State of the UITF Industry TOAP Summit October 4, 2012 Maria Theresa M. Javier SVP & Head, BPI Asset Management Total Trust AUM at PhP3Trillion (USD72Bn) 7Yr CAGR of 20% In PhP Bn 3,500 3,034 3,000 2,818 2,500 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2,194 2,000 1,765 1,500 1,000 Year 892 861 2005 2006 1,153 1,222 2007 2008 500 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 YOY Growth 14% -4% 34% 6% 44% 24% 28% 8% UITF Industry at PhP167Bn (USD4Bn) 3Yr CAGR of 17% post-crisis In PhP Bn Annual decline of 25.5% from 2005-2008 Annual growth of 17% from 2009-2011 Year YOY Growth 2005 -5% 2006 -39% 2007 -13% 2008 -39% 2009 22% 2010 16% 2011 14% 2012 15% Percentage of UITFs to Total Trust In PhP Bn 3500 3,034 3000 2,818 2500 2,194 2000 1,765 1500 1,153 1000 500 892 279 1,222 861 170 149 90 111 128 146 168 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Year 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 UITF % 31% 20% 13% 7% 6% 6% 5% 6% Total CIS in the Philippines is PhP292Bn (USD7Bn) in PhP Bn 400 356 350 300 292 279 246 250 200 224 179 170 77 76 86 168 150 149 150 100 249 235 111 90 60 128 96 146 104 125 69 50 0 2005 2006 2007 UITFs 2008 2009 Mutual Funds 2010 2011 Total CIS 2012 Year Total CIS Grow th 2005 356 NA 2006 246 -31% 2007 235 -5% 2008 150 -36% 2009 179 19% 2010 224 25% 2011 249 11% 2012 292 17% More than 80 UITFs offered by 22 Trust Institutions USD-denominated 33% PhP-denominated 67% Money Market 24% Equity/Balanced 23% Bond 53% Regulatory Framework Year Regulation 2004 BSP Circ 447 2007 BSP Circ 577 2008 BSP Circulars 593 and 594 2009 BSP Circulars 675 and 676 2012 BSP Circ 767 Highlights Basic provisions regarding the creation, administration and investment/s of UIT Funds. Exemption from the Exposure Limit to a Single Person or Entity for Index UITFs Highlights the Client Suitability Assessment and Risk Disclosure requirements Regulations governing the derivatives activities of banks Allowed loans arising from repo contracts as investment outlets and clarified definition of “Tradable” Cross-Currency Investments for Peso Unit Investment Trust Funds Rules governing creation of Fund of Funds and Feeder Funds Returns on different asset classes HSBC MM Phils 3-Mo T-Bill HSBC ALBI Phils. JACI Phils. PSEi 2006 6% N/A* 22% 16% 42% 2007 4% 5% 6% 8% 21% 2008 5% 4% 2% -5% -48% 2009 4% 4% 8% 24% 63% 2010 3% 4% 12% 14% 38% 2011 2% 2% 13% 10% 4% 5-Yr CAGR 4% 4%** 8% 10% 7% YTD 2012 2% 2% 6% 13% 21% *HSBC MM Phils was launched on November 1, 2006. **4-Yr CAGR How much room to grow Philippines: Total CIS (USD6Bn) vs. Deposits (USD113Bn) In USD Bn 120.00 113 107 113 Year 98 100.00 88 80.00 76 73 60.00 40.00 20.00 5.86 5.86 5.60 3.57 4.26 5.33 5.93 0.00 2006 2007 2008 Sources: www.bsp.gov.ph and PIFA data 2009 2010 2011 2012 % to Deposits 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 8% 8% 6% 4% 4% 5% 2012 5% Singapore: Total CIS (USD26Bn) vs. Deposits (USD393Bn) In USD Bn 450.00 392.68 400.00 Year 352.03 350.00 317.89 282.11 300.00 255.28 250.00 % to Deposits 221.14 2006 11% 2007 12% 2008 7% 2009 8% 2010 8% 2011 7% 200.00 150.00 100.00 50.00 24.39 31.71 18.70 25.20 26.83 26.02 0.00 2006 2007 Source: www.mas.gov.sg 2008 2009 2010 2011 Malaysia: Total CIS (USD93Bn) vs. Deposits (USD446Bn) In USD Bn 500.00 450.00 425.90 400.00 Year 372.79 348.20 350.00 300.00 445.90 318.69 % to Deposits 2006 19% 2007 14% 2008 18% 2009 20% 2010 19% 2011 21% 284.59 250.00 200.00 150.00 100.00 55.41 50.00 43.93 62.62 74.10 81.64 92.79 0.00 2007 Source: www.bnm.gov.my 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 HongKong: Total CIS (USD1Trillion) vs. Deposits (USD979Bn) In USD Bn 1,400.00 1,200.00 1,084.00 1,000.00 800.00 Year 1,191.10 757.16 781.55 926.84 823.35 % to Deposits 1,017.68 979.48 885.42 630.71 2007 143% 2008 81% 2009 113% 2010 135% 2011 104% 600.00 400.00 200.00 0.00 2007 Source: www.sfc.hk 2008 2009 2010 2011 US: Total funds (USD12.6Trillion) vs. Deposits (USD10Trillion) In USD Tr 16.00 13.38 14.00 12.00 12.09 11.88 10.56 10.00 8.00 12.82 7.83 8.42 9.04 9.23 9.42 Year % to Deposits 2006 152% 2007 159% 2008 117% 2009 131% 2010 136% 2011 124% 12.60 10.19 6.00 4.00 2.00 0.00 2006 2007 Source: www.ici.org, www.fdic.gov 2008 2009 2010 2011 Philippine Capital Markets Role of UITFs in Capital Market Development • Mobilizes domestic savings more efficiently • Addresses investors needs more effectively • Enhances the liquidity of the domestic financial markets • Offers more viable financial instruments to diversify the financial system Government Innovations in Peso Bond Markets • • • Debt Consolidation Program – The Philippines’ Bureau of Treasury has conducted 6 bond exchanges since 2006 effectively extending its maturity profile and reducing the Republic’s overall funding cost Issue Date Tenor Size in billions March 2006 August 2006 3, 5, 7- year 10 - year PHP 122 PHP 54 February 2007 3 and 5- year PHP 97.5 January 2009 5 and 7 - year PHP 144.5 December 2010 10 and 25 - year PHP 199.5 July 2011 10.5 and 20 - year PHP 323.5 Retail Treasury Bonds - part of the government’s savings mobilization program designed to make government securities available to retail investors and at the same time create savings consciousness among Filipinos. With RTBs, investors can buy the debt paper for a minimum amount of P5,000. Global Peso Note – Issuance of Peso denominated bonds settled in US Dollars which have allowed the government to expand its investor base Issue Date September 2010 January 2011 Tenor 10- year 25- year Size in billions (PHP) PHP 44.1 Bn PHP 54.8 Bn Government Securities (PHP denominated) WtAvg Years to Maturity WtAvg Fixed Cpn GS Turnover Ratio GS Total Trade Volume (in Blns) GS Amount Outstanding (in Blns) * August 2012 Sep-12 10.02 7.27 2007 0.70 1,564 2,244 Dec-11 9.19 7.60 2008 0.78 1,936 2,471 Dec-10 7.42 7.85 2009 1.02 2,582 2,540 Dec-09 5.08 8.26 2010 1.91 5 2,821 2011 YTD2012* 1.82 1.03 4,163 2,959 2,284 2,876 Government Securities (USD denominated) WtAvg Years to Maturity WtAvg Fixed Cpn Sep-12 12.66 7.02 Dec-11 12.74 7.13 Dec-10 12 7.25 Dec-09 10.6 8.43 Corporate Bonds More firms are tapping the debt capital market for funding, taking advantage of the low interest rate environment. Fixed Income Exchange Launch of Philippine Dealing and Exchange Corp (PDEx) in 2005 – As a provider of market infrastructure • Price discovery • Transparency • Straight thru processing of trades from trading to settlement – As a self regulatory organization: • Formulates the requisite market rules • Enforces compliance in the inter-dealer market PSEi: 7-Yr CAGR of 12.8% Market Capitalization and Net Foreign Inflow Market Cap Index Count 2005 6,204,662.78 257 2006 8,137,953.63| 259 2007 8,067,217.60| 262 2008 2,408,689.28 268 2009 3,617,742.36| 261 2010 8,295,094.97 272 2011 8,536,988.31 10,264,313.60 268 269 Sept 2012 Philippines in a sweet spot Moderately strong economic growth due to resilient domestic consumption Strong dollar remittances Booming BPO sector Prudent fiscal management and good governance Low interest rates and strong stock market performance encourage shift to investments and capital markets • Rise of Asian wealth creation and growth of high networth individuals Challenges and Initiatives Challenges Lack of published and consistent data on industry statistics as basis for market analytics Need to revive investor confidence and interest o More investment options o Enhanced investor education o Increased attractiveness to foreign investors Need for continuous competency-building of UITF certified marketers Initiatives Promote growth through cooperation and transparency of industry information Continuous pipeline of product innovation o Closed end funds o Capital-protected funds o Income paying funds Enhance retail investors' access through open architecture More friendly tax environment Financial education for all by leveraging on the use of technology and new media to widen reach Additional learning including preparedness for financial planning and more sophisticated fund products In Conclusion Market environment is very conducive to growth Cannot afford to be pigeonholed in old business practices Think long-term health and soundness without sacrificing consumer protection