CashorIn-Kind,ElectronicorManual Transfers? EvidencefromFieldExperimentsinWestand CentralAfrica JennyC.Aker,Tu.sUniversityandIFPRI JPALSEAPolicyConferenceonSocialProtecAon Jakarta,Indonesia January12,2016 JennyC.Aker Cash,In-Kind,Electronic,Manual Mo@va@on • Howshouldsociety(donors,governmentsand NGOs)redistributetothepoor? • Cashtransferprogramsareanincreasinglyimportant partofsocialprotecAonprogramsinbothdeveloped anddevelopingcountries • YetmanysocialprotecAonprogramsaresAll“inkind” • Foodaid,foodstamps,medicines,inputs,vouchers • Especiallyinlower-incomeandconflictcountries JennyC.Aker Cash,In-Kind,Electronic,Manual Mo@va@on • Ifprogramrecipientswouldweaklypreferanequalvaluedcashtransfertoanin-kindtransfer,whynotuse cash? • Cashmightnotbethepreferredmodalityfor redistribuAngwealth • • • • TargeAng Localsupply PoliAcalfeasibility “Paternalism” • SubstanAalevidenceoftheimpactofeachmodality,but limitedevidenceoftherela%veeffectsofeachmodality o Recentstudiesoncashversusin-kindtransfers(GenAlini2014, Cunha2014,Hidroboetal2014,Hoddino]etal2014) JennyC.Aker Cash,In-Kind,Electronic,Manual Mo@va@on • Regardlessofthemodality,socialprotecAon programspresentlogisAcal,operaAonalandsecurity challenges • Thiscanreducethe(cost)effec%venessofsocial protecAonprograms o ItcanalsoresultinsubstanAaldirectandindirectcoststo programrecipients. JennyC.Aker Cash,In-Kind,Electronic,Manual ResearchGoals ResearchQues@ons • WhataretherelaAveeffectsofdifferenttransfer modali@es(cashversusin-kind)onhousehold purchases,consumpAonandwell-being? o WhatisthecosteffecAvenessofeachmodality? • Howdoesthetransferdeliverymechanism(physical versuselectronic)affectthecostsofimplemenAng suchtransfers? o ArethereanyaddiAonalbenefitsfrom “cashless”(electronic)? • Tworandomizedcontroltrials(DRCandNiger) JennyC.Aker Cash,In-Kind,Electronic,Manual SocialProtec@onInterven@ons:DRC • ImplementedbyConcernWorldwideinacampfor internallydisplacedpersons(IDPs) • US$130transferprovidedinthreeinstallments betweenSeptember2011andMarch2012 • ProvidedtoincreaseassetaccumulaAon(NFIs)and meetfoodneeds JennyC.Aker Cash,In-Kind,Electronic,Manual JennyC.Aker Cash,In-Kind,Electronic,Manual ResearchDesign • 474householdswererandomlyassignedtooneoftwo transfermodaliAes • T1:Uncondi@onalcashtransfer.Cashtransfersprovided inthreeinstallments • T2.Voucher.Vouchersprovidedinthreeinstallments o Firstvouchercouldbespentonfoodandnon-fooditemsata “mulAsectoralfair” o Secondandthirdvoucherscouldonlybespentonfooditems • Equivalently-valuedtransfersprovidedatsameAmeand sameamounts • Bothgroupshadtotraveltomainurbancenter(15km fromcamp)topickuptheirtransfer JennyC.Aker Cash,In-Kind,Electronic,Manual VoucherFair WhyVouchers? • • • • • EncouragingconsumpAonofparAculargoods TargeAng Marketsupply PoliAcalfeasibility Security JennyC.Aker Cash,In-Kind,Electronic,Manual Isthislikeothervoucherprograms? • Differsfrom“tradiAonal”vouchertransfersby: • Timing–hadtobespentinoneday • LocaAon–couldonlybespentatvoucherfair (ratherthanvendors,kiosksormarketsin differentlocaAons) JennyC.Aker Cash,In-Kind,Electronic,Manual Whywouldcashandvouchersdiffer? • Cashcanbespendonanything,whereasvouchers could(primarily)bespentonfood • Ifthevalueofthevoucherismorethanthe householdwouldhavespentotherwiseonfood,then cashandvoucherhouseholdswillpurchasedifferent things o Voucherhouseholdswillspendmoreonfoodtousethefull valueofthetransfer • Ifvoucherhouseholdscannotsellthevouchers(or whattheypurchased),thenthiswillalsotranslateinto differencesinconsumpAon JennyC.Aker Cash,In-Kind,Electronic,Manual Impacts • Itemspurchased • Well-being(foodsecurity,assets,copingstrategies) • Costs JennyC.Aker Cash,In-Kind,Electronic,Manual HouseholdPurchases 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Butvoucher householdsweremore likelytobuyrice,salt andfish–andbought moreofthem! Cashhouseholdsused thetransfertobuy moretypesoffood andnon-fooditems Voucher Cash HouseholdPurchases(Quan@@es) 14 Voucherhouseholds bought6Amesmore salt(10kgmore)than cashhouseholds! 12 10 Voucher 8 Cash 6 4 2 0 Salt(kg) Rice(kg) Fish(number) JennyC.Aker Cash,In-Kind,Electronic,Manual Whydifferentpurchases? • Voucherhouseholdshadtospendthevoucheronfood itemsatthevoucherfairtousetheenArevalueofthe transfer o Thisshi.edexpensestowardsfoodsthatwereeasily storableandeasytoresell o ButchoicesweresAllconstrained Ifsomethingwastooheavy,Ididn’tbuyit…Iwantedtobuytwo boxesofsaltbutcouldonlycarryone,soIboughtoneplusother things. Voucherprogramrecipient,Masisicamp JennyC.Aker Cash,In-Kind,Electronic,Manual DidtheTypeofTransferleadto DifferentWell-Being? • Foodsecurity(householddietdiversity,numberof mealsperday,numberofmonthsofadequate householdfoodprovisioning) • Assetownershipandsavings(durableandnondurablegoodscategories) o Butcashhouseholdswereabletosavesomeoftheir transfer(US$2) • Agriculturalassets(land,livestock) • Copingstrategies JennyC.Aker Cash,In-Kind,Electronic,Manual Whydidpurchasesdiffer…butwellbeingdidn’t? DifferentPurchases …ButSimilarWell-Being • Vouchersrestrictedto food,andhadto purchasethoseitemson aspecificday • Voucherhouseholds resoldsomegoods purchased • Voucherhouseholdshad lessbargainingpowervisà-vistraders–hadtopay higherprices • Voucherandcash householdsshared goods(andcash) JennyC.Aker Cash,In-Kind,Electronic,Manual 19 CostsperProgramRecipient $16.00 TransferFees AccountOpeningCosts $14.00 VoucherprinAng Materials(plasAcsheeAng,sAcks) $12.00 Transport(fuel,lodging) StaffAme $10.00 $8.00 $6.00 VoucherprogramcostUS$3moreper recipient PotenAallyhighersecuritycostsfor voucherhouseholds $4.00 $2.00 $0.00 Cash Voucher JennyC.Aker Cash,In-Kind,Electronic,Manual CashorVouchers? • Cashandvoucherhouseholdshadverydifferent purchasingpa]ernsbutsimilarlevelsofwell-being o Differentforsomeotherstudies • Sincewell-beingwasthesameandcashwascheaper toimplement,cashisthepreferredmodalityhere o Goodsandserviceswerereadilyavailableonthelocal market,socashwaspossible • ButcostlyfortheNGOandprogramrecipients:Could socialprotecAontransfersbeimplementedeven morecheaply? JennyC.Aker Cash,In-Kind,Electronic,Manual Source:ConcernWorldwide JennyC.Aker Cash,In-Kind,Electronic,Manual 22 JennyC.Aker Cash,In-Kind,Electronic,Manual Source:ConcernWorldwide JennyC.Aker Cash,In-Kind,Electronic,Manual 24 MobileMoneyServicesbyCountry JennyC.Aker Cash,In-Kind,Electronic,Manual JennyC.Aker Cash,In-Kind,Electronic,Manual 26 CashTransferInterven@ons:Niger • ImplementedbyConcernWorldwideinresponseto 2009/2010foodcrisis • Monthly(uncondiAonal)cashtransferof$USD45for5 months($USD225total) o 2/3ofannualpercapitaGDP o Providedduringhungryseason(MaythroughSeptember)to preventseveremalnutriAonandassetdecapitalizaAon • TargeAng o Pooresthouseholdstargeted o Womenreceivedthecashtransfer JennyC.Aker Cash,In-Kind,Electronic,Manual 27 ResearchDesign • 96villageswererandomlyassignedtooneofthree intervenAons: • T1.Cash:Manualcashtransfereachmonthinthe recipient’svillageorinanearbyvillage • T2.Mobile:ManualcashtransferplusZap-enabled mobilephone • T3.Zap:Zap-enabledmobilephoneplusthecash transferviamobilemoneytransfer • NodifferenceinAmingoftransfers • Valueofthephoneabout$USD5 JennyC.Aker Cash,In-Kind,Electronic,Manual 28 ResearchDesign C. Control T1. Cash T2. Mobile T3. Zap 4.0 3.5 T3-T2:AddiAonaleffectofthe mobilemoneytransfer approach 3.0 2.5 T2-T1:AddiAonal effectofthemobile phone 2.0 1.5 T1-C:Impactofthe cashprogram (unobserved) 1.0 0.5 0.0 Pre-program Post-program JennyC.Aker Cash,In-Kind,Electronic,Manual MobileMoneyinNiger • Newmobilemoneytransferprogram(introducedin January2010) o Fewagentsoutsideofcapitalcity o Li]leconsumerfamiliaritywiththeprogram o LimitedadopAon • LowmobilephonepenetraAon(30%) • Highilliteracyrates(85%) • ChallengeswithmanipulaAngmobilephonesandremembering PINcodes • LimitedoperaAonalcapacityofmobilephoneservice providerinthemobilemoneysphere o NeededtolinkConcern’sprogramrecipientlistswithZainZap interface JennyC.Aker Cash,In-Kind,Electronic,Manual 30 31 Whyshouldthisma\er? • ReducedcostsofobtainingtransfercanincreaseAmespent onproducAveacAviAesandchangethelocaAonandAmingof purchases • Reducedtransac@oncostsassociatedwithinformalprivate transfershelphouseholdstobe]ercopewithshocks • Reducedcommunica@oncostsincreaseaccesstoinformaAon andleadtomoreopAmaldecision-making • Increasedprivacyofthecashtransferleavesmoreincome availableforthehouseholdandaffectsinvestmentstrategies • Increasedintra-householdbargaining:TargeAngwomencan improvewomen’scontroloverresourcesandinvestmentin publicgoods JennyC.Aker Cash,In-Kind,Electronic,Manual 32 Impacts • Costs • Well-Being(FoodSecurity,Numberofmeals) • Mechanisms JennyC.Aker Cash,In-Kind,Electronic,Manual 33 TotalCostofCashTransferDistribu@onProgrambyMonth (Euros) 50000 45000 40000 Costperrecipientis$.90moreinzap villages– IftheprogramconAnuedforanother2 months,Zapwouldhavebeenless expensiveperprogramrecipientthan manualcash 35000 30000 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 May June July M-transfer Aug Sept Manualcash 34 Cost($USD)toProgramRecipientofObtainingtheCashTransfer 2.5 2 1.5 Programrecipientsincash/placebovillageshadto travel2km(oneway)togetthetransfer, approximately½hour(excludingwaiAngAme) TheAmesavingsis equivalenttoUSD$.92 overthefive-month period(lowerbound),or 2kgofmillet--enoughto feedafamilyoffivefor oneday Thezapgrouphadto travellessthan.5km(less than10minutes) 1 0.5 0 Distance (km) to Cashpoint Cash/Placebo Distance (hours) to Cash Point MobileMoney 35 Impacts 100% 99% 98% 90% 79% 80% 69% 70% Zaphouseholdsweremorelikely tobuyotherfoodstuffs 82% (cowpeas,condiments,meatand oil) 69% 60% ManualCash/ Placebo M-Transfer 51% 50% 46% 40% 37% 40% 30% 18% 18% 20% 10% 6% 0% Grains Cowpeas Meat Condiments Oil Seeds 5% 36 Schoolfees FoodSecurity 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% Householddietdiversitywas 16%higherinZap householdsascompared 36% withMobileandCash households 38% 29% 29% 27% 24% 25% 20% ChildreninZaphouseholds ate1/3moremealperay 43% 18% 17% 15% 10% 5% 0% Cowpea Condiments Cash Zap Mobile Fats 37 Whyshouldthisma\er? • ReducedcostsofobtainingtransfercanincreaseAmespent onproducAveacAviAesandchangethelocaAonandAmingof purchases • Reducedtransac@oncostsassociatedwithinformalprivate transfershelphouseholdstobe]ercopewithshocks • Reducedcommunica@oncostsincreaseaccesstoinformaAon andleadtomoreopAmaldecision-making • Increasedprivacyofthecashtransferleavesmoreincome availableforthehouseholdandaffectsinvestmentstrategies • Increasedintra-householdbargaining:TargeAngwomencan improvewomen’scontroloverresourcesandinvestmentin publicgoods JennyC.Aker Cash,In-Kind,Electronic,Manual 38 Intra-HouseholdDecision-Making • Manualcashvillages: o Allprogramrecipients(plussomehusbands)traveledto obtaincashtransfer o Majorityprovidedcashtohusbandorsonimmediatelya.er receivingthetransfer o Li]leAmefordiscussiononpurchasingprioriAes • Zapvillages o Womenreceivedadiscretebeepviamobilephone o Informedhusbandoftransferarrivalinprivacyofhome(not rightaway) o DiscussedpurchasingprioriAesathome JennyC.Aker Cash,In-Kind,Electronic,Manual 39 Intra-HouseholdDecision-Making • WomeninZaphouseholdshadgreaterresponsibility forcertainhouseholdacAviAes o Weremorelikelytotraveltomarketsandberesponsible forsellinggrains • Zaphouseholdsspentmoreonclothingforreligious fesAvals JennyC.Aker Cash,In-Kind,Electronic,Manual 40 SummaryofFindings • MobilemoneydecreasedcostsforimplemenAngagencyand programrecipients,butlargefixedcosts o PotenAallycheaperinanenvironmentwheremobilemoneyismore well-knownandhasalargeragentnetwork o However,issuesaroundsensiAzaAonandPINcodesmustbe addressed(Ghana) • BenefitsbeyondsimplecostreducAon o Increaseddiversityofpurchases,improveddietdiversity o HighmarginaluAlityofincome–potenAallymorevariaAonin outcomesunderothercondiAons • Why?Changesinintra-householddecision-making o Intra-householddecision-makingisverycontextspecific o PotenAalotherimpactsorchannelsinthelongerterm JennyC.Aker Cash,In-Kind,Electronic,Manual 41 PolicyConsidera@ons • SomeevidenceofimpactofmobilemoneyinKenyaand RwandaandelectronictransfersinIndia,butsAllafracAon ofwhatweneedtoknow • Thenecessaryinfrastructureneedstobeinplace • Needasupply-side(agents,plauorm)anddemandside approach(sensiAzaAon,trust,abilitytouse) o Ism-moneyprofitablefortheserviceprovidersintheshortterm?Wouldotherfinancialservicesbeprofitable? • MobilemoneycanpotenAallypromotefinancialinclusion, butwillnotnecessarily“banktheunbanked” • Savings,credit,insuranceareallpartoffinancialinclusion • PaymentscanpotenAally“push”take-up--butwillpeople usetheservicesa.erthepaymentismade? JennyC.Aker Cash,In-Kind,Electronic,Manual 42 TheBo\omLine • Howshouldwealthberedistributed?Cash,voucher, in-kind? o Bodyofevidencesuggeststhatwhilecashismoreflexible,inkindtransferscanhelptoachievecertain(health/nutriAon) objecAves o DependsupontargeAng,localsupply(availabilityandprices) andpoliAcalfeasibility • Regardlessofthemodality,either“physical”or“electronic” transferscanbeused o Electroniccanbecheaper,butthenecessaryinfrastructureneeds tobeinplace(non-trivialtosetup) o Evenifinfrastructureexists,itcoulddisadvantagethepoor (especiallyiftheydifficultyinusingthetechnology) JennyC.Aker Cash,In-Kind,Electronic,Manual 43 Thankyou 44