2 Homework 2 1. Consider the Solow model without technical progress. In class we derived the steady-state values for capital per worker (k ) and output per worker (y ) as a function of saving rate (s), population rate (n), and depreciation rate (d): (a) Suppose that s = 20%; n = 1% and d = 10%: Calculate k ; y and consumption per worker (c ). You need to assume a value for : Basically, using the information we have about the real economy, you should assume either = 0:3 or = 1=3: I am assuming = 0:3: k = 0:2 0:1 + 0:01 y = 0:2 0:1 + 0:01 c = 1 1 1 0:3 = 2:349 0:3 0:3 = 1:292 0:2 0:1 + 0:01 0:8 1 0:3 0:3 = 1:034 (b) Repeat the exercise for s = 20%; n = 4% and d = 10%. What do you observe as compared to your answer in part (a)? Comment. k = 0:2 0:1 + 0:04 y = 0:2 0:1 + 0:04 c = 1 1 1 0:3 = 1:665 0:3 0:3 = 1:165 0:2 0:1 + 0:04 0:8 1 0:3 0:3 = 0:932 In the steady state, with higher population growth, capital per worker is less. Thus, output per worker is less and so is consumption: standards of livings are worse in this case. (c) Now suppose that saving rate raises permanently from 20% to 30%. How does this increase in the saving rate a¤ect k ; y and c ? (Again, compare to your answer in part a.) k y c 1 = 0:3 0:1 + 0:01 1 = 0:3 0:1 + 0:01 = 1 0:3 = 4:192 0:3 0:3 0:3 0:1 + 0:01 0:7 4 = 1:537 1 0:3 0:3 = 1:076 In the steady state, with a higher saving rate, capital per worker is more. Thus, output per worker is more and, in this case, so is consumption: standards of livings are better. Now, this saving rate corresponds to the golden rule (with my assumptions, at least). So if saving rate grows any higher, capital and output per worker are more but not so consumption. So standards of living actually worsen if saving rate passes this 30% benchmark. (You can try with a 40% saving rate, for example). 2. Output per worker (labour productivity) is de…ned as y = Y =L: Show that the growth rate in labour productivity depends on growth in total factor productivity and growth in the capital-labour ratio (k = K=L). In particular, show that B_ k_ y_ = + : y B k If the production function is Y = BK L1 ; labour productivity y = Bk : To calculate the growth rate, …rst take natural logarithms ln y = ln B + ln k; and then di¤erentiate with respect to time to yield y_ B_ k_ = + : y B k 3. Suppose an economy described by the Solow model is in a steady state with population growth n of 1.1 percent per year and technological progress g of 1.5 percent per year. Total capital and total output grow at 2.6 percent per year. Suppose further that the capital share of output is 0.4. If you used the growth accounting equation to divide output growth into three sources— capital, labour, and total factor productivity, how much would you attribute to each source? If the production function is Y = BK L1 ; by calculating the natural log ln Y = ln B + ln K + (1 ) ln L; and then di¤erentiating with respect to time, we derive the growth equation Y_ B_ K_ L_ = + + (1 ) : (1) Y B K L Capital contributed K_ = 0:4 2:6 = 1:04%: K 5 Labour contributed (1 ) L_ = 0:6 1:1% = 0:66%: L Then, if total output grows at 3%, 2:6 = B_ + 1:04 + 0:66; B _ total factor productivity growth B=B = 0:9%: (Note: the rest is optional or an alternative way to derive the same answer.) Now remember the relation between Total Factor Productivity and the e¢ ciency index: B = A1 : Thus, the relation between their growth rates is B_ B B_ B A_ A = (1 ) = 0:6 1:5% = 0:9%; i.e., technical progress contributed 0:9%. 4. In the economy of Solovia,... (a) The men of Solovia stay at home performing household chores, while the women work in factories. If some of the men decided to start working outside of the home so that the labour force increased by 4 percent, what would happen to the measured output of the economy? (Hint: use the growth accounting equation). Y_ B_ K_ L_ = + + (1 ) : Y B K L Other things (capital and TFP) being constant, output would grow by Y_ L_ = (1 ) = 0:3 4% = 1:2%: Y L Let us say that the economy was growing at the rate g: This means that the measured output of the economy would grow at (g + 1:2): It says the measured output of the economy because, presumably, the men in Solovia were previously engaged in household production, not accounted in the GDP. (b) In year 1, the capital stock was 6, the labour input was 3, and output was 12. In year 2, the capital stock was 7, the labour input was 4, and output was 14. What happened to total factor productivity growth between the two years? 6 In year 1 Y = BK L1 12 = B1 60:7 B1 = 2:46 30:3 In year 2 14 = B2 70:7 B2 = 2:37 40:3 So TFP actually decreased between these two years by 2:37 2:46 2:46 100 = 3:9%: (Alternatively, you can calculate the TFP growth rate by using the growth equation— equation 1. The answer will not be the same because the log approach is an approximation that works better for the long run. So the method in this answer is somewhat superior but you will not be penalized for using the other method.) 7