Smart Street Lighting LEDs, Communications Equipment, and Network Management Software for Public Outdoor Lighting: Market Analysis and Forecasts A number of small startup companies have begun offering hardware and software products for smart street lighting systems. In this challenging emerging market, many of these startups have already failed, others have been acquired by larger lighting companies, and a few are flourishing on their own. Some of the larger control and lighting companies are developing their own products for this market, which will put pressure on smaller companies that have not yet secured a reliable revenue stream. At the same time, new lamp options have recently become available for street lights, most notably LEDs. The market for these lamps is also in a period of transition. Dramatically falling costs and rising efficiencies of LED lamps are driving up sales. Costs have fallen as much as 50% over the last 18 months and are expected to continue falling for years to come. LED lamps allow for better dimming control than standard street lights, and their electronics allow for easy integration of control nodes. Rising sales of LED lamps will therefore drive up the adoption of smart street lighting systems. Pike Research expects the market for smart street lighting to grow steadily over the remainder of this decade. Shipments of smart street lighting systems, which will be under 200 worldwide for 2012, will reach more than 1,100 in 2020. Shipments of communications nodes, meanwhile, will rise from 550,000 this year to 4.8 million in 2020. This Pike Research report analyzes the global market opportunity for lamp upgrades and networked lighting controls across five categories of public outdoor lighting: highways, roads, parking lots, city parks, and sports stadiums. The report provides a comprehensive assessment of the demand drivers, obstacles, policy factors, and technology issues associated with the growing market for street lighting controls. Key industry players are profiled in depth and worldwide revenue and capacity forecasts, segmented by lamp type and region, extend through 2020. KEY MARKET FORECASTS: GEOGRAPHIES: TECHNOLOGIES: LED lamps Induction lamps Power line communications (PLC) Radio frequency (RF) Solar street lights, on- and off-grid Control techniques for networked systems Smart Street Lighting Systems Unit Shipments by Region, World Markets: 2012-2020 LED Street Lamps, Unit Sales versus Unit Cost: 2012-2020 Unit Shipments of Lamps by Lamp Type, World Markets: 2012-2020 Communication Nodes Unit Shipments by Region, World Markets: 2012-2020 Annual Revenue from Lamps by Lamp Type and Region, World Markets: 2012-2020 Annual Revenue from Communications Infrastructure by Region, World Markets: 2012-2020 Annual Revenue from Software by Region, World Markets: 2012-2020 Annual Revenue from Services by Region, World Markets: 2012-2020 Street Lighting Revenue by Category by Region, World Markets: 2012-2020 Lamp Unit Shipments by Region, World Markets: 2012-2020 North America o United States o Canada Europe o Germany o United Kingdom o France Asia Pacific o Japan o India o Australia o China o South Korea Latin America Middle East Africa TABLE OF CONTENTS: 1. Executive Summary 1.1 Introduction 1.2 Key Market Drivers 1.3 Market Overview 1.4 Forecast Highlights 2. Market Issues 2.1 Market Overview 2.1.1 Smart Lighting and Smart Cities 2.1.2 Smart Lighting and Other Intelligent Systems 2.2 Street Lighting Categories 2.2.1 Highways 2.2.2 Roads 2.2.3 Public Parking Lots 2.2.4 City Parks and Public Areas 2.2.5 Sports Stadiums 2.2.6 Excluded Categories: Security Lighting, Interior Areas, Industrial Uses 2.3 Drivers and Trends Impacting Adoption 2.3.1 Smart City Investment Trends 2.3.2 Rising Electricity Costs 2.3.3 Falling Hardware Costs 2.3.4 Desire to Reduce Carbon Emissions 2.3.5 Monitoring and Maintenance 2.3.6 Emergency Response 2.3.7 Light Pollution 2.3.8 Growing Expectation of Control 2.4 Barriers and Challenges 2.4.1 Financial Barriers 2.4.2 Ownership and Tariffs 2.4.3 Off-peak Savings 2.4.4 Unmetered Street Lighting 2.4.5 Codes and Regulations 2.4.6 Insufficient Knowledge and Experience 2.4.7 Existing Stockpiles 2.4.8 Safety Concerns 2.5 Financial Considerations 2.5.1 Municipality Owned Systems 2.5.2 Utility Owned Systems 2.5.3 Energy Service Companies 2.6 Drivers and Trends by Geography 2.6.1 United States 2.6.1.1 Lighting Regulation in the United States 2.6.1.1.1. ANSI / IESNA RP-8-00 2.6.1.1.2. Federal Highway Administration (FHWA) 2.6.1.1.3. American Association of State Highway Transportation Officials (AASHTO) 2.6.1.1.4. National Electrical Manufacturers Association (NEMA) 2.6.1.1.5. U.S. Conference of Mayors 2.6.1.1.6. Department of Energy Municipal Solid State Street Lighting Consortium (MSSSLC) 2.6.1.2 Project Funding in the United States 2.6.1.2.1. The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (ARRA) of 2009 2.6.1.2.2. Clinton Climate Initiative 2.6.2 Canada 2.6.2.1 Lighting Regulation in Canada 2.6.2.1.1. Energy Efficient Appliances Act 2.6.3 Europe 2.6.3.1 Lighting Regulation in Europe 2.6.3.1.1. Standard EN-13201 2.6.3.1.2. Eco-Design Directive for Energy-Using Products (2005/32/EC) 2.6.3.2 Germany 2.6.3.3 United Kingdom 2.6.3.4 France 2.6.4 Asia Pacific 2.6.4.1 China 2.6.4.2 Japan 2.6.4.3 India 2.6.4.4 Australia and New Zealand 2.6.4.5 South Korea 2.6.5 Latin America 2.6.6 Middle East 2.6.7 Africa 3. Technology Issues 3.1 Lamp Types 3.1.1 Incandescent 3.1.2 Fluorescent 3.1.3 Low Pressure Sodium 3.1.4 Mercury Vapor 3.1.5 High Pressure Sodium 3.1.6 Metal Halide 3.1.6.1 Ceramic Metal Halide 3.1.7 Induction 3.1.8 Light Emitting Diode 3.2 White Light Benefits 3.3 Lumen Depreciation 3.4 Other Hardware Components 3.4.1 Pole 3.4.2 Fixture 3.5 Local Control Technologies 3.5.1 Astronomical Timer 3.5.2 Ambient Light Sensing 3.5.3 Motion Monitoring 3.6 Networking Communications 3.6.1 Power Line Communications 3.6.2 Radio Frequency Control 3.7 Control Opportunities with Networked Systems 3.7.1 Performance Monitoring 3.7.2 Traffic Conditions 3.7.3 Weather Conditions 3.7.4 Emergency Response 3.7.5 Smart Grid Synergies 3.8 Technology Trends 3.8.1 Solar Lighting 3.8.2 Lunar Resonant Lighting 3.9 Smart Street Lighting Business Case 4. Key Industry Players 4.1 Vendor Profiles 4.1.1 Acuity Brands 4.1.2 Cooper Lighting 4.1.3 Cree 4.1.4 Eaton 4.1.5 Echelon 4.1.6 Flashnet 4.1.7 GE 4.1.8 Hubbell Lighting 4.1.9 Illuminating Concepts 4.1.10 Itochu 4.1.11 Johnson Controls 4.1.12 LED Roadway Lighting 4.1.13 Osram 4.1.14 Panasonic 4.1.15 Philips 4.1.16 Rongwen Energy Science and Technology Group 4.1.17 Schneider Electric 4.1.18 Selc 4.1.19 Sensus 4.1.20 Sol 4.1.21 Streetlight Vision 4.1.22 Thorn Lighting 4.1.23 Tvilight 4.2 Industry Associations 4.3 Government – Regulators and Programs 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. Market Forecasts 5.1 Forecast Assumptions 5.2 Forecast Methodology 5.2.1 Product Costs 5.2.2 Cost Decrease Over Time 5.2.3 2012 Installed Lamp Inventory 5.3 Unit Shipments 5.3.1 Number of Lamps 5.3.2 Number of Communication Nodes 5.3.3 Number of New Smart Street Lighting Systems 5.4 Vendor Revenues versus Municipal Spending 5.5 Vendor Revenues 5.5.1 Revenue from Lamps 5.5.2 Revenue from Communication Infrastructure 5.5.3 Revenue from Software 5.5.4 Revenue from Services 5.6 Regional Forecasts 5.6.1 North America 5.6.2 Europe 5.6.3 Asia Pacific 5.6.4 Latin America 5.6.5 Middle East/Africa 5.6.6 World Markets Totals Company Directory Acronym and Abbreviation List Table of Contents Table of Charts and Figures Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes LIST OF TABLES: Lamp Technology Summary Acuity SWOT Analysis Cooper Lighting SWOT Analysis Cree SWOT Analysis Eaton SWOT Analysis Echelon SWOT Analysis Flashnet SWOT Analysis GE SWOT Analysis Hubbell Lighting SWOT Analysis Illuminating Concepts SWOT Analysis Itochu SWOT Analysis Johnson Controls SWOT Analysis LED Roadway Lighting SWOT Analysis Osram SWOT Analysis Panasonic SWOT Analysis Philips SWOT Analysis Rongwen SWOT Analysis Schneider SWOT Analysis Selc SWOT Analysis Sensus SWOT Analysis Sol SWOT Analysis Streetlight Vision SWOT Analysis Thorn SWOT Analysis Tvilight SWOT Analysis Industry Associations Regulators and Programs Initial Costs Used in Pike Research Forecast Model Future Costs Used in Pike Research Forecast Model: 2012–2020 Installed Lamp Inventory by Region, World Markets: 2012 Indexes Used to Reflect Downward Trend in Cost by Equipment or Service Type: 2012-2020 Unit Shipments of Lamps by Lamp Type by Region, World Markets: 2012-2020 Installed Lamp Inventory by Lamp Type by Region, World Markets: 2012-2020 Unit Shipments by Equipment or Service Type by Region, World Markets: 2012-2020 Vendor Revenues by Equipment Type by Region, World Markets: 2012-2020 Vendor Revenues by Lamp Type by Region, World Markets: 2012-2020 Vendor Revenues by Region, World Markets: 2012-2020 LIST OF CHARTS & FIGURES: Smart Street Lighting Systems Unit Shipments by Region, World Markets: 2012-2020 LED Street Lamps, Unit Sales versus Unit Cost: 2012-2020 Unit Shipments of Lamps by Lamp Type, World Markets: 2012-2020 Communication Nodes Unit Shipments by Region, World Markets: 2012-2020 Annual Revenue from Lamps by Region, World Markets: 2012-2020 Annual Revenue from Lamps by Lamp Type, World Markets: 2012-2020 Annual Revenue from Communications Infrastructure by Region, World Markets: 2012-2020 Annual Revenue from Software by Region, World Markets: 2012-2020 Annual Revenue from Services by Region, World Markets: 2012-2020 Street Lighting Revenue by Category, North America: 2012-2020 Street Lighting Revenue by Category, Europe: 2012-2020 Street Lighting Revenue by Category, Asia Pacific: 2012-2020 Street Lighting Revenue by Category, Latin America: 2012-2020 Street Lighting Revenue by Category, Middle East/Africa: 2012-2020 Street Lighting Revenue by Category, World Markets: 2012-2020 Lamp Unit Shipments by Region, World Markets: 2012-2020 Concept for Street Light Based on Smart City Applications Suitability of Lamp Technology by Street Lighting Category Electricity Prices by Country, World Markets: 1999–2007 Full Cutoff Cobra Head versus Cobra Head That Allows Uplighting Sample Recommendations, Minimum Illuminance Levels and Uniformity Ratios Using Adaptive Lighting Control While Staying Within RP-8-00 Minimums Networked LED lights in Milton Keynes, United Kingdom New LED lights in Mexico City, Mexico Low Pressure Sodium Lamp Mercury Vapor Light High Pressure Sodium Light GE Ceramic Metal Halide Lamps Operation of an Induction Lamp Cree LED Street Lamp Photopic versus Scotopic Vision Average Illuminance and Detection Distances Inovus Poles with Solar Collectors Upgraded Street Lighting in Oaxaca, Mexico Echelon Map for Power Line Communications with Street Lights Example of a Radio Frequency Mesh Network Example of a Radio Frequency Point-to-Multipoint Network Potential Savings from Various Smart Street Lighting Setups Smart Street Lighting Systems Unit Shipments by Region, World Markets: 2012-2020 1,200 North America 1,000 Europe Asia Pacific 800 Latin America Middle East/Africa 600 400 200 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 (Source: Pike Research) KEY QUESTIONS ADDRESSED: How do changing codes and regulations related to street lighting affect the adoption of LED lamps and lighting controls? What are the barriers hindering the adoption of street lighting controls and what are some potential ways to address these barriers? What are the different lighting control and communications strategies that can be implemented, and what are the advantages and disadvantages of each? Which companies are developing innovative new products and techniques for city managers to visualize and control their public lighting systems? Which lamp types are most appropriate for different lighting applications? What is the outlook for lamps, control nodes, software and services in each world region? How are various established and startup companies positioned for success in the lighting control market? WHO NEEDS THIS REPORT? Lamp and lighting equipment manufacturers Lighting controls vendors Smart grid technology companies Engineering, procurement, and construction firms Energy service companies (ESCOs) Electric utilities Government agencies Standards development organizations Investor community REPORT DETAILS: Price: $3900 Pages: 99 Tables, Charts, Figures: 74 Release Date: 4Q 2012 TO ORDER THIS REPORT: Phone: +1.303.997.7609 Email: sales@pikeresearch.com