenya Tea Development Agency (Small & medium grid (although first priority is given to small hydro); KTDA connect) manages 54 tea factories Systematic approach of KTDA to reduce energy costs Tea factories are usually “at the end of the power line” and suffer a lot from grid failures/ outages/ bad power quality Tourism Growing sector, number of tourists visiting parks and (off-grid professional game reserves is steadily increasing; and small & medium High trend to ecotourism facilities grid connect) Quite a number of lodges and camps with olar PV systems (e.g. Severin) Interesting opportunity: tourism facility as “anchor consumer” which supplies power also to community; some tourism facilities are community-based Telecommunication/ Around 10% (577) of the base stations are off-grid in 4 base stations (off-grid professional) Manufacturing (Small & medium grid connect) Kenya 300 new BTS in 2013 growing sector 12% of base stations have already green power Initiative “green power for Mobile” Production loss due to power outage 7%, 44% of companies have a diesel generator as stand-by Companies which were nominated for the Energy Management Award of KAM Companies with comprehensive CSR programmes The chances for German companies in the Pico & SHS segment are limited as it is highly competitive and spoiled by bad quality products and systems. According to a survey (75 systems were inspected), 9% of the owners said that the system was a disaster right from the beginning and 40% were not very satisfied because the system was not working well. For German companies, Kenya is not a completely new market any more: For instance, Energiebau Solarstromsysteme (e.g. solar PV roof-to p-system on UNEP building), Donauer Solartechnik (e.g. lodge electrification with solar PV, hybrid system for refugee camp with 15 kWp) and Juwi are already present through local partners. By having built the first grid-connect solar PV systems (UNEP building, SOS village), German companies are the pioneers in the emerging market segment for small & medium grid connect systems. This can be used by other German suppliers. With regard to the market entry strategy, it should be developed in close consideration of the local challenges in the respective market segments: In the pico & SHS market segment German companies have just a chance if they address niches, as the market is highly competitive and spoiled by (off-the shelf”) products from the Far East. Mechanisms to ensure quality of products and systems such as the licensing of technicians, importer, vendors and manufacturers has just been introduced (Solar PV regulation) but they still need to be implemented (e.g. training of technicians). In the professional off-grid segment and especially in the emerging segment of small & medium grid connect German companies (solar PV & wind) can be successful, if they are willing to provide an value-added, e.g. through contributions to training of local stakeholders and supporting the clients to get access to funds (donor funds, credit lines, equity funds, German export credit financing, ESCO-approach etc.). Projects on training and developing an ESCO-model can be done in cooperation with the German implementation agencies for development cooperation (GIZ, DEG and Sequa), e.g. within the programme develoPPP.de. 5 List of Acronyms DFID Department for International Development (British) EAC East African Community ERC Energy Regulatory Commission FIT Feed in Tariff GDP Gross Domestic Product GNI Gross National Income GWh Gigawatt Hours GSMA Global Association of Mobile Phone Operators HFO Heavy Fuel Oil KenGen Kenya Electricity Generating Company KPLC Kenya Power and Lighting Company LED Light Emitting Diode MNOs Mobile Network Operators MW Megawatt PSMP Power Sector Master Plan REA Rural Energy Agency REMP Rural Electrification Master Plan REFIT Renewable Energy Feed-In Tariff RETAP Renewable Energy Technical Assistance Program (Kenya Association of Manufacturers) SHS Solar Home System SPPA Standardized Power Purchase Agreements SREP Scaling Renewable Energy Program USAID United States Agency for International Development USD United States Dollar Currency Kenya Shilling Exchange Rates June 2013 Kshs = 1 US$ Kshs = 1 € 6 List of Tables Table 1: Major economic sectors contributors in Kenya Table 2: Energy mix Table 3: Levelized cost of energy (technology wise) Table 4: Potential and targets for renewable energies Table 5: Power tariffs Table 6: Feed in tariffs (FIT) Table 7: Application process for FIT Table 8: Main market segments of the solar PV market in Kenya Table 9: Social entrepreneur approaches to solar PV sales Table 10: Solar PV grid connect pipeline Table 11: Existing off-grid stations Table 12: Approved wind power projects Table 13: Major planned wind projects in Kenya Table 14: Major barriers to wind project development in Kenya Table 15: Solar PV “planned” projects Table 16: Planned rural electrification of public institutions Table 17: Proposed additional RE projects in existing mini-grids Table 18: Proposed RE in the mini-grids under construction Table 19: Greenfield projects Table 20: Opportunities for German companies Table 21: Tourism sector indicators Table 22: Estimated energy requirements for BTS Table 23: KAM Industrial Survey, 2012 Table 24: Selected “pioneer” companies in energy &CSR Table 25: German companies with engagement in Kenya Table 26: Sources for financing solar PV and wind projects Table 27: Opportunities for German companies (mini-grids) Table 28: Recommended procedure (export credit financing) Table 29: Cover policy for Kenya 7 List of Figures Figure 1: Primary energy consumption Figure 2: Electric power mix Figure 3: Landscape of Players Figure 4: Kenya PV market set-up Figure 5: Modelling Kenya’s PV potential Figure 6: Kenya’s PV costs vs grid electricity costs Figure 7: Subscriber growth (numbers, growth rate) Figure 8: Power outages (telecommunication base stations) Figure 9: Off-grid deployment List of Boxes Box 1: Energy entrepreneur Durama Mobile Charging Box 2: Lighting Africa Box 3: Business model MobiSol Box 4: Credit line of AFD for private investments in renewable energies and energy efficiency Box 5: Kenya Tea Development Agency (KTDA) 8 1. Overview of the power sector The Republic of Kenya is located in East Africa on the coast with the Indian Ocean. With a total area of 582,646KM2, Kenya lies on the equator and is situated between longitudes 34E to 42E and latitudes 5.5N and 5S. Somalia borders Kenya to east, Ethiopia to the north, South Sudan to the northwest, Uganda to the west and Tanzania to the south. Nairobi the capital city is both a political and commercial capital and acts as the hub for financial services, international companies and donor organizations based in the East Africa region. The total population is over 41million people with 32.7% found in the urban areas and 67.3 % found in rural areas.Kenya’s economy is the largest in the East Africa region with a 2012 GDP of 41.18 billion USD (an increase of 4.6% over 2012) and is projected to increase by 6% in 2013. The GNI per capita as at 2011 was $820. This is driven by a stable macro-economic environment, increased domestic demand, modest growth in credit and a liberal market with little government influence. The major contributors to the economy include agriculture, tourism, industry and manufacturing sectors. Table 1: Major economic sectors contributors in Kenya Major Sectors in Kenya Agriculture and Forestry Wholesale & Retail trade Transport & communication Manufacturing Financial intermediation Construction 1.1. % Contribution to the GDP in 2011 24% 10% 10.6% 9.4% 6.4% 4.1% % Growth in 2012 3.8% 6.4% 4.0% 3.1% 6.5% 4.8% Energy mix The overall energy supply is mainly based on the use of biomass, which has a share of 76% at the primary energy consumption. The current electricity generation capacities amount to 1708 MW (October 2012), of which 48% are hydro power plants. Thermal power plays the second role (38%) and includes emergency power plants, which are run on heavy fuel oil/ diesel. These temporary power plants have a capacity of around 120 MW. 9 Figure 1: Primary energy consumption, 2010 Coal 0% Oil 17% Figure 2: Electric Power Mix (% of installed capacities), 2012 Hydro 1% Geother mal, Solar, Wind 6% Biomas s, waste 76% Geother Bagasse Wind mal 0% 2% 12% Hydro 48% Therma l 38% Table 2: Energy mix Technology Installed capacity (in MW) Hydro 810 Geothermal 209 Thermal Oil 643 of which rental power (120) Wind 5,1 Cogeneration 26 Total 1693 Effective capacity (in MW) 766 204 595 5,1 26 1596 Peak demand is around 1268 MW, between 18.30 and 21.30 by average. 1.2. Development of electric power supply and demand Kenya’s Vision 2030 plans to make the country achieve “middle-income” status by 2030. Vision 2030 ambitiously targets a 10% growth in GDP annually in order to meet the goal. Various projects geared at achieving vision targets have been developed that are likely to result in significantly increased energy demand. A detailed energy demand forecast was conducted in the context of the Least Cost power Development Plan (2011). According to that plan, the electricity demand will grow by 11,9% p.a (low growth scenario) up to 15,3% p.a. (high growth scenario) until 2030.1 This means, that the current electricity production has to be increased from 7.670 GWh to at least 77.307 GWh (low growth scenario) until 2030, in the medium scenario to 103.518 GWh 2 . Peak loads are projected to grow to about 2,500MW by 2015 and 15,000MW by 2030. To meet this demand, the projected installed capacity would have to increase gradually to 19,200 MW by 2030. Besides the expansion of own capacities, Kenya will meet the increasing energy demand 1 However, according to many analysts this is too high. 2 In consideration of suppressed demand and of technical/ non-technical losses. 10 through the interconnections to the neighbouring countries. For instance, the interconnection with Ethiopia (which is currently developing its hydropower resources at a rapid rate) will increase the power availability in Kenya. The drivers of the rising power demand are as follows: Economic growth: 9% by average after 2015 (medium scenario) Further rural electrification: total electrification rate of 88% by 2030 (medium scenario), currently this rate is estimated to be 22% Vision 2030 flagship projects, e.g. ICT Park with estimated energy requirements of nearly 3000 GWh/ year, iron and steel smelting industry in Meru with a need of 2000 GWh, second container terminal and free port in Mombasa (750 GWh) After reduction of the technical and non-technical losses by 4% in the period 2002 – 2010, they still amount to 16% (3,5% in the transmission grid and 12,5% in the distribution grid). The suppressed demand, which is reflected by power cuts and load shedding, was estimated in 2012 to be around 80 MW or 25 GWh; by 2015 this gap shall however be closed. 1.3. Role of renewable energies In consideration of the whole scope of renewable energies, they play a crucial and even increasing role in the energy mix in Kenya. The high share of hydropower (nearly 50% at the power mix makes the energy supply very sensitive to the water availability in the seasons; in addition to that the price for the diesel, with which the emergency power plants are run, for instance, during dry seasons, increased a lot and makes the power generation more expensive3. Thus, more a more attention is attached to renewable energies, which are to some extent very low cost energy options. According to a detailed analysis which has been conducted in 2011, geothermal and wind are the least cost options for energy supply (base load): Table 3: Levelized cost of energy (technology wise) Technology Load factor LCOE (UScent/ kWh), 8% discount rate Geothermal 93% 6,9 Wind 40% 9,2 Nuclear 85% 10,2 Low Grand Falls 60% 10,9 Hydro GT-Natural Gas 55% 11,3 Coal 73% 12,7 High Grand Falls 60% 13,1 Hydro (e.g. Mutonga) LCOE (UScent/ kWh), 12% discount rate 9,2 12,26 14,5 15,1 12,0 14,9 18,1 The current diesel price is 99,16 KSH (1,14 USD); in October 2012 the price was even 106,11 KSH (1,22 USD); in September 2011 the price was 108,17 KSH (1,25 USD). 3 11 Therefore, especially geothermal resources are systematically explored: The geothermal potential is estimated at 10 GW; by 2030 the capacities of 5,5 GW shall be installed (current: 209 MW). Wind is considered as the second least cost option and shall also be increased tremendously, from the current 5,1 MW to 3 GW by 2030 (2 GW by 2022). Table 4: Potential and targets for renewable energies Technology Potential (in MW) Targets (in MW), by 2030 Hydro 1.500 Geothermal 10.000 5.500 Wind 4.400 3.000 On-Grid Solar PV 500 Current installed capacities (MW) 209 5,1 1.3 Solar PV has been considered mainly as a reasonable and cost-effective option for areas, which are not connected to the main grid. Currently, about 30% of the total population has access to grid power, with rural populations well below [] access. In the past, stand-alone systems for houses (SHS) and public facilities (schools, health centres, administration offices etc.) have been promoted. According to the Least Cost Power Development plan (LCPDP, 2011), LCOE from Solar PV were assumed to be between 12,3 USCent/ kWh and 22,2 USCent, mainly depending on the capacity factor (15-25%), based on figures from the US EIA. Recently, solar PV is attached more importance also in the context of isolated mini-grids and, even for feeding in the main grid, as it will be described in the next chapters. The target is to generate power from 500 MW Solar PV capacities, by 2030, and to have installed at least 300.000 units of SHS; by 2022 solar PV capacities shall amount to 200 MW and at least 200.000 SHS shall be installed. Solar ressources Kenya receives good solar insolation all year round (coupled with moderate to high temperatures) estimated at 4-6 kWh/m2/day. Wind ressources Kenya has a proven wind energy potential of as high as 346 W/m2 and speeds of over 6m/s in parts of Marsabit, Kajiado, Laikipia, Meru, Nyandarua, Kilifi, Lamu, Isiolo Turkana, Samburu, Uasin Gishu Narok, Kiambu Counties among others.The Ministry of Energy developed a Wind atlas in 2008 with indicative data, based on information from 35 meteorological stations in Kenya. This gave just an indication,as investments in wind power plants are usually done on a basis of wind measurements at specific sites over 2 years. To augment the information contained in the Wind Atlas, MoE with the assistance of Development Partners on the one hand and KenGen have installed more than 60 wind masts and data loggers in various counties to collect site specific data. For instance, Isiolo (Mweromalia, kiremu, Matabiti area) have a monthly average speed up to13,5 m/s (e.g. in June and July 2012). The North West of the country (Marsabit and Turkana districts) and the edges of the Rift Valley are the two large windiest areas (average wind speeds above 9m/s at 50 m height). The coast is also a place of interest though the wind resource is expected to be lower (about 5-7 m/s at 50 m height). Many other local mountain spots offer 12 good wind conditions. Due to the monsoon influence, some seasonal variations on wind resource are expected (low winds between May and August in Southern Kenya). 1.4. Power tariffs By principle, power tariffs in Kenya are cost-reflective; they are currently adjusted according to fuel costs, foreign exchange adjustments4 and inflation. Beyond the basis consumption tariff and these adjustments, consumers have to pay taxes, levies or duties which are included in the final end-user price: - VAT at 12% charged to the fixed charge, the demand charge, the forex adjustment and to the fuel cost charge. Rural Electrification Programme (REP) levy at 5% of revenue from Unit sales. Energy Regulatory Commission (ERC) levy at 3 KES cents/kWh. The regulation how to calculate the tariffs can be downloaded from the website of the ERC, http://www.erc.go.ke/ctariff.pdf . Following table gives the tariffs (in KES) from December 2011: Table 5: Power tariffs Tariff component Basic consumption tariff Fuel cost adjustments Forex Foreign exchange adjustments Inflation adjustment TOTAL (without ERC and REP levy) TOTAL incl. VAT ERC levy REP levy TOTAL Domestic Consumers >1500 kWh/ month Small Commercial, 240 – 415 V 11,15 8,96 Commercial and Industrial >15000 kWh 5,75 7,30 7,30 7,30 1,23 1,23 1,23 0,13 19,81 0,13 17,62 0,13 14,41 22,19 0,03 0.56 22,78 19,73 0,03 0,45 20,21 16,14 0,03 0,29 16,46 Power sector regulations provide a review of electricity tariffs every three years but there has been no review since 2008. Kenya Power was more recently pushing for a 21 per cent rise in the fixed charge and consumption tariff starting March 1 but the Energy Regulatory Commission (ERC) delayed the plans citing need for deeper consideration of stakeholder views. 4 A number of factors influencing the cost of power generation are affected by fluctuation in foreign exchange rates, for example loan repayments for some electricity projects which have been financed and need to be paid back by foreign currency. End-user electricity prices are therefore liable to an adjustment factor for foreign exchange rate fluctuation, which reflects the exchange rate of hard currencies against the Kenya Shilling. 13 The power firm had planned to further increase the tariffs by nine per cent in July to cover for rising expenses. The tariffs were to rise further in July 2014 and July 2015 by four and 11 per cent respectively. 1.5. Power sector structure Following the enactment of the Energy Act No. 12 of 2006, the energy sector was restructured to bring on board more players in line with the new functions. That means for instance, that the generation has been unbundled from transmission and distribution. Following chart shows the landscape of players. Figure 3: Landscape of players Ministry of Energy (MOE): Responsible for policy and overall guidance of the sector Energy Regulatory Commission (ERC): Oversees all regulatory functions including coordination of the development of indicative energy planning, tariff setting and oversight, monitoring and enforcement of sector regulations. Geothermal Development Company (GDC): This Company is a Government Special Purpose Vehicle (SPV) intended to undertake surface exploration of geothermal fields, undertake exploratory, appraisal and production drilling, develop and manage proven steam fields and enter into steam sales agreements with investors in the power sector. Rural Electrification Authority (REA) is charged with the mandate of implementing the Rural Electrification Programme and came into operation in July 2007. 14 Kenya Electricity Generating Company (KenGen): Is the main player in electricity generation, with a current installed capacity of 1,180.7MW (about 72%). The company’s expansion plan aims to have an installed capacity of 1541.5MW by 2014. Kenya Power and Lighting Company (KPLC): The single off-taker in the power market, buying power from all power generators on the basis of negotiated Power Purchase Agreements for onward transmission, distribution and supply to consumers (single seller). Independent Power Producers (IPPs): Private investors in the power sector involved in competitively procured large scale generation and the development of renewable energy under the Feed-in -Tariff Policy. Current players comprise IberAfrica, Tsavo, Or-power, Rabai, Imenti, and Mumias. Collectively, they account for about 28% of the country’s installed capacity. Kenya Electricity Transmission Company (KETRACO): A government owned company established to plan, design, construct, own, operate and maintain new high voltage (132kV and above) electricity transmission infrastructure that will form the backbone of the National Transmission Grid and regional inter-connections. Under the New Constitution, Kenya has been divided into 47 counties, so that there are now 2 levels of government, each with an own legislature and executive. In the energy sector, the National Government will be responsible for energy policy whereas the County Governments will be responsible for planning and development within their jurisdictions. That means that the counties shall regularly update the energy status and atlas and shall be encouraged to assess its potential for electricity generation and to develop strategies to exploit such potential. While the main licensing will be done by the National Government, some licensing activities will be overtaken by the counties, e.g. licensing of - Small scale generation of electricity using solar and wind Solar Water Heater and Solar PV Contractors Solar system installation technicians Small-scale charcoal/ biomass producers There will be a transition period of some years to build up the necessary capacities on level of counties and to clarify the function devolution in operation. 2. Regulatory framework for solar PV & wind 2.1. Feed-in tariff-scheme (FIT) Feed-in tariffs for power from renewable energies were introduced in March 2008, reviewed in January 2010 and updated again in December 2012. The RE-FITscheme allows power producers to sell electricity generated from renewable energy to the off-taker, KPLC, at a pre-determined tariff for a given period of time. The scheme is technology-specific. While wind energy was included right from the beginning, solar PV was incorporated after the 1st revision of the scheme, however just for off-grid systems. In this context, the feed-in tariffs have been adjusted as follows: Table 6: Feed-in-Tariffs Technology Plant capacity, in MW 2012 (2010 ) FIT, 2012 UScent/ kWh FIT, 2010 UScent/ kWh 15 < 10 MW Wind Solar PV Biogas Geothermal 0,5 – 10 (0,5 – 100) 0,5 – 10 (0,5 – 10) 10 MW 10,1 - 50 10,1 – 40 (Solar grid) 0,2 – 10 (0,5 – 100) < 10 MW 11 11 12 12 (Grid) 20 (OffGrid) 12 20 (firm power) 10 (Non-firm) 10 MW 10 8 (Firm power) 6 (Non-firm) 35 – 70 (1 - 75) 8,8 8,5 The main principle, which underlies the calculation of the FIT, is that the tariffs reflect the generation costs plus a reasonable investor return. Furthermore, the tariffs shall not exceed the generation Long Run Marginal Costs (LRMC), which are 12 UScent/ KWh according to the Least Cost Power Development Plan. Only exception is the tariff for the solar PV power, which is supposed to be fed in isolated mini-grids at a tariff of 20 UScent/ kWh. Solar technology is intended to be used to supply mini-grids, which are actually mainly diesel-run stations and, thus, cause high operation costs to the operator (in most cases KPLC). While the tariff for wind is quite attractive, the FIT for solar PV connected to the main grid is considered to be low. However, the FIT for solar PV systems, which supply power to mini-grids, seems to be reasonable. The FIT for Wind and Solar PV apply for 20 years from the date of the first commissioning. A positive feature of the updated scheme is, that the tariffs are not at all negotiable anymore; the last versions defined a maximum tariff, which had the implication that grid operator tried to discuss and to reduce the tariff. Other key features of the FIT-scheme 2012 are as follows: Off-Taker guarantees priority purchase The costs of interconnection, including the costs of construction, upgrading of transmission/ distribution lines, substations, and associated equipment, are to be borne by the project developer Off-taker shall recover from electricity consumers 70% of the FIT (85% for solar PV connected to off-grid systems) For power from projects up to 10 MW, a standardized PPA will be applied; for larger systems this standardized PPA shall be used for negotiation By latest, every three years the FIT scheme shall be reviewed; any changes which will be made through reviews shall only apply to power systems that are developed after the revised policy is published. Following table shows the application process for the Feed-in Tariff: Table 7: Application process for FIT Milestone Project applicant identifies and undertakes a prefeasibility assessment Submission of EOI & FIT application from to the Ministry of Energy Review of EOI: Check of suitability with planning and grid connection; approval for 3- Responsibility Timeline Applicant Appplicant FIT Committee 3 months 16 year exclusivity period or refusal Project full feasibility study Review of feasibility study; acknowledgment of project viability within FIT regulation Performing grid connection study Acknowledgement of grid connection feasibility Structuring project financing & submission of draft standardized PPA Conclusion of non-negotiable PPA Close project financing EPC contracting and construction Connection, commissioning and permit Applicant FIT Committee 24 months 3 months Applicant FIT Committee Applicant Applicant/ Grid operator 4 months 1 – 3 years Source: Ministry of Energy, Feed-in Tariff Policy, Application and Implementation Guidelines, December 2012 A major feature, which should be highlighted, is the grid connection study, which the developer has to conduct. That study shall take into account the Kenya grid Code and, for Small Scale Producers, the Guidelines for Grid Connection, issued together with the standardized PPA in December 2012. 2.2. Power purchase agreement For reducing the transaction costs associated with negotiating and signing a PPA, a standardized PPA has been introduced for projects up to 10 MW. This standardized PPA is technology-neutral. It incorporates the following features: There is no bidding for renewable sites and resources – a first come, first served system applies The plants are “embedded”, that is not dispatchable by the National Control Centre They are connected at distribution voltages The PPA is offered to projects that demonstrate technical and economic viability, meet the grid connection requirements and are able to secure all necessary legal and regulatory approvals and financing. To be highlighted are the take-or-pay provisions and the step-in rights, which have been incorporated in the standardized PPA and which make the PPA finally bankable. 2.3. Energy regulations Beyond the FIT and the standardized PPA there are 2 energy regulations which are of relevance for the development of the solar PV market: (1) Solar PV Regulations, 2012 The underlying purpose of the Solar PV Regulations is to improve the quality of solar PC systems in Kenya, especially by improving and ensuring the capabilities of the private sector actors, e.g. technicians, manufacturers, vendors. The key features are as follows: Persons who want to design or install a solar PV system have to licensed 17 (2) To be licenced as a technician, a person shall be required to have minimum qualifications and experiences There are 3 classes for different system sizes (T1, T2, T3): T 1 refers to systems up to 100 W, T2 to medium sized systems and T3 to advanced, grid connected ones and hybrid ones. For instance, for T2 it is necessary to have a Certificate in Electrical or Electronic and Intermediate Solar training. Solar PV manufacturers (systems, components), importers, vendors and contractors have also to be licenced by the Commission For getting the licence a written an oral exam has to be passed. The licence is finally given by the Energy Regulatory Commission (ERC) The commission or its agent may carry out inspection Manufacturers, vendors, technicians and contractors have to provide a warranty to the customer for the components in the solar PV system and the PV installation (10 yrs for controllers, regulators; 10 yrs for inverter, 20 yrs for panels, 1 yr for battery etc.) Energy management regulations, 2012 Through these regulations the energy efficiency shall be enhanced in the industrial, commercial and institutional facilities. The focus lies on energy conservation, but renewable energy systems are usually considered as one option of energy efficiency enhancement. Apart from that, the regulations generally contribute to the awareness raising towards energy issues, thus, will also contribute to increase the interest in solar PV and wind. Key features of the regulations are as follows: For all facilities, energy audits are mandatory, once every three years (according to the guidelines for the energy audit report) The audits have to be conducted by licenced energy auditors To be licensed as an energy auditor an applicant must have a minimum of academic and professional qualifications (as defined in the regulations) Within 6 months after the audit, an energy investment plan for the next 3 years has to be submitted by the facility to the Energy Regulatory Commission (ERC) The facility has to realize at least 50% of the identified and recommended energy conservation measures; an annual implementation report has to be provided (acc. To guidelines for implementation report) Commission or its agent may undertake an inspection audit 2.4. On-going review of the regulatory framework There are actually 2 projects of the Energy Regulatory Commission (ERC) on the further development of the regulatory framework: (1) In the context of a project with the EU (EUEI PDF), it is intended to develop Feasibility study templates Grid connection study guidelines Net-metering/ electricity banking regulations Of much relevance for the further development of the commercial market for Solar PV is, if course, the net metering, which has been introduced in the Energy Bill 2012 (par. 157): 18 “A consumer who owns a renewable electrical energy generator of a capacity not exceeding 1 MW may apply to enter into a net-metering system agreement…with a distribution licensee or retailer…” The net-metering allows to measure the energy flows in both directions, so that the power which the renewable energy generator supplies to the grid is deducted from the energy, which the distributor supplies to the generator; the owner of the renewable energy generation plant just pays for the balance (“net”). Solar PV installations do not make so much sense just for feeding the power in the (main) grid, as the feed-in tariffs for main-grid connected solar PV is just 12 UScent; but in consideration of the current supply tariff from the grid, that amounts to 20-25 UScent/ kWh, it is economically viable to offset the purchase of electricity through power from Solar PV, which has a levelized cost of around 18-20 UScent/ kWh. Regulations for the net-metering are actually developed on basis of 3 case studies: While two Solar PV systems are already installed and feed in the grid (without balancing against the supply), the systems in the SOS children Village in Mombasa and on the roof of the UNEP Headquarter in Nairobi, one Solar PV system is going to be installed at the Strathmore University. (2) The International Finance Corporation (IFC) supports ERC to develop regulations for the power wheeling: Under the Energy Act, electricity transmission (wheeling) between a privately owned generator and an earmarked customer is permitted. An appropriate wheeling tariff and wheeling procedures have not been agreed, however. A Cost of Service Study will provide information relevant to establish a wheeling tariff and suggest a methodology to define that tariff. Focus will be on the 33-132 kV voltage levels. 3. Status solar PV & wind energy sector Kenya has had a relatively stable off-grid PV market since the mid-1990’s, with hands-off Government policies and continued duty and tax exemptions for PV products. The market is extremely competitive but continues to develop a number of interesting niches for specialized products. Cumulative installed capacity is likely to be over 20 MW, spread between solar home systems, NGO/professional systems and Government-procured systems. Off-grid solar home system sales volumes have not dramatically increased since 2009 because of aggressive Government grid-based rural electrification programs. However, demand for pumping, NGO, professional, and peri-urban systems is increasing. The Naivasha-based Ubbink PV module plant sold about 2 MW of locally-assembled modules into the region over its first (2011/12). This venture, in partnership with the local battery manufacturer (ABM) has been able to successfully reach neighbouring markets and Kenyan consumers eager to buy local product. Three segments of the market are poised to grow rapidly: 5 Mini-grid markets, based on >40 Government-procured systems in northern arid regions5 and donor projects proposed by several countries. Small-scale (<1MW) grid-connect projects in the agriculture, NGO, education and commercial sector See Ministry of Energy Scaling Renewable Energy Project document. 19 Commercial scale PV projects are likely to become more attractive as electricity costs rise, South Africa’s emerging experience is better understood and demand for daytime electricity increases. More than 500 MW of on-grid wind projects are in the pipeline, primarily in windy parts of the Rift Valley and the coast. The approved pipeline of project includes at least 5 projects in advanced stages, though none has broken ground and all have been slower than expected to come to financial close. The off-grid wind market, though not as active as PV, is significant. More than 10 companies supply wind generators for use in micro-grids and standalone projects, and local manufacture of components is carried out by at least Major PV market segments The solar sector can be divided into 4 major segments; the two off-grid markets are mature and currently active while the latter 2 are poised to develop in the near future. Table 3 and Figure [] provide a basic overview of the sector. Table 8: Main market segments of the solar PV market in Kenya Segment Brief description Current status Comments Off-grid Pico & SHS Sales of relatively standardized products (usually below 100Wp), “over-the-counter”, unregulated. Off-grid Professional & Project Market Grid connect (small & medium scale) Utility-scale power generation (>100 kW) Systems designed according specific needs of off-grid facilities or off-grid electrification programs. It can include SHS programmes or larger systems (solar PV and hybrid systems). Systems designed for the specific needs of gridconnected facilities. It can include power generation for direct consumption (embedded generation) or grid-interactive systems (e.g. under net-metering or energy banking arrangements). Power generation sold to main utility or other decentralized utilities using Feed In Tariffs. Largest portion of market. Thousands of outlets. Solar is a ubiquitous product. Competitive. Dominated by Chinese products. Estimated to be over 2 MWp p.a. Active market. Driven by donors, NGOs or government procurement. Small applications in commercial and industrial sector (e.g. pumping tourism, telecoms, etc.) At least 10 grid connect projects (>2 MW) should have been completed by end of 2014. 1 MWp of installations in 2012. Government procurement and NGO projects represent largest portion 6 “Energy banking ” regulations are being actively negotiated by the private sector and Government bodies 3 projects of 3 MW in RTAP pipeline Several large scale projects announced. 10 MW in Government small project pipeline. Government mini-grids projects. Regional aspects of new constitution may open up new opportunities for renewable generation. 3.1. Status of solar PV In general, the “over-the-counter” nature of Kenya’s off-grid PV market has remained the same as it was since the 1990’s except for a few important changes. First, consumers have more choices and lower prices. Secondly, technology 6 Kenya’s version of net metering. 20 improvements have made lower cost inverters, BOS, modules and pico-systems available on the market. Thirdly, there have been some Government efforts to regulate and licence the market7. Finally, there are more players operating in more niches, including pumping, designed systems, portable systems and micro-grids, and this is resulting in a trend towards better systems. Since 2009, Kenya’s solar market has begun to move “on-grid”. Most PV players are now aware of the opportunities offered in on-grid niches, and some advertise products for on-grid applications. Policy changes to make solar systems more easily connected to the grid are underway8. Little formal data about sales of products exists, though current sales are well over 2 MW per annum. As shown in Figure [], there are several channels of supply: Local manufacturer of modules (Ubbink) & batteries (2 local manufacturers), “Formal” supply chains (importers, wholesalers, dealers with established) suppliers, e.g. Davis & Shirtliff who are interested in long-term relationship also with European/ German companies “Opportunistic” supply chains (importers, wholesalers, dealers who regularly change suppliers based on price & available product), About 10 companies are major importers of solar PV, inverters or batteries, doing more than $1M turnover per year. Several dozen companies are integrators or players that specialize in various segments of the market (pumping, NGO sales, pico-solar, mini-grids, Government projects, battery back-ups, grid-connect). There are, hundreds of retail shops that supply PV directly to consumers throughout the country. A few companies with established relationships with German companies include the following: Chloride (Phocos charge regulators) Davis Shirtliff (Lorenz solar pumps) Solar Works (Energiebau) Harmonics (Donauer) As well, there are hundreds of solar technicians, many of which do not have formal skills and operate with loose connections to solar distributors or retailers. However, the training infrastructure for solar technicians and engineers develops along with the gazetted solar PV regulations 2012. These regulations require that only licensed technicians are allowed to design and install solar PV systems; and to be licensed, technicians have to undertake a solar training course. Gazetted ERC regulations require PV sellers and installers to have licenses. Enforcement of these new regulations is difficult for Government bodies, especially since so many retailers have solar as part of their product line. 7 8 The question is whether they will be in 1 year or 5 years. 21 Figure 4: Kenya PV market set-up The KenyaPV Market Set-Up Local Manufacture Professional Market Modules, Ba ery NGO, Tourism, Telecom Exports Somalia South Sudan Uganda Tanzania Rwanda DRC Seafreight Tendered Projects Retail Overthe-counter Government, NGO SHS, Components PicoSolar Imports Locally Installed Installers In consideration of these regulations, a solar PV training curriculum has been drafted to standardize the training programmes. Local and international institutions including academia and regulatory institutions were involved. There are 3 classes (Class T1, T2, T3), which entitles the holders to carry out solar PV system installation of different sizes, e.g. T1 entitles to install systems up to 100 Wp. Training courses are for instance offered by the Solar Energy Research Centre of the Strathmore University, the leading private university in Kenya. It nowadays also hosts the German Solar Academy (GSA), which was launched in context of the construction of the UNEP 500kW project. At that time, GIZ supported the German suppliers Energiebau Solarstromsysteme, Schott Solar and SMA to provide the training. A total of 80 technicians have been trained through the three German Solar Academies held in 2011 and 2012. The training is now institutionalized in Strathmore University, which intends to build up a Competence Centre for Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency, with support of GIZ. 3.1.1 Off-grid pico & SHS This well-established >1MW market operates through a number of wholesalers that import modules and re-sell to hundreds of retailers around the country. The target group of this market segment are mainly people in remote areas, which are difficult to be reached. Thus, an important part of the supply chain are the socalled “energy entrepreneurs” who are trained and supported though several donor-funded proprammes. 22 A prominent example is the programme “Developing energy enterprises in East Africa” (2008 -2012), which was funded by the EU and the Danish Government. In framework of this programme, over Box 1: Energy entrepreneur Durama 1000 micro and small energy Mobile Charging enterprises (MSEE) have been supported to develop their Only 30% of rural Africans are phone users, business. 328 of them deliver Solar partly because of the problem to charge the PV products and services, such as phones. Very often they need to travel long solar lighting and solar mobile distances. phone charging. Many of them are The entrepreneur Athman Ndoro had in Kenya. already a solar mobile charging station at his The small entrepreneurs got home in Mlola village/ Kenya, relying on a trainings on technologies, bookcar battery as opposed to a solar inverter. keeping, quality assurance and This was quite inefficient. Thanks to the marketing. In addition, they were DEEP programme he moved his mobile coached by a mentor on the charging station to a more strategic place development of their business plan. near to a trading Centre. Through his wife As a crucial component of the he got a loan (200 €) from the Kenya programme, a Loan Guarantee Women’s Finance Trust, which he used to Fund was established, which purchase a 40 W panel and solar battery of made it possible for most of the 50 Ah. This allowed him to improve sales entrepreneurs, who do not have from 20 €/ month to 72€/ month. It took him suitable surety such as a land title just 10 month to pay back the credit. and therefore cannot get credits, to Source: GVEP International, developing Energy get access to finance. Enterprises in East Africa, booklet 2012 Despite introduction of Government regulations that require licenses for sellers and installers, there has been little change in the nature of the over-the-counter market since 2009. Box 2: Lighting Africa Lighting Africa is a joint IFC and Worldbank programme that works towards improving access to better lighting in areas not yet connected to the electricity grid. Modern off-grid lighting products or systems shall replace the inefficient and costly fuel-based lighting sources such as kerosene lamps. The products comprise solar panels (1-5 W), rechargeable battery and a modern lantern/ lamp, usually with a LED bulb. Very often, additional features such as a mobile phone charging kit are integrated in the pico system. The products, which are promoted through the programme, have to meet the Global Lighting Minimum Quality Standards. Respective test methods and standards have been developed, which are used actually by 4 labs worldwide, including the Fraunhofer ISE in Freiburg. By December 2012, 49 off-grid lighting products meet the performance targets of Lighting Africa that means the Global Lighting minimum standard. Up to now, almost 7 Mio. people use clean lighting access in Africa. The programme also facilitates the access to finance: 7 Micro Finance Institutes (MFI) provide microloans for consumers to purchase quality-assured off-grid lighting products. Source: http://www.lightingafrica.org/ 23 It is mostly an over-the-counter market that operates through the major importers, distributors, retail shops and installers. Typically, systems are purchased directly on a do-it-yourself basis by consumers or by artisanal installers who design systems based on consumer needs and budgets. The SHS supply chain is extremely efficient and competitive. As it currently operates, it is of little interest to European suppliers because it is driven by low price and uneven quality. The Lighting Africa project has stimulated the lower end of the SHS market, and drawn more investment --- and players --- into the market. New marketing and business model approaches have revitalized the <100 Wp market since 2010, especially with the stimulation from (donor-aided) social entrepreneur pico-solar entrants. Financing, mobile money and higher technology advancements may open up niche markets to international players by a) clustering sales of equipment, b) enabling long-term finance of systems among groups of customers and c) enabling direct contact between whole-sale agencies and consumers (as happens with cellular phone companies). However, the existing overthe-counter market is in little danger of changing. Examples of new social entrepreneur approaches which have had impact include: Table 9: Social entrepreneur approaches to solar PV sales Social entrepreneur company Business model Financier Lighting Africa-supported and recognized pico-products Barefoot, d-Light, SolarAid/SunnyMoney BBox Self-contained solar lighting kits to remote projects and dealers throughout region. SolarKiosk Berlin-based company introducing solar-powered container-type kiosk which sells products and services in rural areas (e.g. charging mobile phones, batteries, lamps; services such as cooling, internet and communication). Products such as pico-systems and SHS are sold as well. SunKing, IFC, various donors Various In 12/2012 a subsidiary was established in Nairobi. Al least 5 Kiosks are deployed in Kenya. MobiSol Markets, monitors and finances SHS through use of mobile money platforms (Tanzania, Kenya, Rwanda) AECF M-Kopa Solar Franchise based on M-Pesa Model finances solar equipment in Kenya rural area AECF 24 Box 3: Business model MoBiSol 19 employees, of which 4 are in the EA region, e.g. Arusha. Product: Smart system (20 Wp – 200 Wp), linked up to mobile net (in Kenya Safaricom and Airtel; in Tanzania Vodacom and Airtel) Business model: Customer pays via M-PESA a monthly fee, the system will be opened automatically for power supply to the customer; the systems are financed through micro-credits and can be paid back over a period of 3 years (12 USD/ month for 20 Wp; 40 USD for largest system); warranty is given for 3 years (for this period service for free) Partners: The NGO SCODE (Kenya) and Kakute (Tanzania) In a test phase (2010-2012) around 300 units were installed in Nakuru region (Kenya) and in Aruha (Tanzania); the target for 2013 is to install 10.000 systems in Tanzania, Kenya and Ghana) 3.1.2 Off-grid professional This developing sector includes systems designed according to specific needs of offgrid facilities or off-grid electrification programs. It includes donor-led SHS programmes or larger systems (solar PV and hybrid systems) as well as commercial markets that require high quality equipment (telecom, tourism, pumping, high-end residential). Exports of equipment to other east African countries (South Sudan, Somalia) are also important in this market. Important segments of this market include the following: Institutional systems Pumping Mini/micro grids Specialized Telecom Export AID/NGO bids Increased demand by the aid and rural development sector, as well as from green off-grid consumers, has stimulated this market. Mainly NGOs and Government (e.g. through electrification of public facilities) have driven the professional off-grid market. The private, commercial sector such as tourism facilities have a significant potential, but up to now the tourism for instance has not yet developed projects over 30 kWp. Institutional sub-segment The first 5 years (2008/09 – 2012/13) of the Vision 2030’s target was to connect all major trading centres, secondary schools, community water works, health centres and 1 Million households. By 2012, more than 22.000 public facilities have been electrified, either through extension of the grid or through installation of diesel 25 stations in the off-grid-areas as well as installation of Solar PVs and other renewable energy projects. In this context, over 350 public facilities have installed solar power for uses such as refrigeration and lighting. An interesting aspect of this off-grid/ professional market segment is that it has many new players. As opposed to traditional over-the-counter suppliers, these new entrants are often nimble, able to prepare bids and proposals, technically competent, and able to seek support from the finance and aid sector 9 . It is, for example, common for solar companies to team up with NGOs and CBOs to develop project proposals for specific opportunities “on offer” from donors such as the EU, UN agencies (UNDP, UNHCR, UNEP), AECF, GVEP, EEP, international grant agencies, etc. As well, there are numerous alliances of importing companies and niche specialist providers that team up to win contracts. For examples, importers like Davis Shirtliff, CAT and Chloride Solar both tend not to go after individual solar projects; instead they work closely with dealers/technicians to win projects, picking the right partnership for the job. The professional sector is likely to grow steadily, with new opportunities opening up in tourism, aid, telecom and Government procurement. 3.1.3 Grid-connect (Small scale) Development of small and medium sized grid-connect market is likely to be a key growth sector for PV in East Africa as a whole and a particularly interesting one for high-quality suppliers. There are three reasons for this: First, the rapid expansion of the grid is a reality in Kenya 10. On the order of 80% of the population is within 10km of a grid power line in Kenya. Many consumers would like to have a grid connection and add/keep their solar PV system. Secondly, grid-connected early movers in the household and commercial segments of the economy want to go green and to invest in solar for its predictable long term costs. Thirdly, on-grid Kenyans already invest in battery, generator and solar backup solutions. They are used to poor service from the utility and see solar as a potential solution to avoid the on-going frequent power cuts (that are likely to continue in the short term). In the absence of a clear policy framework, this market is already developing. Recent projects (see table) have been carried out by aggressive green first movers. The success of these projects, and the resounding support they receive from the private sector and consumers, has forced Government to positively address a “grey area” of policy11. Numerous aid-based sources of support are available for start-up and small green companies. See Solar Player Data base and Table 3. 9 10 KPLC has several hundreds of thousands of households between 2008 and 12. 11 Small scale renewables are not officially encouraged by feed in tariffs or net metering policies yet. See ECA report. 26 Table 10: Solar PV grid connect pipeline Project UNEP Nairobi SOS Children Village Mombasa Uhuru Flowers Strathmore Chloride Size 550kW 60kW Year Installed 2011 2011 Company Energiebau/SolarWorks Asantys/AfricanSolarDesigns 73 kW 500 kW 48kW 2012 2013 2013 Azimuth/SolarCentury Energiebau/SolarWorks Yet, the market is not off-taking: The net-metering has been introduced by law by the end of 2012, but the implementation guidelines/ regulations are still under preparation. At least a dozen projects are currently in development. Especially, once the net-metering regulations will be in place, these are likely to grow into a sector that is larger than the off-grid sector in the mid-term. Opportunities will largely be over 90% in the private sector, in the 2kW to 500kW range and without need for licenses or formal Government approval. 3.1.4 Grid-connect (Utility-scale) The power generation market includes systems installed as projects with power being sold to the main utility or other decentralized utilities under a Feed-in-Tariff regime. Already, a number of “aspirational” projects are in the Government pipeline, but none has received a PPA. Thus far, Government policy and practice has prioritized large (>100 MW size) geothermal, wind and coal projects over solar PV. Large scale projects are occasionally announced by market players (ex Jinko Solar Garissa12). Rumours are also around an upcoming project of UK-based Winch (40 MW). However, whether such projects occur has much to do with investor appetite, improved FIT’s, available finance, overall views of the Kenya energy sector ability to pay and ability of the power sector to absorb large-scale generation13. In the mid-to-long term, large scale solar projects will be implemented in Kenya. Opportunities for such projects will be limited in number and extremely competitive. Investors will have to have strong local connections and a long-term view of these opportunities. Mini-grids Besides the electrification of public facilities, the installation of isolated mini-grids is part of the rural electrification programme. In the Rural Electrification Master Plan (REMPP, 2009) 33 sites were identified for the installation of off-grid power stations. By end of 2012, 12 isolated mini-grids were installed, all on basis of diesel generators. They are operated by the national grid operator, KPLC. 7 of these off-grid stations already include RE systems, however the share of RE at the total installed capacity is usually less than 10%. http://www.the-star.co.ke/news/article-281/chinese-firms-build-solar-power-plantgarissa 12 If the existing wind and geothermal projects come on-line as per schedule, the ability of the grid to absorb and pay for this power in the near term is questionable. 13 27 Table 11: Existing off-grid stations Station Wajir Mandera Marsabit Diesel Installed Capacity (kW) 1746 1600 560 Lodwar Hola Merti Habaswein Turkana Tana River Isiolo Wajir 1440 800 128 360 Elwak Baragoi Mfangano Moyale Mandera Samburu Hombay Marsabit Mpeketoni Lamu 360 128 584 Connected to Ethiopian National Grid, 2009 Connection to Ethiopian National Grid, planned 2013 7706 Wajir Mandera Marsabit County TOTAL RE Capacity No. of Customers Length of MV lines (km) 3360 3270 2194 Length of HT lines (km) 186 86 123 0 300 (PV) 500 (Wind) 60 (PV) 60 (PV) 10 (PV) 30 (PV) 50 (Wind) 50 (PV) 0 0 1610 1300 287 779 35 175 6,85 105 45 42 18 150 535 199 101 25 7 42 52 4 7,3 800 25 65 510 (PV) 550 (Wind) Source: Ministry of Energy, Scaling-Up Renewable Energy Program (SREP), Project Document for MiniGrids’ development in Kenya, Draft, April 2013 The main distribution voltage levels are 11 kV, in Wajir (Griftu), Hola, Habaswein and Mfangano there are also 33 KV lines. With regard to the load profile, there are 2 main peak periods usually, between 10.30 and 12.30 am and between 7.30 and 9.30 pm. 3.2. Status of wind energy sector Potential of wind in Kenya Kenya is one of the countries with the highest potential for wind power generation in Africa, with the highest potential around Lake Turkana and a significant potential in the coastal areas. Kenya has on the order of 10-20 good sites with wind speeds of >7m/s. These sites could have a demonstrated potential of over 1 GW of grid-connected electricity from medium-large wind turbines. The Government is in the process of preparing a new wind atlas14 --- however, developers generally have to measure and confirm data for their own projects. Large-scale projects The large-scale wind sector has been increasingly active in the recent years. Despite a great beginning with Ngong hills wind park 5.1 MW commissioned in 2009, the 14 A previous Wind Atlas was prepared in 2003. 28 large-scale wind sector has been unsuccessful since then trying to push for more installed capacity. The LCPDP projects a total of 2,036 MW from wind by 2031. As of 2011, 20 projects with a total capacity of 1008 MW had been approved for development. Table 12: Approved wind power projects Name of Firm Capacity Site (MW) Aeolus Osiwo 60 60 Kinangop Ngong Aperture 30 Limuru Wind Energy Ltd. Cordisons Int. Ltd. 100 150 Malindi Kisumu, Lamu Tana river power 2x50 Energy Investment 2x6 Triotec int. Ltd. Prunus 10 Isiolo & Nyambene Suguroi, Mambrui Ngong Hills Ngong Hills Pisu & Co Kenergy Ltd KTDA Renewables To do feasibility study To do feasibility study To complete feasibility study To finalize arrangements with KFS To acquire land and do feasibility study To do detailed feasibility study To do detailed feasibility study 20 40 Sergoit To do feasibility study 20 750KW Rleny Hills Kiasemes To do feasibility study To do feasibility study 50 Oloitoktok To do feasibility study 50 Corner Baridi, Ngong Mpeketoni Garissa Kinango, Kwale Nyambene Hills Tower power ltd. Biashara Energy Solutions Fahrenheit Energy Solutions Facelift Energy Ambalian Company Limited Quant Energy Kenya Ltd GEM-CEM Construction Limited Electrawinds PPA signed Waiting for concessioning of land from Kenya Forest services (KFS) Finalizing agreement with partners, ENBW Finalizing detailed feasibility study Import of wind masts for data logging To do feasibility Between Meru/Isiolo Kinangop Kapchebet Tea Factory Olchoro Onyore Hindi Ngong Hills Ngong Hills Olsuswa farm Laikipia Corner Baridi Isiolo & Malindi Kanget Meru Triotec Int. Blue Sea Windgen power Sustainable Energy Sustainable Energy Olsuswa Energy Kenelec Supplies Ol-Danyat Energy Tata power Status 55 100 100 10 100 90 100 100 30 To do detailed feasibility study To do detailed feasibility study To do detailed feasibility study To do feasibility study To do feasibility study To do feasibility study To do feasibility study To do feasibility study To do feasibility study Source: List of ERC/ MoE (April 2013) 29 Table 13 below summarizes the 5 major projects that the most advance in development. In total, these projects represent over 550 MW. According to current plans (and predicted completion dates) these projects would supply well over 20% of the capacity of the Kenya grid upon completion. Table 13: Major planned wind projects in Kenya Project / Capacity Players Area [MW] location Turkana Wind Park 300 Kipeto Energy Wind Park / Kajiado area 100 Kinangop Wind Park 60.8 Ngong Wind Park Expansion / Ngong hills 13 Baharini Electra Wind Farm • Lamu coast 90 Aldwich International – Original developer AfDB – Lender Lake Turkana Wind Project (LTWP) Vestas – Turbine supplier Isolux Corsan S.A. – Transmission line contractor CFD – 100% ownership GE - Founder of the project Local partner – CraftSkills Aeolus Kenya General Electric – Supplier Iberdrola - EPC contractor OPEC – American bank lender Iberdrola - EPC Contractor Gamesa - Supplier Prunos and GE - Investors/Owners Electra Winds Kenya Limited IFC investment Status The project is about to achieve financial close around June 2013, but is temporarily on hold due to World Bank concerns over grid absorption capacity and cost recovery. Close to financial closure, afterwards 18 months of commissioning In PPA negotiations In PPA negotiations Early stage Stand-alone and Isolated Mini-Grids Stand-alone wind projects small-scale wind projects have been a small niche of the off-grid solar market for several decades. There are on the order of a five hundred stand-alone wind systems in the country ranging in size from 500W to 50 kW. According to KEREA an average of 80-100 small wind turbines (400W) have been installed to date, often as part of a Photovoltaic (PV)-Wind hybrid system with battery storage. These have been installed by telecom players, NGOs, commercial and household clients in windy parts of the country. CraftSkills, WinAfrique and WindGen together with Davis and Shirtliff and Chloride Exide are the most active companies in stand-alone wind systems. CraftSkills and WindGen fabricate local wind turbines in a cost-effective way and have shown interest in technology transfer from developed markets. Other players including access, RIVIK and others import components and technical support (see Database for list of wind players). Wind pumps are more common than wind turbines, 2 local 30 companies manufacture and install wind pumps. Installations are in the range of 300350. It is notable that all of the players in small-scale wind installation have also moved into PV/inverter installations. This is because, first, small-scale wind system installations do not have a large enough market to sustain their business and, secondly, the skills required for off-grid wind installation are similar to those required for off-grid PV. According from GSMA report, 1.9% of all telecom sites are PV-wind mini-grids. However, there has been a relatively slow market uptake of the technology because of investment costs and other reasons (GSMA report). 100 of these sites were installed by WinAfrique and Safaricom between 2008 and 2010; however, Safaricom reduced investments in the project due to the high costs and lowered appetite for investment. Obstacles and constraints Despite an overall policy environment for wind that is positive, there are still a number of issues that prevent much wider use of the ample wind resources in the country. The table below presents obstacles to wider development of wind projects: Table 14: Major barriers to wind project development in Kenya BARRIERS TO LARGE SCALE WIND BARRIERS TO STAND ALONE WIND DEVELOPMENT SYSTEMS / MINI-GRIDS Government’s public preference in geothermal Robustness of the national grid Integration factor into the grid; 25% maximum Lack of reliable updated wind resource map Large distances from transmission lines where wind blows the most: areas in the North that have the highest potential for wind energy generation are too far from the nearest transmission lines Up-front investment cost of systems Lack of business models and incentives for private investment vis-à-vis Government investment/procurement for communities Poor acceptance in rural areas; Maintenance problems in isolated areas lack of local capabilities to tackle this Lack of reliable and updated wind resource map 4. Market potential and planned projects 4.1. Overall sector outlook As can be seen in Figure [], it is likely that solar markets in Kenya will develop rapidly in the medium term and that Kenya will become a market that installs tens of megawatts per year. The small-scale grid connects and off-grid professional markets are the key markets for German companies to watch because they will demand high quality and long-term commitment from companies and because German companies have a competitive advantage in this sector. The solar sector likely to grow because of the following factors: Electricity prices are rising due to higher costs (thermal generation, delays in large project development). The Kenya electric grid will continue, in the short 31 and medium term, to be unstable with frequent black-outs. See Figure [] below. Numerous donor programs are engaging with the Kenya Government to develop credible off-grid renewable energy programs (particularly DFID, BMZ/GIZ, USAID, UNIDO, etc) Figure 5: Modelling Kenya’s PV potential 70 MW installed per year 60 50 Grid Connect Commercial 40 Grid Connect Small Scale 30 Off-Grid Professional Market 20 SHS & Pico 10 0 2008 2012 2016 2020 In addition to the two overriding factors mentioned above, there are other considerations that will drive solar markets. Consumer demand for green and secure sources of power will continue to rise, as will general knowledge about solar. Regional projects in solar Figure 6: Kenya’s PV Costs vs Electricity Costs Source: GIZ, Solar PV Achieves Grid Parity in Kenya (2010) (including the South African experiences) will stimulate increased interest. Finally, the reduced prices of solar PV, vis-à-vis KPLC power prices, will drive the market as shown in Figure 3 above. From the above analysis, the following trends can be anticipated: Off-Grid Pico and Solar Home System markets will grow slowly, but will never rise above 5 MW per year without a serious Government subsidy/support intervention. In the medium term, these markets will peak and slowly reduce as more and more consumers are brought onto the KPLC grid. Off-Grid Professional Markets will grow steadily over the next ten years (i.e. until 2020) as investments in larger telecom, tourism and NGO markets increase due to the need to provide electricity infrastructure via stand-alone 32 and mini-grid systems. The markets will peak at 8-10 MW before reducing as opportunities diminish and the grid expands. Grid Connect (small-scale) will grow rapidly with increased consumer demand, better policy frameworks and grid parity of solar solutions. Smallscale grid-connect will, by 2020, constitute a larger demand than off-grid solar. Projections of actual market size are difficult to estimate. Grid Connect (utility-scale) projects will become part of the general increase in of power capacity in Kenya over the next 10 years. Projects will be “lumpy” in that there will tend to be several large projects over a 5 year period with only a few opportunities for equipment suppliers. Opportunities and business potential in the wind sector are both in the mini-grid segment as well as the segment of main grid-connected wind parks: Mini-grids with integrated wind power systems are promoted by the Government along the overall plans to promote the electrification of rural areas through isolated mini-grids. Ambitious targets of the Government to expand the wind power capacities from the current 5,1 MW to 3 GW by 2030 also implies opportunities for larger grid-connected wind parks. A lot of projects have already been approved. And many wind developers are ready to become more active. However, in the next 3-5 years the absorption capacity of the grid will limit very much the connection of new wind parks. Key Obstacles / constraints As shown in Figure 2, the Kenya PV market is likely to grow relatively fast in the coming years. The rate of this growth is dependent on a number of factors including policy environment, the investment climate, available finance/incentives and the consumer appetite. Currently, the market is held back by a number of factors. In general, the solar sector in Kenya is extremely competitive and disaggregated. There is little sector-wide collaboration to achieve common objectives. Many companies will have trouble surviving the next stages of market growth as they may not be able to build up the capacities which are necessary to meet the upcoming demand (i.e. gradual shift away from small-scale off-grid to on grid) and they do not have the resources to survive difficult periods. Solar companies (and consumers) are slow in Kenya to grasp the rapid changes in global solar technology (i.e. off-grid to on-grid). It will take them some time to develop the large array of skills needed for markets that differ from the current off-the-shelf, pico and NGO supply models. A facilitative policy environment is not yet fully developed for on-grid or offgrid solar. Unlike neighbouring countries, the Government model for off-grid rural electrification is to directly tender projects on a procurement basis rather than to encourage market approaches15. The uniform tariff policy actually does not allow to set the tariffs in mini-grids on basis of the costs, which hinders of course the involvement of the private sector in the mini-grid operation business. Generally, the current approach to development of the power sector is not conducive to the smallscale decentralized projects that are easiest for Kenya’s dynamic private sector to carry out --- the energy sector, however, is evolving and there is hope that energy banking (net metering) or other special incentives for decentralized approaches will develop. I.e. subsidies for solar home systems, franchised concessions, officially supporting private players to develop mini-grids and providing them with the same subsidy the utility receives. 15 33 Solar technologies in Kenya have not been marketed (or designed) to fit into some of the most viable market niches. For example, many off-grid sites that run generators 24/7 would benefit from directly connected PV (without batteries) to reduce fuel expenditures. In addition, solar PV has not been marketed to fit into the 10’s of thousands of back-up battery/inverter systems that are prevalent in urban areas. Finally, Kenyans in general have a view that solar is an inferior technology in comparison to the grid and generators. This has a lot to do with the prevailing offthe-shelf nature of the business, the small size of players and the relatively limited capacity of solar companies. Until solar companies can demonstrate that they supply green solutions that are durable and well-engineered, larger projects (especially off-grid) will not move forward. 4.2. Planned projects Table 15 below provides an outline of projects that are currently commercially viable (due to a long history of project activity) or planned by Government or other client (This is not a complete list as all private companies were not willing to share their pipelines). As can be seen, the commercial off-grid market for 2013/14 amounts to about 3MW and planned on-grid projects in 2013/14 add another 4 MW or so. Planned and “under construction” Government mini-grid projects add 9,4 MW in Solar PV to this total. Thus the total for PV installations in 2013/14 could potentially be 16,4 MW. With regard to wind power, 3,1 MW are planned in context of isolated minigrids. This section mainly discusses planned Government projects on solar PV and wind power. See other parts of the report for commercial projects. Table 15: Solar PV “planned” projects Type Stand Alone / SHS Stand Alone / SHS School & Clinic Pumping Mini-grids Mini-Grids Mini-Grids Grid Connect Realistic Capacity MW/year 1.5-2.5 MW ??? 1-2MW 1MW 1.8MW Project developer Client/Comments Commercial 2MW 5,6 MW 300 kW 500kW Government/REA Government/REA Power Technics Azimuth Power& Solarcentury Business as usual market for pico & SHS No plans REA NGO/Private Clients Addition to Existing Mini-Grids (2013/14) Mini-Grids Under Construction Proposed Mini-Grids Power Technics Strathmore university 48kW 3 MW Government Government Commercial Government/REA Chloride Solar KAM RTAP Sameer Africa exploring the possibility of introducing a solar energy and a coal fired steam generation facility Undisclosed client Part of existing RTAP Pipeline 34 4.2.1 Government projects: Institutional and SHS segment The first 5 years (2008/09 – 2012/13) of the Vision 2030’s target was to connect around 25.000 public facilities. 12% (3000) have still to be electrified in 2013/2014, concretely 2450 trading centres and 640 health centres. Table 16: Planned rural electrification of public institutions Facility No. of facilities To be electrified electrified (2013/2014) Trading centres 10.666 2.452 Public Secondary 8.108 0 Schools Health Centres 3.645 640 TOTAL 22.419 3.092 Level of 88% 12% electrification TOTAL 13.118 8.108 4.285 25.511 100% Source: Presentation of Zachary Ayieko, CEO, REA, 12/2012 By 2017, 12.000 more public facilities shall have access to electricity. The investment requires about 1000 Mio. USD. 4.2.2 Government projects: Hybrid mini-grids 12 mini-grids are installed, 7 of them with a small share (usually < 10%) of RE. Due to the high fuel costs, which cannot by far be recovered through the tariff revenues, the diesel run off-grid stations are heavily subsidized. For instance, the station in Wajir steadily generated between 400.000 and 500.000 kWh/ month between 01/2009 – 10/2012, however, the fuel costs increased from 7 Mio. KSH/ month to around 17 Mio. KSH/month in the same period. Against that background, the GoK plans to increase the share of RE in the isolated mini-grids, both in the existing ones and in those, which are currently under construction, as well as in further planned greenfield projects. The Investment Plan for Kenya in SREP targets to have at least 30% of renewable energy production in the mini-grids. As shown in Tables 17-19, 9,4 MW of additional capacity will be installed in existing or green-fields mini-grids over the next few years. Proposed additional RE in the existing minigrids In the existing minigrids, 1,8 MW Solar PV and 600 kW Wind shall be installed: Table 17: Proposed addition RE in existing mini-grids Station Wajir Mandera County Wajir Mandera Diesel Installed Capacity (kW) RE Capacity Proposed (additional) Solar PV Proposed (additional) Wind 1746 1600 0 300 (PV) 800 200 300 0 35 Marsabit Lodwar Hola Merti Habaswein Marsabit Turkana Tana River Isiolo Wajir 560 1440 800 128 360 Elwak Baragoi Mfangano Mandera Samburu Hombay 360 128 584 500 (Wind) 60 (PV) 60 (PV) 10 (PV) 30 (PV) 50 (Wind) 50 (PV) 0 0 TOTAL 0 250 100 100 100 0 0 0 100 100 100 100 100 1850 0 100 0 600 Proposed RE in the minigrids under construction There are actually 15 isolated stations/ minigrids under construction. Here, solar PV capacities of 2 MW in total and 500 KW wind capacities shall be added to the diesel generation unit: Table 18: Proposed RE in the mini-grids under construction No . Station 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Eldas Faza Hulugho Kiunga Laisamis Lokichoggio Lokitang Lakori Rhamu Takaba North Horr Dadaab Banisa Lokiriama Maikona Diesel Installed Capacity (kW) Proposed (additional) Solar PV Proposed (additional) Wind TOTAL 184 380 184 184 184 640 184 184 184 184 184 640 184 380 640 150 100 150 150 150 150 150 150 150 150 100 100 100 150 100 2000 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 100 100 0 100 600 334 580 334 334 334 790 334 334 334 334 384 840 384 530 840 TOTAL RE in planned hybrid isolated minigrids (Greenfield projects) Altogether, 44 sites have been identified for installing isolated hybrid mini-grids: 23 of them have already been identified in the Rural Electrification Master Plan of 2009; 21 additional sites have been selected, as the towns have grown along with its population and the economic activities. For these green-field projects, it is planned to install capacities of 17,8 MW in total, of which 5,6 MW Solar PV and 1,9 MW Wind. Table 19: Greenfield projects No Station County Proposed Proposed Proposed 36 TOTAL . 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 21 22 23 Nachokui Turkwel Kaeris Liboi Gari Dukana Bubisa Illeret Darade Furole Kibish Lokamari nyang Kokuro Nadapal Napeitom Kerio Oropoi Todonya ng Loyangal ani Lowaran gak Kakuma Haut Kalokol 1 SubTotal Bangale 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 2 3 4 5 Ndau Shimoni island Ukasi Ngodhe 6 Takawiri 7 Kiwa 8 Magata 9 Kibuogi 10 Ringiti 11 12 13 Kadaina Kiwayuu Gold(ma kutano) Diesel Capacity Solar PV capacity Wind capacity Turkana Turkana Turkana Garissa Mandera Marsabit Marsabit Marsabit Marsabit Marsabit Turkana Turkana 374 216 390 577 295 330 699 166 185 271 102 184 100 150 100 200 150 100 150 150 100 100 100 100 100 0 100 0 0 100 100 0 100 100 0 0 574 266 590 777 445 530 949 316 385 471 202 284 Turkana Turkana Turkana Turkana Turkana Turkana 218 934 108 108 288 79 150 300 100 100 150 100 0 100 0 0 0 0 368 1334 208 208 438 179 Marsabit 71 100 100 271 Turkana 81 100 0 181 Turkana Samburu Turkana 200 100 561 100 100 200 3.000 100 100 100 1.100 400 300 861 10.537 Tana River 184 150 100 434 184 184 100 150 100 0 384 334 184 184 150 100 0 0 334 284 184 100 0 284 184 100 0 284 184 100 0 284 184 100 0 284 184 100 0 284 184 184 184 100 100 100 0 100 0 284 384 284 Kwale Kitui Homa Bay Homa Bay Homa Bay Homa Bay Homa Bay Homa Bay Lamu Turkana 37 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 Charuten de Dujis Ijara Korr Sereolipi South Horr Barsaroi Marti Kilifi 184 100 0 284 Garissa Garissa Marsabit Samburu Marsabit 184 184 184 184 184 150 150 150 150 100 100 0 100 0 100 434 334 434 334 384 Samburu Samburu 184 184 100 150 2600 5.600 100 100 800 1.900 384 434 Sub-TOTAL TOTAL 3864 7264 17.801 KfW/ GIZ as well as DFID intend to strongly promote the involvement of the private sector in the investment and operation of hybrid mini-grids (generation unit and/ or grid). German companies should keep an eye on opportunities which may result from these development cooperation programmes. Opportunities for German companies in this context can be for example: Table 20: Opportunities for German companies Opportunity/ Approach Effectiveness/ potential Giving advice on design and specification of the hybrid mini-grids Medium (German Chamber of Commerce could be used as vehicle and facilitator) Bidding in public tenders (mini-grids funded by international donors) Developing develoPPP.de with German implementation agencies (e.g. GIZ, DEG) Low High 4.3. Undeveloped market opportunities Undeveloped opportunities are especially in the commercial/ industrial market, the small-scaled grid connect segment. In very near future, regulations for netmetering/ electricity banking will be in place, which will push the development of especially solar PV projects in this segment. In addition, more funds have become available, with focus on this segment. For instance, 2 years ago AFD launched a credit line of 30 Mio. € to promote private investments in renewable energies and energy efficiency. The funds are channelled through 2 local banks, Stanbic and Coop. The second phase of the project will start in autumn 2013. Along with the financial cooperation goes technical assistance (Regional Technical Assistance Programme – RTAP), which includes also trainings for KAM, project sponsors and bank officers. Main local partner is the Kenya Association of Manufacturers (KAM) Key areas that KAM is looking at are 38 Industrial energy efficiency Use of hydropower in the tea sector (see above) Use of solar thermal and PV in the horticulture/flower sector Co-generation across all sectors KAM member investment in energy generation under existing small-scale FiTs. Use of rooftop PV in industries with large warehouse spaces PV is a relatively small, but important part of the project pipeline for KAM RTAP. It is expected that the upcoming net-metering regulations will pave the way for more investment from the private sector. Box 4: Credit line of AFD for private investments in renewable energies and energy efficiency Targeted sectors of the credit line include power projects, agro-industry, manufacturing and tourism. RTAP has built a project pipeline of 88 active projects (by March 2013) and 40 disqualified ones. It is expected that funds will be drawn down in 1.5 years. The pipeline had projects on renewable energies of a total capacity of 123 MW; 11 MW for solar PV projects with an estimated investment of 33 Mio. USD. By March 2013, feasibility studies for 22 projects were done; 27 additional projects were in stage of preparing TOR for the feasibility study. 2 projects were financed and 7 others were considered to be proper for financing. Interest rates for the KAM finance window are 4 to 6%.. 4.3.1 Utility power generation Large scale power production includes projects above 500 kWp that would be eligible to receive a Feed-In Tariff payment under the current (and developing) regimes for small scale (500 kW to 10MW) and larger (>10MW) solar farms. The Ministry of Energy, Kenya Power and Lighting and the Energy Regulatory Commission are all aware of solar PV and the potential for “larger” solar PV projects to play a role in the development of the overall power sector. In this regard, they recognize this role and encourage project development. Vision 2030 targets development of 300MW of solar PV by 2030. Already, several PV utility-scale projects have put forward including 20 MW by KenGen, 50 MW in Garissa16 and others. As of this writing, none of the projects is at an advanced stage. To date, the Government has prioritized geothermal, wind, coal and development of projects that are better matched to Kenya’s load profile (which peaks in the evening) and which are above 100MW. As mentioned elsewhere, it is anticipated that utility scale PV generation will become more common 1) following the South African experience and 2) with the reduction of overall PV costs. http://www.the-star.co.ke/news/article-281/chinese-firms-build-solar-power-plantgarissa 16 39 Wind power projects (main-grid-connected) will be implemented, once the absorption capacity of the grid has improved. 4.3.2 Green building sector The “green building” sector provides emerging opportunities for integrating solar PV into off- and on-grid buildings. Many Kenyan consumers, developers, architects and builders have recognized the need to incorporate sustainable features into the built environment. For example, a prominent group of architects17 attempts to “maintain green space” wherever possible in its new buildings and incorporates water catchment and recycling, natural lighting and materials as well as solar water heating into its projects. By law, 20% of all space in a built area in a city must remain “green”. Moreover, the tourism industry, NGOs and high-end development industry in the country are interested and committed to greening energy use. LEED buildings (Leadership in Energy & Environmental Design) are already being built and certified in East Africa (see list of Kenyan buildings registered LEED18.) The list of registered projects (altogether 6 in Kenya) includes the World Bank Commercial Fit-out (still under construction), a new Nairobi Standard Chartered Bank (being done by Triad) and the Strathmore University Phase III. Indications for the green building in Kenya are also the awards given by the African Real Estate and Housing Finance Academy: In the category of Best Green Building development in Africa, the new Strathmore Business School building got the award. Nominees were also Community Cooker Foundation - Kenya, Fedha Plaza - Kenya, The Bridge City Shopping Centre - South Africa, The Atrium - Kenya and The Coca-Cola Plaza – Kenya. It should be mentioned that Government regulations mandate that solar water heating be included in all new buildings that have significant hot water use. This has not worked well in practice because of the lack of quality solar water heater suppliers, the lack of capacity among solar water heater companies and the lack of capacity of the building industry to plan and execute solar water heating. The developing appetite for solar PV is demonstrated by several projects which have already included the technology in spite of unclear Government regulations and incentives. For example, UNEP headquarters and SOS Children’s Village have installed systems that are high profile and accepted as pilots by the Government. Strathmore University, several flower farms and others have similar projects in place19. A number of PV companies have embedded solar systems in sites where there is high consumption --- many installations go un-reported because of the lack of clarity regarding their legality (see below). 17 Beglin Woods is involved in projects over Kshs 10B/year, see data base. 18 See <http://www.usgbc.org/projects?keys=kenya> for details on LEED projects in Kenya Most companies are uncomfortable to disclose full details of project for a report that will be shared with competitors. 19 40 Specific opportunities in the green building sector include: Grid-connected & power back-up for hhouseholds and small business. This sector is already relatively active --- thousands of inverter/battery systems operate as grid-back-ups for businesses in Kenya. It is also relatively common to find solar connected to these systems for the battery charging. Building integrated solar: This sector is undeveloped but of interest to project developers. Early movers are starting projects already. Development and commercial-based net-metering opportunities (see below) Opportunities may come up with the program “Promoting Energy Efficiency in Buildings in East Africa”, which is an initiative of UN-Habitat in collaboration with UNEP, GEF and the East African Governments. The objective of the programme is to mainstream energy efficiency building codes, housing policies, building practices and housing finance. In this context, UN-Habitat tries to mobilize Finance for Green buildings, e.g. through a conference in September 2013. First funding is already avialable: IFC will provide up to 20 Mio. USD financing to the Housing Finance Company of Kenya, aimed at encouraging property developers to build eco-friendly homes. Obstacles to Grid-Connect and Off-Grid Solar Buildings The consultant team interviewed 4 architects who are interested in solar energy in principle. The primary obstacles to uptake of PV solar energy in green buildings are: 1. Policy environment: As discussed elsewhere, despite the near-term economic viability (and practicality) of solar in grid-connect locations, architects are not confident about including solar PV in projects (even among consumers that want it) because there is no clear indication from the Government about net-metering, feed-in tariffs or “energy banking”. 2. Technical capacity: There is very little engineering capacity in Kenya to design and specify solar system solutions. Without clear technical capacity to design and implement solar solutions, local architects are hesitant to recommend it to their clients20. 3. Confidence in the technology and knowledge of options: In general, architects and developers view solar as an expensive technology that is best for off-grid “projects”. They have little knowledge of the advanced status of solar in Europe, Japan and the US, and, if they do, they are unwilling to be the prime mover in Kenya as they have extremely conservative and demanding clients. 20 Many architects have extremely poor experience with solar water heaters. 41 4.3.3 Agriculture In 2011, agriculture contributed 24% to Kenya’s GDP, the highest individual sector contribution to the GDP. Tea, coffee, horticulture and flower farms are the largest agricultural foreign exchange earners. As part of the KAM RTAP program flower, tea and horticulture farms have been especially interested in PV use to off-set power bills. The agricultural sector is “cash rich” and independently-minded compared to other parts of the Kenya economy and willing to invest this cash in assets that have long term paybacks. Solar PV can be utilized by the agricultural sector in a number of scalable ways that are discussed in detail below: Use of solar PV to off-set power requirements on existing farms Use of solar PV to provide power (and primarily irrigation pumping) as an offgrid or back-up/separate power solutions on existing farms Use of solar to provide power for out growers (coffee, tea, cashew, horticulture) who do not have access to the main grid of KPLC. Use of Solar PV to Off-set On-Farm Power Requirements Agriculture sector participants are particularly active contributors to the economy that are less affected by local politics or down-turns in the international economy than tourism as their markets are stable and bring in foreign exchange directly. Kenya is a leading global producer of tea, coffee, horticulture, cut roses, pyretheum and sisal. Production occurs via plantation and out-growers (see boxes on flower and tea industry). Energy is a major part of their costs. The agricultural sector focus in Kenya has been historically on market-ready applications and particularly on solar pumping. Flower farms have recently shown interest in solar photovoltaic systems to cover their electrical energy requirements (fridges, lighting and other electrical devices). Especially farms from the Mt. Kenya region and Nakuru region report that they suffer from the insufficient power quality of the grid. Flower farms have been leaders in renewable energy investments: Uhuru farm (72 KW solar PV, provided by Azimuth Power ), PJ Dave invested into a 100 kW biogas plant (partly subsidized by Ministry of Energy), Stokman installed 0,5 ha SWH panels for heating the water which is needed for the greenhouses/tables. Some farms such as SIAN have not yet done anything to reduce their energy costs/ diesel costs, but are heavily interested. KAM RTAP is currently conducting audits in 2 large farms to assess viability of solar PV investments. Considering that the flower industry in Kenya comprises around 100 active farms, the potential is quite significant. In addition, the flower industry is quite open-minded towards the concept of sustainability: Most flower farms are exposed to the requirements of European buyers at a “clean supply chain”, so that they need to meet social and environmental standards. Thus, the Kenya Flower Council has introduced a “Code of Conduct” and a comprehensive auditing scheme. Tea processing factories are another potential clientele for German companies. They just start to think also about solar PV solutions as back-up to the power supply from the public grid. The production is the largest contributor in the agriculture sector. 42 The electrical energy requirements are quite high, have a share of around 30% at the total production costs. The most significant key player is KTDA, Kenya Tea Development Agency, which manages 54 tea factories which have altogether a share of 60% at overall national tea production. Box 5: Kenya Tea Development Agency (KTDA) Management of 54 tea factories Corporate shareholder-based, i.e. each factory serves by average 10.000 small farmers (altogether there are around 550.000); the Board of each factory has 6 representatives of farmers Tasks of KTDA: all management, including the collection, processing, delivery/ marketing to auction Energy has become a major issue since 2000: 30% of total production costs (15-16 KSH per kg tea) Average demand per factory: 400-500 kW First focus: thermal energy for tea drying switching from furnace oil to firewood costs could be reduced by one third; now sustainability issue own land for plants Current focus: electricity use. Factories are usually at the end of power lines and are, thus, very much affected by failures of the grid (motor drives are heavily affected, life time is shortened); Kenya tea stands for quality requires “quality power” Alternatives: mainly hydro has been considered, e.g. 1 factory with 1 MW hydro; 10 sites have been identified for hydro; 6 will be financed by Stanbic (AFD credit line; 4 factories will constitute a Special Purpose Vehicle (SPV) to manage a 4-5 MW plant). Other alternatives could be Solar, CHP, Biomass, Geothermal, wind Wind: 1 site has been identified; wind is currently measured KTDA also thinks about becoming an IPP 24 MW wind power, therefore 1 years ago the KTDA Power Company was established Solar: KTDA is in contact with Martifier as potential EPC, but biggest challenge is the FIT. With Electricity Banking it could be commercially viable CHP: here mainly interested in gasification on basis of firewood! Interest in getting into contact with suppliers! Energy Efficiency: 2 energy audits have been conducted. Source: Interview with the CEO of KTDA Power Ltd. Solar PV Pumping Power Solutions (off-grid & back-up) 43 Because of the isolated nature of many agricultural sites (often at the end of weak power lines) and because of their long history of endeavouring to maintain independent energy supplies, agricultural sites are willing to invest in power systems. Solar pumping for irrigation, human consumption and watering livestock is of particular interest as farmers rely on stable supplies of water, and often must invest for both power and pumping solutions together. Traditionally, solar for pumping was limited to very small farms (i.e. drip irrigation) and water supply schemes. However, recent drops in PV prices and rapid development of solar pumping solutions have enabled a re-assessment of the viability of solar-linked pumping systems for medium-sized sites. The fact that solar pumps do not require batteries is especially interesting to consumers and equipment suppliers. Davis and Shirtliff is a specialized player in the solar pumping sector having installed on the order of 1800 solar pumping systems into East Africa between 2010 and 2013, over 70% of which were in Kenya. Solar pumping systems sold range in size between 7.5 kW and 21 kW. Sales of solar pumping equipment nearly tripled between 2010 and 2013. Solar as an access solution for off-grid out-growers Over 60% of Kenya’s exported tea, coffee and horticultural production comes from small holders (as opposed to large plantations). Such out-growers are often located off-grid, and distributed in ways that do not allow low cost connections to the power grid. They have cash incomes and prioritize purchase of solar home systems for their households. They are also nearly always members of well-organized farming cooperatives and associations that have strong access to finance. There are opportunities to “cluster” groups of farmers together to provide groups of solar home systems or even mini-grids -- simultaneously financing their purchase and ensuring quality to consumers. Of interest is for instance Wilmar Agro Ltd, which collects flowers from 3000 growers, of which around 75% are off-grid. Renewable energy supply systems such as solar PV and wind are interesting options not only for Wilmar Agro Ltd. itself, for its central cooling houses for example, but also for the growers, especially because they are grouped and clustered: There are 15-20 formally registered groups, which have technical advisors on their side (fully employed by Wilmar Agro). The groups need to store the flowers for up to seven days before they are collected by Wilmar Agro. Therefore, they need to have cooling houses. Actually the cooling stations on group level rely on diesel generators. As the growers of a group are quite near located to each other, it could be checked to what extent the group can be used as “anchor consumer” for power from a solar PV system/hybrid system, which could also supply power to the community (e.g. for pumping etc.) Obstacles and barriers The obstacles to the development of increased use of solar in the agricultural sector are similar to those in other areas. First, even if the farm desires solar equipment and is convinced of its advantages, there is a lack of up-front investment capital Secondly (and especially with large farms), there is a lack of faith in solar equipment as well as a lack of capacity of the suppliers to guarantee their equipment 44 Thirdly, there is a lack of incentives and/or policies to encourage agricultural groups to take up solar solutions Fourth, there is a general lack of awareness of agricultural leaders about the capabilities of solar PV There is a lack of faith in the Kenyan solar sector to design and implement solutions 4.3.4 Tourism Kenya is known as a world-class safari destination, able to accommodate visitors with high class facilities (meals, rooms, services, etc.) even in the most remote locations. Since 2009, Kenya Tourist Board has been Kenya as a high value for high-spending tourists and focusing on guest experiences. Improving the tourism service value necessarily means “greening” the industry, and many of the tourism players are interesting in greening/improving energy services to save costs and take advantage of this marketing opportunity. In 2010, Kenya recorded its highest number of tourist arrivals ever at 1,095,94521 a 15% growth over 2009. The 2010 Tourism performance has surpassed the 2007 record by 4.5 per cent the latter being the best recorded year in terms of tourist arrivals and earnings. Revenue for tourism increased in 2011 to KSHS 97.9B. Table 21: Tourism sector indicators Tourism Earnings( KSh. in Billion) Number of Visitors Arrivals in Kenya ('000) Number Hotel bed-Nights Occupied ('000) Number of Visitors to Parks and Game Reserves ('000) 2001 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10* 24.3 21.7 25.8 38.5 48.9 56.2 65.2 52.7 62.5 73.7 994 1,001 1,146 1,361 1,479 1,601 1,817 1,203 1,490 1,609 3,355 3,437 2,606 3,791 4,477 5,922 6,939 3,699 6,243 6,662 1,664 1,784 1,576 1,821 2,133 2,364 2,495 1,634 2,385 2,759 Source: Kenya National Bureau of Statistics The high cost of energy at hotel and lodges is a major drag on the industry. Although the sector has been very successful in providing high levels of catering and accommodation services to guests, it is still in the early stages of reducing its energy costs and greening its energy systems. Several hotels are focusing on this. There are two primary categories of opportunities for German solar companies: Solar PV systems for off-grid camps and lodges, either in the form designed stand alone systems or hybrid mini-grid systems Grid-connected solar to help off-set electricity costs in lodges and sites, particularly where there are high air-conditioning sites These opportunities are of special interest to German companies because they must be engineered and carefully-matched to efficient use of equipment by the site. Local Kenyan companies, in most cases, are unable to provide this complete service. An interesting gate for German companies to get access to those hotels, lodges and camps which are interested in green energy, is the civil society organization “ECOTOURISM KENYA”, which is one of the 7 private-sector associations that 21 http://www.tourism.go.ke/ministry.nsf/pages/facts_figures 45 make-up the Kenya Tourism Federation (KTF). Currently the organization has more than 400 members, comprising individuals, companies, community-based organizations. The goal is to promote tourism practices that will conserve Kenya’s natural environment and improve livelihoods of associated communities. Much focus has been put on the promotion of community-based tourism enterprises, which also includes that Community-based organization have own tourism facilities. ECOTOURISM organizes regularly workshops and it could be an idea for German companies, which like to target hotels, lodges and camps to hold such a workshop in cooperation with Ecotourism Kenya. The AHK Kenya can be the co-host. A comprehensive eco-rating certification (bronze, silver, gold) system provides transparency, so that it can easily be concluded which facilities are very innovative: Actually, 8 facilities hold a gold eco-rated certificate, e.g. Porini with its camps in Amboseli and Mara, Sanctuary Olonana and Sasaab Samburu. A lodge which is well-known for its “green activities” is also Severin Sea Lodge. The hotel was the first to set up a biological waste water treatment plant and implemented solar energy in its infrastructure. An interesting approach for German companies would be to consider the facilities as an “anchor consumer” who could supply power to the community (through mini-grids). This business model should work well where community groups/ community-based organizations have tourism facilities (e.g. Maji moto). See the data base for a list of major tourism players of interest to German solar companies. Obstacles Following the 2010 German Renewable Energy Export Initiative, considerable effort was made by several players to approach the tourism industry and to develop minigrid projects with off-grid hotels. Despite the very real market opportunity, the sector has not yet developed projects over 30 kWp. There are a number of reasons for this: A lack of positive demonstrative examples prevents tourism sector investment Small size and limited capacity of solar companies (vis-a-vis generator set supply companies). Solar companies are unable to audit, design or prepare the sophisticated bids that the tourism sector needs to see to approve such large investments. Tourism companies are comfortable with the large generator suppliers that they have long history of working with than small solar companies that they feel do not have the technical capacity to serve their needs Difficulties of financing power systems by tourism companies. The tourism sector requires a relatively fast turn-around on investments. The 6 to 10 year payback periods of large solar systems off-grid is not attractive. Likewise, there are no attractive incentives, and financial institutions do not have expertise to evaluate solar equipment. Figure 7: Subscriber growth (numbers, growth rate 4.3.5 Telecom Kenya’s Telecom industry is the largest in the East Africa region with 29.2 million mobile subscribers a penetration of 74% 46 of the population. Half of the land area is covered by signal and the majority of the uncovered population is found in the rural areas. There are four main telecom companies in Kenya: Safaricom is the market leader with about 19 million subscribers. Airtel, Orange and Essar Communication (operating as YU) share the remaining 10 million subscribers. As at the end of 2012 the number of telecom base stations in Kenya was 5565 with 4988 being on- grid and 577 being off- grid, all of which are owned by the telecom companies but the operations and maintenance has been outsourced to various companies. The number is expected to increase by 300 BTS in 2013. Table 22: Estimated energy requirements for BTS Load of Older and New Generation BTS 97% of the on-grid sites have reliable power availability with Older New the rest experiencing frequent Small capacity BTS 1.6kW 0.8 kW power outages lasting between Medium capacity BTS 3.4kW 1.3kW 6 – 12 hours and sometimes even more than 12 hours. Large capacity BTS 5.4kW 3.2kW Therefore the use of Diesel Generators (DG) and battery banks has become integral in the Telecom industry as a source of backup power for base stations while in some instances running them 24 hours seven days a week. Figure 8:Off- grid Power Deployment 12% 24 x7 DG 28% 60% DG- battery hybrid Green power In Kenya there are 2477 towers that utilize DG for backup power, 345 run on DG – battery hybrid throughout and 71 are green power sites. The on-grid sites consume an average of 400 litres per month while off-grid sites that run DG continuously consume 1100 litres of diesel per month. In Mid 2012 Green Power for Mobile was started in Africa with the aid of international finance cooperation (IFC) and the government of Netherlands as part of the global effort of the telecom Industry to utilize solar, wind and biomass energy to power telecom base stations aimed at reducing the GHG emissions in the telecom industry. Currently only 5% of the off-grid telecom base station utilize green power alternatives with solar hybrid systems becoming the preferred choice for green power development in the region. Winafrique ltd was the first company involved in “greening” the telecom industry with its main client being Safaricom. The Telecom towers sharing concept has started to take root in the East Arica region due to the high cost incurred in the building and operation of the towers. This has seen the entry of three tower companies mainly Helios tower Africa, Eaton tower and American tower company in the region. 47 Moreover Mobile Network operators are currently looking at two concepts of deploying green power to the base station mainly the CAPEX and the OPEX MODEL. In CAPEX Model either the mobile network operator or the tower companies invest the total capital required in the roll out of the renewables while in the OPEX a 3 rd party invests the total capital and sells the power to the tower operators. The main challenge being faced by the OPEX model is the lack of serious renewable ESCO service companies in Kenya and in the region which are able to meet the market needs. For that reason, the Mobile network operators and tower companies usually prefer the CAPEX model for renewable energy deployment and engaging partners for operation and maintenance of the equipment. There is therefore a huge opportunity for companies that can offer attractive and reliable green power sources in the sector. ; 4.3.6 Manufacturing sector Manufacturing represents an important sector of the Kenyan economy, accounting for about 10% of the GDP. The manufacturing sector is the third largest energy end user in the Kenyan economy. In the Government’s planning document, Kenya Vision 2030, the manufacturing sector is expected to continue contributing 10 per cent annually to Kenya’s GDP. It is the second largest user of petroleum products, after the transport sector, and the largest consumer of electricity. In 2012 this sector grew 3.4% while in 2011 was 3.1%. Kenyan manufacturing sector can be segregated in 12 categories as follows: Food, beverages and tobacco Building, construction and mining Chemicals and allied sub-sectors Energy, electrical and electronics Textiles and apparel subsector Leather products and footwear Paper and paper-board Metal and allied sub-sector Motor vehicle assembly and components Pharmaceutical and medical equipment Plastics and rubber Timber, wood products and furniture Many of these industries have processes in which they utilize electricity for drying, grading, and packing. In 2010, with the assistance of the French international aid agency, the Kenyan Association of Manufacturers launched a US$ 30M program to help Kenyan industry finance cost-effective energy efficiency and renewable energy solutions. This program, RTAP, is specifically designed to help grow the market for renewables and to raise awareness among key industry stakeholders in green energy opportunities. Costly and unreliable power is one of the major obstacles that Kenyan manufacturers face on a daily basis. On average, manufacturers in Kenya pay US$ cents 10.00 per kWh, while Far East competitors pay an average of US$ cents 0.5 per kWh. Manufacturers in Kenya cite electricity as among the top most serious constraints to manufacturing. 67% of those interviewed were unanimous that the cost of electricity is a major hindrance to the competitiveness of local industry. A comparison of the electricity costs between Kenya and key competitor countries like 48 China, India and South Africa, shows that Kenya is quite uncompetitive on cost and quality of power. In short, Kenyan industry must: Pay extremely high electricity rates Invest in generators to weather long periods of power outages Bear a substantial part of electricity connection costs Cover the inefficiencies of the national utility According to a 2012 KAM study, manufacturers in Kenya experienced an average of between 8 to 12 power outages per month in 2010, which together with power surges, resulted in an average lost production value of 7 % of total annual sales. Table 23: KAM industrial survey, 2012 Electricity provision indicators Frequency of power outages/month From 8 to 12 times Production loss due to power outage 7% of sales Firms with generators installed 44% No. of days to obtain electricity connected From 3 to 7 days Within this study it is, of course, not possible to identify in each of the sectors concrete projects. However, there are some indications which can help German companies to select some potential end customers. For example, it seems to be advisable to look carefully at companies, which Show an extraordinary engagement in the field of energy: Industries which were nominated for the Energy Management Award of KAM or even get an award should be at least open towards RE systems (e.g. solar PV and wind). Have CSR on their agenda: These companies could be interested to install Solar PV systems not only for their own use but maybe also for the community. Following table shows some selected companies, which are pioneers to some extent in the field of energy or CSR. Table 24: Selected “pioneer” companies in energy & CSR Company Sub-Sector Indication ARM Cement Ltd. Cement Energy Management Award Winner for 'Energy Innovation' Category 2009 Bamburi Cement Cement Established an Industrial Ecology department whose main responsibility is the development, management and seeking out alternative energy sources for the company to reduce dependency on electricity and heavy fuel oils. BIDCO Oil/ Food processing Invested in 5,4 Mio. € filter kiln to eliminate dust emissions (goal until end 2012: 30% reduction of dust) Documented energy policy, e.g. “We will monitor, record and evaluate the 49 consumption of energy and enhance efficiency through re-designing and implementation of energy efficient programs”. Energy Management Award in “high Performance” category Brookside Kenafric Industries Ltd. EABL Mt. Kenya Bottlers Sameer Africa Ltd. Dairy Confectionary Alcohol beverages Authorized producer & distributor of Coca-Cola products Very diverse (agriculture, tyre production etc.) Environmental policy greening campaign; 3 R strategy: reduce waste, reuse and recycling Big cooling plants as major energy consumers Overall winner of the Energy Management Award 2013 (for the fourth time) Environmental sustainability programme with focus on water and energy efficiency; in the Top-5-Ranking of the global beer sites with regards to delivering efficiencies on water used & energy used per litre of beer produced. CSR water use and energy/ climate change as key issues Winner of the Energy Management Award 2012, in the category Best Energy Management Team Annual Meeting May 2013: Rising energy costs are of major concern to Sameer Africa: Energy costs rose by 20 percent in 2011 mainly due to a 27 percent increase in the cost of furnace fuel. Options considered by Sameer Africa: refurbishing the number one boiler which should reduce furnace oil consumption by 15 percent, exploring the possibility of introducing a solar energy and a coal fired steam generation facility Source: Energy Desk, Delegation of German Industry and Commerce An important gate for German companies is the Kenya Association of Manufacturers (KAM): Established in 1959 as a private sector body, KAM has evolved into a dynamic, vibrant, credible and respected business association that unites industrialists and offers a common voice for businesses. KAM’s mission is to promote competitive local manufacturing in a liberalised market. For 10 years KAM is supported by various international donors (e.g. UNDP, AFD, danida) to promote energy efficiency and renewable energies in the Kenyan industry. In framework of a cooperation project with UNDP, for instance, KAM has established the Centre for Energy Efficiency and Conservation (CEEC). It coordinates energy audits in the industry, i.e. that KAM facilitates a pool of qualified energy auditors who 50 conduct the audits at subsidized rates in companies22. KAM is also giving the Energy Management Award to Kenyan companies. In addition, KAM offers a lot of seminars and workshop on energy efficiency. Through its network KAM also helps to build up a pipeline of RE and EE projects for the credit line of AFD, within the Regional Technical Assistance Programme (RTAP). 5. Engagement and positioning of German companies The solar and wind market in Kenya is not a completely new one, even if in some market segments the business has not yet taken off really. There are already a critical number of German companies with engagement in the market (see table X). Table 25: German companies with engagement in Kenya Company Engagement Energiebau Solarstromsysteme Energiebau plans and installs grid-connected and off-grid Solar PV systems as well as Solar PV-hybrid ones, turnkey provider of offgrid system for 30 years, Local cooperation partner Solar works Kenya Engineering and installation of a 515 kW-Solar PV rooftop system on the new UNEP office building, Nairobi Training of solar technician/ engineers in Kenya, in framework of a partnership project (develoPPP.de) with GIZ and in cooperation with SMA Donauer Solartechnik Distribution, project development, engineering, installation, O&M services, consulting Represented in Kenya/ East Africa by Harmonic Systems Ltd. (http://www.harmonicafrica.com/) , since 2012 Lodge electrification, Kenya, 5,5 kWp Hybrid electrification of a refugee camp, Kenya, 15 kWp (with automated diesel generator integration) 5 Off-Grid systems for WE!Hub, Kenya, currently in commissioning with a total 90 kWp Juwi Juwi is a project developer and an EPC, also in the field of off-grid solar power supply systems Represented by DREAMPOWER, Nairobi e.g. 10 PV systems for ATMs of a leading local bank, Kenya Interest in doing business in the field of hybrid systems MobiSol Markets, monitors and finances SHS through use of mobile money platforms (Tanzania, Kenya, Rwanda) SolarKiosk This sells products and services in rural areas (e.g. charging mobile phones, batteries, lamps; services such as cooling, internet and communication). Products such as pico-systems and SHS are sold The Government of Kenya subsidizes the energy audits by 75%: Investment Grade Audits cost 1 Mio. KSh (around 10.000€), however, the company just pays 250.000 KSH. 22 51 as well. In 12/2012 a subsidiary was established in Nairobi. Al least 5 Kiosks are deployed in Kenya. Centrotec/Ubbink Ubbink as Dutch subsidiary of the German Centrotec set up the first solar module manufacturing company in Eastern Africa, in 2010 teaming up with Chloride Exide, which is already an established supplier of solar systems in Africa Production capacity of 30.000 modules per year Solar modules, mainly in the range between 3.6 Wp to 80 Wp, are manufactured based on reworked broken high quality solar cells. The modules are suitable for use in private homes, village plants and solar power plants serving schools, hospitals, water supply infrastructure and telecommunications systems. Siemens Stiftung (Foundation of Siemens) Installation of Water-Energy Hubs (WE!Hubs) in Kenya: The WE!Hubs utilize decentralized solar power stations and modern technologies to supply communities in remote regions in Kenya with energy and water. The Kenyan social business Light for Life Ltd. is responsible for the successful implementation on site and will run the WE!Hubs after project termination. It has been founded by the Kenyan company Thames Electricals Ltd. specifically for this purpose. Global Nature Fund is coordinating the project. OSRAM is the project’s technology partner and advises in technical as well as conceptual issues. EnBW The German power utility develops 2 wind power projects of 40-60 MW each. Fichtner One of the largest independent consulting and engineering company in the field of water & energy , with more than 30 years of experiences in Africa Scope of business in Kenya: studies, project supervision etc. Clients: e.g. MoE, KPLC, KETRACO, banks and private project developers Projects: e.g. grid connection study for 90 MW wind power park in Lamu Source: German Energy Desk German solar companies need to do in Africa what they did in Germany: bring solar to the center of energy discussions. Currently, solar energy is seen as a power source for the off-grid poor. This perception hinders the solar industry development because a) it has put a ceiling on the development of PV power as a source for commercial, household and urban markets and b) the low-cost requirements of the “access”-markets have driven out German players and created room for lower quality suppliers from Asia. There is room for everyone in the markets --- however, there is a need to create the space for quality and there is a need to educate Governments and key consumers, that solar is not only for the poor. Key strategy points for German companies include the following: 52 Develop products that meet the unique needs of the East African market. German grid-connect products do not adequately address the demand for products that can both supply power and survive frequent power cuts. They have not been adequately marketed to consumers that need long-life and flexible off-grid solutions. The adaptation of products and business concepts is promoted by German funds such as the CLIENT Programme of the BMBF, but also by broader funds such as the ZIM (Zentrales Innovationsprogramm MIttelstand) of the BMWi. “Make the difference”, create a special value-added to the customers: Benefit from the “made-in-Germany” reputation and sell the benefits of quality: Many German products are high cost but worth the high cost. There is a need to match German quality capabilities with existing demand for quality among consumers. Especially in the solar PV market, the reputation of solar energy has been affected to some extent by many bad quality products. For that reason, quality assurance initiative such as Lighting Africa and the set-up of testing labs in Strathmore University. German companies bring also in their expertise in these quality initiatives. Contributing to the trainings on solar PV: Especially due to the Solar PV regulation trainings on solar PV are actually developed and realized. Curricula for the trainings of technicans for small systems (up to 100 W) and medium ones are developed and the training will be conducted by selected training institutes; the curriculum for The training on grid-connected solar PV and hybrid systems will be developed with support of GIZ. Anyway, the trainings offer the opportunity to come in with some practical training modules from German companies or to give some equipment on which the technicians can be trained. Some companies such as Energiebau Solarstromsysteme and SMA are already involved through the German Solar Academy (GSA) in Nairobi. Look for specialized niches: Many of the successful small Kenya players have flourished because of their ability to address the NGO market, export markets to South Sudan and Somalia, prepare proposals for larger clients, etc. This is an excellent survival skill in a difficult market. Coming not only with the product and the solution, but also with a business model: One of the crucial challenges in Kenya is the financing of the upfront investment costs. Leasing models or the model, which MobiSol runs, helps to reduce these costs. Of course, ESCO-models are also attractive for the clients because they just face running costs, while the investments are done by the energy service provider. Supporting the client to get access to finance: This is the most important key to do business in the market. German companies should inform about available funds, linking the client up to these ones and even support him in the communication and acquisition of funds. Following table summarizes some of the relevant funds: 53 Table 26: Sources for financing solar PV and wind projects Agency/Project Type of Description of Project Activities Project or Company African Enterprise Challenge Fund Project-based interventions AFD/KAM RTAP Credit line Housing Finance & IFC Financial agency Equity Bank Financial agency IFC Climate Investment Center Donor project (WB) responsAbility Green Energy Equity Fund East Africa (upcoming) GIZ/KfW DFID Donor project Donor project Regional private sector program supports private companies to invest in innovative renewable-based solutions that help to increase energy access. Project receives support from a variety of donors and holds regular regional competitions for private companies. $30M AFD Private sector program to support commercial energy efficiency and renewable investments through lowinterest loans Credits are finally provided by the partner banks Stanbic and Coop. Housing Finance Company received US$ 20M IFC support (from Canada) to help the mortgage lender increase access to housing finance and pioneer the market for environmentally friendly housing in the country. Long-term funding is aimed at encouraging property developers to build eco-friendly homes. Kenyan bank with portfolio focused on renewable energy investments. Various sizes. Project seeks to “incubate” small Kenyan green companies with business-to-business support and small grants and equity funds for business growth. - Target 40 – 50 Mio. USD; investment of energy entrepreneurs and of Renewable Energy projects. - First closure: expected for autumn 2013 - Equity contribution by average 2 – 4 Mio. USD/ project, around 25% of overall project volume - Up to now, no solar PV projects among the projects with completed feasibility study, - But fund is open for Solar PV projects, e.g. contributing equity to ESCO who is investing in Solar PV system and supplies the power 22,5 Mio. € project. Development and implementation of solar PV hybrid mini-grid, including investments, capacity building, development of operation schemes, policy advice etc. Developing major regional investment project to support renewable energy powered mini-grid investments: - - - Minimum 50 Mio. British Pounds East Africa International Green Mini-Grids Promotion Fund support to feasibility studies and preparatory work, support to evaluation Multi-Country Loan and PGR Fund providing long tenor senior debt + partial risk guarantee on off-taker default Country-specific Project Development and Impact Fund Support to project development, support to community mobilization, support to end-user finance KfW/ GIZ as well as DFID intend to strongly promote the involvement of the private sector in the investment and operation of hybrid mini-grids (generation unit and/ or grid). German companies should keep an eye on opportunities which may result from these development cooperation programmes. 54 Opportunities for German companies in this context can be for example: Table 27: Opportunities for German companies (mini-grids) Opportunity/ Approach Effectiveness/ potential Giving advice on design and specification of the hybrid mini-grids Medium (German Chamber of Commerce could be used as vehicle and facilitator) Bidding in public tenders (mini-grids funded by international donors) Developing develoPPP.de with German implementation agencies (e.g. GIZ, DEG) Low High Coming along with German finance: key instrument is the The export credit scheme (including a cover) is one of the most important financing instruments, German companies and especially the responsible of business development and sales should know very well. The cover offers protection against borrower’s failure to make payment within 1 month after due time, other commercial risks (e.g. insolvency) as well as political risks (e.g. warlike events). The lending bank acts as policyholder. Euler Hermes Deutschland AG and PricewaterhouseCoopers manage the official export credit guarantee scheme on behalf of the Federal Government. Euler Hermes acts as leading partner in this consortium. In contrast to a supplier’s credit, the export credit has the advantage that the lending bank negotiates the terms and conditions with the borrower (foreign buyer or bank). Know. The German suppliers should ask already quite early a lending bank (e.g. house bank) to prepare a preliminary financial proposal, which the German supplier can take along with his technical proposal to meetings with the (potential) buyer. This saves time and increases the interest of the clients significantly. Import-Export Banks like the American one or the Chinese one are very fast and usually the client follows the First-Comes-First-Serves-Approach. The following table shows the recommended procedure: Table 28: Recommended procedure (export credit financing) Activity Responsible Gathering rough information about the project, e.g. : Supplier - Overall order volume Potential client (private or public; if private maybe already balance sheet/ annual report) … Check with potential lending bank the eligibility of the project/ order for export credit financing (and respective cover) (maybe supported by local partner or German Chamber of Commerce) Supplier with lending bank; lending bank with Euler Hermes (for the cover) Rough estimation of terms and conditions (loan duration, interest rate, premium rate for cover etc.) 55 First visit/ meeting with the potential client, technical presentations (together with the preliminary information about financing opportunity) Supplier/ Buyer Request for detailed project description and other information needed for detailed technical and financial proposal Supplier Submitting the detailed technical and financial proposal to client Supplier Follow-up Supplier Negotiation and loan agreement between lending bank and buyer Lending bank Closing export contract Supplier/ Buyer Applying for credit cover Lending Bank (if needed with support of German Chamber of Commerce in target country) Source: German Energy Desk The cover policy (premium rate for cover included) differs from country to country and depends on the risk category of the respective country. Kenya is in category 6. The cover Policy is as follows: Table 29: Cover policy for Kenya Parameter/ Category Description Short-Term credits There are no formal restrictions on cover Medium-/ long term Smaller, foreign exchange-generating transactions will be considered for cover on a case-by-case basis. Collateral Collateral is not normally required Country risk category 6 Source: http://www.agaportal.de/en/aga/deckungspolitik.html There is no clear definition of “smaller” transaction (from experience estimated to be < 10 Mio. €). That does not mean, that transactions of higher volume are not possible to be covered. But it becomes probably more complicated and requires more argumentation. The basic issues of the cover policy is decided by an Interministerial Committee (IMC) and in case of higher volume transactions, maybe it can be of help to contact the Federal Ministry of Economics (BMWi), which has the lead function. The premium risk for the cover is calculated in consideration of the risk category of the country and the repayment term of credit, i.e. that it has to be calculated from case-to-case. The interest rate of the credit is more or less fixed according to the CIRR - Commercial Interest Reference Rate of the OECD. Important requirement of a German export credit and credit cover is, that usually 70% of the order volume has to come originally from 56 Germany (German content). Components manufactured by subsidiaries of a German company abroad, are not considered as part of the German content. “Shaping the demand”: Some market segments such as the small/ medium grid-connect one are still “sleeping”, which requires a pro-active approach. For example, grid connect, though not active yet, will be an important market in the long term. Those players that get the first projects are likely to continue to enjoy a strong position in the developing sector. German companies have to approach potential clients and offer them to calculate the case. Besides that, German companies can generate the demand through contributing to policy advice: they can actively support and participate in the policy dialogue with local partners. Another channel which has already been mentioned is the training of stakeholders in the public and private sector. In this context, they can cooperate with strategic partners such as KAM (Kenya Association of Manufacturers) and KEREA (Kenya Renewable Energy Association). Selecting very carefully local partners (e.g. for installation and service as well as for business development): Seek high-end partners as suppliers (often these are new entrants to the market). Old players are often no adapt to the rapidly changing new PV environment and continue to follow the old off-the-shelf/Government procurement routes which do not favour high quality products. In addition, it can be useful to look not only for those companies which already have solar PV products and solutions in their portfolio; there are suppliers of electrical equipment (e.g. of diesel generators, electric drives etc.) in Kenya, who have already successful business relationship/ dealerships with European, even German companies. Some of these companies think about diversification and seriously think about entering the solar PV market. If such companies address relevant clients from the German supplier’s point of view and have a good corporate culture in terms of quality and customer relationships, they could be suitable partners. Recognize that African markets take time to develop. If you cannot participate over the long term, this may not be a market that is of interest. Stick to the sector you have targeted. Do not try to do everything. Be aware of the export markets. Kenya is a regional hub from which new markets can be built. Have a plan for this. 57 6. Annexes Annex 1: List of Players Company Importers/Manufacture s/Large Players Chloride Exide Center for Alternative Technologies (CAT) Company Description & Distributors Company Strategy Major Product Solar/PV Business Sector Equipment Sources Contact Person Contacts Kenyan Company with subsidiaries in Tanzania, Rwanda & Uganda. Owned by battery manufacturer (Associated Battery Manufacturers). Largest player in PV market. Core business is lead acid batteries (Automobile) with solar PV contributing a significant portion to the overall business. Sell PV in order to push their batteries. Have 10 outlets/depots and >250 dealers all over the country. Sell both retail and wholesale and offer both installation and after sales services through their depots. Wholesale supplier, Retail sales, Exporter, importer and Distributor of PV components and Lorentz Pumps All PV components, batteries. Inverter battery backups, refrigerators, pumps. Solar water heaters. Wind generators. Whole sale and large project implementer. Institutional market and small commercial system market. Local batteries from ABM. Supplies Suntec and Ubbink modules, Phocos, morning star Charge controllers, Xpower and Victron, SMA inverters and various BOS from Germany, China, US. Netherlands Megasun SWH. Joseph Muthoka Solar Water Heating & project Manager muthokah@chlorideexide .com +254 722 523 430 All PV components. Inverters, batteries and water pumps Retail, institution, corporates and supplier to other PV companies. Supplies Canadian solar Modules,Suntech modules, Outback and Xantrex inverters ( USA), Sollatek BOS UK),Trojan batteries ( USA) and Deka batteries Nawir Ibrahim Chief Executive Officer info@cat.co.ke, nawir@cat.co.ke +254 (0) 733 512 004 Kenyan-owned family business. PV component wholesaler 58 Ubbink East Africa PV wholesaler Assembly of PV modules locally PV modules Small scale retail market and institutions Local assembly of PV modules Haijo Kuper Managing Director hkuper@ubbink.co.ke +254 20 23 38 139/40/41 Davis & Shirtlif Pumping/swimming pool service company expanded into solar in 2005. Established >20 years. Rapidly growing. Operate in Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda, Rwanda, Ethiopia and Zambia. 10% of their business is PV. Focus on NGO, pumping and wholesale to distributor. Operate through a number of small scale agents that provide customer service. 2nd largest PV player in Kenya. All PV components. Inverter battery backups, pumps. Solar water heaters. Wholesalers. NGO Market, institutional market, SHS. Supplies Yingli PV modules (was Shell/Solarworld distributor). BatteriesYuasa (Japan), CCSundaya (Indonesia), DC lights-Sundaya (Indonesia), Modulevariety Norman Chege, Manager, Solar Dept. solar@dayliff.com norman@dayliff.com Work: 254 20 558335 Mobile: 0722 781081 Sollatek Kenyan-Owned Franchise of Sollatek UK. Franchise in Tanzania, agents in Uganda and region. Modules, lamps, charge controllers. Wholesaler. Operates through agents in Kenya, Tanzania, and Uganda. Sollatek BOS, modules from US. Chris Soper Director chris.soper@sollatek.co. ke 041 5486250/1/2/3 Kenital Kenyan-owned PV and remote power company. Solar company established in 1989. Was market leader 2000-2005. Sell power protection and solar-related products. 50% of business is PV. Have 4 branches and 15 dealers. Do both wholesale and retail through their branches. Have several branches. Sell system packages and components from Nairobi office. Use media to sell product. 100% PV and back-up power systems. Institutional, telecomm. E-solar brand. Recent company changes have affected partnerships. Mark Kitute Marketing Director solar@kenital.com 254 20 2715960 Power Technics Incorporated in 1982. Electrical engineering technology providers All PV components, batteries. Inverter battery backups, pumps. Solar water heaters. Wind generators. BOS component, electrical control panels, PV modules and energy saving lights Very new the PV market Supplies Sharp PV modules and Schindler BOS components ( Germany) Kamal Gupta Head Sustainable Energy Division kamal_gupta@powertec hnics.com + 254 (0) 703 069 000 Integrated solution provider of electrical engineering technology, superior sheet metal engineering technology, automation and systems designs. 59 Telesales Kenyan-owned family business. Several shops in Nairobi. Oldest PV seller in country (since 1985). Appliance and solar PV company. Sell over the counter and packed systems mostly to the SHS market. Have agents they distribute through. Supplies Premeir solar products and has two outlets in Nairobi All PV components, batteries. Inverter battery backups, pumps. Institutional market and small commercial system market. Modules: Kyocera. Regulators: Steca. Various BOS Enos Otieno Sales Executive enosotieno@gmail.com (020) 213143 Asachi PV wholesaler All PV components. Inverter battery backups, pumps. Solar water heaters. Retail, institutions and corporates market. India Johannes Oos Technical Director johannes.oos@asachipo wertech.com +254 (0) 732 969 651 PowerPoint Solar system integrator and component supplier Supplies solar systems components and undertakes system installation. Focuses on Government contracts. Retail, institutions, corporate and government /REA projects. Canadian solar Modules, Outback, Xantrex inverters ( USA), SMA inverters ( Germany),Lorentz water pumps ( Germany) Cosmos Musyoki k. Managing Director musyoki@powerpoint,co, ke + 254 (0) 0723 555666, 0722 463965 Digitel Telecomm firm established by exWilken MD. >10 years in business. Supplies Edwards SWH systems to corporate (hotel) clients. All PV components. Inverters, battery backups, lanterns, Solar water heaters, power generators and small wind turbines Solar water heaters. Institutional, tourism Australian SWH N/A N/A Wilken Telecomm firm that does some SWH and PV business. Established > 20 years Supplies Solahart (Australia). Works in commercial hotel market and HH market. Solar water heaters, some PV Institutional, tourism Australian SWH, Japan Modules N/A N/A solar@wilken.co.ke +254 (0) 722 851 856, +254 (0)733 637 559 60 Specialized & Smaller Players (Large Systems, Mini-Grids, PV Services) Azimuth Power Grid Connected PV Uses German PV and PV components and installer SMA inverters for inverters system installation Institutional market and agro industries. Germany Generic Energy Incorporated in 2010 . Power back providers. Supplies power backup systems, solar lighting and solar water heaters All PV components. Inverters, battery back-ups, lights, electronic timers. Solar water heaters. Retail market and Corporates Supplies Canadian solar Modules, Outback and Xantrex inverters ( USA), Sollatek BOS ( UK),Gaston batteries ( Hong Kong) System components from Turkey and Germany. Harmonic Systems Solar energy systems integrators Supplies solar systems components and undertakes system installations. All PV components. Inverters, battery back-ups, lights, . Solar water heaters. Retail, institutions and corporates. Daima Energy Services Ltd Subsidiary of Daima Energy Solutions UK All PV components. Inverters, batteries and lanterns. Retail and institutions. N/A Solar World EA. Solar energy systems integrators Offering reliable and affordable PV Solar Systems for off-grid domestic and commercial applications. Provide solar water heaters and off grid solar water pumping solutions. Solar water heaters and solar water pumping equipment Retail market, NGOs and institutions. Solar world water heaters, Loretz water pumps and PV modules ( Israel) 61 Guy Lawrence, MD Managing Diretor Jimmy Njai Marketing and Sales Executive gl@azimuthpower.com + 254 (0) 20260 3336 (Kenya) sales@genericenergylrd. co.ke + 254 (0)727 572 186 Mark Muinde Chief Executive Officer N/A N/A mark@harmonicafrica.co m + 254 (0)711 590 990 Charles Rioba Chief Executive Officer solar@wananchi.com +254 (0) 722 798 000 N/A N/A Suntech Power Ltd Subsidiary ofSuntech Power international, established in 2008. Suntech PV Module wholesaler RIWIK East Africa is subsidiary of RIWIK Wind Energy B.V.It is was established in 2012 and is a solar energy systems integrator Subsidiary of Barefoot Power Supplies Suntech PV modules and water heaters, All PV components. Inverters, battery back-ups, lights and Solar water heaters. Retail market and institutions. Supplies Suntech PV modules ( China), outback and Xantex inverters (USA) N/A N/A N/A v Supplies solar systems components and undertakes system installation All PV components. Inverters, battery back-ups, lights and small wind turbines Retail market and institutions. Supplies Canadian solar Modules, Outback and Xantrex inverters ( USA), Sollatek BOS UK),Trojan batteries ( USA) Bart Fugers Chief Executive Officer info@riwikeastafrica.com +254 (0) 7217 639 088 Suppliers of solar lanterns, Pico solar and Solar home systems Barefoot power solar lanterns, Pico systems and Solar home systems. Small scale retail market Barefoot (Netherlands) N/A N/A N/A 254 (0) 020 252 115, 254 (0) 728 255 807 ,254 (0) 733 822 988 Solar Works EA Solar energy systems integrators and component suppliers Supplies solar systems components and provides system installation All PV components. Inverters, batteries and BOS. SMA inverters Retail, institutions and corporates market. SMA, Energibau George Weru Muturi Operations Director gweru@solarworksealtd. co.ke +254 (0) 724 919 571 Dreampower Ricciardi Engineering & Consulting S.R.L Limited Subsidiary of Dreampower Italy. Solar PV components supplier and system integrator Wholesaler Supplier, Retail sales and importer of solar PV components All PV components. Inverters, battery back-ups, LED lights and wind turbines Retail, institutions, corporates and supplier to other PV companies. Rita Ricciardi Managing Diretor info@dp.co.ke, r.ricciradi@dp.co.ke + 254 (0) 722 377 771 SolarKiosk Social enterprise and a subsidiary of SolarKiosk Germany Supplies solar kiosks for off grid market areas Solar Kiosks and Pico solar systems Small scale retail market PV modules (Spain), Victron inverters ( Netherlands), SMA inverters ( Germany), Sundazer fridges ( USA) and LEDs (Italy) Kiosks ( Germany), Pico systems N/A Rachna Patel Managing Diretor rachna.patel@solarkiosk. eu +254712525750 RIWIK Smart Solar (K) Ltd 62 Go Solar Solar system integrator and component supplier Supplies solar systems components and undertakes system installation. All PV components. Inverters, battery back-ups, lanterns, Solar water heaters, solar water pumps and small wind turbines Small scale retail market and institutions Canadian solar Modules, Outback and Xantrex inverters ( USA) N/A N/A N/A + 254 (0) 020 552 215 Integrator and installer of PV systems Works with larger players to complete installations in the field All PV components. Inverters, battery back-ups and small wind turbines Service and retailer N/A Chris Kimani Operations Manager Turnkey project developers. Founded in 2011 Energy economization company with major focus on solar based energy production with financial planning. Modularized solar power plants Battery backup solutions Energy efficiency upgrades Energy surveillance Small scale retail market and institutions N/A N/A N/A E-mail: suncatchengineering@g mail.com Mobile: +254 722 350072 post@resolar.co.ke (+254) (0) 707 890 804 (+254) (0) 705 185 795 Ambalian Company Ltd Supplier of wind measuring equipment and solar system integrator Being a provider of renewable energy solutions for industry and homes. Wind measurement equipment. Solar Water heater (SWH). Solar & Home Power systems (S&HP). Solar & LED lighting (SLL). Water Pumping & Solar (WP&S). Solar Powered Security Retail and industry USA, Germany, Italy N/A N/A akmurunga@ambalian.c om +254 (0) 722 806 752 Ecosolar Option Ltd Established in 1999, offer energy consulting services and are solar- wind system integrators Providing specialized tailored energy solutions Solar systems, power back-ups, generators, wind turbines, solar water heaters and solar water pumping. NGOs and institutions Europe, USA and Israel N/A N/A N/A N/A SunCatch ReSolar 63 Think Solar Technics Ltd System integrators and component suppliers Providing specialized tailored energy solutions All PV components. Inverters, battery back-ups ,solar fridges , water pumps and small wind turbines NGOs, institutions and tourism Europe and USA N/A N/A N/A (+254) 020 3567916 (+254) 0720464715 (+254) 0721288339 (+254) 0721864562 BBOXX Kenya Franchise branch of BBOXX international Supplier of integrated system kits Solar PV kits between 20W to 1kWp Off-grid clients. NGOS China Aditi Patel Operations Director info@bboxx.co.ke 254 789 843 201 Solar and wind system integrator and component supplier All PV and Wind components. Inverters, battery back-ups and small wind turbines Small scale retail market and institutions Canadian solar Modules, Outback and Xantrex inverters ( USA) Sam Slaughter Chief Executive Director sam@windgenpower.co, Small-Sale Wind Installers Windgen/ PowerGen Solar and wind system integrator and component supplier CraftSkills Solar and wind system integrator and component supplier Solar and wind system integrator and component supplier All Wind components. Inverters, battery back-ups and small wind turbines Small scale retail market and institutions Local manufacture of turbines Simon Mwacharo Chief Executive Director simon@craftskillseastafri ca.com + 254 (0) 724 324 273 WinAfrique. Specialist systems integrator company focused on large projects and telecom sector. Actively seeking to install back-up and hybrid solutions for Safaricom and other players. Installed $1M worth of PV in 2008 Wind & solar hybrid systems. Niche market in supply of large systems for communication sector N/A Antony Ngeno Managing Director kan@winafrique.com +254-(0) 0204453898/949 ,+254-(0) 020 4453949 Project development, consulting, off-grid system design, energy audits, market study Specifying off-grid PV systems N/A N/A Mark Hankins Chief Executive Officer info@africansolardesign s.com 254 20 7125694 Consultants & NGOs African Solar Designs Consultant 64 CAMCO Consultant Training, project support, carbon trading (have conducted numerous PV trainings in Kenya and region and managed UNEP regional PV project) Project management (Managed $5M PVMTI project on behalf of IFC-GEF) Consulting Renewable energies project development N/A Stephen Mutimba Consultant smutimba@camcoglobal .com Work: 3871027 /3877942/ 3875902 Integral Consulting & Advisory Services Ltd Consultant Consulting N/A N/A Ashington Ngigi Consultant ashington@integraladvisory.com 254 (20) 3754853 / 6 Kenya Renewable Energy Association RE Association Organizes trainings, conducts industry outreach Representation of the Renewable energy sector in Kenya N/A N/A Charles Muchunku Chairman chairman@kerea.org +254 724 279972, 723 885135, 735 527041 Solar Aid NGO (Private company Sunny Money) Involved in rural PV projects Procures PV systems for rural HH and institutions $100's of k Assembling small PV kits for rural people, installing systems in schools john@solar-aid.org +254 717446158 S3C Social ( NGO) Enterprise Supplies solar lanterns, solar home systems and institutional systems for schools All PV components. Inverters, batteries and lanterns. Retail and institutions. SNV Consultant Working on ENDEV PV projects (pico solar) Providing Advisory Services and development of policy. Providing investments supplies Waka Waka laterns ,Victron Inverters (Netherlands) and Ubbink solar Modules (Kenya) N/A John Keane, Head of Programmes Head of programmes Jeroen Pool Chief Executive Officer N/A N/A kenya@snvworld.org +254 724 463355 Carbon Africa Consultant Major focus on Carbon emissions and renewable energies Consulting N/A N/A Matthew Woods Director matt@carbonafrica.co.k e +254 731 851 754 65 jeroen.pool@solars3c.co m + 254 (0)703 497 237 Donors, Multilaterals KfW GIZ German Development Bank German International Cooperation Multilateral UNITED NATIONS INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT ORGANIZATION - UNIDO UNHABITAT United Nations Human Settlements Programme Multilateral UNDP Multilateral Bilateral Aid Agency Agence Française de Développement AFD Supporting the installation of hybrid mini-grids in the greefield Anthony Karembu Supporting the installation of hybrid mini-grids in the greefield Active solar projects in Kenya --collaborations with Indian companies Reimund Hoffmann Reimund.hoffmann@giz. de +254 722803882 p.njuguna@unido.org +254 722 486879 Anthony.karembu@kfw. de +254 722880 551 Promoting industrial development for poverty reduction Implementing solar PV projects Tender procurement Paul Njuguna N/A Promoting socially and environmentally sustainable towns and cities with the goal of providing adequate shelter for all. N/A Promoting the use of Renewable energies in Urban Areas. Tender procurement Building nations that can withstand crisis, and drive and sustain the kind of growth that improves the quality of life for everyone Promoting strong and sustainable growth through proving support to the energy, water, sanitation and transport sector with the help of the private sector. N/A Solar Application for improved energy and security Tender procurement Vincent N. Kitio Chief, Urban Energy unit, Urban Basic Services branch Mary Okello Procurement Associate Financial Aid N/A Improvement of infrastructures, in particular in the energy and transport sector; 66 Yves Terracol Manager Vincent.Kitio@unhabitat. org +254 (0) 706 044 004 mary.okello@undp.org afdnairobi@afd.fr +254 20 271 84 52/7 Bilateral Aid Agency Danish International Development Assistance. DANIDA Multilateral International Finance Corporation - IFC Bilateral Aid Agency SIDA - Swedish Agency for International Development Cooperation Bilateral USAID It is responsible of administrating all Danish bilateral development assistance Financial Aid It supports private sector development through investments and advisory programmes Administers part of the Swedish Government development aid. Launched Power Africa program Projects/Investors in Renewable Energy Sector ResponsAbility Investor Equity Fund being focused on launched BOP and renewable energy African Enterprise Challenge Private Encouraging private Fund sector-based sector companies to support group compete for that manages investments for their grant new and innovative competitions business ideas. investments to support donor Funding of projects aimed at reducing the effects of climate change and providing support to the private sector NIA Financial Aid and Advisory services Infrastructure development N/A Financial Aid and Advisory services Providing support for democracy and human rights, environment and climate change and gender equality and women’s' role. N/A N/A N/A sida@sida.se Financial Aid Providing power to 20 million homes in Africa N/A N/A N/A usaidke@usaid.gov 254-20-862-2000 Financing N/A N/A Brian Kelly Renewable Energy Financing Through the challenge fund it provides investments for renewable energy technologies 67 N/A Joe Okudo Programme Manager , B usiness Sect or Programme Oumar Seydi Director Anjali Saini Africa Project Manager nboamb@um.dk +254 20 4253299/2195096 +254 20 275-9000 brian.kelly@resposAbilit y.com +254 (0) 731 094 778 anjali.saini@aecf.africa.o rg + 254 (0) 733750553 objectives Commercial energy efficiency and renewable investment support program KAM is a representative organization of manufacturing value added industries in Kenya. It acts as a link between the manufacturing industry and the Government Financing Providing loans at lower interest rates for the adoption of renewables by the manufacturing sector N/A CFC Stanbic Bank Financial institution working with KAM RETAP Financial services for institutions Financing Providing loans at lower interest rates for the adoption of renewables by the manufacturing sector N/A CO- operative bank of Kenya Financial institution working with KAM RETAP Provides Financial services for the cooperative sector in Kenya and south Sudan Financing Providing loans at lower interest rates for the adoption of renewables by the manufacturing sector Global Village Energy Program World Bank NGO supported energy access projects NGO that works to increase access to the modern energy and reduce poverty in developing countries Financing and Advisory services It helps in establishing and growth of small energy businesses. KAM RETAP 68 Pascal Habay Team Leader- RTA Programme for financing Renewable Energy & Energy Efficiency Felix Gichanga N/A pascal.habay@kam.co.k e +254 (0) 722 201368, +254 (0) 706 612384 ,+254 (0) 734 646005 N/A Reuben Kipkurui N/A Rkipkururi@coopbank.co.ke +254 722 783 249 N/A James Wakaba Regional Manager james.wakaba@gvepint ernational.org +254 722 945047 Felix.Gichanga@stanbic. com N/A Climate Investment Center IFC program supporting start-up green companies in Kenya It is to provide a country-driven approach to climate change and directly support the government of Kenya’s objectives in the Greening Kenya Initiative and Vision 2030. Financing and business advisory services to enable domestic industry and SMEs to proactively and profitably develop innovative climate technology (cleantech) solutions that meet local needs. N/A N/A N/A N/A Managing rural electrification projects. On & off-grid. Relatively new agency with little solar experience. Energy policy Future procurer of off-grid institutional RE systems To be decided MoE PV system procurements to be handled by REA James Murithi, Renewable Energy department Procurer of energy PV systems Has procured >8M$ of PV equipment over 5 years See above Energy regulations, pricing None None Interested in PV grid tied work Eng. Isaac Kiva. Director RE Dept. Renewable Energy department Pavel R. Oimeke Director,Ren ewable Energy N/A +254 (0)703 034 000 Government and Public Sector Projects Rural Electrification Authority Government rural energy agency Ministry of Energy Government energy ministry Energy Regulatory Commission Government energy regulator 69 0725 607728 dre@energymin.go.ke, ps@energymin.go.ke +254-20-330048, +25420-250680 robert.pavel@erc.go.ke +254 722 200 947 Green Buildings - Selected Players Pharos Architects Urko Sanchez Architects Actis Specializes in LEEDcertified buildings Mombasabased architect specializes in buildings that are energy efficient and traditionallydesigns Investor/devel oper designing Thika development Has designed and built LEED buildings that incorporate solar PV on and off-grid in Kenya and Southern Sudan Collaborated on SOS Djibouti buildings that require specialized cooling features Architect The Thika Road project is advertised to incorporate green technologies and energy generation Developer Planning Systems Services Urko Sanchez Chief Executive Officer urko@urkosanchez.com + 254 (0) 721243387 Michael Turner Director, East Africa Office Izael Pereira da Silva Deputy ViceChancellor (Academic Affairs) Kunal Patel Director info@act.is; mturner@act.is +254 (0) 20 2219 952 Trevor Andrews Managing Director Trevor.Andrews@planni ng-kenya.com Mobile: +254 724 255088 N/A Architect University Local university with stong business school Major architect interested in green buildings in general Major architect interested in green andy@pharosarchitects. com +254 720 203 030 N/A Strathmore UniversityPhase III Belglin Woods Has worked with ASD & German companies on several design projects Andrew Gremly Managing Director N/A Germany Project using German technology Incorporating 500 kWp PV system into the campus Architect N/A N/A N/A Architect N/A idasilva@strathmore.edu Mobile: +254 733 900400 info@beglinwoods.com, kunal@beglinwoods.com 254 722 201 185 N/A N/A 70 buildings in general Kenya Green Building council LEED registered architect starting up a Kenya green building group Architect Mugure Mbugua Member info@kenyagbc.or.ke N/A Beatrice Ngugi bngugi@ktdateas.com Electrical Engineer KTDA Power Lucas G. Maina- GM Francis W. Miano 254 - 020 3227000 Jane Ngige CEO kfc@wananchi.com info@kenyaflowercouncil .org 0720692477 0733639523 020-2679268 Uhuru Flowers Ltd Ivan Freeman P.J Dave Flowers Group Hitesh p. Dave ivan@uhuruflowers.co.ke 0713889574 0722863252 davephitesh@gmail.com marketing@pjdave.com 0732205577 0787635491 N/A N/A N/A Agricultural Sector - Selected Players KTDA Power company ltd Kenya Flower Council Reducing the Energy costs in The Tea industry Running of the hydropower plants of KTDA Aim of fostering responsible and safe production of cut flowers in Kenya with due consideration of workers welfare and protection of the environment. Clean and Cheap Energy N/A N/A Conducting a feasibility study on the utilization of Solar for the Tea Industry N/A N/A 71 igmaina@ktdateas.com 0721620981 fmiano@ktdateas.com 0722483133 Zena Roses Ltd Rakesh M. Kuttaiah G.Manager Wilmar Agro ltd Wilfred M. kimani Executive Director N/A N/A N/A Kenya Dairy Processors Association Horticultural Crops Development Authority N/A N/A Dr. Alfred Serem Managing Director Anne Gikonyo G.M- Marketing Kenya Horticulture Council Enhancing effectiveness and efficiency in resource utilization and service delivery to the horticulture industry. N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A rekesh@zenaroses.co.k e 0721452593 0724631299 kamami@wilmar.co.ke N/A N/A md@hcda.or.ke 020-2131561,2088469 awgikonyo@hcda.or.ke marketing@hcda.or.ke 020-3597362,2131560 info@fpeak.org +254-726-949695 Telecom Safaricom Airtel leading Telecom Company in Kenya Second leading Telecom company in Kenya Providing mobile, fixed voice and data services on a variety of platforms Providing mobile, fixed voice and data services mobile services and mobile money transfer facilities Has about over 50 green telecom sites N/A N/A N/A Mobile services N/A N/A N/A N/A mobileoffice@safaricom. co.ke +254 722 003272 info.africa@airtel.com 72 GSMA Association of mobile operators Broadband Communication Network Ltd Telecommuni cation Solution Provider Distributed Communication Ltd Telecommuni cation tower construction company. It is tasked with supporting the standardizing, deployment and promotion of the GSM mobile telephone systems Designing, implementing and commissioning of various types of telecommunication products Construction of telecommunication base stations Financing and advisory services Green power for mobiles N/A Ilana Cohen African Project Manager icohen@gsma.com +254 (0)705 949 276 Telecommunication equipment Solar systems for towers N/A Bernard Wahome CEO bernardwahome@broad com.co.ke +254 20 374 6669 Telecommunication equipment N/A N/A Simon Horner CEO simon@systems.co.ke N/A Called for a proposal for Mechanism partners for specific sustainable tourism activities. N/A N/A N/A N/A info@tourismfund.co.ke + 254 (0) 02 2714900/274806 To be the preferred hospitality company, in the ownership and management of hotels, resorts and lodges in the key markets of Africa." Providing unprecedented luxury Hospitality Services N/A Mr. Nelson Mburu N/A thestanley@sarovahotel s.com ,: nelson.mburu@sarovaho tels.com +254 20 275 7000/316377 N/A Mr. Harrison Tuva N/A nairobi@serena.co.ke 254-20-2710511 Tourism Tourism Fund Donor supported group for tourism projects Sarova Hotels Pan Afrique, Mara Sarova Serena Hotel Nairobi Serana Hotel, Mara Serena, Amboseli Serena,Samburu Serena, Serena Mountain lodge Hospitality Services Has begun promoting sustainable development in the tourism sector Installed solar thermal heating for their Panafric hotel N/A 73 Tamarind Hotels Karen Mombasa, Village Mkt, Carnivore, Golden key Casino. Sopa/Elewana FairMont Atua- Enkop Africa Sand River Mara Cycrochic - Diani Serengeti Pioneer camp Tz Norfork Hotel- Nairobi Fairmont Mara Safari Club Mt Kenya Safari Club Elephant Bedroom Camp,Mbweha Camp, Tipilikwani and Mara Ngenche Safari Camp. To be elegant, exotic and vibrant Hospitality Services N/A N/A N/A N/A tamarind@tamarind.co.k e + 254 (0) 713 824835/6 To provide close access to all the drama and spectacle of African wildlife in exceptional comfort. Hospitality Services Shown an interest in going green N/A Mike Sanders CEO msanders@elewana.co m +255 27 250 0630 / 9 To provide extra ordinary stay and experience Hospitality Services N/A N/A N/A Unique African safari's Hospitality Services N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A kenya.reservations@fair mont.com +254 (62) 20 31300 marketing@atuaenkop.com +254 715 555 322 Mada Chain of Hotels Tipilikwani mara camp Mara ngenche safari camp -mara Mbweha camp- Nakuru Elpehant Bedroom camp -Samburu To be leading African hospitality provider Hospitality Services N/A N/A N/A N/A madahold@kenyaweb.co m +254 020 6005072 Severine Lodge Mombasa German hotel interested in solar. Severin Sea Lodge Tsavo Properties To provide one of a kind travel experience Hospitality Services Previously shown interest in adopting the use of renewable energies N/A N/A N/A severin@severinsealodg e.com +254 41 2111800/10 Base Camp Nairobi Eagle View lodge Base Camp Talek Germany Lars Chief Executive Officer lars@basecampfoundati on.org +254 (20) 2345343 Hospitality Services To have the best Ecotourism lodges in Africa Company has invested in 12kWp SMA mini-grid from German supplier 74 Neptunes Ukunda Neptune Palm Beach B,R& spa Neptune Village Beach R& Spa Neptune Pwani Beach R & Spa Explorean Ngorongoro Lodge To provide the highest standard of service for total customer satisfaction. Hospitality Services N/A N/A Michel vandenbuss che International sales and Marketing office info@neptunehotels.com , michel.vandenbussche@ neptunehotels.com +254 40 320 2213 Laikipia Wildlife Forum Networking group for lodges, communities and camps in the largest tourism area in Kenya Hospitality Services Promoting the use of solar powered pumps for irrigation N/A N/A N/A communications@laikipi a.org + 254 (0) 726 500260, Ecotourism Association of Kenya Promotes responsible tourism activities in the tourism industry Hospitality Services Promoting and Acknowledging Ecotourism sites N/A N/A N/A info@ecotourismkenya.o rg + 254 726 366 080 Sentrim Hotels & Lodges 680 Hotel, Boulevard, Castle Royal, Amboseli, Tsavo East, Masai Mara, Samburu and Lake Elementaita To see a healthy and productive natural environment for people and wildlife for the future of Laikipia & Kenya. Community training in the tourism area and rating of tourism facilities in terms of being eco-friendly and sustainable To provide excellent service. N/A Rahni Shah Director info@sentrim-hotels.com +254 720 516 488 Hospitality Services 75 Annex 2: Bibliography and Resources 1) ESD. “Kenya Energy Atlas, Energy for Sustainable Development Africa, 2008.” 2) ERC. “The Energy (Solar Water Heating) Regulation, 2012.” Legal Notice No.43. 25th May 2012. 3) ERC. “The Energy (Energy Management) Regulation, 2012.” Legal Notice No.10. 28th Sept. 2012. 4) ERC. “The Energy (Solar Photovoltaic System) Regulation, 2012.” Legal Notice No.103. 28th Sept. 2012. 5) ERC. “Application to Energy Regulatory Commission (ERC) for Approval of Proposed Electricity Tariffs and Tariff Structure.” Daily Nation 21st Feb. 2013: 38-39. 6) KPLC. “Annual Report and Financial Statements 2011/2012.” 30th June 2012. 7) Ministry of Energy. “The Energy Act, 2006” 8) Ministry of Energy. “National Energy Policy-Third Draft-May 11 2012” 9) Ministry of Energy Scaling Renewable Energies Project. “Project Document for Mini- Grids Development in Kenya.” Government of Kenya 10th Apr. 2013. 10) REA. “Rural Electrification Master Plan (REM).” August 2008: vol 1. 11) [Waiguru, Anne. “Economic Survey 3013 Highlights, Kenya National Bureau of Statistics, 2013.” 12) http://www.capitalfm.co.ke/business/2013/06/kam-pushes-for-moregreen-energy/ 13) Ministry of Energy. “Feed –in-Tariffs Policy for Wind,Biomass,Small Hydro,Geothermal,Biogas and Solar.”Dec.2012: 2nd rev. 14) KPLC. “Standardised PPA for Small Renewable Energy Generators( Less than and including 10 MW)” 15) Ministry of Energy. “Connection Guidelines for Small Scale Renewable Generating Plant.” Dec 2012 16) Ministry of Energy. “Feed –in-Tariffs Policy for Wind,Biomass,Small Hydro,Geothermal,Biogas and Solar.”Jan.2010: 1st rev. 17) Economic Consulting Associates/Ramboll. Technical and Economic Study for Development of Small Scale Grid Connected Renewable Energy in Kenya Draft Final Report Submitted to the Ministry of Energy through the Energy Regulatory Commission. June 2012 Mini-grid Presentations *1+Concellon,Maitane. “ AFD Programmatic Support On Mini- Grids in Kenya.” *2+Kiva, Isaac. “Government of Kenya Priorities/Programmes in Mini- Grids in Kenya.” *3+Motohashi, Mits. “SREP Mini -Grids Programme.” *4+Hunt, Steven. “Green Mini -grids Programme-Key Objectives and Design Process.” *5+Meassick, Mark. “USAID Initiative on Mini -Grids and Renewable Energy.” 76 Webpages/Press releases: [1] http://www.kplc.co.ke/index.php?id=44, Power interruptions, KPLC [2] http://www.kam.co.ke/index.php [3] http://www.businessdailyafrica.com/Lamu-wind-farm-gets-IFC-backing//539552/1872298/-/122mjcs/-/index.html [4] http://www.kengen.co.ke/index.php?page=business&subpage=wind&id=1 [5] http://www.gsma.com/.../wp.../GSM_Vendor_Landscape_EastAfrica_V5.pdf [6] http://www.gsma.com/.../wp-content/.../GPM-Market-Analysis-East-Africav3.pdf 77