Isle Royale Predator-Prey Cycle Jenn Carlson, Lake Orion High School Standards: • • • • B3.5A Graph changes in population growth, given a data table. B3.5B Explain the influences that affect population growth. B1.1D Identify patterns in data and relate them to theoretical models. L3.p3D Predict how changes in one population might affect other populations based upon their relationships in a food web. (prerequisite) Grade/Class: 9th Biology Objective: Students will be able to construct and interpret a predator prey graph. Assessment: Labeled graph (7 points) and critical thinking questions (8 points) Materials: Class set of worksheets, slide show of Isle Royale research photos Procedure: In this application, students will apply their knowledge of predator prey cycles to the Isle Royale wolf and moose populations. 30 Engage: Brief slide show of my own photos showing Isle Royale and Rolf Peterson’s research to introduce them to the island and the study (pages 150-151 in A Superior Wilderness discusses this research). Explore: Students will complete the attached worksheet where they will construct a predator prey graph and then interpret it. Enclosed are both the original data from (www.isleroaylewolf.org) and a simplified data table. I will have my students use the simplified data so they can draw the graph by hand. It shows the same trends as the original data, but does not need to be graphed in Excel. They will need to use dual y-axes to show the trend, since moose numbers are so much greater than wolf numbers. The left y axis should be in increments of 10, from zero to 50 for the wolves. The right x axis should be in increments of 500, from zero to 2500. Each y axis will have 5 increments – see answer key for correct set-up. Explain to students that they are able to have different increments because they are comparing a trend, not exact quantities. Encourage students to use their notes from Gray Wolves/Gray Matter and the brochure they received yesterday to answer the critical thinking questions. Explain: Discuss the students’ answers the worksheet. Fill in any holes to the story of the wolves and moose of Isle Royale they may have missed. MSTA Journal • Fall 2007 • http://www.msta-mich.org Extend: • Ask students to think about other factors that may affect the population cycles of wolves not on Isle Royale. Researchers believe that vegetation may affect moose numbers significantly (seen in the 1990s), and also disease, such as the canine parvo virus, has affected the wolf population (seen in the 1980s). Bibliography: • Peterson, Rolf and John Vucetich. The Wolves and Moose of Isle Royale. 2006. Michigan Technological University. 21 Aug. 2006. <http://www.isleroyalewolf.org/> This website provided the data. It also has a number of other resources about the wolves and moose of Isle Royale. The authors of this website are the scientists conducting the research. MSTA Journal • Fall 2007 • http://www.msta-mich.org • Peterson, Rolf and John Vucetich. The Wolves and Moose of Isle Royale Brochure. Michigan Technological University. This is a brochure that I received while on Isle Royale, discussing the wolf and moose populations in a concise way. Shelton, Napier. Superior Wilderness: Isle Royale National Park. Houghton, MI: Isle Royale Natural History Association, 1997. I used this book for the chapter “Wolves, Moose, and the Balance of Nature;” however, it also covers many other Isle Royale topics. 31 Wolf and Moose Populations on Isle Royale Graph the following data of the wolf and moose population on Isle Royale. Use dual y-axes to show the trend, since moose numbers are so much greater than wolf numbers. The left y axis should be in increments of 10, from zero to 50 for the wolves. The right x axis should be in increments of 500, from zero to 2500. Each y axis will have 5 increments. Be sure to label and title your graph. 32 Year Wolves Moose 1959 20 563 1966 26 765 1969 17 1268 1970 18 1295 1973 24 1435 1977 34 1143 1978 40 1001 1981 30 863 1982 14 872 1983 23 932 1985 22 1115 1990 15 1216 1995 16 2422 1996 22 1163 1998 14 699 2001 19 900 2002 17 1100 2003 19 900 2006 30 450 MSTA Journal • Fall 2007 • http://www.msta-mich.org Critical Thinking Questions 1. Can an ecosystem support an infinite number of moose? Why or why not? __________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ 2. If wolves did not live on Isle Royale, what main factor would determine the amount of moose the island could support? ____________________________________________________________ 3. What other factors may influence population numbers? _________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ 4. Is predation a density-dependent or density-independent factor? __________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ On Isle Royale, the moose have a predator – the wolf. Use your graph to answer the following questions. 5. When the moose (prey) population increases, what happens to the wolf (predator) population? Why? ________________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ 6. What causes the moose population to decrease? When this happens, what happens to the wolf population? ___________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ 7. Why is this interaction between predator and prey called a cycle? _________________________ ______________________________________________________________________________ 8. Why is this cycle so easily studied on Isle Royale? ______________________________________ MSTA Journal • Fall 2007 • http://www.msta-mich.org 33 Answer Key Wolf and Moose Populations on Isle Royale 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. No – limiting factors/carrying capacity Food supply Predation, Competition, Natural Disasters, Disease, etc Density-dependent Wolf population increase because it has more food (Bonus—disease may cause the wolf population to decrease even if the moose population is increasing, as canine parvo virus did with the Isle Royale wolves in the 1980s) 6. The moose population will decrease as there are more predators hunting it. Eventually the wolf population will decrease because it will run out of moose to eat (Bonus—the moose population may also decrease if the population becomes too high for the amount of food available, as happened at Isle Royale in the 1990s) 7. Because this pattern will continue to repeat itself – it maintains a balance 8. Because the number of variables is decreased and the populations are more easily monitored because of the small, contained space 34 MSTA Journal • Fall 2007 • http://www.msta-mich.org